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RESERVE FOR LOSSES AND LOSS EXPENSES
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2020
Insurance Loss Reserves [Abstract]  
RESERVE FOR LOSSES AND LOSS EXPENSES
Reserving Methodology
Sources of Information
The Company's loss reserving process begins with the collection and analysis of paid and incurred claim data for each of the Company's segments. The segmental data is disaggregated by reserve class and further disaggregated by underwriting year and accident year. Underwriting year or accident year information is used to analyze the Company's business and to estimate reserves for losses and loss expenses. Reserve classes are selected to ensure that the underlying contracts have homogeneous loss development characteristics, while remaining large enough to make the estimation of trends credible. The Company's reserve classes are reviewed on a regular basis and adjusted over time as the Company's business evolves. The paid and incurred claim data, in addition to industry benchmarks, serves as a key input to many of the methods employed by the Company's actuaries. The relative weights assigned to the Company's historical loss data versus industry data vary based on a number of factors including the Company's historical track record and the development profile for the reserve class being evaluated (refer to 'Claim Tail Analysis' and 'Net Incurred and Paid Claims Development Tables By Accident Year' below for further details).
The following tables map the Company's lines of business to reserve classes and the expected claim tails:
Insurance segment
Reserve class and tail
Property and otherMarineAviationCredit and political riskProfessional linesLiability
ShortShortShort/MediumMediumMediumLong
Reported lines of business
PropertyX
MarineX
TerrorismX
AviationX
Credit and political riskX
Professional linesX
LiabilityX
Accident and healthX
Discontinued lines - NovaeXXX
Reinsurance segment
Reserve class and tail
Property and otherCredit and suretyProfessional linesMotorLiability
ShortMediumMediumLongLong
Reported lines of business
CatastropheX
PropertyX
Credit and suretyX
Professional linesX
MotorX
LiabilityX
EngineeringX
AgricultureX
Marine and aviationX
Accident and healthX
Discontinued lines - NovaeXXX
Actuarial Analysis
Multiple actuarial methods are available to estimate ultimate losses. Each method has its own assumptions and its own advantages and disadvantages, with no single estimation method being better than the others in all situations and no one set of assumption variables being meaningful for all reserve classes. The relative strengths and weaknesses of the particular estimation methods when applied to a particular group of claims can also change over time.
The following is a brief description of the reserve estimation methods commonly employed by the Company's actuaries including a discussion of their particular strengths and weaknesses: 
Expected Loss Ratio Method ("ELR Method"): This method estimates ultimate losses for an accident year or underwriting year by applying an expected loss ratio to the earned or written premium for that year. Generally, expected loss ratios are based on one or more of (a) an analysis of historical loss experience to date, (b) pricing information and (c) industry data, adjusted as appropriate, to reflect changes in rates, loss and exposure trends, and terms and conditions. This method is insensitive to actual incurred losses for the accident year or underwriting year in question and is, therefore, often useful in the early stages of development when very few losses have been incurred. Conversely, the lack of sensitivity to incurred/paid losses for the accident year or underwriting year in question means that this method is usually inappropriate in later stages of an accident year or underwriting year’s development.
Loss Development Method (also referred to as the "Chain Ladder Method" or "Link Ratio Method"): This method assumes that the losses incurred/paid for each accident year or underwriting year at a particular development stage follow a relatively similar pattern. It assumes that on average, every accident year or underwriting year will display the same percentage of ultimate losses incurred/paid at the same point in time after the inception of that year. The percentages incurred/paid are established for each development stage (e.g. 12 months, 24 months, etc.) after examining averages from historical loss development data and/or external industry benchmark information. Ultimate losses are then estimated by multiplying the actual incurred/paid losses by the reciprocal of the established incurred/paid percentage. The strengths of this method are that it reacts to loss emergence/payments and that it makes full use of historical claim emergence/payment experience. However, this method has weaknesses when the underlying assumption of stable loss development/payment patterns is not valid. This could be the consequence of changes in business mix, claim inflation trends or claim reporting practices and/or the presence of large claims, among other things. Furthermore, this method tends to produce volatile estimates of ultimate losses where there is volatility in the underlying incurred/paid patterns. In
particular, where the expected percentage of incurred/paid losses is low, small deviations between actual and expected claims can lead to very volatile estimates of ultimate losses. As a result, this method is often unsuitable at early development stages for an accident year or underwriting year.
Bornhuetter-Ferguson Method ("BF Method"): This method can be seen as a combination of the ELR and Loss Development Methods, under which the Loss Development Method is given progressively more weight as an accident year or underwriting year matures. The main advantage of the BF Method is that it provides a more stable estimate of ultimate losses than the Loss Development Method at earlier stages of development, while remaining more responsive to emerging loss development than the ELR Method. In addition, the BF Method allows for the incorporation of external market information through the use of expected loss ratios, whereas the Loss Development Method does not incorporate such information.
