

|
February 26,
2009 2:00pm
- 5:00pm
|
|
• PG&E’s
Vision: 2008 and Beyond
Peter A. Darbee Chairman, CEO and President PG&E Corporation President and CEO Pacific Gas and Electric Company • PG&E’s
Financial Outlook
Christopher Johns Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer PG&E Corporation • PG&E’s
Operational Outlook
Jack Keenan Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Pacific Gas and Electric Company |
























|
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
|
Low
Case
|
Total
CapEx of $3.6B
•
Includes:
• CPUC Basic
CapEx of $3.0B
• Elec. Trans.
CapEx of $600MM
•
Does not include:
• SmartMeter
Program Upgrade
• Cornerstone
Program
• Renewable
Generation
• BC
Transmission / Pacific
Connector Gas Pipeline |
Total
CapEx of $3.4B
•
Includes:
• CPUC Basic
CapEx of $2.6B
• Elec. Trans.
CapEx of $800MM
• Does
not include:
• SmartMeter
Program Upgrade
• Cornerstone
Program
• Renewable
Generation
• BC
Transmission / Pacific
Connector Gas Pipeline •
|
Total
CapEx of $3.3B
• Includes:
• CPUC Basic
CapEx of $2.45B
• Elec. Trans.
CapEx of $850MM
• Does
not include:
• SmartMeter
Program Upgrade
• Cornerstone
Program
• Renewable
Generation
• BC
Transmission / Pacific
Connector Gas Pipeline •
|
|
High
Case
|
Total
CapEx of $3.7B
•
Includes:
• CPUC Basic
CapEx of $3.0B
• Elec. Trans.
CapEx of $600MM
• SmartMeter
Program Upgrade
• Cornerstone
Program
• Renewable
Generation
•Does
not include:
• BC
Transmission / Pacific
Connector Gas Pipeline |
Total
CapEx of $3.8B
•
Includes:
• CPUC Basic
CapEx of $2.6B
• Elec. Trans.
CapEx of $800MM
• SmartMeter
Program Upgrade
• Cornerstone
Program
• Renewable
Generation
• Does
not include:
• BC
Transmission / Pacific
Connector Gas Pipeline |
Total
CapEx of $4.8B
• Includes:
• CPUC Basic
CapEx of $3.1B
• Elec. Trans.
CapEx of $1.0B
• SmartMeter
Program Upgrade
• Cornerstone
Program
• Renewable
Generation
•
Does not include:
• BC
Transmission / Pacific
Connector Gas Pipeline |








|
*
Excludes cash from Energy Recovery Bond
revenues
|







|
Issue
|
Regulatory
Mechanism
|
|
Decreased
sales due to housing
market and business sector decline |
Decoupled
revenues and sales
|
|
Fluctuating
commodity costs
|
Pass-through
of energy procurement costs
|
|
Volatile
capital markets
|
Multi-year
cost of capital mechanism
|
|
Decline
of equity markets
|
Pension
precedents and
recovery
assurance |












|
Category
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
|
System
Expansion/Congestion Relief
|
$230M
|
$400M
|
$590M
|
|
Maintenance
and Replacement
|
$280M
|
$290M
|
$310M
|
|
Automation
Technology Expansion
|
$70M
|
$90M
|
$110M
|
|
New
Generation Interconnection
|
$20M
|
$20M
|
$40M
|
|
Total
|
$600M
|
$800M
|
$1050M
|










|
2009
Compensation metrics
|
Percentage
Weight
|
|
Delivering
on EPS Goals
(Measurement of earnings from ongoing core operations) |
50%
|
|
Customer
Satisfaction & Brand Health Index
(Composite of customer surveys and marketing research) |
17.5%
|
|
Reliable
Energy Delivery Index
(Composite
of various reliability metrics)
|
17.5%
|
|
Safety
Performance
(Measurement of occupational injury or illness based on OSHA Recordables) |
10%
|
|
Employee
Engagement Premier Survey
(Measurement of employee engagement at PG&E) |
5%
|






|
Business
Scope
|
|
• Retail
electricity and natural gas distribution service (construction,
operations and maintenance) • Customer
services (call centers, meter reading, billing)
• 5.1 million
electric and 4.3 million gas customer accounts
|
|
Primary
Assets
|
|
• $11.9 billion
of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
|
|
Regulation
|
|
• California
state regulation (CPUC)
• Cost of
service ratemaking (1)
|

