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Reserve for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claims Adjustment Expense, Activity in Liability [Abstract]  
Reserve for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Rollforward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 
For the years ended December 31,
 202220212020
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$31,449 $29,622 $28,261 
Reinsurance and other recoverables6,081 5,725 5,275 
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
25,368 23,897 22,986 
Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
   
Current accident year8,577 7,911 7,794 
Prior accident year development [1]36 199 (136)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
8,613 8,110 7,658 
Change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance included in other liabilities [1](229)(246)(312)
Payments
   
Current accident year(2,424)(2,276)(2,214)
Prior accident years(4,678)(4,119)(4,190)
Total payments
(7,102)(6,395)(6,404)
Net change in reserves transferred to liabilities held for sale— — (45)
Foreign currency adjustment(32)14 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
26,618 25,368 23,897 
Reinsurance and other recoverables6,465 6,081 5,725 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$33,083 $31,449 $29,622 
[1]Prior accident year development does not include the benefit of a portion of losses ceded under the Navigators and A&E ADC which, under retroactive reinsurance accounting, is deferred and is recognized over the period the ceded losses are recovered in cash from National Indemnity Company ("NICO"), a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. For additional information regarding the two adverse development cover reinsurance agreements, refer to Adverse Development Covers discussion below.
Property and Casualty Insurance Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance, that are Discounted
For the years ended December 31,
202220212020
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts$1,343 $1,405 $1,334 
Amount of discount347 355 367 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses$996 $1,050 $967 
Discount accretion included in losses and loss adjustment expenses$36 $36 $36 
Weighted average discount rate2.71 %2.54 %2.68 %
Range of discount rates0.83 %-14.03 %0.83 %-14.03 %0.83 %-14.03 %
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 0.83% for accident year 2020 to 14.03% for accident year 1981.
The reserves recorded for the Company’s property and casualty insurance products at December 31, 2022 represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to losses covered by policies written by the Company. However, because of the significant uncertainties surrounding reserves it is possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liabilities for these claims may change and that the required adjustment to recorded reserves could exceed the currently recorded reserves by an amount that could be material to the Company’s results of operations or cash flows.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses are also impacted by trends including frequency and severity as well as changes in the legislative and regulatory environment. In the case of the reserves for asbestos exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in the ultimate settlement of the liabilities gross of reinsurance include inadequate loss development patterns, plaintiffs’ expanding theories of liability, the risks inherent in major litigation, and inconsistent emerging legal doctrines. In the case of the reserves for environmental exposures before reinsurance, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in gross reserves include expanding theories of liabilities and damages, the risks inherent in major litigation, inconsistent decisions concerning the existence and scope of coverage for environmental claims, and uncertainty as to the monetary amount being sought by the claimant from the insured.
(Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development
For the years ended December 31,
202220212020
Workers’ compensation$(204)$(190)$(110)
Workers’ compensation discount accretion36 35 35 
General liability56 454 237 
Marine
Package business(39)(91)(58)
Commercial property(11)(26)(4)
Professional liability(11)(2)(14)
Bond(32)(26)(19)
Assumed reinsurance19 (6)(6)
Automobile liability - Commercial Lines38 27 
Automobile liability - Personal Lines(14)(90)(61)
Homeowners(1)
Net asbestos and environmental reserves— — (2)
Catastrophes(62)(154)(529)
Uncollectible reinsurance(6)(8)
Other reserve re-estimates, net 27 42 54 
Prior accident year development, including full benefit for the ADC cession
(193)(47)(448)
Change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance included in other liabilities [1]229 246 312 
Total prior accident year development$36 $199 $(136)
[1]The change in deferred gain for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020 included $229, $155 and $210, respectively of adverse development on A&E reserves in excess of ceded premium paid and included $0, $91 and $102 respectively, of adverse development on Navigators 2018 and prior accident year reserves ceded to NICO, primarily within professional liability, general liability and marine.
2022 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were decreased for the 2014 through 2018 accident years, predominately within small commercial, and to a lesser extent in middle and large commercial, driven by lower than previously estimated claim
severity and, to a lesser extent, a $14 reduction of COVID-19 related claims from 2020.
General liability reserves were increased, driven by an increase in the estimated cost to settle large individual claims in middle and large commercial for the 2016 to 2019 accident years, an increase in excess casualty and environmental in recent accident years, and increases in primary construction on older accident years, partially offset by a decrease in reserves for other mass torts.
Package business reserves decreased due to lower estimated severity and lower estimated loss adjustment expenses for accident years 2018 and prior, and a reduction in property reserves for the 2020 and 2021 accident years.
Commercial property reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development for the 2020 accident year in middle & large commercial related to COVID-19 claims.
Professional liability reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development on directors’ and officers’ claims for the 2018 to 2020 accident years and on errors and omissions claims for the 2013 to 2017 accident years, partially offset by large losses related to 2018 and prior accident years for primary and excess directors’ and officers’ claims.
Bond reserves were decreased primarily in contract surety due to favorable development on older accident years.
Assumed reinsurance reserves were increased primarily due to higher reserve estimates for syndicate property claims, including higher expected COVID-19 property losses in the 2020 accident year and increased reserves for international agriculture related to drought claims. Also contributing were reserve increases for Latin America P&C and specialty casualty business in recent accident years.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower estimated severity on AARP Direct claims, primarily within accident years 2015 to 2020 and were increased in Commercial Lines principally due to a higher number of large claims in accident years 2017 to 2019, along with decreasing settlement rates and increasing attorney rep rates.
Catastrophe reserves were decreased in both Commercial and Personal Lines with the largest reduction related to 2019 and 2020 wind and hail events.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2022 resulting in a $229 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $162 for asbestos and $67 for environmental. The Company recognized a $229 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 14 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, were increased primarily due to an increase in unallocated loss adjustment expense ("ULAE") reserves within P&C Other Operations driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves, as well as unfavorable development from participation in involuntary market pools, and increased automobile physical damage severity.
