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Risk Management | 12 Months Ended
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Dec. 31, 2022
Risk Management [Abstract] |
Risk Management |
38. RISK MANAGEMENT
Cenovus is exposed to financial risks, including market risk related to commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, interest rates, commo dity power prices as w ell as credit risk and liquidity risk. To manage exposure to commodity price movements between when products are produced or purchased and when sold to the customer or used by Cenovus, the Company may periodically enter into financial positions as a part of ongoing operations to market the Company’s production and physical inventory positions of crude oil, natural gas, condensate, refined products, and power consumption. The Company may also enter into arrangements to manage exposure to future carbon compliance costs or to offset select carbon emissions. The Company entered into risk management positions to help capture incremental margin expected to be received in future periods at the time products will be sold and to mitigate overall exposure to fluctuations in commodity prices related to inventories and physical sales. Mitigation of commodity price volatility may utilize financial positions to protect future cash flows. To manage exposure to interest rate volatility, the Company periodically enters into interest rate swap contracts. To mitigate the Company’s exposure to foreign exchange rate fluctuations, the Company periodically enters into foreign exchange contracts. To manage interest costs on short-term borrowings, the Company periodically enters into cross currency interest rate swaps. To manage electricity costs associated with the production and transportation of crude oil, the Company may enter into power swaps a nd other energy instruments, including renewable power contracts. To manage exposure to future carbon costs, power prices, or to generate potential offsets for carbon emissions, the Company may enter into renewable power contracts. As at December 31, 2022, the fair value of risk management positions was a net asset of $46 million an d consisted of crude oil, natural gas, conde nsate, refined products, power and foreign exchange rate instruments. As at December 31, 2022, there were foreign exchange contracts with a notional value of US$168 million outstanding (December 31, 2021 – US$144 million) and no interest rate contracts or cross currency interest rate swap contracts (December 31, 2021 – $nil) outstanding. Net Fair Value of Risk Management Positions
As at December 31, 2022 | Notional Volumes (1)(2) |  | Terms (3) |  | Weighted Average Price (1) (2) |  | Fair Value Asset (Liability)
Futures Contracts Related to Blending (4) |  |  |  |  |  |  |
WTI Fixed – Sell | 3.2 MMbbls |  | January 2023 - June 2024 |  | US$80.35/bbl |  | 1
WTI Fixed – Buy | 2.3 MMbbls |  | February 2023 - June 2024 |  | US$79.93/bbl |  | —
Power Swap Contacts |  |  |  |  |  |  | (6)
Renewable Power Contracts |  |  |  |  |  |  | 90
Other Financial Positions (5) |  |  |  |  |  |  | (39)
Total Fair Value |  |  |  |  |  |  | 46
(1) Million barrels (“MMbbls”). Barrel (“bbl”). (2) Notional volumes and weighted average price represent various contracts over the respective terms. The notional volumes and weighted average price may fluctuate from month to month as it represents the averages for various individual contracts with different terms. (3) Contract terms represent various individual contracts with different terms, and range from one month to eighteen months. (4) Condensate related f utures contract positions consist of WTI contracts to help manage condensate price exposure. (5) Other financial positions consist of risk management positions related to WCS, heavy oil and condensate differential contracts, Belvieu fixed price contracts, reformulated blendstock for oxygenate blending gasoline contracts, heating oil and natural gas fixed price contracts, natural gas basis contracts and the Company’s U.S. manufacturing and marketing activities. A) Commodity Price, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate Risk i) Commodity Price Risk Commodity price risk arises from the effect that fluctuations of forward commodity prices may have on the fair value or future cash flows of financial assets and liabilities. To