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Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve [Abstract]  
Reserve For Losses, LAE And Future Policy Benefit Reserve
3.
 
RESERVE FOR LOSSES, LAE AND FUTURE
 
POLICY BENEFIT RESERVE
 
Reserves for losses and LAE.
The following
 
table provides
 
a roll forward
 
of the Company’s
 
beginning and
 
ending reserve
 
for losses
 
and LAE is
summarized for the periods indicated:
Years Ended December 31,
(Dollars in millions)
2022
2021
2020
Gross reserves beginning of period
$
19,009
$
16,322
$
13,531
 
Less reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses
(1,946)
(1,844)
(1,641)
 
Net reserves beginning of period
17,063
14,478
11,891
Incurred related to:
 
Current year
8,102
7,400
6,149
 
Prior years
(2)
(9)
401
 
Total incurred losses and LAE
8,100
7,391
6,551
Paid related to:
 
Current year
 
1,220
2,491
2,046
 
Prior years
3,740
2,226
2,078
 
Total paid losses and LAE
4,960
4,717
4,124
Foreign exchange/translation adjustment
(243)
(89)
161
Net reserves end of period
19,960
17,063
14,478
 
Plus reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses
2,105
1,946
1,844
 
Gross reserves end of period
$
22,065
$
19,009
$
16,322
(Some amounts may not reconcile due
 
to rounding.)
Current year
 
incurred losses
 
were $
8.1
 
billion, $
7.4
 
billion and
 
$
6.1
 
billion in
 
2022, 2021
 
and 2020, respectively.
 
Gross and
 
net reserves
 
increased in
 
2022, reflecting
 
an increase
 
in underlying
 
exposure due
 
to earned
 
premium
growth, year
 
over year,
 
the impact
 
of $
45
 
million of
 
incurred losses
 
related to
 
the Ukraine/Russia
 
war,
 
partially
offset by decrease of $
80
 
million in 2022 current year catastrophe
 
losses compared to 2021.
 
The war in
 
the Ukraine
 
is ongoing
 
and an evolving
 
event. Economic
 
and legal
 
sanctions have
 
been levied against
Russia,
 
specific
 
named
 
individuals
 
and
 
entities
 
connected
 
to
 
the
 
Russian
 
government,
 
as
 
well
 
as
 
businesses
located
 
in
 
the
 
Russian
 
Federation
 
and/or
 
owned
 
by
 
Russian
 
nationals
 
by
 
numerous
 
countries,
 
including
 
the
United States.
 
The significant
 
political and
 
economic uncertainty
 
surrounding
 
the war
 
and associated
 
sanctions
have impacted economic and investment
 
markets both within Russia and around
 
the world.
The
 
increase
 
in
 
current
 
year
 
incurred
 
losses
 
from
 
2020
 
to
 
2021
 
was
 
primarily
 
related
 
to
 
an
 
increase
 
of
 
$
710
million in
 
current year
 
catastrophe
 
losses and
 
an increase
 
of $
541
 
million in
 
current year
 
attritional losses.
 
The
increase in
 
current year
 
attritional losses
 
was mainly
 
due to
 
the growth
 
in premiums
 
earned, partially
 
mitigated
by $
511
 
million of losses related to COVID-19
 
in 2020 which did not recur in 2021.
 
Incurred prior years
 
losses were $(
2
) million in 2022, ($
9
) million in 2021 and $
401
 
million in 2020. The favorable
development
 
on
 
prior
 
year
 
reserves
 
of
 
($
2
)
 
million
 
in
 
2022
 
is
 
primarily
 
driven
 
by
 
better
 
than
 
expected
 
loss
emergence in
 
workers’
 
compensation and
 
surety lines
 
of business, as
 
well as attritional
 
property.
 
The favorable
development
 
on
 
prior
 
year
 
reserves
 
of
 
($
9
)
 
million
 
in
 
2021
 
is
 
primarily
 
driven
 
by
 
a
 
commutation
 
and
 
reserve
releases
 
within
 
the
 
reinsurance
 
segment.
 
The
 
increase
 
for
 
2020
 
primarily
 
related
 
to
 
higher
 
ultimate
 
loss
estimates
 
for
 
long-tail
 
casualty
 
business
 
in
 
the
 
reinsurance
 
segment
 
for
 
accident
 
years
 
2015
 
to
 
2018,
 
notably
general
 
liability,
 
professional
 
lines,
 
and
 
auto
 
liability.
 
