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Exhibit 99.1

 

Lehman Brothers
Energy/Power Conference

 

 

Donald E. Brandt

[GRAPHIC]

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

 

September 3, 2003

 



 

Forward-Looking Statements

 

This presentation contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations and we assume no obligation to update these statements or make any further statements on any of these issues, except as required by applicable law.  These forward-looking statements are often identified by words such as “hope,” “may,” “believe,” “anticipate,” “plan,” “expect,” “require,” “intend,” “assume” and similar words.  Because actual results may differ materially from expectations, we caution readers not to place undue reliance on these statements.  A number of factors could cause future results to differ materially from historical results, or from results or outcomes currently expected or sought by us.  These factors include, but are not limited to, the ongoing restructuring of the electric industry, including the introduction of retail electric competition in Arizona and decisions impacting wholesale competition; the outcome of regulatory and legislative proceedings relating to the restructuring; state and federal regulatory and legislative decisions and actions, including the outcome of the rate case we filed with the ACC on June 27, 2003 and the wholesale electric price mitigation plan adopted by the FERC; regional economic and market conditions, including the results of litigation and other proceedings resulting from the California energy situation, volatile purchased power and fuel costs and the completion of generation and transmission construction in the region, which could affect customer growth and the cost of power supplies; the cost of debt and equity capital and access to capital markets; weather variations affecting local and regional customer energy usage; conservation programs; power plant performance; the successful completion of our generation construction program; regulatory issues associated with generation construction, such as permitting and licensing; our ability to compete successfully outside traditional regulated markets (including the wholesale market); our ability to manage our marketing and trading activities and the use of derivative contracts in our business; technological developments in the electric industry; the performance of the stock market, which affects the amount of our required contributions to our pension plan and nuclear decommissioning trust funds; the strength of the real estate market in SunCor’s market areas, which include Arizona, New Mexico and Utah; and other uncertainties, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control.

 

2



 

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

 

 

Largest electric utility in Arizona

 

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, 6th largest U.S. city

 

 

 

 

Assets of $9 billion

 

3



 

 

Core Objectives

 

 

 

 

 

Capitalizing on superior growth

 

 

 

Maintaining operational excellence

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes

 

 

 

Maintaining financial strength and liquidity

 

 

 

Managing for long-term shareholder value

 

4



 

 

Core Objectives

 

 

 

 

 

Capitalizing on superior growth

 

 

 

Maintaining operational excellence

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes

 

 

 

Maintaining financial strength and liquidity

 

 

 

Managing for long-term shareholder value

 

5



 

Solid Customer Growth Foundation

Leading 2002 Population Growth States

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

1              Nevada

2              Arizona

3              Florida

4              Texas

5              Georgia

6              Colorado

7              Utah

8              Idaho

9              California

10            Oregon

 

(In Continental United States)

 

6



 

Capitalizing on Superior Customer Growth

Leading 2002 Population Growth States

 

[GRAPHIC]

 

APS 2nd in customer growth nationally

 

7



 

APS Service Territory Has Fastest
Growing Cities in U.S.

 

“Of the top 10 largest cities in the country, Phoenix and San Antonio grew the fastest between 2000 and 2002, at nearly 4%.”

 

“In addition to being among the five fastest growing cities from 2000 to 2002, Gilbert, Chandler and Peoria, all cities in Maricopa County, Arizona, were among the 10 fastest growing over the last decade.”

 

Source:  U.S. Census Bureau, July 10, 2003

 

8



 

Superior APS Retail Customer Growth

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected

 

 

 

1998

 

1999

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

APS

 

4.0

%

4.2

%

4.1

%

3.7

%

3.1

%

3.4

%

3.4

%

3.5

%

Industry Average

 

1.1

%

1.1

%

1.1

%

1.1

%

1.1

%

1.1

%

1.1

%

1.1

%

 

 

9



 

 

Core Objectives

 

 

 

 

 

Capitalizing on superior growth

 

 

 

Maintaining operational excellence

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes

 

 

 

Maintaining financial strength and liquidity

 

