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Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2020
Reserve For Losses LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve [Abstract]  
Reserve For Losses LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve

3. RESERVE FOR LOSSES, LAE AND FUTURE POLICY BENEFIT RESERVE

 

Reserves for losses and LAE.

Activity in the reserve for losses and LAE is summarized for the periods indicated:

 

Years Ended December 31,

(Dollars in thousands)

2020

 

2019

 

2018

Gross reserves beginning of period

$

13,611,313

 

$

13,119,090

 

 

11,884,321

Less reinsurance recoverables

 

(1,640,712)

 

 

(1,619,641)

 

 

(1,212,649)

Net reserves beginning of period

 

11,970,601

 

 

11,499,449

 

 

10,671,672

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Incurred related to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

6,149,410

 

 

4,986,456

 

 

5,264,327

Prior years

 

401,427

 

 

(63,558)

 

 

387,076

Total incurred losses and LAE

 

6,550,837

 

 

4,922,898

 

 

5,651,403

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paid related to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

2,046,260

 

 

2,042,246

 

 

1,700,765

Prior years

 

2,080,816

 

 

2,460,825

 

 

3,011,175

Total paid losses and LAE

 

4,127,076

 

 

4,503,071

 

 

4,711,940

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign exchange/translation adjustment

 

160,944

 

 

51,325

 

 

(111,686)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net reserves end of period

 

14,555,306

 

 

11,970,601

 

 

11,499,449

Plus reinsurance recoverables

 

1,843,691

 

 

1,640,712

 

 

1,619,641

Gross reserves end of period

$

16,398,997

 

$

13,611,313

 

 

13,119,090

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

 

Current year incurred losses were $6,149,410 thousand, $4,986,456 thousand and $5,264,327 thousand at December 31, 2020, 2019 and 2018, respectively. The increase in current year incurred losses from 2019 to 2020 was primarily due to an increase of $772,399 thousand in current year attritional losses primarily due to higher premiums earned, $511,056 thousand of losses related to COVID-19 in 2020, partially offset by a $120,500 thousand decline in current year catastrophe losses. The decrease in current year incurred losses in 2019 compared to 2018 was primarily due to $693,458 thousand of lower catastrophe losses in 2019 compared to 2018, partially offset by $415,585 thousand of additional attritional losses attributable to higher premiums earned in 2019 compared to 2018.

 

Incurred prior years losses increased by $401,427 thousand in 2020, decreased by $63,558 thousand in 2019 and increased by $387,076 thousand in 2018. The increase for 2020 primarily related to higher ultimate loss

estimates for long-tail casualty business in the reinsurance segment for accident years 2015 to 2018, notably general liability, professional lines, and auto liability. The reserve charge also includes actions on non-CAT property lines, primarily for the 2017 to 2019 accident years and driven by a few large losses to aggregate programs.

 

The decrease for 2019 primarily related to reserve reductions associated short-tail lines of business and worker’s compensation.

 

The increase for 2018 was mainly due to $561,197 thousand of adverse development on prior years catastrophe losses, primarily related to Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria, as well as the 2017 California wildfires. The increase in loss estimates for Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria was mostly driven by re-opened claims, loss inflation from higher than expected loss adjustment expenses and in particular, their impact on aggregate covers. This reserve increase was partially offset by $174,121 thousand of favorable development on prior years attritional losses which mainly related to U.S. and international property and casualty reinsurance business, as well as favorable development in the Insurance segment which largely related to workers’ compensation business.

 

The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2020, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred but not reported liabilities (IBNR) plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts. Each of the Company’s financial reporting segments has been disaggregated into casualty and property business. The casualty and property segregation results in groups that have homogeneous loss development characteristics and are large enough to represent credible trends. Generally, casualty claims take longer to be reported and settled, resulting in longer payout patterns and increased volatility. Property claims on the other hand, tend to be reported and settled quicker and therefore tend to exhibit less volatility. The property business is more exposed to catastrophe losses, which can result in year over year fluctuations in incurred claims depending on the frequency and severity of catastrophes claims in any one accident year.

 

The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2012 to December 31, 2019 is presented as supplementary information.

