Reserve for Claims and Claim Expenses

3 Months Ended

Mar. 31, 2021

RESERVE FOR CLAIMS AND CLAIM EXPENSES The Company believes the most significant accounting judgment made by management is its estimate of claims and claim expense reserves. Claims and claim expense reserves represent estimates, including actuarial and statistical projections at a given point in time, of the ultimate settlement and administration costs for unpaid claims and claim expenses arising from the insurance and reinsurance contracts the Company sells. The Company establishes its claims and claim expense reserves by taking claims reported to the Company by insureds and ceding companies, but which have not yet been paid (“case reserves”), adding estimates for the anticipated cost of claims incurred but not yet reported to the Company, or incurred but not enough reported to the Company (collectively referred to as “IBNR”) and, if deemed necessary, adding costs for additional case reserves which represent the Company’s estimates for claims related to specific contracts previously reported to the Company which it believes may not be adequately estimated by the client as of that date, or adequately covered in the application of IBNR. The Company’s reserving committee, which includes members of the Company’s senior management, reviews, discusses, and

assesses the reasonableness and adequacy of the reserving estimates included in our unaudited financial statements.

The following table summarizes the Company’s claims and claim expense reserves by segment, allocated between case reserves, additional case reserves and IBNR:



At March 31, 2021	Case Reserves		Additional Case Reserves		IBNR		Total
Property	$	1,292,683	$	1,333,734	$	2,145,953	$	4,772,370
Casualty and Specialty	1,801,362		147,822		4,231,829		6,181,013

Total	$	3,094,045	$	1,481,556	$	6,377,782	$	10,953,383

At December 31, 2020
Property	$	1,127,909	$	1,617,003	$	1,627,541	$	4,372,453
Casualty and Specialty	1,651,150		133,843		4,223,692		6,008,685

Total	$	2,779,059	$	1,750,846	$	5,851,233	$	10,381,138

Activity in the liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses is summarized as follows:



Three months ended March 31	2021		2020
Reserve for claims and claim expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable, as of beginning of period	$	7,455,128	$	6,593,052
Net incurred related to:
Current year	876,083		557,054
Prior years	(9,032)		13,900
Total net incurred	867,051		570,954
Net paid related to:
Current year	14,751		31,201
Prior years	486,488		436,286
Total net paid	501,239		467,487
Foreign exchange (1)	(28,224)		(55,395)



Reserve for claims and claim expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable, as of end of period	7,792,716		6,641,124
Reinsurance recoverable as of end of period	3,160,667		2,765,583
Reserve for claims and claim expenses as of end of period	$	10,953,383	$	9,406,707

(1) Reflects the impact of the foreign exchange revaluation of the net reserve for claims and claim expenses denominated in non-U.S. dollars as at the balance sheet date.

Prior Year Development of the Reserve for Net Claims and Claim Expenses

The Company's estimates of claims and claim expense reserves are not precise in that, among other things, they are based on predictions of future developments and estimates of future trends and other variable factors. Some, but not all, of the Company's reserves are further subject to the uncertainty inherent in actuarial methodologies and estimates. Because a reserve estimate is simply an insurer's estimate at a point in time of its ultimate liability, and because there are numerous factors that affect reserves and claims payments that cannot be determined with certainty in advance, the Company's ultimate payments will vary, perhaps materially, from its estimates of reserves. If the Company determines in a subsequent period that adjustments to its previously established reserves are appropriate, such adjustments are recorded in the period in which they are identified. On a net basis, the Company's cumulative favorable or unfavorable development is generally reduced by offsetting changes in its reinsurance recoverable, as well as changes to loss related premiums such as reinstatement premiums and redeemable noncontrolling interest, all of which generally move in the opposite direction to changes in the Company's ultimate claims and claim expenses.

