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Investments
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2023
Investments, Debt and Equity Securities [Abstract]  
Investments Investments
The majority of the investment portfolio comprises investment grade fixed-maturity securities managed by three outside managers. The Company has established investment guidelines for these investment managers regarding credit quality, exposure to a particular sector and exposure to a particular obligor within a sector.

The remainder of the investment portfolio primarily consists of (i) Loss Mitigation Securities; (ii) New Recovery Bonds and CVIs received in connection with the consummation of the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions; (iii) equity method investments; (iv) short-term investments and (iv) other investments. Equity method investments primarily consists of the investment in Sound Point and fund investments across a variety of strategies.
Investment Portfolio
Carrying Value
As of
September 30, 2023December 31, 2022
 (in millions)
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale (1):
Externally managed (2)$5,316 $5,824 
Loss Mitigation Securities495 548 
Puerto Rico, New Recovery Bonds (3) 78 358 
Other (4)378 389 
Fixed-maturity securities, trading - Puerto Rico, CVIs (3) 350 303 
Short-term investments
1,426 810 
Other invested assets:
Equity method investments:
Sound Point
419 — 
Alternative investments (5)331 123 
Other15 10 
Total$8,808 $8,365 
____________________
(1)    7.6% and 7.4% of fixed-maturity securities were rated BIG as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively, consisting primarily of Loss Mitigation Securities. 2.4% and 5.9% were not rated, as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively.
(2)    As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 amounts include $294 million and $305 million, respectively, of CLOs that had been managed internally by AssuredIM under an investment management agreement until it transitioned to an external manager in June 2023.
(3)    These securities are not rated. On August 31, 2023, the Company satisfied its obligations under certain Puerto Rico Trusts and as a result $68 million, at fair value, of Puerto Rico New Recovery Bonds and $5 million, at fair value, of CVIs were transferred from the consolidated Puerto Rico Trusts to AGC and AGM’s investment portfolios. See Note 3, Outstanding Exposure.
(4)    As of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, amounts include $214 million and $232 million, respectively, of municipal bonds that had been managed by AssuredIM under an investment management agreement until June 2023, and are now managed by the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries for their own accounts.
(5)     Excludes certain investments in funds that are consolidated and accounted for as CIVs. See Note 8, Financial Guaranty Variable Interest Entities and Consolidated Investment Vehicles.
    
Upon closing of the Sound Point Transaction and the AHP Transaction in July, the Company has increased the aggregate amount it has agreed to invest in alternative investments to $1.5 billion, including the $1 billion with Sound Point, subject to regulatory approval, which includes $630 million of invested capital (at fair value), and $890 million in unfunded commitments (of which $332 million is committed to specific funds). See Note 1, Business and Basis of Presentation for a description of the Sound Point Transaction.

Of the $1.5 billion mentioned above, the U.S. Insurance Subsidiaries through their jointly owned investment subsidiary, AGAS, are authorized to invest up to $750 million plus previously distributed gains of $132 million for a total of $882 million as of September 30, 2023. As of September 30, 2023, AGAS commitments to Sound Point and AHP funds were $703 million (of which $446 million was funded with a net asset value (NAV) of $469 million). This capital was committed to several funds, each dedicated to a single strategy, including CLOs, asset-based finance and healthcare structured capital. As of September 30, 2023, three of the six funds in which AGAS invests are accounted for as CIVs. See Note 8, Financial Guaranty Variable Interest Entities and Consolidated Investment Vehicles.

Accrued investment income, which is reported in “other assets,” was $78 million as of September 30, 2023 and $71 million as of December 31, 2022. In nine months 2023 and nine months 2022, the Company did not write off any accrued investment income.
Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities by Security Type 
As of September 30, 2023
Security TypePercent
of
Total (1)
Amortized
Cost
Allowance for Credit LossesGross
Unrealized
Gains
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Estimated
Fair
Value
 (dollars in millions)
Obligations of state and political subdivisions42 %$2,938 $(14)$20 $(178)$2,766 
U.S. government and agencies65 — — (7)58 
Corporate securities (2)
33 2,321 (6)(307)2,009 
Mortgage-backed securities (3):
 
RMBS430 (20)(82)330 
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS)198 — — (10)188 
Asset-backed securities:
CLOs463 — (10)454 
Other440 (46)(31)369 
Non-U.S. government securities116 — — (23)93 
Total available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities100 %$6,971 $(86)$30 $(648)$6,267 

Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities by Security Type 
As of December 31, 2022 
Security TypePercent
of
Total (1)
Amortized
Cost
Allowance for Credit LossesGross
Unrealized
Gains
Gross
Unrealized
Losses
Estimated
Fair
Value
 (dollars in millions)
Obligations of state and political subdivisions45 %$3,509 $(14)$37 $(138)$3,394 
U.S. government and agencies118 — (8)111 
Corporate securities (2)
31 2,387 (6)(299)2,084 
Mortgage-backed securities (3):
    
RMBS418 (19)(62)340 
CMBS282 — — (11)271 
Asset-backed securities:
CLOs449 — — (21)428 
Other423 (26)22 (26)393 
Non-U.S. government securities121 — — (23)98 
Total available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities100 %$7,707 $(65)$65 $(588)$7,119 
____________________
(1)Based on amortized cost.
(2)Includes securities issued by taxable universities and hospitals.
(3)U.S. government-agency obligations were approximately 38% and 30% of mortgage-backed securities as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively, based on fair value.
Gross Unrealized Loss by Length of Time
for Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities for Which a Credit Loss was Not Recorded
As of September 30, 2023  

 Less than 12 months12 months or moreTotal
 Fair
Value
Gross Unrealized
Loss
Fair
Value
Gross Unrealized
Loss
Fair
Value
Gross Unrealized
Loss
 (dollars in millions)
Obligations of state and political subdivisions$1,610 $(39)$899 $(136)$2,509 $(175)
U.S. government and agencies21 — 32 (7)53 (7)
Corporate securities381 (14)1,396 (236)1,777 (250)
Mortgage-backed securities: 
RMBS55 (3)122 (14)177 (17)
CMBS— 184 (10)187 (10)
Asset-backed securities:
CLOs18 (2)402 (8)420 (10)
Other— 26 (2)27 (2)
Non-U.S. government securities— 89 (23)93 (23)
Total$2,093 $(58)$3,150 $(436)$5,243 $(494)
Number of securities (1) 795  1,308  2,079 
 
Gross Unrealized Loss by Length of Time
for Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities for Which a Credit Loss was Not Recorded
As of December 31, 2022

 Less than 12 months12 months or moreTotal
 Fair
Value
Gross Unrealized
Loss
Fair
Value
Gross Unrealized
Loss
Fair
Value
Gross Unrealized
Loss
 (dollars in millions)
Obligations of state and political subdivisions$1,763 $(79)$163 $(56)$1,926 $(135)
U.S. government and agencies32 — 52 (8)84 (8)
Corporate securities1,276 (95)519 (147)1,795 (242)
Mortgage-backed securities:    
RMBS147 (9)(1)150 (10)
CMBS270 (11)— — 270 (11)
Asset-backed securities:
CLOs171 (7)250 (14)421 (21)
Other27 (2)— — 27 (2)
Non-U.S. government securities65 (10)30 (13)95 (23)
Total$3,751 $(213)$1,017 $(239)$4,768 $(452)
Number of securities (1) 1,340  466  1,776 
___________________
(1)    The number of securities does not add across because lots consisting of the same securities have been purchased at different times and appear in both categories above (i.e., less than 12 months and 12 months or more). If a security appears in both categories, it is counted only once in the total column.
The Company considered the credit quality, cash flows, interest rate movements, ability to hold a security to recovery and intent to sell a security in determining whether a security had a credit loss. The Company has determined that the unrealized losses recorded as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022 were primarily related to higher interest rates rather than credit quality. As of September 30, 2023, the Company did not intend to and was not required to sell investments in an unrealized loss position prior to expected recovery in value. As of September 30, 2023, of the securities in an unrealized loss position for which an allowance for credit loss was not recorded, 641 securities had unrealized losses in excess of 10% of their carrying value, whereas as of December 31, 2022, 567 securities had unrealized losses in excess of 10% of their carrying value. The total unrealized loss for these securities was $351 million as of September 30, 2023 and $329 million as of December 31, 2022.

The amortized cost and estimated fair value of available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities by contractual maturity as of September 30, 2023 are shown below. Expected maturities will differ from contractual maturities because borrowers may have the right to call or prepay obligations with or without call or prepayment penalties.
 