2021 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were decreased within small commercial and middle & large commercial for the 2013 through 2018 accident years driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity.
General liability reserves were increased including an increase for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims above the amount of reserves previously recorded for this exposure, primarily to reflect an increase in reserves for claims made against the Boy Scouts of America ("BSA") as discussed further below, partially offset by reserve decreases for other mass torts and extra contractual liability claims. In addition, the Company recognized reserve increases on Navigators’ wholesale construction business for 2018 and prior accident years, largely included within the change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Package business reserves decreased largely due to lower estimated loss adjustment expenses for accident years 2014 to 2018 and a reduction in estimated reserves for extra contractual liability claims.
Commercial property reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development for the 2020 accident year in both middle & large commercial and global specialty.
Professional liability reserves were decreased due to lower estimated severity in both large and middle market directors’ and officers’ (“D&O”) insurance for older accident years. More than offsetting this favorable reserve development were reserve increases on legacy Navigators public company directors’ and officers’ insurance for 2019 and prior accident years, a portion of which is reflected within the change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Bond reserves were reduced mostly due to favorable emergence on contract surety claims driven by higher than previously anticipated recoveries, largely for the 2016 to 2017 accident years.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower estimated severity on AARP Direct and Agency claims, primarily within accident years 2017 to 2020, and a reduction in estimated reserves for extra contractual liability claims.
Catastrophes reserves were decreased in both Commercial and Personal Lines primarily driven by a reduction in reserves for 2018 and 2019 wind and hail events, lower estimated losses from 2018 and 2020 hurricanes, a reduction in estimated losses from the 2017 and 2018 California wildfires, including an expected recovery of subrogation from a utility related to the 2018 Woolsey wildfire in California, and a reduction in losses relating to the 2020 civil unrest.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2021 resulting in a $155 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $106 for asbestos and $49 for environmental. The Company recognized a $155 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium
paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 14 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, were increased primarily due to an increase in reserves for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims within P&C Other Operations, principally on assumed reinsurance, as well as an increase in ULAE reserves within P&C Other Operations driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves.
2020 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were reduced on national account business within middle & large commercial, driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity for the 2015 and prior accident years, including on captives business, and were reduced in small commercial due to lower than expected claim severity for the 2013 to 2018 accident years.
General liability reserves were increased primarily due to a $254 increase in reserves for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims related to cases brought against religious and other organizations that were insureds of the Company, partly offset by a decrease in reserves for other mass torts and extra contractual liability claims. The sexual molestation and sexual abuse exposures may involve potentially long latency periods and may implicate coverage in multiple policy periods, which can raise complex coverage issues with significant effects on the ultimate scope of coverage. This increase in reserves reflects an increase in claim incidence largely due to reviver statutes, which is legislation passed in a number of states that provides an opportunity for claimants to file claims for a period of time despite the fact that the original statute of limitations had expired. The reserve increase in 2020 was principally from claims asserted against the Boy Scouts of America (“Boy Scouts”).
In addition, general liability reserve increases on construction account business were largely offset by decreases in ULAE reserves. Reserves were increased for guaranteed cost construction business for accident years 2014 to 2019 as incurred losses are developing higher than previously expected for premises and operations claims and product liability claims, partly due to a change in industry mix and a heavier concentration of losses in California than initially assumed, as well as increased reserves for middle market and complex liability claims for accident year 2018 largely due to higher than expected severity. Also contributing were increases in reserves on primary layer construction account business within global specialty, mainly related to accident years 2015 to 2017, which is included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Marine reserves were increased principally due to an increase in domestic marine liability, mostly in accident years 2017 and 2018 due to a higher number of large losses. The increase in marine reserves is included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Package business reserves decreased for accident years 2014 to 2017 largely due to lower estimates of allocated loss adjustment expenses.
Commercial property reserves were decreased for accident year 2019 due to favorable developments on marine and middle market property claims.
Professional liability reserves were decreased primarily due to lower estimated severity on non-security class action D&O claims and fewer than expected E&O claims with financial institutions for the 2011 to 2018 accident years, partially offset by an increase in D&O reserves for the 2019 accident year driven by higher frequency of class action lawsuits and an increase in large Syndicate D&O losses for the 2016 and 2017 accident years. These Syndicate reserve increases within global specialty are included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Bond reserves were reduced within contract surety driven by both favorable loss development on the 2015 to 2017 accident years and higher than expected loss recoveries on older accident years
Assumed reinsurance reserves were increased for accident year 2018 mostly due to higher accident and health reserve estimates for medical professionals on assumed casualty business. These reserve increases are included as a component of the change in deferred gain under retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower than previously expected AARP Direct automobile liability claim severity for the 2017 to 2019 accident years. Automobile liability reserves were increased in Commercial Lines primarily due to higher than expected large losses within middle & large commercial, predominantly within the 2015 to 2019 accident years.
Catastrophes reserves were reduced, primarily due to a reduction in estimated reserves for 2017 and 2018 California wildfires and a reduction in estimated catastrophes for wind and hail events in the 2017 to 2019 accident years, partially offset by an increase in reserves for 2019 typhoons Hagibis and Faxai in Asia. The reduction in reserves for the 2017 and 2018 wildfires was largely due to recognizing a $289 subrogation benefit in the second quarter of 2020 from PG&E Corporation and Pacific Gas and Electric Company ("PG&E") as well as a reduction in gross estimated losses on those wildfires.
In December, 2019, the judge overseeing the bankruptcy of PG&E approved an $11 billion settlement of insurance subrogation claims to resolve all such claims arising from the 2017 Northern California wildfires and 2018 Camp wildfire. That settlement was contingent upon, among other things, the judge entering an order confirming PG&E’s chapter 11 bankruptcy plan (“PG&E Plan”) incorporating the settlement agreement. On June 20, 2020, the bankruptcy court judge approved the PG&E Plan and PG&E subsequently transferred the $11 billion settlement amount to a trust designed to allocate and distribute the settlement among subrogation holders, including certain of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries. In the second quarter of 2020, the Company recorded an estimated $289 subrogation benefit though the ultimate amount it collects will depend on
how the Company’s ultimate paid claims subject to subrogation compare to other insurers’ ultimate paid claims subject to subrogation.
