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Subsequent events
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Subsequent Events  
Subsequent events

 

37.Subsequent events

Leniency Agreement

On January 16, 2023, Petrobras received the amount of US$ 87 (R$ 456 million), recovered through a leniency agreement of the company UOP LLC – a subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc. – entered into with General Federal Inspector’s Office (CGU - Controladoria Geral da União) and the Federal Attorney General's Office (AGU – Advocacia Geral da União).

Receipt of the earn out relating to Atapu and Sépia fields

In January 2023, Petrobras received the entire amount of US$ 384 (R$ 2,007 million), of the earn out related to 2022, from the partners in Atapu and Sépia fields, including gross up of taxes, as follows:

·US$ 258 (R$1,347 million) relating to the interest held by TotalEnergies (28%), Petronas Petróleo Brasil Ltda (21%) and QatarEnergy Brasil Ltda (21%), in the Sépia field;
·US$ 126 (R$ 660 million) relating to the interest held by TotalEnergies (22.5%) and the interest of Shell (25%), in the Atapu field.

For more information, see note 24.

Sale of the Albacora Leste field

On January 26, 2023, after fulfilling all the conditions precedent, Petrobras concluded the sale of its entire interest in Albacora Leste producing field, located in the Campos Basin, to the company Petro Rio Jaguar Petróleo LTDA (PetroRio), a subsidiary of Petro Rio S.A.

The transaction was closed with the receipt, in cash, of US$ 1,635, including price adjustments provided for in the contract.

With this closing, PetroRio becomes the operator of this field, with a 90% interest, in partnership with Repsol Sinopec Brasil, which holds the remaining 10%.

For more information, see note 30.

Receipt of the earn out relating to Baúna field

On January 30, 2023, Petrobras received US$ 84, including price adjustments provided for in the contract, from Karoon Petróleo & Gás Ltda (Karoon), a subsidiary of Karoon Energy Ltd, as a contingent payment related to Brent prices of 2022.

This receipt is in accordance with the terms of the agreement signed by the companies in 2020, relating to the sale of Petrobras' entire interest in Baúna field (concession area BM-S-40). The other contingent payments may be received by Petrobras until 2026, depending on Brent prices in future years.

Results on judgments of the Administrative Board of Tax Appeals (Conselho Administrativo de Recursos Fiscais - CARF)

i.On February 1, 2023, the First Panel of the Superior Chamber of Tax Appeals (CSRF), a member of the CARF, dismissed the appeals filed by the Company and decided that Petrobras owed income taxes (IRPJ and CSLL) on subsidiary abroad relating to 2011 and 2012. This decision was taken by exercising the casting vote of the President of the Class, based on Provisional Measure no. 1160/2023, after a tie between the judges. With this decision, tax debts amounting to US$ 1,092 (R$ 5,700) became final at administrative level. Accordingly, after the end of the administrative process, the Company will adopt the appropriate measures.
ii.On March 14, 2023, the Third Panel of the CSRF, by majority, dismissed the special appeals filed by the Company, understanding that CIDE and PIS/COFINS over Imports, related to vessel charter payments to legal entities abroad in 2010 (PIS/COFINS), 2011 (CIDE) and 2013 (CIDE, PIS/COFINS). With this decision, tax debts of US$ 3.5 billion (R$ 18 billion) became final at administrative level. Accordingly, after the end of the administrative process, the Company will adopt the appropriate measures.

The expectation of loss in these contingencies is deemed possible (see note 18). These decisions do not trigger any provisioning in the Company's financial statements.

 

Supplementary information on Oil and Gas Exploration and Production (unaudited)

In accordance with Codification Topic 932 - Extractive Activities – Oil and Gas, this section provides supplemental information on oil and gas exploration and production activities of the Company. The information included in items (i) through (iii) provides historical cost information pertaining to costs incurred in exploration, property acquisition and development, capitalized costs and results of operations. The information included in items (iv) and (v) presents information on Petrobras’ estimated net proved reserve quantities, standardized measure of estimated discounted future net cash flows related to proven reserves, and changes in estimated discounted future net cash flows.