The
 
reserve
 
charge
 
also
 
includes
 
actions
 
on
 
non-CAT
property
 
lines,
 
primarily
 
for
 
the
 
2017
 
to
 
2019
 
accident
 
years
 
and
 
driven
 
by
 
a
 
few
 
large
 
losses
 
to
 
aggregate
programs.
 
The
 
following
 
is
 
information
 
about
 
incurred
 
and
 
paid
 
claims
 
development
 
as
 
of
 
December
 
31,
 
2022,
 
net
 
of
reinsurance,
 
as
 
well as
 
cumulative
 
claim frequency
 
and
 
the total
 
of incurred
 
but not
 
reported
 
liabilities
 
(IBNR)
plus
 
expected
 
development
 
on
 
reported
 
claims
 
included
 
within
 
the
 
net
 
incurred
 
claims
 
amounts.
 
Each
 
of the
Company’s
 
financial
 
reporting
 
segments
 
has
 
been
 
disaggregated
 
into
 
casualty
 
and
 
property
 
business.
 
The
casualty
 
and
 
property
 
segregation
 
results
 
in
 
groups
 
that
 
have
 
homogeneous
 
loss
 
development
 
characteristics
and
 
are
 
large
 
enough
 
to
 
represent
 
credible
 
trends.
 
Generally,
 
casualty
 
claims
 
take
 
longer
 
to
 
be
 
reported
 
and
settled, resulting
 
in longer
 
payout
 
patterns
 
and increased
 
volatility.
 
Property claims
 
on the
 
other hand,
 
tend to
be
 
reported
 
and
 
settled
 
quicker
 
and
 
therefore
 
tend
 
to
 
exhibit
 
less
 
volatility.
 
The
 
property
 
business
 
is
 
more
exposed
 
to
 
catastrophe
 
losses, which
 
can result
 
in year
 
over year
 
fluctuations
 
in incurred
 
claims depending
 
on
the frequency and severity of catastrophes
 
claims in any one accident year.
The
 
information
 
about
 
incurred
 
and
 
paid
 
claims
 
development
 
for
 
the
 
years
 
ended
 
December
 
31,
 
2013
 
to
December 31, 2021 is presented as supplementary
 
information.
The Cumulative
 
Number of
 
Reported
 
Claims is
 
shown only
 
for Insurance
 
Casualty as
 
it is
 
impractical
 
to provide
the
 
information
 
for
 
the
 
remaining
 
groups.
 
The
 
reinsurance
 
groups
 
each
 
include
 
pro
 
rata
 
contracts
 
for
 
which
ceding
 
companies
 
provide
 
only
 
summary
 
information
 
via
 
a
 
bordereau.
 
This
 
summary
 
information
 
does
 
not
include the
 
number of
 
reported claims
 
underlying the
 
paid and
 
reported
 
losses.
 
Therefore,
 
it is
 
not possible
 
to
provide
 
this
 
information.
 
The
 
Insurance
 
Property
 
group
 
includes
 
Accident
 
&
 
Health
 
insurance
 
business.
 
This
business is
 
written via
 
a master
 
contract and
 
individual claim
 
counts are
 
not provided.
 
This business
 
represents
a
 
significant
 
enough
 
portion
 
of
 
the
 
business
 
in
 
the
 
Insurance
 
Property
 
group
 
so
 
that
 
including
 
the
 
number
 
of
reported claims for the remaining
 
business would distort any analytics
 
performed on the group.
The Cumulative Number
 
of Reported
 
Claims shown for
 
the Insurance Casualty
 
is determined by
 
claim and line of
business.
 
For
 
example,
 
a
 
claim
 
event
 
with
 
three
 
claimants
 
in
 
the
 
same
 
line
 
of
 
business
 
is
 
a
 
single
 
claim.
 
