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Derivative Instruments and Fair Value Measurements

12 Months Ended

Dec. 29, 2012

Derivative Instruments and Fair Value Measurements

Derivative Instruments and Fair Value Measurements

Note 9. Derivative Instruments and Fair Value Measurements

We measure fair value at the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. We prioritize the assumptions that market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability into a three-tier fair value hierarchy. This fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority (Level 1) to quoted prices in active markets for identical assets or liabilities and the lowest priority (Level 3) to unobservable inputs in which little or no market data exist, requiring companies to develop their own assumptions. Observable inputs that do not meet the criteria of Level 1, which include quoted prices for similar assets or liabilities in active markets or quoted prices for identical assets and liabilities in markets that are not active, are categorized as Level 2. Level 3 inputs are those that reflect our estimates about the assumptions market participants would use in pricing the asset or liability based on the best information available in the circumstances. Valuation techniques for assets and liabilities measured using Level 3 inputs may include methodologies such as the market approach, the income approach or the cost approach and may use unobservable inputs such as projections, estimates and management’s interpretation of current market data. These unobservable inputs are utilized only to the extent that observable inputs are not available or cost-effective to obtain.

Assets and Liabilities Recorded at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis

The assets and liabilities that are recorded at fair value on a recurring basis consist primarily of our derivative financial instruments, which are categorized as Level 2 in the fair value hierarchy. The fair value amounts of these instruments that are designated as hedging instruments are provided below:

			Asset (Liability)
(In millions)	Borrowing Group	Balance Sheet Location	December 29, 2012			December 31, 2011
Assets
Interest rate exchange contracts*	Finance	Other assets	$	8		$	22
Foreign currency exchange contracts	Manufacturing	Other current assets	9			9
Total			$	17		$	31
Liabilities
Interest rate exchange contracts*	Finance	Other liabilities	$	(8	)	$	(7	)
Foreign currency exchange contracts	Manufacturing	Accrued liabilities	(5		)	(5		)
Total			$	(13	)	$	(12	)

*Interest rate exchange contracts represent fair value hedges.

The Finance group’s interest rate exchange contracts are not exchange traded and are measured at fair value utilizing widely accepted, third-party developed valuation models. The actual terms of each individual contract are entered into a valuation model, along with interest rate and foreign exchange rate data, which is based on readily observable market data published by third-party leading financial news and data providers. Credit risk is factored into the fair value of these assets and liabilities based on the differential between both our credit default swap spread for liabilities and the counterparty’s credit default swap spread for assets as compared with a standard AA-rated counterparty; however, this had no significant impact on the valuation at December 29, 2012. At December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we had interest rate exchange contracts with notional amounts upon which the contracts were based of $671 million and $848 million, respectively.

Foreign currency exchange contracts are measured at fair value using the market method valuation technique. The inputs to this technique utilize current foreign currency exchange forward market rates published by third-party leading financial news and data providers. These are observable data that represent the rates that the financial institution uses for contracts entered into at that date; however, they are not based on actual transactions so they are classified as Level 2. At December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011, we had foreign currency exchange contracts with notional amounts upon which the contracts were based of $664 million and $645 million, respectively.

Fair Value Hedges

Our Finance group enters into interest rate exchange contracts to mitigate exposure to changes in the fair value of its fixed-rate receivables and debt due to fluctuations in interest rates. By using these contracts, we are able to convert our fixed-rate cash flows to floating-rate cash flows. The amount of ineffectiveness on our fair value hedges and the gain (loss) recorded in the Consolidated Statements of Operations were both insignificant in 2012 and 2011.

Cash Flow Hedges

We manufacture and sell our products in a number of countries throughout the world, and, therefore, we are exposed to movements in foreign currency exchange rates. The primary purpose of our foreign currency hedging activities is to manage the volatility associated with foreign currency purchases of materials, foreign currency sales of products, and other assets and liabilities in the normal course of business. We primarily utilize forward exchange contracts and purchased options with maturities of no more than three years that qualify as cash flow hedges and are intended to offset the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on forecasted sales, inventory purchases and overhead expenses. At December 29, 2012, we had a net deferred gain of $5 million in Accumulated other comprehensive loss related to these cash flow hedges. Net gains and losses recognized in earnings and Accumulated other comprehensive loss on these cash flow hedges, including gains and losses related to hedge ineffectiveness, were not material in 2012 and 2011. We do not expect the amount of gains and losses in Accumulated other comprehensive loss that will be reclassified to earnings in the next twelve months to be material.

We hedge our net investment position in major currencies and generate foreign currency interest payments that offset other transactional exposures in these currencies. To accomplish this, we borrow directly in foreign currency and designate a portion of foreign currency debt as a hedge of net investments. We also may utilize currency forwards as hedges of our related foreign net investments. We record changes in the fair value of these contracts in other comprehensive income to the extent they are effective as cash flow hedges. If a contract does not qualify for hedge accounting or is designated as a fair value hedge, changes in the fair value of the contract are recorded in earnings. Currency effects on the effective portion of these hedges, which are reflected in the foreign currency translation adjustment account within other comprehensive income, produced a $14 million after-tax loss in 2012, resulting in an accumulated net gain balance of $4 million at December 29, 2012. The ineffective portion of these hedges was insignificant.

Counterparty Credit Risk

Our exposure to loss from nonperformance by the counterparties to our derivative agreements at the end of 2012 was minimal. We do not anticipate nonperformance by counterparties in the periodic settlements of amounts due. We historically have minimized this potential for risk by entering into contracts exclusively with major, financially sound counterparties having no less than a long-term bond rating of A. The credit risk generally is limited to the amount by which the counterparties’ contractual obligations exceed our obligations to the counterparty. We continuously monitor our exposures to ensure that we limit our risks.

