6-K 1 dp11632_6k.htm

 
FORM 6-K
 
 
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
 
Report of Foreign Issuer
 
 
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
 
 
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): October 21, 2008
 
 
Commission File Number: 000-22828
 
 
MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL
CELLULAR S.A.
75 Route de Longwy
Box 23, L-8080 Bertrange
Grand-Duchy of Luxembourg
________________________________________________
(Address of principal executive offices)

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
 
 
Form 20-F X            Form 40-F
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):  ___
 
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):  ___
 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
 
Yes                    No X

If “Yes” is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-  ____________
 

 

 
MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR S.A.

INDEX TO EXHIBITS

Item

1.        Press release dated October 21, 2008



 
 
 
 
SIGNATURES


Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.


 
MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR S.A.
(Registrant)
 
 
Date: October 21, 2008
By: /s/ Marc Beuls
 
 
Name: Marc Beuls
 
 
Title: President and Chief Executive Officer
 
     
 

 
 
 
PRESS RELEASE
New York and StockholmOctober 21, 2008



MILLICOM INTERNATIONAL CELLULAR S.A.

RESULTS FOR THE PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2008
(Nasdaq Stock Market: MICC and Stockholmsbörsen: MIC)


Q3 key figures

53% increase in subscribers for Q3 08 versus Q3 07, bringing total subscribers to 30.6 million*
27% increase in revenues for Q3 08 to $869 million (Q3 07: $686 m illion*)
25% increase in EBITDA for Q3 08 to $369 million (Q3 07: $296  million *)
17% increase in net profit for Q3 08 of $161 million (Q3 07: $138 million*)
Basic earnings per common share for Q3 08 of $1.49 (Q3 07: $1.36*)
* Excludes discontinued operations


9M key figures

35% increase in revenues for 9M 08 to $2,512 million (9M 07: $1,862 million*)
31% increase in EBITDA for 9M 08 to $1,058 million (9M 07: $807 million*)
39% increase in net profit for 9M 08 of $451 million (9M 07: $326 million*)
Basic earnings per common share for 9M 08 of $4.19 (9M 07: $3.23*)
* Excludes discontinued operations

Marc Beuls, CEO of Millicom, commented: "Millicom's businesses performed well in a quarter in which there was a dramatic change in the global economy.  We have maintained or increased our market share and produced good profitability by delivering strong EBITDA margins. Particularly pleasing were margin increases in Africa, at 33% and Colombia at 14%. However, recognizing the more difficult economic environment, we have already initiated a number of adjustments in many of the countries in which we operate.

“We have decided to put off an early redemption of the $460 million 10% 2013 Notes, further strengthening the company’s balance sheet by reducing short term and increasing long term debt and, as a result of this decision, the average maturity of our debt lies close to four years.  At the end of September we had over $1 billion in cash and a net debt to EBITDA of 0.6 times.

“Today we expect to invest less than $1.5 billion this year and we expect capex for 2009 to be substantially lower than for 2008, as we ensure that our requirements for high returns on new investment are maintained.”
 
 
1



Financial summary for the periods to September 30, 2008 and 2007

SUBSCRIBERS (‘000)
 
 
Sept
30, 2008
   
Sept
30, 2007
   
Change
   
June
30, 2008
   
March
31, 2008
       
–  Total (i)
    30,588       19,952       53 %     28,451       26,184        
–  Attributable (ii)
    26,239       16,991       54 %     24,296       22,292        
                                               
REPORTED NUMBERS
US$ million
    Q3 2008    
Q3
2007 (iv)
   
Q on Q
change
      9M 2008    
9M
2007 (iv)
   
9M on 9M
change
 
–  Revenues
    869.1       686.4       27 %     2,512.3       1,862.4       35 %
–  EBITDA (iii)
    369.0       296.0       25 %     1,057.5       806.6       31 %
–  EBITDA margin
    42 %     43 %             42 %     43 %        
–  Net profit for the period
    161.3       137.4       17 %     451.3       325.8       39 %

(i)  
Total subscriber figures represent the worldwide total number of subscribers of mobile systems in which Millicom has an ownership interest.
(ii)  
Attributable subscribers are calculated as 100% of subscribers in Millicom’s subsidiary operations and Millicom’s percentage ownership of subscribers in each joint venture operation.
(iii)  
EBITDA: operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, is derived by deducting cost of sales, sales and marketing costs, general and administrative expenses from revenues and other operating income.
(iv)  
Excludes discontinued operations


Financial and operating summary

Record revenues of $869 million in Q3 2008, up 27% vs. Q3 2007
 
Record EBITDA of $369 million in Q3 2008, up 25% vs. Q3 2007
 
17% increase in net profit to $161 million in Q3 2008
 
Investments include capex of $328 million for the 3rd quarter 2008 and $975 million for the nine months ended September 2008
 
Cash and cash equivalents of $1,001 million at end of 9M 2008
 
Cash up-streaming of $119 million in the 3rd quarter 2008 and $362 million in the nine months ended September 2008
 
Net debt of $826 million with a Net Debt to extrapolated full year EBITDA ratio of 0.6 enabling significant continuing investments
 
Strong subscriber growth of 53% in Q3 2008 with total subscribers at 30.6 million
 
2.1 million net new total subscribers in Q3 2008
 
 
2
 



Review of operations


Financial results for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2008


Subscribers

In Q3 2008, Millicom added 2.1 million net new mobile subscribers, reaching 30.6 million total mobile subscribers, an increase of 53% versus Q3 2007.