However,
 
a claim event with a single claimant that
 
spans two lines of business contributes two claims.
The
 
following
 
tables
 
present
 
the
 
ultimate
 
loss
 
and
 
ALAE
 
and
 
the
 
paid
 
loss
 
and
 
ALAE,
 
net
 
of
 
reinsurance
 
for
casualty
 
and
 
property,
 
as
 
well
 
as
 
the
 
average
 
annual
 
percentage
 
payout
 
of
 
incurred
 
claims
 
by
 
age,
 
net
 
of
reinsurance for each of our disclosed lines
 
of business.
Reinsurance – Casualty Business
At December 31, 2022
Total of
IBNR Liabilities
Ultimate Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance
Plus Expected
Cumulative
Years Ended December 31,
Development
Number of
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
on Reported
Reported
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Claims
Claims
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
710
$
801
$
788
$
779
$
748
$
719
$
699
$
699
$
694
$
684
$
11
N/A
2014
762
800
807
783
741
719
732
730
720
13
N/A
2015
777
818
814
811
795
832
832
829
47
N/A
2016
790
865
862
857
933
935
965
91
N/A
2017
870
830
837
918
926
982
132
N/A
2018
1,311
1,309
1,386
1,416
1,485
354
N/A
2019
1,683
1,748
1,751
1,775
727
N/A
2020
1,896
1,867
1,846
1,178
N/A
2021
2,454
2,449
1,829
N/A
2022
2,818
2,133
N/A
$
14,554
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Years Ended December 31,
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
48
$
121
$
211
$
310
$
383
$
489
$
540
$
565
$
593
$
603
2014
57
122
212
301
426
501
545
585
607
2015
57
157
263
408
497
565
611
647
2016
88
187
320
426
539
614
690
2017
80
185
316
455
575
677
2018
154
284
456
616
803
2019
208
338
511
718
2020
190
300
489
2021
214
318
2022
200
$
5,754
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2013, net of reinsurance
916
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
$
9,715
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Average Annual Percentage
 
Payout of Incurred Loss by
 
Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Casualty
8.9
%
7.8
%
11.7
%
12.7
%
12.5
%
10.2
%
6.8
%
4.5
%
3.6
%
1.5
%
Reinsurance – Property Business
At December 31, 2022
Total of
IBNR Liabilities
Ultimate Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance
Plus Expected
Cumulative
Years Ended December 31,
Development
Number of
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
on Reported
Reported
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Claims
Claims
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
1,275
$
930
$
819
$
763
$
757
$
753
$
760
$
758
$
758
$
757
$
2
N/A
2014
1,343
1,181
1,030
937
933
937
930
930
928
3
N/A
2015
1,386
1,053
976
950
952
945
946
943
2
N/A
2016
1,695
1,518
1,554
1,548
1,526
1,527
1,523
10
N/A
2017
2,784
3,407
3,518
3,647
3,692
3,703
3
N/A
2018
2,611
2,486
2,488
2,426
2,379
24
N/A
2019
2,038
2,070
2,015
1,899
29
N/A
2020
2,408
2,481
2,425
240
N/A
2021
2,754
2,780
476
N/A
2022
3,257
1,898
N/A
$
20,594
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Years Ended December 31,
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
375
$
510
$
638
$
693
$
713
$
723
$
732
$
733
$
733
$
735
2014
366
641
769
842
874
884
891
892
893
2015
377
607
759
842
869
891
900
905
2016
469
961
1,249
1,367
1,421
1,441
1,454
2017
819
2,180
2,744
3,130
3,332
3,426
2018
545
1,525
1,878
2,065
2,136
2019
730
1,185
1,505
1,667
2020
584
1,321
1,733
2021
684
1,534
2022
652
$
15,134
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2013, net of reinsurance
103
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
$
5,562
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Average Annual Percentage
 
Payout of Incurred Loss by
 
Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Property
27.2
%
31.8
%
16.1
%
8.8
%
4.0
%
2.0
%
0.9
%
0.3
%
0.1
%
0.1
%
Insurance – Casualty Business
At December 31, 2022
Total of
IBNR Liabilities
Ultimate Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance
Plus Expected
Cumulative
Years Ended December 31,
Development
Number of
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
on Reported
Reported
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Claims
Claims
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
393
$
393
$
393
$
393
$
351
$
344
$
351
$
350
$
350
$
347
$
25
$
22,031
2014
431
457
454
460
396
397
398
397
398
32
26,449
2015
519
527
535
541
467
471
471
477
40
29,020
2016
552
550
579
612
549
538
540
53
34,164
2017
610
600
620
652
628
629
85
38,344
2018
701
705
742
755
769
154
39,029
2019
848
844
876
885
204
42,006
2020
993
1,049
1,043
416
39,545
2021
1,189
1,246
732
44,274
2022
1,367
865
37,739
$
7,703
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Years Ended December 31,
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
33
$
117
$
176
$
225
$
260
$
286
$
304
$
311
$
317
$
321
2014
41
125
202
257
297
325
339
350
360
2015
44
135
219
292
353
382
413
435
2016
55
164
268
341
400
443
481
2017
54
172
280
378
453
529
2018
63
207
317
443
594
2019
72
234
397
551
2020
66
236
388
2021
109
261
2022
85
$
4,003
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2013, net of reinsurance
127
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
$
3,828
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Average Annual Percentage
 