Assets Recorded at Fair Value on a Nonrecurring Basis

During 2012 and 2011, certain assets were measured at fair value on a nonrecurring basis using significant unobservable inputs (Level 3). The table below sets forth the balance of those assets at the end of the year in which a fair value adjustment was taken.

(In millions)	December 29, 2012		December 31, 2011
Finance group
Finance receivables held for sale	$	140	$	418
Impaired finance receivables	72		81
Other assets	76		128
Manufacturing Group
Intangible assets	—		15

The following table provides the fair value adjustments recorded for the assets measured at fair value on a non-recurring basis during 2012 and 2011.

	Gain (Loss)
(In millions)	2012			2011
Finance group
Finance receivables held for sale	$	76		$	(206	)
Impaired finance receivables	(11		)	(82		)
Other assets	(51		)	(49		)
Manufacturing Group
Intangible assets	—			(41		)

Finance receivables held for sale — Finance receivables held for sale are recorded at fair value on a nonrecurring basis during periods in which the fair value is lower than the cost value. There are no active, quoted market prices for these finance receivables. At December 29, 2012, our finance receivables held for sale included the entire Golf Mortgage portfolio. Fair value of this portfolio was determined based on the use of discounted cash flow models to estimate the price we expect to receive in the principal market for each pool of similar loans, in an orderly transaction. The discount rates utilized in these models are derived from prevailing interest rate indices and are based on the nature of the assets, discussions with market participants and our experience in the actual disposition of similar assets. The cash flow models also include the use of qualitative assumptions regarding the borrower’s ability to pay and the period of time that will likely be required to restructure and/or exit the account through acquisition of the underlying collateral. We utilize revenue and earnings multiples to determine the expected value of the loan collateral. The range of multiples used is based on bids from prospective buyers, inputs from market participants and prices at which sales have been transacted for similar properties. The gains on finance receivables held for sale during 2012 were primarily the result of the payoff of loans in amounts, and sale of loans at prices, in excess of the values established in previous periods.

Based on our qualitative assumptions, we separate the loans into three categories for the cash flow models. In the first category, we include loans that we assume will be paid in accordance with the contractual terms of the loan. In the second category, we include loans where we perceive that the borrower has less of an ability to pay, and we assume that the loan will be restructured and resolved typically over a period of one to four years. For the third category, we assume that the borrower will default on the loan and that it will be resolved within an average of 24 months. The fair values of these finance receivables are sensitive to variability in both the quantitative and qualitative assumptions. Changes in the borrower’s ability to pay or the period of time required to restructure and/or exit accounts may significantly increase or decrease the fair value of these finance receivables, and, to a lesser extent, fluctuations in discount rates and/or revenue and earnings multiples could also change the fair value of these finance receivables.

Impaired finance receivables — Impaired nonaccrual finance receivables represent assets recorded at fair value on a nonrecurring basis since the measurement of required reserves on our impaired finance receivables is significantly dependent on the fair value of the underlying collateral. For Captive impaired nonaccrual finance receivables, the fair values of collateral are determined primarily based on the use of industry pricing guides. Timeshare impaired nonaccrual finance receivables largely consist of pools of timeshare interval resort notes receivable. Fair values of collateral are estimated using cash flow models incorporating estimates of credit losses in the consumer notes pools. Fair value measurements recorded on impaired finance receivables resulted in charges to provision for loan losses and primarily related to initial fair value adjustments.

Other assets — Other assets in the table above primarily include repossessed golf and hotel properties and aviation assets. The fair value of our golf and hotel properties is determined based on the use of discounted cash flow models, bids from prospective buyers or inputs from market participants. The fair value of our aviation assets is largely determined based on the use of industry pricing guides. If the carrying amount of these assets is higher than their estimated fair value, we record a corresponding charge to income for the difference.

Intangible assets — In 2011, we recorded a $41 million pre-tax impairment charge to write down intangible assets in our Systems segment primarily related to customer agreements and contractual relationships associated with AAI-Logistics & Technical Services and AAI-Test & Training businesses. We determined the fair value of these assets using discounted cash flows related to each asset group and a weighted-average cost of capital of approximately 10%. The impairment charge was recorded in cost of sales within segment profit.

Assets and Liabilities Not Recorded at Fair Value

The carrying value and estimated fair values of our financial instruments that are not reflected in the financial statements at fair value are as follows:

	December 29, 2012						December 31, 2011
(In millions)	Carrying Value			Estimated Fair Value			Carrying Value			Estimated Fair Value
Manufacturing group
Long-term debt, excluding leases	$	(2,225	)	$	(2,636	)	$	(2,328	)	$	(2,561	)
Finance group
Finance receivables held for investment, excluding leases	1,625			1,653			1,997			1,848
Debt	(1,686		)	(1,678		)	(1,974		)	(1,854		)

Fair value for the Manufacturing group debt is determined using market observable data for similar transactions or Level 2 inputs. At December 29, 2012 and December 31, 2011, approximately 46% and 53%, respectively, of the fair value of term debt for the Finance group was determined based on observable market transactions (Level 1). The remaining Finance group debt was determined based on discounted cash flow analyses using observable market inputs from debt with similar duration, subordination and credit default expectations (Level 2). Fair value estimates for finance receivables held for investment were determined based on internally developed discounted cash flow models primarily utilizing significant unobservable inputs (Level 3), which include estimates of the rate of return, financing cost, capital structure and/or discount rate expectations of current market participants combined with estimated loan cash flows based on credit losses, payment rates and expectations of borrowers’ ability to make payments on a timely basis.