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Reserve for Future Policy Benefits
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2023
Insurance Loss Reserves [Abstract]  
Reserve for Future Policy Benefits
Rollforward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses

 
For the years ended December 31,
 202320222021
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$33,083 $31,449 $29,622 
Reinsurance and other recoverables6,465 6,081 5,725 
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
26,618 25,368 23,897 
Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
   
Current accident year9,538 8,577 7,911 
Prior accident year development [1]10 36 199 
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
9,548 8,613 8,110 
Change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance included in other liabilities [1](194)(229)(246)
Payments
   
Current accident year(2,716)(2,424)(2,276)
Prior accident years(5,926)(4,678)(4,119)
Total payments
(8,642)(7,102)(6,395)
Foreign currency adjustment18 (32)
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
27,348 26,618 25,368 
Reinsurance and other recoverables6,696 6,465 6,081 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$34,044 $33,083 $31,449 
[1]Prior accident year development does not include the benefit of a portion of losses ceded under the Navigators and A&E ADC which, under retroactive reinsurance accounting, is deferred and is recognized over the period the ceded losses are recovered in cash from National Indemnity Company ("NICO"), a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc. For additional information regarding the two adverse development cover reinsurance agreements, refer to Adverse Development Covers discussion below.
Property and Casualty Insurance Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance, that are Discounted
For the years ended December 31,
202320222021
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts$1,255 $1,343 $1,405 
Amount of discount339 347 355 
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses$916 $996 $1,050 
Discount accretion included in losses and loss adjustment expenses$42 $36 $36 
Weighted average discount rate2.74 %2.71 %2.54 %
Range of discount rates0.83 %-14.03 %0.83 %-14.03 %0.83 %-14.03 %
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 0.83% for accident year 2020 to 14.03% for accident year 1981.
The reserves recorded for the Company’s property and casualty insurance products at December 31, 2023 represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses related to losses covered by policies written by the Company. However, because of the significant uncertainties surrounding reserves it is possible that management’s estimate of the ultimate liabilities for these claims may change and that the required adjustment to recorded reserves could exceed the currently recorded reserves by an amount that could be material to the Company’s results of operations or cash flows.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses are also impacted by trends including frequency and severity as well as changes in the legislative and regulatory environment. In the case of the reserves for asbestos exposures, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in the ultimate settlement of the liabilities gross of reinsurance include inadequate loss development patterns, plaintiffs’ expanding theories of liability, the risks inherent in major litigation, and inconsistent emerging legal doctrines. In the case of the reserves for environmental exposures before reinsurance, factors contributing to the high degree of uncertainty in gross reserves include expanding theories of liabilities and damages, the risks inherent in major litigation, inconsistent decisions concerning the existence and scope of coverage for environmental claims, and uncertainty as to the monetary amount being sought by the claimant from the insured.
(Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development
For the years ended December 31,
202320222021
Workers’ compensation$(236)$(204)$(190)
Workers’ compensation discount accretion42 36 35 
General liability41 56 454 
Marine(2)
Package business(24)(39)(91)
Commercial property(7)(11)(26)
Professional liability(2)(11)(2)
Bond(27)(32)(26)
Assumed reinsurance34 19 (6)
Automobile liability - Commercial Lines20 38 
Automobile liability - Personal Lines— (14)(90)
Homeowners(6)(1)
Net asbestos and environmental reserves— — — 
Catastrophes(87)(62)(154)
Uncollectible reinsurance13 (6)
Other reserve re-estimates, net 57 27 42 
Prior accident year development, including full benefit for the ADC cession
(184)(193)(47)
Change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance included in other liabilities [1]194 229 246 
Total prior accident year development$10 $36 $199 
[1]The change in deferred gain for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021 included $194, $229 and $155, respectively of adverse development on A&E reserves in excess of ceded premium paid and included $0, $0 and $91 respectively, of adverse development on Navigators 2018 and prior accident year reserves ceded to NICO, primarily within professional liability, general liability and marine.
2023 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were decreased within the 2014 to 2020 accident years primarily in small commercial, driven by lower than previously estimated claim
severity. In addition, the majority of the 2020 accident year relates to a $38 reduction of COVID-19 related reserves.
General liability reserves were increased driven by higher frequency and estimated cost to settle large individual claims for the 2016 to 2019 accident years, partially offset by a decrease in reserves for the 2020 accident year due to favorable experience. In addition, reserves for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims were increased for older accident years. Also included was a decrease in reserves for extra contractual liability claims and other miscellaneous run-off lines.
Package business reserves decreased primarily due to lower than previously estimated property severity for accident year 2019 and 2021. Package liability is flat overall with reserve increases related to higher severity across multiple accident years offset by improvement in accident year 2020 due to favorable claim count emergence.
Commercial property reserves decreased primarily due to favorable development for accident years 2018 and 2021. In accident year 2022, unfavorable development in middle & large commercial was offset by favorable development in global specialty.
Professional liability reserves decreased modestly due to favorable development on directors' and officers' ("D&O") claims driven by the 2020 and 2021 accident years, partially offset by deterioration in 2019 and prior accident years experience across errors and omissions and other claims.
Bond reserves decreased primarily due to improvement in fidelity in 2013 and prior accident years, as well as improvement in contract surety in 2019 and prior accident years, partially offset by unfavorable development for 2013 and prior accident years related to customs bonds.
Assumed reinsurance reserves were increased due to higher reserve estimates in the Latin America casualty and surety business.
Automobile liability reserves - Commercial Lines increased primarily due to adverse loss development from elevated large loss frequency and severity pressures within middle & large commercial for accident year 2022, as well as unfavorable experience in accident year 2019, partly offset by favorable development in accident years 2020 and 2021.
Automobile liability reserves - Personal Lines were flat as increases for accident year 2022 from higher estimated severity and increasing attorney representation rates were fully offset by decreases, primarily within accident years 2019 to 2021, due to lower estimated severity.
Catastrophe reserves were decreased primarily within Commercial Lines driven by a reduction in reserves in accident year 2022 for Hurricane Ian and accident year 2021 for Hurricane Ida.