Payout of Incurred Loss by
 
Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Casualty
8.1
%
17.6
%
16.8
%
15.5
%
13.4
%
8.4
%
5.7
%
3.3
%
2.1
%
1.3
%
Insurance – Property Business
At December 31, 2022
Total of
IBNR Liabilities
Ultimate Incurred Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of reinsurance
Plus Expected
Cumulative
Years Ended December 31,
Development
Number of
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
on Reported
Reported
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
Claims
Claims
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
112
$
98
$
91
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
-
N/A
2014
132
123
120
119
119
119
119
119
120
1
N/A
2015
173
153
144
146
144
146
146
150
1
N/A
2016
288
274
279
289
292
294
294
-
N/A
2017
494
499
492
495
489
504
-
N/A
2018
405
400
394
407
422
1
N/A
2019
347
347
351
363
1
N/A
2020
599
507
498
27
N/A
2021
646
579
66
N/A
2022
767
273
N/A
$
3,789
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Cumulative Paid Loss and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance
Years Ended December 31,
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
Accident Year
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(unaudited)
(Dollars in millions)
2013
$
69
$
93
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
$
92
2014
82
116
118
118
118
119
119
119
119
2015
102
141
142
145
146
146
147
147
2016
162
249
271
287
290
293
293
2017
179
423
457
479
496
499
2018
245
357
376
404
418
2019
227
315
339
357
2020
293
416
453
2021
328
473
2022
372
$
3,223
All outstanding liabilities prior to 2013, net of reinsurance
-
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
566
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Average Annual Percentage
 
Payout of Incurred Loss by
 
Age, Net of Reinsurance (unaudited)
Years
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Property
54.3
%
31.5
%
5.7
%
4.5
%
2.3
%
1.0
%
0.6
%
0.1
%
0.1
%
-
%
Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred
 
and Paid Claims Development to the Liability for
 
Unpaid Claims
and Claim Adjustment Expenses
The reconciliation of the net incurred and
 
paid claims development tables to the liability
 
for claims and claim
adjustment expenses in the consolidated
 
statement of financial position is as follows.
December 31, 2022
(Dollars in thousands)
Net outstanding liabilities
Reinsurance Casualty
$
9,715
Reinsurance Property
5,562
Insurance Casualty
3,828
Insurance Property
566
Liabilities for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
19,671
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid claims
Reinsurance Casualty
150
Reinsurance Property
576
Insurance Casualty
1,220
Insurance Property
160
Total reinsurance recoverable
 
on unpaid claims
2,105
Insurance lines other than short-duration
-
Unallocated claims adjustment expenses
244
Other
45
289
Total gross liability for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense
$
22,065
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
Reserving Methodology
The Company maintains
 
reserves equal to our estimated
 
ultimate liability for losses
 
and loss adjustment expense
(LAE)
 
for
 
reported
 
and
 
unreported
 
claims
 
for
 
our
 
insurance
 
and
 
reinsurance
 
businesses.
 
Because
 
reserves
 
are
based on
 
estimates
 
of ultimate
 
losses and
 
LAE by
 
underwriting or
 
accident year,
 
the Company
 
uses a
 
variety of
statistical
 
and
 
actuarial
 
techniques
 
to
 
monitor
 
reserve
 
adequacy
 
over
 
time,
 
evaluate
 
new
 
information
 
as
 
it
becomes
 
known,
 
and
 
adjust
 
reserves
 
whenever
 
an
 
adjustment
 
appears
 
warranted.
 
The
 
Company
 
considers
many factors
 
when setting
 
reserves including:
 
(1) exposure
 
base and
 
projected ultimate
 
premium; (2)
 
expected
loss ratios
 
by product
 
and class
 
of business,
 
which are
 
developed collaboratively
 
by underwriters
 
and actuaries;
(3)
 
actuarial
 
methodologies
 
and
 
assumptions
 
which
 
analyze
 
loss
 
reporting
 
and
 
payment
 
experience,
 
reports
from
 
ceding
 
companies
 
and
 
historical
 
trends,
 
such
 
as
 
reserving
 
patterns,
 
loss
 
payments,
 
and
 
product
 
mix;
 
(4)
current
 
legal
 
interpretations
 
of
 
coverage
 
and
 
liability;
 
and
 
(5)
 
economic
 
conditions.
 
