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FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2016
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS
FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS

Accounting standards pertaining to fair value measurements establish a three-tier fair value hierarchy, which prioritizes the inputs used in measuring fair value. These tiers include: Level 1, defined as observable inputs such as quoted prices in active markets; Level 2, defined as inputs other than quoted prices in active markets that are either directly or indirectly observable; and Level 3, defined as unobservable inputs in which little or no market data exists, therefore requiring an entity to develop its own assumptions.

As of September 30, 2016, the Company held certain items that are required to be measured at fair value on a recurring basis. These included cash equivalents, short-term investments (primarily treasury bills and certificates of deposit), interest rate derivative contracts, fuel derivative contracts, and available-for-sale securities. The majority of the Company’s short-term investments consist of instruments classified as Level 1. However, the Company has certificates of deposit, commercial paper, and Eurodollar time deposits that are classified as Level 2, due to the fact that the fair value for these instruments is determined utilizing observable inputs in non-active markets. Other available-for-sale securities primarily consist of investments associated with the Company’s excess benefit plan.

The Company’s fuel and interest rate derivative instruments consist of over-the-counter contracts, which are not traded on a public exchange. Fuel derivative instruments include swaps, as well as different types of option contracts, whereas interest rate derivatives consist solely of swap agreements. See Note 3 for further information on the Company’s derivative instruments and hedging activities. The fair values of swap contracts are determined based on inputs that are readily available in public markets or can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets. Therefore, the Company has categorized these swap contracts as Level 2. The Company’s Treasury Department, which reports to the Chief Financial Officer, determines the value of option contracts utilizing an option pricing model based on inputs that are either readily available in public markets, can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets, or are provided by financial institutions that trade these contracts. The option pricing model used by the Company is an industry standard model for valuing options and is the same model used by the broker/dealer community (i.e., the Company’s counterparties). The inputs to this option pricing model are the option strike price, underlying price, risk free rate of interest, time to expiration, and volatility. Because certain inputs used to determine the fair value of option contracts are unobservable (principally implied volatility), the Company has categorized these option contracts as Level 3. Volatility information is obtained from external sources, but is analyzed by the Company for reasonableness and compared to similar information received from other external sources. The fair value of option contracts considers both the intrinsic value and any remaining time value associated with those derivatives that have not yet settled. The Company also considers counterparty credit risk and its own credit risk in its determination of all estimated fair values. To validate the reasonableness of the Company’s option pricing model, on a monthly basis, the Company compares its option valuations to third party valuations. If any significant differences were to be noted, they would be researched in order to determine the reason. However, historically, no significant differences have been noted. The Company has consistently applied these valuation techniques in all periods presented and believes it has obtained the most accurate information available for the types of derivative contracts it holds.

Included in Other available-for-sale securities are the Company’s investments associated with its deferred compensation plans, which consist of mutual funds that are publicly traded and for which market prices are readily available. These plans are non-qualified deferred compensation plans designed to hold contributions in excess of limits established by the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended. The distribution timing and payment amounts under these plans are made based on the participant’s distribution election and plan balance. Assets related to the funded portions of the deferred compensation plans are held in a rabbi trust, and the Company remains liable to these participants for the unfunded portion of the plans. The Company records changes in the fair value of the assets in the Company’s earnings.

The following tables present the Company’s assets and liabilities that are measured at fair value on a recurring basis at September 30, 2016, and December 31, 2015:

 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements at reporting date using:
 
 
 
 
Quoted prices in
active markets
for identical assets
 
Significant
other observable
inputs
 
Significant
unobservable
inputs
Description
 
September 30, 2016
 
(Level 1)
 
(Level 2)
 
(Level 3)
Assets
 
(in millions)
Cash equivalents
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash equivalents (a)
 
$
1,706

 
$
1,706

 
$

 
$

Commercial paper
 
250

 

 
250

 

Certificates of deposit
 
10

 

 
10

 

Short-term investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Treasury bills
 
1,198

 
1,198

 

 

