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Fair value of financial instruments
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2018
Text block1 [abstract]  
Fair value of financial instruments

Note 28 – Fair value of financial instruments

In cases where market prices are not available, fair values are based on estimates using discounted cash flows or other valuation techniques. These techniques are significantly affected by the assumptions adopted, including the discount rate and estimate of future cash flows. The estimated fair value achieved through these techniques cannot be substantiated by comparison with independent markets and, in many cases, it cannot be realized in the immediate settlement of the instrument.

 

The following table summarizes the carrying and estimated fair values for financial instruments:

 

           12/31/2018     12/31/2017  
           Carrying
value
    Estimated
fair value
    Carrying
value
    Estimated
fair value
 

Cash deposits on demand

     (a     37,159       37,159       18,749       18,749  

Financial assets

       1,424,876       1,433,116       1,330,251       1,338,314  

Central Bank compulsory deposits

     (a     94,148       94,148       98,837       98,837  

At Amortized Cost

       994,759       1,002,999       905,729       913,792  

Interbank deposits

     (b     26,420       26,510       29,048       29,112  

Securities purchased under agreements to resell

     (a     280,136       280,136       244,707       244,707  

Securities

     (c     110,395       112,171       111,424       113,049  

Loan operations and lease operations portfolio (*)

     (d     536,091       542,465       497,719       504,093  

Other financial assets

     (e     75,090       75,090       59,568       59,568  

(-) Provision for Expected Loss

       (33,373     (33,373     (36,737     (36,737

At Fair Value Through Other Comprehensive Income

       49,323       49,323       52,149       52,149  

Securities

     (c     49,323       49,323       52,149       52,149  

At Fair Value Through Profit or Loss

       286,646       286,646       273,536       273,536  

Securities

     (c     263,180       263,180       250,693       250,693  

Derivatives

     (c     23,466       23,466       22,843       22,843  

Financial liabilities

       1,151,237       1,150,700       1,056,717       1,054,981  

At Amortized Cost

       1,119,734       1,119,197       1,024,584       1,022,848  

Deposits

     (b     463,424       463,363       402,938       402,911  

Securities sold under repurchase agreements

     (a     330,237       330,237       312,634       312,634  

Interbank market debt

     (b     134,670       134,533       124,587       124,257  

Institutional market debt

     (b     93,974       93,635       98,482       97,103  

Other financial liabilities

     (e     97,429       97,429       85,943       85,943  

At Fair Value Through Profit or Loss

       27,711       27,711       27,211       27,211  

Derivatives

     (c     27,519       27,519       26,746       26,746  

Structured notes

       192       192       465       465  

Provision for Expected Loss

       3,792       3,792       4,922       4,922  

Loan Commitments

       2,601       2,601       3,015       3,015  

Financial Guarantees

       1,191       1,191       1,907       1,907  

 

(*)

In the composition of balance there are operations designated at fair value through profit or loss, in the amount of R$ 102 at 12/31/2017.

Financial instruments not included in the Balance Sheet (Note 32) are represented by Standby letters of credit and financial guarantees provided, which amount to R$ 76,852 (R$ 79,703 at 12/31/2017) with an estimated fair value of R$ 1,168 (R$ 935 at 12/31/2017).

The methods and assumptions adopted to estimate the fair value are defined below:

 

a)

Cash and deposits on demand, Central Bank compulsory deposits, Securities purchased under agreements to resell, Securities sold under repurchase agreements – The carrying amounts for these instruments approximate their fair values.

 

b)

Interbank deposits, Deposits, Interbank and Institutional Market Funds they are calculated by discounting estimated cash flows at market interest rates.