In Africa, the two best performing markets in terms of net subscriber additions were Tanzania which grew by 110% year-on-year, adding 383 thousand subscribers in the quarter and DRC, which grew by 141% year-on-year, adding 234 thousand subscribers in the quarter.  Senegal and Ghana also showed impressive year-on -year net subscriber growth of 84% and 82% respectively.

In Central America, Honduras grew its subscriber base by 71% year-on-year and added 340 thousand subscribers in the quarter. Guatemala grew by 39% year-on-year and El Salvador by 29%, showing that despite high penetration rates, these two markets continue to grow strongly.

In South America, total subscribers increased by 36% with Paraguay showing the strongest increase at 42% year-on-year.

In Asia, subscribers grew by 52% year-on-year with Laos growing by 101% and Sri Lanka by 58%.



 
Net additional subscribers (’000)
 
Total
Central Am.
South Am.
Africa
Asia
Q3 2008
2,137
570
280
989
298
Q2 2008
2,267
489
448
1,030
300
Q1 2008
2,829
962
571
878
418
Q4 2007
3,403
1,421
588
1,054
340
Q3 2007
1,985
698
449
664
174


Total revenues, EBITDA and EBITDA margin

In the third quarter we have seen a slowing of top line growth due to macroeconomic factors beyond our control. The strong dollar has negatively affected results in a number of markets with the real impact coming in September.  Rising inflation is a global challenge and for Millicom it means that higher food prices leave less disposable income for our customers.

Total revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2008 were $869 million, an increase of 27% from the third quarter of 2007. Year-on-year revenue growth was 55% for Africa, 34% for Asia, 27% for South America and 13% for Central America.

The Group EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2008 was $369 million, an increase of 25% from the third quarter of 2007 and the EBITDA margin was 42%.  In Central America, Tigo’s number one position in all three markets brings with it a high percentage of on-net calling, enabling it to keep EBITDA margins at a very healthy 54%. South American EBITDA margins increased from 32% last quarter to 35%
 
 
3
 

 
 
for the third quarter of 2008, partly as a result of the 2 percentage point margin improvement to 14% for Colombia seen in the third quarter.   In Africa margins increased to 33% from 31% last quarter and in Asia margins were 38%.





 
Quarterly YoY Growth
 
ARPU ($)
 
Subscribers
Revenues
EBITDA
Q3 2008
53%
27%
25%
11.5
Q2 2008
58%
37%
34%
12.1
Q1 2008
59%
42%
36%
12.7
Q4 2007
56%
41%
34%
13.9
Q3 2007
55%
46%
44%
14.2


Total revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $2,512 million, an increase of 35% from the same period of 2007. Revenues in Africa were up 61%, in Asia revenues were up by 40%, and in Central and South America the increases were 25% and 33% respectively.

The Group EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $1,058 million, an increase of 31% from the same period of 2007. EBITDA growth for Africa was 60%, for Asia it was 31% and for Central and South America it was 27% and 25% respectively.
 
 
4
 

 
 
Central America

Central America continues to perform well in what has become a more challenging macroeconomic environment.  Tigo is holding its market share in all three markets and delivering continued strong EBITDA margins of 54%.  In Q3 Tigo added 570 thousand net new subscribers, against 488 thousand in Q2, despite the higher penetration in our markets, especially in El Salvador which is today over 90% penetrated.  In Q3 subscribers grew by a very healthy 46% on a year-on-year basis, to 10.8 million subscribers.

Revenues in Q3 were up by 13% year-on-year at $340 million, reflecting the more difficult trading conditions in all three markets.  Firstly, the rate of growth in remittances of funds from the US has slowed and in the case of El Salvador and Guatemala, there was a decrease in remittances in absolute terms between July and August, which is a regional pattern in Central America as the US economy slows.  However, another factor has been the effect of inflation; the prices of food and other essentials have risen in excess of 20% p.a., affecting consumption by customers.  Although mobile telephony is a high priority in consumer spending, the increase in the cost of basic needs means that there are fewer discretionary dollars in customers’ pockets.  Furthermore, tax changes in Honduras and El Salvador, as governments tax incoming international calls, increase the calling costs for expatriates by 3c a minute in Honduras and 4c a minute in El Salvador and this has reduced the total minutes of calling.

Central America continues to have an excellent EBITDA margin at 54% which reflects our number one position in all three markets.  A number one position brings a greater percentage of on-net calls, which come with higher margins, and the economies of scale of our larger businesses mean that costs are spread over a larger base.  In today’s market, Tigo has increased its focus on margin and this can be seen by way of a number of initiatives to reduce costs.  These initiatives take some time to work through the system but the continued strong margins show that the more difficult macroeconomic environment need not impact margins in these tightly managed companies.