Uncollectible reinsurance reserves were reduced due to higher than expected recoveries from reinsurers in older accident years.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2020 resulting in a $218 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $127 for asbestos and $91 for environmental. Of the $218 increase in A&E reserves, the Company ceded $220 to the A&E ADC resulting in a net reserve release of $2. Of the $220 of adverse development ceded to the A&E ADC, the Company recognized a $210 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 14 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, primarily represents an increase in ULAE reserves in Property & Casualty Other Operations that was largely driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves.
Settlement Agreement with Boy Scouts of America
On September 14, 2021, the Company announced that it entered into a new agreement-in-principle with the BSA, related to sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims associated with liability policies issued by various Hartford writing companies in the 1970s and early 1980s, with the agreement in-principle including the BSA, its local councils and the representatives of a majority of the sexual abuse claimants. As part of the agreement-in-principle, The Hartford will pay $787, before tax, for claims associated with these policies. In exchange for The Hartford’s payment, the BSA and its local councils will fully release The Hartford from any obligation under policies The Hartford issued to the BSA and its local councils. In addition, the representatives for the claimants joining this agreement-in-principle will support a plan of reorganization which incorporates the settlement.
The agreement-in-principle was reached in connection with the BSA’s Chapter 11 bankruptcy and a written settlement agreement (the "Settlement") was executed on February 14, 2022. The Settlement will become final upon the occurrence of certain conditions, including, but not limited to, confirmation of the BSA’s plan of reorganization by both the bankruptcy and district courts, receipt of executed releases from the local councils, and approval of the Settlement as part of the confirmation of the BSA's plan of reorganization by the bankruptcy and district courts. On September 8, 2022, the bankruptcy court approved the BSA's plan of reorganization, including the Settlement. The BSA's plan of reorganization is now before the civil district court for approval. Upon civil district court approval, the Company will pay the settlement amount of $787. However, no assurance can be given that all the conditions precedent to the Settlement will be satisfied or that final court approval, if obtained, will not be delayed for various procedural reasons.
If the conditions precedent to the Settlement are not satisfied or the requisite court approvals for the BSA’s plan of reorganization are not obtained, it is possible that adverse outcomes, if any, could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s consolidated operating results.
Adverse Development Covers
The Company has an adverse development cover reinsurance agreement with NICO, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., to reinsure loss development after 2016 on substantially all of the Company’s asbestos and environmental reserves (the “A&E ADC”). Under the A&E ADC, the Company paid a reinsurance premium of $650 for NICO to assume adverse net loss reserve development up to $1.5 billion above the Company’s existing net A&E reserves as of December 31, 2016 of approximately $1.7 billion including reserves for A&E exposure for accident years prior to 1986 that are reported in Property & Casualty Other Operations ("Run-off A&E") and reserves for A&E exposure for accident years 1986 and subsequent from policies underwritten prior to 2016 that are reported in ongoing Commercial Lines and Personal Lines. The $650 reinsurance premium was placed into a collateral trust account as security for NICO’s claim payment obligations to the Company. The Company has retained the risk of collection on amounts due from other third-party reinsurers and continues to be responsible for claims handling and other administrative services, subject to certain conditions. The A&E ADC covers substantially all the Company’s A&E reserve development up to the reinsurance limit.
Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, net adverse A&E reserve development after December 31, 2016 results in an offsetting reinsurance recoverable up to the $1.5 billion limit. Cumulative ceded losses up to the $650 reinsurance premium paid have been recognized as a dollar-for-dollar offset to direct losses incurred. Cumulative ceded losses exceeding the $650 reinsurance premium paid result in a deferred gain. As of December 31, 2022, the Company has incurred $1,244 in cumulative adverse development on asbestos and environmental reserves that have been ceded under the A&E ADC treaty with NICO with $256 of available limit remaining under the A&E ADC. As a result, the Company has recorded a $594 deferred gain within other liabilities, representing the difference between the reinsurance recoverable of $1,244 and ceded premium paid of $650. The deferred gain is recognized over the claim settlement period in the proportion of the amount of cumulative ceded losses collected from the reinsurer to the estimated ultimate reinsurance recoveries. Consequently, until periods when the deferred gain is recognized as a benefit to earnings, cumulative adverse development of asbestos and environmental claims will result in charges against earnings which may be significant.
Immediately after closing on the acquisition of Navigators Group, effective May 23, 2019, the Company purchased the Navigators ADC, an aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreement covering adverse reserve development, from NICO on behalf of Navigators Insurance Company and certain of its affiliates (collectively, “Navigators Insurers"). Under the Navigators ADC, the Navigators Insurers paid NICO a reinsurance premium of $91 in exchange for reinsurance coverage of $300 of adverse net loss reserve development that attaches $100 above the Navigators Insurers' existing net loss
and allocated loss adjustment reserves as of December 31, 2018 subject to the treaty of $1.816 billion for accidents and losses prior to December 31, 2018.
