XML 27 R10.htm IDEA: XBRL DOCUMENT v3.22.0.1
Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2021
Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve [Abstract]  
Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve

3. RESERVE FOR LOSSES, LAE AND FUTURE POLICY BENEFIT RESERVE

 

Reserves for losses and LAE.

The following table provides a roll forward of the Company’s beginning and ending reserve for losses and LAE is summarized for the periods indicated:

 

Years Ended December 31,

(Dollars in thousands)

2021

 

2020

 

2019

Gross reserves beginning of period

$

16,322,143

 

$

13,531,256

 

$

13,098,158

Less reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

 

(1,843,691)

 

 

(1,640,712)

 

 

(1,619,641)

Net reserves beginning of period

 

14,478,452

 

 

11,890,544

 

 

11,478,517

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Incurred related to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

7,400,303

 

 

6,149,410

 

 

4,986,456

Prior years

 

(9,050)

 

 

401,427

 

 

(63,558)

Total incurred losses and LAE

 

7,391,253

 

 

6,550,837

 

 

4,922,898

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Paid related to:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Current year

 

2,490,645

 

 

2,046,260

 

 

2,042,246

Prior years

 

2,226,457

 

 

2,077,613

 

 

2,519,950

Total paid losses and LAE

 

4,717,102

 

 

4,123,873

 

 

4,562,196

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Foreign exchange/translation adjustment

 

(89,481)

 

 

160,944

 

 

51,325

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net reserves end of period

 

17,063,121

 

 

14,478,452

 

 

11,890,544

Plus reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses

 

1,946,365

 

 

1,843,691

 

 

1,640,712

Gross reserves end of period

$

19,009,486

 

$

16,322,143

 

$

13,531,256

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

 

 

 

Current year incurred losses were $7.4 billion, $6.1 billion and $5.0 billion in 2021, 2020 and 2019, respectively. The increase in current year incurred losses from 2020 to 2021 was primarily related to an increase of $710.0 million in current year catastrophe losses and an increase of $540.9 million in current year attritional losses. The increase in current year attritional losses was mainly due to the growth in premiums earned, partially mitigated by $511.1 million of losses related to COVID-19 in 2020 which did not recur in 2021. The increase in current year incurred losses from 2019 to 2020 was primarily due to an increase of $772.4 million in current year attritional losses primarily due to higher premiums earned and the previously mentioned $511.1 million of losses related to COVID-19 in 2020, partially offset by a $120.5 million decline in current year catastrophe losses.

 

Incurred prior years losses were ($9.1) million in 2021, $401.4 million in 2020 and ($63.6) million in 2019. The favorable development on prior year reserves of ($9.1) million in 2021 is primarily driven by a commutation and reserve releases within the reinsurance segment. The increase for 2020 primarily related to higher ultimate loss estimates for long-tail casualty business in the reinsurance segment for accident years 2015 to 2018, notably general liability, professional lines, and auto liability. The reserve charge also includes actions on non-CAT property lines, primarily for the 2017 to 2019 accident years and driven by a few large losses to aggregate programs. The decrease for 2019 primarily related to reserve reductions associated with short-tail lines of business and worker’s compensation.

 

The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2021, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred but not reported liabilities (IBNR) plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts. Each of the Company’s financial reporting segments has been disaggregated into casualty and property business. The casualty and property segregation results in groups that have homogeneous loss development characteristics and are large enough to represent credible trends. Generally, casualty claims take longer to be reported and settled, resulting in longer payout patterns and increased volatility. Property claims on the other hand, tend to

be reported and settled quicker and therefore tend to exhibit less volatility. The property business is more exposed to catastrophe losses, which can result in year over year fluctuations in incurred claims depending on the frequency and severity of catastrophes claims in any one accident year.

 

The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2012 to December 31, 2020 is presented as supplementary information.