Tigo continues to see the benefit of the move to per-second billing in February 2007 as we continue to execute our successful Triple ‘A’ strategy.  Per-second billing substantially improved the affordability of services and it has enabled Tigo to hold or increase market share in all three Central American countries this year.  We continue to improve accessibility with more points of sales and increased e-PIN penetration.  We also extended our value added services (“VAS”) initiative in our key "young and cool" segment of the market as we believe VAS will be an increasingly important part of the income stream alongside our increasing focus on broadband as we react to customer demand for these services.  It is for this reason that, in September, 3G mobile broadband services were launched across Central America and that, in October, Millicom announced the acquisition of Amnet, a leading provider of cable and fixed broadband services.

The 3G launch in Central America has gone well and today we have in excess of 100 thousand customers who have migrated across to gain access to broadband services.

Millicom announced the acquisition of Amnet Telecommunications Holding Limited which is a business with approximately 350 thousand customers across Central America with cable and broadband customers in El Salvador, Honduras, Costa Rica and smaller businesses in Guatemala and Nicaragua.  Millicom purchased Amnet for an enterprise value of $510 million, which was funded through a $200 million one-year bridge loan facility with two leading commercial banks and $310 million of MIC equity funding.  Amnet has an extensive HFC (Hybrid Fiber-Coax) network with 1.1 million homes passed and today some 64% have two-way coaxial cable.  We anticipate capex for Amnet of approximately 15% of sales in 2009.  The opportunity for Millicom is to use Tigo’s marketing skills to sell broadband services to existing cable customers and to provide a fixed element to our broadband offer.  Amnet has number one positions in its three main markets which will give Millicom critical mass in this important segment of the market, which we expect to be a major driver of growth going forward.

Honduras continues to be the fastest growing country in the region and Tigo added 340 thousand net new subscribers in the quarter.  This continued momentum in Honduras is important so that we consolidate our market leading position ahead of the launch of an additional competitor expected in Q4.  In Q3, 139 thousand net new subscribers were added in El Salvador and 91 thousand in Guatemala.
 
 
5
 

 
 

 
Quarterly YoY Growth
 
ARPU ($)
 
Subscribers
Revenues
EBITDA
Q3 2008
46%
13%
15%
15.4
Q2 2008
53%
26%
31%
16.3
Q1 2008
65%
36%
37%
17.4
Q4 2007
71%
31%
28%
19.2
Q3 2007
74%
45%
45%
20.1

Central American revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $1,022 million, an increase of 25% from the same period of 2007. Central American EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $560 million, an increase of 27% from the same period of 2007.

 
9M 2008
9M 2007 (i)
Change
Revenues
1,022m
820m
25%
EBITDA
560m
440m
27%
EBITDA margin
54%
54%
 
Capex
207m
208m
(1)%
ARPU
$16.5
$20.6
(20)%
(i)           Excludes discounted operations
 
 
6
 


 
South America

Revenues in South America in Q3 grew by 27% year-on-year with good performances in Bolivia and Paraguay which produced revenue increases of 74% and 59% year-on-year respectively.  Colombia continues to be impacted by the halving of interconnect rates in December 2007 and has, only in the last two quarters, begun to grow at the top line on a quarter on quarter basis.  Furthermore, the impact of a weaker Colombian peso impacted revenues in Colombia. The larger Colombian economy has been affected more than the smaller economies of Bolivia and Paraguay by the current financial crisis as it is more reliant on the United States and Venezuela.  This has been reflected in the performance of the Colombian peso relative to the US dollar in August and September with central bank intervention.  3G services were launched in Bolivia and Paraguay as the success of value added services has led to the desire among the more wealthy customers to use broadband services, and Tigo is seeking to satisfy these needs through a combination of 3G and the already existing WiMAX businesses. 3G services will be launched in Colombia later this month.

The overall EBITDA margin for South America was 35% compared to 32% in Q2 which was encouraging and shows the benefits of initiatives to reduce costs in the businesses.  We expect that the margin will move up towards the Group average as the Colombian margin improves.  The EBITDA margin in Colombia has begun to improve, moving above our expectations to 14% in Q3 up from 12% in Q2.  We now expect to see margins in Colombia improve gradually in 2009 and beyond, helped by elasticity and growth.  We are confident that Tigo’s value proposition will gradually win consumer appreciation, especially as our competitors’ tactics of keeping higher tariffs will impact consumers even more in the current climate.

In Bolivia, Tigo grew Q3 revenues by 74% year-on-year and added 119 thousand net new customers as it continues to consolidate its market share and make ground on the market leader so that today Tigo accounts for 33% of the market.  Tigo continues to increase coverage in its network and added 53 new cell sites during the quarter. Tigo is now well positioned as the number two mobile company challenging the incumbent by bringing services to the wider population. In Q3, e-PIN reloads grew by 30% vs. Q2 and e-PIN now represents 29% of total reloads.  VAS revenue for Q3 2008 grew 138% year-on-year, mainly driven by SMS traffic and premium contents and VAS now accounts for 7% of recurring revenue.  Broadband subscribers continue to grow strongly and were up 22% in the quarter.

Paraguay has, over several years, become the test bed for new ideas within Millicom and continues to perform strongly with subscribers up 42% year-on-year and 148 thousand net new subscriber additions in the quarter as it continues to keep a very high market share of 54%.  By rolling out 61 new sites in the quarter, Tigo is extending its advantage as having the best network coverage in the market.  The VAS and broadband businesses grew strongly and now represent over 30% of recurring revenues with the majority being VAS, but internet and broadband are becoming increasingly important and explain why the 3G launch in Paraguay has been so successful. In the month of October the local currency depreciated against the dollar in line with developments in neighbouring Brazil.
 
