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Risk Management
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2017
Risk Management [Abstract]  
Risk Management

3.     Risk Management

 

Risk-management structure

 

The risk and capital management structure is made up of committees, which assist the Board of Directors, the CEO and the Board of Executive Officers in their strategic decision-making process.

 

The Organization has a committee known as the Integrated Risk and Capital Allocation Management Committee (COGIRAC), whose duty is to advise the Board of Directors in performing its duties in risk management,  capital and control.

 

This committee is assisted by the Capital Management Executive Committee, and Risk Management Executive Committees in managing a) Credit risk, b) Market and Liquidity risk, c) Operational and Social and Environmental risk and d) Bradesco's Insurance Group and BSP Empreendimentos Imobiliários. In addition, it also has the support of the Products and Services Executive Committee and the Executive Committees in business areas, which, among other duties, suggest exposure thresholds to their respective risks and prepare mitigation plans to be submitted to the Integrated Risk and Capital Allocation Management Committee and the Board of Directors.

 

To comply with Resolution 4.557/17 of the National Monetary Council (CMN), the Risk Committee was implemented in order to also assist the Board of Directors in the performance of its assignments related to risk and capital management, and the position of Chief Risk Officer (CRO) was formalized, which, among other responsibilities, exercises the supervision of the development, implementation and performance of the risk management structure, including its improvement, on independent basis and reporting to the Risk Committee, CEO and Board of Directors.

 

The Integrated Risk Control Department (DCIR), whose mission is to promote and to implementing risk control and capital allocation through robust practices and certification of existence, execution and effectiveness of controls which assure acceptable risk levels in the Organization's processes, independently, consistently, on a transparent and integrated manner. This Department is also responsible for complying with the Brazilian Central Bank rules for risk management activities.

 

Risk appetite

 

The risk appetite refers to the types and levels of risks that the Organization is willing to accept in the conduct of its business and purposes. The Risk Appetite Statement - RAS is an important instrument that summarizes the risk culture of the Organization, and guides the strategic and business plans, driving the budget planning and allowing Senior Management to optimize the allocation of capital at acceptable risk levels and types.

 

At the same time, RAS emphasizes the existence of an efficient process of assignments in the operational risk management and in the performance of control functions, as well as for mitigation and disciplinary actions and processes of scheduling and reporting to Senior Management upon breach of the risk limits or control processes established.

 

The Risk Appetite Statement is reviewed on annual basis, or whenever necessary, by the Board of Directors and permanently monitored by forums of the Senior Management and business and control areas.

 

RAS reinforces the dissemination of the risk culture by disclosing the main aspects of risk appetite of the Organization to all its members.

 

For the many types of risks, whether measurable or not, the Organization established control approaches, observing the main global dimensions :

 

·        Solvency : to maintain a proper capital level, even on prospective basis, to cover unexpected losses, situations of stress and business opportunities, in compliance with regulatory requirements, thus ensuring the soundness of the Organization;

 

·        Profitability: to remunerate its capital on sustainable basis, seeking to cover the remuneration expectation of its shareholders in relation to the risks assumed in their business;

 

·        Liquidity: to maintain diversified and low cost sources of funding through interconnected network and dynamic and proper segmentation to provide a cash structure compatible with the size of its obligations; thus, ensuring survival even in adverse scenarios;

·        Loan: to focus on domestic public, on diversified and dispersed manner, in terms of products and segments, aiming at the security and quality of the portfolio, with guarantees consistent with the risks assumed, considering the amounts, purposes and terms of loans granted and maintaining proper levels of provisions and concentrations;

 

·        Market: to align the exposures to the strategic guidelines, with specific limits established on independent basis and with risks mapped, measured and classified as to the probability and magnitude; and

 

·        Operational: to mitigate operating risks related to frauds, corruption, intentional violations of legislative or regulatory requirements, as well as to mitigate human or procedural errors in the performance of supporting and business activities.

 

More detailed information about the Risk Appetite Statement is available in the Risk Management Report - Pillar 3 published at http://www.bradescori.com.br.

 

Stress Test Program

 

The risk management structure has a stress test program defined as a coordinated set of processes and routines, containing own methodologies, documentation and governance, whose principal purpose is to identify potential vulnerabilities of the institution. Stress tests are exercises of prospective evaluation of the potential impacts of adverse events and circumstances on capital, on liquidity or on the value of a portfolio of the Organization.

 

The Board of Executive Officers and Board of Directors are responsible for the approval of the program, guidelines to be followed and for the approval of the scenarios and results of stress tests.

 

Stress tests are used as tool for the management of risks, in its identification, measurement, evaluation, monitoring, control and mitigation of risks of the institution. The results of stress tests are used for evaluation of capital and liquidity levels of the institution, for preparation of the respective contingency plans, for evaluation of the capital adequacy, and for the recovery plan. Similarly, the results are considered in the decisions related to strategic guidelines, definition of the levels and limits of risk appetite applied to the management of risks and capital, as well as in the definition of governance actions aimed at mitigation of risks identified as inconsistent with the risk appetite of the Organization.

 

3.1.  Credit risk

 

Credit risk refers to the possibility of losses associated with the borrower's or counterparty's failure to comply with their financial obligations under the terms agreed, as well as the fall in value of loan agreements resulting from deterioration in the borrower's risk rating, the reduction in gains or remunerations, benefits granted to borrowers in renegotiations, recovery costs and other costs related to the counterparty's noncompliance with the financial obligations.

 

Credit risk management in the Organization is a continuous and evolving process of mapping, development, assessment and diagnosis through the use of models, instruments and procedures that require a high degree of discipline and control during the analysis of transactions in order to preserve the integrity and autonomy of the processes.

 

The Organization controls the exposure to credit risk which comprises mainly loans and advances, securities and derivatives. There is also the credit risk in financial obligations relating to commitments on loan or financial guarantees.

 

With the objective of not compromising the quality of the portfolio, all aspects inherent to credit concession, concentration, guarantee requirements and terms, among others, are observed.

 

The Organization continuously maps all the activities that could possibly generate exposure to credit risk, classifying them by their probability and magnitude, identifying their managers and mitigation plans.

 

Counterparty Credit Risk

 

The counterparty credit risk to which the Organization is exposed includes the possibility of losses due to the non-compliance by counterparties with their obligations relating to the settlement of financial asset trades, including the settlement of derivative financial instruments. Counterparty credit risk also includes the risk related to a downgrade in the counterparty's credit standing.

 

The Organization exercises complete control over its net position (the difference between purchase and sale agreements) and potential future exposures from operations where there is counterparty risk. Each counterparty's exposure to risk is treated in the same way and is part of general credit limits granted by the Organization's  to its customers.

 

Usually, guarantees associated with this type of operation include margin deposits, which are made by the counterparty with the Organization or with other trustees, whose counterparty's risks are also appropriately evaluated.

 

Credit Concession

 

Under the responsibility of the Credit Department, lending procedures are based on the Organization's credit policy emphasizing  the security, quality and liquidity of the lending. The process is guided by the risk-management governance and complies with the rules of the Central Bank of Brazil.

 

The methodologies adopted value business agility and profitability, with targeted and appropriate procedures oriented to the granting of credit transactions and establishment of operating limits.

 

In the evaluation and classification of customers or economic groups, the quantitative (economic and financial indicators) and qualitative (personal data and behaviors) aspects associated with the customers capacity to honor their obligations are considered.

 

All business proposals are subject to operational limits, which are included in the Loan Guidelines and Procedures. At branches, the delegation of power to grant a loan depends on its size, the total exposure to the Organization, the guarantees offered, the level of restriction and their credit risk score/rating. Business proposals with risks beyond these limits are subject to technical analysis and approval of by the Credit Department.

 

In its turn, the Executive Credit Committee was created to decide, within its authority, on queries about the granting of limits or loans proposed by business areas, previously analyzed and with opinion from the Credit Department. According to the size of the operations/limits proposed, this Committee, may then submit the proposal for approval by the Board of Directors, depending on the amounts involved.

 

Loan proposals pass through an automated system with parameters set to provide important information for the analysis, granting and subsequent monitoring of loans, minimizing the risks inherent in the operations.

There are exclusive Credit and Behavior Scoring systems for the assignment of high volume, low principal loans in the Retail segment, meant to provide speed and reliability, while standardizing the procedures for loan analysis and approval.

 

 

Business is diversified wide-spread and aimed at individuals and companies with a proven payment capacity and solvency, seeking to support them with guarantees that are adequate to the risk assumed, considering the amounts, objectives and the maturities of loan granted.

 

Credit Risk Rating

 

The credit risk assessment methodology, in addition to providing data to establish the minimum parameters for lending and risk management, also enables the definition of Special Credit Rules and Procedures according to customer characteristics and size. Thus, the methodology provides the basis not only for the correct pricing of operations, but also for defining the appropriate guarantees.

 

The methodology used also follows the requirements established by (CMN) Resolution 4,327/14 and includes analysis of social and environmental risk in projects, aimed at evaluating customers' compliance with related laws and the Equator Principles, a set of rules that establish the minimum social and environmental criteria which must be met for lending.

 

In accordance with its commitment to the continuous improvement of methodologies, the credit risk rating of the Organization's economic groups/customers uses an eighteen-level scale, in which fourteen levels represent performing loan operations, ensuring greater compliance with the requirements of the Basel Capital Accord.

 

Risk ratings for economic groups (legal entities) are based on standardized statistical and judgmental procedures, and on quantitative and qualitative information. Classifications are carried out in a corporate manner and periodically monitored in order to preserve the quality of the credit portfolio.

 

For individuals, in general, credit ratings are based on personal data variables, such as income, assets, restrictions and indebtedness, in addition to the history of their relationship with the Organization, and statistical credit evaluation models.

 

The risk classification adopted on the basis of the customers' capacity of honoring their commitments is shown below:

 

 

Internal Rating

 

Organization classification

1

AA1

 

 

 

2

AA2

3

AA3

4

A1

5

A2

Low risk

6

A3

7

B1

8

B2

9

B3

10

C1

11

C2

12

C3

 

 

 

13

C4

 

Medium risk

14

D

 

15

E

16

F

High risk

17

G

18

H

 

 

 

Credit-Risk Management Process

 

The credit risk management process is conducted in a corporation-wide manner. This process involves several areas with specific duties, ensuring an efficient structure. Credit risk measurement and control are conducted in a centralized and independent manner.

 

The credit risk monitoring area actively participates in improving the customer risk rating models, following up large risks by periodically monitoring major delinquencies and the provisioning levels for expected and unexpected losses.

 

This area continuously reviews the internal processes, including the roles and responsibilities and it training and requirements, as well as conducts periodical reviews of risk evaluation processes to incorporate new practices and methodologies.

 

Control and Monitoring

 

The credit risk of the Organization has its control and corporate follow-up done in the credit risk area of the DCIR. The Department advises the Executive Committee on Credit Risk Management, where methodologies for measuring credit risk are discussed and formalized. Significant issues discussed in this committee are reported to the COGIRAC, which is subordinate to the Board of Directors.

 

In addition to committee meetings, the area holds monthly meetings with all product and segment executives and officers, with a view to inform them about the evolution of the loan portfolio, deliquency, credit recoveries, gross and net losses, limits and concentrations of portfolios, among others. This information is also reported to the Audit Committee on a monthly basis.

 

The area also monitors any internal or external event that may cause a significant impact on the Organization's credit risk, such as spin-offs, bankruptcies and crop failures, in addition to monitoring economic activity in the sectors to which the company has significant risk exposures.

 

Both the governance process and existing limits are sanctioned by the Integrated Risk Management and Capital Allocation Committee, which are submitted for the approval of the Board of Directors, being reviewed at least once a year.

 

Internal Report

 

Credit risk is monitored on a daily basis in order to maintain the risk levels within the limits established by the Organization. Managerial reports on risk control are provided to all levels of business, from branches to Senior Management.

 

With the objective of highlighting the risk situations that could result in the customers' inability to honor its obligations as contracted, the credit risk monitoring area provides daily reports, to the branches, business segments, as well as the lending and loan recovery areas. This system provides timely information about the loan portfolios and credit bureau information of customers, in addition to enabling comparison of past and current information, highlighting points requiring a more in-depth analysis by managers.

 

The Organization also has an electronic corporate system of credit risk indicators to provide the lending and loan recovery areas, business areas, regional managers and branches with information on assets by segment, product, region, risk classification, delinquency and expected and unexpected losses, among others. This electronic system provides both a macro-level and detailed view of the information, and also enables a specific loan operation to be viewed.

 

The information is viewed and delivered via dashboards, allowing queries at several levels such as business segment, divisions, managers, regions, products, employees and customers, and under several aspects (asset, delinquency, provision, write-off, restriction levels, guarantees, portfolio quality by rating, among others).

Credit Risk Exposure

 

We present below the credit risk exposure of the financial instruments.

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Cash and balances with banks

81,742,951

72,554,651

Derivative financial instruments

13,866,885

16,755,442

Loans and advances to banks

32,253,205

94,845,534

Loans and advances to customers

373,813,665

392,083,873

Other financial assets

599,199,362

497,974,002

Total items recorded in the balance sheet (1)

1,100,876,068

1,074,213,502

Total items not recorded in the balance sheet (Note 41)

283,089,393

316,298,033

Total risk exposure

1,383,965,461

1,390,511,535

(1)    Collaterals are mainly represented by: securities, properties, financial investments, sureties and guarantees.

 

The Organization's maximum credit risk exposure was R$ 1,383,965,461  thousand in 2017, which was an reduction of 0.5% compared to 2016.

 

Of this exposure, R$ 81,742,951 thousand, or 5.9% is related to cash and bank deposits composed mainly of funds deposited with the Central Bank of Brazil that are assessed to have low credit risk.