 

The Cumulative Number of Reported Claims is shown only for Insurance Casualty as it is impracticable to provide the information for the remaining groups. The reinsurance groups each include pro rata contracts for which ceding companies provide only summary information via a bordereau. This summary information does not include the number of reported claims underlying the paid and reported losses. Therefore, it is not possible to provide this information. The Insurance Property group includes Accident & Health insurance business. This business is written via a master contract and individual claim counts are not provided. This business represents a significant enough portion of the business in the Insurance Property group so that including the number of reported claims for the remaining business would distort any analytics performed on the group.

 

The Cumulative Number of Reported Claims shown for the Insurance Casualty is determined by claim and line of business. For example, a claim event with three claimants in the same line of business is a single claim. However, a claim event with a single claimant that spans two lines of business contributes two claims.

 

The following tables present the ultimate loss and ALAE and the paid loss and ALAE, net of reinsurance for casualty and property, as well as the average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance for each of our disclosed lines of business.

Reinsurance – Casualty Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

Cumulative

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Number of

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

 

on Reported

 

Reported

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

913,235

 

$

806,271

 

$

707,089

 

$

692,497

 

$

676,252

 

$

677,924

 

$

682,447

 

$

656,696

 

$

635,281

 

$

626,752

 

 

22,382

 

 

N/A

2013

 

 

 

 

 

726,240

 

 

816,634

 

 

804,255

 

 

794,549

 

 

764,362

 

 

735,487

 

 

715,578

 

 

715,519

 

 

710,499

 

 

21,566

 

 

N/A

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

776,680

 

 

815,861

 

 

822,646

 

 

798,868

 

 

757,392

 

 

734,567

 

 

747,748

 

 

745,601

 

 

31,868

 

 

N/A

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

795,662

 

 

836,303

 

 

831,492

 

 

828,634

 

 

812,346

 

 

848,989

 

 

849,230

 

 

75,907

 

 

N/A

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

808,757

 

 

885,069

 

 

882,087

 

 

877,209

 

 

952,811

 

 

954,364

 

 

129,447

 

 

N/A

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

894,903

 

 

854,313

 

 

861,180

 

 

942,467

 

 

950,788

 

 

199,152

 

 

N/A

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,340,402

 

 

1,337,894

 

 

1,414,891

 

 

1,445,481

 

 

466,230

 

 

N/A

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,721,440

 

 

1,786,629

 

 

1,788,763

 

 

907,117

 

 

N/A

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,943,096

 

 

1,914,757

 

 

1,482,711

 

 

N/A

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,513,341

 

 

1,951,060

 

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

12,499,575

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

41,756

 

$

98,010

 

$

179,993

 

$

275,548

 

$

355,728

 

$

425,397

 

$

504,848

 

$

539,251

 

$

549,564

 

$

568,922

2013

 

 

 

 

 

49,581

 

 

123,813

 

 

214,769

 

 

314,826

 

 

389,143

 

 

496,373

 

 

548,578

 

 

574,706

 

 

603,638

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

57,942

 

 

122,673

 

 

214,072

 

 

304,645

 

 

430,751

 

 

507,146

 

 

553,006

 

 

594,417

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

57,114

 

 

160,199

 

 

267,841

 

 

413,852

 

 

503,917

 

 

573,637

 

 

621,569

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

90,184

 

 

190,818

 

 

326,011

 

 

433,583

 

 

548,345

 

 

629,704

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

81,099

 

 

188,542

 

 

322,029

 

 

464,179

 

 

592,780

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

154,910

 

 

290,083

 

 

463,099

 

 

638,435

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

210,530

 

 

343,081

 

 

526,547

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

190,530

 

 

268,027

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

216,969

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

5,261,006

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

824,128

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

8,062,697

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

 

10

Casualty

 

9.2

%

 

8.5

%

 

12.4

%

 

13.6

%

 

12.7

%

 

10.4

%

 

7.7

%

 

4.9

%

 

2.9

%

 

3.1

%

 Reinsurance – Property Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

Cumulative

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Number of

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

 

on Reported

 

Reported

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

1,595,581

 

$

1,282,432

 

$

1,159,361

 

$

1,158,272

 

$

1,152,163

 

$

1,144,478

 

$

1,132,514

 

$

1,151,907

 

$

1,154,729

 

$

1,152,601

 