 
7



 
 
Quarterly YoY Growth
 
ARPU($)
 
Subscribers
Revenues
EBITDA
Q3 2008
36%
27%
21%
12.9
Q2 2008
42%
35%
25%
12.7
Q1 2008
43%
38%
30%
12.5
Q4 2007
36%
47%
54%
14.2
Q3 2007
42%
53%
76%
14.1


South American revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $759 million, an increase of 33% from the same period of 2007.  South American EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $251 million, an increase of 25% from the same period of 2007.

 
9M 2008
9M 2007 (i)
Change
Revenues
759m
571m
33%
EBITDA
251m
201m
25%
EBITDA margin
33%
35%
 
Capex
269m
224m
20%
ARPU
$12.9
$13.2
(2)%
(i)           Excludes discounted operations
 
 
8


Africa

With year-on-year revenue growth of 55% in Q3, Africa remains Millicom’s fastest growing region reflecting the increasing proportion of total Millicom capex that is being invested into the region in 2008.  In Q3, Africa grew subscribers by 86% year-on-year, adding nearly 1 million subscribers in the quarter.  The high growth that we are achieving in Africa is exciting for the company as, with 160 million people under license, Africa represents some 55% of Millicom’s potential market and the penetration is still low in all our markets with potential for high growth for many years to come. Africa accounted for 37% and 39% of quarterly year-on-year Group revenue and EBITDA growth respectively. In terms of subscribers, Tanzania, with net additions of 383 thousand was the strongest country in Q3, followed by DRC with 234 thousand additions, up from 198 thousand in Q2, which demonstrates that this market is beginning to develop real traction.  Both Ghana and Senegal reported lower net subscriber additions, at 151 thousand and 143 thousand respectively, as a result of these two economies slowing, but we continue to hold our market share.

Revenue growth for Africa at 55% was nevertheless slower than the previous three quarters as Africa felt the impact of the stronger dollar against the euro which affected the results in Senegal and Chad.  In addition, the fall in the Ghanaian cedi as the economy struggles, was reflected by the 9.7% quarter on quarter reduction in revenues in Ghana.  Despite this depreciation, the EBITDA margin for Ghana increased throughout the quarter as a result of improved cost control.  The currency weaknesses in these three markets were partially offset however by very strong performances in DRC and Tanzania with revenues for Q3 up by 113% and 74% year-on-year respectively.  In Tanzania revenues increased by 29% quarter on quarter which was a remarkable performance, reflecting the investment in the network.  Today Tigo is market leader in Dar es Salaam and is gaining substantial market share in the country as a whole.

In Q3, the EBITDA margin moved from 31% to 33% and we expect that we will be able to continue to grow the margin back to the Group average in the next few years.  This margin recovery is being driven by the improvement in our newer businesses which are a drag on overall margin rates.  The business in DRC has shown, over the last two quarters, that it is beginning to get close to having critical mass with 951 thousand subscribers and, on a quarterly basis, it is EBITDA positive for the first time, less than two years after the launch of Tigo in the country.  As we build scale in DRC this margin will improve, leaving only Sierra Leone with a negative margin.

Millicom continues to invest heavily in capex and marketing and promotion activities across Africa as it is important to establish a strong presence in terms of brand awareness, network and distribution at this early stage in mobile development when penetration rates are relatively low.  The benefits of this investment are starting to come through in all our markets and in Q3 this success is easy to see in Tanzania and DRC.  In some of our markets the macroeconomic situation has held back growth and while it is unclear today how the economic downturn in the western markets will impact Africa, this is a factor that we will have to manage carefully going forward, in order to continue to achieve profitable growth.  In Q3, the African region was characterized by extensive network expansion and a build-up of the necessary capacity to accommodate the projected growth in the subscriber base.  To this end, plans are in progress for fiber projects to increase transmission capacity and to bring better services to our customers.

We continue to believe that investment in network gives us a competitive advantage as we are able to promote voice and VAS services through the deployment of innovative pricing initiatives.  In September, per-second billing was launched in Chad, enhancing Tigo’s image as the best value operator in the market.  Tigo is now the market leader in terms of volume of minutes in Chad and has seen the same price elasticity as Millicom’s other markets following the launch of per-second billing.  In Q3 VAS revenue for Tanzania was up by an impressive 34% year-on-year.  Our “Extreme Value”, “all you can eat” voice package is accessed by daily subscriptions.  It utilizes spare network capacity and drives minutes of use while offering our customers excellent value.  Extreme has been used to good effect in our markets on the back of our network expansion and has resulted in a substantial increase in sales. In Tanzania, most competitors have now copied and launched their own version of this innovative value promotion. We are also continuing to work on distribution by introducing Territory Management in all our markets and trying to get the incentives more directly to the points of sale rather than through the sub-dealers, as this improves the responsiveness of dealers at street level and increases activity.

