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Exhibit 99.1
Lehman
Brothers
Energy/Power Conference
|
|
Donald E. Brandt |
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation |
|
|
September 3, 2003 |
This presentation contains forward-looking statements based on current expectations and we assume no obligation to update these statements or make any further statements on any of these issues, except as required by applicable law. These forward-looking statements are often identified by words such as hope, may, believe, anticipate, plan, expect, require, intend, assume and similar words. Because actual results may differ materially from expectations, we caution readers not to place undue reliance on these statements. A number of factors could cause future results to differ materially from historical results, or from results or outcomes currently expected or sought by us. These factors include, but are not limited to, the ongoing restructuring of the electric industry, including the introduction of retail electric competition in Arizona and decisions impacting wholesale competition; the outcome of regulatory and legislative proceedings relating to the restructuring; state and federal regulatory and legislative decisions and actions, including the outcome of the rate case we filed with the ACC on June 27, 2003 and the wholesale electric price mitigation plan adopted by the FERC; regional economic and market conditions, including the results of litigation and other proceedings resulting from the California energy situation, volatile purchased power and fuel costs and the completion of generation and transmission construction in the region, which could affect customer growth and the cost of power supplies; the cost of debt and equity capital and access to capital markets; weather variations affecting local and regional customer energy usage; conservation programs; power plant performance; the successful completion of our generation construction program; regulatory issues associated with generation construction, such as permitting and licensing; our ability to compete successfully outside traditional regulated markets (including the wholesale market); our ability to manage our marketing and trading activities and the use of derivative contracts in our business; technological developments in the electric industry; the performance of the stock market, which affects the amount of our required contributions to our pension plan and nuclear decommissioning trust funds; the strength of the real estate market in SunCors market areas, which include Arizona, New Mexico and Utah; and other uncertainties, all of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control.
2
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
|
|
|
Largest electric utility in Arizona |
|
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
|
Headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona, 6th largest U.S. city |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Assets of $9 billion |
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capitalizing on superior growth |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining operational excellence |
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining financial strength and liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
Managing for long-term shareholder value |
4
|
|
Core Objectives |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capitalizing on superior growth |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining operational excellence |
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining financial strength and liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
Managing for long-term shareholder value |
5
Solid Customer Growth Foundation
Leading 2002 Population Growth States
[GRAPHIC]
1 Nevada
2 Arizona
3 Florida
4 Texas
5 Georgia
6 Colorado
7 Utah
8 Idaho
9 California
10 Oregon
(In Continental United States)
6
Capitalizing on Superior Customer Growth
Leading 2002 Population Growth States
[GRAPHIC]
APS 2nd in customer growth nationally
7
APS Service Territory Has Fastest
Growing Cities in U.S.
Of the top 10 largest cities in the country, Phoenix and San Antonio grew the fastest between 2000 and 2002, at nearly 4%.