The Company, on December 31, 2022, maintains activities mainly in Brazil, in addition to activities in Argentina, Colombia and Bolivia, in South America. The equity-accounted investments are comprised of the operations of the joint venture company MP Gulf of Mexico, LLC (MPGoM), in which Murphy Exploration & Production Company ("Murphy" ) has 80% stake and Petrobras America Inc ("PAI") 20% stake in United States of America, North America. The Company reports its reserves in Brazil, United States of America and Argentina. Bolivian reserves are not included due to restrictions determined by Bolivian Constitution. In Colombia, our activities are exploratory, and therefore, there are no associated reserves.

i) Capitalized costs relating to oil and gas producing activities

As set out in note 26, the Company uses the successful efforts method of accounting for appraisal and development costs of crude oil and natural gas production. In addition, notes 23 and 24 presents the accounting policies applied by the Company for recognition, measurement and disclosure of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets.

The following table summarizes capitalized costs for oil and gas exploration and production activities with the related accumulated depreciation, depletion and amortization, and asset retirement obligations:

   
  Consolidated entities  
    Abroad  

Equity

Method

Investees

  Brazil

South

America

Others Total Total
December 31, 2022            
Unproved oil and gas properties 4,227 55 55 4,282
Proved oil and gas properties 83,030 205 205 83,235 762
Support Equipment 69,735 732 1 733 70,468
Gross Capitalized costs 156,993 992 1 993 157,986 762
Depreciation, depletion and amortization (52,836) (769) (1) (770) (53,606) (224)
Net capitalized costs 104,156 223 223 104,380 538
December 31, 2021            
Unproved oil and gas properties 4,455 115 - 115 4,570 -
Proved oil and gas properties 80,523 172 - 172 80,695 832
Support Equipment 67,988 777 1 778 68,766 -
Gross Capitalized costs 152,967 1,064 1 1,065 154,032 832
Depreciation, depletion and amortization (51,621) (733) (1) (734) (52,355) (296)
Net capitalized costs 101,345 331 - 331 101,677 536
December 31, 2020            
Unproved oil and gas properties 17,438 112 - 112 17,550 -
Proved oil and gas properties 61,857 140 - 140 61,997 792
Support Equipment 73,199 761 1 762 73,961 -
Gross Capitalized costs 152,494 1,013 1 1,014 153,508 792
Depreciation, depletion and amortization (43,008) (687) (1) (688) (43,696) (316)
Net capitalized costs 109,486 326 - 326 109,812 476

 

 

ii) Costs incurred in oil and gas property acquisition, exploration and development activities

Costs incurred are summarized below and include both amounts expensed and capitalized:

  Consolidated entities  
    Abroad  

Equity

Method

Investees

  Brazil

South

America

Total Total
December 31, 2022          
Acquisition costs:          
Proved
Unproved 892 892
Exploration costs 707 51 51 758 1
Development costs 6,883 31 31 6,914 30
Total 8,482 82 82 8,564 31
December 31, 2021          
Acquisition costs:          
Proved
Unproved
Exploration costs 682 5 5 687
Development costs 6,035 44 44 6,079 37
Total 6,717 49 49 6,766 37
December 31, 2020          
Acquisition costs:          
Proved 315 315
Unproved 24 24
Exploration costs 805 10 10 815
Development costs 5,664 3 3 5,667 57
Total 6,808 13 13 6,821 57

 

(iii) Results of operations for oil and gas producing activities

The Company’s results of operations from oil and gas producing activities for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020 are shown in the following table. The Company transfers substantially all of its Brazilian crude oil and gas production to the Refining, Transportation & Marketing segment in Brazil. The internal transfer prices calculated by the Company’s model may not be indicative of the price the Company would have realized had this production been sold in an unregulated spot market. Additionally, the prices calculated by the Company’s model may not be indicative of the future prices to be realized by the Company. Gas prices used are those set out in contracts with third parties.

Production costs are lifting costs incurred to operate and maintain productive wells and related equipment and facilities, including operating employees’ compensation, materials, supplies, fuel consumed in operations and operating costs related to natural gas processing plants.

Exploration expenses include the costs of geological and geophysical activities and projects without economic feasibility. Depreciation and amortization expenses relate to assets employed in exploration and development activities. In accordance with Codification Topic 932 – Extractive Activities – Oil and Gas, income taxes are based on statutory tax rates, reflecting allowable deductions. Interest income and expense are excluded from the results reported in this table.