The heavy investment in DRC and Tanzania has seen a significant increase in subscribers and market share.  In Tanzania, as the number three operator we now have 25% market share, in Q3 we moved from
 
 
9
 

 
 
1.7 million to over 2 million subscribers and we are gaining ground on the two largest operators. In DRC with some 234 thousand net subscriber additions, we are beginning to build momentum in the business and today we have nearly 1 million subscribers.  The intake in Senegal of 143 thousand subscribers in Q3 was below the Q2 level but we continue to increase market share.  Ghana saw a slower quarter in terms of subscriber acquisitions and the results were impacted by exchange rates and the new tax regime from Q2.

New operators are entering the market in DRC and Ghana.  We have seen the arrival of Zain and the purchase of Ghana Telecom by Vodafone in Ghana, which will bring more competition into the market in 2009.  In Senegal, a third operator has entered the market and is expected to launch by the year-end, once its network is deployed. With the arrival of this operator, the Senegalese government has re-opened the longstanding issue dating back to 2002, on the status of our license in Senegal.  We are currently in negotiations with the Government, seeking to enhance the scope of our license.

In our Q2 report, we highlighted that inflation was a factor across our markets and that the rising prices of goods, in particular food, meant that consumers have less disposable income.  This continues to be the position today and, in this climate, affordability will be the key to continuing to win market share.  The strong country operations now benefit from an excellent team of people with experience in FMCG, relevant technical areas and the telecommunications industry.  With a keen focus on VAS, the networks and distribution, the team will push the evolution of the business in Africa and we continue to be optimistic that we can continue to deliver profitable growth in Africa.
 



 
 
10
 




 
Quarterly YoY Growth
 
ARPU ($)
 
Subscribers
Revenues
EBITDA
Q3 2008
86%
55%
85%
8.0
Q2 2008
92%
69%
66%
8.7
Q1 2008
72%
60%
33%
9.3
Q4 2007
66%
57%
34%
9.7
Q3 2007
44%
52%
8%
9.9

African revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $535 million, an increase of 61% from the same period of 2007. African EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $169 million, an increase of 60% from the same period of 2007.

 
9M 2008
9M 2007 (i)
Change
Revenues
535m
331m
61%
EBITDA
169m
106m
60%
EBITDA margin
32%
32%
 
Capex
386m
257m
50%
ARPU
$8.6
$9.5
(9)%
(i)           Excludes discounted operations
 
 
11
 

 
Asia

Asia has grown subscribers in Q3 at a rate of 52% year-on-year, which is higher than the rate in Q2 when we saw subscribers increase by 50% and today Millicom has nearly 4.0 million subscribers in Asia.  The reported numbers show revenues and EBITDA increasing by 34% and 17% respectively year-on-year and an EBITDA margin of 38% for the quarter which was affected by lower ARPU for Cambodia.

During the quarter we continued to increase our capex across the three businesses and this has enabled us to extend and upgrade our networks which will give us an important competitive advantage.

 In Cambodia we have aggressive capex plans for the year, mainly to be spent on coverage but also to add to capacity, and we are on track to complete this network investment.  This enhanced network coverage will improve our competitive position ahead of the expected launch by new operators who have recently entered the market.  However, in the short term Cambodia is being impacted by rising oil prices and the global inflation in food prices and this has clearly impacted the disposable income of middle and lower income consumers so that although revenues increased by 26% year-on-year in Q3, the business was no longer growing at the top line on a quarter on quarter basis.

Laos grew Q3 revenues by 91% year-on-year and today has some 200 thousand subscribers with strong growth in market share.  We continue to bring innovative pricing and services to the market and we have also expanded coverage, especially in the south of the country which provides strong growth opportunities.   The business is developing well with a successful gateway which today takes most of our traffic and we have launched a WiMAX business.  During the quarter we also participated strongly in flood relief efforts during the severe flooding on the Mekong in August and September, and donated to the government of Laos two school buildings which we had helped to rebuild.

Sri Lanka continued to perform strongly in Q3 with 201 thousand net new additions compared to 152 thousand in Q2 and revenues grew by 42% in Q3.  Tigo is gaining market share, adding three points in 12 months to reach to 27% in September 2008.  Sri Lanka continues to be a very competitive environment and Tigo has reacted to this competition by launching ‘All Incoming Free’ in October.  Just like per-second billing which was launched in October 2007, this is an industry first for prepaid customers and gives our customers the ability to stay connected in an affordable manner.  Such initiatives, which are relevant and meaningful to our customers, will enable Tigo to maintain its market share.

 
 
12






 
Quarterly YoY Growth
 
ARPU ($)
 
Subscribers
Revenues
EBITDA
Q3 2008
52%
34%
17%
7.4
Q2 2008
50%
38%
33%
8.1
Q1 2008
49%
49%
45%
8.7
Q4 2007
46%
43%
27%
8.4
Q3 2007
43%
30%
41%
8.4

Asian revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 were $196 million, an increase of 40% from the same period of 2007. Asian EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 was $77 million, an increase of 31% from the same period of 2007.

 
9M 2008
9M 2007 (i)
Change
Revenues
196m
140m
40%
EBITDA
77m
59m
31%
EBITDA margin
39%
42%
 
Capex
113m
58m
94%
ARPU
$8.1
$8.6
(6)%
(i)           Excludes discounted operations
 
 
13
 


Comments on the financial statements


The cancellation of the proposed redemption of the high yield bond led to an exceptional profit of $29 million, related to the reversal of the 5% premium for early repayment that had been booked last year.  Also Millicom booked foreign exchange losses in Q3 of $29 million, mainly in relation to the revaluation of debt in the operations.