Uncollectible reinsurance was increased primarily in Commercial Lines related to a captive reinsurer and, to a lesser extent, an increase in reserves for potential collection disputes and credit concerns.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, were increased primarily due to an increase in unallocated loss adjustment expense ("ULAE") reserves within P&C Other Operations driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves, as well as an increase in accident year 2022 Personal Lines automobile physical damage severity.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2023 resulting in a $194 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $156 for asbestos and $38 for environmental. The Company recognized a $194 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 15 - Commitments and Contingencies.
2022 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were decreased for the 2014 through 2018 accident years, predominately within small commercial, and to a lesser extent in middle & large commercial, driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity and, to a lesser extent, a $14 reduction of COVID-19 related claims from 2020.
General liability reserves were increased, driven by an increase in the estimated cost to settle large individual claims in middle & large commercial for the 2016 to 2019 accident years, an increase in excess casualty and environmental in recent accident years, and increases in primary construction on older accident years, partially offset by a decrease in reserves for other mass torts.
Package business reserves decreased due to lower estimated severity and lower estimated loss adjustment expenses for accident years 2018 and prior, and a reduction in property reserves for the 2020 and 2021 accident years.
Commercial property reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development for the 2020 accident year in middle & large commercial related to COVID-19 claims.
Professional liability reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development on D&O claims for the 2018 to 2020 accident years and on errors and omissions claims for the 2013 to 2017 accident years, partially offset by large losses related to 2018 and prior accident years for primary and excess D&O claims.
Bond reserves were decreased primarily in contract surety due to favorable development on older accident years.
Assumed reinsurance reserves were increased primarily due to higher reserve estimates for syndicate property claims, including higher expected COVID-19 property losses in the 2020 accident year and increased reserves for international agriculture related to drought claims. Also contributing were reserve increases for Latin America P&C and specialty casualty business in recent accident years.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower estimated severity on AARP Direct claims, primarily within accident years 2015 to 2020 and were increased in Commercial Lines principally due to a higher number of large claims in accident years 2017 to 2019, along with decreasing settlement rates and increasing attorney rep rates.
Catastrophes reserves were decreased in both Commercial and Personal Lines with the largest reduction related to 2019 and 2020 wind and hail events.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2022 resulting in a $229 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $162 for asbestos and $67 for environmental. The Company recognized a $229 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 15 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, were increased primarily due to an increase in ULAE reserves within P&C Other Operations driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves, as well as unfavorable development from participation in involuntary market pools, and increased automobile physical damage severity.
2021 re-estimates of prior accident year reserves
Workers’ compensation reserves were decreased within small commercial and middle & large commercial for the 2013 through 2018 accident years driven by lower than previously estimated claim severity.
General liability reserves were increased including an increase for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims above the amount of reserves previously recorded for this exposure, primarily to reflect an increase in reserves for claims made against the Boy Scouts of America ("BSA") as discussed further below, partially offset by reserve decreases for other mass torts and extra contractual liability claims. In addition, the Company recognized reserve increases on Navigators’ wholesale construction business for 2018 and prior accident years, largely included within the change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Package business reserves decreased largely due to lower estimated loss adjustment expenses for accident years 2014 to 2018 and a reduction in estimated reserves for extra contractual liability claims.
Commercial property reserves were decreased primarily due to favorable development for the 2020 accident year in both middle & large commercial and global specialty.
Professional liability reserves were decreased due to lower estimated severity in both large and middle market D&O insurance for older accident years. More than offsetting this favorable reserve development were reserve increases on legacy Navigators public company D&O insurance for 2019 and
prior accident years, a portion of which is reflected within the change in deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance in the above table.
Bond reserves were reduced mostly due to favorable emergence on contract surety claims driven by higher than previously anticipated recoveries, largely for the 2016 to 2017 accident years.
Automobile liability reserves were decreased in Personal Lines principally due to lower estimated severity on AARP Direct and Agency claims, primarily within accident years 2017 to 2020, and a reduction in estimated reserves for extra contractual liability claims.
Catastrophes reserves were decreased in both Commercial and Personal Lines primarily driven by a reduction in reserves for 2018 and 2019 wind and hail events, lower estimated losses from 2018 and 2020 hurricanes, a reduction in estimated losses from the 2017 and 2018 California wildfires, including an expected recovery of subrogation from a utility related to the 2018 Woolsey wildfire in California, and a reduction in losses relating to the 2020 civil unrest.
Asbestos and environmental reserves were reviewed in fourth quarter 2021 resulting in a $155 increase in reserves before ADC reinsurance, including $106 for asbestos and $49 for environmental. The Company recognized a $155 deferred gain on retroactive reinsurance, representing the amount of losses ceded to the ADC in excess of ceded premium paid. For additional information related to the adverse development cover with NICO, see the Adverse Development Covers section below and Note 15 - Commitments and Contingencies.
Other reserve re-estimates, net, were increased primarily due to an increase in reserves for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims within P&C Other Operations, principally on assumed reinsurance, as well as an increase in ULAE reserves within P&C Other Operations driven by an increase in gross asbestos and environmental reserves.
Settlement Agreement with Boy Scouts of America
On February 14, 2022, the Company executed a final settlement agreement (the “Settlement”) with the BSA, the Local Councils, and the attorneys representing a majority of the alleged victims, pursuant to which The Hartford agreed to pay $787 for sexual molestation and sexual abuse claims associated with liability policies issued by various Hartford Writing Companies in the 1970s and early 1980s. In exchange for its payment, the Company receives a complete release of its policies issued to BSA and the Local Councils, as well as an injunction against further abuse claims involving BSA. All conditions precedent to the Settlement have been satisfied, including approval by the bankruptcy court and the district court, and on April 20, 2023, The Hartford paid the Settlement amount of $787. Certain objecting parties have appealed the district court’s ruling and that appeal is pending before the Third Circuit. If the court approvals for the BSA’s plan of reorganization are not affirmed on appeal, it is possible that adverse outcomes, if any, could have a material adverse effect on the Company’s operating results.