Management’s
 
best
estimate is
 
developed through
 
collaboration
 
with actuarial,
 
underwriting, claims,
 
legal and
 
finance departments
and
 
culminates
 
with
 
the
 
input
 
of
 
reserve
 
committees.
 
Each
 
segment
 
reserve
 
committee
 
includes
 
the
participation of the relevant
 
parties from actuarial, finance,
 
claims and segment senior management
 
and has the
responsibility for
 
recommending and
 
approving management’s
 
best estimate.
 
Reserves are
 
further reviewed
 
by
Everest’s
 
Chief
 
Reserving
 
Actuary
 
and
 
senior
 
management.
 
The
 
objective
 
of
 
such
 
process
 
is
 
to
 
determine
 
a
single best estimate
 
viewed by management
 
to be the best
 
estimate of its ultimate
 
loss liability.
 
Actual loss and
LAE
 
ultimately
 
paid
 
may
 
deviate,
 
perhaps
 
substantially,
 
from
 
such
 
reserves.
 
Net
 
income
 
will be
 
impacted
 
in
 
a
period in which the change in estimated ultimate
 
loss and LAE is recorded.
The
 
detailed
 
data
 
required
 
to
 
evaluate
 
ultimate
 
losses
 
for
 
the
 
Company’s
 
insurance
 
business
 
is
 
accumulated
from
 
its
 
underwriting
 
and
 
claim
 
systems.
 
Reserving
 
for
 
reinsurance
 
requires
 
evaluation
 
of
 
loss
 
information
received
 
from
 
ceding
 
companies.
 
Ceding
 
companies
 
report
 
losses
 
in
 
many
 
forms
 
depending
 
on
 
the
 
type
 
of
contract
 
and
 
the
 
agreed
 
or
 
contractual
 
reporting
 
requirements.
 
Generally,
 
pro
 
rata
 
contracts
 
require
 
the
submission
 
of
 
a
 
monthly/quarterly
 
account,
 
which
 
includes
 
premium
 
and
 
loss
 
activity
 
for
 
the
 
period
 
with
corresponding
 
reserves
 
as
 
established
 
by
 
the
 
ceding
 
company.
 
This
 
information
 
is
 
recorded
 
in
 
the
 
Company’s
records.
 
For certain pro
 
rata contracts,
 
the Company may
 
require a detailed
 
loss report for
 
claims that exceed
 
a
certain
 
dollar threshold
 
or relate
 
to
 
a particular
 
type of
 
loss.
 
Excess
 
of loss
 
and facultative
 
contracts
 
generally
require
 
individual
 
loss
 
reporting
 
with
 
precautionary
 
notices
 
provided
 
when
 
a
 
loss
 
reaches
 
a
 
significant
percentage
 
of
 
the
 
attachment
 
point
 
of
 
the
 
contract
 
or
 
when
 
certain
 
causes
 
of
 
loss
 
or
 
types
 
of
 
injury
occur.
 
Experienced
 
claims
 
staff
 
handle
 
individual
 
loss
 
reports
 
and
 
supporting
 
claim
 
information.
 
Based
 
on
evaluation
 
of
 
a
 
claim,
 
the
 
Company
 
may
 
establish
 
additional
 
case
 
reserves
 
in
 
addition
 
to
 
the
 
case
 
reserves
reported
 
by
 
the
 
ceding
 
company.
 
To
 
ensure
 
ceding
 
companies
 
are
 
submitting
 
required
 
and
 
accurate
 
data,
Everest’s
 
Underwriting, Claim, Reinsurance Accounting,
 
and Internal Audit
 
Departments perform various
 
reviews
of ceding companies, particularly larger ceding companies,
 
including on-site audits.
The
 
Company
 
segments
 
both
 
reinsurance
 
and
 
insurance
 
reserves
 
into
 
exposure
 
groupings
 
for
 
actuarial
analysis.
 
The
 
Company
 
assigns
 
business
 
to
 
exposure
 
groupings
 
so
 
that
 
the
 
underlying
 
exposures
 
have
reasonably homogeneous loss
 
development characteristics
 
and are large enough
 
to facilitate
 
credible estimation
of
 
ultimate
 
losses.
 
The
 
Company
 
periodically
 
reviews
 
its
 
exposure
 
groupings
 
and
 
may
 
change
 
groupings
 
over
time
 
as
 
business
 
changes.
 