Other information

The amounts in the consolidated statements of profit and loss for the quarters and nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007, the consolidated balance sheets as at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007, the condensed consolidated statements of cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 and the condensed consolidated changes in equity for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007 are determined based on the principles of International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).

This report is unaudited.

Millicom’s financial results for the fourth quarter of 2008 will be published on February 11, 2009.



LuxembourgOctober 21, 2008

Marc Beuls, President & Chief Executive Officer

Millicom International Cellular S.A
15 rue Léon Laval
L-3372 Leudelange
Luxembourg
Tel : +352 27 759 101
Registration number: R.C.S. Luxembourg B 40.630

Millicom International Cellular S.A. is a global telecommunications group with mobile telephony operations in 16 countries in Asia, Latin America and Africa. It also operates cable and broadband businesses in five countries in Central America.  The Group’s mobile operations have a combined population under license of approximately 291 million people.

This press release may contain certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to Millicom’s expectations and plans, strategy, management’s objectives, future performance, costs, revenues, earnings and other trend information.  It is important to note that Millicom’s actual results in the future could differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking statements depending on various important factors.  Please refer to the documents that Millicom has filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission under the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, including Millicom’s most recent annual report on Form 20-F, for a discussion of certain of these factors.

All forward-looking statements in this press release are based on information available to Millicom on the date hereof.  All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Millicom International Cellular S.A., any Millicom International Cellular S.A. employees or representatives acting on Millicom’s behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the factors referred to above. Millicom does not intend to update these forward-looking statements.

 
 
14
 


 
CONTACTS

Marc Beuls                                                                                                Telephone:  +352 27 759 327
President and Chief Executive Officer
Millicom International Cellular S.A., Luxembourg

Francois-Xavier Roger                                                                               Telephone:  +352 27 759 327
Chief Financial Officer
Millicom International Cellular S.A., Luxembourg

Andrew Best                                                                                              Telephone:  +44 (0)7798 576378
Investor Relations
Shared Value Ltd, London

Visit our web site at http://www.millicom.com


Conference call details

A conference call to discuss the results will be held at 14.00 London / 15.00 Stockholm / 09.00 New York, on Tuesday, October 21, 2008.  The dial-in numbers are: +44 (0)20 7806 1957, +46 (0)8 5352 6047 or +1 718 354 1389 and the pass code is 8917142#.  Please go to our website at www.millicom.com for a copy of the slides to be discussed during the call. A live audio stream of the conference call can also be accessed at www.millicom.com.  Please dial in / log on 5 minutes prior to the start of the conference call to allow time for registration.  A recording of the conference call will be available for 7 days after the conference call, commencing approximately 30 minutes after the live call has finished, on: +44 (0)20 7806 1970 / +46 (0)8 5876 9441 or +1 718 354 1112, access code: 8917142#.


Appendices

Consolidated statements of profit and loss for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007
Consolidated statements of profit and loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007
Consolidated balance sheets as at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007
Condensed consolidated statements of changes in equity for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007
Condensed consolidated statements of cash flows for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007
Quarterly analysis by cluster
Total subscribers and market position by country
 
 
15
 




Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Consolidated statements of profit and loss
for the three months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007

   
QTR ended
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
US$’000
   
QTR ended
September 30, 2007
(Unaudited)
US$’000
 
Revenues
    869,108       686,360  
Operating expenses
               
  Cost of sales (excluding depreciation and amortization)
    (217,103 )     (173,440 )
  Sales and marketing
    (177,033 )     (131,086 )
  General and administrative expenses
    (105,987 )     (85,854 )
EBITDA
    368,985       295,980  
  Corporate costs
    (19,639 )     (10,476 )
  Stock compensation
    (5,789 )     (4,524 )
  Loss on disposal/Write down of assets, net
    (90 )     (72 )
  Depreciation and amortization
    (135,692 )     (86,820 )
Operating profit
    207,775       194,088  
  Interest expense
    (14,207 )     (42,547 )
  Interest and other financial income
    6,427       16,316  
  Exchange (loss), gain, net
    (28,571 )     97  
  Profit from associated companies
    2,643       1,200  
Profit before taxes from continuing operations
    174,067       169,154  
  Taxes
    (30,553 )     (34,637 )
Profit before discontinued operations and minority interest
    143,514       134,517  
  Result from discontinued operations
    -       (233 )
  Minority interest
    17,781       3,347  
Net profit for the period
    161,295       137,631  
Basic earnings per common share (US$)
    1.49       1.36  
Weighted average number of shares outstanding in the period (‘000)
    108,254       100,981  
Profit for the period used to determine diluted earnings per common share
    161,295       141,843  
Diluted earnings per common share (US$)
    1.49       1.31  
Weighted average number of shares and potential dilutive shares outstanding in the period (‘000)
    108,453       108,037  
 
 
16
 

 

 
Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Consolidated statements of profit and loss
for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007