As of December 31, 2022, the Company has recorded a reinsurance recoverable under the Navigators ADC of $300 as estimated cumulative loss development on the 2018 and prior accident year reserves has exhausted the treaty limit. While the
reinsurance recoverable is $300, the Company has recorded a $209 cumulative deferred gain within other liabilities since, under retroactive reinsurance accounting, ceded losses in excess of the $91 of ceded premium paid must be recognized as a deferred gain. Of the $209 of cumulative ceded losses in excess of ceded premium paid, $91 and $102 were recognized as changes in deferred gain in 2021 and 2020, respectively.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of December 31, 2022
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceSubtotal
Reserve LineCumulative Incurred for Accident Years Displayed in TrianglesCumulative Paid for Accident Years Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid for Accident Years not Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceDiscountUnpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceReinsurance and Other RecoverablesLiability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Workers' compensation$17,911 $(9,516)$3,295 $372 $(333)$11,729 $1,648 $13,377 
General liability7,509 (3,486)1,238 153 — 5,414 1,070 6,484 
Marine1,476 (1,192)14 14 — 312 266 578 
Package business7,218 (5,288)87 112 — 2,129 72 2,201 
Commercial property3,922 (3,383)26 20 — 585 329 914 
Commercial automobile liability4,025 (2,824)22 26 — 1,249 88 1,337 
Commercial automobile physical damage181 (169)— 17 (1)16 
Professional liability2,609 (1,403)67 43 — 1,316 734 2,050 
Bond635 (260)43 34 — 452 15 467 
Assumed Reinsurance1,541 (1,133)— 414 50 464 
Personal automobile liability10,887 (9,584)31 60 — 1,394 23 1,417 
Personal automobile physical damage1,288 (1,250)— 48 — 48 
Homeowners6,063 (5,728)36 — 374 382 
Other ongoing business178 (14)170 333 503 
Asbestos and environmental [1]495 — — 495 1,789 2,284 
Other operations [1]362 158 — 520 41 561 
Total P&C$65,265 $(45,216)$5,873 $1,043 $(347)$26,618 $6,465 $33,083 
[1]Asbestos and environmental and other operations include asbestos, environmental and other latent exposures not foreseen when coverages were written, including, but not limited to, potential liability for pharmaceutical products, silica, talcum powder, head injuries, lead paint, construction defects, sexual molestation and sexual abuse and other long-tail liabilities. These reserve lines do not have significant paid or incurred loss development for the most recent ten accident years and therefore do not have loss development displayed in triangles.
The reserve lines in the above table and the loss triangles that follow represent the significant lines of business for which the Company regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels. These reserve lines differ from the reserve lines reported on a statutory basis, as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"). The cumulative incurred losses displayed in the above table include the full reinsurance benefit of ceding $300 of losses to the Navigators ADC even though $209 of that benefit has been recorded as a deferred gain within other liabilities. The $300 of Navigators Insurers losses ceded to the Navigators ADC and reflected in the following triangles include $95 for professional liability,$105 for general liability, $38 for marine, $27 for assumed reinsurance, $14 for commercial automobile, $3 for commercial property, and $1 for bond. The triangles do not include $17of losses ceded to the Navigators ADC related to older accident years and lines of business not in the triangles.
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by accident year, including loss development on Navigators Insurers reserves prior to and after the May 23, 2019 acquisition date. Because the loss triangles include pre-acquisition date changes in ultimate incurred loss estimates for Navigators Insurers’ reserves, changes in reserve development evident in the incurred loss triangles may differ from prior accident year development recorded by the Company as shown in the (Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development table above as that only includes changes in Navigators Insurers’ reserves post acquisition. In addition, the incurred loss triangles include reserve development on both catastrophe and non-catastrophe claims whereas the (Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development table above shows the total amount of catastrophe reserve development across all lines of business on a single line.
Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed. Incurred but not reported ("IBNR") reserves shown in loss triangles include reserves for incurred but not reported
claims as well as reserves for expected development on reported claims. Incurred and cumulative paid losses in currencies other than the U.S. dollar have been converted into U.S. dollars using the exchange rates as of December 31, 2022.
Workers' Compensation
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year
2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$2,020 $1,981 $1,920 $1,883 $1,861 $1,861 $1,850 $1,831 $1,811 $1,809 $337 151,592 
20141,869 1,838 1,789 1,761 1,713 1,692 1,679 1,654 1,637 353 126,371 
20151,873 1,835 1,801 1,724 1,714 1,699 1,667 1,645 376 114,224 
20161,772 1,772 1,780 1,767 1,748 1,708 1,670 419 112,486 
20171,862 1,869 1,840 1,822 1,757 1,665 504 112,070 
20181,916 1,917 1,915 1,904 1,870 608 119,284 
20191,937 1,935 1,934 1,934 722 120,104 
20201,865 1,864 1,849 937 91,187 
20211,831 1,832 1,012 100,954 
20222,000 1,414 105,013 
Total$17,911 



Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$304 $675 $917 $1,071 $1,175 $1,260 $1,304 $1,339 $1,361 $1,382 
2014275 598 811 960 1,041 1,099 1,137 1,167 1,191 
2015261 576 778 909 1,004 1,068 1,117 1,151 
2016255 579 779 908 1,003 1,064 1,110 
2017261 575 778 900 977 1,035 
2018283 624 837 983 1,090 
2019291 637 856 1,007 
2020223 507 695 
2021254 562 
2022293 
Total$9,516 
General Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$455 $442 $456 $484 $488 $502 $505 $508 $500 $503 $36 15,217 
2014506 475 481 494 513 522 515 505 510 50 16,445 
2015556 560 554 594 633 647 637 647 67 16,621 
2016613 583 607 632 632 620 636 58 17,666 
2017626 614 613 615 613 615 105 17,168 
2018692 669 697 703 728 212 18,502 
2019822 827 822 840 379 17,914 
2020938 923 923 625 13,204 
20211,002 991 804 10,791 
20221,116 1,045 8,186 