The
 
Company
 
currently
 
uses
 
approximately
200
 
exposure
 
groupings
 
to
 
develop
reserve estimates.
 
One of
 
the key
 
selection characteristics
 
for the
 
exposure groupings
 
is the
 
historical duration
of
 
the
 
claims
 
settlement
 
process.
 
Business
 
in
 
which
 
claims
 
are
 
reported
 
and
 
settled
 
relatively
 
quickly
 
are
commonly
 
referred
 
to
 
as
 
short
 
tail
 
lines,
 
principally
 
property
 
lines.
 
Casualty
 
claims
 
tend
 
to
 
take
 
longer
 
to
 
be
reported and settled and casualty
 
lines are generally referred
 
to as long tail lines. Estimates
 
of ultimate losses for
shorter
 
tail
 
lines,
 
with
 
the
 
exception
 
of
 
loss
 
estimates
 
for
 
large
 
catastrophic
 
events,
 
generally
 
exhibit
 
less
volatility than those for the longer tail
 
lines.
The
 
Company
 
uses
 
a
 
variety
 
of
 
actuarial
 
methodologies,
 
such
 
as
 
the
 
expected
 
loss
 
ratio
 
method,
 
chain
 
ladder
methods,
 
and
 
Bornhuetter-Ferguson
 
methods,
 
supplemented
 
by
 
judgment
 
where
 
appropriate,
 
to
 
estimate
ultimate loss and LAE for each exposure
 
group.
Expected Loss Ratio Method:
 
The expected loss ratio
 
method uses earned premium
 
times an expected
 
loss ratio
to calculate
 
ultimate losses for
 
a given underwriting or
 
accident year.
 
This method relies entirely
 
on expectation
to
 
project
 
ultimate
 
losses
 
with
 
no
 
consideration
 
given
 
to
 
actual
 
losses.
 
As
 
such,
 
it
 
may
 
be
 
appropriate
 
for
 
an
immature
 
underwriting
 
or
 
accident
 
year
 
where
 
few,
 
if
 
any,
 
losses
 
have
 
been
 
reported
 
or
 
paid,
 
but
 
less
appropriate for a more mature
 
year.
Chain
 
Ladder
 
Method:
 
Chain
 
ladder
 
methods
 
use
 
a
 
standard
 
loss
 
development
 
triangle
 
to
 
project
 
ultimate
losses.
 
Age-to-age
 
development
 
factors
 
are
 
selected
 
for
 
each
 
development
 
period
 
and
 
combined
 
to
 
calculate
age-to-ultimate
 
development
 
factors
 
which
 
are
 
then
 
applied
 
to
 
paid
 
or
 
reported
 
losses
 
to
 
project
 
ultimate
losses.
 
This method relies
 
entirely on
 
actual paid or
 
reported losses
 
to project
 
ultimate losses.
 
No other factors
such as
 
changes in
 
pricing or
 
other expectations
 
are taken
 
into
 
account.
 
It is
 
most appropriate
 
for groups
 
with
homogeneous, stable
 
experience where
 
past development
 
patterns are
 
expected to
 
continue in
 
the future.
 
It is
least appropriate for groups
 
which have changed significantly
 
over time or which are more volatile.
Bornhuetter-Ferguson
 
Method:
 
The Bornhuetter
 
-Ferguson
 
method is
 
a combination
 
of the
 
expected
 
loss
 
ratio
method
 
and
 
the
 
chain
 
ladder
 
method.
 
Ultimate
 
losses
 
are
 
projected
 
based
 
partly
 
on
 
actual
 
paid
 
or
 
reported
losses
 
and
 
partly
 
on
 
expectation.
 
Incurred
 
but
 
not
 
reported
 
(IBNR)
 
reserves
 
are
 
calculated
 
using
 
earned
premium, an a priori loss ratio,
 
and selected age-to-age development
 
factors and added to actual
 
reported (paid)
losses
 
to
 
determine
 
ultimate
 
losses.
 
It
 
is
 
more
 
responsive
 
to
 
actual
 
reported
 
or
 
paid
 
development
 
than
 
the
expected
 
loss
 
ratio
 
method
 
but
 
less
 
responsive
 
than
 
the
 
chain
 
ladder
 
method.
 
