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Insurance (Tables)
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2017
Insurance [Abstract]  
Reconciliation of beginning and ending liability for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
The following table provides an analysis of changes in the liability for losses and loss adjustment expenses over the past three years (in millions):
 
2017
 
2016
 
2015
Balance at beginning of period
$
8,563

 
$
8,127

 
$
7,872

Less reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance
2,302

 
2,201

 
2,227

Net liability at beginning of period
6,261

 
5,926

 
5,645

Provision for losses and LAE occurring in the current year
3,019

 
2,730

 
2,662

Net increase (decrease) in the provision for claims of prior years:
 
 
 
 
 
Special A&E charges
89

 
36

 
67

Neon exited lines charge
(18
)
 
57

 

Other
(135
)
 
(61
)
 
(34
)
Total losses and LAE incurred
2,955

 
2,762

 
2,695

Payments for losses and LAE of:
 
 
 
 
 
Current year
(942
)
 
(841
)
 
(828
)
Prior years
(1,586
)
 
(1,512
)
 
(1,575
)
Total payments
(2,528
)
 
(2,353
)
 
(2,403
)
Reserves of businesses disposed (*)

 
(40
)
 

Foreign currency translation and other
33

 
(34
)
 
(11
)
Net liability at end of period
6,721

 
6,261

 
5,926

Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance
2,957

 
2,302

 
2,201

Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet
$
9,678

 
$
8,563

 
$
8,127


(*)
Reflects the 2016 reinsurance to close transactions at Neon (discussed below).
Short-duration insurance contracts, reconciliation of claims development to liability
A reconciliation of incurred and paid claims development information to the aggregate carrying amount of the liability for unpaid losses and LAE, with separate disclosure of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid claims is shown below (in millions):
 
2017
Unpaid losses and allocated LAE, net of reinsurance:
 
Specialty
 
Property and transportation
$
1,069

Specialty casualty
3,630

Specialty financial
221

Other specialty
278

Total Specialty (excluding foreign reserves)
5,198

 
 
Other reserves
 
Reserves for foreign operations:
 
Neon Lloyd’s business
480

Other subsidiaries
269

A&E reserves
403

Unallocated LAE
326

Other
45

Total other reserves
1,523

Total reserves, net of reinsurance
6,721

 
 
Add back reinsurance recoverables, net of allowance
2,957

Gross unpaid losses and LAE included in the balance sheet
$
9,678

Short-duration insurance contracts, claims development
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.

Property and transportation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
923

 
$
871

 
$
852

 
$
853

 
$
856

 
$
854

 
$
855

 
$
856

 
$
854

 
$
854

 
$
1

 
157,164

2009
 
 
 
526

 
506

 
523

 
516

 
511

 
511

 
508

 
508

 
508

 
3

 
140,532

2010
 
 
 
 
 
702

 
662

 
668

 
676

 
679

 
679

 
683

 
680

 
6

 
140,634

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
830

 
816

 
831

 
845

 
856

 
868

 
865

 
10

 
140,418

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
890

 
884

 
897

 
909

 
922

 
918

 
19

 
146,630

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
911

 
898

 
902

 
908

 
910

 
22

 
142,249

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
868

 
852

 
841

 
843

 
38

 
136,882

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
842

 
804

 
798

 
54

 
135,029

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
771

 
740

 
110

 
122,112

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
913

 
273

 
128,455

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
8,029

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
352

 
$
706

 
$
761

 
$
799

 
$
824

 
$
835

 
$
846

 
$
846

 
$
847

 
$
848

 
99.3
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
229

 
348

 
413

 
456

 
479

 
493

 
497

 
499

 
502

 
98.8
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
328

 
505

 
556

 
618

 
649

 
660

 
665

 
669

 
98.4
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
373

 
679

 
742

 
787

 
821

 
840

 
847

 
97.9
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
582

 
725

 
793

 
841

 
868

 
883

 
96.2
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
449

 
721

 
784

 
831

 
862

 
94.7
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
337

 
646

 
711

 
765

 
90.7
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
367

 
595

 
683

 
85.6
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
299

 
534

 
72.2
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
387

 
42.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,980

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
1,049

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
20

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
1,069

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
45.9
%
 
29.9
%
 
8.4
%
 
6.3
%
 
3.7
%
 
1.9
%
 
0.9
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.4
%
 
0.1
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
45.9
%
 
75.8
%
 
84.2
%
 
90.5
%
 
94.2
%
 
96.1
%
 
97.0
%
 
97.3
%
 
97.7
%
 
97.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).