Total$7,509 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$13 $53 $141 $233 $320 $372 $398 $422 $442 $457 
201415 42 130 214 304 358 402 423 437 
201510 55 156 278 409 477 524 547 
201612 52 131 283 368 446 513 
201715 67 156 255 344 441 
201821 83 177 288 409 
201929 100 192 339 
202045 110 202 
202134 115 
202226 
Total$3,486 
Marine
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2013$147 $151 $133 $134 $138 $133 $136 $138 $137 $137 $(2)7,362 
2014162 158 155 162 161 166 164 168 167 7,493 
2015157 144 144 146 131 136 137 140 10,353 
2016138 141 136 145 147 144 146 (15)13,592 
2017159 185 172 171 177 180 (5)16,109 
2018143 159 152 159 165 (16)14,165 
2019143 141 139 134 8,562 
2020149 141 137 12 5,019 
2021129 128 40 4,847 
2022142 83 3,549 
Total$1,476 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$41 $81 $99 $110 $117 $119 $124 $131 $132 $133 
201440 80 115 129 149 154 157 159 162 
201539 84 114 124 132 138 139 140 
201635 79 104 120 130 138 141 
201747 109 140 151 160 172 
201836 103 137 146 154 
201935 82 100 110 
202031 68 90 
202125 63 
202227 
Total$1,192 
Package Business
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$579 $565 $573 $585 $586 $592 $586 $587 $583 $582 $20 43,716 
2014566 578 601 602 603 603 593 581 576 24 43,483 
2015582 588 585 583 588 581 567 564 22 42,330 
2016655 638 632 625 611 595 591 36 44,224 
2017695 702 692 657 644 637 48 46,771 
2018719 724 688 667 655 78 45,088 
2019813 769 749 744 116 43,573 
2020915 893 877 245 62,208 
2021946 954 309 46,012 
20221,038 532 37,966 
Total$7,218 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$225 $339 $414 $467 $504 $522 $541 $549 $552 $556 
2014226 345 416 468 507 525 535 542 545 
2015212 332 383 445 486 505 513 530 
2016225 353 410 465 500 521 540 
2017235 372 447 496 534 561 
2018237 402 451 498 537 
2019254 413 488 571 
2020326 493 573 
2021368 556 
2022319 
Total$5,288 
Commercial Property
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$267 $252 $254 $252 $249 $247 $247 $247 $247 $247 $— 21,690 
2014293 281 282 279 279 280 280 279 279 (1)21,119 
2015298 301 302 301 305 303 301 301 21,143 
2016405 418 398 405 407 407 404 — 24,085 
2017576 515 455 438 440 437 24,719 
2018450 436 423 403 400 21,907 
2019480 439 418 420 (3)21,098 
2020501 468 439 64 20,511 
2021530 499 74 18,188 
2022496 183 15,326 
Total$3,922 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$161 $223 $238 $243 $242 $244 $245 $245 $244 $244 
2014170 250 270 279 279 279 279 280 280 
2015178 257 284 295 301 303 301 301 
2016214 341 377 394 400 405 405 
2017228 377 411 426 432 438 
2018187 344 378 385 393 
2019215 351 383 405 
2020221 336 355 
2021241 382 
2022180 
Total$3,383 
Commercial Automobile Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$311 $318 $334 $341 $340 $339 $336 $334 $333 $332 $34,172 
2014309 317 331 337 341 334 333 332 332 30,096 
2015308 358 372 356 356 359 360 358 28,587 
2016385 393 390 391 391 395 395 29,201 
2017372 383 379 383 381 394 26,384 
2018349 396 405 406 424 27 24,733 
2019425 439 450 460 61 28,473 
2020428 424 419 149 21,963 
2021440 443 252 19,623 
2022468 341 17,849 
Total$4,025 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$62 $130 $202 $259 $295 $311 $320 $323 $324 $326 
201459 131 197 252 299 309 318 320 325 
201562 142 207 267 314 335 344 348 
201665 147 232 303 339 357 379 
201760 134 211 285 328 368 
201862 153 238 305 360 
201967 160 247 327 
202055 119 200 
202155 127 
202264 
Total$2,824 
Commercial Automobile Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2020$51 $51 $50 $14,727 
202158 62 15,436 
202269 15,100 
Total$181 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202020212022
2020$45 $50 $49 
202151 61 
202259 
Total$169 
Professional Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Claims Made Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$207 $195 $186 $174 $173 $173 $171 $170 $168 $165 $11 5,983 
2014187 183 181 177 178 181 181 172 168 6,740 
2015164 174 179 189 212 205 198 195 (3)7,254 
2016183 176 202 195 193 194 192 13 8,421 
2017205 202 230 224 238 242 37 9,527 
2018247 278 274 274 269 24 10,138 
2019297 315 333 350 115 9,809 
2020369 364 337 185 7,945 
2021339 343 262 6,728 
2022348 306 5,896 
Total$2,609 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Claims Made Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$10 $44 $67 $87 $116 $131 $137 $142 $147 $148 
201438 74 107 130 134 146 145 150 
201540 85 107 124 140 163 174 
201650 88 110 123 146 165 
201711 48 87 122 150 179 
201815 72 128 163 197 
201921 77 148 199 
202019 71 118 
202115 55 
202218 
Total$1,403 
Bond
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$64 $58 $55 $48 $49 $39 $35 $34 $34 $29 $1,470 
201471 67 66 67 59 59 60 60 64 12 1,389 
201567 67 63 60 54 48 47 42 17 1,404 
201661 61 61 55 51 45 37 16 1,341 
201763 90 101 94 79 70 26 1,775 
201868 68 72 71 70 40 1,714 
201972 73 74 73 57 1,860 
202083 84 79 54 2,101 
202185 85 67 2,561 
202286 73 1,991 
Total$635 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$$$17 $19 $19 $19 $20 $20 $20 $20 
201418 31 40 43 43 44 46 47 52 
201520 24 31 34 32 30 25 
201612 15 20 22 22 22 
201746 55 54 42 43 
201816 23 24 29 
201913 15 16 
202012 21 
202121 
202211 
Total$260 
Assumed Reinsurance
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2013$115 $119 $102 $105 $102 $102 $103 $103 $103 $103 $— 1,668 
2014119 142 121 118 115 116 116 115 115 (1)1,814 
2015102 91 94 94 95 96 95 95 — 1,585 
201688 90 98 100 101 101 102 (5)1,766 
2017129 153 161 156 152 155 (2)2,213 
2018128 126 128 133 135 (14)2,412 
2019181 188 185 189 19 2,804 
2020183 180 186 55 2,157 
2021191 195 49 1,484 
2022266 154 712 
Total$1,541 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$53 $83 $91 $98 $100 $101 $102 $102 $103 $103 
201466 119 106 109 112 113 114 115 115 
201542 64 77 83 91 93 94 95 
201636 66 84 90 95 97 98 
201744 116 135 144 147 149 
201825 111 132 138 141 
201962 131 152 158 
202049 89 113 
202146 101 
202260 
Total$1,133 
Personal Automobile Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$1,131 $1,145 $1,144 $1,153 $1,152 $1,153 $1,157 $1,156 $1,155 $1,155 $205,487 
20141,146 1,153 1,198 1,200 1,199 1,202 1,201 1,199 1,199 209,024 
20151,195 1,340 1,338 1,330 1,331 1,328 1,324 1,320 216,901 
20161,407 1,402 1,393 1,397 1,395 1,386 1,384 215,855 
20171,277 1,275 1,228 1,214 1,200 1,198 187,545 
20181,108 1,104 1,072 1,058 1,056 28 156,258 
20191,018 1,010 991 986 52 139,641 
2020805 782 775 106 96,438 
2021881 886 224 100,945 