Adverse Development Covers
The Company has an adverse development cover reinsurance agreement with NICO, a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., to reinsure loss development after 2016 on substantially all of the Company’s asbestos and environmental reserves (the “A&E ADC”). Under the A&E ADC, the Company paid a reinsurance premium of $650 for NICO to assume adverse net loss reserve development up to $1.5 billion above the Company’s existing net A&E reserves as of December 31, 2016 of approximately $1.7 billion including reserves for A&E exposure for accident years prior to 1986 that are reported in Property & Casualty Other Operations ("Run-off A&E") and reserves for A&E exposure for accident years 1986 and subsequent from policies underwritten prior to 2016 that are reported in ongoing Commercial Lines and Personal Lines. The $650 reinsurance premium was placed into a collateral trust account as security for NICO’s claim payment obligations to the Company. The Company has retained the risk of collection on amounts due from other third-party reinsurers and continues to be responsible for claims handling and other administrative services, subject to certain conditions. The A&E ADC covers substantially all the Company’s A&E reserve development up to the reinsurance limit.
Under retroactive reinsurance accounting, net adverse A&E reserve development after December 31, 2016 results in an offsetting reinsurance recoverable up to the $1.5 billion limit. Cumulative ceded losses up to the $650 reinsurance premium paid have been recognized as a dollar-for-dollar offset to direct losses incurred. Cumulative ceded losses exceeding the $650 reinsurance premium paid result in a deferred gain. As of December 31, 2023, the Company has incurred $1,438 in cumulative adverse development on asbestos and environmental reserves that have been ceded under the A&E ADC treaty with NICO with $62 of available limit remaining under the A&E ADC. As a result, the Company has recorded a
$788 deferred gain within other liabilities, representing the difference between the reinsurance recoverable of $1,438 and ceded premium paid of $650. The deferred gain is recognized over the claim settlement period in the proportion of the amount of cumulative ceded losses collected from the reinsurer to the estimated ultimate reinsurance recoveries. Consequently, until periods when the deferred gain is recognized as a benefit to earnings, cumulative adverse development of asbestos and environmental claims will result in charges against earnings which may be significant.
Immediately after closing on the acquisition of Navigators Group, effective May 23, 2019, the Company purchased the Navigators ADC, an aggregate excess of loss reinsurance agreement covering adverse reserve development, from NICO on behalf of Navigators Insurance Company and certain of its affiliates (collectively, “Navigators Insurers"). Under the Navigators ADC, the Navigators Insurers paid NICO a reinsurance premium of $91 in exchange for reinsurance coverage of $300 of adverse net loss reserve development that attaches $100 above the Navigators Insurers' existing net loss and allocated loss adjustment reserves as of December 31, 2018 subject to the treaty of $1.816 billion for accidents and losses prior to December 31, 2018.
As of December 31, 2023, the Company has recorded a reinsurance recoverable under the Navigators ADC of $300 as estimated cumulative loss development on the 2018 and prior accident year reserves has exhausted the treaty limit. While the reinsurance recoverable is $300, the Company has recorded a $209 cumulative deferred gain within other liabilities since, under retroactive reinsurance accounting, ceded losses in excess of the $91 of ceded premium paid must be recognized as a deferred gain. Of the $209 of cumulative ceded losses in excess of ceded premium paid, $0, $0 and $91 were recognized as changes in deferred gain in 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses As of December 31, 2023
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceSubtotal
Reserve LineCumulative Incurred for Accident Years Displayed in TrianglesCumulative Paid for Accident Years Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid for Accident Years not Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceDiscountUnpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceReinsurance and Other RecoverablesLiability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Workers' compensation$18,050 $(9,482)$3,581 $388 $(325)$12,212 $1,651 $13,863 
General liability8,271 (3,772)497 172 — 5,168 1,160 6,328 
Marine1,452 (1,182)11 14 — 295 255 550 
Package business7,856 (5,797)102 120 — 2,281 54 2,335 
Commercial property4,068 (3,568)13 27 — 540 271 811 
Commercial automobile liability4,243 (2,945)21 32 — 1,351 99 1,450 
Commercial automobile physical damage215 (194)— 25 — 25 
Professional liability2,846 (1,511)68 46 — 1,449 734 2,183 
Bond680 (284)26 36 — 458 14 472 
Assumed Reinsurance1,798 (1,242)— — 562 44 606 
Personal automobile liability10,874 (9,393)29 62 — 1,572 27 1,599 
Personal automobile physical damage1,535 (1,462)— 84 — 84 
Homeowners6,009 (5,677)35 — 372 376 
Other ongoing business170 (14)161 347 508 
Asbestos and environmental [1]340 — — 340 1,992 2,332 
Other operations [1]317 161 — 478 44 522 
Total P&C$67,897 $(46,509)$5,190 $1,109 $(339)$27,348 $6,696 $34,044 
[1]Asbestos and environmental and other operations include asbestos, environmental and other latent exposures not foreseen when coverages were written, including, but not limited to, potential liability for pharmaceutical products, silica, talcum powder, head injuries, lead paint, construction defects, sexual molestation and sexual abuse and other long-tail liabilities. These reserve lines do not have significant paid or incurred loss development for the most recent ten accident years and therefore do not have loss development displayed in triangles.
The reserve lines in the above table and the loss triangles that follow represent the significant lines of business for which the Company regularly reviews the appropriateness of reserve levels. These reserve lines differ from the reserve lines reported on a statutory basis, as prescribed by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"). The cumulative incurred losses displayed in the above table include the full reinsurance benefit of ceding $300 of losses to the Navigators ADC even though $209 of that benefit has been recorded as a deferred gain within other liabilities. The $300 of Navigators Insurers losses ceded to the Navigators ADC and reflected in the following triangles include $95 for professional liability, $105 for general liability, $38 for marine, $27 for assumed reinsurance, $14 for commercial automobile, $3 for commercial property, and $1 for bond. The triangles do not include $17 of losses ceded to the Navigators ADC related to older accident years and lines of business not in the triangles.
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by accident year, including loss development on Navigators Insurers reserves prior to and after the May 23, 2019 acquisition date. Because the loss triangles include pre-acquisition date changes in ultimate incurred loss
estimates for Navigators Insurers’ reserves, changes in reserve development evident in the incurred loss triangles may differ from prior accident year development ("PYD") recorded by the Company as shown in the (Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development table above as that only includes changes in Navigators Insurers’ reserves post acquisition. In addition, the incurred loss triangles include reserve development on both catastrophe and non-catastrophe claims whereas the (Favorable) Unfavorable Prior Accident Year Development table above shows the total amount of catastrophe reserve development across all lines of business on a single line.
Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed. IBNR reserves shown in loss triangles include reserves for incurred but not reported claims as well as reserves for expected development on reported claims. Incurred and cumulative paid losses in currencies other than the U.S. dollar have been converted into U.S. dollars using the exchange rates as of December 31, 2023.
Workers' Compensation
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$1,869 $1,838 $1,789 $1,761 $1,713 $1,692 $1,679 $1,654 $1,637 $1,615 $327 126,753 
20151,873 1,835 1,801 1,724 1,714 1,699 1,667 1,645 1,625 344 114,644 
20161,772 1,772 1,780 1,767 1,748 1,708 1,670 1,634 375 112,675 
20171,862 1,869 1,840 1,822 1,757 1,665 1,635 442 112,215 
20181,916 1,917 1,915 1,904 1,870 1,836 524 119,524 
20191,937 1,935 1,934 1,934 1,899 606 120,486 
20201,865 1,864 1,849 1,808 766 91,762 
20211,831 1,832 1,831 791 102,180 
20222,000 2,001 1,049 112,597 
20232,166 1,575 108,987 
Total$18,050 



Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$275 $598 $811 $960 $1,041 $1,099 $1,137 $1,167 $1,191 $1,207 
2015261 576 778 909 1,004 1,068 1,117 1,151 1,179 
2016255 579 779 908 1,003 1,064 1,110 1,145 
2017261 575 778 900 977 1,035 1,087 
2018283 624 837 983 1,090 1,170 
2019291 637 856 1,007 1,129 
2020223 507 695 850 
2021254 562 780 
2022293 649 
2023286 
Total$9,482 
General Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$506 $475 $481 $494 $513 $522 $515 $505 $510 $506 $33 16,609 
2015556 560 554 594 633 647 637 647 641 51 16,786 
2016613 583 607 632 632 620 636 670 65 17,833 
2017626 614 613 615 613 615 658 92 17,377 
2018692 669 697 703 728 751 158 18,783 
2019822 826 821 839 859 259 18,432 
2020938 923 923 874 496 14,006 
20211,002 991 983 676 11,943 
20221,116 1,110 873 11,167 
20231,219 1,173 7,835 
Total$8,271 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$15 $42 $130 $214 $304 $358 $402 $423 $437 $456 
201510 55 156 278 409 477 524 547 564 
201612 52 131 283 368 446 513 564 
201715 67 156 255 344 441 506 
201821 83 177 288 409 512 
201929 100 192 339 501 
202045 110 202 308 
202134 115 209 
202226 135 
202317 
Total$3,772 
Marine
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2014$164 $161 $159 $166 $165 $170 $169 $173 $172 $168 $(1)7,500 
2015159 147 147 149 134 139 141 144 141 — 10,374 
2016140 144 139 149 150 148 150 160 (6)13,616 
2017154 174 161 160 166 169 176 (3)16,101 
2018131 147 141 147 153 157 (15)10,678 
2019139 136 134 129 127 (1)7,085 
2020145 138 134 138 5,108 
2021127 128 119 29 5,161 
2022140 132 38 4,855 
2023134 85 3,297 
Total$1,452 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$41 $81 $117 $132 $152 $157 $160 $162 $165 $166 
201540 86 117 126 134 140 141 143 143 
201636 81 106 123 132 141 144 147 
201747 107 134 143 151 162 171 
201833 95 126 135 142 159 
201934 80 96 106 115 
202032 68 90 99 
202125 63 87 
202227 72 
202323 
Total$1,182 
Package Business
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$566 $578 $601 $602 $603 $603 $593 $581 $576 $577 $18 43,611 
2015582 588 585 583 588 581 567 564 564 15 42,415 
2016655 638 632 625 611 595 591 590 33 44,318 
2017695 702 692 657 644 637 640 43 46,880 
2018719 724 688 667 655 654 60 45,254 
2019813 769 749 744 747 81 43,820 
2020915 893 877 837 147 62,738 
2021946 954 958 235 47,187 
20221,038 1,039 317 45,649 
20231,250 570 40,286 
Total$7,856 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$226 $345 $416 $468 $507 $525 $535 $542 $545 $551 
2015212 332 383 445 486 505 513 530 542 
2016225 353 410 465 500 521 540 545 
2017235 372 447 496 534 561 578 
2018237 402 451 498 537 571 
2019254 413 488 571 626 
2020326 493 573 648 
2021368 556 650 
2022319 633 
2023453 
Total$5,797 
Commercial Property
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$293 $281 $282 $280 $280 $280 $280 $279 $279 $279 $(1)21,124 
2015299 301 302 302 306 304 302 302 301 21,149 
2016406 420 400 407 409 409 406 406 (1)24,099 
2017578 516 456 439 441 438 440 24,727 
2018450 436 424 403 400 393 (3)21,916 
2019480 439 418 420 421 — 21,105 
2020501 469 439 437 54 20,573 
2021530 500 463 45 18,285 
2022497 480 71 17,350 
2023448 140 15,390 
Total$4,068 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$170 $250 $270 $279 $279 $279 $280 $280 $280 $280 
2015179 257 285 296 302 303 302 302 302 
2016215 343 379 396 402 407 407 408 
2017229 378 412 427 433 439 440 
2018188 344 378 385 394 394 
2019215 351 383 405 407 
2020221 336 355 366 
2021241 382 403 
2022180 369 
2023199 
Total$3,568 
Commercial Automobile Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$309 $317 $331 $337 $341 $334 $333 $332 $332 $332 $30,171 
2015308 358 372 356 356 359 360 358 360 28,745 
2016385 393 390 391 391 395 395 396 29,260 
2017372 383 379 383 381 394 398 26,411 
2018349 396 405 406 424 433 21 24,799 
2019425 439 450 460 471 30 28,573 
2020428 424 419 397 79 22,194 
2021440 443 429 157 19,999 
2022468 500 238 20,384 
2023527 403 18,107 
Total$4,243 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expense, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$59 $131 $197 $252 $299 $309 $318 $320 $325 $328 
201562 142 207 267 314 335 344 348 350 
201665 147 232 303 339 357 379 385 
201760 134 211 285 328 368 386 
201862 153 238 305 360 387 
201967 160 247 327 393 
202055 119 200 264 
202155 127 212 
202264 171 
202369 
Total$2,945 