 

These tables present nine years of incurred and paid claims development as it is impracticable to retrospectively create the tables for ten years. For the reinsurance groups, for the years prior to 2012, the total of IBNR plus expected development on reported claims was not prepared on an accident year basis. The Company calculated these IBNR amounts in the aggregate for each business unit in total as of prior year end points in time. While business written in the United States would have been allocated to accident year for regulatory reporting purposes, business written outside of the United States would not have been similarly allocated. Attempting to allocate the non-U.S. business IBNR reserves to accident year currently for older year end valuations would require making assumptions and estimates which may not be in line with assumptions that would have been made at the time. A similar situation applies to insurance where the accumulation of the business lines reported in the regulatory filings are not consistent with the breakout of the tables presented below. As a result of not being able to present the information prior to 2012, prospectively an additional year will be added to the tables each reporting year until a ten year table is presented.

 

The Cumulative Number of Reported Claims is shown only for Insurance Casualty as it is impracticable to provide the information for the remaining groups. The reinsurance groups each include pro rata contracts for which ceding companies provide only summary information via a bordereau. This summary information does not include the number of reported claims underlying the paid and reported losses. Therefore, it is not possible to provide this information. The Insurance Property group includes Accident & Health insurance business. This business is written via a master contract and individual claim counts are not provided. This business represents a significant enough portion of the business in the Insurance Property group so that including the number of reported claims for the remaining business would distort any analytics performed on the group.

 

The Cumulative Number of Reported Claims shown for the Insurance Casualty is determined by claim and line of business. For example, a claim event with three claimants in the same line of business is a single claim. However, a claim event with a single claimant that spans two lines of business contributes two claims.

 

The following tables present the ultimate loss and ALAE and the paid loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance for casualty and property, as well as the average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance for each of our disclosed lines of business.

Reinsurance – Casualty Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

 

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Cumulative

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

on Reported

 

Number of

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Reported Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

917,560

 

$

811,282

 

$

712,407

 

$

698,212

 

$

682,333

 

$

684,537

 

$

689,068

 

$

663,308

 

$

641,893

 

 

43,700

 

 

N/A

2013

 

 

 

 

 

730,202

 

 

821,395

 

 

809,631

 

 

800,451

 

 

770,745

 

 

741,873

 

 

721,961

 

 

721,902

 

 

56,597

 

 

N/A

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

780,730

 

 

820,870

 

 

828,341

 

 

805,087

 

 

763,611

 

 

740,786

 

 

753,967

 

 

72,825

 

 

N/A

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

805,551

 

 

845,303

 

 

840,659

 

 

837,802

 

 

821,513

 

 

858,157

 

 

113,144

 

 

N/A

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

818,293

 

 

895,558

 

 

892,576

 

 

887,698

 

 

963,300

 

 

195,650

 

 

N/A

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

903,896

 

 

863,306

 

 

870,174

 

 

951,461

 

 

319,560

 

 

N/A

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,356,788

 

 

1,354,279

 

 

1,431,276

 

 

639,205

 

 

N/A

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,740,245

 

 

1,810,434

 

 

1,118,428

 

 

N/A

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,963,469

 

 

1,497,536

 

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

10,095,859

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

42,576

 

 

99,763

 

 

182,550

 

 

278,492

 

 

358,953

 

 

429,165

 

 

509,020

 

 

543,688

 

 

555,736

2013

 

 

 

 

 

50,506

 

 

125,739

 

 

217,243

 

 

317,744

 

 

392,503

 

 

500,316

 

 

552,824

 

 

579,350

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

58,833

 

 

124,433

 

 

216,441

 

 

307,587

 

 

434,450

 

 

511,143

 

 

557,209

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

58,406

 

 

165,005

 

 

273,896

 

 

421,223

 

 

511,414

 

 

581,942

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

94,154

 

 

196,746

 

 

333,163

 

 

441,325

 

 

558,379

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

83,286

 

 

192,547

 

 

327,625

 

 

475,472

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

159,215

 

 

299,369

 

 

465,181

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

219,229

 

 

354,292

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

194,704

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

4,322,265

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

940,597

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

6,714,191

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

Casualty

 

9.5

%

 

9.7

%

 

12.9

%

 

14.1

%

 

12.4

%

 

10.9

%

 

8.4

%

 

4.5

%

 

1.9

%

 Reinsurance – Property Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

 

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Cumulative

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

on Reported

 

Number of

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Reported Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

1,625,024

 

 

1,311,752

 

 

1,188,304

 

 

1,187,096

 

 

1,181,200

 

 

1,174,224

 

 

1,162,252

 

 

1,181,653

 

 

1,184,476

 

 

7,419

 

 

N/A

2013

 

 

 

 

 

1,326,814

 

 

969,175

 

 

857,241

 

 

801,457

 

 