 

10,597

 

 

 

2013

 

 

 

 

 

1,302,966

 

 

954,434

 

 

843,829

 

 

787,484

 

 

781,908

 

 

777,334

 

 

784,582

 

 

782,978

 

 

782,285

 

 

2,615

 

 

 

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,366,519

 

 

1,207,588

 

 

1,055,896

 

 

963,339

 

 

963,168

 

 

964,131

 

 

956,387

 

 

956,892

 

 

5,114

 

 

 

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,408,609

 

 

1,072,514

 

 

996,351

 

 

970,290

 

 

973,022

 

 

965,298

 

 

967,102

 

 

6,102

 

 

 

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,725,574

 

 

1,560,324

 

 

1,596,178

 

 

1,590,207

 

 

1,567,764

 

 

1,568,689

 

 

19,440

 

 

 

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,799,762

 

 

3,422,515

 

 

3,533,258

 

 

3,662,032

 

 

3,707,890

 

 

9,592

 

 

 

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,650,359

 

 

2,526,001

 

 

2,527,900

 

 

2,465,788

 

 

40,866

 

 

 

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,122,117

 

 

2,153,458

 

 

2,098,665

 

 

176,930

 

 

 

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,453,269

 

 

2,526,034

 

 

616,803

 

 

 

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2,802,843

 

 

1,445,812

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

19,028,789

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

404,621

 

$

703,440

 

$

896,790

 

$

990,221

 

$

1,024,725

 

$

1,058,690

 

$

1,069,836

 

$

1,092,694

 

$

1,101,861

 

$

1,106,461

2013

 

 

 

 

 

384,956

 

 

530,340

 

 

663,255

 

 

720,662

 

 

741,032

 

 

751,190

 

 

760,516

 

 

761,755

 

 

762,225

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

378,154

 

 

670,226

 

 

805,888

 

 

882,489

 

 

911,719

 

 

921,984

 

 

928,821

 

 

931,494

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

386,340

 

 

626,200

 

 

787,370

 

 

875,529

 

 

904,827

 

 

926,506

 

 

937,534

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

489,865

 

 

1,035,935

 

 

1,336,301

 

 

1,460,922

 

 

1,520,320

 

 

1,539,568

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

850,375

 

 

2,277,663

 

 

2,858,044

 

 

3,259,500

 

 

3,477,657

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

558,319

 

 

1,563,718

 

 

1,941,282

 

 

2,125,022

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

769,261

 

 

1,365,923

 

 

1,703,956

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

606,518

 

 

1,385,266

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

687,773

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

14,656,957

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

519,855

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

4,891,687

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

 

10

Property

 

29.0

%

 

32.9

%

 

16.2

%

 

8.8

%

 

4.3

%

 

1.8

%

 

1.0

%

 

0.9

%

 

0.5

%

 

0.4

%

Insurance – Casualty Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

Cumulative

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Number of

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

 

on Reported

 

Reported

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

349,721

 

$

351,526

 

$

347,065

 

$

348,260

 

$

353,394

 

$

344,007

 

$

346,980

 

$

351,441

 

$

353,942

 

$

354,697

 

 

31,942

 

 

15,782

2013

 

 

 

 

 

393,689

 

 

393,519

 

 

392,955

 

 

393,129

 

 

351,380

 

 

344,479

 

 

350,927

 

 

349,965

 

 

350,107

 

 

29,280

 

 

21,360

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

431,297

 

 

457,270

 

 

454,801

 

 

460,862

 

 

397,307

 

 

398,126

 

 

399,021

 

 

397,889

 

 

44,649

 

 

25,265

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

519,869

 

 

528,468

 

 

536,106

 

 

542,637

 

 

469,081

 

 

472,079

 

 

472,700

 

 

56,840

 

 

27,044

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

554,134

 

 

552,057

 

 

581,114

 

 

616,641

 

 

554,151

 

 

542,750

 

 

86,737

 

 

31,674

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

614,528

 

 

604,615

 

 

627,426

 

 

659,359

 

 

635,622

 

 

156,575

 

 

35,627

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

708,122

 