Specialty casualty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
905

 
$
891

 
$
874

 
$
860

 
$
871

 
$
856

 
$
855

 
$
849

 
$
855

 
$
854

 
$
41

 
59,991

2009
 
 
 
864

 
867

 
845

 
826

 
816

 
811

 
812

 
807

 
803

 
48

 
53,192

2010
 
 
 
 
 
847

 
863

 
864

 
842

 
856

 
846

 
845

 
842

 
65

 
52,855

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
831

 
831

 
819

 
828

 
814

 
808

 
806

 
73

 
50,851

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
874

 
865

 
859

 
859

 
855

 
849

 
104

 
49,836

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
938

 
921

 
915

 
910

 
913

 
132

 
49,412

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,011

 
984

 
984

 
982

 
202

 
52,167

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,057

 
1,023

 
1,022

 
268

 
52,846

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,105

 
1,098

 
426

 
50,652

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,186

 
715

 
46,399

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
9,355

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
162

 
$
355

 
$
490

 
$
588

 
$
653

 
$
702

 
$
727

 
$
751

 
$
768

 
$
782

 
91.6
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
160

 
366

 
494

 
575

 
636

 
673

 
698

 
713

 
722

 
89.9
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
393

 
539

 
623

 
676

 
712

 
734

 
748

 
88.8
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165

 
369

 
506

 
595

 
643

 
674

 
694

 
86.1
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
163

 
368

 
495

 
596

 
658

 
696

 
82.0
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
171

 
377

 
530

 
638

 
698

 
76.5
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
182

 
398

 
556

 
659

 
67.1
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
170

 
398

 
560

 
54.8
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
181

 
404

 
36.8
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
192

 
16.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,155

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
3,200

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
430

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
3,630

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
18.6
%
 
23.4
%
 
16.2
%
 
11.0
%
 
6.9
%
 
4.6
%
 
2.8
%
 
2.1
%
 
1.6
%
 
1.6
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
18.6
%
 
42.0
%
 
58.2
%
 
69.2
%
 
76.1
%
 
80.7
%
 
83.5
%
 
85.6
%
 
87.2
%
 
88.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).

Specialty financial
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
190

 
$
207

 
$
212

 
$
209

 
$
203

 
$
199

 
$
198

 
$
197

 
$
198

 
$
199

 
$
1

 
27,292

2009
 
 
 
193

 
193

 
187

 
184

 
188

 
186

 
187

 
186

 
185

 

 
27,441

2010
 
 
 
 
 
139

 
146

 
133

 
133

 
135

 
133

 
130

 
128

 
2

 
21,929

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
140

 
158

 
157

 
155

 
148

 
146

 
144

 
11

 
16,374

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
164

 
163

 
151

 
139

 
137

 
135

 
11

 
21,050

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
141

 
145

 
137

 
131

 
127

 
9

 
28,279

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146

 
157

 
156

 
154

 
16

 
28,983

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
156

 
159

 
157

 
21

 
37,125

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
183

 
26

 
43,484

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
212

 
84

 
36,116

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,624

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
103

 
$
153

 
$
185

 
$
189

 
$
189

 
$
191

 
$
193

 
$
194

 
$
194

 
$
197

 
99.0
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
112

 
145

 
157

 
166

 
171

 
182

 
185

 
186

 
186

 
100.5
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
93

 
104

 
122

 
133

 
131

 
128

 
127

 
99.2
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
113

 
116

 
124

 
131

 
132

 
133

 
92.4
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
71

 
104

 
109

 
117

 
121

 
126

 
93.3
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
70

 
100

 
107

 
114

 
117

 
92.1
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

 
108

 
125

 
128

 
83.1
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
72

 
109

 
129

 
82.2
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
87

 
141

 
77.0
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
119

 
56.1
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,403

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
221

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
221

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
49.8
%
 
26.3
%
 
8.3
%
 
5.7
%
 
3.6
%
 
2.0
%
 
0.2
%
 
0.1
%
 
%
 
1.5
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
49.8
%
 
76.1
%
 
84.4
%
 
90.1
%
 
93.7
%
 
95.7
%
 
95.9
%
 
96.0
%
 
96.0
%
 
97.5
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).

