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Outstanding Exposure (Tables) | 12 Months Ended
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Dec. 31, 2024
Outstanding Exposure Disclosure |
Debt Service Outstanding | Financial Guaranty Portfolio Debt Service and Par Outstanding
| As of December 31, 2024 |  | As of December 31, 2023
| Gross |  | Net |  | Gross |  | Net
| (in millions)
Debt Service |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Public finance | $ | 403,789 |  |  | $ | 403,718 |  |  | $ | 386,494 |  |  | $ | 386,419 |
Structured finance | 12,674 |  |  | 12,248 |  |  | 11,543 |  |  | 11,217 |
Total financial guaranty | $ | 416,463 |  |  | $ | 415,966 |  |  | $ | 398,037 |  |  | $ | 397,636 |
Par Outstanding |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Public finance | $ | 250,429 |  |  | $ | 250,375 |  |  | $ | 239,352 |  |  | $ | 239,296 |
Structured finance | 11,603 |  |  | 11,177 |  |  | 10,183 |  |  | 9,857 |
Total financial guaranty | $ | 262,032 |  |  | $ | 261,552 |  |  | $ | 249,535 |  |  | $ | 249,153 |
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating | Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating As of December 31, 2024
|  | Public Finance U.S. |  | Public Finance Non-U.S. |  | Structured Finance U.S. |  | Structured Finance Non-U.S. |  | Total
Rating Category |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | %
|  | (dollars in millions)
AAA |  | $ | 25 |  |  | — | % |  | $ | 2,074 |  |  | 4.2 | % |  | $ | 512 |  |  | 6.1 | % |  | $ | 470 |  |  | 17.3 | % |  | $ | 3,081 |  |  | 1.2 | %
AA |  | 17,664 |  |  | 8.8 |  |  | 2,854 |  |  | 5.8 |  |  | 5,386 |  |  | 63.7 |  |  | 58 |  |  | 2.1 |  |  | 25,962 |  |  | 9.9 |
A |  | 111,502 |  |  | 55.5 |  |  | 13,046 |  |  | 26.5 |  |  | 952 |  |  | 11.3 |  |  | 2,117 |  |  | 77.7 |  |  | 127,617 |  |  | 48.8 |
BBB |  | 69,096 |  |  | 34.3 |  |  | 24,828 |  |  | 50.5 |  |  | 707 |  |  | 8.3 |  |  | 79 |  |  | 2.9 |  |  | 94,710 |  |  | 36.2 |
BIG |  | 2,888 |  |  | 1.4 |  |  | 6,398 |  |  | 13.0 |  |  | 896 |  |  | 10.6 |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | 10,182 |  |  | 3.9 |
Total net par outstanding |  | $ | 201,175 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 49,200 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 8,453 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 2,724 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 261,552 |  |  | 100.0 | %
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Internal Rating As of December 31, 2023
|  | Public Finance U.S. |  | Public Finance Non-U.S. |  | Structured Finance U.S. |  | Structured Finance Non-U.S. |  | Total
Rating Category |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | % |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | %
|  | (dollars in millions)
AAA |  | $ | 110 |  |  | 0.1 | % |  | $ | 2,062 |  |  | 4.2 | % |  | $ | 867 |  |  | 10.0 | % |  | $ | 465 |  |  | 38.0 | % |  | $ | 3,504 |  |  | 1.4 | %
AA |  | 17,883 |  |  | 9.4 |  |  | 3,379 |  |  | 6.9 |  |  | 4,517 |  |  | 52.3 |  |  | 89 |  |  | 7.3 |  |  | 25,868 |  |  | 10.4 |
A |  | 102,945 |  |  | 54.1 |  |  | 12,968 |  |  | 26.5 |  |  | 1,639 |  |  | 19.0 |  |  | 571 |  |  | 46.6 |  |  | 118,123 |  |  | 47.4 |
BBB |  | 66,080 |  |  | 34.7 |  |  | 29,467 |  |  | 60.1 |  |  | 574 |  |  | 6.7 |  |  | 100 |  |  | 8.1 |  |  | 96,221 |  |  | 38.6 |