Commercial Automobile Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2021$58 $62 $61 $15,490 
202270 74 16,713 
202380 10 15,610 
Total$215 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202120222023
2021$51 $61 $61 
202259 72 
202361 
Total$194 
Professional Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Claims Made Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2014$187 $183 $181 $178 $179 $182 $183 $174 $169 $167 $6,751 
2015164 174 180 190 214 207 200 197 198 (3)7,266 
2016183 176 203 197 195 196 194 192 8,443 
2017205 203 231 226 239 242 217 9,514 
2018244 275 271 271 267 326 47 9,863 
2019295 313 330 347 355 77 9,921 
2020369 363 336 325 156 7,994 
2021339 343 327 207 6,698 
2022349 355 265 7,033 
2023384 338 6,725 
Total$2,846 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Claims Made Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$$38 $74 $108 $131 $135 $146 $145 $151 $157 
201541 86 108 125 141 164 175 186 
201651 88 111 124 148 167 177 
201711 48 87 122 149 179 191 
201815 72 127 161 195 233 
201921 77 148 198 241 
202019 71 118 147 
202115 55 95 
202218 64 
202320 
Total$1,511 
Bond
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$71 $67 $66 $67 $59 $59 $60 $60 $64 $62 $10 1,393 
201567 67 63 60 54 48 47 42 37 12 1,411 
201661 61 61 55 51 45 37 34 14 1,344 
201763 90 101 94 79 70 68 25 1,793 
201868 68 72 71 70 63 32 1,737 
201972 73 74 73 71 53 1,890 
202083 84 79 83 55 2,201 
202185 85 88 62 2,870 
202285 93 42 2,456 
202381 71 1,414 
Total$680 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$18 $31 $40 $43 $43 $44 $46 $47 $52 $52 
201520 24 31 34 32 30 25 25 
201612 15 20 22 22 22 20 
201746 55 54 42 43 43 
201816 23 24 29 29 
201913 15 16 16 
202012 21 26 
202121 23 
202211 42 
2023
Total$284 
Assumed Reinsurance
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves [1]
Claims
Reported
2014$119 $142 $122 $118 $115 $116 $116 $115 $116 $116 $(1)1,934 
2015102 92 95 94 95 96 96 96 96 (1)1,723 
201689 91 98 100 102 102 102 104 (2)1,975 
2017129 153 162 157 153 155 155 (3)2,557 
2018128 127 129 134 136 132 (17)3,026 
2019181 189 186 190 209 22 3,710 
2020183 181 187 179 29 3,177 
2021192 196 204 41 2,431 
2022266 274 101 1,971 
2023329 188 977 
Total$1,798 
[1]Contributing to the negative IBNR reserves for some accident years is a lag in the timing of expected reinsurance recoveries under the Navigators ADC with NICO. Recoveries from NICO will not be collected until the Company has cumulative loss payments for all covered lines of more than the attachment point.
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$66 $119 $106 $109 $112 $113 $115 $115 $115 $116 
201542 65 77 83 91 94 95 96 96 
201636 66 85 90 95 97 99 101 
201744 116 135 145 147 149 151 
201825 111 133 139 142 144 
201962 132 153 159 176 
202050 89 113 133 
202146 102 133 
202260 129 
202363 
Total$1,242 
Personal Automobile Liability
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$1,146 $1,153 $1,198 $1,200 $1,199 $1,202 $1,201 $1,199 $1,199 $1,199 $209,028 
20151,195 1,340 1,338 1,330 1,331 1,328 1,324 1,320 1,319 216,908 
20161,407 1,402 1,393 1,397 1,395 1,386 1,384 1,384 215,868 
20171,277 1,275 1,228 1,214 1,200 1,198 1,197 187,557 
20181,108 1,104 1,072 1,058 1,056 1,055 22 156,286 
20191,018 1,010 991 986 971 21 139,723 
2020805 782 775 741 37 96,668 
2021881 886 852 101 101,842 
2022928 1,018 235 106,927 
20231,138 586 99,620 
Total$10,874 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$430 $843 $1,032 $1,125 $1,165 $1,182 $1,186 $1,190 $1,192 $1,193 
2015475 935 1,142 1,243 1,292 1,304 1,310 1,313 1,314 
2016505 968 1,188 1,308 1,345 1,363 1,373 1,377 
2017441 836 1,033 1,123 1,161 1,180 1,187 
2018359 710 888 965 1,011 1,028 
2019323 654 816 897 933 
2020238 486 615 679 
2021247 553 691 
2022301 662 
2023329 
Total$9,393 
Personal Automobile Physical Damage
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2021$412 $413 $412 $225,735 
2022533 549 10 239,278 
2023574 27 222,805 
Total$1,535 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year202120222023
2021$388 $411 $411 
2022498 538 
2023513 
Total$1,462 
Homeowners
Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$710 $707 $702 $700 $698 $698 $698 $698 $698 $699 $— 121,928 
2015690 703 690 684 684 684 684 684 682 — 120,017 
2016669 673 663 658 658 658 658 658 — 119,815 
2017866 889 884 783 775 774 771 124,772 
2018903 910 673 642 639 645 11 102,905 
2019501 475 470 468 467 84,781 
2020525 512 513 505 12 88,502 
2021502 501 491 14 77,212 
2022499 507 27 63,841 
2023584 115 63,662 
Total$6,009 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Accident Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$526 $663 $684 $691 $695 $697 $697 $698 $698 $698 
2015487 645 665 674 680 681 681 682 682 
2016481 621 640 649 653 655 656 657 
2017538 747 795 757 761 762 761 
2018484 712 616 619 627 626 
2019318 425 445 458 460 
2020335 454 478 486 
2021305 440 464 
2022298 453 
2023390 
Total$5,677 
Property and casualty reserves, including IBNR
The Company estimates ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses ("ALAE") by accident year. IBNR represents the excess of estimated ultimate loss reserves over case reserves. The process to estimate ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses is an integral part of the Company's reserve setting. Reserves for ALAE and ULAE are generally established separate from the reserves for losses.