Other specialty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
48

 
$
46

 
$
45

 
$
45

 
$
44

 
$
43

 
$
3

 

2009
 
 
 
41

 
41

 
41

 
40

 
37

 
37

 
36

 
38

 
33

 
7

 

2010
 
 
 
 
 
36

 
39

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
40

 
40

 
40

 
2

 

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
39

 
43

 
42

 
43

 
43

 
44

 
44

 
4

 

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
42

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
41

 
39

 
8

 

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
46

 
47

 
46

 
47

 
50

 
5

 

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
58

 
57

 
59

 
59

 
16

 

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
60

 
63

 
20

 

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
61

 
31

 

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

 
47

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
495

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (b)
 
 
2008
 
$
10

 
$
16

 
$
23

 
$
31

 
$
35

 
$
37

 
$
37

 
$
37

 
$
38

 
$
39

 
90.7
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
8

 
12

 
15

 
19

 
22

 
22

 
24

 
26

 
25

 
75.8
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
14

 
21

 
24

 
27

 
33

 
35

 
36

 
90.0
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12

 
20

 
25

 
28

 
34

 
36

 
37

 
84.1
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
17

 
21

 
25

 
28

 
30

 
76.9
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
16

 
22

 
34

 
37

 
74.0
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
13

 
21

 
30

 
36

 
61.0
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
26

 
31

 
49.2
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

 
19

 
31.1
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
15.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
300

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
195

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
83

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
278

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
19.8
%
 
17.3
%
 
12.5
%
 
12.8
%
 
8.9
%
 
5.9
%
 
3.3
%
 
2.9
%
 
(0.4
%)
 
2.3
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
19.8
%
 
37.1
%
 
49.6
%
 
62.4
%
 
71.3
%
 
77.2
%
 
80.5
%
 
83.4
%
 
83.0
%
 
85.3
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).


Total Specialty Group
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
2,067

 
$
2,018

 
$
1,987

 
$
1,971

 
$
1,978

 
$
1,955

 
$
1,953

 
$
1,947

 
$
1,951

 
$
1,950

 
$
46

 
244,447

2009
 
 
 
1,624

 
1,607

 
1,596

 
1,566

 
1,552

 
1,545

 
1,543

 
1,539

 
1,529

 
58

 
221,165

2010
 
 
 
 
 
1,724

 
1,710

 
1,705

 
1,690

 
1,710

 
1,698

 
1,698

 
1,690

 
75

 
215,418

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,840

 
1,848

 
1,849

 
1,871

 
1,861

 
1,866

 
1,859

 
98

 
207,643

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,970

 
1,952

 
1,946

 
1,947

 
1,955

 
1,941

 
142

 
217,516

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,036

 
2,011

 
2,000

 
1,996

 
2,000

 
168

 
219,940

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,083

 
2,050

 
2,040

 
2,038

 
272

 
218,032

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,114

 
2,046

 
2,040

 
363

 
225,000

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,116

 
2,082

 
593

 
216,248

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,374

 
1,119

 
210,970

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
19,503

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
627

 
$
1,230

 
$
1,459

 
$
1,607

 
$
1,701

 
$
1,765

 
$
1,803

 
$
1,828

 
$
1,847

 
$
1,866

 
95.7
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
509

 
871

 
1,079

 
1,216

 
1,308

 
1,370

 
1,404

 
1,424

 
1,435

 
93.9
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
1,005

 
1,220

 
1,387

 
1,485

 
1,536

 
1,562

 
1,580

 
93.5
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
609

 
1,181

 
1,389

 
1,534

 
1,629

 
1,682

 
1,711

 
92.0
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
824

 
1,214

 
1,418

 
1,579

 
1,675

 
1,735

 
89.4
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
697

 
1,214

 
1,443

 
1,617

 
1,714

 
85.7
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
594

 
1,173

 
1,422

 
1,588

 
77.9
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
619

 
1,128

 
1,403

 
68.8
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
1,098

 
52.7
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
708

 
29.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
14,838

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
4,665

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
533

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
5,198

 
 