Certificates of deposit
 
282

 

 
282

 

Interest rate derivatives (see Note 3)
 
13

 

 
13

 

Fuel derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Swap contracts (b)
 
8

 

 
8

 

Swap contracts (c)
 
173

 

 
173

 

Option contracts (b)
 
16

 

 

 
16

Option contracts (c)
 
400

 

 

 
400

Other available-for-sale securities
 
96

 
80

 

 
16

Total assets
 
$
4,152

 
$
2,984

 
$
736

 
$
432

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Swap contracts (b)
 
$
(2
)
 
$

 
$
(2
)
 
$

Swap contracts (c)
 
(220
)
 

 
(220
)
 

Option contracts (b)
 
(5
)
 

 

 
(5
)
     Option contracts (c)
 
(1,092
)
 

 

 
(1,092
)
Interest rate derivatives (see Note 3)
 
(36
)
 

 
(36
)
 

Total liabilities
 
$
(1,355
)
 
$

 
$
(258
)
 
$
(1,097
)
(a) Cash equivalents are primarily composed of money market investments.
(b) In the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet amounts are presented as a net asset. See Note 3.
(c) In the unaudited Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheet amounts are presented as a net liability. See Note 3.

 
 
 
 
Fair value measurements at reporting date using:
 
 
 
 
Quoted prices in
active markets
for identical assets
 
Significant
other observable
inputs
 
Significant
unobservable
inputs
Description
 
December 31, 2015
 
(Level 1)
 
(Level 2)
 
(Level 3)
Assets
 
(in millions)
Cash equivalents
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Cash equivalents (a)
 
$
1,337

 
$
1,337

 
$

 
$

Commercial paper
 
200

 

 
200

 

Certificates of deposit
 
13

 

 
13

 

Eurodollar time deposits
 
33

 

 
33

 

Short-term investments:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Treasury bills
 
1,248

 
1,248

 

 

Certificates of deposit
 
220

 

 
220

 

Interest rate derivatives (see Note 3)
 
2

 

 
2

 

Fuel derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Swap contracts (b)
 
38

 

 
38

 

Swap contracts (c)
 
931

 

 
931

 

Option contracts (b)
 
10

 

 

 
10

Option contracts (c)
 
956

 

 

 
956

Other available-for-sale securities
 
93

 
66

 

 
27

Total assets
 
$
5,081

 
$
2,651

 
$
1,437

 
$
993

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fuel derivatives:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Swap contracts (c)
 
$
(774
)
 
$

 
$
(774
)
 
$

Option contracts (b)
 
(26
)
 

 

 
(26
)
Option contracts (c)
 
(2,616
)
 

 

 
(2,616
)
Interest rate derivatives (see Note 3)
 
(49
)
 

 
(49
)
 

Total liabilities
 
$
(3,465
)
 
$

 
$
(823
)
 
$
(2,642
)
(a) Cash equivalents are primarily composed of money market investments.
(b) In the unaudited Consolidated Balance Sheet amounts are presented as a net asset. See Note 3.
(c) In the unaudited Consolidated Balance Sheet amounts are presented as a net liability. See Note 3.

The Company had no transfers of assets or liabilities between any of the above levels during the nine months ended September 30, 2016, or the year ended December 31, 2015. The Company did not have any assets or liabilities measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis as of the nine months ended September 30, 2016, or the year ended December 31, 2015. The following tables present the Company’s activity for items measured at fair value on a recurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3) for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2016:

 
Fair value measurements using significant
unobservable inputs (Level 3)
 
Fuel
derivatives
 
Other
securities
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
Total
Balance at June 30, 2016
$
(907
)
 
$
26

 
$
(881
)
Total gains (losses) (realized or unrealized)
 

 
 

 
 

Included in earnings
(46
)
 

 
(46
)
Included in other comprehensive income
(31
)
 
3

 
(28
)
Purchases
61

(a)

 
61

Sales
(4
)
(a)
(13
)
 
(17
)
Settlements
246

 

 
246

Balance at September 30, 2016
$
(681
)
 
$
16

 
$
(665
)
The amount of total losses for the period
  included in earnings attributable to the
  change in unrealized gains or losses relating
  to option contracts still held at September 30,
  2016.
$
(20
)
 
$

 
$
(20
)
(a) The purchase and sale of fuel derivatives are recorded gross based on the structure of the derivative instrument and whether a contract with multiple derivatives is purchased as a single instrument or separate instruments.
 