 

c)

Securities and Derivatives Under usual conditions, the prices quoted in the market are the best indicators of fair values of these financial instruments. However, not all instruments have liquidity or quoted market prices and, in such cases, it is necessary to adopt present value estimates and other techniques to establish their fair value. In the absence of the prices quoted by the Brazilian Association of Entities from Financial and Capital Markets (ANBIMA), the fair values of government securities are determined based on the interest rates provided by brokers. The fair values of corporate debt securities are calculated by discounting estimated cash flows at market interest rates. The fair values of shares are computed based on their prices quoted in the market. The fair values of derivative financial instruments were determined as follows:

 

   

Swaps: The cash flows are discounted to present value based on yield curves that reflect the appropriate risk factors drawn mainly based on the exchange price of derivatives at B3, of Brazilian government securities in the secondary market or derivatives and securities traded abroad. These yield curves may be used to obtain the fair value of currency swaps, interest rate swaps and swaps based on other risk factors (commodities, stock exchange indices, etc.).

 

   

Futures and forwards: Quotations on exchanges or criteria identical to those applied to swaps.

 

   

Options: determined based on mathematical models, such as Black & Scholes, using data, in general from Bloomberg, of implicit volatility, interest rate yield curve and fair value of the underlying asset. Current market prices of options are used to compute the implicit volatilities.

 

   

Loans: They are inversely related to the probability of default (PD) in a financial instrument subject to credit risk. The process of adjusting the market price of these spreads is based on the differences between the yield curves with and without credit risk.

 

d)

Loan operations and lease operations Fair value is estimated based on groups of loans with similar financial and risk characteristics, using valuation models. The fair value of fixed-rate loans was determined by discounting estimated cash flows, applying current interest rates for similar loans. For the majority of loans at floating rate, the carrying amount was considered close to their fair value. The fair value of loan and lease operations not overdue was calculated by discounting the expected payments of principal and interest through maturity, at the aforementioned rates. The fair value of overdue loan and lease transactions was based on the discount of estimated cash flows, using a rate proportional to the risk associated with the estimated cash flows, or on the underlying collateral. The assumptions related to cash flows and discount rates are determined using information available in the market and the borrower’s specific information of the debtor.

 

e)

Other financial assets / liabilities – primarily composed of receivables from credit card issuers, deposits in guarantee for contingent liabilities, provisions and legal obligations and trading and intermediation of securities. The carrying amounts for these assets/liabilities substantially approximate their fair values, since they principally represent amounts to be received in the short term from credit card holders and to be paid to credit card acquirers, judicially required deposits (indexed to market rates) made by ITAÚ UNIBANCO HOLDING as guarantees for lawsuits or very short-term receivables (generally with a maturity of approximately 5 (five) business days). All of these items represent assets / liabilities without significant associated market, credit and liquidity risks.

Level 1: Observable inputs that reflect quoted prices (unadjusted) for identical assets or liabilities in active markets. An active market is a market in which transactions for the asset or liability being measured occur often enough and with sufficient volume to provide pricing information on an ongoing basis.

Level 2: Information that is observable for the asset or liability either directly or indirectly. Level 2 generally includes: (i) quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets; (ii) quoted prices for identical or similar assets or liabilities in markets that are not active, that is, markets in which there are few transactions for the asset or liability, the prices are not current, or quoted prices vary substantially either over time or among market makers, or in which little information is released publicly; (iii) inputs other than quoted prices that are observable for the asset or liability (for example, interest rates and yield curves observable at commonly quoted intervals, volatilities, etc.); (iv) inputs that are mainly derived from or corroborated by observable market data through correlation or by other means.

 

Level 3: Inputs are unobservable for the asset or liability. Unobservable information shall be used to measure fair value to the extent that observable information is not available, thus allowing for situations in which there is little, if any, market activity for the asset or liability at the measurement date.

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss, including Derivatives, and at fair value through other comprehensive income:

Level 1: Highly-liquid securities with prices available in an active market and derivatives traded on stock exchanges. This classification level includes most of the Brazilian government securities, other foreign government securities, shares and debentures traded on stock exchanges and other securities traded in an active market.