 

Operations classified as “Other financial assets” item totaling R$ 599,199,362 thousand (43.3% of the total exposure), have a low credit risks as it primarily consists of Brazilian government bonds which, are recorded at their market value, represented by “Financial assets held for trading” R$ 241,710,041 thousand (2016 - R$ 213,139,846  thousand), “Financial assets available for sale” R$ 159,412,722 thousand (2016 - R$ 113,118,554 thousand) and “Investments held to maturity” recognized as amortized cost in the amount of R$ 39,006,118 thousand (2016 - R$ 43,002,028 thousand).

 

In 2017, items not recorded in the consolidated statement of financial position (recorded in off-balance sheet accounts) amounted to R$ 283,089,393 thousand (2016 - R$ 316,298,033 thousand), reaching a level of 20.5% (2016 - 22.6%) of total exposure.

 

The following provides a detailed analysis of other exposures subject to credit risk totaling R$ 419,933,755 thousand, representing 30.3% of the total exposure, including derivatives of R$ 13,866,885 thousand, loans and advances to banks of R$ 32,253,205 thousand and loans and advances to clients of R$ 373,813,665 thousand.

 

Derivative Financial Instruments

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Traded in the stock exchange

88,120

1,068,418

OTC contract

13,778,765

15,687,024

Total

13,866,885

16,755,442

 

In relation to derivatives, 99.4% of the total, refers basically to over-the-counter contracts, stock exchange depositories. Of the total of the Derivative financial instruments, 93.0% is assessed to have "low credit risk" by the Organization's internal procedures.

 

 

Loans and advances to banks

 

We present below the portfolio of loans and advances to banks as rated internally by the Organization:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Low risk

32,253,205

94,845,534

Medium risk

High risk

Total

32,253,205

94,845,534

Ratings as assigned by the Organization: Low risk: Ratings AA1 - C3; Medium risk: Rating C4 - D; and High risk: Ratings E - H.

 

None of the loans and advances to banks are classified as past-due or impaired. In addition, the portfolio has no debt-restructuring history.

 

Loans and advances to customers

 

The loans and advances to customers are classified as:

 

·         Neither past due nor impaired.

·         Past due but not impaired.

·         Impaired, including loans and advances classified as impaired and loans and advances that are analyzed individually for loss classified as impaired.

 

The Organization's loans and advances to customers are classified as “impaired” when they fall in at least one of the following situations: (a) are delinquent more than 90 days, except for housing loan operations secured by residential property (overdue more than 180 days) and/or; (b) have incurred a loss and/or; (c) have been renegotiated and/or; (d) have been reclassified as a higher risk level; and/or (e) have been subject to bankruptcy events. The internal models used by the Organization are based on client or product.

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Neither past due nor impaired (i)

321,595,918

337,337,152

Past due but not impaired (ii)

10,684,314

12,612,906

Impaired (iii)

41,533,433

42,133,815

Total loans and advances to customers

373,813,665

392,083,873

Impairment of loans and advances

(27,055,566)

(24,780,839)

Net amount

346,758,099

367,303,034

 

The portfolio of loans and advances to customers presented a reduction of 4.7% from 2017 to December 2016.

 

 

(i)        Loans and advances to customers neither past due nor impaired

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Low risk

309,535,667

325,170,838

Medium risk

9,895,319

10,269,218

High risk

2,164,932

1,897,096

Total

321,595,918

337,337,152

Ratings as assigned by the Organization: Low risk: Ratings AA1 - C3; Medium risk: Rating C4 - D; and High risk: Ratings E - H.

 

The loans and advances to customers assessed to be neither past due nor impaired totaled R$ 321,595,918 thousand in 2017.

 

Of the total transactions, 96.2% were classified as low risk.

 

(ii)      Loans and advances to customers past due but not impaired

 

We present below the analysis by number of days past due of the contracts for loans and advances which were not classified as being impaired in the collective analysis and those which are not impaired based on the individual analysis.

 

For the purpose of this analysis, an asset is considered past due and included in the following table when payment is late or is not received strictly in accordance with the contractual terms. The amount included in this category comprises the total financial asset, i.e. not only the overdue installment amount but the full contractual amount plus accrued interest.

 

The loans and advances to customers which are not individually material, which have not been classified as impaired are presented in this category.

 

The individually material loans and advances may be presented in this category when, based on the individual analysis, it is not necessary to record an individual impairment loss and, accordingly, the asset is then subject to a collective loss analysis.

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Past due up to 60 days

8,177,461

9,737,697

Past due between 61 and 90 days

2,302,186

2,608,305

Past due for more than 90 days

204,667

266,904

Total

10,684,314

12,612,906

 

The above table shows loans and advances, which despite being past due, do not provide indications of possible impairment. This amount represented 2.9% of the portfolio in 2017 (2016 - 3.2%).

 

 

(iii)     Loans and advances to customers impaired

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Portfolio not yet due

20,342,024

17,567,703

Past due up to 60 days

2,915,081

4,067,322

Past due between 61 and 90 days

1,279,795

1,284,035

Past due for more than 90 days

16,996,533

19,214,755

Total

41,533,433

42,133,815

 

Loans and advances to customers impaired reached R$ 41,533,433 thousand and accounted for 11.1% of the total portfolio in 2017 (2016 - 10.7%).

 

By type of loan category

 

The following table presents the loans and advances impaired by category:

 

  

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Credit card

6,158,265

5,962,131

Working capital

6,052,758

5,940,498

Personal credit

4,632,789

4,951,949

Housing loans

4,071,447

2,553,802

Financing and export

2,770,221

2,456,658

Vehicles - CDC (Direct consumer credit)

1,333,748

1,651,852

Rural loans

982,699

946,282

Onlending BNDES/Finame

780,985

1,052,671

Overdraft for individuals

638,506

882,992

Acquisition of assets

295,944

459,574

Overdraft for corporates

256,271

406,296

Other

13,559,800

14,869,110

Total

41,533,433

42,133,815

 

Renegotiated loans and advances

 

The total balance of “Loans and advances to customers impaired” includes renegotiated loans and advances to customers. Such loans contemplate extension of loan payment terms, grace periods, reductions in interest rates, and/or, in some cases, the forgiveness (write-off) of part of the loan principal amount.

 

Renegotiations may occur after debts are past due or when the Company has information about a significant deterioration in the client's creditworthiness. The purpose of such renegotiations is to adapt the loan to reflect the client's actual payment capacity.

 

 

The following table shows changes made and our analysis of our portfolio of renegotiated loans and advances to customers:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Opening balance

17,501,423

12,728,723

Additional renegotiated amounts, including interest

16,185,863

18,777,814

Payments received

(10,108,040)

(8,997,802)

Write-offs

(6,395,377)

(5,007,312)

Closing balance

17,183,869

17,501,423

Impairment of loans and advances

(10,853,777)

(10,346,397)

Total renegotiated loans and advances to customers, net of impairment at the end of the year

6,330,092

7,155,026

 

 

 

Impairment on renegotiated loans and advances as a percentage of the renegotiated portfolio

63.2%

59.1%

Total renegotiated loans and advances as a percentage of the total loan portfolio

4.6%

4.5%

Total renegotiated loans and advances as a percentage of the total loan portfolio, net of impairment

1.8%

1.9%

 

At the time a loan is modified, Management considers the new loan's conditions and renegotiated maturity and it is no longer considered past due. From the date of modification, renegotiated interest begins to accrue, using the effective interest rate method, taking into consideration the customer's capacity to pay the loan based on the analysis made by Management. If the customer fails to maintain the new negotiated terms, management considers ceasing accrual from that point.

 

Additionally, any balances related to renegotiated loans and advances to customers that have already been written off and recorded in off-balance sheet accounts, as well as any gains from renegotiations, are recognized only when received.

 

Concentration of credit risk in loans and advances

 

 

On December 31

2017

2016

Largest borrower

2.5%

2.3%

10 largest borrowers

8.2%

8.5%

20 largest borrowers

12.2%

12.6%

50 largest borrowers

17.8%

18.5%

100 largest borrowers

22.2%

23.0%

                                                                                                                           

 

 

By Economic Activity Sector

 

The credit-risk concentration analysis presented below is based on the economic activity sector in which the counterpart operates.

 

 

On December 31 - R$ thousand

2017

%

2016

%

Public sector

9,676,927

2.6

8,813,581

2.2

Oil, derivatives and aggregate activities

9,410,382

2.5

8,813,581

2.2

Production and distribution of electricity

1,322

Other industries

265,223

0.1

Private sector

364,136,738

97.4

383,270,292

97.8

Companies

190,148,345

50.9

212,344,421

54.2

Real estate and construction activities

29,383,442

7.9

33,888,418

8.6

Retail

23,935,638

6.4

25,346,471

6.5

Services

17,996,533

4.8

18,172,147

4.6

Transportation and concession

14,190,284

3.8

17,044,780

4.3

Automotive

10,014,454

2.7

13,148,526

3.4

Food products

8,866,028

2.4

10,870,635

2.8

Wholesale

9,045,916

2.4

10,704,646

2.7

Production and distribution of electricity

7,360,804

2.0

8,255,265

2.1

Siderurgy and metallurgy

7,001,290

1.9

7,800,237

2.0

Sugar and alcohol

7,042,811

1.9

7,514,693

1.9

Other industries

55,311,145

14.8

59,598,603

15.2

Individuals

173,988,393

46.5

170,925,871

43.6

Total portfolio

373,813,665

100.0

392,083,873

100.0

Impairment of loans and advances

(27,055,566)

 

(24,780,839)

 

Total of net loans and advances to customers

346,758,099

 

367,303,034

 

 

Measurement of Credit Risk

 

Periodically, the Organization evaluates the existence of objective evidence of loss in the loans and advances portfolio, taking into account its historical experience of impairment losses and employing other methodologies to consider the customer' quality as well as the nature of the transaction including its guarantees for estimating the expected cash flows, which are reviewed regularly in order to constantly improve the models and to ensure that  the provision is sufficient.

 

Initially, clients are classified as individually significant and individually non-significant. Following that initial classification, clients are evaluated on the basis of the existence of evidence of one or more objective loss events. As sometimes it may not be possible to identify a specific event that has caused a loss in the recoverable amount, the combined effects of several events are evaluated. In addition, loss events may be specific, that is, refer to only a particular client, such as payment defaults, renegotiation or bankruptcy event, or be collective and affect a group of assets as a result, for example, interest or exchange rate variations or a reduction in the activity level of one or more economic sectors.

 

For individually significant clients with specific objective evidences of impairment, the impairment loss is estimated by individual analysis, taking into account the future cash flows expected from each client, including the realization of guarantees associated with operations.

 

For individually non-significant clients with specific objective evidence of impairment, the, impairment loss is estimated using proprietary historic loss experience models which are based on observable information on the calculation date.

 

Clients showing no specific objective evidence of impairment losses, both individually significant and individually non-significant clients, are evaluated collectively using the Organization's internal models based on collective parameters of loss identified and macroeconomic parameters of economic activity and default.

 

For collective evaluation, Probability of Default and Loss Given Default models, as well as the Loss Identification Period factor, are used.

 

Probability of Default (PD): determines the probability of default perceived by the Organization with respect to the customer, according to its internal evaluation model. This risk parameter is determined differently for each segment: retail models are quantitative, while wholesale models are both quantitative and qualitative (subjective).

 

Loss Given Default (LGD): refers to the percentage effectively lost after recovery efforts given the default of the contract, which is expressed as a percentage of exposure.

 

Loss Identification Period (LIP): interim period between the occurrence of the loss event in groups of collectively evaluated financial assets, significant and non significant, and its identification by the institution as being impaired.

 

Write-offs

 

Credits are written off in the consolidated statement of financial position against impairment of loans and advances when they are considered uncollectible or a permanent loss. Loans and advances to banks  are normally written off when they are overdue for 180 to 360 days. Loans and advances to banks with remaining maturities of at least 36 months are normally written off when they are overdue for 360 to 540 days.

 

Credit Risk Mitigation

 

Potential credit losses are mitigated by the use of a variety of types of collateral formally stipulated through legal instruments, such as conditional sales, liens and mortgages, by guarantees such as third-party sureties or guarantees, and also by financial instruments such as credit derivatives. The efficiency of these instruments is evaluated considering the time to recover and realize an asset given as collateral, its market value, the guarantors' counterparty risk and the legal safety of the agreements. The main types of collaterals include: term deposits; financial investments and securities; residential and commercial properties; movable properties such as vehicles, aircraft. Additionally, collateral may include commercial bonds such as invoices, checks and credit card bills. Sureties and guarantees may also include bank guarantees.

 

Credit derivatives are bilateral contracts in which one of the counterparties buys protection against a credit risk of a particular financial instrument and its risk is transferred to the counterparty that sells the protection. Normally, it receives a remuneration over the life of the operation. In the event of default by the borrower, the counterparty who purchased the protection will receive a payment, the purpose of which is to compensate for the loss of value in the financial instrument. In this case, the selling counterparty receives the underlying asset in exchange for said payment.

 

On December 31, 2017, Bradesco had credit default swaps (CDS) with the following characteristics: the risk received in credit swaps whose underlying assets are “debt securities issued by companies" in the amount of R$ 468,214 thousand (R$ 114,069 thousand in 2016) and “bonds of the Brazilian public debt” in the amount of R$ 116,773 thousand (R$ 668,115 thousand in 2016) and in 2016 the risk transferred in credit swaps whose underlying assets are “securities the Brazilian public debt” was R$ (16,296) thousand, amounting to a total net credit risk value of negative R$ 584,987 thousand (R$ 765,888 thousand in 2016), with an effect on the calculation of required shareholders' equity of negative R$ 49,162 thousand (R$ 11,977 thousand in 2016). The contracts related to credit derivatives transactions described above are due in 2022. The mark-to-market of the protection rates that remunerates the counterparty that received the risk totaled R$ 195 thousand (R$ (1,067) thousand in 2016). There were no credit events, as defined in the agreements, during the period.