partially mitigate exposure to commodity price risk, the Company has entered into various financial derivative instruments. The use of these derivative instruments is governed under formal policies and is subject to limits established by the Board of Directors. The Company’s policy does not allow the use of derivative instruments for speculative purposes. The Company has used crude oil, natural gas and refined product swaps, futures, basis price risk management contracts and, if entered into, forwards, options, as well as condensate futures and swaps. These derivative instruments are used to partially mitigate exposure to the commodity price risk on its crude oil sales and to protect both near-term and future cash flows. Cenovus has entered into a number of transactions to help protect against widening light/heavy crude oil price differentials and to manage exposure to commodity price movements between when products are produced or purchased and when sold to the customer or used by Cenovus. In addition, the Company has entered into risk management positions to help mitigate the risk to incremental margin expected to be received in future periods at the time products will be sold. The Company has used commodity futures and swaps, as well as differential price risk management contracts to partially mitigate its exposure to the commodity price risk on its condensate transactions. Natural gas fixed price and basis instruments are used to partially mitigate its natural gas commodity price risk. ii) Foreign Exchange Risk Foreign exchange risk arises from changes in foreign exchange rates that may affect the fair value or future cash flows of Cenovus’s financial assets or liabilities. As Cenovus operates in North America, fluctuations in the exchange rate between the U.S./Canadian dollar can have a significant effect on reported results. Cenovus’s foreign exchange (gain) loss primarily includes unrealized foreign exchange gains and losses on the translation of the U.S. dollar debt issued from Canada (see Note 9). As at December 31, 2022, Cenovus had US$4.8 billion in U.S. dollar debt (December 31, 2021 – US$7.4 billion). iii) Interest Rate Risk Interest rate risk arises from changes in market interest rates that may affect earnings, cash flows and valuations. Cenovus has the flexibility to partially mitigate its exposure to interest rate changes by maintaining a mix of both fixed and floating rate debt. To manage exposure to interest rate volatility, the Company periodically enters into interest rate swap contracts. As at December 31, 2022, Cenovus had no interest rate swap contracts outstanding (December 31, 2021 – $nil). To manage interest costs on short-term borrowings, the Company periodically enters into cross currency interest rate swaps. As at December 31, 2022, Cenovus had no cross currency interest rate swap contracts outstanding (December 31, 2021 – $nil). iv) Commodity Price, Foreign Exchange and Interest Rate Sensitivities The following table summarizes the sensitivity of the fair value of Cenovus’s risk management positions to independent fluctuations in commodity prices and foreign exchange rates, with all other variables held constant. Management believes the fluctuations identified in the table below are a reasonable measure of volatility. The impact of fluctuating commodity prices and foreign exchange rates on the Company’s open risk management positions could have resulted in an unrealized gain (loss) impacting earnings before income tax as follows:
As at December 31, 2022 | Sensitivity Range | Increase |  | Decrease
Crude Oil Commodity Price | ± US$10.00/bbl Applied to WTI, Condensate and Related Hedges | 1 |  | (1)
WCS and Condensate Differential Price (1) | ± US$2.50/bbl Applied to Differential Hedges Tied to Production | 13 |  | (13)
WCS (Hardisty) Differential Price | ± US$5.00/bbl Applied to WCS Differential Hedges Tied to Production | (1) |  | 1
Refined Products Commodity Price | ± US$10.00/bbl Applied to Heating Oil and Gasoline Hedges | (2) |  | 2
Natural Gas Basis Price | ± US$0.50/MCF Applied to Natural Gas Basis Hedges | 1 |  | (1)
Power Commodity Price | ± C$20.00/Megawatt Hour Applied to Power Hedges | 113 |  | (113)
U.S. to Canadian Dollar Exchange Rate | ± $0.05 in the U.S. to Canadian Dollar Exchange Rate | 14 |  | (17)
(1) Excludes WCS (Hardisty) differential.