In addition to being among the five fastest growing cities from 2000 to 2002, Gilbert, Chandler and Peoria, all cities in Maricopa County, Arizona, were among the 10 fastest growing over the last decade.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, July 10, 2003
8
Superior APS Retail Customer Growth
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected |
|
||||
|
|
|
1998 |
|
1999 |
|
2000 |
|
2001 |
|
2002 |
|
2003 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
|
APS |
|
4.0 |
% |
4.2 |
% |
4.1 |
% |
3.7 |
% |
3.1 |
% |
3.4 |
% |
3.4 |
% |
3.5 |
% |
|
Industry Average |
|
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
1.1 |
% |
9
|
|
Core Objectives |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capitalizing on superior growth |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining operational excellence |
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining financial strength and liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
Managing for long-term shareholder value |
10
Maintaining Operational Excellence
Generation
Palo Verde top U.S. power producer
Strong fossil availability
New plant construction on target
Delivery
High customer growth and satisfaction
Superior reliability
Transmission and distribution expansion to meet growth and sustain reliability
11
Focusing on Operational Efficiency
Average Customers per Employee
|
|
|
1998 |
|
1999 |
|
2000 |
|
2001 |
|
2002 |
|
|
Average Customers per Employee |
|
133 |
|
135 |
|
138 |
|
138 |
|
148 |
|
11% Efficiency Improvement
12
Excelling in Customer Satisfaction
APS 3rd best among 56 electric utilities
|
|
|
Rating |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LG&E Energy |
|
115 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Salt River Project |
|
114 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
APS |
|
110 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PPL Electric Utilities |
|
110 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oklahoma G&E |
|
109 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Allegheny Power |
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cinergy |
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Florida P&L |
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
South Carolina Electric & Gas |
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Southern Company |
|
107 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Progress Energy |
|
106 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sacramento Municipal Utiltity District |
|
106 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Baltimore G&E |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
MidAmerican Energy |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Potomac Electric Power Company |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
TXU Energy |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Xcel Energy NCE |
|
104 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AEP-CSW |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
City Public Serice of San Antonio |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Energy East |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FirstEnergy GPU |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Public Service Electric & Gas |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Xcel Energy NSP |
|
103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Alliant Energy |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Conectiv |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Consumers Energy |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dominion Virgina Power |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Duke Power |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
FirstEnergy |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Kansas City P&L |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
L.A. Dept of Water and Power |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tampa Electric |
|
102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AEP-Midwest |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
PacifiCorp |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Puget Sound Energy |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reliant Energy |
|
101 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Entergy |
|
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Illinois Power |
|
100 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ameren |
|
99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exelon-PECO |
|
99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Dayton P&L |
|
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Duquesne Light |
|
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Con Edison |
|
97 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Detroit Edison |
|
97 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Portland General Electric |
|
97 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Southern California Edison |
|
97 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
National Grid USA |
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Northeast Utilities |
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Westar Energy |
|
95 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pacific Gas & Electric |
|
94 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Exelon ComEd |
|
93 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We Energies |
|
93 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
San Diego Gas & Electric |
|
91 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sierra Pacific Resources |
|
89 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long Island Power Authority |
|
88 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
NSTAR Electric |
|
87 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Source: J.D. Power & Associates
2003 Electric Utility Residential Customer Satisfaction Survey (56 Companies)
13
Optimize the economic use of APS generation and transmission assets
Effectively manage load, generation, fuel, and purchased power risks
Maintain disciplined credit risk management approach
14
|
|
Core Objectives |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capitalizing on superior growth |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining operational excellence |
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining financial strength and liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
Managing for long-term shareholder value |
15
Relationships built on consistency, accountability, performance and trust
Strong presentation of APS position
Focus on reliability issue
Settlement opportunities
16
Key Provisions
9.8% ($175 million) annual rate increase
Rate base treatment of 1,800 MW of PWEC Arizona assets
Recovery of previous $234 million write-off
17
Changes in Consumer Price Index and
APS Prices Since 1991
|
|
|
CPI |
|
APS |
|
|
91 |
|
0 |
% |
0 |
% |
|
92 |
|
3 |
% |
0 |
% |
|
93 |
|
6 |
% |
0 |
% |
|
94 |
|
9 |
% |
-3 |
% |
|
95 |
|
12 |
% |
-3 |
% |
|
96 |
|
15 |
% |
-6 |
% |
|
97 |
|
18 |
% |
-7 |
% |
|
98 |
|
20 |
% |
-8 |
% |
|
99 |
|
22 |
% |
-9 |
% |
|
00 |
|
26 |
% |
-11 |
% |
|
01 |
|
30 |
% |
-12 |
% |
|
02 |
|
32 |
% |
-14 |
% |
|
03 |
|
35 |
% |
-15 |
% |
|
04 |
|
38 |
% |
-6 |
% |
18
Average Southwestern U.S.