 

   
  Consolidated entities  
    Abroad  

Equity

Method

Investees

  Brazil

South

America

North

America

Others Total Total
December 31, 2022              
Net operation revenues:              
Sales to third parties 1,153 158 158 1,311 275
Intersegment 76,579 76,579
  77,732 158 158 77,890 275
Production costs (19,975) (75) (75) (20,050) (41)
Exploration expenses (719) (168) (168) (887)
Depreciation, depletion and amortization (10,373) (42) (42) (10,415) (42)
Impairment of oil and gas properties (1,216) (2) (2) (1,218)
Other operating expenses 3,000 (1) (8) 21 12 3,012 (22)
Results before income tax expenses 48,449 (130) (8) 21 (117) 48,332 170
Income tax expenses (16,474) 44 (3) 41 (16,433)

Results of operations (excluding corporate

overhead and interest costs)

31,975 (86) (8) 19 (76) 31,899 170
December 31, 2021              
Net operation revenues:              
Sales to third parties 974 131 131 1,105 220
Intersegment 54,479 54,479
  55,453 131 131 55,584 220
Production costs (14,601) (67) (67) (14,668) (44)
Exploration expenses (685) (2) (2) (687)
Depreciation, depletion and amortization (8,959) (46) (46) (9,005) (38)
Impairment of oil and gas properties 3,107 3,107
Other operating expenses 809 15 114 (118) 11 820 (17)
Results before income tax expenses 35,124 31 114 (118) 27 35,151 121
Income tax expenses (11,984) (11) 43 33 (11,951)

Results of operations (excluding corporate

overhead and interest costs)

23,141 20 114 (75) 59 23,200 121
December 31, 2020              
Net operation revenues:              
Sales to third parties 763 108 108 871 148
Intersegment 33,524 33,524
  34,287 108 108 34,395 148
Production costs (9,378) (59) (59) (9,437) (54)
Exploration expenses (796) (7) (7) (803)
Depreciation, depletion and amortization (8,611) (50) (50) (8,661) (57)
Impairment of oil and gas properties (7,364) (7,364)
Other operating expenses (825) (2) (167) (26) (195) (1,020) (158)
Results before income tax expenses 7,313 (10) (167) (26) (203) 7,110 (121)
Income tax expenses (2,486) 3 57 9 69 (2,417) 41

Results of operations (excluding corporate

overhead and interest costs)

4,827 (7) (110) (17) (134) 4,693 (80)

 

 

(iv) Reserve quantities information

As presented in note 4.1, proved oil and gas reserves are those quantities of oil and gas, which, by analysis of geoscience and engineering data, can be estimated with reasonable certainty to be economically producible from a given date forward, from known reservoirs, and under existing economic conditions, operating methods, and government regulations – prior to the time at which contracts providing the right to operate expire, unless evidence indicates that renewal is reasonably certain. The project to extract the hydrocarbons must have commenced or there must be reasonable certainty that the project will commence within a reasonable time. Reserves estimate involves a high degree of judgment and complexity and its application affects different items of these Financial Statements.

The Company’s estimated net proved oil and gas reserves and changes thereto for the years 2022, 2021 and 2020 are presented in the following table. Proved reserves are estimated in accordance with the reserve definitions prescribed by the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Proved developed oil and gas reserves are proved reserves that can be expected to be recovered: (i) through existing wells with existing equipment and operating methods or in which the cost of the required equipment is relatively minor compared to the cost of a new well; and (ii) through installed extraction equipment and infrastructure operational at the time of the reserves estimate if the extraction is done by means not involving a well.

Proved reserves for which substantial new investments in additional wells and related facilities will be required are named proved undeveloped reserves.

Reserve estimates are subject to variations due to technical uncertainties in the reservoir and changes in economic scenarios. A summary of the annual changes in the proved reserves of oil is as follows (in millions of barrels):

         
  Consolidated Entities   Equity Method Investees    
Proved developed and undeveloped reserves(*) Crude oil in Brazil

Crude Oil in South

America

Synthetic Oil in Brazil Consolidated Total  

Crude Oil in North

America

Crude Oil in Africa   Total
Reserves at December 31, 2019 8,083 1 8 8,092   23 42   8,156
Revisions of previous estimates 269 (1) (7) 261     261
Extensions and discoveries 35 35     35
Improved Recovery    
Sales of reserves (61) (61)   (41)   (102)
Purchases of reserves    
Production for the year (792) (1) (793)   (4) (1)   (798)
Reserves at December 31, 2020 7,534 7,534   18   7,552
Extensions and discoveries    
Revisions of previous estimates 1,654 2 11 1,667   1   1,668
Sales of reserves (9) (9)     (9)
Production for the year (773) (1) (774)   (3)   (777)
Reserves at December 31, 2021 8,406 2 10 8,419   17   8,435
Revisions of previous estimates 1,705 1,705   3   1,708
Sales of reserves (1) (455) (10) (465)   (1)   (465)
Production for the year (748) (1) (749)   (3)   (752)
Reserves at December 31, 2022 8,908 2 8,910   16   8,926
(1) Includes the effects of the write-offs related to the Co-Participation Agreements of Atapu and Sepia fields
(*) Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