BIG |  | 3,271 |  |  | 1.7 |  |  | 1,131 |  |  | 2.3 |  |  | 1,035 |  |  | 12.0 |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | 5,437 |  |  | 2.2 |
Total net par outstanding |  | $ | 190,289 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 49,007 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 8,632 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 1,225 |  |  | 100.0 | % |  | $ | 249,153 |  |  | 100.0 | %
Financial Guaranty Portfolio by Asset Class | The following tables present net par outstanding by sector for the financial guaranty portfolio. Financial Guaranty Portfolio Net Par Outstanding by Sector
|  | As of December 31,
Sector |  | 2024 |  | 2023
|  | (in millions)
Public finance: |  |  |  |
U.S. public finance: |  |  |  |
General obligation |  | $ | 78,162 |  |  | $ | 74,609 |
Tax backed |  | 33,288 |  |  | 33,060 |
Municipal utilities |  | 30,036 |  |  | 29,300 |
Transportation |  | 26,958 |  |  | 22,052 |
Healthcare |  | 14,007 |  |  | 12,604 |
Infrastructure finance |  | 8,663 |  |  | 8,796 |
Higher education |  | 7,381 |  |  | 7,250 |
Housing revenue |  | 1,272 |  |  | 1,152 |
Investor-owned utilities |  | 325 |  |  | 329 |
Renewable energy |  | 164 |  |  | 167 |
Other public finance |  | 919 |  |  | 970 |
Total U.S. public finance |  | 201,175 |  |  | 190,289 |
Non-U.S public finance: |  |  |  |
Regulated utilities |  | 22,361 |  |  | 20,545 |
Infrastructure finance |  | 14,961 |  |  | 15,430 |
Sovereign and sub-sovereign |  | 9,181 |  |  | 9,869 |
Renewable energy |  | 1,596 |  |  | 2,030 |
Pooled infrastructure |  | 1,101 |  |  | 1,133 |
Total non-U.S. public finance |  | 49,200 |  |  | 49,007 |
Total public finance |  | 250,375 |  |  | 239,296 |
Structured finance: |  |  |  |
U.S. structured finance: |  |  |  |
Insurance securitizations |  | 4,495 |  |  | 4,379 |
RMBS |  | 1,507 |  |  | 1,774 |
Pooled corporate obligations |  | 607 |  |  | 631 |
Financial products |  | 492 |  |  | 464 |
Consumer receivables |  | 212 |  |  | 314 |
Subscription finance facilities |  | 185 |  |  | 178 |
Other structured finance |  | 955 |  |  | 892 |
Total U.S. structured finance |  | 8,453 |  |  | 8,632 |
Non-U.S. structured finance: |  |  |  |
Subscription finance facilities |  | 1,385 |  |  | 444 |
Pooled corporate obligations |  | 468 |  |  | 425 |
RMBS |  | 221 |  |  | 252 |
Other structured finance |  | 650 |  |  | 104 |
Total non-U.S structured finance |  | 2,724 |  |  | 1,225 |
Total structured finance |  | 11,177 |  |  | 9,857 |
Total net par outstanding |  | $ | 261,552 |  |  | $ | 249,153 |
Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding | Financial Guaranty Portfolio Expected Amortization of Net Par Outstanding As of December 31, 2024
| Public Finance |  | Structured Finance |  | Total
| (in millions)
0 to 5 years | $ | 52,502 |  |  | $ | 5,720 |  |  | $ | 58,222 |
5 to 10 years | 54,255 |  |  | 3,220 |  |  | 57,475 |
10 to 15 years | 46,053 |  |  | 1,007 |  |  | 47,060 |
15 to 20 years | 32,126 |  |  | 702 |  |  | 32,828 |
Over 20 years | 65,439 |  |  | 528 |  |  | 65,967 |
Total net par outstanding | $ | 250,375 |  |  | $ | 11,177 |  |  | $ | 261,552 |
Components of BIG Net Par Outstanding (Insurance and Credit Derivative Form) | Financial Guaranty Portfolio Components of BIG Net Par Outstanding As of December 31, 2024
| BIG Net Par Outstanding |  | Net Par