|
Business
Scope
|
|
• Wholesale
electric transmission services (construction, maintenance)
• Operation by
CA Independent System Operator
|
|
Primary
Assets
|
|
• $2.8 billion
of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
|
|
Regulation
|
|
• Federal
regulation (FERC)
• Cost of
service ratemaking
• Revenues vary
with system load
|

|
Business
Scope
|
|
• Natural gas
transportation, storage, parking and lending
services • Customers:
PG&E natural gas distribution and electric
generation businesses, industrial customers, California electric generators |
|
Primary
Assets
|
|
• $1.5 billion
of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
|
|
Regulation
|
|
• California
state regulation (CPUC)
• Incentive
ratemaking framework (“Gas Accord”)
• Revenues vary
with throughput
|

|
Business
Scope
|
|
• Electricity
and ancillary services from owned and controlled
resources • Energy
procurement program
|
|
Primary
Assets
|
|
• $2.0 billion
of rate base (2008 wtd. avg.)
• Diablo Canyon
Nuclear Power Plant (2,240 MW)
• Gateway
Generating Station (530 MW)
• Largest
privately owned hydro system (3,896 MW)
• Funded nuclear
plant decommissioning trusts of $1.8 billion
|
|
Regulation
|
|
• Cost of
service ratemaking for utility-owned generation
• Pass through
of power procurement costs
|



|
Owned
Generation
|
Type
|
Net
Capacity (MW) |
|
Diablo
Canyon
|
Nuclear
|
2,240
|
|
Hydroelectric
Facilities
|
Hydro
|
3,896
|
|
Humboldt
|
Fossil
|
135
|
|
Total
|
|
6,271
|

|
Case
|
Docket
#
|
Expected
Decision Date
|
|
SmartMeterTM
Upgrade Program
|
A.
07-12-009
|
3/12/2009
|
|
Energy
Efficiency 2009-2011 Programs
Incentive
Mechanism
|
A.08-07-031
R.09-01-019 |
Q3
2009 for the 2009-2011 Portfolio
Rulemaking
Opened Q1 2009
Interim
earnings claim for 2008 in Q4 2009
True-up
earnings claim for 2006-2008 in Q4 2010
|
|
Direct
Access
•
Phase 1 - Legal Issues
•
Phase 2a - DWR Contracts
•
Phase 2b - Merit
•
Phase 3 - Rules
|
OIR:
Q2 2007
|
2/29/08 Q4
2008
TBD
TBD
|
|
AB
32 Implementation
•
CARB Scoping Plan
•
Implementation (regulations in effect)
|
AB
32 signed 9/2006
|
1/1/2009 1/1/2012 |
|
Gas
Transmission & Storage Rate Case 2011
|
|
Filing
in Q3 2009
|
|
Hydro
Divestiture
|
A.
08-04-022
|
2009
|
|
Transmission
Owner Rate Case 11
|
ER08-1318-000
|
Q2
2009
|
|
Transmission
Owner Rate Case 12
|
|
Filing
in Summer 2009
|
|
Planning
Reserve Margin
|
R.
08-04-012
|
Q3
2009
|
|
2011
General Rate Case
|
|
Filing
in August 2009
|
|
Cornerstone
Improvement Program
|
A.
08-05-023
|
Hearings
in 2009
|
|
Dynamic
Pricing
|
|
Filing
in February 2009
|
|
SmartGrid
OIR
|
R.
08-12-009
|
OIR
- December 2008
Responses
due February/March 2009
|
|
Short-term
Debt Application
|
A.
08-12-014
|
March
2009
|
|
PG&E
Renewable Generation and Solar Projects
|
|
Filing
in February 2009
|