2022928 423 99,686 
Total$10,887 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$442 $816 $1,002 $1,091 $1,121 $1,135 $1,142 $1,144 $1,148 $1,149 
2014430 843 1,032 1,125 1,165 1,182 1,186 1,190 1,192 
2015475 935 1,142 1,243 1,292 1,304 1,310 1,313 
2016505 968 1,188 1,308 1,345 1,363 1,373 
2017441 836 1,033 1,123 1,161 1,180 
2018359 710 888 965 1,011 
2019323 654 816 897 
2020238 486 615 
2021247 553 
2022301 
Total$9,584 
Personal Automobile Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2020$349 $346 $342 $211,066 
2021412 413 225,425 
2022533 (5)224,117 
Total$1,288 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202020212022
2020$333 $341 $341 
2021388 411 
2022498 
Total$1,250 
Homeowners
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$673 $638 $637 $634 $632 $630 $629 $630 $629 $629 $113,556 
2014710 707 702 700 698 698 698 698 698 — 121,927 
2015690 703 690 684 684 684 684 684 120,010 
2016669 673 663 658 658 658 658 119,810 
2017866 889 884 783 775 774 124,761 
2018903 910 673 642 639 (1)102,870 
2019501 475 470 468 84,721 
2020525 512 513 20 88,347 
2021502 501 28 76,720 
2022499 113 57,936 
Total$6,063 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$467 $590 $611 $622 $626 $627 $628 $628 $628 $629 
2014526 663 684 691 695 697 697 698 698 
2015487 645 665 674 680 681 681 682 
2016481 621 640 649 653 655 656 
2017538 747 795 757 761 762 
2018484 712 616 619 627 
2019318 425 445 458 
2020335 454 478 
2021305 440 
2022298 
Total$5,728 
Property and casualty reserves, including IBNR
The Company estimates ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses by accident year. IBNR represents the excess of estimated ultimate loss reserves over case reserves. The process to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses is an integral part of the Company's reserve setting. Reserves for allocated and unallocated loss adjustment expenses are generally established separate from the reserves for losses.
Reserves for losses are set by line of business within the reporting segments. Case reserves are established by a claims handler on each individual claim and are adjusted as new information becomes known during the course of handling the claim. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge over a long period of time are referred to as long-tail lines of
business. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge more quickly are referred to as short-tail lines of business. The Company’s shortest tail lines of business are homeowners, commercial property and automobile physical damage. The longest tail lines of business include workers’ compensation, general liability and professional liability. For short-tail lines of business, emergence of paid loss and case reserves is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. For long-tail lines of business, emergence of paid losses and case reserves is less credible in the early periods after a given accident year and, accordingly, may not be indicative of ultimate losses.
The Company’s reserving actuaries regularly review reserves for both current and prior accident years using the most current claim data. A variety of actuarial methods and judgments are used for most lines of business to arrive at selections of
estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. The reserve selections incorporate input, as appropriate, from claims personnel, pricing actuaries and operating management about reported loss cost trends and other factors that could affect the reserve estimates.
For both short-tail and long-tail lines of business, an expected loss ratio ("ELR") is used to record initial reserves. This ELR is determined by starting with the average loss ratio of recent prior accident years and adjusting that ratio for the effect of expected changes to earned pricing, loss frequency and severity, mix of business, ceded reinsurance and other factors. For short-tail lines, IBNR for the current accident year is initially recorded as the product of the ELR for the period, earned premium for the period and the proportion of losses expected to be reported in future calendar periods for the current accident period. For long-tailed lines, IBNR reserves for the current accident year are initially recorded as the product of the ELR for the period and the earned premium for the period, less reported losses for the period. For certain short-tailed lines of business, including commercial property, homeowners, and automobile physical damage, IBNR amounts in the above loss development triangles are negative in certain accident years due to anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries on paid losses.
As losses for a given accident year emerge or develop in subsequent periods, reserving actuaries use other methods to estimate ultimate unpaid losses in addition to the ELR method. These primarily include paid and reported loss development methods, frequency/severity techniques and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method (a combination of the ELR and paid development or reported development method). Within any one line of business, the methods that are given more weight vary based primarily on the maturity of the accident year, the mix of business and the particular internal and external influences impacting the claims experience or the methods. The output of the reserve reviews are reserve estimates that are referred to as actuarial indications.
Paid development and reported development techniques are used for most lines of business though more weight is given to the reported development method for some of the long-tailed lines like general liability. In addition, for long-tailed lines of business, the Company relies on the ELR method for immature accident years. Frequency/severity techniques are used predominantly for professional liability and are also used for automobile liability. The Berquist-Sherman technique is also used for automobile liability, marine and assumed reinsurance. For most lines, reserves for allocated loss adjustment expenses ("ALAE"), or those expenses related to specific claims) are analyzed using paid development techniques and an analysis of the relationship between ALAE and loss payments. For most of the lines acquired through the Navigators Group book of business, loss and ALAE are reviewed on a combined basis. Reserves for ULAE are determined using the expected cost per claim year and the anticipated claim closure pattern as well as the ratio of paid ULAE to paid losses.