 

A summary of the annual changes in the proved reserves of natural gas is as follows (in billions of cubic feet):

         
  Consolidated Entities   Equity Method Investees    
Proved developed and undeveloped reserves (*) Natural Gas in Brazil

Natural Gas in South

America

Synthetic Gas in Brazil Consolidated Total  

Gas Natural in North

America

Gas Natural in Africa   Total
Reserves at December 31, 2019 8,381 156 12 8,549   9 47   8,605
Revisions of previous estimates (93) (119) (11) (222)     (222)
Extensions and discoveries 36 36     36
Improved Recovery    
Sales of reserves (42) (42)   (47)   (90)
Purchases of reserves

 

   
Production for the year (735) (12) (1) (749)   (2)   (750)
Reserves at December 31, 2020 7,547 26 7,572   8   7,580
Extensions and discoveries    
Revisions of previous estimates 1,615 167 19 1,802     1,802
Sales of reserves (15) (15)     (15)
Production for the year (692) (16) (1) (709)   (1)   (710)
Reserves at December 31, 2021 8,455 177 18 8,650   7   8,657
Revisions of previous estimates 1,667 16 1,682     1,682
Sales of reserves (1) (408) (17) (425)   (1)   (425)
Production for the year (626) (20) (1) (647)   (1)   (648)
Reserves at December 31, 2022 9,088 173 9,261   6   9,267
(1) Includes the effects of the write-offs related to the Co-Participation Agreements of Atapu and Sepia fields
(*) Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

Natural gas production volumes used in these tables are the net volumes withdrawn from our proved reserves, including gas consumed in operations and excluding reinjected gas. Our disclosure of proved gas reserves includes gas consumed in operations, which represent 37% of our total proved reserves of natural gas as of December 31, 2022.

 

The tables below summarize information about the changes in total proved reserves of crude oil and natural gas, in millions of barrels of oil equivalent, in our consolidated entities and equity method investees for 2022, 2021 and 2020:

Summary of information about the changes in total proved reserves of crude oil and natural gas, in millions of barrels of oil equivalent, in our consolidated entities and equity method          
  Consolidated Entities   Equity Method Investees    
Proved developed and undeveloped reserves(*) Oil equivalent in Brazil

Oil equivalent in South

America

Synthetic Oil in Brazil Consolidated Total  

Oil equivalent in North

America

Oil equivalent in Africa   Total
Reserves at December 31, 2019 9,480 27 10 9,517   24 49   9,590
Revisions of previous estimates 253 (21) (9) 224     224
Extensions and discoveries 41 41     41
Improved Recovery    
Sales of reserves (68) (68)   (49)   (117)
Purchases of reserves    
Production for the year (914) (2) (1) (918)   (5) (1)   (923)
Reserves at December 31, 2020 8,792 5 8,796   19   8,816
Extensions and discoveries   1   1
Revisions of previous estimates 1,923 30 14 1,967   2   1,969
Sales of reserves (11) (11)     (11)
Production for the year (888) (3) (1) (892)   (3)   (896)
Reserves at December 31, 2021 9,816 31 13 9,860   18   9,878
Revisions of previous estimates 1,983 3 1,986   3   1,988
Sales of reserves (1) (523) (12) (536)   (1)   (536)
Production for the year (852) (4) (1) (857)   (3)   (860)
Reserves at December 31, 2022 10,423 31 10,453   17   10,470
(1) Includes the effects of the write-offs related to the Co-Participation Agreements of Atapu and Sepia fields
(*) Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

In 2022, we incorporated 1,988 million boe of proved reserves by revising previous estimates, including:

(i) addition of 1,279 million boe due to new projects, mainly in Búzios field and in other fields in the Santos and Campos Basins; and

(ii) addition of 709 million boe arising from other revisions, mainly due to good performance of reservoirs in the pre-salt layer of Santos Basin and to the contract term extension of Rio Urucu and Leste do Urucu fields.

We did not have relevant changes related to the variation in the oil price.