 

714,065

 

 

752,894

 

 

766,992

 

 

193,686

 

 

36,041

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

852,407

 

 

855,266

 

 

888,280

 

 

288,688

 

 

39,219

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

997,126

 

 

1,058,272

 

 

620,239

 

 

34,983

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1,196,128

 

 

782,844

 

 

31,679

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

6,663,437

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

33,194

 

$

101,300

 

$

157,924

 

$

213,488

 

$

246,454

 

$

272,113

 

$

294,442

 

$

306,934

 

$

311,863

 

$

317,249

2013

 

 

 

 

 

33,314

 

 

117,046

 

 

176,326

 

 

224,633

 

 

260,222

 

 

285,872

 

 

303,784

 

 

310,927

 

 

317,111

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

41,194

 

 

124,936

 

 

201,688

 

 

256,885

 

 

297,760

 

 

326,008

 

 

339,484

 

 

350,976

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

44,317

 

 

134,760

 

 

218,987

 

 

292,111

 

 

353,440

 

 

382,743

 

 

414,069

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

54,740

 

 

164,357

 

 

269,127

 

 

342,880

 

 

402,518

 

 

445,429

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

53,918

 

 

172,415

 

 

281,339

 

 

381,169

 

 

457,197

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

63,587

 

 

208,432

 

 

319,559

 

 

447,358

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

72,394

 

 

234,915

 

 

398,600

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

79,658

 

 

248,000

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

109,311

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

3,505,299

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

226,081

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

3,384,219

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

 

10

Casualty

 

8.8

%

 

18.8

%

 

17.4

%

 

15.2

%

 

11.1

%

 

7.2

%

 

5.4

%

 

2.8

%

 

1.6

%

 

1.5

%

Insurance – Property Business

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

At December 31, 2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total of

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

IBNR Liabilities

 

 

 

 

Incurred Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance

 

Plus Expected

 

Cumulative

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

Development

 

Number of

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

 

on Reported

 

Reported

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

 

Claims

 

Claims

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

106,363

 

$

89,038

 

$

81,773

 

$

82,475

 

$

82,045

 

$

81,828

 

$

82,005

 

$

82,552

 

$

82,613

 

$

82,685

 

 

5

 

 

N/A

2013

 

 

 

 

 

112,082

 

 

98,203

 

 

91,334

 

 

92,222

 

 

92,311

 

 

92,472

 

 

92,326

 

 

91,893

 

 

92,035

 

 

94

 

 

N/A

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

131,752

 

 

123,744

 

 

119,989

 

 

119,523

 

 

119,344

 

 

119,481

 

 

119,138

 

 

119,428

 

 

49

 

 

N/A

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

173,059

 

 

153,028

 

 

144,081

 

 

146,930

 

 

144,919

 

 

146,626

 

 

146,559

 

 

47

 

 

N/A

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

291,182

 

 

275,740

 

 

280,797

 

 

292,750

 

 

295,140

 

 

297,417

 

 

380

 

 

N/A

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

498,044

 

 

502,601

 

 

496,195

 

 

499,323

 

 

493,370

 

 

480

 

 

N/A

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

409,168

 

 

403,013

 

 

398,243

 

 

411,160

 

 

693

 

 

N/A

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

349,061

 

 

351,599

 

 

355,692

 

 

5,808

 

 

N/A

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

599,613

 

 

507,281

 

 

45,162

 

 

N/A

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

649,738

 

 

191,897

 

 

N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

3,155,364

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated Claim Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

2012

 

2013

 

2014

 

2015

 

2016

 

2017

 

2018

 

2019

 

2020

 

2021

Accident Year

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

(unaudited)

 

 

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

 

$

56,506

 

$

81,798

 

$

80,495

 

$

81,776

 

$

81,917

 

$

81,708

 

$

81,846

 

$

82,483

 

$

82,612

 

$

82,669

2013

 

 

 

 

 

68,711

 

 

93,179

 

 

91,919

 

 

92,189

 

 

91,798

 

 

91,838

 

 

91,855

 

 

91,864

 

 