 

            Offsetting of financial assets and liabilities

 

In accordance with IFRS 7, Bradesco must present the amounts related to financial instruments subject to master clearing agreements or similar agreements. In accordance with IAS 32, a financial asset and a financial liability are offset and their net value presented in the Consolidated Balance Sheet when, and only when, there is a legally enforceable right to offset the amounts recognized and the Bank intends to settle them in a liquid basis, or to realize the asset and settle the liability simultaneously.

 

The table below presents financial assets and liabilities subject to compensation.

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Amount of financial assets, gross

Related amount offset in the Balance Sheet

Net amount

Interbank investments

123,691,195

-

123,691,195

Derivative financial instruments

13,866,885

-

13,866,885

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Amount of financial liabilities, gross

Related amount offset in the Balance Sheet

Net amount

Securities sold under agreements to repurchase

233,467,544

-

233,467,544

Derivative financial instruments

14,274,999

-

14,274,999

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Amount of financial assets, gross

Related amount not cleared in the Balance Sheet

Net amount

Interbank investments

84,728,590

-

84,728,590

Derivative financial instruments

16,755,442

-

16,755,442

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Amount of financial liabilities, gross

Related amount not cleared in the Balance Sheet

Net amount

Securities sold under agreements to repurchase

241,978,931

-

241,978,931

Derivative financial instruments

13,435,678

-

13,435,678

 

On December 31, 2017 and 2016, Bradesco does not have financial instruments in its balance sheet as a result of failing to meet the IAS 32 compensation criteria, or because it has no intention to liquidate them on a net basis, or to realize the assets and settle the liabilities simultaneously.

 

3.2.  Market risk

 

Market risk is represented by the possibility of financial loss due to fluctuating prices and interest rates of the Organization's financial instruments, such as its asset and liability transactions that may have mismatched maturities, currencies and indexes.

 

Market risk is identified, measured, mitigated, controlled and reported. The Organization's exposure to market risk profile is in line with the guidelines established by the governance process, with limits independently monitored on a timely basis.

 

All transactions that expose the Organization to market risk are mapped, measured and classified according to probability and magnitude, and the whole process is approved by the governance structure.

 

The risk management process relies on the participation of all levels of the Organization, from the business areas to the Board of Directors.

 

In compliance with the best Corporate Governance practices, to preserve and strengthen the management of market risk in the Organization, as well as to meet the requirements of Resolution no 4,557/17, of (CMN), the Board of Directors approved the Market and Liquidity Risk Management Policy, which is reviewed at least annually by the relevant Committees and by the Board of Directors itself, and provides the main guidelines for acceptance, control and management of market risk.

 

In addition to the policy, the Organization has specific rules to regulate the market risk management process, as follows:

 

·       Classification of Operations;

·       Reclassification of Operations;

·       Trading of Public or Private Securities;

·       Use of Derivatives; and

·       Hedging.

 

Market Risk Management Process

 

The market risk management process is a corporation wide process, comprising from business areas to the Board of Directors; it involves various areas, each with specific duties in the process, thereby ensuring an efficient structure. The measurement and control of market risk is conducted in a centralized and independent manner. This process permits that the Organization be the first financial institution in the country authorized by the Central Bank of Brazil to use its internal market risk models to calculate regulatory capital requirements since January 2013. This process, is also revised at least once a year by the Committees and approved the Board itself.

 

Determination of Limits

 

Proposed market-risk limits are validated by specific Committees and submitted for approval by the Integrated Risk Management and Capital Allocation Committee, and then for approval by the Board of Directors. Based on the business' characteristics, they are segregated into the following Portfolios:

 

Trading Portfolio: it comprises all operations involving financial instruments, held-for-trading, including derivatives, or used to hedge other instruments in the Trading Portfolio, which have no trading restrictions. Held-for-trading operations are those intended for resale, to obtain benefits from actual or expected price variations, or for arbitrage.

The Trading Portfolio is monitored with the following limits:

 

·       Value at Risk (VaR);

·       Stress;

·       Income;

·       Financial Exposure / Concentration.

 

Banking Portfolio: it comprises operations not classified in the Trading Portfolio, arising from Organization's other businesses and their respective hedges.

 

The Banking Portfolio is monitored with the following limits:

 

·       Interest rate risk limit.

 

Market-Risk Measurement Models

 

Market risk is measured and controlled using Stress, Value at Risk (VaR), Economic Value Equity (EVE) and Sensitivity Analysis methodologies, as well as limits for the Management of Results and Financial Exposure. Using several methodologies to measure and evaluate risks is of great importance, because they can complement each other and their combination allows for analysis of different scenarios and situations.

 

Trading and Regulatory Portfolio

 

Trading Portfolio risks are controlled by the Stress and VaR methodologies. The Stress methodology quantifies the negative impact of economic shocks and events that are financially unfavorable to the Organization's positions. The analysis uses stress scenarios prepared by the Market Risk area and the Organization's economists based on historical and prospective data for the risk factors in which the Organization portfolio.

 

The methodology adopted to calculate VaR is the Delta-Normal, with a confidence level of 99% and considering the number of days necessary to unwind the existing exposures. The methodology is applied to the Trading and Regulatory Portfolio (Trading Portfolio positions plus Banking Portfolio foreign currency and commodities exposures). It should be noted that for the measurement of all the risk factors of the portfolio of options are applied the historical simulation models and Delta-Gama-Vega, prevailing the most conservative between the two. A minimum 252-business-day period is adopted to calculate volatilities, correlations and historical returns.

 

For regulatory purposes, the capital requirements relating to shares held in the Banking Portfolio of Prudential Conglomerate (includes, in its consolidation basis, entities located in the country and abroad, financial institutions, similar to financial institutions over which the institution has direct or indirect control, in addition to investment funds pursuant to Resolution No. 4,280/13 of CMN) are determined on a credit risk basis, as per Central Bank of Brazil resolution, ie, are not included in the market risk calculation.

 

Risk of Interest Rate in the Banking Portfolio

 

The measurement and control of the interest-rate risk in the Banking Portfolio area is based on the Economic Value of Equity (EVE) methodology, which measures the economic impact on the positions, according to scenarios prepared by the Organization's economists. These scenarios determine the positive and negative movements of interest rate curves that may affect Organization's investments and capital-raising.

The EVE methodology consists of repricing the portfolio exposed to interest rate risk, taking into account the scenarios of increases or decreases of rates, by calculating the impact on present value and total term of assets and liabilities. The economic value of the portfolio is estimated on the basis of market interest rates on the analysis date and of scenarios projected. The difference between the values obtained for the portfolio will be EVE, that is, the interest-rate risk applicable to the Banking Portfolio.

 

To measure the Banking Portfolio interest rate risk, the premise of prepayment of loan is not used. For demand and savings deposits with undetermined maturity, their historical behaviors and the possibility of maintaining them are studied. After all the deductions related to demand and savings deposits, for example, the required compulsory deposits held at Brazilian Central Bank, the remaining balance (free funds) is allocated in accordance with the maturity flows of fixed-rate lending operations, and in the case of savings, the risk factor considered for its mapping is the TR coupon.

 

Financial Instrument Pricing

 

To adopt the best market prices related to the assessment of financial instruments' market value, the Market and Liquidity Risk Management Executive Committee (CEGRIMEL) established the Mark-to-Market Commission (CMM), which is responsible for approving or submitting mark-to-market models to GEGRIMEL. CMM is composed of business, back-office and risk representatives. The risk area is responsible for the coordination of the Commission and for the submission the matters to the CEGRIMEL for reporting or approval, whichever is the case.

 

Whenever possible, the Bank uses prices and quotes from by the Securities, Commodities and Futures Exchange and the Secondary Markets. Failing to find such market references, prices made available by other sources (such as Bloomberg, Reuters and Brokerage Firms) are used. As a last resort, proprietary models are used to price the instruments, which also follow the same CMM approval procedure and are submitted to the Organization's validation and assessment processes.

 

Mark-to-market criteria are periodically reviewed, according to the governance process, and may vary due to changes in market conditions, creation of new classes of instruments, establishment of new sources of data or development of models considered more appropriate.

 

The financial instruments to be included in the Trading Portfolio must be approved by the Treasury Executive Committee or the Product and Service Executive Committee and their pricing criteria must be defined by the CMM.

 

The following principles for the mark-to-market process are adopted by the Organization:

 

·           Commitment: the Organization is committed to ensuring that the prices used reflect the market value of the operations. Should information not be found, the Organization uses its best efforts to estimate the market value of the financial instruments;

·           Frequency: the formalized mark-to-market criteria are applied on a daily basis;

·           Formality: the CMM is responsible for ensuring the methodological quality and the formalization of the mark-to-market criteria;

·           Consistency: the process to gather and apply prices should be carried out consistently, to guarantee equal prices for the same instrument within the Organization; and

·           Transparency: the methodology must be accessible by the Internal and External Audit, Independent Model Validation Areas - AVIM and by Regulatory Agencies.

 

In December 2014, the (CMN) published Resolution 4,389/14, which amended Resolution 4,277/13. These resolutions set forth the basic procedures that entities must follow in pricing financial instruments valued at market value and guidelines for the application of prudential adjustments for such instruments. The organization aligned with these resolutions' guidelines, including applying due prudential adjustments required by the regulation.

 

Independent Risk Model Validation

 

The Organization uses models to manage and measure risks and capital, which are developed based on specialist knowledge or on statistical, economic, financial or mathematical theories, which support and facilitate the structuring of critical issues and enable standardization and fast decision-making.

 

To identify, mitigate and control the risks independent of the use of the models in the decision-making process, there is the AVIM, whose main purpose is to evaluate if the models work according to the intended objectives, as well as if their results are suitable for the uses for which they are intended.

 

Independent Validation of Models adopts a methodology that encompasses quantitative and qualitative dimensions, evaluating the adequacy of processes, governance, the construction of models and their premises, the use and monitoring of models:

 

Qualitative

 

·         Scope of the model: scope or coverage of the model, which includes its goal, the type of risk addressed, companies exposed to this type of risk, portfolios, products, segments, channels, and etc;

·         Application of the Model: aspects of the use of the model, which includes the definition of model, the reasonability in the use of the model's factors, the flow and the timeliness of the information for the decision-making process; and

·         Technological Environment and Data Consistency: structure of systems and controls involved in the calculations performed by the model and the process in which the model is inserted. It also includes data consistency, taking into consideration the functionalities of version and access controls, backup, traceability, changes in parameters, data quality, system contingency and automated controls.

 

Quantitative

 

·         Measurement System: challenge to the risk measurement procedures, both base and stress, including the definition, implementation and internal validation of the method, which consists of methodology, assumptions, parameters, calculation routine, input data and results; and

·         Backtesting: statistic procedure used to assess the model by comparing the amounts estimated by the model and the amounts observed within a previously defined period. It includes methodological, formalization and utilization aspects for model improvement.

 

The responsibility for executing the independent validation process, that includes the analysis and the assessment of models, it's from AVIM, which uses structures that are already implemented and settled in the Organization to avoid overlapping tasks. Its results are reported to the managers and to the Committee of Integrated Risk Management and Capital Allocation.

 

Control and Follow-Up

 

Market risk is controlled and monitored by an independent area, the DCIR, which, on a daily basis, measures the risk of outstanding positions, consolidates results and prepares reports required by the existing governance process.

In addition to daily reports, Trading Portfolio positions are discussed once a week by the Treasury Executive Committee, while Banking Portfolio positions and liquidity reports are examined every fifteen days by the Asset and Liability Management Treasury Executive Committee.

 

At both meetings, results and risks are assessed and strategies are discussed. Both the governance process and the existing thresholds are ratified by the Integrated Risk and Capital Allocation Management Committee and submitted to approval of the Board of Directors, and they are revised at least once a year.

 

Should any threshold controlled by the DCIR be exceeded, the head of the business area responsible for the position is informed that threshold was reached, and the Integrated Risk and Capital Allocation Management Committee is called in timely fashion to make a decision. If the Committee decides to raise the threshold and/or maintain the positions, the Board of Directors is called to approve the new threshold or revise the position strategy.

 

Internal Communication

 

The market risk department provides daily managerial control reports on the positions to the business areas and Senior Management, in addition to weekly reports and periodic presentations to the Board of Directors.

 

Reporting is conducted through an alert system, which determines the addressees of risk reports as previously determined risk threshold percentage is reached; therefore, the higher the risk threshold consumption, more Senior Management members receive the reports.

 

Hedging and Use of Derivatives

 

In order to standardize the use of financial instruments as hedges of transactions and the use of derivatives by the Treasury Department, the Organization created specific rules that were approved by the competent Committees.

 

The hedge transactions  executed by Bradesco's Treasury Department must necessarily cancel or mitigate risks related to unmatched quantities, terms, currencies or indexes of the positions in the Treasury books, and must use assets and derivatives authorized to be traded in each of their books to:

 

·       control and classify the transactions ,  respecting the exposure and risk limits in effect;

 

·       alter, modify or revert positions due to changes in the market and to operational strategies; and

 

·       reduce or mitigate exposures to transactions  in inactive markets, in conditions of stress or of low liquidity.

 

For derivatives classified in the "hedge accounting" category, there is a monitoring of their effectiveness, as well as their accounting implications.