The addition in our proved reserves were partially offset by the reduction of 536 million boe, due to the effects of the transfer of interests of 5% of the Surplus Volume of the Transfer of Rights of Búzios field, of the write-offs related to the Co-Participation Agreements of Atapu and Sepia fields and of sales of properties in mature fields.

The company's total proved reserve resulted in 10,470 million boe in 2022, considering the variations above and the reduction from 2022 production of 860 million boe. Production refers to volumes that were previously included in our reserves and, therefore, does not consider natural gas liquids, since the reserve is estimated at a reference point prior to gas processing, except in the United States and Argentina. The production also does not consider volumes of injected gas, the production of Extended Well Tests in exploratory blocks and production in Bolivia, since the Bolivian Constitution does not allow the disclosure of reserves.

In 2021, we incorporated 1,969 million boe of proved reserves by revising previous estimates, including:

(i) addition of 1,376 million boe due to new projects, mainly in Búzios field and in other fields in the Santos and Campos Basins. The new projects in Búzios field were made possible due to the acquisition of the Transfer of Rights Surplus and the approval of Búzios Coparticipation Agreement;

(ii) addition of 429 million boe related to economic revisions, mainly due to the increase in oil prices; and

(iii) addition of 164 million boe arising from technical revisions, mainly due to good performance and increased production experience in reservoirs in the pre-salt layer of Santos Basin.

The additions in our proved reserves were partially offset by the reduction of 11 million boe due to sales of proved reserves.

The company's total proved reserve resulted in 9,878 million boe in 2021, considering the variations above and the reduction from 2021 production of 896 million boe. Production refers to volumes that were previously included in our reserves and, therefore, does not consider natural gas liquids, since the reserve is estimated at a reference point prior to gas processing, except in the United States and Argentina. The production also does not consider volumes of injected gas, the production of Extended Well Tests in exploratory blocks and production in Bolivia, since the Bolivian Constitution does not allow the disclosure of reserves.

In 2020, we incorporated 224 million boe of proved reserves by revising previous estimates, including:

(i) addition of 637 million boe arising from technical revisions, mainly due to good performance and increased production experience in reservoirs in the pre-salt layer of Santos Basin;

(ii) addition of 254 million boe due to approvals of new projects in the Santos and Campos Basins; and

(iii) reduction of 667 million boe related to economic revisions, mainly due to the decrease in oil prices.

In addition, we added 41 million boe to our proved reserves due to extensions and discoveries in the pre-salt of Santos Basin, and reduced 117 million boe due to sales of proved reserves.

The company's total proved reserve resulted in 8,816 million boe in 2020, considering the variations above and the reduction from 2020 production of 923 million boe. Production refers to volumes that were previously included in our reserves and, therefore, does not consider natural gas liquids, since the reserve is estimated at a reference point prior to gas processing, except in the United States and Argentina. The production also does not consider volumes of injected gas, the production of Extended Well Tests in exploratory blocks and production in Bolivia, since the Bolivian Constitution does not allow the disclosure of reserves.

 

The tables below present the volumes of proved developed and undeveloped reserves, net, that is, reflecting Petrobras' participation:

 

 
  2020
  Crude Oil Synthetic Oil Natural Gas Synthetic Gas Total oil and gas
  (mmbbl) (bncf) (mmboe)
Net proved developed reserves  (*):          
Consolidated Entities          
Brazil 4,858 5,714 5,810
South America, outside Brazil (1) 26 5
Total Consolidated Entities 4,858 5,740 5,814
Equity Method Investees          
North  America (1) 17 7 18
Total Equity Method Investees 17 7 18
Total Consolidated and Equity Method Investees 4,875 5,747 5,833
Net proved undeveloped reserves  (*):          
Consolidated Entities          
Brazil 2,676 1,833 2,982
South America, outside Brazil (1)
Total Consolidated Entities 2,676 1,833 2,982
Equity Method Investees          
North  America (1) 1 1 1
Total Equity Method Investees 1 1 1
Total Consolidated and Equity Method Investees 2,678 1,833 2,983
Total proved reserves (developed and undeveloped) 7,552 7,580 8,816
(1) South America oil reserves includes 21% of natural gas liquid (NGL) in proved developed reserves. North America oil reserves includes 6% of natural gas liquid (NGL) in proved developed reserves and 5% of NGL in proved undeveloped reserves.
(*) Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