The
 
reliability
 
of
 
the
 
method
depends on the accuracy of the selected a priori loss
 
ratio.
Although the
 
Company uses
 
similar actuarial
 
methods for
 
both short
 
tail and
 
long tail
 
lines, the
 
faster reporting
of experience
 
for the
 
short tail
 
lines allows
 
the Company
 
to have
 
greater confidence
 
in its
 
estimates of
 
ultimate
losses
 
for
 
short
 
tail
 
lines
 
at
 
an
 
earlier
 
stage
 
than
 
for
 
long
 
tail
 
lines.
 
As
 
a
 
result,
 
the
 
Company
 
utilizes,
 
as
 
well,
exposure-based
 
methods
 
to
 
estimate
 
its
 
ultimate
 
losses
 
for
 
longer
 
tail
 
lines,
 
especially
 
for
 
immature
underwriting
 
or
 
accident
 
years.
 
For
 
both
 
short
 
and
 
long
 
tail
 
lines,
 
the
 
Company
 
supplements
 
these
 
general
approaches with analytically based judgments.
Key
 
actuarial
 
assumptions
 
contain
 
no
 
explicit
 
provisions
 
for
 
reserve
 
uncertainty
 
nor
 
does
 
the
 
Company
supplement the actuarially determined reserves
 
for uncertainty.
Carried reserves
 
at each
 
reporting date
 
are the
 
management’s
 
best estimate
 
of ultimate
 
unpaid losses
 
and LAE
at
 
that
 
date.
 
The
 
Company
 
completes
 
detailed
 
reserve
 
studies
 
for
 
each
 
exposure
 
group
 
annually
 
for
 
both
reinsurance
 
and
 
insurance
 
operations.
 
The
 
completed
 
annual
 
reserve
 
studies
 
are
 
“rolled-forward”
 
for
 
each
accounting period
 
until the
 
subsequent reserve
 
study is
 
completed.
 
Analyzing the
 
roll-forward
 
process involves
comparing
 
actual
 
reported
 
losses
 
to
 
expected
 
losses
 
based
 
on
 
the
 
most
 
recent
 
reserve
 
study.
 
The
 
Company
analyzes
 
significant
 
variances
 
between
 
actual
 
and
 
expected
 
losses
 
and
 
post
 
adjustments
 
to
 
its
 
reserves
 
as
warranted.
Certain reserves,
 
including losses
 
from widespread
 
catastrophic
 
events
 
and COVID
 
-19 related
 
losses, cannot
 
be
estimated
 
using traditional
 
actuarial methods.
 
These types
 
of events
 
are reserved
 
for separately
 
using a
 
variety
of
 
statistical
 
and
 
actuarial
 
techniques.
 
We
 
estimate
 
losses
 
for
 
these
 
types
 
of
 
events
 
based
 
on
 
information
derived from
 
catastrophe
 
models, quantitative
 
and qualitative
 
exposure
 
analyses,
 
reports
 
and communications
from ceding companies and development patterns
 
for historically similar events,
 
where available.
 
The Company
 
continues
 
to
 
receive
 
claims under
 
expired
 
insurance
 
and reinsurance
 
contracts
 
asserting
 
injuries
and/or
 
damages
 
relating
 
to
 
or
 
resulting
 
from
 
environmental
 
pollution
 
and
 
hazardous
 
substances,
 
including
asbestos.
 
Environmental
 
claims
 
typically
 
assert
 
liability
 
for
 
(a) the
 
mitigation
 
or
 
remediation
 
of environmental
contamination
 
or (b)
 
bodily injury
 
or property
 
damage caused
 
by the
 
release of
 
hazardous
 
substances
 
into
 
the
land,
 
air
 
or
 
water.
 
Asbestos
 
claims
 
typically
 
assert
 
liability
 
for
 
bodily
 
injury
 
from
 
exposure
 
to
 
asbestos
 
or
 
for
property damage resulting from asbestos
 
or products containing asbestos.
The Company’s
 
reserves include
 
an estimate
 
of the Company’s
 
ultimate liability
 
for A&E
 
claims.
 
The Company’s
A&E
 
liabilities
 
emanate
 
from
 
Mt.
 
McKinley
 
Insurance
 
Company’s,
 
a
 
former
 
wholly
 
owned
 
subsidiary
 
that
 
was
sold
 
in 2015,
 
direct
 
insurance
 
business
 
and Everest
 
Re’s
 
assumed
 
reinsurance
 
business.
 
All of
 
the
 
contracts
 
of
insurance
 
and reinsurance,
 
under which
 
the Company
 
has received
 
claims during
 
the past
 
three
 
years,
 
expired
more
 
than
20
 
years
 
ago.
 