 

Cash flow Hedge

 

On December 31, 2017, Bradesco maintained the following cash flow hedges: (i) with the objective of protecting the cash flow of interest income from securities investments, related to the risk of DI interest rates, using DI Futures contracts at B3, amounting to R$16,030,487 thousand (2016 - R$21,502,218 thousand), to hedge DI securities, amounting to R$14,708,544 thousand (2016 - R$21,476,571 thousand), with the maturity between 2018 and 2019, making the cash flows fixed. The adjustment to the market, registered in the shareholders' equity, of R$40,060 thousand (2016 - R$43,190 thousand), net of tax effects was R$ 24,036 thousand (2016 - R$25,914 thousand); (ii) with the objective of protecting cash flow from interest payments on capitalizations, referring to the risk of DI interest rates by using DI Futuro contracts in B3, totaling R$6,769,979 thousand, with the object of hedge as funds referenced to the DI, amounting to R$6,671,048 thousand in terms of maturities between 2018 and 2020, making the cash flows fixed. The adjustment to market, recorded in shareholders' equity, of R$(84,044) thousand, net of tax effects was R$(50,426) thousand; and (iii)aiming at hedging the exchange variation on future cash flows, whose functional currency is other than Reais, using Forward contracts, in the amount of R$1,110,888 thousand, with the purpose of hedging the investment abroad denominated in MXN (Mexican Peso), in the amount of R$582,567 thousand. The mark-to-market adjustment these operations, recorded in shareholders' equity was R$ (59,739) thousand, net of tax effects was R$(35,843) thousand. The effectiveness of the hedge portfolio was assessed in accordance with Bacen Circular Letter No. 3,082/02.

 

Standardized and “Continuous Use” Derivatives

 

Organization's Treasury Department may use standardized (traded on an exchange) and “continuous use” (traded over-the-counter) derivatives for the purpose of obtaining income or as hedges. The derivatives classified as “continuous use” are those habitually traded over-the-counter, such as vanilla swaps (interest rates, currencies, CDS - Credit Default Swap, among others), forward operations (currencies, for example) and vanilla options (currency, Bovespa Index), among others. Non-standardized derivatives that are not classified as “continuous use” or structured operations cannot be traded without the authorization of the applicable Committee.

 

Evolution of Exposures

 

In this section are presented the evolution of financial exposure, the VaR calculated using the internal  model and its backtesting and the Stress Analysis.

 

Financial Exposure - Trading Portfolio (Fair value)

 

Risk factors

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Assets

Liabilities

Assets

Liabilities

Fixed rates

11,614,849

6,184,099

33,026,609

13,806,553

IGP-M (General Index of market pricing) / IPCA (Consumer price index)

1,053,893

532,957

330,819

404,612

Exchange coupon

1,808,598

1,658,084

997,507

878,284

Foreign Currency

1,808,598

2,103,715

1,005,349

1,024,526

Equities

461,957

468,911

Sovereign/Eurobonds and Treasuries

560,619

360,252

2,301,628

906,361

Other

257,537

98,517

218,421

Total

17,566,051

11,406,535

37,880,333

17,020,336

 

 

VaR Internal Model -Trading Portfolio

 

The 1-day VaR of Trading Portfolio net of tax effects in end of 2017 was R$ 14,417 thousand, with the interest rate risk as the largest participation of the portfolio.

 

Risk factors

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Fixed rates

8,956

20,704

IGP-M (General Index of market pricing) / IPCA (Consumer price index)

2,751

416

Exchange coupon

48

64

Foreign Currency

2,925

224

Sovereign/Eurobonds and Treasuries

826

3,230

Equities

289

Other

1

2

Correlation/diversification effect

(1,379)

(1,892)

VaR at the end of the year

14,417

22,748

 

 

 

Average VaR in the year

24,024

19,910

Minimum VaR in the year

5,499

9,408

Maximum VaR in the year

100,640

36,726

 

 

VaR Internal Model - Regulatory Portfolio

 

The capital is calculated by the normal delta VaR model based in Regulatory Portfolio, composed by Trading Portfolio and the Foreign Exchange Exposures and the Commodities Exposure of the Banking Portfolio. In addition, the historical simulation and the Delta-Gama-Vega models of risk are applied to measure all risk factors to an options portfolio, whichever is the most conservative. In this model, risk value is extrapolated to the regulatory horizon([1]) (at least ten days) by the ‘square root of time' method. VaR and Stressed VaR shown below refer to a ten-day horizon and are net of tax effects.

 

Risk factors

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

VaR

Stressed

VaR

Stressed

Interest rate

37,659

48,400

70,231

149,043

Exchange rate

7,715

17,300

12,966

27,713

Commodity price (Commodities)

1,110

200

12

29

Equities

2,065

7,400

Correlation/diversification effect

36,429

240

(1,872)

(8,296)

VaR at the end of the year

84,978

73,540

81,337

168,489

 

 

 

 

 

Average VaR in the year

87,358

107,059

70,249

179,169

Minimum VaR in the year

24,945

26,803

38,810

83,230

Maximum VaR in the year

369,342

236,895

131,105

247,814

Note: Ten-day horizon VaR net of tax effects.

 

To calculate regulatory capital requirement according to the internal model, it is necessary to take into consideration the rules described by Brazilian Central Bank Circular Letters 3,646/13 and 3,674/13, such as the use of VaR and Stressed VaR net of tax effects, the average in the last 60 days and its multiplier.

 

VaR Internal Model - Backtesting

 

The risk methodology applied is continuously assessed using backtesting techniques, which compare the one-day period VaR with the hypothetic P&L, obtained from the same positions used in the VaR calculation, and with the effective P&L, also considering the intraday operations for which VaR was estimated.

 

The main purpose of backtesting is to monitor, validate and assess the adherence of the VaR model, and the number of exceptions that occurred must be compatible with the number of exception accepted by the statistical tests conducted and the confidence level established. Another objective is to improve the models used by the Organization, through analyses carried out with different observation periods and confidence levels, both for Total VaR and for each risk factor.

 

Daily hypothetical and effective P&L over the last 250 business days surpassed their respective VaR only once, with a confidence level of 99%.

 

According to the document published by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision([2]), exceptions are classified as being due to “either bad luck or the markets did not behave as expected by the model”, i.e. volatility was significantly higher than expected and, in certain situations, the correlations differed from those forecast by the model.

 

Stress Analysis - Trading Portfolio

 

The Organization also assesses on a daily basis, the possible impacts on positions in stress scenarios for the next 20 business days, with limits established in the governance process. Thus, considering the effect of diversification between the risk factors and the tax effects, the average of the possible loss estimates in a stress situation would be R$ 168,751 thousand in 2017 (2016 - R$ 198,274 thousand), and the maximum estimated loss in the year of 2017 would be R$ 387,884 thousand (2016 - R$ 371,395 thousand).

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

At the end of the year

103,949

338,004

Average in the year

168,751

198,274

Minimum in the year

53,426

87,152

Maximum in the year

387,884

371,395

Note: Values net of tax effects.

 

Sensitivity Analysis

 

The Trading Portfolio is also monitored daily by sensitivity analyses that measure the effect of movements of market and price curves on our positions. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis of the Organization's financial exposures (Trading and Banking Portfolio) is performed on a quarterly basis, in compliance with CVM Rule no 475/08.

 

The sensitivity analyses were carried out based on the scenarios prepared for the respective dates, always taking into consideration market inputs available at the time and scenarios that would adversely impact our positions, in accordance with the scenarios below:

 

Scenario 1:   Based on market information (B3, Anbima, etc.), stresses were applied for 1 basis point on the interest rate and 1 base point for interest rates and 1.0% variation on prices. For example: for a Real/US dollar exchange rate of R$ 3.14 a scenario of R$ 3.17 was used, while for a 1-year fixed interest rate of 6.90%, a scenario of 6.91%  was applied;

 

Scenario 2:  25.0% stresses were determined based on market information. For example: for a Real/US dollar exchange rate of R$ 3.14 a scenario of R$ 3.93 was used, while for a 1-year fixed interest rate of 6.90%, a 8.62% scenario was applied. The scenarios for other risk factors also accounted for 25% stresses in the respective curves or prices; and

 

Scenario 3:  50.0% stresses were determined based on market information. For example: for a Real/US dollar quote of R$ 3.14 a scenario of R$ 4.72 was used, while for a 1-year fixed interest rate of 6.90%, a 10.35% scenario was applied; The scenarios for other risk factors also account for 50.0% stresses in the respective curves or prices.

 

The results show the impact for each scenario on a static portfolio position. The dynamism of the market and portfolios means that these positions change continuously and do not necessarily reflect the position demonstrated here. In addition, the Organization has a continuous market risk management process, which is always searching for ways to mitigate the associated risks, according to the strategy determined by Management Therefore, in cases of deterioration indicators in a certain position, proactive measures are taken to minimize any potential negative impact, aimed at maximizing the risk/return ratio for the Organization.

 

 

Sensitivity Analysis - Trading Portfolio

 

 

R$ thousand

Trading Portfolio (1)

On December 31

2017

2016

Scenarios

Scenarios

1

2

3

1

2

3

Interest rate

Exposure subject to variations in fixed interest rates and interest rate coupons

(359)

(61,497)

(120,385)

(1,074)

(293,350)

(568,367)

Price indexes

Exposure subject to variations in price index coupon rates

(147)

(17,576)

(33,298)

(26)

(3,723)

(7,174)

Exchange coupon

Exposure subject to variations in foreign currency coupon rates

(9)

(420)

(839)

(2)

(224)

(437)

Foreign currency

Exposure subject to exchange rate variations

(1,629)

(40,736)

(81,473)

(106)

(2,649)

(5,297)

Equities

Exposure subject to variation in stock prices

(1,215)

(30,378)

(60,757)

Sovereign/Eurobonds and Treasuries

Exposure subject to variations in the interest rate of securities traded on the international market

(2,469)

(61,730)

(123,461)

(1,464)

(11,649)

(24,751)

Other

Exposure not classified in other definitions

(19)

(39)

Total excluding correlation of risk factors

(5,828)

(212,337)

(420,213)

(2,672)

(311,614)

(606,065)

Total including correlation of risk factors

(3,448)

(131,662)

(259,684)

(2,058)

(295,900)

(574,058)

(1)      Values net of taxes.

 

 

Presented below, the Sensitivity Analysis - Trading and Banking Portfolio.

 

Sensitivity Analysis - Trading and Banking Portfolio

 

  

R$ thousand

Trading and Banking Portfolios (1)

On December 31

2017

2016

Scenarios

Scenarios

1

2

3

1

2

3

Interest rate

Exposure subject to variations in fixed interest rates and interest rate coupons

(12,579)

(2,339,939)

(4,560,181)

(8,994)

(2,466,388)

(4,786,687)

Price indexes

Exposure subject to variations in price index coupon rates

(512)

(56,130)

(107,716)

(9,255)

(1,224,208)

(2,264,187)

Exchange coupon

Exposure subject to variations in foreign currency coupon rates

(1,575)

(80,110)

(158,548)

(455)

(49,446)

(93,726)

Foreign currency

Exposure subject to exchange rate variations

(600)

(15,004)

(30,008)

(867)

(21,663)

(43,327)

Equities

Exposure subject to variation in stock prices

(16,289)

(407,237)

(814,475)

(14,817)

(370,420)

(740,841)

Sovereign/Eurobonds and Treasuries

Exposure subject to variations in the interest rate of securities traded on the international market

(4,978)

(205,764)

(406,054)

(1,786)

(15,940)

(32,801)

Other

Exposure not classified in other definitions

(12)

(307)

(613)

(1)

(28)

(55)

Total excluding correlation of risk factors

(36,545)

(3,104,491)

(6,077,595)

(36,175)

(4,148,093)

(7,961,624)

Total including correlation of risk factors

(26,956)

(2,678,101)

(5,232,466)

(26,893)

(3,691,157)

(7,090,253)

(1)    Values net of taxes.

 

 

3.3.  Liquidity risk

 

The Liquidity Risk is represented by the possibility of the institution not being able to efficiently meet its obligations, without affecting its daily operations and incurring significant losses.

 

The understanding and monitoring of this risk are crucial to enable the Organization to settle operations in a timely manner.

 

Management Process for Liquidity Risk

 

The management of liquidity risk is a group-wide process. This process involves several areas with specific responsibilities. The measurement and control of liquidity risk are conducted in a centralized and independent manner, including the daily monitoring of available funds, the compliance with the liquidity level according to the risk appetite defined by the board, as well as the contingency plan and recovery for possible stress situations.

 

The Organization has a Liquidity Risk Management Policy approved by the Board of Directors, which has as one of its objectives to ensure the existence of norms, criteria and procedures for the correct monitoring of this type of risk, as well as the existence of a strategy and of action plans for liquidity crisis situations. The policy and controls established fully comply with the provisions of CMN Resolution 4,557/17.

 

Control and Monitoring

 

Liquidity risk management is carried out by the Treasury Department, based on the positions available, by independent area. The DCIR is responsible for the measurement methodology, control of the limits established by type of currency and company (including non-financial), review of policies, standards, criteria and procedures and studies for new recommendations.

 

Liquidity risk is monitored daily by the business and control areas and at the meetings of the Treasury Asset and Liability Management Executive Committee, which manages liquidity reserves, with term and currency mismatches. Monitoring is also handled by the Integrated Risk and Capital Allocation Management Committee and the Board of Directors.

 

Since October, 2017, the Organization adopted as its main metric also for internal management, Short-Term Liquidity indicator (LCR), as provided by CMN Resolution 4,401/15 of CBB Circular Letter 3,749/16.

 

LCR - Liquidity Coverage Ratio

 

The Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) is designed to ensure that the Organization maintains a sufficient level of liquid assets to cover liquidity needs in an eventual stress scenario. The LCR is the ratio between the stock of High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA) and total net cash outflow, calculated based on a generic stress scenario. The formula below shows the main components of the indicator:

LCR =

HQLA

≥ % Required

Cash Outflows

-

Cash Inflows*

*Limited to 75% of outflows

 

 

In accordance with the LCR implantation schedule, the level of the ratio between HQLA and total net cash outflows must comply with the following schedule:

 

Year

2016

2017

2018

As of 2019

% Required

70%

80%

90%

100%

 

The stress scenarios parameterization was conducted by the Brazilian Central Bank to capture idiosyncratic and market shocks, considering the period of thirty days. The items below show some of the shocks included in the methodology:

 

• the partial loss of retail and uncollateralized wholesale funding, as well as short-term funding capacity;

• the additional outflow of funds, contractually foreseen, due to the downgrading of the institution's credit rating by up to three levels, including eventual additional collateral requirements;

• an increase in the volatility of factors that impact collateral quality or the potential future exposure of derivative positions, resulting in the application of larger collateral discounts or a call for additional collateral or in other liquidity requirements;

• withdrawals of higher than expected amounts from credit/liquidity lines granted; and

• the potential need to repurchase debt or honor non-contractual obligations in order to mitigate reputational risk.