   
9M ended
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
US$’000
   
9M ended
September 30, 2007
(Unaudited)
US$’000
 
Revenues
    2,512,320       1,862,411  
Operating expenses
               
  Cost of sales (excluding depreciation and amortization)
    (626,842 )     (488,459 )
  Sales and marketing
    (517,850 )     (330,006 )
  General and administrative expenses
    (310,126 )     (237,388 )
EBITDA
    1,057,502       806,558  
  Corporate costs
    (44,393 )     (32,620 )
  Stock compensation
    (19,906 )     (14,695 )
  Loss on disposal/Write down of assets, net
    (2,269 )     (706 )
  Depreciation and amortization
    (370,196 )     (249,518 )
Operating profit
    620,738       509,019  
  Interest expense
    (100,293 )     (121,951 )
  Interest and other financial income
    25,953       42,006  
  Exchange (loss), gain, net
    (19,917 )     337  
  Profit from associated companies
    6,771       2,981  
Profit before taxes from continuing operations
    533,252       432,392  
  Taxes
    (137,164 )     (122,261 )
Profit before discontinued operations and minority interest
    396,088       310,131  
  Gain on sale from discontinued operations
    -       258,346  
  Result from discontinued operations
    -       273  
  Minority interest
    55,250       15,646  
Net profit for the period
    451,338       584,396  
Basic earnings per common share (US$)
    4.19       5.79  
Weighted average number of shares outstanding in the period (‘000)
    107,726       100,869  
Profit for the period used to determine diluted earnings per common share
    452,098       596,832  
Diluted earnings per common share (US$)
    4.17       5.53  
Weighted average number of shares and potential dilutive shares outstanding in the period (‘000)
    108,439       107,945  
 
 
17
 

 
 
Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Consolidated balance sheets
as at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007

   
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
US$’000
   
December 31, 2007
 
US$’000
 
Assets
           
Non-current assets
           
  Intangible assets, net
    412,764       467,502  
  Property, plant and equipment, net
    2,654,190       2,066,122  
  Investments in associates
    18,098       11,234  
  Deferred taxation
    102,524       97,544  
  Other non current assets
    14,887       19,855  
Total non-current assets
    3,202,463       2,662,257  
Current assets
               
  Inventories
    74,864       82,893  
  Trade receivables, net
    242,180       223,579  
  Amounts due from joint venture partners
    34,496       65,348  
  Prepayments and accrued income
    85,048       71,175  
  Current tax assets
    20,846       8,982  
  Supplier advances for capital expenditure
    140,379       76,514  
  Other current assets
    52,806       48,481  
  Cash and cash equivalents
    1,001,389       1,174,597  
Total current assets
    1,652,008       1,751,569  
Total assets
    4,854,471       4,413,826  

 
 
18
 


 
Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Consolidated balance sheets
as at September 30, 2008 and December 31, 2007

   
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
US$’000
   
December 31, 2007
 
US$’000
 
Equity and liabilities
           
Equity
           
  Share capital and premium (represented by 108,295,288 shares at September 30, 2008)
    642,481       417,352  
  Other reserves
    27,899       45,557  
  Accumulated profits brought forward
    565,032       127,856  
  Net profit for the period/year
    451,338       697,142  
      1,686,750       1,287,907  
  Minority interest
    26,506       80,429  
Total equity
    1,713,256       1,368,336  
Liabilities
               
Non-current liabilities
               
  Debt and other financing:
               
     10% Senior Notes
    453,235        
     Other debt and financing
    1,099,618       945,206  
  Other non-current liabilities
    63,433       55,601  
  Deferred taxation
    47,654       42,414  
Total non-current liabilities
    1,663,940       1,043,221  
Current liabilities
               
  Debt and other financing:
               
     10% Senior Notes
          479,826  
     4% Convertible Notes – Debt component
          178,940  
     Other debt and financing
    274,057       230,319  
  Capex accruals and payables
    527,444       460,533  
  Other trade payables
    256,135       238,252  
  Amounts due to joint venture partners
    25,983       60,914  
  Accrued interest and other expenses
    163,796       128,426  
  Current tax liabilities
    62,363       82,028  
  Other current liabilities
    167,497       143,031  
Total current liabilities
    1,477,275       2,002,269  
Total liabilities
    3,141,215       3,045,490  
Total equity and liabilities
    4,854,471       4,413,826  
 
 
19
 



Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Condensed consolidated statements of changes in equity
for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007

   
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
US$’000
   
September 30, 2007
(Unaudited)
US$’000
 
Equity as at January 1
    1,368,336       582,388  
Profit for the period
    451,338       584,396  
Dividends paid to shareholders
    (259,704 )      
Stock compensation
    19,906       14,695  
Shares issued via the exercise of stock options
    3,160       6,781  
Shares issued via the payment of bonuses
          1,000  
Shares issued under the matching plan
    1,039        
Conversion of 4% Convertible Bonds
    175,179        
Movement in currency translation reserve
    7,925       13,484  
Minority interest
    (53,923 )     (28,008 )
Equity as at September 30
    1,713,256       1,174,736  
 
 
20
 



Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Condensed consolidated statements of cash flows
for the nine months ended September 30, 2008 and 2007