  2021
  Crude Oil Synthetic Oil Natural Gas Synthetic Gas Total oil and gas
  (mmbbl) (bncf) (mmboe)
Net proved developed reserves  (*):          
Consolidated Entities          
Brazil 4,711 10 5,591 18 5,656
South America, outside Brazil (1) 1 79 14
Total Consolidated Entities 4,712 10 5,669 18 5,670
Equity Method Investees          
North  America (1) 15 6 16
Total Equity Method Investees 15 6 16
Total Consolidated and Equity Method Investees 4,727 10 5,675 18 5,686
Net proved undeveloped reserves  (*):          
Consolidated Entities          
Brazil 3,695 2,865 4,173
South America, outside Brazil (1) 1 98 17
Total Consolidated Entities 3,696 2,963 4,190
Equity Method Investees          
North  America (1) 2 1 2
Total Equity Method Investees 2 1 2
Total Consolidated and Equity Method Investees 3,698 2,964 4,192
Total proved reserves (developed and undeveloped) 8,425 10 8,639 18 9,878
(1) South America oil reserves includes 24% of natural gas liquid (NGL) in proved developed reserves and 24% of NGL in proved undeveloped reserves. North America oil reserves includes 2% of natural gas liquid (NGL) in proved developed reserves and 3% of NGL in proved undeveloped reserves.
(*) Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

 

 

  2022
  Crude Oil Synthetic Oil Natural Gas Synthetic Gas Total oil and gas
  (mmbbl) (bncf) (mmboe)
Net proved developed reserves  (*):          
Consolidated Entities          
Brazil 4,185 5,447 5,093
South America, outside Brazil (1) 1 91 16
Total Consolidated Entities 4,186 5,538 5,109
Equity Method Investees          
North  America (1) 14 5 15
Total Equity Method Investees 14 5 15
Total Consolidated and Equity Method Investees 4,200 5,543 5,124
Net proved undeveloped reserves  (*):          
Consolidated Entities          
Brazil 4,723 3,641 5,330
South America, outside Brazil (1) 1 82 14
Total Consolidated Entities 4,724 3,723 5,345
Equity Method Investees          
North  America (1) 2 1 2
Total Equity Method Investees 2 1 2
Total Consolidated and Equity Method Investees 4,726 3,724 5,347
Total proved reserves (developed and undeveloped) 8,926 9,267 10,470
(1) South America oil reserves includes 24% of natural gas liquid (NGL) in proved developed reserves and 24% of NGL in proved undeveloped reserves. North America oil reserves includes 2% of natural gas liquid (NGL) in proved developed reserves and 4% of NGL in proved undeveloped reserves.
(*) Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off

 

 

(v) Standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows relating to proved oil and gas quantities and changes therein

The standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows, related to the above proved oil and gas reserves, is calculated in accordance with the requirements of Codification Topic 932 – Extractive Activities – Oil and Gas.

Estimated future cash inflows from production in Brazil are computed by applying the average price during the 12-month period prior to the ending date of the period covered by the report, determined as an unweighted arithmetic average of the first-day-of-the-month price for each month within such period, unless prices are defined by contractual arrangements, excluding escalations based upon future conditions. Future price changes are limited to those provided by contractual arrangements existing at the end of each reporting year. Future development and production costs are those estimated future expenditures necessary to develop and produce year-end estimated proved reserves based on current costs, including abandonment costs, assuming continuing economic conditions. Estimated future income taxes (including future social contributions on net income - CSLL) are calculated by applying appropriate year-end statutory tax rates. The amounts presented as future income taxes expenses reflect allowable deductions considering statutory tax rates. Discounted future net cash flows are calculated using 10% mid-period discount factors. This discounting requires a year-by-year estimate of when the future expenditures will be incurred and when the reserves will be produced.

The valuation prescribed under Codification Topic 932 – Extractive Activities – Oil and Gas requires assumptions as to the timing and amount of future development and production costs. The calculations are made as of December 31 each year and should not be relied upon as an indication of Petrobras’ future cash flows or the value of its oil and gas reserves.

Standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows:

     
  Consolidated entities

Equity

Method

Investees

  Brazil

South

America

Total
December 31, 2022        
Future cash inflows 983,826 837 984,663 1,581
Future production costs (399,655) (357) (400,012) (273)
Future development costs (62,548) (128) (62,676) (21)
Future income tax expenses (178,412) (88) (178,500)
Undiscounted future net cash flows 343,211 264 343,475 1,287
10 percent midyear annual discount for timing of estimated cash flows (1) (151,828) (124) (151,951) (401)
Standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows 191,383 141 191,524 886
December 31, 2021        
Future cash inflows 612,924 587 613,511 1,129
Future production costs (264,158) (261) (264,419) (329)
Future development costs (44,027) (107) (44,134) (28)
Future income tax expenses (104,568) (61) (104,628)
Undiscounted future net cash flows 200,171 159 200,330 772
10 percent midyear annual discount for timing of estimated cash flows (1) (85,391) (70) (85,461) (303)
Standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows 114,780 89 114,869 470
December 31, 2020        
Future cash inflows 333,248 69 333,317 667
Future production costs (182,534) (51) (182,585) (465)
Future development costs (31,236) (16) (31,252) (48)
Future income tax expenses (46,862) (46,862) (79)
Undiscounted future net cash flows 72,616 2 72,618 75
10 percent midyear annual discount for timing of estimated cash flows (1) (26,638) (26,638) (1)
Standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows 45,978 1 45,979 74
(1) Semiannual capitalization
Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

 

Changes in discounted net future cash flows:

     
  Consolidated entities

Equity

Method

Investees

  Brazil

South

America

Total
Balance at January 1, 2022 114,780 89 114,869 470
Sales and transfers of oil and gas, net of production cost (54,230) (62) (54,291) (235)
Development cost incurred 6,883 31 6,913 29
Net change due to purchases and sales of minerals in place (17,030) (17,030)
Net change due to extensions, discoveries and improved recovery related costs 10
Revisions of previous quantity estimates 64,535 17 64,553 82
Net change in prices, transfer prices and in production costs 129,462 122 129,584 349
Changes in estimated future development costs (23,317) (39) (23,356) (4)
Accretion of discount 11,478 14 11,492 93
Net change in income taxes (41,178) (17) (41,194)
Other - unspecified (15) (15) 92
Balance at December 31, 2022 191,383 141 191,524 886
Balance at January 1, 2021 45,978 1 45,979 74
Sales and transfers of oil and gas, net of production cost (38,074) (43) (38,117) (177)
Development cost incurred 6,035 44 6,079 37
Net change due to purchases and sales of minerals in place (246) (246)
Net change due to extensions, discoveries and improved recovery related costs 10
Revisions of previous quantity estimates 41,211 205 41,416 30
Net change in prices, transfer prices and in production costs 108,268 58 108,326 401
Changes in estimated future development costs (19,900) (119) (20,019) 3
Accretion of discount 4,598 4,598 49
Net change in income taxes (33,089) (47) (33,136) 48
Other - unspecified (9) (9) (7)
Balance at December 31, 2021 114,780 89 114,869 470
Balance at January 1, 2020 88,121 69 88,190 1,412
Sales and transfers of oil and gas, net of production cost (24,908) (14) (24,922) (94)
Development cost incurred 5,664 3 5,666 57
Net change due to purchases and sales of minerals in place (847) (847) (1,047)
Net change due to extensions, discoveries and improved recovery related costs 509 509
Revisions of previous quantity estimates 3,160 (35) 3,125 (10)
Net change in prices, transfer prices and in production costs (54,606) (145) (54,751) (375)
Changes in estimated future development costs (4,716) 97 (4,618) 67
Accretion of discount 8,812 9 8,821 12
Net change in income taxes 24,788 24 24,812 51
Other - unspecified  -    (7) (7) 1
Balance at December 31, 2020 45,978 1 45,979 74
Apparent differences in the sum of the numbers are due to rounding off.

 

 

Climate change (unaudited)

The Company considered the impacts related to its climate goals and climate risks in its Strategic Plan (PE). The assumptions and projections of the Plan baseline scenario are used for certain accounting estimates, including the value in use used in asset impairment tests (note 4.2).

i) Climate goals

In 2021, the Company assumed the ambition to neutralize emissions in activities under our control (Scopes 1 and 2) and influence partners to achieve the same ambition in non-operated assets, within a period compatible with the Paris Agreement (net zero ambitions). However, the Company recognizes that there are relevant technological gaps for achieving its net zero ambitions.

The central objective of the Paris Agreement is to strengthen the global response to the threat of climate change by keeping the global temperature rise this century well below 2°C compared to pre-industrial levels and by striving to limit the temperature rise to 1.5 °C.