Level 2: When the pricing information is not available for a specific security, the assessment is usually based on prices quoted in the market for similar instruments, pricing information obtained for pricing services, such as Bloomberg, Reuters and brokers (only when the prices represent actual transactions) or discounted cash flows, which use information for assets actively traded in an active market. These securities are classified into Level 2 of the fair value hierarchy and are comprised of certain Brazilian government securities, debentures, some government securities quoted in a less-liquid market in relation to those classified into Level 1, and some share prices in investment funds.

Derivatives included in Level 2 are credit default swaps, cross-currency swaps, interest rate swaps, simple options and certain forwards, since information adopted by pricing models are immediately observable in actively quoted markets. The models used for these instruments are Black & Scholes, Garman & Kohlhagen, Monte Carlo and discounted cash flow.

ITAÚ UNIBANCO HOLDING does not hold positions in alternative investment funds or private equity funds.

Level 3: When no pricing information in an active market, ITAÚ UNIBANCO HOLDING uses internally developed models, from curves generated according to the proprietary model. The Level 3 classification includes some Brazilian government and private securities falling due after 2025 and securities that are not usually traded in an active market.

Derivatives with fair values classified into Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy are composed of exotic options, certain swaps indexed to non-observable information, and swaps with other products, such as swap with option and target flow, credit derivatives and futures of certain commodities.

All aforementioned methodologies may result in a fair value that may not be indicative of the net realizable value or future fair values. However, ITAÚ UNIBANCO HOLDING believes that all methodologies used are appropriate and consistent with the other market participants. However, the adoption of other methodologies or assumptions different than those used to estimate fair value may result in different fair value estimates at the balance sheet date.

 

Distribution by level

The following table presents the breakdown of fair value hierarchy levels.

 

    12/31/2018     12/31/2017  
  Level 1     Level 2     Level 3     Total     Level 1     Level 2     Level 3     Total  

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

    224,872       34,206       2,833       261,911       213,421       31,579       3,947       248,947  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Investment funds

    2,003       2,323       0       4,326       1,738       1,775       —         3,513  

Brazilian government securities

    213,816       3,242       0       217,058       205,027       2,816       1       207,844  

Government securities – other countries

    1,517       562       0       2,079       1,643       2,306       —         3,949  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Argentina

    1,129       0       0       1,129       1,466       —         —         1,466  

Chile

    147       155       0       302       39       18       —         57  

Colombia

    0       207       0       207       —         2,092       —         2,092  

United States

    117       0       0       117       100       —         —         100  

Italy

    0       115       0       115       —         —         —         —    

Mexico

    120       0       0       120       5       —         —         5  

Paraguay

    0       1       0       1       —         3       —         3  

Uruguay

    0       84       0       84       —         193       —         193  

Other

    4       0       0       4       33       —         —         33  

Corporate securities

    7,536       28,079       2,833       38,448       5,013       24,682       3,946       33,641  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Shares

    6,175       2,003       1,268       9,446       3,875       65       2,019       5,959  

Bank deposit certificates

    1       968       0       969       1       334       —         335  

Securitized real estate loans

    0       0       1,411       1,411       —         —         1,795       1,795  

Debentures

    168       4,707       85       4,960       486       2,608       122       3,216  

Eurobonds and others

    1,192       173       31       1,396       651       37       —         688  

Financial credit bills

    0       19,719       5       19,724       —         21,170       —         21,170  

Promissory notes

    0       435       0       435       —         391       —         391  

Other

    0       74       33       107       —         77       10       87  

Financial assets at fair value through other comprehensive income

    30,680       18,643       0       49,323       35,234       16,915       —         52,149  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Brazilian government securities

    27,038       801       0       27,839       32,218       708       —         32,926  

Government securities – other countries

    2,448       16,324       0       18,772       1,550       14,992       —         16,542  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Germany