The recorded reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses represents the Company's best estimate of the ultimate settlement amount of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. In applying judgment, the best estimate is selected after considering the estimates derived from a number of actuarial methods, giving more weight to those methods
deemed more predictive of ultimate unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. The Company does not produce a statistical range or confidence interval of reserve estimates and, since reserving methods with more credibility are given greater weight, the selected best estimate may differ from the mid-point of the various estimates produced by the actuarial methods used.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For most property and casualty lines, claim counts represent the number of claim features on a reported claim where a claim feature is each separate coverage for each claimant affected by the claim event. For example, one car accident that results in two bodily injury claims and one automobile damage liability claim would be counted as three claims within the personal automobile liability triangle. Similarly, a fire that impacts one commercial building may result in multiple claim features due to the potential for claims related to business interruption, structural damage, and loss of the physical contents of the building. Claim features that result in no paid losses are included in the reported claim counts. For some property and casualty lines, such as marine and assumed reinsurance, a claim count represents each reported claim regardless of the number of features. For assumed bordereau business and business written on binders, one claim count is posted for each bordereau received, which could account for multiple claims.
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance [1]
(Unaudited)
Reserve Line1st Year2nd Year3rd Year4th Year5th Year6th Year7th Year8th Year9th Year10th Year
Workers' compensation15.1 %18.4 %12.0 %8.0 %5.4 %3.8 %2.6 %2.0 %1.3 %1.2 %
General liability2.8 %7.5 %13.9 %18.0 %16.6 %11.9 %7.9 %4.2 %3.4 %2.8 %
Marine24.2 %31.3 %17.5 %7.7 %6.4 %4.1 %2.0 %2.7 %1.0 %0.6 %
Package business36.8 %21.1 %10.3 %9.2 %6.4 %3.4 %2.4 %1.9 %0.5 %0.7 %
Commercial property52.4 %30.1 %7.4 %3.4 %1.1 %0.8 %0.1 %— %— %— %
Commercial automobile liability15.4 %19.7 %19.9 %17.2 %11.8 %5.8 %3.4 %0.9 %0.8 %0.5 %
Commercial automobile physical damage85.3 %12.7 %(0.4 %)
Professional liability5.0 %17.4 %18.6 %13.9 %11.7 %8.7 %8.1 %2.7 %3.2 %0.3 %
Bond11.3 %22.6 %12.3 %6.1 %0.4 %(0.4 %)(0.1 %)(2.9 %)4.1 %(1.1 %)
Assumed Reinsurance34.1 %36.0 %9.9 %5.1 %3.5 %1.6 %1.4 %0.3 %0.4 %0.2 %
Personal automobile liability34.1 %33.5 %16.2 %7.8 %3.3 %1.3 %0.6 %0.2 %0.3 %0.1 %
Personal automobile physical damage94.9 %4.0 %(0.1 %)
Homeowners69.3 %24.4 %1.6 %0.5 %0.7 %0.2 %0.1 %— %0.1 %— %
[1]Negative percentages are generally due to salvage, subrogation or other recoveries.
Rollforward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
For the years ended December 31,
202220212020
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$8,210 $8,233 $8,256 
Reinsurance recoverables [1]245 237 247 
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
7,965 7,996 8,009 
Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
Current incurral year4,853 5,021 4,511 
Prior year's discount accretion202 201 209 
Prior incurral year development [2](381)(458)(445)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses [3]4,674 4,764 4,275 
Payments
Current incurral year(2,456)(2,631)(2,288)
Prior incurral years(2,268)(2,164)(2,000)
Total payments
(4,724)(4,795)(4,288)
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
7,915 7,965 7,996 
Reinsurance recoverables245 245 237 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$8,160 $8,210 $8,233 
[1]Includes a cumulative effect adjustment of $(1) in 2020 representing an adjustment to the ACL recorded on adoption of accounting guidance for credit losses on January 1, 2020. See Note 1 - Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies.
[2]Prior incurral year development represents the change in estimated ultimate incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior incurral years on a discounted basis.
[3]Includes unallocated loss adjustment expenses of $185, $179 and $178 for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, respectively, that are recorded in insurance operating costs and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Group Life, Disability and Accident Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance, that are Discounted
For the years ended December 31,
202220212020
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts$8,124 $8,176 $8,380 
Amount of discount(1,205)(1,304)(1,353)
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses$6,919 $6,872 $7,027 
Weighted average discount rate3.2 %3.3 %3.4 %
Range of discount rate2.1 %-8.0 %2.1 %-8.0 %2.1 %-8.0 %
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 2.1% for life and disability reserves acquired from Aetna based on interest rates in effect at the acquisition date of November 1, 2017, to 8.0% for the Company’s pre-acquisition reserves for incurral year 1990, and vary by product. Prior year's discount accretion has been calculated as the average reserve balance for the year times the weighted average discount rate.
2022 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $325 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions, strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims and higher estimated claim termination rates.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $50 largely driven by continued low incidence in group life premium waiver as well as a reduction in estimated excess mortality losses incurred in fourth quarter 2021.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $6 driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence.
2021 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $380 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions together with strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims, and by a New York Paid Family Leave risk adjustment benefit.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $65 largely driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence in both group life premium waiver and group accidental death and dismemberment.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $10 driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence during the pandemic.
2020 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $365 largely driven by group long-term disability lower claim incidence and higher recoveries on prior incurral year claims, and a New York Paid Family Leave risk adjustment benefit.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $65 largely driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence in group life premium waiver.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $15 driven by lower-than-expected emergence of prior year claims, especially for voluntary critical Illness and voluntary accident products.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses as of December 31, 2022
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceSubtotal
Reserve LineCumulative Incurred for Incurral Years Displayed in TrianglesCumulative Paid for Incurral Years Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid for Incurral Years not Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceDiscountUnpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceReinsurance and Other RecoverablesLiability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Group long-term disability$14,081 $(8,142)$1,510 $193 $(1,107)$6,535 $231 $6,766 
Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver6,509 (5,946)161 (15)714 721 
Group short-term disability126 — 134 — 134 
Group life premium waiver565 13 (83)495 497 
Group supplemental health37 — 37 42 
Total Group Benefits$20,590 $(14,088)$2,399 $219 $(1,205)$7,915 $245 $8,160 
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by the year the insured claim occurred, referred to as the incurral year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed.