91,942

2014

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

81,853

 

 

116,089

 

 

118,277

 

 

118,270

 

 

118,605

 

 

118,724

 

 

118,799

 

 

118,808

2015

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

102,239

 

 

141,394

 

 

142,560

 

 

145,367

 

 

146,866

 

 

146,954

 

 

147,052

2016

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

162,906

 

 

250,034

 

 

272,535

 

 

290,278

 

 

293,247

 

 

294,031

2017

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

179,403

 

 

425,384

 

 

460,130

 

 

482,817

 

 

486,538

2018

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

245,840

 

 

359,276

 

 

379,654

 

 

404,819

2019

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

227,630

 

 

317,766

 

 

339,411

2020

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

293,331

 

 

415,518

2021

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

328,207

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

$

2,708,995

All outstanding liabilities prior to 2012, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

557

Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

446,926

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)

Years

 

1

 

2

 

3

 

4

 

5

 

6

 

7

 

8

 

9

 

10

Property

 

55.4

%

 

31.2

%

 

5.0

%

 

4.3

%

 

2.6

%

 

0.6

%

 

0.6

%

 

0.2

%

 

0.1

%

 

0.1

%

Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Liability for Unpaid Claims and Claim Adjustment Expenses

 

The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated statement of financial position is as follows.

 

December 31, 2021

(Dollars in thousands)

 

 

Net outstanding liabilities

 

 

Reinsurance Casualty

$

8,062,697

Reinsurance Property

 

4,891,687

Insurance Casualty

 

3,384,219

Insurance Property

 

446,926

Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance

 

16,785,529

 

 

 

Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims

 

 

Reinsurance Casualty

 

293,110

Reinsurance Property

 

507,097

Insurance Casualty

 

973,182

Insurance Property

 

172,977

Total reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims

 

1,946,365

 

 

 

Insurance lines other than short-duration

 

-

Unallocated claims adjustment expenses

 

235,391

Other

 

42,199

 

 

277,590

 

 

 

Total gross liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense

$

19,009,486

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)

Reserving Methodology

 

The Company maintains reserves equal to our estimated ultimate liability for losses and loss adjustment expense (LAE) for reported and unreported claims for our insurance and reinsurance businesses. Because reserves are based on estimates of ultimate losses and LAE by underwriting or accident year, the Company uses a variety of statistical and actuarial techniques to monitor reserve adequacy over time, evaluate new information as it becomes known, and adjust reserves whenever an adjustment appears warranted. The Company considers many factors when setting reserves including: (1) exposure base and projected ultimate premium; (2) expected loss ratios by product and class of business, which are developed collaboratively by underwriters and actuaries; (3) actuarial methodologies and assumptions which analyze loss reporting and payment experience, reports from ceding companies and historical trends, such as reserving patterns, loss payments, and product mix; (4) current legal interpretations of coverage and liability; and (5) economic conditions. Insurance and reinsurance loss and LAE reserves represent the Company’s best estimate of its ultimate liability. Actual loss and LAE ultimately paid may deviate, perhaps substantially, from such reserves. Net income will be impacted in a period in which the change in estimated ultimate loss and LAE is recorded.

 

The detailed data required to evaluate ultimate losses for the Company’s insurance business is accumulated from its underwriting and claim systems. Reserving for reinsurance requires evaluation of loss information received from ceding companies. Ceding companies report losses in many forms depending on the type of contract and the agreed or contractual reporting requirements. Generally, pro rata contracts require the

submission of a monthly/quarterly account, which includes premium and loss activity for the period with corresponding reserves as established by the ceding company. This information is recorded into the Company’s records. For certain pro rata contracts, the Company may require a detailed loss report for claims that exceed a certain dollar threshold or relate to a particular type of loss. Excess of loss and facultative contracts generally require individual loss reporting with precautionary notices provided when a loss reaches a significant percentage of the attachment point of the contract or when certain causes of loss or types of injury occur. Experienced claims staff handles individual loss reports and supporting claim information. Based on evaluation of a claim, the Company may establish additional case reserves in addition to the case reserves reported by the ceding company. To ensure ceding companies are submitting required and accurate data, Everest’s Underwriting, Claim, Reinsurance Accounting, and Internal Audit Departments perform various reviews of ceding companies, particularly larger ceding companies, including on-site audits.