795,978

 

 

791,400

 

 

798,652

 

 

797,047

 

 

1,722

 

 

N/A

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,388,249

 

 

1,230,656

 

 

1,080,269

 

 

987,401

 

 

987,230

 

 

988,193

 

 

980,449

 

 

3,325

 

 

N/A

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,420,523

 

 

1,090,474

 

 

1,014,531

 

 

988,469

 

 

991,202

 

 

983,478

 

 

2,384

 

 

N/A

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,730,936

 

 

1,557,262

 

 

1,593,116

 

 

1,587,145

 

 

1,564,702

 

 

20,676

 

 

N/A

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,825,218

 

 

3,447,971

 

 

3,558,713

 

 

3,687,487

 

 

28,865

 

 

N/A

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,684,311

 

 

2,559,953

 

 

2,561,852

 

 

121,379

 

 

N/A

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,165,898

 

 

2,192,239

 

 

434,700

 

 

N/A

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,487,352

 

 

1,341,994

 

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

16,439,082

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

417,397

 

 

723,394

 

 

896,372

 

 

1,016,689

 

 

1,051,968

 

 

1,086,813

 

 

1,098,004

 

 

1,120,273

 

 

1,126,302

2013

 

 

 

 

 

394,228

 

 

567,616

 

 

670,369

 

 

728,570

 

 

749,345

 

 

759,925

 

 

768,490

 

 

770,215

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

388,263

 

 

678,897

 

 

812,441

 

 

889,561

 

 

921,183

 

 

931,451

 

 

937,437

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

390,284

 

 

633,428

 

 

792,018

 

 

876,356

 

 

905,281

 

 

926,388

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

480,453

 

 

986,043

 

 

1,269,622

 

 

1,394,284

 

 

1,447,824

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

835,042

 

 

2,207,048

 

 

2,775,818

 

 

3,161,267

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

576,573

 

 

1,579,781

 

 

1,969,117

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

770,686

 

 

1,250,409

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

616,160

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

12,205,119

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

105,209

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

4,339,172

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

 

 

 

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

Property

 

29.6

%

 

31.3

%

 

15.4

%

 

9.2

%

 

3.1

%

 

1.9

%

 

0.9

%

 

1.2

%

 

0.5

%

Insurance – Casualty Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

 

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Cumulative

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

on Reported

 

Number of

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Reported Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

349,724

 

 

351,529

 

 

347,068

 

 

348,262

 

 

353,395

 

 

344,008

 

 

346,983

 

 

351,444

 

 

353,945

 

 

11,283

 

 

15,780

2013

 

 

 

 

 

393,710

 

 

393,539

 

 

392,976

 

 

393,148

 

 

351,399

 

 

344,498

 

 

350,947

 

 

349,985

 

 

20,093

 

 

21,385

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

431,323

 

 

457,296

 

 

454,827

 

 

460,888

 

 

397,334

 

 

398,153

 

 

399,048

 

 

38,361

 

 

25,221

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

519,917

 

 

528,517

 

 

536,155

 

 

542,687

 

 

469,132

 

 

472,125

 

 

80,007

 

 

26,996

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

554,253

 

 

552,192

 

 

581,273

 

 

617,051

 

 

554,621

 

 

138,312

 

 

31,673

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

614,949

 

 

605,062

 

 

628,149

 

 

660,114

 

 

180,513

 

 

35,020

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

708,808

 

 

715,008

 

 

754,053

 

 

275,213

 

 

34,884

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

852,767

 

 

856,466

 

 

444,603

 

 

37,597

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

990,982

 

 

649,288

 

 

26,068

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

5,391,340

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

33,194

 

 

101,301

 

 

157,924

 

 

213,488

 

 

246,455

 

 

272,114

 

 

294,444

 

 

306,937

 

 

311,865

2013

 

 

 

 

 

33,314

 

 

117,046

 

 

176,326

 

 

224,633

 

 

260,223

 

 

285,873

 

 

303,786

 

 

310,928

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

41,194

 

 

124,937

 

 

201,689

 

 

256,886

 

 

297,762

 

 

326,011

 

 

339,487

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

44,317

 

 

134,761

 

 

218,990

 

 

292,115

 

 

353,445

 

 

382,748

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

54,740

 

 

164,384

 

 

269,163

 

 

343,020

 

 

402,693

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

53,922

 

 

172,476

 

 

281,500

 

 

381,442

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

63,614

 

 

208,531

 

 

319,858

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

72,399

 

 