Changes in reserve development evident in the incurred loss triangles differ from prior accident year development recorded by the Company as shown in the reserve rollforward above as the triangles are presented on an undiscounted basis and exclude ULAE.
Group Long-Term Disability
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral
Year
2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2013$1,660 $1,479 $1,429 $1,429 $1,416 $1,413 $1,399 $1,385 $1,378 $1,376 $— 30,655 
20141,636 1,473 1,430 1,431 1,431 1,408 1,395 1,389 1,382 — 31,808 
20151,595 1,442 1,422 1,420 1,401 1,385 1,380 1,380 — 32,597 
20161,651 1,481 1,468 1,437 1,417 1,409 1,401 — 33,313 
20171,597 1,413 1,358 1,316 1,304 1,296 — 30,996 
20181,647 1,387 1,309 1,277 1,276 28,428 
20191,650 1,424 1,327 1,284 27,436 
20201,686 1,407 1,323 25,793 
20211,768 1,521 31 26,754 
20221,842 962 16,039 
Total$14,081 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
2013$102 $443 $664 $791 $881 $954 $1,016 $1,067 $1,113 $1,153 
2014103 448 675 801 884 960 1,025 1,079 1,122 
2015108 460 687 806 891 962 1,025 1,078 
2016112 479 705 819 907 981 1,043 
2017109 452 658 757 842 911 
2018105 447 639 743 827 
2019101 454 650 751 
2020100 458 663 
2021101 493 
2022101 
Total$8,142 
Group Life and Accident, excluding Premium Waiver
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year202020212022IBNR ReservesClaims Reported
2020$2,072 $2,072 $2,083 $11 61,848 
20212,384 2,365 30 68,539 
20222,061 375 56,171 
Total$6,509 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year202020212022
2020$1,524 $2,033 $2,064 
20211,764 2,320 
20221,562 
Total$5,946 
Group life, disability and accident reserves, including IBNR
The majority of Group Benefits’ reserves are for long-term disability ("LTD") claimants who are known to be disabled and are currently receiving benefits. A Disabled Life Reserve ("DLR") is calculated for each LTD claim. The DLR for each claim is the expected present value of all estimated future benefit payments and includes estimates of claim recovery, investment yield, and offsets from other income, including offsets from Social Security benefits and workers’ compensation. Estimated future benefit payments represent the monthly income benefit that is paid until recovery, death or expiration of benefits. Claim recoveries are estimated based on claim characteristics such as age and diagnosis and represent an estimate of benefits that will terminate, generally as a result of the claimant returning to work or being deemed able to return to work. The DLR also includes a liability for payments to claimants who have not yet been approved for LTD. In these cases, the present value of future benefits is reduced for the likelihood of claim denial based on Company experience. For claims recently closed due to recovery, a portion of the DLR is retained for the possibility that the claim reopens upon further evidence of disability. In addition, a reserve for estimated unpaid claim expenses is included in the DLR.
For incurral years with IBNR claims, estimates of ultimate losses are made by applying completion factors to the dollar amount of claims reported or expected depending on the market segment. IBNR represents estimated ultimate losses less both DLR and cumulative paid amounts for all reported claims. Completion factors are derived using standard actuarial techniques using triangles that display historical claim count emergence by incurral month. These estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends and other factors expected to cause a change in claim emergence. The IBNR includes an estimate of unpaid claim expenses, including a provision for the cost of initial set-up of the claim once reported.
For all products, including LTD, there is a period generally ranging from two to twelve months, depending on the product and market segment, where emerged claim information for an incurral year is not yet credible enough to be a basis for an IBNR projection. In these cases, the ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are estimated using earned premium multiplied by an expected loss ratio.
The Company also records reserves for future death benefits under group term life policies that provide for premiums to be waived in the event the insured is unable to work due to disability and has satisfied an elimination period, which is typically nine months (premium waiver reserves). The death benefit reserve for these group life premium waiver claims is estimated for a known disabled claimant equal to the present value of expected future cash outflows (typically a lump sum face amount payable at death plus claim expenses) with separate estimates for claimant recovery (when no death benefit is payable) and for death before recovery or benefit expiry (when death benefit is payable). The IBNR for premium waiver death benefits is estimated with standard actuarial development methods.
In addition, the Company also records reserves for group term life, accidental death & dismemberment, short term disability, and other group products that have short claim payout periods. For these products, reserves are determined using paid or reported actuarial development methods. The resulting claim triangles produce a completion pattern and estimate of ultimate loss. IBNR for these lines of business equals the estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses less the amount of paid or reported claims depending on whether the paid or reported development method was used. Estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends or other factors that affect the development pattern.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For group life, disability and accident coverages, claim counts include claims that are approved, pending approval and terminated and exclude denied claims. Due to the nature of the claims, one claimant represents one event.
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Unaudited)
1st Year2nd Year3rd Year4th Year5th Year6th Year7th Year8th Year9th Year10th Year
Group long-term disability7.5 %26.1 %15.8 %8.4 %6.4 %5.3 %4.5 %3.8 %3.2 %2.9 %
Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver74.6 %24.0 %1.4 %
12. RESERVE FOR FUTURE POLICY BENEFITS
Changes in Reserves for Future Policy Benefits [1]
For the years ended December 31,
20222021
Beginning liability balance$596 $638 
Incurred102 61 
Paid(119)(94)
Change in unrealized investment gains and losses(18)(9)
Ending liability balance$561 $596 
Ending reinsurance recoverable asset$29 $22 
[1]Reserve for future policy benefits includes paid-up life insurance and whole-life policies resulting from conversion from group life policies included within the Group Benefits segment and reserves for run-off structured settlement and terminal funding agreement liabilities, which are in the Corporate category.