 

The Company segments both reinsurance and insurance reserves into exposure groupings for actuarial analysis. The Company assigns business to exposure groupings so that the underlying exposures have reasonably homogeneous loss development characteristics and are large enough to facilitate credible estimation of ultimate losses. The Company periodically reviews its exposure groupings and may change groupings over time as business changes. The Company currently uses approximately 200 exposure groupings to develop reserve estimates. One of the key selection characteristics for the exposure groupings is the historical duration of the claims settlement process. Business in which claims are reported and settled relatively quickly are commonly referred to as short tail lines, principally property lines. On the other hand, casualty claims tend to take longer to be reported and settled and casualty lines are generally referred to as long tail lines. Estimates of ultimate losses for shorter tail lines, with the exception of loss estimates for large catastrophic events, generally exhibit less volatility than those for the longer tail lines.

 

The Company uses a variety of actuarial methodologies, such as the expected loss ratio method, chain ladder methods, and Bornhuetter-Ferguson methods, supplemented by judgment where appropriate, to estimate ultimate loss and LAE for each exposure group.

 

Expected Loss Ratio Method: The expected loss ratio method uses earned premium times an expected loss ratio to calculate ultimate losses for a given underwriting or accident year. This method relies entirely on expectation to project ultimate losses with no consideration given to actual losses. As such, it may be appropriate for an immature underwriting or accident year where few, if any, losses have been reported or paid, but less appropriate for a more mature year.

 

Chain Ladder Method: Chain ladder methods use a standard loss development triangle to project ultimate losses. Age-to-age development factors are selected for each development period and combined to calculate age-to-ultimate development factors which are then applied to paid or reported losses to project ultimate losses. This method relies entirely on actual paid or reported losses to project ultimate losses. No other factors such as changes in pricing or other expectations are taken into account. It is most appropriate for groups with homogeneous, stable experience where past development patterns are expected to continue in the future. It is least appropriate for groups which have changed significantly over time or which are more volatile.

 

Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method: The Bornhuetter-Ferguson method is a combination of the expected loss ratio method and the chain ladder method. Ultimate losses are projected based partly on actual paid or reported losses and partly on expectation. Incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves are calculated using earned premium, an a priori loss ratio, and selected age-to-age development factors and added to actual reported (paid) losses to determine ultimate losses. It is more responsive to actual reported or paid development than the expected loss ratio method but less responsive than the chain ladder method. The reliability of the method depends on the accuracy of the selected a priori loss ratio.

 

Although the Company uses similar actuarial methods for both short tail and long tail lines, the faster reporting of experience for the short tail lines allows the Company to have greater confidence in its estimates of ultimate

losses for short tail lines at an earlier stage than for long tail lines. As a result, the Company utilizes, as well, exposure-based methods to estimate its ultimate losses for longer tail lines, especially for immature underwriting or accident years. For both short and long tail lines, the Company supplements these general approaches with analytically based judgments.

 

Key actuarial assumptions contain no explicit provisions for reserve uncertainty nor does the Company supplement the actuarially determined reserves for uncertainty.

 

Carried reserves at each reporting date are the Company’s best estimate of ultimate unpaid losses and LAE at that date. The Company completes detailed reserve studies for each exposure group annually for both reinsurance and insurance operations. The completed annual reserve studies are “rolled-forward” for each accounting period until the subsequent reserve study is completed. Analyzing the roll-forward process involves comparing actual reported losses to expected losses based on the most recent reserve study. The Company analyzes significant variances between actual and expected losses and post adjustments to its reserves as warranted.

 

Certain reserves, including losses from widespread catastrophic events and COVID-19 related losses, cannot be estimated using traditional actuarial methods. These types of events are reserved for separately using a variety of statistical and actuarial techniques. We estimate losses for these types of events based on information derived from catastrophe models, quantitative and qualitative exposure analyses, reports and communications from ceding companies and development patterns for historically similar events, where available.