| BIG 1 |  | BIG 2 |  | BIG 3 |  | Total BIG |  | Outstanding
|  |  |  |  | (in millions) |  |  |  |
Public finance: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
U.S. public finance | $ | 2,119 |  |  | $ | 137 |  |  | $ | 632 |  |  | $ | 2,888 |  |  | $ | 201,175 |
Non-U.S. public finance | 5,879 |  |  | 519 |  |  | — |  |  | 6,398 |  |  | 49,200 |
Public finance | 7,998 |  |  | 656 |  |  | 632 |  |  | 9,286 |  |  | 250,375 |
Structured finance: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
U.S. RMBS | 104 |  |  | 29 |  |  | 686 |  |  | 819 |  |  | 1,507 |
Other structured finance | — |  |  | 21 |  |  | 56 |  |  | 77 |  |  | 9,670 |
Structured finance | 104 |  |  | 50 |  |  | 742 |  |  | 896 |  |  | 11,177 |
Total | $ | 8,102 |  |  | $ | 706 |  |  | $ | 1,374 |  |  | $ | 10,182 |  |  | $ | 261,552 |
Financial Guaranty Portfolio Components of BIG Net Par Outstanding As of December 31, 2023
| BIG Net Par Outstanding |  | Net Par
| BIG 1 |  | BIG 2 |  | BIG 3 |  | Total BIG |  | Outstanding
|  |  |  |  | (in millions) |  |  |  |
Public finance: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
U.S. public finance | $ | 1,257 |  |  | $ | 926 |  |  | $ | 1,088 |  |  | $ | 3,271 |  |  | $ | 190,289 |
Non-U.S. public finance | 1,131 |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | 1,131 |  |  | 49,007 |
Public finance | 2,388 |  |  | 926 |  |  | 1,088 |  |  | 4,402 |  |  | 239,296 |
Structured finance: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
U.S. RMBS | 22 |  |  | 36 |  |  | 883 |  |  | 941 |  |  | 1,774 |
Other structured finance | — |  |  | 27 |  |  | 67 |  |  | 94 |  |  | 8,083 |
Structured finance | 22 |  |  | 63 |  |  | 950 |  |  | 1,035 |  |  | 9,857 |
Total | $ | 2,410 |  |  | $ | 989 |  |  | $ | 2,038 |  |  | $ | 5,437 |  |  | $ | 249,153 |
BIG Net Par Outstanding and Number of Risks | Financial Guaranty Portfolio BIG Net Par Outstanding and Number of Risks As of December 31, 2024
|  | Net Par Outstanding |  | Number of Risks (2)
Description |  | Financial Guaranty Insurance (1) |  | Credit Derivatives |  | Total |  | Financial Guaranty Insurance (1) |  | Credit Derivatives |  | Total
|  | (dollars in millions)
BIG 1 |  | $ | 8,074 |  |  | $ | 28 |  |  | $ | 8,102 |  |  | 98 |  |  | 3 |  |  | 101 |
BIG 2 |  | 702 |  |  | 4 |  |  | 706 |  |  | 12 |  |  | 1 |  |  | 13 |
BIG 3 |  | 1,374 |  |  | — |  |  | 1,374 |  |  | 97 |  |  | 3 |  |  | 100 |
Total BIG |  | $ | 10,150 |  |  | $ | 32 |  |  | $ | 10,182 |  |  | 207 |  |  | 7 |  |  | 214 |
Financial Guaranty Portfolio BIG Net Par Outstanding and Number of Risks As of December 31, 2023
|  | Net Par Outstanding |  | Number of Risks (2)
Description |  | Financial Guaranty Insurance (1) |  | Credit Derivatives |  | Total |  | Financial Guaranty Insurance(1) |  | Credit Derivatives |  | Total
|  | (dollars in millions)
BIG 1 |  | $ | 2,394 |  |  | $ | 16 |  |  | $ | 2,410 |  |  | 95 |  |  | 2 |  |  | 97 |
BIG 2 |  | 979 |  |  | 10 |  |  | 989 |  |  | 13 |  |  | 2 |  |  | 15 |
BIG 3 |  | 2,010 |  |  | 28 |  |  | 2,038 |  |  | 109 |  |  | 7 |  |  | 116 |
Total BIG |  | $ | 5,383 |  |  | $ | 54 |  |  | $ | 5,437 |  |  | 217 |  |  | 11 |  |  | 228 |
_____________________ (1) Includes FG VIEs. (2) A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making debt service payments. The following tables provide information on financial guaranty insurance contracts categorized as BIG. Financial Guaranty Insurance BIG Transaction Loss Summary As of December 31, 2024
| Gross |  | Net Total BIG