|
Year
Signed
|
Project
|
Max
GWh/yr
|
Technology
|
|
2006
|
HFI
Silvan
|
142
|
Biomass
|
|
2006
|
Liberty
Biofuels
|
70
|
Biofuels
|
|
2006
|
Bottle Rock
USRG
|
385
|
Geothermal
|
|
2006
|
IAE
Truckhaven
|
366
|
Geothermal
|
|
2006
|
Global Common
- Chowchilla
|
72
|
Biomass
|
|
2006
|
Global Common
- El Nido
|
72
|
Biomass
|
|
2006
|
Newberry
|
840
|
Geothermal
|
|
2006
|
Calpine
Geysers
|
922
|
Geothermal
|
|
2006
|
Eden Vale
Dairy
|
1.3
|
Biogas
|
|
2006
|
Microgy
|
TBD
|
Biogas
|
|
2006
|
Bio_Energy
LLC
|
TBD
|
Biogas
|
|
2006
|
Palco
|
36
|
Biomass
|
|
2007
|
Solel
|
1388
|
Solar
Thermal |
|
2007
|
PPM-Klondike
|
265
|
Wind
|
|
Year
Signed
|
Project
|
Max
GWh/yr
|
Technology
|
|
2007
|
CalRenew
|
9
|
PV
|
|
2007
|
Green
Volts
|
5
|
PV
|
|
2007
|
enXco
|
509
|
Wind
|
|
2007
|
Ausra
|
388
|
Solar
Thermal
|
|
2008
|
Calpine
|
500
|
Geothermal
|
|
2008
|
Wadham
|
141
|
Biomass
|
|
2008
|
BrightSource
|
1230
|
Solar
Thermal
|
|
2008
|
San
Joaquin
Solar |
700
|
Solar
Thermal-
Biofuel Hybrid |
|
2008
|
Arlington
Wind
(Horizon) |
240
|
Wind
|
|
2008
|
OptiSolar
|
1148
|
PV
|
|
2008
|
SunPower
|
594
|
PV
|
|
2008
|
Iberdrola/
BPA
|
260
|
Wind
|
|
2008
|
Hatchet
Ridge
|
303
|
Wind
|
|
2008
|
El
Dorado
Energy (Sempra) |
23
|
PV
|

|
($MM)
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
Energy
Recovery Bond Average
Deferred Tax Balance |
$542
|
$396
|
$243
|
$82
|
|
Estimated
After-tax Carrying Cost
Credit* |
$(32)
|
$(23)
|
$(14)
|
$(5)
|

|
($MM)
|
2009
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
|
Annual
ERB
Amortization |
$370
|
$386
|
$404
|
$423
|
|
End-of-year
ERB
balance |
$1,213
|
$827
|
$423
|
$0
|

|
Current
Ratings
|
|
• Utility
Corporate Credit/Issuer: BBB+
(S&P) and A3 (Moody’s)
• Utility
Senior unsecured debt: BBB+ (S&P) and A3 (Moody’s)
|
|
|
|
Average
Utility Metrics (2009-2011)*
|
|
• S&P
Business Profile Rating: 5
• Total
Debt to capitalization (EOY): 54%
• Funds
from Operations Cash Interest Coverage: 5.5x
• Funds
from Operations to Average Total Debt: 24%
|


|
|
Pacific Gas
and Electric
Company |
PG&E
Corporation
|
|
Bank Revolver
Capacity
|
$2,000
|
$200
|
|
less:
|
|
|
|
- Loans
outstanding
|
$0
|
$0
|
|
- Letters
of credit outstanding
|
($287)
|
$0
|
|
- Commercial
paper outstanding (1)
|
($287)
|
n/a
|
|
- Lehman
Brothers Bank FSB (2)
|
($60)
|
($13)
|
|
Cash and cash
equivalents
|
$52
(3)
|
$167
(4)
|
|
Available
liquidity
|
$1,418
|
$354
|

|
EPS on an
Earnings from Operations Basis*
|
$2.95
|
|
Items
Impacting Comparability**
|
0.68
|
|
EPS on a GAAP
Basis
|
$3.63
|

|
(1) Earnings per
share from operations is a non-GAAP measure. This
non-GAAP measure is used because it allows investors to compare the
core
underlying financial performance from one period to another, exclusive of items that do not reflect the normal course of operations. (2) Tentative
agreement to resolve federal tax refund claims related to tax years 1998
and 1999.
(3) Anticipated
recovery of costs incurred in connection with efforts to determine the
market value of hydroelectric generation facilities.
(4) Forecasted
cost to accelerate the performance of system-wide gas integrity surveys
and remedial work.
|