 
 

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
32.7
%
 
26.1
%
 
12.1
%
 
8.5
%
 
5.3
%
 
3.3
%
 
1.8
%
 
1.2
%
 
0.8
%
 
1.0
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
32.7
%
 
58.8
%
 
70.9
%
 
79.4
%
 
84.7
%
 
88.0
%
 
89.8
%
 
91.0
%
 
91.8
%
 
92.8
%
 
 
 
 

(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).
Short-duration insurance contracts, schedule of historical claims duration
The following claims development tables and associated disclosures related to short-duration insurance contracts are prepared by sub-segment within the property and casualty insurance business for the most recent 10 accident years. AFG determines its claim counts at the claimant or policy feature level depending on the particular facts and circumstances of the underlying claim. While the methodology is generally consistent within each sub-segment, there are minor differences between and within the sub-segments. The methods used to summarize claim counts have not changed significantly over the time periods reported in the tables below.

Property and transportation
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
923

 
$
871

 
$
852

 
$
853

 
$
856

 
$
854

 
$
855

 
$
856

 
$
854

 
$
854

 
$
1

 
157,164

2009
 
 
 
526

 
506

 
523

 
516

 
511

 
511

 
508

 
508

 
508

 
3

 
140,532

2010
 
 
 
 
 
702

 
662

 
668

 
676

 
679

 
679

 
683

 
680

 
6

 
140,634

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
830

 
816

 
831

 
845

 
856

 
868

 
865

 
10

 
140,418

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
890

 
884

 
897

 
909

 
922

 
918

 
19

 
146,630

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
911

 
898

 
902

 
908

 
910

 
22

 
142,249

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
868

 
852

 
841

 
843

 
38

 
136,882

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
842

 
804

 
798

 
54

 
135,029

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
771

 
740

 
110

 
122,112

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
913

 
273

 
128,455

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
8,029

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
352

 
$
706

 
$
761

 
$
799

 
$
824

 
$
835

 
$
846

 
$
846

 
$
847

 
$
848

 
99.3
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
229

 
348

 
413

 
456

 
479

 
493

 
497

 
499

 
502

 
98.8
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
328

 
505

 
556

 
618

 
649

 
660

 
665

 
669

 
98.4
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
373

 
679

 
742

 
787

 
821

 
840

 
847

 
97.9
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
582

 
725

 
793

 
841

 
868

 
883

 
96.2
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
449

 
721

 
784

 
831

 
862

 
94.7
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
337

 
646

 
711

 
765

 
90.7
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
367

 
595

 
683

 
85.6
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
299

 
534

 
72.2
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
387

 
42.4
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,980

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
1,049

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
20

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
1,069

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
45.9
%
 
29.9
%
 
8.4
%
 
6.3
%
 
3.7
%
 
1.9
%
 
0.9
%
 
0.3
%
 
0.4
%
 
0.1
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
45.9
%
 
75.8
%
 
84.2
%
 
90.5
%
 
94.2
%
 
96.1
%
 
97.0
%
 
97.3
%
 
97.7
%
 
97.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).