    22       0       0       22       —         —         —         —    

Chile

    0       7,653       0       7,653       —         9,550       —         9,550  

Colombia

    0       5,505       0       5,505       —         3,020       —         3,020  

United States

    2,425       193       0       2,618       1,550       —         —         1,550  

France

    0       891       0       891       —         —         —         —    

Paraguay

    0       1,529       0       1,529       —         1,800       —         1,800  

Uruguay

    0       553       0       553       —         622       —         622  

Other

    1       0       0       1       —         —         —         —    

Corporate securities

    1,194       1,518       0       2,712       1,466       1,215       —         2,681  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Shares

    161       0       0       161       148       —         —         148  

Bank deposit certificates

    0       1,053       0       1,053       —         685       —         685  

Debentures

    0       2       0       2       —         1       —         1  

Eurobonds and others

    1,033       463       0       1,496       1,318       529       —         1,847  

Financial assets at fair value through profit or loss

    1,269       0       0       1,269       1,746       —         —         1,746  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Brazilian government securities

    1,269       0       0       1,269       1,746       —         —         1,746  

Financial liabilities designated at fair value through profit or loss

    0       192       0       192       —         465       —         465  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Structured notes

    0       192       0       192       —         465       —         465  

 

The following table presents the breakdown of fair value hierarchy levels for our derivative assets and liabilities.

 

     12/31/2018     12/31/2017  
     Level 1     Level 2     Level 3     Total     Level 1      Level 2     Level 3     Total  

Assets

     15       23,309       142       23,466       158        22,249       436       22,843  
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Futures Contract

     0       0       0       0       158        —         —         158  

Swap Contract– adjustment receivable

     0       12,959       90       13,049       —          8,821       369       9,190  

Options Contract

     0       4,163       52       4,215       —          3,271       66       3,337  

Forwards Contract

     0       1,835       0       1,835       —          6,911       —         6,911  

Credit derivatives - financial Institutions

     0       120       0       120       —          137       —         137  

NDF - Non Deliverable Forward

     0       3,711       0       3,711       —          2,950       —         2,950  

Check of swap - Companies

     0       44       0       44       —          68       —         68  

Other derivative financial instruments

     15       477       0       492       —          91       1       92  

Liabilities

     (22     (27,471     (26     (27,519     —          (26,643     (103     (26,746
  

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Swap Contract – adjustment payable

     0       (19,351     (3     (19,354     —          (13,590     (102     (13,692

Options Contract

     0       (3,906     (23     (3,929     —          (2,792     (1     (2,793

Forwards Contract

     0       (470     0       (470     —          (6,272     —         (6,272

Credit derivatives - financial Institutions

     0       (140     0       (140     —          (58     —         (58

NDF - Non Deliverable Forward

     0       (3,384     0       (3,384     —          (3,745     —         (3,745

Check of swap - Companies

     0       (162     0       (162     —          (122     —         (122

Other derivative financial instruments

     (22     (58     0       (80     —          (64     —         (64

There were no significant transfer between Level 1 and Level 2 during the period from December 31, 2018. Transfers to and from Level 3 are presented in movements of Level 3.

Measurement of fair value Level 2 based on pricing services and brokers

To assure that the fair value of these instruments is properly classified as Level 2, internal analysis of the information received are conducted, so as to understand the nature of the input by the service provider.

Prices provided by pricing services that meet the following requirements are considered Level 2: input is immediately available, regularly distributed, provided by sources actively involved in significant markets and it is not proprietary.

Of the total of R$ 52,849 in financial instruments classified as Level 2, on December 31, 2018, pricing service or brokers were used to evaluate securities at the value of R$ 22,231, substantially represented by:

 

 

Debentures: When available, we use price information for transactions recorded in the Brazilian Debenture System (SND), an electronic platform operated by B3, which provides multiple services for transactions involving debentures in the secondary market. Alternatively, prices of debentures provided by ANBIMA are used. Its methodology includes obtaining, on a daily basis, illustration and non-binding prices from a group of market players deemed to be significant. Such information is subject to statistical filters established in the methodology, with the purpose of eliminating outliers.