 

 

Managing for long-term shareholder value

 

10



 

Maintaining Operational Excellence

 

Generation

 

                  Palo Verde – top U.S. power producer

 

                  Strong fossil availability

 

                  New plant construction on target

 

 

Delivery

 

                  High customer growth and satisfaction

 

                  Superior reliability

 

                  Transmission and distribution expansion to meet growth and sustain reliability

 

11



 

Focusing on Operational Efficiency

 

Average Customers per Employee

 

 

 

1998

 

1999

 

2000

 

2001

 

2002

 

Average Customers per Employee

 

133

 

135

 

138

 

138

 

148

 

 

11% Efficiency Improvement

 

12



 

Excelling in Customer Satisfaction

APS 3rd best among 56 electric utilities

 

 

 

Rating

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LG&E Energy

 

115

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Salt River Project

 

114

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

APS

 

110

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PPL Electric Utilities

 

110

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oklahoma G&E

 

109

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Allegheny Power

 

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cinergy

 

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Florida P&L

 

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

South Carolina Electric & Gas

 

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Southern Company

 

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Progress Energy

 

106

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sacramento Municipal Utiltity District

 

106

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Baltimore G&E

 

104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

MidAmerican Energy

 

104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Potomac Electric Power Company

 

104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

TXU Energy

 

104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Xcel Energy — NCE

 

104

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AEP-CSW

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

City Public Serice of San Antonio

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Energy East

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FirstEnergy — GPU

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Public Service Electric & Gas

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Xcel Energy — NSP

 

103

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Alliant Energy

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Conectiv

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Consumers Energy

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dominion Virgina Power

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duke Power

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FirstEnergy

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kansas City P&L

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

L.A. Dept of Water and Power

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tampa Electric

 

102

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

AEP-Midwest

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PacifiCorp

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Puget Sound Energy

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Reliant Energy

 

101

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Entergy

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Illinois Power

 

100

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ameren

 

99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exelon-PECO

 

99

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dayton P&L

 

98

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Duquesne Light

 

98

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Con Edison

 

97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Detroit Edison

 

97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Portland General Electric

 

97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Southern California Edison

 

97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National Grid USA

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Northeast Utilities

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Westar Energy

 

95

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pacific Gas & Electric

 

94

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Exelon — ComEd

 

93

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

We Energies

 

93

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Diego Gas & Electric

 

91

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sierra Pacific Resources

 

89

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Long Island Power Authority

 

88

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

NSTAR Electric

 

87

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Source:  J.D. Power & Associates

2003 Electric Utility Residential Customer Satisfaction Survey (56 Companies)

 

13



 

Managing Market Risks

 

                  Optimize the economic use of APS’ generation and transmission assets

 

                  Effectively manage load, generation, fuel, and purchased power risks

 

                  Maintain disciplined credit risk management approach

 

14



 

 

Core Objectives

 

 

 

 

 

Capitalizing on superior growth

 

 

 

Maintaining operational excellence

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes

 

 

 

Maintaining financial strength and liquidity

 

 

 

Managing for long-term shareholder value

 

15



 

APS Regulatory Strategy

 

                  Relationships built on consistency, accountability, performance and trust

 

                  Strong presentation of APS position

 

                  Focus on reliability issue

 

                  Settlement opportunities

 

16



 

General Rate Case

Key Provisions

 

                  9.8% ($175 million) annual rate increase

 

                  Rate base treatment of 1,800 MW of PWEC Arizona assets

 

                  Recovery of previous $234 million write-off

 

17



 

Changes in Consumer Price Index and
APS Prices Since 1991

 

 

 

CPI

 

APS

 

‘91

 

0

%

0

%

‘92

 

3

%

0

%

‘93

 

6

%

0

%

‘94

 

9

%

-3

%

‘95

 

12

%

-3

%

‘96

 

15

%

-6

%

‘97

 

18

%

-7

%

‘98

 

20

%

-8

%

‘99

 

22

%

-9

%

‘00

 

26

%

-11

%

‘01

 