235,087

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

63,878

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,747,987

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

224,752

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,868,104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

Casualty

 

8.5

%

 

19.6

%

 

17.0

%

 

14.6

%

 

10.8

%

 

6.9

%

 

4.9

%

 

2.8

%

 

1.4

%

Insurance – Property Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

 

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Cumulative

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

on Reported

 

Number of

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Reported Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

106,364

 

 

89,039

 

 

81,774

 

 

82,476

 

 

82,045

 

 

81,828

 

 

82,006

 

 

82,553

 

 

82,614

 

 

1

 

 

N/A

2013

 

 

 

 

 

112,083

 

 

98,206

 

 

91,336

 

 

92,224

 

 

92,313

 

 

92,473

 

 

92,328

 

 

91,895

 

 

29

 

 

N/A

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

131,754

 

 

123,745

 

 

119,991

 

 

119,525

 

 

119,346

 

 

119,483

 

 

119,139

 

 

57

 

 

N/A

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

173,062

 

 

153,031

 

 

144,084

 

 

146,934

 

 

144,923

 

 

146,630

 

 

286

 

 

N/A

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

291,370

 

 

275,812

 

 

280,872

 

 

292,986

 

 

295,364

 

 

308

 

 

N/A

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

498,359

 

 

502,935

 

 

496,583

 

 

499,724

 

 

6,358

 

 

N/A

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

409,527

 

 

403,294

 

 

398,616

 

 

5,436

 

 

N/A

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

349,177

 

 

352,038

 

 

14,100

 

 

N/A

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

623,267

 

 

255,707

 

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,609,287

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

56,506

 

 

81,798

 

 

80,496

 

 

81,777

 

 

81,918

 

 

81,708

 

 

81,847

 

 

82,483

 

 

82,613

2013

 

 

 

 

 

68,712

 

 

93,181

 

 

91,921

 

 

92,191

 

 

91,800

 

 

91,840

 

 

91,857

 

 

91,866

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

81,853

 

 

116,090

 

 

118,278

 

 

118,271

 

 

118,606

 

 

118,726

 

 

118,801

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

102,241

 

 

141,396

 

 

142,563

 

 

145,371

 

 

146,870

 

 

146,958

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

162,916

 

 

250,073

 

 

272,583

 

 

290,476

 

 

293,457

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

179,432

 

 

425,607

 

 

460,412

 

 

483,178

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

245,944

 

 

359,452

 

 

379,937

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

227,639

 

 

317,960

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

293,269

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,208,038

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

39

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

401,287

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

Property

 

54.4

%

 

33.2

%

 

4.8

%

 

3.6

%

 

2.8

%

 

-

%

 

0.6

%

 

0.4

%

 

0.2

%

Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses

 

The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated statement of financial position is as follows.

 

December 31, 2020

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

Net outstanding liabilities

 

 

Reinsurance Casualty

$

6,714,191

Reinsurance Property

 

4,339,172

Insurance Casualty

 

2,868,104

Insurance Property

 

401,287

Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

14,322,754

 

 

 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims

 

 

Reinsurance Casualty

 

399,865

Reinsurance Property

 

456,062

Insurance Casualty

 

818,701

Insurance Property

 

169,062

Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims

 

1,843,691

 

 

 

Insurance lines other than short-duration

 

-

Unallocated claims adjustment expenses

 

194,111

Other

 

38,441

 

 

232,552

 

 

 

Total gross liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense

$

16,398,997

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

Reserving Methodology

 

The Company maintains reserves equal to our estimated ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expense (LAE) for reported and unreported claims for our insurance and reinsurance businesses. Because reserves are based on estimates of ultimate losses and LAE by underwriting or accident year, the Company uses a variety of statistical and actuarial techniques to monitor reserve adequacy over time, evaluate new information as it becomes known, and adjust reserves whenever an adjustment appears warranted. The Company considers many factors when setting reserves including: (1) exposure base and projected ultimate premium; (2) expected loss ratios by product and class of business, which are developed collaboratively by underwriters and actuaries; (3) actuarial methodologies and assumptions which analyze loss reporting and payment experience, reports from ceding companies and historical trends, such as reserving patterns, loss payments, and product mix; (4) current legal interpretations of coverage and liability; and (5) economic conditions. Insurance and reinsurance loss and LAE reserves represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability. Actual loss and LAE ultimately paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from such reserves. Net income (gain or loss) will be impacted in a period in which the change in estimated ultimate loss and LAE is recorded.