   
September 30, 2008
(Unaudited)
US$’000
   
September 30, 2007
(Unaudited)
US$’000
 
EBITDA
    1,057,502       806,558  
Corporate costs
    (44,393 )     (32,620 )
Movements in working capital
    7,876       41,688  
      1,020,985       815,626  
Interest expense paid, net
    (70,903 )     (68,453 )
Taxes paid
    (175,393 )     (128,291 )
Net cash provided by operating activities
    774,689       618,882  
Cash used by investing activities
    (912,707 )     (561,660 )
Cash (used) provided by financing activities
    (39,932 )     77,255  
Net cash from continuing operations
    (177,950 )     134,477  
Cash provided by discontinued operations
          260,904  
Cash effect of exchange rate changes
    4,742       5,798  
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
    (173,208 )     401,179  
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning
    1,174,597       656,692  
Cash and cash equivalents, ending
    1,001,389       1,057,871  

 
 
21
 




Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Quarterly analysis by cluster
(Unaudited)

      Q3 08       Q2 08       Q1 08       Q4 07       Q3 07    
Increase
Q3 07 to Q3 08
 
Revenues (US$’000) (i)
                                             
Central America
    339,773       342,039       340,127       329,214       300,159       13 %
South America
    273,418       254,104       231,626       239,253       214,795       27 %
Africa
    189,226       180,288       165,573       145,223       121,726       55 %
Asia (i)
    66,691       66,078       63,377       54,513       49,680       34 %
Total Revenues
    869,108       842,509       800,703       768,203       686,360       27 %
                                                 
                                                 
EBITDA (US$’000) (i)
                                               
Central America
    184,876       187,521       187,374       167,707       161,061       15 %
South America
    96,596       82,227       72,441       75,253       79,827       21 %
Africa
    62,452       55,253       51,311       43,969       33,676       85 %
Asia (i)
    25,061       27,084       25,306       20,371       21,416       17 %
Total EBITDA
    368,985       352,085       336,432       307,300       295,980       25 %
                                                 
                                                 
Total mobile subs at end of period (i)
                                               
Central America
    10,846,076       10,276,014       9,787,361       8,824,924       7,404,211       46 %
South America
    7,191,863       6,912,109       6,463,658       5,892,726       5,304,712       36 %
Africa
    8,568,926       7,579,792       6,549,881       5,672,177       4,618,204       86 %
Asia
    3,980,685       3,682,809       3,383,189       2,964,738       2,624,547       52 %
Total
    30,587,550       28,450,724       26,184,089       23,354,565       19,951,674       53 %
                                                 
Attributable mobile subs at end of period (i)
                                               
Central America
    7,552,128       7,136,452       6,862,247       6,192,972       5,214,233       45 %
South America
    7,191,863       6,912,109       6,463,658       5,892,726       5,304,712       36 %
Africa
    8,370,749       7,393,179       6,359,975       5,489,668       4,443,865       88 %
Asia
    3,124,713       2,854,691       2,606,196       2,277,649       2,027,815       54 %
Total
    26,239,453       24,296,431       22,292,076       19,853,015       16,990,625       54 %

(i)           Excludes discontinued operations
 
 
22
 


 
Millicom International Cellular S.A.

Total subscribers and market position by country
(Unaudited)

Country
 
Equity Holding
   
Country Population (million)
(i)
 
MIC Market Position (ii)
 
Total subscribers (iii)
 
                    Q3 08       Q3 07    
y-o-y Growth
 
Central America
                                   
El Salvador
    100.0 %     7  
1 of 5
    2,455,389       1,910,102       29 %
Guatemala
    55.0 %     13  
1 of 3
    4,260,451       3,073,786       39 %
Honduras
    66.7 %     8  
1 of 3
    4,130,236       2,420,323       71 %
                                           
South America
                                         
Bolivia
    100.0 %     9  
2 of 3
    1,312,851       963,129       36 %
Colombia
 
50.0%+1share
      45  
3 of 3
    3,275,605       2,502,848       31 %
Paraguay
    100.0 %     7  
1 of 4
    2,603,407       1,838,735       42 %
                                           
Africa
                                         
Chad
    87.5 %     10  
2 of 2
    442,313       283,107       56 %
DRC
    100.0 %     67  
3 of 5
    951,487       395,527       141 %
Ghana
    100.0 %     23  
2 of 4
    2,741,122       1,505,460       82 %
Mauritius
    50.0 %     1  
2 of 3
    396,355       348,678       14 %
Senegal
    100.0 %     13  
2 of 2
    1,821,713       991,776       84 %
Sierra Leone
    100.0 %     6  
4 of 5
    131,058       101,530       29 %
Tanzania
    100.0 %     40  
3 of 5
    2,084,878       992,126       110 %
                                           
Asia
                                         
Cambodia
    58.4 %     14  
1 of 5
    2,058,861       1,435,312       43 %
Laos
    74.1 %     7  
2 of 4
    199,281       99,268       101 %
Sri Lanka
    100.0 %     21  
2 of 4
    1,722,543       1,089,967       58 %
                                           
Total subscribers
                      30,587,550       19,951,674       53 %
___________________________________

(i)           Source: CIA The World Fact Book
(ii)           Source: Millicom.  Market position derived from active subscribers based on interconnect
(iii)
Millicom has a policy of reporting only those subscribers that have generated revenues within a period of 60 days, or in the case of new subscribers only those that have already started generating revenues
 
 
 
 
23