30

%

-12

%

‘02

 

32

%

-14

%

‘03

 

35

%

-15

%

‘04

 

38

%

-6

%

 

 

18



 

Average Southwestern U.S.
Residential Price Ranking*

 

 

 

(cents)/KWH

 

 

 

PPW

 

6.60

 

 

 

SRP

 

7.63

 

 

 

PNM

 

8.58

 

 

 

APS

 

8.68

 

 

 

TEP

 

8.79

 

 

 

NPC

 

9.33

 

 

 

EE

 

10.60

 

 

 

PG&E

 

13.31

 

 

 

SCE

 

13.53

 

 

 

SDG&E

 

14.34

 

 

 

 


* As of December 31, 2002

 

Unweighted average 9.19

 

19



 

General Rate Case

Key Provisions

 

                  9.8% ($175 million) annual rate increase

 

                  Rate base treatment of 1,800 MW of PWEC Arizona assets

 

                  Recovery of previous $234 million write-off

 

20



 

PLANNING FOR GROWTH AND RELIABILITY

APS SYSTEM LOAD AND RESOURCES

2003 - 2013

 

 

APS’ peak system requirement, plus 15% reserve margin

      Approximately 6,500 MW in 2003, growing relatively evenly to approximately 9,500 MW in 2013.

 

Existing APS capacity

      Approximately 4,800 MW annually in 2003 through 2006

      Approximately 4,500 MW annually in 2007 through 2013

 

PWEC Assets & Track B

      PWEC approximately 1,700 MW annually in 2003 through 2013

      Track B approximately 150 MW annually through 2005

 

Resource deficit

      Approximately zero in 2003, growing to approximately 3,200 MW in 2013.

      Represents difference between peak system requirement (including 15% reserve) and total resources provided by existing APS capacity, PWEC assets and Track B

 

 

21



 

General Rate Case Milestones

 

[CHART]

 

Filing

 

June 2003

Discovery

 

August 2003-April 2004

Testimony

 

January-March 2004

Hearing

 

Begins April 7, 2004

Briefing

 

 

Proposed Order

 

 

Final Order

 

 

 

22



 

 

Core Objectives

 

 

 

 

 

Capitalizing on superior growth

 

 

 

Maintaining operational excellence

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes

 

 

 

Maintaining financial strength and liquidity

 

 

 

Managing for long-term shareholder value

 

23



 

Maintaining Financial Strength & Liquidity

Parent Company Debt Repayment Plans

 

2003

2004

Sources*

Sources*

$500M intercompany loan to APS (completed)

$80 - $100M SunCor asset sales

$80-$100M SunCor asset sales

$100M Southern Nevada Water Authority

 

 

Uses

Uses

$225M bridge debt (completed)

$215M senior notes

$250M floating rate notes (completed)

 

 

$25M private placement

 

 

 


* Short term borrowings and $390M shelf are available as needed

 

24



 

2003 CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW*

 

Total sources — approximately $1.2 billion.

Cash from operations — approximately 55-60%

Long-term financing — approximately 40-45%

 

Total requirements — approximately $1.2 billion.

Capital expenditures — approximately 55-60%

Debt repayments — approximately 25-30%

Common dividends — approximately 13%

 

*Projected

 

25



 

2004 CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW*

 

Total sources — approximately $1.1 billion.

Cash from operations — approximately 60-65%

Long-term financing — approximately 35-40%

 

Total requirements — approximately $1.1 billion.

Capital expenditures — approximately 40-45%

Debt repayments — approximately 45-50%

Common dividends — approximately 14%

 

*Projected

 

26



 

Balancing Financial Strength & Growth

 

 

 

Consolidated Debt Ratio*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2001

 

2002

 

2005

 

59%

 

58%

 

50%

 

 

 

Capital Expenditures
($ Millions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Projected

 

 

 

2001

 

2002

 

2003

 

2004

 

2005

 

Delivery

 

354

 

369

 

273

 

289

 

354

 

APS Generation

 

117

 

132

 

123

 

108

 

169

 

PWEC Generation

 