Reserves for losses are set by line of business within the reporting segments. Case reserves are established by a claims handler on each individual claim and are adjusted as new information becomes known during the course of handling the claim. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge over a long period of time are referred to as long-tail lines of business. Lines of business for which reported losses emerge
more quickly are referred to as short-tail lines of business. The Company’s shortest tail lines of business are homeowners, commercial property and automobile physical damage. The longest tail lines of business include workers’ compensation, general liability and professional liability. For short-tail lines of business, emergence of paid loss and case reserves is credible and likely indicative of ultimate losses. For long-tail lines of business, emergence of paid losses and case reserves is less credible in the early periods after a given accident year and, accordingly, may not be indicative of ultimate losses.
The Company’s reserving actuaries regularly review reserves for both current and prior accident years using the most current claim data. A variety of actuarial methods and judgments are used for most lines of business to arrive at selections of estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses. The
reserve selections incorporate input, as appropriate, from claims personnel, pricing actuaries and operating management about reported loss cost trends and other factors that could affect the reserve estimates.
For both short-tail and long-tail lines of business, an expected loss ratio ("ELR") is used to record initial reserves. This ELR is determined by starting with the average loss ratio of recent prior accident years and adjusting that ratio for the effect of expected changes to earned pricing, loss frequency and severity, mix of business, ceded reinsurance and other factors. For short-tail lines, IBNR for the current accident year ("CAY") is initially recorded as the product of the ELR for the period, earned premium for the period and the proportion of losses expected to be reported in future calendar periods for the current accident period. For long-tailed lines, IBNR reserves for the current accident year are initially recorded as the product of the ELR for the period and the earned premium for the period, less reported losses for the period. For certain short-tailed lines of business, including commercial property, homeowners, and automobile physical damage, IBNR amounts in the above loss development triangles are negative in certain accident years due to anticipated salvage and subrogation recoveries on paid losses.
As losses for a given accident year emerge or develop in subsequent periods, reserving actuaries use other methods to estimate ultimate unpaid losses in addition to the ELR method. These primarily include paid and reported loss development methods, frequency/severity techniques and the Bornhuetter-Ferguson method (a combination of the ELR and paid development or reported development method). Within any one line of business, the methods that are given more weight vary based primarily on the maturity of the accident year, the mix of business and the particular internal and external influences impacting the claims experience or the methods. The output of the reserve reviews are reserve estimates that are referred to as actuarial indications.
Paid development and reported development techniques are used for most lines of business though more weight is given to the reported development method for some of the long-tailed lines like general liability. In addition, for long-tailed lines of business, the Company relies on the ELR method for immature accident years. Frequency/severity techniques are used predominantly for professional liability and are also used for automobile liability. The Berquist-Sherman technique is also
used for automobile liability, marine and assumed reinsurance. For most lines, reserves for ALAE, or those expenses related to specific claims) are analyzed using paid development techniques and an analysis of the relationship between ALAE and loss payments. For most of the lines acquired through the Navigators Group book of business, loss and ALAE are reviewed on a combined basis. Reserves for ULAE are determined using the expected cost per claim year and the anticipated claim closure pattern as well as the ratio of paid ULAE to paid losses.
The recorded reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses represents the Company's best estimate of the ultimate settlement amount of unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. In applying judgment, the best estimate is selected after considering the estimates derived from a number of actuarial methods, giving more weight to those methods deemed more predictive of ultimate unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses. The Company does not produce a statistical range or confidence interval of reserve estimates and, since reserving methods with more credibility are given greater weight, the selected best estimate may differ from the mid-point of the various estimates produced by the actuarial methods used.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For most property and casualty lines, claim counts represent the number of claim features on a reported claim where a claim feature is each separate coverage for each claimant affected by the claim event. For example, one car accident that results in two bodily injury claims and one automobile damage liability claim would be counted as three claims within the personal automobile liability triangle. Similarly, a fire that impacts one commercial building may result in multiple claim features due to the potential for claims related to business interruption, structural damage, and loss of the physical contents of the building. Claim features that result in no paid losses are included in the reported claim counts. For some property and casualty lines, such as marine and assumed reinsurance, a claim count represents each reported claim regardless of the number of features. For assumed bordereau business and business written on binders, one claim count is posted for each bordereau received, which could account for multiple claims.

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance [1]
(Unaudited)
Reserve Line1st Year2nd Year3rd Year4th Year5th Year6th Year7th Year8th Year9th Year10th Year
Workers' compensation14.9 %18.4 %12.0 %8.2 %5.6 %3.8 %2.8 %2.1 %1.6 %1.0 %
General liability2.7 %7.6 %12.7 %16.7 %16.6 %12.3 %9.0 %5.1 %2.7 %3.9 %
Marine23.1 %31.8 %18.0 %7.2 %6.7 %6.0 %2.3 %1.5 %0.8 %0.4 %
Package business36.7 %22.3 %10.0 %9.1 %6.6 %3.9 %2.2 %1.7 %1.3 %1.1 %
Commercial property50.9 %32.1 %7.2 %3.5 %1.2 %0.6 %0.1 %0.1 %— %— %
Commercial automobile liability14.7 %19.9 %19.6 %16.9 %12.3 %6.0 %3.8 %1.1 %1.0 %0.9 %
Commercial automobile physical damage79.7 %17.1 %(0.2 %)
Professional liability5.0 %16.5 %18.1 %13.2 %10.7 %9.7 %8.5 %3.5 %4.2 %3.7 %
Bond11.7 %24.9 %9.4 %6.8 %0.3 %(0.4 %)(0.5 %)(5.5 %)4.0 %— %
Assumed Reinsurance30.4 %35.4 %10.8 %5.5 %4.6 %1.8 %1.3 %1.1 %0.5 %0.3 %
Personal automobile liability33.2 %34.2 %16.4 %8.0 %3.5 %1.4 %0.5 %0.3 %0.2 %0.1 %
Personal automobile physical damage91.3 %6.5 %0.1 %
Homeowners68.7 %25.7 %1.8 %0.5 %0.7 %0.1 %0.1 %— %— %— %
[1]Negative percentages are generally due to salvage, subrogation or other recoveries.