 

High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA)

 

HQLA are assets that maintain their market liquidity in periods of stress and that meet the minimum requirements established by the Brazilian Central Bank, such as, among others, being free of any legal impediment or restriction; suffering little or no loss in market value when converted into cash; having a low credit risk; easy and accurate pricing; and being traded in an active and important market, with little difference between the purchase and sale price, high traded volume and a large number of participants. These assets are subject to weighting factors which may reduce their value, for example in accordance with the risk rating of their issuer or the historic variation in their market price, among other requirements.

 

Cash Outflows and Inflows

 

Cash outflows are the result of a reduction in deposits and funding; the maturity of securities issued; scheduled contractual obligations for the next 30 days; margin adjustments and calls in derivative operations; the utilization/withdrawal of credit and liquidity lines granted by the Bank; and contingent cash outflows.

 

Cash inflows for the next thirty days correspond to the expected receipt of loans and financings; deposits; securities; and margin adjustments and easing in derivative operations.

 

 

The table below shows the average LCR Prudential Conglomerate:

 

R$ thousand

Information on the Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)

 

 

On December 31 (1)

On December 31 (2)

2017

2016

Average Amount (3)

Weighted Average Amount (4)

Average Amount (3)

Weighted Average Amount (4)

Number of Line

High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA)

 

 

 

 

1

Total High Quality Liquid Assets (HQLA)

 

125,596,242

 

146,652,484

Number of Line

Cash Outlows

 

 

 

 

2

Retail funding:

210,005,411

17,749,477

227,352,566

16,702,571

3

Stable funding

135,661,528

6,783,076

140,847,861

4,225,436

4

Less stable funding

74,343,883

10,966,401

86,504,705

12,477,135

5

Non-collateralized wholesale funding:

112,474,083

50,716,519

102,652,197

49,853,687

6

Operating deposits (all counterparties) and affiliated cooperative deposits

8,152,936

407,647

6,226,398

192,711

7

Non-operating deposits (all counterparties)

103,275,838

49,263,563

95,809,211

49,044,388

8

Other non-collateralized wholesale funding

1,045,309

1,045,309

616,588

616,588

9

Collateralized wholesale funding

6,656,909

5,808,725

10

Additional requirements:

97,751,894

13,746,422

99,952,624

15,328,908

11

Related to exposure to derivatives and other collateral requirements

15,192,265

7,089,564

16,283,688

9,017,294

12

Related to funding losses through the issue of debt instruments

345,574

345,574

33,682

6,332

13

Related to lines of credit and liquidity

82,214,055

6,311,284

83,635,254

6,305,282

14

Other contractual obligations

30,492,461

28,811,462

29,749,147

29,749,147

15

Other contingent obligations

131,133,680

5,160,312

156,190,246

5,581,011

16

Total cash outflows

122,841,100

123,024,048

Number of Line

Cash Inflows

 

 

 

 

17

Collateralized loans

161,500,640

189,610,077

937,935

18

Outstanding loans whose payments are fully up-to-date

32,424,050

21,009,387

37,529,539

24,090,950

19

Other cash inflows

24,624,328

21,429,233

21,079,562

17,347,511

20

Total cash inflows

218,549,018

42,438,620

248,219,178

42,376,396

 

 

 

Total Adjusted Amount (5)

 

Total Adjusted Amount (5)

21

Total HQLA

 

125,596,242

 

146,652,484

22

Total net cash outflow

 

80,402,480

 

80,647,652

23

LCR (%) (5)

 

156.2%

 

181.8%

 

1)     Calculated based on the simple daily average of the months that compose the quarter (61 observations);

2)     Calculated based on the simple average of the closing of the months that compose the quarter (3 observations);

3)     Corresponds to the total balance related to the item of cash inflows or outflows;

4)     Corresponds to the value after application of the weighting factors; and

5)     Corresponds to the calculated value after the application of weighting factors and limits.

 

The amount of net assets (HQLA) consists, in addition to the compulsory returns and reserves at the Brazilian Central Bank, mainly of federal government securities. These net assets resulted in R$125,596,242 thousand, the average of the year of 2017.

 

Related to the cash outflows, based on the regulatory stress scenario (line 16), about 54.0% are redemptions and non-renewals retail and wholesale funding without collateral (unsecured), as shown on the lines 2 and 5 of the table.

 

Another relevant group refers to the item "Other contractual obligations" (line 14), which mainly includes the output streams of onlending operations, credit cards and trade finance.

 

Regarding cash inflows, corresponding to R$ 42,438,620 thousand in the average of the year, stand out the receipts of loans operations (partial renewal), the inflows of Trade Finance operations, cash and cash equivalents and redemptions of securities in addition to the inflow of transfer and credit card operations.

 

Internal Communication

 

In the process of liquidity risk management, reports are distributed daily to the areas involved in management and control, as well as to Management. This process includes the use of several analysis instruments to monitor liquidity, such as:

 

·       Daily distribution of liquidity control instruments;

·       Automatic intra-day update of the liquidity reports for appropriate management by the Treasury Department;

·       Preparation of reports with past behavior and future simulations based on scenarios;

·       Daily verification of compliance with minimum liquidity levels;

·       Elaboration of complementary reports where the concentrations of funding by type of product, term and counterparty are presented; and

·       Weekly reports to the Board of Executive Officers, showing the behavior and expectations related to the liquidity situation.

 

The liquidity risk management process also has an alert system that selects the appropriate reporting level according to the percentage of the established limit utilized. Thus, the lower the liquidity ratios, the higher the number and echelon of Senior Management members who receive the reports.

 

Undiscounted cash flows of financial liabilities

 

The table below presents the cash flows payable for non-derivative financial liabilities, covering the remaining contractual period to maturity as from the date of the consolidated statement of financial position. The values disclosed in this table represent the undiscounted contractual cash flows.

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Up to 1 month

From 1 to 3 months

From 3 months to 1 year

From 1 to 5 years

More than 5 years

Total

Deposits from banks

197,275,471

17,199,209

47,240,285

25,251,295

6,593,477

293,559,737

Deposits from customers

141,846,015

7,519,939

16,476,264

106,861,185

117,268

272,820,671

Funds from issuance of securities

3,346,915

13,222,173

69,548,689

77,143,455

1,503,901

164,765,133

Subordinated debt

896,349

3,705,136

6,942,643

27,064,409

33,166,577

71,775,114

Other financial liabilities (1)

43.606.124

8.785.744

2.290.146

3.711.492

4.046.006

62.439.512

Total liabilities

386.970.874

50.432.201

142.498.027

240.031.836

45.427.229

865.360.167

 

 

 

 

 

 

R$ thousand

 

 

On December 31, 2016

 

 

Up to 1 month

From 1 to 3 months

From 3 months to 1 year

From 1 to 5 years

More than 5 years

Total

 

 

 

 

Deposits from banks

166,104,038

18,369,626

67,893,343

57,316,125

6,602,647

316,285,779

 

 

Deposits from customers

137,186,325

9,655,017

16,460,997

87,377,222

103,507

250,783,068

 

 

Funds from issuance of securities

10,239,074

11,971,886

78,896,618

91,190,406

1,850,999

194,148,983

 

 

Subordinated debt

439,974

2,268,618

11,958,373

24,756,298

32,110,903

71,534,166

 

 

Other financial liabilities (1)

41,547,649

9,025,726

2,516,140

3,837,647

4,663,580

61,590,742

 

 

Total liabilities

355,517,060

51,290,873

177,725,471

264,477,698

45,331,636

894,342,738

 

 

 (1) Include, mainly, credit card transactions, foreign exchange transactions, negotiation and intermediation of securities, finance lease and capitalization bonds.

 

The assets available to meet all the obligations and cover the outstanding commitments include cash and cash equivalents, financial assets, loans and advances. Management may also cover unexpected cash outflows by selling securities and by having access to sources of additional funds, such as asset-backed-markets.

 

The previous table shows the undiscounted contractual cash flows of the financial liabilities of the Organization. The cash flows that the Organization estimates for these instruments may vary significantly from those presented. For example, it is expected that demand deposits of customers will maintain a stable or increasing balance, and it is not expected that these deposits will be withdrawn immediately.

 

The gross cash outflows presented in the previous table refer to the undiscounted contractual cash flow related to the financial liability.

 

In the Organization, liquidity-risk management involves a series of controls, mainly related to the establishment of technical limits, with the ongoing evaluation of the positions assumed and the financial instruments used.

 

Undiscounted cash flows for derivatives

 

All the derivatives of the Organization are settled at net value, and include:

 

·       Foreign currency derivatives - over-the-counter currency options, currency futures, and currency options traded on an exchange; and

 

·       Interest rate derivatives - interest rate swaps, foward rate contracts, interest rate options, other interest rate contracts, interest rate futures traded on an exchange and interest rate options traded on an exchange.

 

The table below analyzes the derivative financial liabilities that will be settled at net value, grouped based on the period remaining from the reporting date to the respective maturity date. The values disclosed in the table are undiscounted cash flows.

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Up to 1 month

From 1 to 3 months

From 3 months to 1 year

From 1 to 5 years

More than 5 years

Total

Differential of swaps payable

279,134

125,468

536,406

12,169,717

166,038

13,276,763

Non-deliverable forwards

201,115

95,761

147,710

66,682

737

512,005

• Purchased

73,599

53,513

90,914

65,640

737

284,403

• Sold

127,516

42,248

56,796

1,042

227,602

Premiums of options

551,220

13,510

34,443

63,052

303,200

965,425

Adjustment payables - future

155,305

155,305

Total of derivative liabilities

1,186,774

234,739

718,559

12,299,451

469,975

14,909,498

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Up to 1 month

From 1 to 3 months

From 3 months to 1 year

From 1 to 5 years

More than 5 years

Total

Differential of swaps payable

1,426,666

183,769

546,569

8,695,486

169,285

11,021,775

Non-deliverable forwards

1,772,919

264,887

542,923

158,670

547

2,739,946

• Purchased

212,953

256,669

534,800

150,289

547

1,155,258

• Sold

1,559,966

8,218

8,123

8,381

1,584,688

Premiums of options

150,945

28,342

40,154

43,217

262,658

Adjustment payables - future

19,164

19,164

Total of derivative liabilities

3,369,694

476,998

1,129,646

8,897,373

169,832

14,043,543

 

 

Statement of financial position by maturities

 

The tables below show the financial assets and liabilities of the Organization segregated by maturities used for the management of liquidity risks, in accordance with the remaining contractual maturities on the reporting date:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Current

Non-current

Total

1 to 30 days

31 to 180 days

181 to 360 days

1 to 5 years

More than 5 years

No stated maturity

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and balances with banks

81,742,951

81,742,951

Financial assets held for trading

15,181,714

10,934,575

5,501,249

146,527,365

56,173,284

7,391,854

241,710,041

Financial assets available for sale

2,422,266

9,392,915

19,351,886

83,816,085

33,391,763

11,037,807

159,412,722

Investments held to maturity

7,753

2,454

19,205

10,284,940

28,691,766

39,006,118

Financial assets pledged as collateral

25,977,537

111,922,357

2,543,922

40,965,417

2,565,940

183,975,173

Loans and advances to banks

23,136,673

3,544,426

3,387,187

1,754,483

424,955

32,247,724

Loans and advances to customers

55,830,036

80,715,548

51,526,092

114,151,120

44,535,303

346,758,099

Other financial assets (1)

25,375,820

1,340,567

1,807,856

11,322,882

1,872,358

41,719,483

Total financial assets

229,674,750

217,852,842

84,137,397

408,822,292

167,655,369

18,429,661

1,126,572,311

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deposits from banks

197,177,061

29,640,587

31,589,994

22,221,075

5,328,751

285,957,468

Deposits from customers (2)

142,525,722

11,400,607

10,531,633

97,523,112

27,371

262,008,445

Financial liabilities held for trading

13,552,386

201,643

81,073

134,649

305,248

14,274,999

Funds from issuance of securities

3,422,727

31,299,770

48,540,240

51,142,979

768,374

135,174,090

Subordinated debt

738,929

9,428,997

640,536

20,767,242

18,603,697

50,179,401

Insurance technical provisions and pension plans (2)

207,499,559

2,411,996

939,034

28,239,001

239,089,590

Other financial liabilities (3)

43,606,124

8,785,744

2,290,146

3,711,492

4,046,006

62,439,512

Total financial liabilities

608,522,508

93,169,344

94,612,656

223,739,550

29,079,447

1,049,123,505

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Current

Non-current

Total

1 to 30 days

31 to 180 days

181 to 360 days

1 to 5 years

More than 5 years

No stated maturity

Assets

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash and balances with banks

72,554,651

72,554,651

Financial assets held for trading

18,475,080

6,768,610

9,759,221

134,589,655

35,837,056

7,710,224

213,139,846

Financial assets available for sale

5,629,209

2,127,660

4,149,003

60,251,675

31,143,446

9,817,561

113,118,554

Investments held to maturity

12,932,440

30,069,588

43,002,028

Financial assets pledged as collateral

83,646,950

3,394,834

1,904,827

48,753,065

17,586,901

155,286,577

Loans and advances to banks

88,759,292

2,545,217

2,120,712

1,398,574

14,341

94,838,136

Loans and advances to customers

58,151,213

87,409,338

54,879,049

125,744,273

41,119,161

367,303,034

Other financial assets (1)

25,657,932

633,472

287,442

10,384,379

2,207,966

39,171,191

Total financial assets

352,874,327

102,879,131

73,100,254

394,054,061

157,978,459

17,527,785

1,098,414,017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Deposits from banks

162,977,360

63,417,792

19,850,717

50,045,413

5,371,400

301,662,682

Deposits from customers (2)

137,252,829

15,331,311

9,457,530

70,641,804

64,455

232,747,929

Financial liabilities held for trading

12,428,599

534,525

279,662

192,649

243

13,435,678

Funds from issuance of securities

7,295,059

45,280,096

40,140,968

57,237,747

1,148,068

151,101,938

Subordinated debt

426,665

3,904,856

7,068,023

21,554,158

19,657,362

52,611,064

Insurance technical provisions and pension plans (2)

182,739,608

3,342,339

1,306,760

28,451,293

215,840,000

Other financial liabilities (3)

41,547,649

9,025,726

2,516,140

3,837,647

4,663,580

61,590,742

Total financial liabilities

544,667,769

140,836,645

80,619,800

231,960,711

30,905,108

1,028,990,033

(1)  Includes mainly foreign exchange transactions, debtors for guarantee deposits and negotiation and intermediation of securities;

(2) Demand and savings deposits and Technical provisions for insurance and pension plans comprising VGBL and PGBL products are classified as up to 30 days, without considering average historical turnover; and

(3) Includes mainly credit card transactions, foreign exchange transactions, negotiation and intermediation of securities, finance lease and capitalization bonds.