There
 
are
 
significant
 
uncertainties
 
surrounding
 
the
 
Company’s
 
reserves
 
for
 
its
 
A&E
losses.
A&E
 
exposures
 
represent
 
a
 
separate
 
exposure
 
group
 
for
 
monitoring
 
and
 
evaluating
 
reserve
 
adequacy.
 
The
following table
 
summarizes incurred
 
losses with respect
 
to A&E
 
reserves on
 
both a gross
 
and net of
 
reinsurance
basis for the periods indicated:
At December 31,
(Dollars in millions)
2022
2021
2020
Gross basis:
Beginning of period reserves
$
175
$
219
$
258
Incurred losses
144
11
2
Paid losses
(42)
(55)
(40)
End of period reserves
$
278
$
175
$
219
Net basis:
Beginning of period reserves
$
156
$
198
$
229
Incurred losses
138
-
(1)
Paid losses
(37)
(42)
(30)
End of period reserves
$
257
$
156
$
198
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)
In
 
2015,
 
the
 
Company
 
sold
 
Mt.
 
McKinley
 
to
 
Clearwater
 
Insurance
 
Company,
 
a
 
subsidiary
 
of
 
Fairfax
 
Financial.
 
Concurrently
 
with
 
the
 
closing,
 
the
 
Company
 
entered
 
into
 
a
 
retrocession
 
treaty
 
with
 
an
 
affiliate
 
of
 
Clearwater
Insurance Company.
 
Per the retrocession
 
treaty,
 
the Company retroceded
100
% of the liabilities associated
 
with
certain Mt. McKinley policies, which related
 
entirely to A&E business and had
 
been reinsured by Bermuda Re.
 
As
consideration
 
for entering
 
into the
 
retrocession treaty,
 
Everest
 
Re Bermuda
 
transferred
 
cash of $
140
 
million, an
amount
 
equal
 
to
 
the
 
net
 
loss
 
reserves
 
as
 
of
 
the
 
closing
 
date.
 
The
 
maximum
 
liability
 
retroceded
 
under
 
the
retrocession treaty
 
will be $
440
 
million, equal to
 
the retrocession
 
payment plus
 
$
300
 
million.
 
The Company
 
will
retain liability for any
 
amounts exceeding the maximum liability
 
retroceded under the retrocession
 
treaty.
On December 20, 2019, the retrocession
 
treaty was amended and
 
included a partial commutation.
 
As a result of
this amendment
 
and partial
 
commutation, gross
 
A&E reserves
 
and correspondingly
 
reinsurance receivable
 
were
reduced by $
43
 
million.
 
In addition, the maximum liability permitted to
 
be retroceded increased to
 
$
450
 
million.
 
In 2022
 
the Company
 
posted
 
additional A&E
 
reserves of
 
$
138
m, following
 
a comprehensive
 
actuarial reserving
review.
 
This
 
increase
 
in
 
reserves
 
brings
 
the
 
Company
 
A&E
 
position
 
in
 
line
 
with
 
the
 
overall
 
industry
 
survival
ratios.
Reinsurance Recoverables.
Reinsurance
 
recoverables
 
for
 
both paid
 
and unpaid
 
losses totaled
 
$
2.2
 
billion and
 
$
2.1
 
billion at
 
December 31,
2022 and December
 
31, 2021,
 
respectively.
 
At December
 
31, 2022, $
520
 
million, or
23.2
%, was receivable
 
from
Mt.
 
Logan
 
Re
 
collateralized
 
segregated
 
accounts;
 
$
283
 
million,
 
or
12.6
%,
 
was
 
receivable
 
from
 
Munich
Reinsurance
 
America, Inc.
 
and $
148
 
million, or
6.6
%, was
 
recoverable
 
from Endurance
 
Reinsurance
 
Corporation
of America.
 
No other retrocessionaire accounted
 
for more than
5
% of our receivables.
Future Policy Benefit Reserve.
Activity in the reserve for future policy benefits
 
is summarized for the periods indicated:
At December 31,
(Dollars in thousands)
2022
2021
2020
Balance at beginning of year
$
36
$
38
$
43
Liabilities assumed
-
-
-
Adjustments to reserves
(3)
1
(1)
Benefits paid in the current year
(4)
(3)
(4)
Balance at end of year
$
29
$
36
$
38
(Some amounts may not reconcile due to rounding.)