 

The detailed data required to evaluate ultimate losses for the Company’s insurance business is accumulated from its underwriting and claim systems. Reserving for reinsurance requires evaluation of loss information received from ceding companies. Ceding companies report losses in many forms depending on the type of contract and the agreed or contractual reporting requirements. Generally, pro rata contracts require the submission of a monthly/quarterly account, which includes premium and loss activity for the period with corresponding reserves as established by the ceding company. This information is recorded into the Company’s records. For certain pro rata contracts, the Company may require a detailed loss report for claims that exceed a certain dollar threshold or relate to a particular type of loss. Excess of loss and facultative contracts generally require individual loss reporting with precautionary notices provided when a loss reaches a significant percentage of the attachment point of the contract or when certain causes of loss or types of injury occur. Experienced claims staff handles individual loss reports and supporting claim information. Based on evaluation of a claim, the Company may establish additional case reserves in addition to the case reserves reported by the ceding company. To ensure ceding companies are submitting required and accurate data, Everest’s Underwriting, Claim, Reinsurance Accounting, and Internal Audit Departments perform various reviews of ceding companies, particularly larger ceding companies, including on-site audits.

 

The Company segments both reinsurance and insurance reserves into exposure groupings for actuarial analysis. The Company assigns business to exposure groupings so that the underlying exposures have reasonably homogeneous loss development characteristics and are large enough to facilitate credible estimation of ultimate losses. The Company periodically reviews its exposure groupings and may change groupings over time as business changes. The Company currently uses approximately 200 exposure groupings to develop reserve estimates. One of the key selection characteristics for the exposure groupings is the historical duration of the claims settlement process. Business in which claims are reported and settled relatively quickly are commonly referred to as short tail lines, principally property lines. On the other hand, casualty claims tend to take longer to be reported and settled and casualty lines are generally referred to as long tail lines. Estimates of ultimate losses for shorter tail lines, with the exception of loss estimates for large catastrophic events, generally exhibit less volatility than those for the longer tail lines.

 

The Company uses a variety of actuarial methodologies, such as the expected loss ratio method, chain ladder methods, and Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods, supplemented by judgment where appropriate, to estimate ultimate loss and LAE for each exposure group.

 

Expected Loss Ratio Method: The expected loss ratio method uses earned premium times an expected loss ratio to calculate ultimate losses for a given underwriting or accident year. This method relies entirely on

expectation to project ultimate losses with no consideration given to actual losses. As such, it may be appropriate for an immature underwriting or accident year where few, if any, losses have been reported or paid, but less appropriate for a more mature year.

 

Chain Ladder Method: Chain ladder methods use a standard loss development triangle to project ultimate losses. Age-to-age development factors are selected for each development period and combined to calculate age-to-ultimate development factors which are then applied to paid or reported losses to project ultimate losses. This method relies entirely on actual paid or reported losses to project ultimate losses. No other factors such as changes in pricing or other expectations are taken into account. It is most appropriate for groups with homogeneous, stable experience where past development patterns are expected to continue in the future. It is least appropriate for groups which have changed significantly over time or which are more volatile.

 

Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method: The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method is a combination of the expected loss ratio method and the chain ladder method. Ultimate losses are projected based partly on actual paid or reported losses and partly on expectation. Incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves are calculated using earned premium, an a priori loss ratio, and selected age-to-age development factors and added to actual reported (paid) losses to determine ultimate losses. It is more responsive to actual reported or paid development than the expected loss ratio method but less responsive than the chain ladder method. The reliability of the method depends on the accuracy of the selected a priori loss ratio.

 

Although the Company uses similar actuarial methods for both short tail and long tail lines, the faster reporting of experience for the short tail lines allows the Company to have greater confidence in its estimates of ultimate losses for short tail lines at an earlier stage than for long tail lines. As a result, the Company utilizes, as well, exposure-based methods to estimate its ultimate losses for longer tail lines, especially for immature underwriting or accident years. For both short and long tail lines, the Company supplements these general approaches with analytically based judgments.

 

Key actuarial assumptions contain no explicit provisions for reserve uncertainty nor does the Company supplement the actuarially determined reserves for uncertainty.

 

Carried reserves at each reporting date are the Company’s best estimate of ultimate unpaid losses and LAE at that date. The Company completes detailed reserve studies for each exposure group annually for both reinsurance and insurance operations. The completed annual reserve studies are “rolled-forward” for each accounting period until the subsequent reserve study is completed. Analyzing the roll-forward process involves comparing actual reported losses to expected losses based on the most recent reserve study. The Company analyzes significant variances between actual and expected losses and post adjustments to its reserves as warranted.