 

The tables below show the assets and liabilities of the Organization segregated by current and non-current, on the reporting date:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Current

Non-current

Total

Assets

 

 

 

Total financial assets

531,664,989

594,907,322

1,126,572,311

Non-current assets held for sale

1,520,973

1,520,973

Investments in associated companies

8,257,384

8,257,384

Premises and equipment

8,432,475

8,432,475

Intangible assets and goodwill, net of accumulated amortization

16,179,307

16,179,307

Taxes to be offset

4,589,981

5,934,594

10,524,575

Deferred income tax assets

43,731,911

43,731,911

Other assets

6,602,669

2,531,835

9,134,504

Total non-financial assets

12,713,623

85,067,506

97,781,129

Total assets

544,378,612

679,974,828

1,224,353,440

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

Total financial liabilities

796,304,508

252,818,997

1,049,123,505

Other reserves

1,349,366

17,141,361

18,490,727

Current income tax liabilities

2,416,345

2,416,345

Deferred income tax assets

36,344

1,215,503

1,251,847

Other liabilities

33,460,225

1,917,087

35,377,312

Total non-financial liabilities

37,262,280

20,273,951

57,536,231

Total equity

117,693,704

117,693,704

Total liabilities

833,566,788

390,786,652

1,224,353,440

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Current

Non-current

Total

Assets

 

 

 

Total financial assets

528,853,712

569,560,305

1,098,414,017

Non-current assets held for sale

1,578,966

1,578,966

Investments in associated companies

7,002,778

7,002,778

Premises and equipment

8,397,116

8,397,116

Intangible assets and goodwill, net of accumulated amortization

15,797,526

15,797,526

Taxes to be offset

3,114,609

4,608,602

7,723,211

Deferred income tax assets

45,116,863

45,116,863

Other assets

5,278,675

2,720,504

7,999,179

Total non-financial assets

9,972,250

83,643,389

93,615,639

Total assets

538,825,962

653,203,694

1,192,029,656

 

 

 

 

Liabilities

 

 

 

Total financial liabilities

766,124,214

262,865,819

1,028,990,033

Other reserves

4,293,374

13,999,035

18,292,409

Current income tax liabilities

2,130,286

2,130,286

Deferred income tax assets

36,943

1,726,005

1,762,948

Other liabilities

34,917,264

457,509

35,374,773

Total non-financial liabilities

41,377,867

16,182,549

57,560,416

Total equity

105,479,207

105,479,207

Total liabilities

807,502,081

384,527,575

1,192,029,656

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.4.  Fair value of financial assets and liabilities

 

The Organization applies IFRS 13 for financial instruments measured in the consolidated statement of financial position at fair value, which requires disclosure of fair-value measurements according to the following fair-value hierarchy of fair value measurement:

 

·       Level 1

 

Quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities. Level 1 assets and liabilities include debt and equity securities and derivative contracts that are traded in an active market, as well as Brazilian government securities that are highly liquid and are actively traded in over-the-counter markets.

 

·       Level 2

 

Valuation uses observable inputs other than Level 1 prices, such as quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities; quoted prices in markets that are not active; or other inputs that are observable or can be corroborated by observable market data for substantially the full term of the assets or liabilities. Level 2 assets and liabilities include derivative contracts whose value is determined using a pricing model with inputs that are observable in the market or can be derived principally from or corroborated by observable market data, including but not limited to yield curves, interest rates, volatilities, equity or debt prices and foreign exchange rates.

 

·       Level 3

 

Valuation uses unobservable inputs that are supported by little or no market activity and that are significant to the fair value of the assets or liabilities. Level 3 assets and liabilities normally include financial instruments whose value is determined using pricing models, discounted cash flow methodologies, or similar techniques, as well as instruments for which the determination of fair value requires significant Management judgment or estimation. This category generally includes certain corporate and bank debt securities and certain derivative contracts.

 

To fair value securities which have no consistent, regulatory updated, public price source,  Bradesco uses models defined by the mark-to-market Commission and documented in the mark-to-mark manual for each security type. Through the use of methods and both mathematical and financial models which capture the effects and variations in the prices of marked-to-market assets, or similar instruments, Bradesco is able to ascertain in a clear and consistent manner the determination of fair value of its level 3 assets and liabilities.

 

 

The tables below present the composition of the financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value, classified using the hierarchical levels:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Fair Value

Brazilian government securities

198,273,452

3,975,816

4

202,249,272

Corporate debt and marketable equity securities

3,716,053

8,271,295

352,442

12,339,790

Bank debt securities

1,952,015

6,396,254

8,348,269

Mutual funds

4,377,508

4,377,508

Foreign governments securities

528,010

528,010

Brazilian sovereign bonds

307

307

Trading securities

208,847,345

18,643,365

352,446

227,843,156

Derivative financial instruments (assets)

46,601

13,814,312

5,972

13,866,885

Derivative financial instruments (liabilities)

(14,264,124)

(10,875)

(14,274,999)

Derivatives

46,601

(449,812)

(4,903)

(408,114)

Brazilian government securities

103,237,635

44,123

103,281,758

Corporate debt securities

4,786,078

31,740,856

3,451,696

39,978,630

Bank debt securities

1,086,454

97,399

1,183,853

Brazilian sovereign bonds

728,127

728,127

Foreign governments securities

3,202,547

3,202,547

Marketable equity securities and other stocks

4,380,606

3,261,732

3,395,469

11,037,807

Available-for-sale securities

117,421,447

35,099,987

6,891,288

159,412,722

Brazilian government securities

53,841,066

53,841,066

Corporate debt securities

825,287

825,287

Bank debt securities

4,904,070

4,904,070

Brazilian sovereign bonds

713,555

713,555

Financial assets pledged as collateral

60,283,978

60,283,978

Total

386,599,371

53,293,540

7,238,831

447,131,742

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Fair Value

Brazilian government securities

157,346,640

3,756,680

79

161,103,399

Corporate debt and marketable equity securities

3,740,235

6,356,302

287,145

10,383,682

Bank debt securities

470,676

18,129,451

18,600,127

Mutual funds

4,295,403

8,378

4,303,781

Foreign governments securities

635,390

635,390

Brazilian sovereign bonds

1,358,025

1,358,025

Trading securities

167,846,369

28,250,811

287,224

196,384,404

Derivative financial instruments (assets)

26,632

16,728,802

8

16,755,442

Derivative financial instruments (liabilities)

(13,427,053)

(8,625)

(13,435,678)

Derivatives

26,632

3,301,749

(8,617)

3,319,764

Brazilian government securities

59,149,326

48,702

59,198,028

Corporate debt securities

2,470,652

38,431,230

1,240,826

42,142,708

Bank debt securities

1,063,157

495,886

1,559,043

Brazilian sovereign bonds

401,214

401,214

Marketable equity securities and other stocks

3,387,158

2,706,578

3,723,825

9,817,561

Available-for-sale securities

66,471,507

41,633,694

5,013,353

113,118,554

Brazilian government securities

61,812,995

61,812,995

Corporate debt securities

3,899,878

3,899,878

Bank debt securities

4,742,273

4,742,273

Brazilian sovereign bonds

102,841

102,841

Financial assets pledged as collateral

70,557,987

70,557,987

Total

304,902,495

73,186,254

5,291,960

383,380,709

 

 

 

Derivative Assets and Liabilities

 

The Organization´s derivative positions are determined using quantitative models that require the use of multiple inputs including interest rates, prices and indices to generate continuous yield or pricing curves and volatility factors. The majority of market inputs are observable and can be obtained, from B3 (principal source) and the secondary market. Exchange traded derivatives valued using quoted prices are classified within Level 1 of the valuation hierarchy. However, few classes of derivative contracts are listed on an exchange; those that are not are classified as Level 2 or Level 3.

 

The yield curves are used to determine the fair value by the method of discounted cash flow, for currency swaps and swaps based on other risk factors. The fair value of futures and forward contracts is also determined based on quoted markets prices on the exchanges for exchanges-traded derivatives or using similar methodologies to those described for swaps. The fair value of options is determined using external quoted prices or mathematical models, such as Black-Scholes, using yield curves, implied volatilities and the fair value of the underlying asset. Current market prices are used to determine the implied volatilities. The majority of these models do not contain a high level of subjectivity as the methodologies used in the models do not require significant judgment and inputs to the model are readily observable from active quoted markets. Such instruments are generally classified within Level 2 of the valuation hierarchy. The fair values of derivative assets and liabilities also include adjustments for market liquidity, counterparty credit quality and other specific factors, where appropriate.

 

Derivatives that are valued based on mainly unobservable market parameters and that are not actively traded are classified within Level 3 of the valuation hierarchy. Level 3 derivatives include credit default swaps which have corporate debt securities as underlyings.

 

The table below presents a reconciliation of all assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) during the years 2017 and 2016:

 

 

R$ thousand

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets available for sale

Derivatives

Total

Balance on December 31, 2015

209,210

6,085,190

(20,382)

6,274,018

Included in the statement of income and other comprehensive income

13,155

(1,174,225)

(1,161,070)

Acquisitions

3,833

2,178,445

11,793

2,194,071

Write-offs

(7,633)

(445,173)

(28)

(452,834)

Transfer with categories

274,001

(274,001)

Transfer levels

(205,342)

(1,356,883)

(1,562,225)

Balance on December 31,  2016

287,224

5,013,353

(8,617)

5,291,960

Included in the statement of income and other comprehensive income

15,868

(735,002)

(719,134)

Acquisitions

74,908

4,019,844

3,714

4,098,466

Write-offs

(25,554)

(1,406,907)

(1,432,461)

Balance on December 31,  2017

352,446

6,891,288

(4,903)

7,238,831

 

In 2016, there was a transfer of securities from Level 3 to other levels of classification, mainly for  level 2 in the amount R$ 1,562,225 thousand. The transfer refers, basically, to Corporate debt securities, which were based on the fair value obtained from internal pricing models, mainly customer internal rating, began to be calculated based on observable market data (Anbima's credit curve).

 

 

 

The tables below show the gains/(losses) due to changes in fair value, including the realized and unrealized gains and losses, recorded in the consolidated statement of income for Level 3 assets and liabilities during the years 2017, 2016 and 2015:

 

 

R$ thousand

Year ended December 31, 2017

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets available for sale

Financial assets pledged as collateral

Total

Interest and similar income

25,967

182,269

208,236

Net trading gains/(losses) realized and unrealized

(10,099)

(917,271)

(927,370)

Total

15,868

(735,002)

(719,134)

 

 

 

R$ thousand

Year ended December 31, 2016

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets available for sale

Financial assets pledged as collateral

Total

Interest and similar income

16,518

207,164

223,682

Net trading gains/(losses) realized and unrealized

(3,363)

(1,381,389)

(1,384,752)

Total

13,155

(1,174,225)

(1,161,070)

 

 

 

R$ thousand

Year ended December 31, 2015

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets available for sale

Financial assets pledged as collateral

Total

Interest and similar income

440,791

1,399,443

1,840,234

Net trading gains/(losses) realized and unrealized

10,496

1,094,894

1,105,390

Total

451,287

2,494,337

2,945,624

 

The tables below show the gains/(losses) due to the changes in fair value, including the realized and unrealized gains and losses, recorded in the statement of income for Level 3 assets and liabilities, which were not settled during the years 2017, 2016 and 2015:

 

 

R$ thousand

Year ended December 31, 2017

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets pledged as collateral

Total

Net gains/(losses) due to changes in fair value

(10,099)

(10,099)

Total

(10,099)

(10,099)

 

 

 

R$ thousand

Year ended December 31, 2016

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets pledged as collateral

Total

Net gains/(losses) due to changes in fair value

(3,363)

(3,363)

Total

(3,363)

(3,363)

 

 

 

R$ thousand

Year ended December 31, 2015

Financial assets held for trading

Financial assets pledged as collateral

Total

Net gains/(losses) due to changes in fair value

9,420

9,420

Total

9,420

9,420

 

Sensitivity analysis for financial assets classified as Level 3

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Impact on income (1)

Impact on shareholders' equity (1)

1

2

3

1

2

3

Interest rate

(8)

(1,931)

(3,482)

(63)

(14,873)

(26,345)

Price indexes

(10)

(1,269)

(2,394)

Equities

(1,351)

(33,783)

(67,567)

(17,825)

(445,615)

(891,231)

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Impact on income (1)

Impact on shareholders' equity (1)

1

2

3

1

2

3

Interest rate

(1)

(271)

(476)

(26)

(6,205)

(11,088)

Price indexes

(8)

(1,047)

(1,953)

Equities

(19,481)

(487,018)

(974,037)

(1)    Values net of taxes.