Specialty casualty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
905

 
$
891

 
$
874

 
$
860

 
$
871

 
$
856

 
$
855

 
$
849

 
$
855

 
$
854

 
$
41

 
59,991

2009
 
 
 
864

 
867

 
845

 
826

 
816

 
811

 
812

 
807

 
803

 
48

 
53,192

2010
 
 
 
 
 
847

 
863

 
864

 
842

 
856

 
846

 
845

 
842

 
65

 
52,855

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
831

 
831

 
819

 
828

 
814

 
808

 
806

 
73

 
50,851

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
874

 
865

 
859

 
859

 
855

 
849

 
104

 
49,836

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
938

 
921

 
915

 
910

 
913

 
132

 
49,412

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,011

 
984

 
984

 
982

 
202

 
52,167

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,057

 
1,023

 
1,022

 
268

 
52,846

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,105

 
1,098

 
426

 
50,652

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,186

 
715

 
46,399

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
9,355

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
162

 
$
355

 
$
490

 
$
588

 
$
653

 
$
702

 
$
727

 
$
751

 
$
768

 
$
782

 
91.6
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
160

 
366

 
494

 
575

 
636

 
673

 
698

 
713

 
722

 
89.9
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
393

 
539

 
623

 
676

 
712

 
734

 
748

 
88.8
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
165

 
369

 
506

 
595

 
643

 
674

 
694

 
86.1
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
163

 
368

 
495

 
596

 
658

 
696

 
82.0
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
171

 
377

 
530

 
638

 
698

 
76.5
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
182

 
398

 
556

 
659

 
67.1
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
170

 
398

 
560

 
54.8
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
181

 
404

 
36.8
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
192

 
16.2
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
6,155

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
3,200

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
430

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
3,630

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
18.6
%
 
23.4
%
 
16.2
%
 
11.0
%
 
6.9
%
 
4.6
%
 
2.8
%
 
2.1
%
 
1.6
%
 
1.6
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
18.6
%
 
42.0
%
 
58.2
%
 
69.2
%
 
76.1
%
 
80.7
%
 
83.5
%
 
85.6
%
 
87.2
%
 
88.8
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).

Specialty financial
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
190

 
$
207

 
$
212

 
$
209

 
$
203

 
$
199

 
$
198

 
$
197

 
$
198

 
$
199

 
$
1

 
27,292

2009
 
 
 
193

 
193

 
187

 
184

 
188

 
186

 
187

 
186

 
185

 

 
27,441

2010
 
 
 
 
 
139

 
146

 
133

 
133

 
135

 
133

 
130

 
128

 
2

 
21,929

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
140

 
158

 
157

 
155

 
148

 
146

 
144

 
11

 
16,374

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
164

 
163

 
151

 
139

 
137

 
135

 
11

 
21,050

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
141

 
145

 
137

 
131

 
127

 
9

 
28,279

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
146

 
157

 
156

 
154

 
16

 
28,983

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
156

 
159

 
157

 
21

 
37,125

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
179

 
183

 
26

 
43,484

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
212

 
84

 
36,116

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,624

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
103

 
$
153

 
$
185

 
$
189

 
$
189

 
$
191

 
$
193

 
$
194

 
$
194

 
$
197

 
99.0
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
112

 
145

 
157

 
166

 
171

 
182

 
185

 
186

 
186

 
100.5
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
93

 
104

 
122

 
133

 
131

 
128

 
127

 
99.2
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
113

 
116

 
124

 
131

 
132

 
133

 
92.4
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
71

 
104

 
109

 
117

 
121

 
126

 
93.3
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
70

 
100

 
107

 
114

 
117

 
92.1
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
62

 
108

 
125

 
128

 
83.1
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
72

 
109

 
129

 
82.2
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
87

 
141

 
77.0
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
119

 
56.1
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
1,403

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
221

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
221

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
49.8
%
 
26.3
%
 
8.3
%
 
5.7
%
 
3.6
%
 
2.0
%
 
0.2
%
 
0.1
%
 
%
 
1.5
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
49.8
%
 
76.1
%
 
84.4
%
 
90.1
%
 
93.7
%
 
95.7
%
 
95.9
%
 
96.0
%
 
96.0
%
 
97.5
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).