| BIG 1 |  | BIG 2 |  | BIG 3 |  | Total BIG |
| (dollars in millions)
Number of risks (1) | 98 |  |  | 12 |  |  | 97 |  |  | 207 |  |  | 207 |
Remaining weighted average period (in years) | 18.6 |  | 8.8 |  | 6.1 |  | 16.6 |  | 16.6
Outstanding exposure: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Par | $ | 8,080 |  |  | $ | 702 |  |  | $ | 1,382 |  |  | $ | 10,164 |  |  | $ | 10,150 |
Interest | 7,546 |  |  | 371 |  |  | 421 |  |  | 8,338 |  |  | 8,335 |
Total (2) | $ | 15,626 |  |  | $ | 1,073 |  |  | $ | 1,803 |  |  | $ | 18,502 |  |  | $ | 18,485 |
Expected cash outflows (inflows) | $ | 4,016 |  |  | $ | 342 |  |  | $ | 1,307 |  |  | $ | 5,665 |  |  | $ | 5,656 |
Potential recoveries (3) | (4,201) |  |  | (293) |  |  | (1,132) |  |  | (5,626) |  |  | (5,616) |
Subtotal | (185) |  |  | 49 |  |  | 175 |  |  | 39 |  |  | 40 |
Discount | 43 |  |  | 29 |  |  | (23) |  |  | 49 |  |  | 49 |
Expected losses to be paid (recovered) | $ | (142) |  |  | $ | 78 |  |  | $ | 152 |  |  | $ | 88 |  |  | $ | 89 |
Deferred premium revenue | $ | 333 |  |  | $ | 49 |  |  | $ | 116 |  |  | $ | 498 |  |  | $ | 498 |
Reserves (salvage) | $ | (226) |  |  | $ | 35 |  |  | $ | 62 |  |  | $ | (129) |  |  | $ | (128) |
Financial Guaranty Insurance BIG Transaction Loss Summary As of December 31, 2023
| Gross |  | Net Total BIG
| BIG 1 |  | BIG 2 |  | BIG 3 |  | Total BIG |
| (dollars in millions)
Number of risks (1) | 95 |  |  | 13 |  |  | 109 |  |  | 217 |  |  | 217 |
Remaining weighted average period (in years) | 9.6 |  | 15.9 |  | 7.5 |  | 9.9 |  | 10.0
Outstanding exposure: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Par | $ | 2,400 |  |  | $ | 979 |  |  | $ | 2,019 |  |  | $ | 5,398 |  |  | $ | 5,383 |
Interest | 1,126 |  |  | 896 |  |  | 818 |  |  | 2,840 |  |  | 2,836 |
Total (2) | $ | 3,526 |  |  | $ | 1,875 |  |  | $ | 2,837 |  |  | $ | 8,238 |  |  | $ | 8,219 |
Expected cash outflows (inflows) | $ | 176 |  |  | $ | 187 |  |  | $ | 1,585 |  |  | $ | 1,948 |  |  | $ | 1,938 |
Potential recoveries (3) | (376) |  |  | (78) |  |  | (1,214) |  |  | (1,668) |  |  | (1,659) |
Subtotal | (200) |  |  | 109 |  |  | 371 |  |  | 280 |  |  | 279 |
Discount | 56 |  |  | (22) |  |  | (53) |  |  | (19) |  |  | (19) |
Expected losses to be paid (recovered) | $ | (144) |  |  | $ | 87 |  |  | $ | 318 |  |  | $ | 261 |  |  | $ | 260 |
Deferred premium revenue | $ | 100 |  |  | $ | 63 |  |  | $ | 142 |  |  | $ | 305 |  |  | $ | 305 |
Reserves (salvage) | $ | (181) |  |  | $ | 45 |  |  | $ | 209 |  |  | $ | 73 |  |  | $ | 72 |
__________________ (1) A risk represents the aggregate of the financial guaranty policies that share the same revenue source for purposes of making debt service payments. (2) Includes amounts related to FG VIEs. The increase in BIG in 2024 relates mainly to the downgrade of certain U.K. regulated utilities. (3) Represents expected inflows from future payments by obligors pursuant to restructuring agreements, settlements, excess spread on any underlying collateral and other estimated recoveries. Potential recoveries also include recoveries on certain investment grade credits, related mainly to exposures that were previously BIG and for which claims have been paid in the past.