Fair value measurements using significant
unobservable inputs (Level 3)
 
Fuel
derivatives
 
Other
securities
 
 
(in millions)
 
 
Total
Balance at December 31, 2015
$
(1,676
)
 
$
27

 
$
(1,649
)
Total gains (realized or unrealized)
 

 
 

 
 

Included in earnings
128

 

 
128

Included in other comprehensive income
104

 
2

 
106

Purchases
191

(a)

 
191

Sales
(61
)
(a)
(13
)
 
(74
)
Settlements
633

 

 
633

Balance at September 30, 2016
$
(681
)
 
$
16

 
$
(665
)
The amount of total gains for the period
  included in earnings attributable to the
  change in unrealized gains or losses relating
  to option contracts still held at September 30,
  2016.
$
95

 
$

 
$
95

(a) The purchase and sale of fuel derivatives are recorded gross based on the structure of the derivative instrument and whether a contract with multiple derivatives is purchased as a single instrument or separate instruments.

The significant unobservable input used in the fair value measurement of the Company’s derivative option contracts is implied volatility. Holding other inputs constant, a significant increase (decrease) in implied volatility would result in a significantly higher (lower) fair value measurement, respectively, for the Company’s derivative option contracts.

The following table presents a range of the unobservable inputs utilized in the fair value measurements of the Company’s fuel derivatives classified as Level 3 at September 30, 2016:

Quantitative information about Level 3 fair value measurements
 
Valuation technique
Unobservable input
Period (by year)
Range
Fuel derivatives
Option model
Implied volatility
Fourth quarter 2016
20-35%
 
 
 
2017
27-38%
 
 
 
2018
21-32%


The carrying amounts and estimated fair values of the Company’s long-term debt (including current maturities), as well as the applicable fair value hierarchy tier, at September 30, 2016, are presented in the table below. The fair values of the Company’s publicly held long-term debt are determined based on inputs that are readily available in public markets or can be derived from information available in publicly quoted markets; therefore, the Company has categorized these agreements as Level 2. Debt under seven of the Company’s debt agreements is not publicly held. The Company has determined the estimated fair value of this debt to be Level 3, as certain inputs used to determine the fair value of these agreements are unobservable. The Company utilizes indicative pricing from counterparties and a discounted cash flow method to estimate the fair value of the Level 3 items.

(in millions)
 Carrying value
 
Estimated fair value
 
Fair value level hierarchy
5.25% Convertible Senior Notes due November 2016
$
110

 
$
301

 
Level 2
5.75% Notes due December 2016
302

 
304

 
Level 2
5.125% Notes due 2017
303

 
308

 
Level 2
French Credit Agreements due 2018 - 1.96%
19

 
19

 
Level 3
Fixed-rate 737 Aircraft Notes payable through 2018 - 7.03%
9

 
10

 
Level 3
2.75% Notes due 2019
307

 
316

 
Level 2
Term Loan Agreement due 2019 - 6.315%
115

 
117

 
Level 3
Term Loan Agreement due 2019 - 4.84%
28

 
29

 
Level 3
2.65% Notes due 2020
507

 
521

 
Level 2
Term Loan Agreement due 2020 - 5.223%
296

 
291

 
Level 3
Floating-rate 737 Aircraft Notes payable through 2020
217

 
213

 
Level 3
Term Loan Agreements payable through 2021 - 7.94%
20

 
22

 
Level 3
Pass Through Certificates due 2022 - 6.24%
324

 
362

 
Level 2
7.375% Debentures due 2027
130

 
161

 
Level 2