Rollforward of Liabilities for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
For the years ended December 31,
202320222021
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$8,160 $8,210 $8,233 
Reinsurance recoverables245 245 237 
Beginning liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
7,915 7,965 7,996 
Provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
Current incurral year5,145 4,853 5,021 
Prior year's discount accretion193 202 201 
Prior incurral year development [1](502)(381)(458)
Total provision for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses [2]4,836 4,674 4,764 
Payments
Current incurral year(2,575)(2,456)(2,631)
Prior incurral years(2,156)(2,268)(2,164)
Total payments
(4,731)(4,724)(4,795)
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, net
8,020 7,915 7,965 
Reinsurance recoverables254 245 245 
Ending liabilities for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, gross
$8,274 $8,160 $8,210 
[1]Prior incurral year development represents the change in estimated ultimate incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses for prior incurral years on a discounted basis.
[2]Includes unallocated loss adjustment expenses of $182, $185 and $179 for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, that are recorded in insurance operating costs and other expenses in the Consolidated Statements of Operations.
Group Life, Disability and Accident Products Reserves, Net of Reinsurance, that are Discounted
For the years ended December 31,
202320222021
Liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses, at undiscounted amounts$8,150 $8,124 $8,176 
Amount of discount(1,166)(1,205)(1,304)
Carrying value of liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses$6,984 $6,919 $6,872 
Weighted average discount rate3.2 %3.2 %3.3 %
Range of discount rate2.1 %-8.0 %2.1 %-8.0 %2.1 %-8.0 %
Reserves are discounted at rates in effect at the time claims were incurred, ranging from 2.1% for life and disability reserves acquired from Aetna based on interest rates in effect at the acquisition date of November 1, 2017, to 8.0% for the Company’s pre-acquisition reserves for incurral year 1990, and vary by product. Prior year's discount accretion has been calculated as the average reserve balance for the year times the weighted average discount rate.
2023 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $457 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions and strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $36 largely driven by continued low incidence in group life premium waiver.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $9 driven by lower than previously expected claim incidence.
2022 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $325 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions, strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims and higher estimated claim termination rates.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $50 largely driven by continued low incidence in group life premium waiver as well as a reduction in the estimation of high level of mortality losses incurred in fourth quarter 2021.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $6 driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence.
2021 re-estimates of prior incurral year reserves
Group disability- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $380 largely driven by group long-term disability claim incidence lower than prior assumptions together with strong recoveries on prior incurral year claims, and by a New York Paid Family Leave risk adjustment benefit.
Group life and accident (including group life premium waiver)- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $65 largely driven by lower-than-previously expected claim incidence in both group life premium waiver and group accidental loss of life and severe injury benefits.
Supplemental Accident & Health- Prior period reserve estimates decreased by approximately $10 driven by lower-than-expected emergence of prior year claims, especially for voluntary critical Illness and voluntary accident products.
Reconciliation of Loss Development to Liability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses as of December 31, 2023
Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceSubtotal
Reserve LineCumulative Incurred for Incurral Years Displayed in TrianglesCumulative Paid for Incurral Years Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid for Incurral Years not Displayed in TrianglesUnpaid Unallocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceDiscountUnpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of ReinsuranceReinsurance and Other RecoverablesLiability for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses
Group long-term disability$14,262 $(8,187)$1,434 $200 $(1,089)$6,620 $243 $6,863 
Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver6,525 (5,934)157 (14)739 744 
Group short-term disability148 — 157 — 157 
Group life premium waiver523 10 (63)470 472 
Group supplemental health34 — — 34 38 
Total Group Benefits$20,787 $(14,121)$2,296 $224 $(1,166)$8,020 $254 $8,274 
The following loss triangles present historical loss development for incurred and paid claims by the year the insured claim occurred, referred to as the incurral year. Triangles are limited to the number of years for which claims incurred typically remain outstanding, not exceeding ten years. Short-tail lines, which represent claims generally expected to be paid within a few years, have three years of claim development displayed.
Changes in reserve development evident in the incurred loss triangles differ from prior accident year development recorded by the Company as shown in the reserve rollforward above as the triangles are presented on an undiscounted basis and exclude ULAE.
Group Long-Term Disability
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral
Year
2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
IBNR
Reserves
Claims
Reported
2014$1,636 $1,473 $1,430 $1,431 $1,431 $1,408 $1,395 $1,389 $1,382 $1,382 $— 31,783 
20151,595 1,442 1,422 1,420 1,401 1,385 1,380 1,380 1,380 — 32,750 
20161,651 1,481 1,468 1,437 1,417 1,409 1,401 1,400 — 33,296 
20171,597 1,413 1,358 1,316 1,304 1,296 1,289 — 30,923 
20181,647 1,387 1,309 1,277 1,276 1,271 — 28,426 
20191,650 1,424 1,327 1,284 1,287 27,458 
20201,686 1,407 1,323 1,282 25,848 
20211,768 1,521 1,417 27,071 
20221,842 1,566 35 25,580 
20231,988 1,009 17,404 
Total$14,262 
Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year2014201520162017201820192020202120222023
2014$103 $448 $675 $801 $884 $960 $1,025 $1,079 $1,122 $1,164 
2015108 460 687 806 891 962 1,025 1,078 1,125 
2016112 479 705 819 907 981 1,043 1,100 
2017109 452 658 757 842 911 970 
2018105 447 639 743 827 897 
2019101 454 650 751 832 
2020100 458 663 767 
2021101 493 720 
2022101 496 
2023116 
Total$8,187 
Group Life and Accident, excluding Premium Waiver
Undiscounted Incurred Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year202120222023IBNR ReservesClaims Reported
2021$2,384 $2,365 $2,364 $14 69,915 
20222,061 2,053 26 71,604 
20232,108 407 57,414 
Total$6,525 

Cumulative Paid Losses & Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
(Unaudited)
Incurral Year202120222023
2021$1,764 $2,320 $2,344 
20221,562 2,018 
20231,572 
Total$5,934 
Group life, disability and accident reserves, including IBNR
The majority of Group Benefits’ reserves are for LTD claimants who are known to be disabled and are currently receiving benefits. A Disabled Life Reserve ("DLR") is calculated for each LTD claim. The DLR for each claim is the expected present value of all estimated future benefit payments and includes estimates of claim recovery, investment yield, and offsets from other income, including offsets from Social Security benefits and workers’ compensation. Estimated future benefit payments represent the monthly income benefit that is paid until recovery, death or expiration of benefits. Claim recoveries are estimated based on claim characteristics such as age and diagnosis and represent an estimate of benefits that will terminate, generally as a result of the claimant returning to work or being deemed able to return to work. The DLR also includes a liability for payments to claimants who have not yet been approved for LTD. In these cases, the present value of future benefits is reduced for the likelihood of claim denial based on Company experience. For claims recently closed due to recovery, a portion of the DLR is retained for the possibility that the claim reopens upon further evidence of disability. In addition, a reserve for estimated unpaid claim expenses is included in the DLR.