As at December 31, 2021 | Sensitivity Range | Increase |  | Decrease
Crude Oil Commodity Price | ± US$5.00/bbl Applied to WTI, Condensate and Related Hedges | (225) |  | 225
WCS and Condensate Differential Price | ± US$2.50/bbl Applied to WCS and Differential Hedges Tied to Production | 4 |  | (4)
Refined Products Commodity Price | ± US$5.00/bbl Applied to Heating Oil and Gasoline Hedges | (2) |  | 2
U.S. to Canadian Dollar Exchange Rate | ± $0.05 in the U.S. to Canadian Dollar Exchange Rate | 11 |  | (12)
In respect of these financial instruments, the impact of changes in the Canadian per U.S. dollar exchange rate would have resulted in a change to the foreign exchange (gain) loss as follows:
As at December 31, |  | 2022 |  | 2021
$0.05 Increase in the Canadian per U.S. Dollar Foreign Exchange Rate |  | 246 |  | 372
$0.05 Decrease in the Canadian per U.S. Dollar Foreign Exchange Rate |  | (246) |  | (372)
Management believes the fluctuations identified in the table above are a reasonable measure of volatility. As at December 31, 2022, the increase or decrease in net earnings for a one percent change in interest rates on floating rate debt amounts to $1 million (December 31, 2021 – $1 million). This assumes the amount of fixed and floating debt remains unchanged from the respective balance sheet dates. Credit risk arises from the potential that the Company may incur a financial loss if a counterparty to a financial instrument fails to meet its financial or performance obligations in accordance with agreed terms. Cenovus has in place a Credit Policy approved by the Audit Committee and the Board of Directors, which is designed to ensure that its credit exposures are within an acceptable risk level. The Credit Policy outlines the roles and responsibilities related to credit risk, sets a framework for how credit exposures will be measured, monitored and mitigated, and sets parameters around credit concentration limits. Cenovus assesses the credit risk of new counterparties and continues risk-based monitoring of all counterparties on an ongoing basis. A substantial portion of Cenovus’s accounts receivable are with customers in the oil and gas industry and are subject to normal industry credit risks. Cenovus’s exposure to its counterparties is within its credit policy tolerances. The maximum credit risk exposure associated with accounts receivable and accrued revenues, net investment in finance leases, risk management assets and long-term receivables is the total carrying value. As at December 31, 2022, approximately 85 percent (December 31, 2021 – 94 percent) of the Company’s accruals, receivables related to Cenovus’s joint arrangements, trade receivables and net investment in finance leases were with investment grade counterparties, and 99 percent of th e Company’s accounts receivable were outstanding for less than 60 days. The associated average expected credit loss on these accounts w as 0.4 percent as at December 31, 2022 (December 31, 2021 – 0.1 percent). ) Liquidity Risk Liquidity risk is the risk that the Company will not be able to meet all of its financial obligations as they become due. Liquidity risk also includes the risk of not being able to liquidate assets in a timely manner at a reasonable price. Cenovus manages its liquidity risk through the active management of cash and debt, and by maintaining appropriate access to credit, which may be impacted by the Company’s credit ratings. As disclosed in Note 26, over the long term, Cenovus targets a Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA ratio and Net Debt to Adjusted Funds Flow ratio of approximately 1.0 times at the bottom of the commodity price cycle to manage the Company’s overall debt position. Cenovus manages its liquidity risk by ensuring that it has access to multiple sources of capital including: cash and cash equivalents, cash from operating activities, undrawn capacity on its committed credit facility and uncommitted demand facilities as well as availability under its base shelf prospectus. As at December 31, 2022, the Company’s sources of capital included: •$4.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents. •$5.5 billion available on its committed credit facility. •$1.4 billion available on its uncommitted demand facilities, of which $1.0 billion may be drawn for general purposes, or the full amount may be available to issue letters of credit. •US$140 million (C$190 million) on the Company’s proportionate share of the uncommitted demand facilities from WRB. •US$4.7 billion unused capacity under its base shelf prospectus, availability of which is dependent on market conditions. Undiscounted cash outflows relating to financial liabilities are:
As at December 31, 2022 | 1 Year |  | Years 2 and 3 |  | Years 4 and 5 |  | Thereafter |  | Total
Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities | 6,124 |  | — |  | — |  | — |  | 6,124
Short-Term Borrowings (1) | 115 |  | — |  | — |  | — |  | 115
Long-Term Debt (1) | 401 |  | 983 |  | 2,014 |  | 11,196 |  | 14,594
Contingent Payments | 271 |  | 167 |  | — |  | — |  | 438
Lease Liabilities (1) | 426 |  | 746 |  | 596 |  | 2,889 |  | 4,657
As at December 31, 2021 | 1 Year |  | Years 2 and 3 |  | Years 4 and 5 |  | Thereafter |  | Total
Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities | 6,353 |  | — |  | — |  | — |  | 6,353
Short-Term Borrowings (1) | 79 |  | — |  | — |  | — |  | 79
Long-Term Debt (1) | 561 |  | 1,608 |  | 2,603 |  | 14,892 |  | 19,664
Contingent Payments | 238 |  | — |  | — |  | — |  | 238
Lease Liabilities (1) | 453 |  | 794 |  | 634 |  | 3,192 |  | 5,073
(1) Principal and interest, including current portion if applicable.

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