The sensitivity analyses were carried out based on the scenarios prepared for the dates shown, always taking into consideration market inputs available at the time and scenarios that would adversely impact our positions, in accordance with the scenarios below:

 

Scenario 1:   Based on market information (B3, Anbima, etc.), stresses were applied for 1 basis point on the interest rate and 1 base point for interest rates and 1.0% variation on prices. For example: for a Real/US dollar exchange rate of R$ 3.14 a scenario of R$ 3.17 was used, while for a 1-year fixed interest rate of 6.90%, a 6.91% scenario was applied;

 

Scenario 2:  25.0% stresses were determined based on market information. For example: for a Real/US dollar exchange rate of R$ 3.14 a scenario of R$ 3.93 was used, while for a 1-year fixed interest rate of 6.90%, a 8.62% scenario was applied. The scenarios for other risk factors also had 25.0% stresses in the respective curves or prices; and

 

Scenario 3:  50.0% stresses were determined based on market information. For example: for a Real/US dollar quote of R$ 3.14 a scenario of R$ 4.72 was used, while for a 1-year fixed interest rate of 6.90%, a 10.35% scenario was applied; The scenarios for other risk factors also had 50% stresses in the respective curves or prices.

 

 

 

Financial instruments not measured at fair value

 

The table below summarizes the carrying amounts and the fair values of the financial assets and liabilities that were not presented in the consolidated statements of financial position at their fair value, classified using the hierarchical levels:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Fair Value

Book value

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

Financial assets

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets pledged as collateral

 

 

 

 

 

·  securities purchased under agreements to resell

123,691,195

123,691,195

123,691,195

Held to maturity

29,182,489

11,963,782

41,146,271

39,006,118

Loans and receivables

 

 

 

 

 

·  Banks (1)

32,247,724

32,247,724

32,247,724

·  Customers (1)

346,633,592

346,633,592

346,758,099

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Deposits from banks

285,716,505

285,716,505

285,957,468

Deposits from customers

261,760,442

261,760,442

262,008,445

Funds from issuance of securities

134,890,631

134,890,631

135,174,090

Subordinated debt

51,012,436

51,012,436

50,179,401

 

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2016

Fair Value

Book value

Level 1

Level 2

Level 3

Total

Financial assets

 

 

 

 

 

Financial assets pledged as collateral

 

 

 

 

 

·  securities purchased under agreements to resell

84,728,590

84,728,590

84,728,590

Held to maturity

32,875,426

11,379,323

44,254,749

43,002,028

Loans and receivables

 

 

 

 

 

·  Banks (1)

94,838,136

94,838,136

94,838,136

·  Customers (1)

362,156,027

362,156,027

367,303,034

 

 

 

 

 

 

Financial liabilities

 

 

 

 

 

Deposits from banks

301,497,406

301,497,406

301,662,682

Deposits from customers

232,224,796

232,224,796

232,747,929

Funds from issuance of securities

151,622,981

151,622,981

151,101,938

Subordinated debt

53,436,792

53,436,792

52,611,064

                  (1)  Amounts of loans and receivables are presented net of the provision for impairment losses.

 

 

Below we list the methodologies used to determine the fair values presented above:

 

Loans and receivables

 

Fair values were estimated for groups of similar loans based upon type of loan, credit quality and maturity. Fair value for fixed-rate transactions was determined by discounted cash flow estimates using interest rates approximately equivalent to our rates for new transactions based on similar contracts. Where credit deterioration has occurred, estimated cash flows for fixed and floating-rate loans have been reduced to reflect estimated losses.

 

The fair values for performing loans are calculated by discounting scheduled principal and interest cash flows through maturity using market discount rates and yield curves that reflect the credit and interest rate risk inherent to the loan type at each reporting date. The fair values for impaired loans are based on discounting cash flows or the value of underlying collateral.

 

The non-performing loans were allocated into each loan category for purposes of calculating the fair-value disclosure. Assumptions regarding cash flows and discount rates are based on available market information and specific borrower information.

 

Held to maturity

 

Investments held to maturity are carried at amortized cost. Fair values are estimated according to the assumptions described on Note 2(f). See Note 22 for further details regarding the amortized cost and fair values of held-to-maturity securities.

 

Deposits from banks and customers

 

The fair value of fixed-rate deposits with stated maturities was calculated using the contractual cash flows discounted with current market rates for instruments with similar maturities and terms. For floating-rate deposits, the carrying amount was considered to approximate fair value.

 

Funds from securities issued

 

The carrying values of funds from securities issued approximate the fair values of these instruments.

 

Subordinated debt

 

Fair values for subordinated debts were estimated using a discounted cash flow calculation that applies interest rates available in the market for similar maturities and terms.

 

3.5.  Capital management

 

Capital Management Corporate Process

 

The Capital Management provides the conditions required to meet the Organization's strategic goals to support the risks inherent to its activities. It includes the preparation of the capital plan, identifying the contingency actions to be considered in stress scenarios.

 

In line with the strategic guidelines, the Organization manages capital, involving the control and business areas, in accordance with the guidelines of the Board of Executive Officers and Board of Directors.

The governance structure for the capital management and the Internal Capital Adequacy Assessment Process (ICAAP) is composed by Committees and its highest level body is the Board of Directors. The most important is the Planning, Budget and Control Department, whose mission is to provide the efficient and effective management of the business through strategic management and planning, supporting the Top Management by providing analyses and projections of capital requirements and availability, identifying threats and opportunities that help plan the sufficiency and optimization of capital levels. The Department is responsible for complying with the provisions of Brazilian Central Bank regarding capital management activities.

 

Capital Adequacy

 

This process is followed up daily to ensure that the Organization maintains a solid capital base in normal situations or in extreme market conditions and complying with regulatory requirements.    

 

The determination of the Central Bank, is that the financial institutions permanently maintain capital and additional Common Equity Tier I (Conservation, Countercyclical and Systemic) compatible with the risks from their activities. The risks are represented by Risk-Weighted Asset (RWA), which is calculated based on, at least, the sum of Credit, market and operational risk installments.

 

Additionally, the Organization must maintain enough capital to meet the interest rate risk from operations not included in the trading portfolio (Banking Portfolio's interest rate risk), calculated using the EVE (Economic Value Equity) method.

 

Analysis of Reference Equity (PR)

 

Following is the detailed information on the Organization's Capital, in compliance with the Prudential Conglomerate:

 

Calculation basis - Capital Adequacy Ratio

R$ thousand

Basel III

On December 31

2017

2016

Prudential

Tier I capital

80,084,744

78,762,886

Common equity

75,079,777

73,747,016

Shareholders' equity

110,457,476

100,442,413

Minority / Other

68,072

60,615

Prudential adjustments (1)

(35,445,771)

(26,756,012)

Additional Capital

5,004,967

5,015,870

Tier II capital

24,588,090

22,363,950

Subordinated debts (Resolution No. 4.192/13)

16,947,024

9,803,498

Subordinated debts (prior to Resolution No. 4.192/13)

7,641,066

12,560,452

Reference Equity (a)

104,672,834

101,126,836

 

 

- Credit risk

554,928,771

589,977,243

- Market risk

8,908,205

15,767,767

- Operational risk

47,605,162

50,443,507

Risk-weighted assets - RWA (b)

611,442,138

656,188,517

Banking Book's Interest Rate Risk

3,527,467

4,142,339

Margin (Capital Buffer) (2)

34,226,583

28,084,702

Basel ratio (a/b)

17.1%

15.4%

Tier I capital

13.1%

12.0%

- Principal capital

12.3%

11.2%

- Additional capital

0.8%

0.8%

(1)    As per January 2017, the factor applied to prudential adjustments went from 60% to 80%, according to the timeline for application of deductions of prudential adjustments, defined in Article11 of CMN Resolution no 4,192/13; and

(2)    Margin = Minimum (PR - PRE; PR Level I - RWA * 6%; PR Principal - RWA * 4.5%) - Additional Principal Capital.

 

Breakdown of Risk-Weighted Assets (RWA)

 

Below is the detailed comparison of the risk-weighted assets (RWA) of the Prudential Conglomerate, regulatory approach:

 

RWA

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Prudential

Credit risk

554,928,771

589,977,243

Risk Weight of 0%

Risk Weight of 2%

314,012

271,970

Risk Weight of 20%

2,224,147

10,725,736

Risk Weight of 35%

10,208,602

9,114,590

Risk Weight of 50%

25,635,506

32,434,787

Risk Weight of 75%

114,553,059

117,017,519

Risk Weight of 85%

105,938,759

144,006,730

Risk Weight of 100%

261,909,360

239,369,280

Risk Weight of 250%

28,139,531

27,655,131

Risk Weight of 300%

2,920,531

6,825,567

Risk Weight up to 1,250%

3,085,264

2,555,933

Market Risk (1)

8,908,205

15,767,767

Fixed-rate in Reais

5,696,584

10,537,134

Foreign Currency Coupon

838,259

7,028,051

Price Index Coupon

1,756,973

342,400

Interest Rate Coupon

13,499

Equities

637,924

67,392

Commodities

449,546

32,466

Exposure to Gold, Foreign Currencies and Exchange

3,657,957

4,194,380

Operational Risk

47,605,162

50,443,507

Corporate Finance

1,369,491

1,380,459

Trading and Sales

1,667,449

2,866,659

Retail

9,308,681

8,349,268

 Commercial

21,518,843

20,699,277

Payment and Settlement

6,132,749

10,143,694

Financial Agent Services

3,628,257

3,465,556

Asset Management

3,827,848

3,392,327

Retail Brokerage

151,844

146,266

Total Risk Weighted Assets

611,442,138

656,188,517

Total Capital Requirement

56,558,398

64,798,616

Banking Book's Interest Rate Risk

3,527,467

4,142,339

 

 

 

Addicional Common equity (ACPS) (2)

9,171,632

4,101,178

ACP Conservation

7,643,027

4,101,178

ACP Systemic

1,528,605

(1)     For purposes of calculation of the market risk, the capital requirement will be the lower between the internal model and 80% of the standard model, pursuant to Circular Letter No. 3.646/13 of Central Bank of Brazil; and

(2)     In 2017, the value of ACP Conservation represents 1.25% of the amount of RWA. The Systemic ACP represents 0.25% of the amount of RWA (Systemic Relevance Factor determined according to Circular Letter No. 3.768 of the CBB - Total Exposure and GDP of the year before last in relation to the base date: R$ 988.5 billion and R$ 6 trillion, respectively. The contracyclical ACP represents 0% of the amount of RWA, pursuant to Communication No. 31.478 of the CBB with disclosure and effectiveness in December/17, where the RWA of the loan risk to the non-banking private sector (RWACPrNB) is R$ 496.2 billion in Brazil.

 

 Capital Sufficiency

 

The management of capital is aligned with the strategic planning and is forward looking, anticipating any changes in the economic and commercial environment conditions in which we operate.

 

The Organization's capital management aims to ensure, in a permanently, solid capital composition to support the development in its activities and ensure appropriate coverage of all risks involved. The Organization maintains a managerial capital margin (buffer), which is added to the minimum regulatory requirements.

 

The management buffer is defined according to the leading practices and regulatory requirements, observing aspects such as additional impacts generated by stress scenarios, qualitative risks and risks not captured by the regulatory model.

 

The Organization considers it comfortable to maintain a Tier I Capital margin of at least 25% in relation to the minimum capital requirements in the medium and long term, pursuant to the schedule established by the Brazilian Central Bank for the full adoption of Basel III guidelines.

 

The Organization's regulatory capital sufficiency can be seen by calculating the capital adequacy ratio which in this period was 17.1%, of which 13.1% and 12.3% was Tier I and Common Equity Tier I respectively. In terms of margin, the amount totaled R$ 34,226,583 thousand, which would allow for an increase of up to R$ 672,758,390 thousand in loan operations (considering the current composition of the portfolio).

 

Since January 2015, according to the CMN Resolution nº 4,192/13 which deals with the methodology for calculating the ratios of Common Equity Tier 1, Tier 1 and Total Capital, the regulatory scope became the Prudential Conglomerate.

 

Capital Forecast

 

The capital management area (ICAAP) and Recovery Plan of DPOC is responsible for making simulations and projections of the Organization's capital, in accordance with the strategic guidelines, the impacts arising from variations and trends of the economic and business environment as well as regulatory changes. The results from the projections are submitted to the Top Management, pursuant to the governance established.

 

The projections for the next three years present adequate levels of Capital indices, considering the incorporation of net profits and the prudential adjustments due to the increase of the factors established in Article 11 of CMN Resolution 4,192/13 for subsequent periods.

 

Simulation - Basel III

 

Based on Basel III rules published by Brazilian Central Bank in March and October 2013, which include the definition of capital and the expansion of risk scope and are being gradually implemented up to 2019, below is the simulation based in strategic assumptions for the Prudential Conglomerate, taking into consideration the full compliance with the rules on the reference date of December 2017, i.e., anticipating all the impacts expected throughout the implementation schedule, not considering later events (example: incorporation of results), according to CMN Resolution nº 4,192/13.