Other specialty
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims (a)
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
49

 
$
48

 
$
46

 
$
45

 
$
45

 
$
44

 
$
43

 
$
3

 

2009
 
 
 
41

 
41

 
41

 
40

 
37

 
37

 
36

 
38

 
33

 
7

 

2010
 
 
 
 
 
36

 
39

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
40

 
40

 
40

 
2

 

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
39

 
43

 
42

 
43

 
43

 
44

 
44

 
4

 

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
42

 
40

 
39

 
40

 
41

 
39

 
8

 

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
46

 
47

 
46

 
47

 
50

 
5

 

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
58

 
57

 
59

 
59

 
16

 

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
59

 
60

 
63

 
20

 

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
61

 
61

 
31

 

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
63

 
47

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
495

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (b)
 
 
2008
 
$
10

 
$
16

 
$
23

 
$
31

 
$
35

 
$
37

 
$
37

 
$
37

 
$
38

 
$
39

 
90.7
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
8

 
12

 
15

 
19

 
22

 
22

 
24

 
26

 
25

 
75.8
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
14

 
21

 
24

 
27

 
33

 
35

 
36

 
90.0
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12

 
20

 
25

 
28

 
34

 
36

 
37

 
84.1
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
8

 
17

 
21

 
25

 
28

 
30

 
76.9
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7

 
16

 
22

 
34

 
37

 
74.0
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
13

 
21

 
30

 
36

 
61.0
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
26

 
31

 
49.2
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9

 
19

 
31.1
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
10

 
15.9
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
300

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
195

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
83

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
278

 
 
 
 


 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
19.8
%
 
17.3
%
 
12.5
%
 
12.8
%
 
8.9
%
 
5.9
%
 
3.3
%
 
2.9
%
 
(0.4
%)
 
2.3
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
19.8
%
 
37.1
%
 
49.6
%
 
62.4
%
 
71.3
%
 
77.2
%
 
80.5
%
 
83.4
%
 
83.0
%
 
85.3
%
 
 
 
 


(a)
The amounts shown in Other specialty represent business assumed by AFG’s internal reinsurance program from the operations that make up AFG’s other Specialty property and casualty insurance sub-segments. Accordingly, the liability for incurred claims and allocated LAE represents additional reserves held on claims counted in the tables provided for the other sub-segments (above).
(b)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).


Total Specialty Group
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
(Dollars in Millions)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Incurred Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
As of December 31, 2017
 
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
Total IBNR Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims
 
Cumulative Number of Reported Claims
Accident Year
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
 
2008
 
$
2,067

 
$
2,018

 
$
1,987

 
$
1,971

 
$
1,978

 
$
1,955

 
$
1,953

 
$
1,947

 
$
1,951

 
$
1,950

 
$
46

 
244,447

2009
 
 
 
1,624

 
1,607

 
1,596

 
1,566

 
1,552

 
1,545

 
1,543

 
1,539

 
1,529

 
58

 
221,165

2010
 
 
 
 
 
1,724

 
1,710

 
1,705

 
1,690

 
1,710

 
1,698

 
1,698

 
1,690

 
75

 
215,418

2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,840

 
1,848

 
1,849

 
1,871

 
1,861

 
1,866

 
1,859

 
98

 
207,643

2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1,970

 
1,952

 
1,946

 
1,947

 
1,955

 
1,941

 
142

 
217,516

2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,036

 
2,011

 
2,000

 
1,996

 
2,000

 
168

 
219,940

2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,083

 
2,050

 
2,040

 
2,038

 
272

 
218,032

2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,114

 
2,046

 
2,040

 
363

 
225,000

2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,116

 
2,082

 
593

 
216,248

2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2,374

 
1,119

 
210,970

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
19,503

 
 
 
 

 
 
Cumulative Paid Claims and Allocated LAE, Net of Reinsurance
 
 
 
 
Accident Year
 
For the Years Ended (2008–2016 is Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
2008
 
2009
 
2010
 
2011
 
2012
 
2013
 
2014
 
2015
 
2016
 
2017
 
% (a)
 
 
2008
 
$
627

 
$
1,230

 
$
1,459

 
$
1,607

 
$
1,701

 
$
1,765

 
$
1,803

 
$
1,828

 
$
1,847

 
$
1,866

 
95.7
%
 
 
2009
 
 
 