533

 

374

 

259

 

41

 

21

 

Other

 

45

 

109

 

22

 

13

 

20

 

Total

 

1,049

 

984

 

677

 

451

 

564

 

 


* Includes Palo Verde sale/leaseback

 

 

27



 

 

Core Objectives

 

 

 

 

 

Capitalizing on superior growth

 

 

 

Maintaining operational excellence

 

 

[GRAPHIC]

Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes

 

 

 

Maintaining financial strength and liquidity

 

 

 

Managing for long-term shareholder value

 

28



 

Consolidated Earnings Drivers
2003 and 2004

 

 

 

2003
vs. 2002

 

2004
vs. 2003

 

Retail growth

 

+

 

+

 

Regulatory asset amortization

 

+

 

+

 

SunCor

 

+

 

+/–

 

EITF 02-03

 

+

 

flat

 

Cost reduction initiatives

 

+

 

+

 

Higher gas and purchased power costs

 

 

 

Pension and other O&M costs

 

 

 

Marketing and trading

 

 

flat

 

Unregulated generation

 

 

 

General rate case outcome

 

n/a

 

?

 

Weather, inflation and other

 

+/–

 

+/–

 

2002 non-recurring items

 

+

 

n/a

 

 

29



 

Creating Long-Term Shareholder Value

Top Dividend Growth 1998 - 2002

 

 

 

5 yr CAGR

 

Pinnacle West Capital

 

7.20

%

Energy East Corporation

 

6.50

%

PP&L Resources, Inc.

 

5.30

%

Vectren Corporation

 

4.40

%

FPL Group, Inc.

 

3.90

%

NiSource Inc.

 

3.90

%

TECO Energy, Inc.

 

3.80

%

Pub. Svc. Enterprise Group

 

2.90

%

NSTAR

 

2.80

%

Cleco Corporation

 

2.60

%

WPS Resources Corp.

 

2.00

%

Allete

 

1.50

%

Consolidated Edison Co of NY

 

1.10

%

Southern Company

 

1.10

%

DPL Incorporated

 

0.70

%

Great Plains Energy

 

0.50

%

Hawaiian Electric Indus.

 

0.30

%

CH Energy Group

 

0.20

%

Ameren Corporation

 

0.00

%

American Electric Power

 

0.00

%

Cinergy Corporation

 

0.00

%

Dominion Resources

 

0.00

%

DTE Energy

 

0.00

%

Duke Energy

 

0.00

%

FirstEnergy Corporation

 

0.00

%

Idacorp

 

0.00

%

KeySpan Energy

 

0.00

%

OGE Energy

 

0.00

%

Public Svc. Of New Mexico

 

0.00

%

Unisource

 

0.00

%

Exelon Corp.

 

—0.40

%

Progress Energy, Inc.

 

—2.90

%

SCANA Corporation

 

—3.00

%

Entergy Corporation

 

—4.90

%

DQE Incorporated

 

—7.00

%

Sempra Energy

 

—8.50

%

Pepco Holdings, Inc.

 

—9.60

%

CMS Energy

 

—9.70

%

Constellation Energy Group

 

—10.20

%

Westar Energy

 

—10.60

%

Puget Sound Power & Light

 

—11.50

%

Xcel Energy

 

—11.90

%

Wisconsin Energy Corp.

 

—12.30

%

Alliant Energy

 

—12.90

%

Centerpoint Energy

 

—16.00

%

Avista Corporation

 

—17.30

%

TXU Corp.

 

—25.60

%

Allegheny Energy, Inc.

 

—100.00

%

Dynegy

 

—100.00

%

Edison International

 

—100.00

%

PG&E

 

—100.00

%

Sierra Pacific Resources

 

—100.00

%

 

 

30



 

Pinnacle West
Managing for the Future

 

                  A vertically integrated utility in a high-growth market area

 

                  Sustaining exceptional operational performance

 

                  Managing risk in changing energy markets

 

                  While remaining adept and agile in a dynamic regulatory environment

 

31



 

[GRAPHIC]

 

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

 

32