Residential Price Ranking*
|
|
|
(cents)/KWH |
|
|
|
|
PPW |
|
6.60 |
|
|
|
|
SRP |
|
7.63 |
|
|
|
|
PNM |
|
8.58 |
|
|
|
|
APS |
|
8.68 |
|
|
|
|
TEP |
|
8.79 |
|
|
|
|
NPC |
|
9.33 |
|
|
|
|
EE |
|
10.60 |
|
|
|
|
PG&E |
|
13.31 |
|
|
|
|
SCE |
|
13.53 |
|
|
|
|
SDG&E |
|
14.34 |
|
|
|
* As of December 31, 2002
Unweighted average 9.19
19
General Rate Case
Key Provisions
9.8% ($175 million) annual rate increase
Rate base treatment of 1,800 MW of PWEC Arizona assets
Recovery of previous $234 million write-off
20
PLANNING FOR GROWTH AND RELIABILITY
APS SYSTEM LOAD AND RESOURCES
2003 - 2013
APS peak system requirement, plus 15% reserve margin
Approximately 6,500 MW in 2003, growing relatively evenly to approximately 9,500 MW in 2013.
Existing APS capacity
Approximately 4,800 MW annually in 2003 through 2006
Approximately 4,500 MW annually in 2007 through 2013
PWEC Assets & Track B
PWEC approximately 1,700 MW annually in 2003 through 2013
Track B approximately 150 MW annually through 2005
Resource deficit
Approximately zero in 2003, growing to approximately 3,200 MW in 2013.
Represents difference between peak system requirement (including 15% reserve) and total resources provided by existing APS capacity, PWEC assets and Track B
21
[CHART]
|
Filing |
|
June 2003 |
|
Discovery |
|
August 2003-April 2004 |
|
Testimony |
|
January-March 2004 |
|
Hearing |
|
Begins April 7, 2004 |
|
Briefing |
|
|
|
Proposed Order |
|
|
|
Final Order |
|
|
22
|
|
Core Objectives |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capitalizing on superior growth |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining operational excellence |
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining financial strength and liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
Managing for long-term shareholder value |
23
Maintaining Financial Strength & Liquidity
Parent Company Debt Repayment Plans
|
2003 |
2004 |
||
|
Sources* |
Sources* |
||
|
|
$500M intercompany loan to APS (completed) |
|
$80 - $100M SunCor asset sales |
|
|
$80-$100M SunCor asset sales |
|
$100M Southern Nevada Water Authority |
|
|
|
||
|
Uses |
Uses |
||
|
|
$225M bridge debt (completed) |
|
$215M senior notes |
|
|
$250M floating rate notes (completed) |
|
|
|
|
$25M private placement |
|
|
* Short term borrowings and $390M shelf are available as needed
24
2003 CONSOLIDATED CASH FLOW*
Total sources approximately $1.2 billion.
Cash from operations approximately 55-60%
Long-term financing approximately 40-45%
Total requirements approximately $1.2 billion.
Capital expenditures approximately 55-60%
Debt repayments approximately 25-30%
Common dividends approximately 13%
*Projected
25
Total sources approximately $1.1 billion.
Cash from operations approximately 60-65%
Long-term financing approximately 35-40%
Total requirements approximately $1.1 billion.