 

 

Global and corporate securities: The pricing process for these securities consists in capturing from 2 to 8 quotes from Bloomberg, depending on the asset. The methodology consists in comparing the highest purchase prices and the lowest sale prices of trades provided by Bloomberg for the last day of the month. Such prices are compared with information from purchase orders that the Institutional Treasury of ITAÚ UNIBANCO HOLDING. Should the difference between them be lower than 0.5%, the average price of Bloomberg is used. Should it be higher than 0.5% or if the Institutional Treasury does not provide information on this specific security, the average price gathered directly from other banks is used. The price of the Institutional Treasury is used as a reference only and never in the computation of the final price.

 

Level 3 recurring fair value measurements

The departments in charge of defining and applying the pricing models are segregated from the business areas. The models are documented, submitted to validation by an independent area and approved by a specific committee. The daily process of price capture, calculation and disclosure are periodically checked according to formally defined testing and criteria and the information is stored in a single and corporate history data base.

The most recurring cases of assets classified as Level 3 are justified by the discount factors used. Factors such as the fixed interest curve in Brazilian Reais and the TR coupon curve – and, as a result, its related factors – have inputs with terms shorter than the maturities of these fixed-income assets. For swaps, the analysis is carried out by index for both parties. There are some cases in which the inputs periods are shorter than the maturity of the derivative.

Level 3 recurring fair value changes

The tables below show the changes in balance sheet for financial instruments classified by ITAÚ UNIBANCO HOLDING in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. Derivative financial instruments classified in Level 3 correspond to other derivatives indexed to shares.

 

    Fair value at
12/31/2017
    Total gains or losses
(realized / unrealized)
    Purchases     Settlements     Transfers
in and /
or out of
Level
    Fair value
at
12/31/2018
    Total Gains
or Losses
(Unrealized)
 
    Recognized
in the
result
    Recognized
in other
comprehensive
income
 

Financial assets designated at fair value

    3,947       (377     —         90       (353     (474     2,833       (618
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Brazilian government securities

    1       (1     —         —         —         —         0       —    

Corporate securities

    3,946       (376     —         90       (353     (474     2,833       (618

Shares

    2,019       34       —         —         (203     (582     1,268       (442

Securitized real estate loans

    1,795       (359     —         57       (89     7       1,411       19  

Debentures

    122       (41     —         —         (53     57       85       (196

Eurobonds and others

    —         2       —         20       (2     11       31       —    

Financial credit bills

    —         —         —           —         5       5       —    

Other

    10       (12     —         13       (6     28       33       1  
    Fair value at
12/31/2017
    Total gains or losses
(realized /unrealized)
    Purchases     Settlements     Transfers
in and /
or out of
Level
    Fair value
at
12/31/2018
    Total Gains
or Losses
(Unrealized)
 
    Recognized
in the
result
    Recognized
in other
comprehensive
income
 

Derivatives - assets

    436       (3     —         205       (254     (242     142       61  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Swap Contract– adjustment receivable

    369       (5     —         —         (30     (244     90       61  

Options Contract

    66       2         205       (223     2       52       —    

Other derivative financial instruments

    1             (1       0       —    

Derivatives - liabilities

    (103     40       —         (148     141       44       (26     6  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Swap Contract – adjustment payable

    (102     (37     —         —         92       44       (3     (3

Options Contract

    (1     77       —         (148     49       —         (23     9  
    Fair value at
12/31/2016
    Total gains or losses
(realized / unrealized)
    Purchases     Settlements     Transfers
in and /
or out of
Level
    Fair value
at
12/31/2017
    Total Gains
or Losses
(Unrealized)
 
    Recognized
in the
result
    Recognized
in other
comprehensive
income
 

Financial assets designated at fair value through profit or loss

    3,808       (232     —         578       (146     (61     3,947       (412
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Brazilian government securities