The Company's net zero ambition adds to the portfolio of sustainability commitments with a horizon of 2025 and 2030, where 6 commitments are related to the mitigation of greenhouse gases (GHG):

• Reduction of absolute operating emissions by 30% by 2030 (compared to 2015);

• Zero routine flaring by 2030, as per the World Bank's Zero Routine Flaring initiative;

• Reinjection of 80 MM ton CO₂ by 2025 in CCUS (Carbon Capture, Usage and Storage) projects;

• Greenhouse Gas (GHG) intensity in the E&P segment: achieve portfolio intensity of 15 kgCO2e/boe by 2025, maintained at 15 kgCO2e/boe by 2030;

• GHG intensity in the Refining segment: Achieve an intensity of 36 kgCO2e/CWT by 2025 and 30 kgCO2e/CWT by 2030; and

• Consolidation of the 55% reduction (compared to 2015) in the intensity of methane emissions in the upstream segment by 2025, reaching 0.29 t CH4/thousand tHC.

The above commitments do not constitute guarantees of future performance by the Company and are subject to assumptions that may not materialize and to risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict.

The Company's commitments to reduce GHG emissions, as well as the ambition to zero its net operating GHG emissions (scopes 1 and 2) up to 2050, were considered in the preparation of PE 23-27, plan updated every year.

ii) Climate risks

Risk of transition to a low-carbon economy

The risk of the transition to a low-carbon economy is mainly reflected in the price of Brent, demand for products and the price of carbon.

The Baseline scenario of the PE contemplates climate and environmental policies that are in line with the goals already announced, in their most general aspects. In such a scenario, there is greater concern with mobility and air quality in large urban centers. More direct solutions for the energy transition, driven by large cities and driven by population pressure, characterize this scenario. The global energy matrix has undergone important changes, especially with regard to the participation of coal and renewable sources. The result of this scenario is a more diversified energy matrix, with growth in the share of renewables and commodity prices in line with what has been observed historically.

In this context, the Base scenario considers an oil price range ranging from an average of US$ 85/bbl in 2023 and reaching US$ 55/bbl from 2030 onwards, that is, price expectations similar to the Announced Pledges scenario (APS) by the International Energy Agency, which is aligned with a 50% probability of keeping the temperature increase below 1.7°C by 2100. The APS scenario assumes that all aspirational targets announced by governments are met on time and in full, including its long-term net zero and energy access targets.

The valuation of the portfolio in the Base scenario of the Company used for approval of the Strategic Plan is carried out without the incidence of the carbon price. Despite the publication of Decree No. 11,075/2022, the definition of the instrument to be adopted in Brazil is still being discussed by the federal legislature (PL 412-2022), and the regulated sectors and segments will still be defined within the scope of the national executive power. Thus, at the moment, there are uncertainties regarding the functioning of a future carbon market in Brazil, due to the lack of sufficient and reliable information about the future intentions of regulators that allow considering the impact of the price of carbon in the valuation of our portfolio for accounting estimates purposes. More than 97% of the Company's operational GHG emissions occur in Brazilian territory.

When simulating the net present value of our portfolio in the Base scenario, through sensitivity to the price of Brent and the price of carbon contained in the APS scenario of the International Energy Agency, it was verified that there would be a 23% total positive impact when compared to the value calculated based on the internal assumptions detailed above.

The simulation considers the impact of the Brent price in the APS scenario only on the E&P segment and the maintenance of margins in the other segments. Regarding the effect of the carbon price in the simulation, the carbon price of the APS scenario was adopted, applied based on assumptions referenced in international carbon markets in operation, since there are still uncertainties regarding the functioning of a future carbon market in Brazil. In the APS scenario, a carbon price range of US$ 40/bbl in 2030 is considered, going to US$ 110/bbl in 2040 and reaching US$ 160/bbl from 2050.

Physical Risks

The company identifies and monitors the physical parameters considered potentially more susceptible to variations that may cause changes in standards in the operating conditions of its assets, such as water availability for our refineries and thermoelectric plants, and wave, wind and ocean current patterns for our platforms .

For environmental variables in the oceanic region, we currently rely on technological partners to simulate atmospheric conditions, ocean circulation and future waves under the effect of climate projections in the Santos, Campos and Espírito Santo Basins, which concentrate approximately 90% of current production of the company. For the studied offshore meteoceanographic variables, in general, over the useful life of our assets, the magnitude of the impacts is within the safety parameters considered in our projects.

The operating conditions of the assets affect certain accounting estimates of the Company.