Distribution of Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities by Contractual Maturity
As of September 30, 2023
 Amortized
Cost
Estimated
Fair Value
 (in millions)
Due within one year$248 $239 
Due after one year through five years1,526 1,406 
Due after five years through 10 years1,760 1,629 
Due after 10 years2,809 2,475 
Mortgage-backed securities:  
RMBS430 330 
CMBS198 188 
Total$6,971 $6,267 

    Based on fair value, investments and other assets that are either held in trust for the benefit of third-party ceding insurers in accordance with statutory requirements, placed on deposit to fulfill state licensing requirements, or otherwise pledged or restricted, totaled $224 million as of September 30, 2023 and $222 million as of December 31, 2022. The investment portfolio also contains securities that are held in trust by certain AGL subsidiaries or are otherwise restricted for the benefit of other AGL subsidiaries in accordance with statutory and regulatory requirements in the amounts of $1,107 million and $1,169 million based on fair value as of September 30, 2023 and December 31, 2022, respectively.

Income from Investments

Net investment income is a function of the yield that the Company earns on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities and short-term investments, and the size of such portfolio. The investment yield is a function of market interest rates at the time of investment as well as the type, credit quality and maturity of the securities in this portfolio.

Puerto Rico CVIs in the investment portfolio are classified as trading securities. Equity in earnings (losses) of investees represents the Company’s interest in the earnings of its equity method investments.
Income from Investments
 Third QuarterNine Months
 2023202220232022
(in millions)
Investment income:
Fixed-maturity securities, available-for-sale:
Externally managed (1)$51 $50 $156 $150 
Loss Mitigation Securities24 46 24 
Puerto Rico, New Recovery Bonds
Other (2)12 11 
Short-term investments21 53 
Other invested assets— — — 
Investment income102 68 274 195 
Investment expenses(2)(1)(4)(4)
Net investment income$100 $67 $270 $191 
Fair value gains (losses) on trading securities (3)$$(8)$42 $(30)
Equity in earnings (losses) of investees (4)18 (20)25 (31)
____________________
(1)    Amounts for 2022 include income on the portion of the CLO portfolio that was previously managed by AssuredIM.
(2)    Amounts for 2022 include income on the portion of the municipal bond portfolio that was previously managed by AssuredIM.
(3)    Fair value gains on trading securities pertaining to securities still held as of September 30, 2023 were $4 million for third quarter 2023 and $42 million for nine months 2023. Fair value losses on trading securities pertaining to securities still held as of September 30, 2022 were $2 million for third quarter 2022 and $18 million for nine months 2022.
(4)     Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2023, equity in earnings (losses) will include the Company’s share of the earnings of the Sound Point entities, which is reported on a one-quarter lag.

Realized Investment Gains (Losses)

    The table below presents the components of net realized investment gains (losses). Realized gains and losses on sales of investments are determined using the specific identification method.

Net Realized Investment Gains (Losses)
 Third QuarterNine Months
 2023202220232022
 (in millions)
Gross realized gains on sales of available-for-sale securities (1)$$— $21 $— 
Gross realized losses on sales of available-for-sale securities (1)(1)(10)(16)(33)
Net foreign currency gains (losses)(1)— (1)(3)
Change in allowance for credit losses and intent to sell (8)(4)(23)(13)
Other net realized gains (losses)(1)— (1)10 
Net realized investment gains (losses)$(9)$(14)$(20)$(39)
____________________
(1)    Gross realized gains and losses on sales in all periods related primarily to sales of New Recovery Bonds received as part of the 2022 Puerto Rico Resolutions.

The proceeds from sales of fixed-maturity securities classified as available-for-sale were $73 million in third quarter 2023, $207 million in third quarter 2022, $767 million in nine months 2023 and $560 million in nine months 2022.
The following table presents the roll forward of allowance for the credit losses on available-for-sale fixed-maturity securities.

Roll Forward of Allowance for
Credit Losses for Available-for-Sale Fixed-Maturity Securities
 Third QuarterNine Months
 2023202220232022
 (in millions)
Balance, beginning of period$79 $51 $65 $42 
Additions for securities for which credit losses were not previously recognized— — 
Additions for purchases of securities accounted for as purchased financial assets with credit deterioration— — 
Additions (reductions) for securities for which credit losses were previously recognized21 
Balance, end of period$86 $57 $86 $57 

During third quarter 2022, the Company purchased a loss mitigation security with a fair value of $22 million that was accounted for as a purchased security with credit deterioration. At acquisition, this security had an unpaid principal on remaining collateral of $31 million, an allowance for credit losses of $2 million, and a non-credit related discount of $7 million. The Company did not purchase any securities with credit deterioration during third quarter 2023 and nine months 2023. Most of the Company’s securities with credit deterioration are Loss Mitigation Securities.