    1       —         —         —         —         —         1       (1

Corporate securities

    3,807       (232     —         578       (146     (61     3,946       (411

Shares

    1,662       122       —         400       —         (165     2,019       (274

Securitized real estate loans

    2,092       (355     —         58       —         —         1,795       16  

Debentures

    37       (1     —         106       (124     104       122       (153

Eurobonds and others

    —         —         —         9       (9     —         —         —    

Other

    16       2       —         5       (13     —         10       —    

Financial assets designated at fair value through other comprehensive income

    227       —         —         200       (427     —         —         —    
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Corporate securities

    227       —         —         200       (427     —         —         —    

Securitized real estate loans

    6       —         —         —         (6     —         —         —    

Eurobonds and others

    221       —         —         200       (421     —         —         —    
    Fair value at
12/31/2016
    Total gains or losses
(realized / unrealized)
    Purchases     Settlements     Transfers
in and /
or out of
Level
    Fair value
at
12/31/2017
    Total Gains
or Losses
(Unrealized)
 
    Recognized
in the
result
    Recognized
in other
comprehensive
income
 

Derivatives - Assets

    521       (33     101       —         (244     91       436       17  
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Swap Contract– adjustment receivable

    468       (41     —         —         (100     42       369       32  

Options Contract

    47       12       101       —         (143     49       66       (14

Other derivative financial instruments

    6       (4     —         —         (1     —         1       (1

Derivatives - Liabilities

    (60     (117     (15     —         111       (22     (103     (57
 

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Swap Contract – adjustment payable

    (56     (122     —         —         97       (21     (102     (60

Options Contract

    (4     5       (15     —         13       —         (1     3  

Credit derivatives - financial Institutions

    —         —         —         —         1       (1     —         —    

 

Sensitivity analyses operations of Level 3

The fair value of financial instruments classified in Level 3 is measured through assessment techniques based on correlations and associated products traded in active markets, internal estimates and internal models.

Significant unverifiable inputs used for measurement of the fair value of instruments classified in Level 3 are: interest rates, underlying asset prices and volatility. Significant variations in any of these inputs separately may give rise to significant changes in the fair value.

The table below shows the sensitivity of these fair values in scenarios of changes of interest rates, asset prices, or in scenarios vary in prices with shocks and the volatility for non-linear assets:

 

Sensitivity – Level 3 Operations

          12/31/2018     12/31/2017  

Market risk factor groups

   Scenarios      Impact     Impact  
   Result     Stockholders’
equity
    Result     Stockholders’
equity
 
     I        (0.4     (1.2     (1.9     (2.4

Interest rates

     II        (9.3     (29.3     (47.0     (55.4
     III        (18.6     (57.8     (93.9     (114.5
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Shares

     I        (63.4     0       (146.6     —    
     II        (126.8     0       (293.2     —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

Nonlinear

     I        (48.2     0       (9.2     —    
     II        (89.3     0       (11.9     —    
  

 

 

    

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

   

 

 

 

The following scenarios are used to measure the sensitivity:

Interest rate

Based on reasonably possible changes in assumptions at 1, 25 and 50 basis points (scenarios I, II and III respectively) in the interest curves, both for increase and decrease, considering the largest losses resulting in each scenario.

Shares

Based on reasonably possible changes in assumptions at 5 and 10 percentage points (scenarios I and II respectively) in prices of currencies, commodities and ratios, both for increase and decrease, considering the largest losses resulting in each scenario.

Non linear

Scenario I: Based on reasonably possible changes in assumptions at 5 percentage points in prices and 25 percentage points the level in volatility, both for increase and decrease, considering the largest losses resulting in each scenario.

Scenario II: Based on reasonably possible changes in assumptions at 10 percentage points in prices and 25 percentage points the level in volatility, both for increase and decrease, considering the largest losses resulting in each scenario.