Schedule of Geographic Exposure of Net Par Outstanding | Financial Guaranty Portfolio Geographic Distribution of Net Par Outstanding As of December 31, 2024
| Number of Risks |  | Net Par Outstanding |  | Percent of Total Net Par Outstanding
| (dollars in millions)
U.S.: |  |  |  |  |
U.S. public finance: |  |  |  |  |
California | 1,182 |  |  | $ | 36,080 |  |  | 13.8 | %
Texas | 1,145 |  |  | 26,004 |  |  | 9.9 |
New York | 798 |  |  | 19,572 |  |  | 7.5 |
Pennsylvania | 533 |  |  | 18,448 |  |  | 7.1 |
Illinois | 479 |  |  | 12,536 |  |  | 4.8 |
Florida | 218 |  |  | 11,353 |  |  | 4.3 |
New Jersey | 248 |  |  | 8,824 |  |  | 3.4 |
Louisiana | 139 |  |  | 4,994 |  |  | 1.9 |
Michigan | 228 |  |  | 4,877 |  |  | 1.9 |
Colorado | 171 |  |  | 4,012 |  |  | 1.5 |
Other | 2,034 |  |  | 54,475 |  |  | 20.8 |
Total U.S. public finance | 7,175 |  |  | 201,175 |  |  | 76.9 |
U.S. structured finance (multiple states) | 328 |  |  | 8,453 |  |  | 3.2 |
Total U.S. | 7,503 |  |  | 209,628 |  |  | 80.1 |
Non-U.S.: |  |  |  |  |
United Kingdom | 272 |  |  | 41,001 |  |  | 15.7 |
Australia | 7 |  |  | 1,740 |  |  | 0.7 |
Spain | 9 |  |  | 1,506 |  |  | 0.6 |
France | 7 |  |  | 1,477 |  |  | 0.5 |
Canada | 5 |  |  | 1,243 |  |  | 0.5 |
Other | 49 |  |  | 4,957 |  |  | 1.9 |
Total non-U.S. | 349 |  |  | 51,924 |  |  | 19.9 |
Total | 7,852 |  |  | $ | 261,552 |  |  | 100.0 | %
Schedule of Non-Financial Guaranty Exposure | Specialty Business
|  | As of December 31, 2024 |  | As of December 31, 2023
|  | Gross Exposure |  | Net Exposure |  | Gross Exposure |  | Net Exposure
|  | (in millions)
Diversified real estate (1) |  | $ | 2,004 |  |  | $ | 2,004 |  |  | $ | 1,569 |  |  | $ | 1,569 |
Insurance securitizations (2) |  | 1,449 |  |  | 1,126 |  |  | 1,370 |  |  | 1,043 |
Pooled corporate obligations |  | 868 |  |  | 868 |  |  | 488 |  |  | 488 |
Aircraft residual value insurance |  | 147 |  |  | 87 |  |  | 355 |  |  | 200 |
____________________ (1) Excess-of-loss guaranty of a minimum amount of billed rent on a diversified portfolio of real estate properties with an internal rating of AAA that matures in 2044. This guaranty is accounted for in accordance with Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) 460, Guarantees. (2) Insurance securitizations exposure is projected to reach $1.5 billion gross and $1.2 billion net in 2025.

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