Capital expenditures approximately 40-45%
Debt repayments approximately 45-50%
Common dividends approximately 14%
*Projected
26
|
|
|
Consolidated Debt Ratio* |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2001 |
|
2002 |
|
2005 |
|
|
59% |
|
58% |
|
50% |
|
|
Capital
Expenditures |
|||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Projected |
|
||||
|
|
|
2001 |
|
2002 |
|
2003 |
|
2004 |
|
2005 |
|
|
Delivery |
|
354 |
|
369 |
|
273 |
|
289 |
|
354 |
|
|
APS Generation |
|
117 |
|
132 |
|
123 |
|
108 |
|
169 |
|
|
PWEC Generation |
|
533 |
|
374 |
|
259 |
|
41 |
|
21 |
|
|
Other |
|
45 |
|
109 |
|
22 |
|
13 |
|
20 |
|
|
Total |
|
1,049 |
|
984 |
|
677 |
|
451 |
|
564 |
|
|
* Includes Palo Verde sale/leaseback |
|
27
|
|
Core Objectives |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Capitalizing on superior growth |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining operational excellence |
|
|
|
|
[GRAPHIC] |
Pursuing constructive regulatory outcomes |
|
|
|
|
|
Maintaining financial strength and liquidity |
|
|
|
|
|
Managing for long-term shareholder value |
28
Consolidated Earnings Drivers
2003 and 2004
|
|
|
2003 |
|
2004 |
|
|
Retail growth |
|
+ |
|
+ |
|
|
Regulatory asset amortization |
|
+ |
|
+ |
|
|
SunCor |
|
+ |
|
+/ |
|
|
EITF 02-03 |
|
+ |
|
flat |
|
|
Cost reduction initiatives |
|
+ |
|
+ |
|
|
Higher gas and purchased power costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pension and other O&M costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Marketing and trading |
|
|
|
flat |
|
|
Unregulated generation |
|
|
|
|
|
|
General rate case outcome |
|
n/a |
|
? |
|
|
Weather, inflation and other |
|
+/ |
|
+/ |
|
|
2002 non-recurring items |
|
+ |
|
n/a |
|
29
Creating Long-Term Shareholder Value
Top Dividend Growth 1998 - 2002
|
|
|
5 yr CAGR |
|
|
Pinnacle West Capital |
|
7.20 |
% |
|
Energy East Corporation |
|
6.50 |
% |
|
PP&L Resources, Inc. |
|
5.30 |
% |
|
Vectren Corporation |
|
4.40 |
% |
|
FPL Group, Inc. |
|
3.90 |
% |
|
NiSource Inc. |
|
3.90 |
% |
|
TECO Energy, Inc. |
|
3.80 |
% |
|
Pub. Svc. Enterprise Group |
|
2.90 |
% |
|
NSTAR |
|
2.80 |
% |
|
Cleco Corporation |
|
2.60 |
% |
|
WPS Resources Corp. |
|
2.00 |
% |
|
Allete |
|
1.50 |
% |
|
Consolidated Edison Co of NY |
|
1.10 |
% |
|
Southern Company |
|
1.10 |
% |
|
DPL Incorporated |
|
0.70 |
% |
|
Great Plains Energy |
|
0.50 |
% |
|
Hawaiian Electric Indus. |
|
0.30 |
% |
|
CH Energy Group |
|
0.20 |
% |
|
Ameren Corporation |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
American Electric Power |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Cinergy Corporation |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Dominion Resources |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
DTE Energy |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Duke Energy |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
FirstEnergy Corporation |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Idacorp |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
KeySpan Energy |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
OGE Energy |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Public Svc. Of New Mexico |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Unisource |
|
0.00 |
% |
|
Exelon Corp. |
|
0.40 |
% |
|
Progress Energy, Inc. |
|
2.90 |
% |
|
SCANA Corporation |
|
3.00 |
% |
|
Entergy Corporation |
|
4.90 |
% |
|
DQE Incorporated |
|
7.00 |
% |
|
Sempra Energy |
|
8.50 |
% |
|
Pepco Holdings, Inc. |
|
9.60 |
% |
|
CMS Energy |
|
9.70 |
% |
|
Constellation Energy Group |
|
10.20 |
% |
|
Westar Energy |
|
10.60 |
% |
|
Puget Sound Power & Light |
|
11.50 |
% |
|
Xcel Energy |
|
11.90 |
% |
|
Wisconsin Energy Corp. |
|
12.30 |
% |
|
Alliant Energy |
|
12.90 |
% |
|
Centerpoint Energy |
|
16.00 |
% |
|
Avista Corporation |
|
17.30 |
% |
|
TXU Corp. |
|
25.60 |
% |
|
Allegheny Energy, Inc. |
|
100.00 |
% |
|
Dynegy |
|
100.00 |
% |
|
Edison International |
|
100.00 |
% |
|
PG&E |
|
100.00 |
% |
|
Sierra Pacific Resources |
|
100.00 |
% |
30
Pinnacle West
Managing for the Future
A vertically integrated utility in a high-growth market area
Sustaining exceptional operational performance
Managing risk in changing energy markets
While remaining adept and agile in a dynamic regulatory environment
31
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation
32