 

The Company continues to receive claims under expired insurance and reinsurance contracts asserting injuries and/or damages relating to or resulting from environmental pollution and hazardous substances, including asbestos. Environmental claims typically assert liability for (a) the mitigation or remediation of environmental contamination or (b) bodily injury or property damage caused by the release of hazardous substances into the land, air or water. Asbestos claims typically assert liability for bodily injury from exposure to asbestos or for property damage resulting from asbestos or products containing asbestos.

 

The Company’s reserves include an estimate of the Company’s ultimate liability for A&E claims. The Company’s A&E liabilities emanate from Mt. McKinley Insurance Company’s, a former wholly owned subsidiary that was sold in 2015, direct insurance business and Everest Re’s assumed reinsurance business. All of the contracts of insurance and reinsurance, under which the Company has received claims during the past three years, expired more than 20 years ago. There are significant uncertainties surrounding the Company’s reserves for its A&E losses.

 

A&E exposures represent a separate exposure group for monitoring and evaluating reserve adequacy. The following table summarizes incurred losses with respect to A&E reserves on both a gross and net of reinsurance basis for the periods indicated:

 

At December 31,

(Dollars in thousands)

2021

 

2020

 

2019

Gross basis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning of period reserves

$

219,341

 

$

257,921

 

$

347,495

Incurred losses

 

10,862

 

 

1,540

 

 

2,070

Paid losses

 

(55,048)

 

 

(40,120)

 

 

(91,644)

End of period reserves

$

175,155

 

$

219,341

 

$

257,921

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net basis:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Beginning of period reserves

$

198,255

 

$

228,701

 

$

261,456

Incurred losses

 

-

 

 

(772)

 

 

-

Paid losses

 

(42,139)

 

 

(29,674)

 

 

(32,756)

End of period reserves

$

156,115

 

$

198,255

 

$

228,701

In 2015, the Company sold Mt. McKinley to Clearwater Insurance Company, a subsidiary of Fairfax Financial. Concurrently with the closing, the Company entered into a retrocession treaty with an affiliate of Clearwater Insurance Company. Per the retrocession treaty, the Company retroceded 100% of the liabilities associated with certain Mt. McKinley policies, which related entirely to A&E business and had been reinsured by Bermuda Re. As consideration for entering into the retrocession treaty, Everest Re Bermuda transferred cash of $140.3 million, an amount equal to the net loss reserves as of the closing date. The maximum liability retroceded under the retrocession treaty will be $440.3 million, equal to the retrocession payment plus $300.0 million. The Company will retain liability for any amounts exceeding the maximum liability retroceded under the retrocession treaty.

 

On December 20, 2019, the retrocession treaty was amended and included a partial commutation. As a result of this amendment and partial commutation, gross A&E reserves and correspondingly reinsurance receivable were reduced by $43.4 million. In addition, the maximum liability permitted to be retroceded increased to $450.3 million.

 

Reinsurance Recoverables.

Reinsurance recoverables for both paid unpaid losses totaled $2.1 billion and $2.0 billion at December 31, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. At December 31, 2021, $691.4 million, or 33.7%, was receivable from Mt. Logan Re collateralized segregated accounts; $221.9 million, or 10.8%, was receivable from Munich Reinsurance America, Inc. and $115.1 million, or 5.6%, was recoverable from Endurance Reinsurance Corporation of America. No other retrocessionaire accounted for more than 5% of our receivables.

 

Future Policy Benefit Reserve.

Activity in the reserve for future policy benefits is summarized for the periods indicated:

 

At December 31,

(Dollars in thousands)

2021

 

2020

 

2019

Balance at beginning of year

$

37,723

 

$

42,592

 

$

46,778

Liabilities assumed

 

27

 

 

35

 

 

53

Adjustments to reserves

 

719

 

 

(1,113)

 

 

350

Benefits paid in the current year

 

(2,800)

 

 

(3,791)

 

 

(4,589)

Balance at end of year

$

35,669

 

$

37,723

 

$

42,592

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)