For incurral years with IBNR claims, estimates of ultimate losses are made by applying completion factors to the dollar amount of claims reported or expected depending on the market segment. IBNR represents estimated ultimate losses less both DLR and cumulative paid amounts for all reported claims. Completion factors are derived using standard actuarial techniques using triangles that display historical claim count emergence by incurral month. These estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends and other factors expected to cause a change in claim emergence. The IBNR includes an estimate of unpaid claim expenses, including a provision for the cost of initial set-up of the claim once reported.
For all products, including LTD, there is a period generally ranging from two to twelve months, depending on the product and market segment, where emerged claim information for an incurral year is not yet credible enough to be a basis for an IBNR projection. In these cases, the ultimate losses and allocated loss adjustment expenses are estimated using earned premium multiplied by an expected loss ratio.
The Company also records reserves for future death benefits under group term life policies that provide for premiums to be waived in the event the insured is unable to work due to disability and has satisfied an elimination period, which is typically nine months (premium waiver reserves). The death benefit reserve for these group life premium waiver claims is estimated for a known disabled claimant equal to the present value of expected future cash outflows (typically a lump sum face amount payable at death plus claim expenses) with separate estimates for claimant recovery (when no death benefit is payable) and for death before recovery or benefit expiry (when death benefit is payable). The IBNR for premium waiver death benefits is estimated with standard actuarial development methods.
In addition, the Company also records reserves for group term life, accidental loss of life and severe injury, short-term disability, and other group products that have short claim payout periods. For these products, reserves are determined using paid or reported actuarial development methods. The resulting claim triangles produce a completion pattern and estimate of ultimate loss. IBNR for these lines of business equals the estimated ultimate losses and loss adjustment expenses less the amount of paid or reported claims depending on whether the paid or reported development method was used. Estimates are reviewed for reasonableness and are adjusted for current trends or other factors that affect the development pattern.
Cumulative number of reported claims
For group life, disability and accident coverages, claim counts include claims that are approved, pending approval and terminated and exclude denied claims. Due to the nature of the claims, one claimant represents one event.
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Unaudited)
1st Year2nd Year3rd Year4th Year5th Year6th Year7th Year8th Year9th Year10th Year
Group long-term disability7.5 %26.5 %15.9 %8.2 %6.3 %5.4 %4.6 %3.9 %3.3 %3.0 %
Group life and accident, excluding premium waiver75.1 %22.8 %1.0 %
12. RESERVE FOR FUTURE POLICY BENEFITS
Rollforward of Reserve for Future Policy Benefits
For the year ended December 31,
202320222021
Payout AnnuitiesLife ConversionsPaid-up LifePayout AnnuitiesLife ConversionsPaid-up LifePayout AnnuitiesLife ConversionsPaid-up Life
Present Value of Expected Net Premiums
Balance, beginning of the period$47 $58 $52 
Balance, ending of the period $49 $47 $58 
Present Value of Expected Future Policy Benefits
Beginning balance at single-A rate$140 $112 $192 $188 $152 $262 $206 $167 $293 
Beginning adjustment for changes in single-A rate(14)(39)47 19 14 59 26 29 
Beginning balance at original discount rate136 126 231 141 133 248 147 141 264 
Effect of changes in cash flow assumptions(2)— — — — — — — — 
Effect of actual variances from expected experience(1)— — — 11 (1)
Adjusted beginning balance135 133 230 141 138 248 147 152 263 
Interest accrual and other20 17 19 
Benefit Payments(12)(29)(21)(13)(29)(24)(13)(38)(22)
Ending balance at original discount rate130 124 217 136 126 231 141 133 248 
Ending adjustment for changes in single-A rate(11)(32)(14)(39)47 19 14 
Ending balance at single-A rate$137 $113 $185 $140 $112 $192 $188 $152 $262 
Net reserve for future policy benefits$137 $64 $185 $140 $65 $192 $188 $94 $262 
Weighted-average duration of the reserve for future policy benefits (years)9.012.26.49.211.46.49.215.58.2
 Net Reserve for Future Policy Benefits
As of December 31,
202320222021
Payout Annuities$137 $140 $188 
Life Conversions64 65 94 
Paid-up Life185 192 262 
Deferred Profit Liability20 19 20 
Other78 86 82 
Total$484 $502 $646 
Undiscounted Expected Future Gross Premiums and Benefit Payments
As of December 31,
202320222021
Payout Annuities [1]
Expected future benefit payments$257 $272 $283 
Life Conversions
Expected future gross premiums$114 $120 $131 
Expected future benefit payments$204 $212 $225 
Paid-up Life [1]
Expected future benefit payments$281 $300 $324 
[1]Payout Annuities and Paid-up Life have no expected future gross premiums.
Weighted-Average Interest Rates
For the year ended December 31,
202320222021
Payout Annuities
Interest accretion rate5.6 %5.6 %5.6 %
Current discount rate5.0 %5.3 %2.8 %
Life Conversions
Interest accretion rate4.2 %4.1 %4.1 %
Current discount rate5.1 %5.3 %2.9 %
Paid-up Life
Interest accretion rate2.9 %2.9 %2.9 %
Current discount rate5.0 %5.2 %2.1 %
The Company completed a review of cash flow assumptions in the third quarter 2023, resulting in immaterial changes to the reserve for future policy benefits. For payout annuities, the net effect of updating cash flow assumptions was partially offset by a corresponding impact to the deferred profit liability. Gross premiums and interest accretion recognized on long-duration insurance policies for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021 were immaterial.