 

(1)     Published (Schedule 80%);

(2)     Effect of the full impact. Including the reserve of Goodwill / Intangible paid for the purchase of HSBC Brasil, net of amortization and the reallocation of resources, through the payment of dividends by the Insurance Group (Grupo Segurador);

(3)     Considers the anticipation of the multiplier of installments of market and operational risks, from 9.250% to 8%, in 2019; and

(4)     Refers to the minimum required, in accordance with CMN Resolution nº 4,193/13, in addition to the additional capital installments established by Circular Nos. 3,768/15 and 3,769/15.

 

 

 


3.6.  Insurance risk/subscription risk

 

Insurance risk is the risk  related to a possible loss event that may occur in the future and for which there is uncertainty over the amount of damages that result from it. A component of insurance risk is underwriting risk, which arises from an adverse economic situation not matching the Organization's expectations at the time of drafting its underwriting policy and calculating insurance premiums. In short, it refers to the risk of the frequency or severity of loss events or benefits exceeding the Organization's estimates.

 

Underwriting risk is managed by our technical areas. Underwriting and risk acceptance policies are periodically evaluated by working groups. In addition, one of the main tasks of our technical areas is the calculation of regulatory capital for these businesses and certifies studies on the pricing of new products.

 

The management process seeks to diversify insurance operations, aiming to excel at balancing the portfolio, and is based on the grouping of risks with similar characteristics in order to reduce the impact of individual risks.

 

Uncertainties over estimated future claim payments

 

The organization must indemnify all covered events that occurred during the policy period, even if a loss is discovered after coverage ends. As a result, claims are reported over a period and a significant portion are accounted for in the provisions for incurred and but not reported claims (IBNR). The estimated cost of claims includes direct expenses to be incurred when settling them.

 

Giving the uncertainties inherent to the process for estimating claims provisions, the final settlement may be different than the original provision.

 

Asset and liability management (ALM)

 

The organization periodically analyzes future cash flows on assets and liabilities held in portfolio (ALM - Asset Liability Management). The method used for ALM analysis is to observe the sufficiency or insufficiency of the present value of the stream of assets in relation to the present value of the stream of liabilities, and the duration of assets in relation to that of liabilities. The aim is to verify that the situation of the portfolio of assets and liabilities is balanced in order to honor the Organization's future commitments to its participants and insured persons.

 

The actuarial assumptions used to generate the flow of liabilities are in line with actuarial practices and also with the characteristics of the Organization's product portfolio.

 

Risk management by product

 

Monitoring the insurance contract portfolio enables us to track and adjust premiums practiced, as well as assess the need for alterations. Other monitoring tools in use include: (i) sensitivity analysis, and (ii) algorithmic checks and corporate system notifications (underwriting, issuance and claims).

 

The main risks associated with property insurance

 

·       Oscillations in the incidence, frequency and severity of the claims and the indemnifications of claims in relation to the expectations;

·       Unpredictable claims arising from an isolated risk;

·       Inaccurate pricing or inadequate underwriting of risks;

·       Inadequate reinsurance policies or risk transfer techniques; and

·       Insufficient or excessive technical provisions.

 

Generally the property insurance underwritten is of short duration.

 

The underwriting strategies and goals are adjusted by management and informed through internal guidelines and practice and procedure manuals.

 

The risks inherent to the main property insurance business lines are summarized as follows:

 

·         Auto insurance includes, among other things, physical damage to the vehicle, loss of the insured vehicle and third-party liability insurance for vehicles; and

·         Business, home and miscellaneous insurance includes, among other things, fire risks (ex: fire, explosion and business interruption), natural desasters (earthquakes, storms and floods), engineering lines (explosion of boilers, breakdown of machinery and construction) and marine (cargo and hull) as well as liability insurance.

 

Property insurance risk management

 

The Organization monitors and evaluates risk exposure and undertakes the development, implementation and revision of guidelines related to underwriting, treatment of claims, reinsurance and constitution of technical provisions. The implementation of these guidelines and the management of these risks are supported by the technical departments of each risk area.

 

The Technical Department has developed mechanisms, e.g. risk grouping by CPF, CNPJ and risky addresses, that identify, quantify and manage accumulated exposures in order to keep them within the limits defined in the internal guidelines.

The main risks associated with life-insurance and private-pension plans

 

Life-insurance and private-pension plans are long-term in nature and, accordingly, various actuarial assumptions are used to manage and estimate the risks involved, such as: assumptions about returns on investments, mortality and persistence rates in relation to each business unit. Estimates are based on historical experience and on actuarial expectations.

 

The risks associated with life insurance and private pension plans include:

 

·       Biometric risks, which includes mortality experience, adverse morbidity, longevity and disability. The mortality risk may refer to policyholders living longer than expected (longevity) or passing away before expected. This is because some products pay a lump sum if the person dies, and others pay regular amounts while the policyholder is alive;

·       Policyholder's behavior risks, which includes persistence rate experience. Low persistence rates for certain products may result in less policies/private pension plan agreements remaining contracted to help cover fixed expenses and may reduce future positive cash flows of the underwritten business. A low persistence rate may affect liquidity of products which carry a redemption benefit;

·       Group life-insurance risk results from exposure to mortality and morbidity rates and to operational experience worse than expected on factors such as persistence levels and administrative expenses; and

·       Some Life and Pension Plan products have pre-defined yield guarantees, and thereby face risk from changes in financial markets, returns on investments and interest rates that are managed as a part of market risk.

 

Life-insurance and private-pension-plan risk management

 

·       The Organization monitors and assesses risk exposure and is responsible for developing, implementing and reviewing policies relating to underwriting, processing claims, and technical reserves for insurance purposes. Implementation of these policies and management of these risks are supported by our technical areas;

·       The technical areas have developed mechanisms, such as statistical reports and performance by type that identify, quantify and manage accumulated exposures to keep them within limits defined by internal policies;

·       Longevity risks are carefully monitored in relation to the most recent data and to the trends in the environments in which the Organization and its subsidiaries and associated companies operate. Management monitors exposure to this risk and the capital implications of it in order to manage the possible impacts, as well as to ensure that business has the capital that it may require. The adminstration adopts improvement assumptions in its calculation of technical provisions in order  to predict and thus be covered for possible impacts generated by the improvement in life expectancy of the insured/assisted population;

·       Mortality and morbidity risks are partially mitigated through reinsurance contracts for catastrophes;

·       Persistency risk is managed through frequent monitoring of the Organization's experience. Management has also defined rules on the management and monitoring of persistence and the implementation of specific initiatives to improve the renewal of policies that expire; and

·       The risk of a high level of expenses is primarily monitored through the evaluation of the profitability of the business units and the frequent monitoring of expense levels.

The main risks associated with health insurance

 

·       Variations in cause, frequency and severity of indemnities of claims compared to expectations;

·       Unforeseen claims resulting from isolated risk;

·       Incorrect pricing or inadequate subscription of risks; and

·       Insufficient or overvalued technical provisions.

 

For individual health insurance, for which certain provisions are calculated based on expected future cash flows (difference between expected future claims and expected future premiums), there are a number of risks, in addition to those cited above, such as biometric risk, including mortality and longevity experience and the insured's behavioral risk, which covers persistency experience, as well as interest-rate risk that is managed as a part of market risk.

 

Management of health-insurance risk

 

·       The Organization monitors and evaluates risk exposure and is responsible for the development, implementation and review of policies that cover subscription, treatment of claims and technical insurance provisions. The implementation of these policies and management of risks are supported by the technical areas;

·       The technical areas have developed mechanisms, such as statistical reports and performance by type that identify, quantify and manage accumulated exposure in order to keep it within the limits defined by internal policies;

·       Longevity risk is carefully monitored using the most recent data and tendencies of the environment in which the Organization operates. Management monitors exposure to this risk and its capital implications in order to manage possible impacts, as well as the funding that the future business needs;

·       Persistency risk is managed through the frequent management of the Organization's experience. Management has also established guidelines for the management of persistency in order to monitor and implement specific initiatives, when necessary, to improve retention of policies; and

·       The risk of elevated expenses is primarily monitored through the evaluation of the profitability of business units and the frequent monitoring of expense levels.

 

Results of sensitivity analysis - Damages, life and health insurance and Life with Survival and Welfare Coverage and Individual Life Insurance

 

Some test results are shown below. For each sensibility scenario the impact is shown in the income and shareholders' equity after taxes and contributions, in a reasonable and possible change in just a single factor. We emphasize that the insurance operations are not exposed to significant currency risk.

 

Sensitivity factor

Description of sensitivity factor applied

Interest rate

Effect of lowering the risk free forward yield curve rate

Loss events

Impact on the business of increased loss events and claims

Longevity

Impact of an improved survival estimates on annuity contracts

Conversion to income

Impact on annuity contracts of a higher rate of conversion to income

 

 

The sensitivity test for Life Insurance with Survival, Welfare Coverage and Individual Life Insurance was made considering the same bases of the LAT test with variation in the assumptions listed below:

 

 

R$ thousand

On December 31, 2017

Interest rate

Longevity

Conversion to income

Percentage adjustment to each assumption:

Variation of

+0.2 p.p.

+ 5 p.p.

-5%

Tradicional plans (contributing period)

(60,733)

(5,057)

(21,691)

PGBL and VGBL (contributing period)

(5,446)

(504)

(18,409)

All plans(retirement benefit period)

(112,782)

(35,507)

Total

(178,961)

(41,068)

(40,100)

 

For damages, life and health insurance, except individual life, the table below shows increase in the events/claims were to rise 1 percentage point over the 12 months from the calculation base date.

 

 

R$ thousand

Gross of reinsurance

Net of reinsurance

On December 31

On December 31

2017

2016

2017

2016

Auto

(22,347)

(21,205)

(22,347)

(21,205)

RE (Elementary branch)

(9,940)

(10,809)

(8,893)

(9,333)

Life

(28,146)

(28,358)

(28,050)

(28,277)

Health

(97,923)

(89,907)

(97,923)

(89,907)

 

Limitations of sensitivity analysis

 

Sensitivity analyses show the effect of a change in an important premise while other premises remain unchanged. In real situations, premises and other factors may be correlated. It should also be noted that these sensitivities are not linear and therefore greater or lesser impacts should not be interpolated or extrapolated from these results.

 

Sensitivity analyses do not take account of the fact that assets and liabilities are managed and controlled. Additionally, the Organization's financial position may vary with any movement occurring in the market. For example, the risk management strategy aims to manage exposure to fluctuations in the market. As investment markets move, management initiatives may include sales of investments, altered portfolio allocations, and other protective measures.

 

Other limitations of the sensitivity analyses include the use of hypothetical market movements to show the potential risk, which only represents Management's view of possible market changes in the near future, which cannot be foreseen with certainty, and they also assume that all interest rates move in the same manner.

 

Risk concentration

 

Potential exposures are monitored, analyzing certain concentrations in some type of insurance. The table below shows risk concentration by type of insurance (except health and dental), based on net premiums, net of reinsurance:

 

Net premiums written by type of insurance, net of reinsurance

R$ thousand

On December 31

2017

2016

Auto

4,086,705

3,924,444

RE (Elementary branch)

1,525,848

1,593,662

Tradicional plans

1,788,420

1,499,401

Life insurance

6,904,576

6,354,034

VGBL

28,650,153

28,377,786

PGBL

3,301,623

2,386,631

 

Credit risk of insurance

 

Credit risk consists of the possible incurrence of losses associated with non-performance, by the borrower or counterparty, of its financial obligations according to agreed terms, as well as the fall in value of any credit agreement as a result of deterioration in the risk classification of the borrower, and other losses related to any non-performance of financial obligations by the counterparty.

 

Reinsurance policy

 

Credit risk is involved in purchasing reinsurance and insurance companies must be conservative and selective when choosing their partners Reinsurers are registered with SUSEP, and classified as local, admitted or occasional. Reinsurers classified as admitted and occasional, headquartered abroad, must meet specific minimum requirements set forth in current legislation.

 

The Bradesco Organization's policy for purchasing reinsurance and approval of reinsurers are the responsibility of the executive board, observing to the minimum legal requirements and regulations, some of them aimed at minimizing the credit risk intrinsic to the operation, and considering the shareholders' equity consistent with amounts transferred.

 

Another important aspect of managing reinsurance operations is the fact that the Organization aims to work within its contractual capacity, thereby avoiding high credit risk.

 

Practically, the value of premiums transferred in reinsurance is relatively small in relation to total premiums written. However, almost all property damage portfolios, except automotive, are hedged by reinsurance which, in most cases, is a combination of proportional and non-proportional plans by risk and/or by event.

 

Currently, part of the reinsurance contracts (proportional and non-proportional) are transferred to IRB Brasil Resseguros S.A. Some admitted reinsurers participate with lower individual percentages, but all have minimum capital and rating higher than the minimum established by the Brazilian legislation, which, in management's judgment, reduces the credit risk.

 

Managing credit risk

 

Credit-risk management in the Organization is a continuous and evolving process including the mapping, development, evaluation and diagnosis of existing models, instruments and procedures that requires a high level of discipline and control in the analysi of operations to preserve the integrity and independence of processes.

 

As noted above, credit risk is managed at the corporate level using structured, independent internal procedures based on proprietary documentation and reports, duly assessed by the risk management structures of Organization, and based on the gradual deployment of internal models for the determination, measurement and calculation of capital.

 

Exposure to insurance credit risk

 

Management believes that maximum exposure to credit risk arising from premiums to be paid by insured parties is low, since, in some cases, coverage of claims may be canceled (under Brazilian regulations), if premiums are not paid by the due date. Exposure to credit risk for premium receivables differs between risks yet to be incurred and risks incurred, since there is higher exposure on incurred-risk lines for which coverage is provided in advance of payment of the insurance premium.

 

The Organization is exposed to concentrations of risk with individual reinsurance companies, due to the nature of the reinsurance market and strict layer of reinsurance companies with acceptable loan ratings. The Organization manages the exposures of its reinsurance counterparties, limiting the reinsurance companies that may be used, and regularly assessing the default impact of the reinsurance companies.