The following table details the Company’s prior year net development by segment of its liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses:



Three months ended March 31	2021		2020
	(Favorable) adverse development		(Favorable) adverse development
Property	$	(5,162)	$	13,901
Casualty and Specialty	(3,870)		(1)

Total net (favorable) adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses	$	(9,032)	$	13,900

Changes to prior year estimated claims reserves increased net income by $9.0 million during the three months ended March 31, 2021 (2020 - decreased net income by $13.9 million), excluding the consideration of changes in reinstatement, adjustment or other premium items, profit commissions, redeemable noncontrolling interests - DaVinciRe and Vermeer, and income tax.

Property Segment

The following tables detail the development of the Company’s liability for net unpaid claims and claim expenses for its Property segment, allocated between large and small catastrophe net claims and claim expenses and attritional net claims and claim expenses, included in the other line item:



Three months ended March 31	2021
	(Favorable) adverse development
Catastrophe net claims and claim expenses
Large catastrophe events

2019 Large Loss Events	(4,742)
2018 Large Loss Events	(3,263)
2017 Large Loss Events	(5,508)




Other	(679)
Total large catastrophe events	(14,192)
Small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements


Other small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements	9,030
Total small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements	9,030
Total catastrophe and attritional net claims and claim expenses	(5,162)

Total net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses	$	(5,162)

The net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Property segment in the three months ended March 31, 2021 of $5.2 million was primarily comprised of net favorable development on prior accident years net claims and claim expenses associated with the following large catastrophe events:

•$4.7 million associated with Hurricane Dorian and Typhoon Faxai, Typhoon Hagibis and losses associated with aggregate loss contracts (collectively, the “2019 Large Loss Events”);

•$3.3 million associated with Typhoons Jebi, Mangkhut and Trami, Hurricane Florence, the wildfires in California during the third and fourth quarters of 2018, Hurricane Michael and certain losses associated with aggregate loss contracts (collectively, the ”2018 Large Loss Events”); and

•$5.5 million associated with Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria, the Mexico City Earthquake, the wildfires in California during the fourth quarter of 2017 and certain losses associated with aggregate loss contracts (collectively, the “2017 Large Loss Events”).



Three months ended March 31	2020
	(Favorable) adverse development
Catastrophe net claims and claim expenses
Large catastrophe events
2019 Large Loss Events	$	(19,681)
2018 Large Loss Events	(14,200)
2017 Large Loss Events	(6,237)
Other	8,027
Total large catastrophe events	(32,091)
Small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements
Other small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements	45,992
Total small catastrophe events and attritional loss movements	45,992


Total net adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses	$	13,901

The net adverse development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Property segment in the three months ended March 31, 2020 of $13.9 million was comprised of net adverse development of $54.0 million primarily within the Company’s other property class of business and principally driven by higher than expected attritional losses related to lines of business where the Company principally estimates net claims and claim expenses using traditional actuarial methods, combined with the impact of certain of the Company’s whole account ceded protections. Partially offsetting this adverse development was favorable development on prior accident years net claims and claim expenses associated with the following large catastrophe events:

•$19.7 million associated with the 2019 Large Loss Events;

•$14.2 million associated with the 2018 Large Loss Events; and

•$6.2 million associated with the 2017 Large Loss Events.

Casualty and Specialty Segment

The following table details the development of the Company’s liability for unpaid claims and claim expenses for its Casualty and Specialty segment:



Three months ended March 31	2021		2020
	(Favorable) adverse development		(Favorable) adverse development
Actuarial methods - actual reported claims less than expected claims	$	(3,870)	$	(1)

Total net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses	$	(3,870)	$	(1)

The net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Casualty and Specialty segment of $3.9 million in the three months ended March 31, 2021 was due to reported losses generally coming in lower than expected on attritional net claims and claim expenses, principally within our specialty lines of business.

The net favorable development of prior accident years net claims and claim expenses within the Company’s Casualty and Specialty segment of $1.0 thousand in the three months ended March 31, 2020 was due to reported losses generally coming in as expected on attritional net claims and claim expenses.