509

 
871

 
1,079

 
1,216

 
1,308

 
1,370

 
1,404

 
1,424

 
1,435

 
93.9
%
 
 
2010
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
1,005

 
1,220

 
1,387

 
1,485

 
1,536

 
1,562

 
1,580

 
93.5
%
 
 
2011
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
609

 
1,181

 
1,389

 
1,534

 
1,629

 
1,682

 
1,711

 
92.0
%
 
 
2012
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
824

 
1,214

 
1,418

 
1,579

 
1,675

 
1,735

 
89.4
%
 
 
2013
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
697

 
1,214

 
1,443

 
1,617

 
1,714

 
85.7
%
 
 
2014
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
594

 
1,173

 
1,422

 
1,588

 
77.9
%
 
 
2015
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
619

 
1,128

 
1,403

 
68.8
%
 
 
2016
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
576

 
1,098

 
52.7
%
 
 
2017
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
708

 
29.8
%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Total

 
$
14,838

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — years 2008 through 2017
 
 
4,665

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE — 11th year and prior (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
533

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Unpaid losses and LAE, net of reinsurance (excluding unallocated LAE)
 
 
$
5,198

 
 
 
 

 
 
Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance
(Supplementary Information and Unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Year 1
 
Year 2
 
Year 3
 
Year 4
 
Year 5
 
Year 6
 
Year 7
 
Year 8
 
Year 9
 
Year 10
 
 
 
 
Annual
 
32.7
%
 
26.1
%
 
12.1
%
 
8.5
%
 
5.3
%
 
3.3
%
 
1.8
%
 
1.2
%
 
0.8
%
 
1.0
%
 
 
 
 
Cumulative
 
32.7
%
 
58.8
%
 
70.9
%
 
79.4
%
 
84.7
%
 
88.0
%
 
89.8
%
 
91.0
%
 
91.8
%
 
92.8
%
 
 
 
 

(a)
Represents the cumulative percentage paid of incurred claims and allocated LAE (net of reinsurance, as estimated at December 31, 2017).
Statutory information
Net earnings and capital and surplus on a statutory basis for the insurance subsidiaries were as follows (in millions):
 
Net Earnings
 
Capital and Surplus
 
2017
 
2016
 
2015
 
2017
 
2016
Property and casualty companies
$
484

 
$
461

 
$
408

 
$
2,729

 
$
2,939

Life insurance companies
286

 
167

 
399

 
2,132

 
1,976

Reinsurance information
The following table shows (in millions) (i) amounts deducted from property and casualty written and earned premiums in connection with reinsurance ceded, (ii) written and earned premiums included in income for reinsurance assumed and (iii) reinsurance recoveries, which represent ceded losses and loss adjustment expenses.
 
2017
 
2016
 
2015
Direct premiums written
$
6,310

 
$
5,858

 
$
5,713

Reinsurance assumed
192

 
123

 
119

Reinsurance ceded
(1,751
)
 
(1,595
)
 
(1,505
)
Net written premiums
$
4,751

 
$
4,386

 
$
4,327

 
 
 
 
 
 
Direct premiums earned
$
6,112

 
$
5,745

 
$
5,613

Reinsurance assumed
157

 
118

 
105

Reinsurance ceded
(1,690
)
 
(1,535
)
 
(1,494
)
Net earned premiums
$
4,579

 
$
4,328

 
$
4,224

 
 
 
 
 
 
Reinsurance recoveries
$
1,379

 
$
810

 
$
936

Schedule of reserve liabilities for annuity benefits accumulated
For certain products, the liability for “annuity benefits accumulated” includes reserves for excess benefits expected to be paid on future deaths and annuitizations (“EDAR”), guaranteed withdrawal benefits and accrued persistency and premium bonuses. The liabilities included in AFG’s Balance Sheet for these benefits, excluding the impact of unrealized gains on securities, were as follows at December 31 (in millions):
 
2017
 
2016
Expected death and annuitization
$
228

 
$
223

Guaranteed withdrawal benefits
357

 
278

Accrued persistency and premium bonuses
3

 
6