 

Certain reserves, including losses from widespread catastrophic events and COVID-19 related losses, cannot be estimated using traditional actuarial methods. These types of events are reserved for separately using a variety of statistical and actuarial techniques. We estimate losses for these types of events based on information derived from catastrophe models, quantitative and qualitative exposure analyses, reports and communications from ceding companies and development patterns for historically similar events, where available.

 

The Company continues to receive claims under expired insurance and reinsurance contracts asserting injuries and/or damages relating to or resulting from environmental pollution and hazardous substances, including asbestos. Environmental claims typically assert liability for (a) the mitigation or remediation of environmental contamination or (b) bodily injury or property damage caused by the release of hazardous substances into the land, air or water. Asbestos claims typically assert liability for bodily injury from exposure to asbestos or for property damage resulting from asbestos or products containing asbestos.

 

The Company’s reserves include an estimate of the Company’s ultimate liability for A&E claims. The Company’s A&E liabilities emanate from Mt. McKinley’s direct insurance business and Everest Re’s assumed reinsurance

business. All of the contracts of insurance and reinsurance, under which the Company has received claims during the past three years, expired more than 20 years ago. There are significant uncertainties surrounding the Company’s reserves for its A&E losses.

 

A&E exposures represent a separate exposure group for monitoring and evaluating reserve adequacy. The following table summarizes incurred losses with respect to A&E reserves on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis for the periods indicated:

 

At December 31,

(Dollars in thousands)

2020

 

2019

 

2018

Gross basis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning of period reserves

$

257,921

 

$

347,495

 

$

448,994

Incurred losses

 

1,540

 

 

2,070

 

 

(2,473)

Paid losses

 

(40,120)

 

 

(91,644)

 

 

(99,026)

End of period reserves

$

219,341

 

$

257,921

 

$

347,495

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net basis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning of period reserves

$

228,701

 

$

261,456

 

$

318,081

Incurred losses

 

(772)

 

 

-

 

 

-

Paid losses

 

(29,674)

 

 

(32,756)

 

 

(56,624)

End of period reserves

$

198,255

 

$

228,701

 

$

261,456

In 2015, the Company sold Mt. McKinley, a Delaware domiciled insurance company and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company to Clearwater Insurance Company, a Delaware domiciled insurance company. Concurrently with the closing, the Company entered into a retrocession treaty with an affiliate of Clearwater Insurance Company. Per the retrocession treaty, the Company retroceded 100% of the liabilities associated with certain Mt. McKinley policies, which related entirely to A&E business and had been reinsured by Bermuda Re. As consideration for entering into the retrocession treaty, Everest Re Bermuda transferred cash of $140,279 thousand, an amount equal to the net loss reserves as of the closing date. The maximum liability retroceded under the retrocession treaty will be $440,279 thousand, equal to the retrocession payment plus $300,000 thousand. The Company will retain liability for any amounts exceeding the maximum liability retroceded under the retrocession treaty.

 

On December 20, 2019, the retrocession treaty was amended and included a partial commutation. As a result of this amendment and partial commutation, gross A&E reserves and correspondingly reinsurance receivable were reduced by $43,362 thousand. In addition, the maximum liability permitted to be retroceded increased to $,450298 thousand.

 

Reinsurance Receivables.

Reinsurance receivables for both paid and recoverable on unpaid losses totaled $1,994,555 thousand and $1,763,471 thousand at December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019, respectively. At December 31, 2020, $699,734 thousand, or 35.1%, was receivable from Mt. Logan Re collateralized segregated accounts and $211,594 thousand, or 10.6% was receivable from Munich Reinsurance America, Inc. (“Munich Re”). No other retrocessionaire accounted for more than 5% of our receivables.

 

Future Policy Benefit Reserve.

Activity in the reserve for future policy benefits is summarized for the periods indicated:

 

At December 31,

(Dollars in thousands)

2020

 

2019

 

2018

Balance at beginning of year

$

42,592

 

$

46,778

 

$

51,014

Liabilities assumed

 

35

 

 

53

 

 

110

Adjustments to reserves

 

(1,113)

 

 

350

 

 

806

Benefits paid in the current year

 

(3,791)

 

 

(4,589)

 

 

(5,151)

Balance at end of year

$

37,723

 

$

42,592

 

$

46,778

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)