As part of the loss reserving process, the Company's actuaries employ the estimation method(s) that they believe will produce the most reliable estimate of ultimate losses, at that particular evaluation date, for each reserve class and accident year or underwriting year combination. Often, this is a blend (i.e. weighted average) of the results of two or more appropriate actuarial methods. These ultimate loss estimates are generally utilized to evaluate the adequacy of ultimate loss estimates for previous accident or underwriting years, established in the prior reporting period. For the initial estimate of the current accident or underwriting year, the available claim data is typically insufficient to produce a reliable estimate of ultimate losses. As a result, initial estimates for an accident or underwriting year are generally based on the ELR Method for longer tailed lines and a BF Method for shorter tailed lines. The initial ELR for each reserve class is established collaboratively by the Company's actuaries, underwriters and management at the start of the year as part of the planning process, taking into consideration prior accident years’ or underwriting years' experience and industry benchmarks, adjusted after considering factors such as loss and exposure trends, rate differences, changes in contract terms and conditions, business mix changes and other known differences between the current year and prior accident or underwriting years. The initial expected loss ratios for a given accident or underwriting year may be modified over time if the underlying assumptions, such as loss development or premium rate changes, differ from the original assumptions.
Key Actuarial Assumptions
The use of the above actuarial methods requires the Company to make certain explicit assumptions, the most significant of which are: (1) expected loss ratios and (2) loss development patterns.
In earlier years, significant reliance was placed on industry benchmarks in establishing expected loss ratios and selecting loss development patterns. Over time, more reliance has been placed on historical loss experience in establishing these ratios and selecting these patterns where the Company believes the weight of its experience has become sufficiently credible for consideration. The weight given to the Company's experience differs for each of the three claim tail classes (refer to 'Claim Tail Analysis' below for further details). In establishing expected loss ratios for the insurance segment, consideration is given to a number of other factors, including exposure trends, rate adequacy on new and renewal business, ceded reinsurance costs, changes in claims emergence and underwriters’ view of terms and conditions in the market environment. For the reinsurance segment, expected loss ratios are based on a contract-by-contract review, which considers information provided by clients together with estimates provided by underwriters and actuaries about the impact of changes in pricing, terms and conditions and coverage. Market experience of some classes of business as compiled and analyzed by an independent actuarial firm has also been considered, as appropriate.
Claim Tail Analysis
Short-tail Business
Short-tail business generally includes exposures for which losses are usually known and paid within a relatively short period of time after the underlying loss event has occurred. Short-tail business includes the underlying exposures in the property and other, marine, and aviation reserve classes in the insurance segment, and the underlying exposures in the property and other reserve class in the reinsurance segment.
The key actuarial assumptions for short-tail business in early accident years were primarily developed with reference to industry benchmarks for expected loss ratios and loss development patterns. As the Company's historical loss experience amassed, it gained credibility and became relevant for consideration in establishing these key actuarial assumptions. As a result, the Company gradually increased the weighting assigned to its historical loss experience in selecting the expected loss ratios and loss development patterns utilized to establish estimates of ultimate losses for an accident year. Due to the relatively short reporting and settlement patterns for short-tail business, more weight is generally placed on experience-based methods and other qualitative considerations in establishing reserves for recent and more mature accident years. The majority of development for an accident year or underwriting year is expected to be recognized in the subsequent one to three years.
Medium-tail Business
Medium-tail business generally has claim reporting and settlement periods that are longer than those of short-tail reserve classes. Medium-tail business consists primarily of insurance and reinsurance professional lines reserve classes, insurance credit and political risk and reinsurance credit and surety reserve classes.
For the Company's earliest accident and underwriting years, initial key actuarial expected loss ratio and loss development assumptions were established utilizing industry benchmarks. Due to the longer claim tail, the length of time required to develop credible loss history for use in the reserve process is greater for medium-tail business than for short-tail business.
Long-tail Business
In contrast to short and medium-tail business, the claim tail for long-tail business is expected to be notably longer, as claims are often reported and ultimately paid or settled years, or even decades, after the related loss events occur. Long-tail business consists primarily of insurance and reinsurance liability reserve classes and reinsurance motor reserve class.
As a general rule, estimates of accident year or underwriting year ultimate losses for long-tail business are notably more uncertain than those for short and medium-tail business. To date, key actuarial assumptions for long-tail business have been derived from a combination of industry benchmarks supplemented with Company historical loss experience. While industry benchmarks that the Company believes reflect the nature and coverage of its business are considered, actual loss experience may differ from the benchmarks based on industry averages. Due to the length of the development tail for this business, reserve estimates for most accident years and underwriting years are predominantly based on the BF Method or ELR Method and the consideration of qualitative factors.
Reserving for Significant Catastrophic Events
The Company cannot estimate losses from widespread catastrophic events, such as hurricanes and earthquakes, using the traditional actuarial methods described above. The magnitude and complexity of losses associated with certain of these events inherently increase the level of uncertainty and, therefore, the level of management judgment involved in arriving at estimated net reserves for losses and loss expenses. As a result, actual losses for these events may ultimately differ materially from current estimates.
Net reserves for losses and loss expenses related to the COVID-19 pandemic represents the Company's best estimate of losses and loss expenses that have been incurred at December 31, 2020. The determination of net reserves for losses and loss expenses is based on the Company's ground-up assessment of coverage from individual contracts and treaties across all lines of business, and includes a review of modeling analyses and market information, where appropriate. In addition, the Company considers information received from clients, brokers and loss adjusters together with global shelter-in-place orders and the outcomes of recent court judgments, including the UK Supreme Court ruling.
The estimate of net reserves for losses and loss expenses related to the COVID-19 pandemic is subject to significant uncertainty. This uncertainty is driven by the inherent difficulty in making assumptions around the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic due to the lack of comparable events, the ongoing nature of the event, and its far-reaching impacts on world-wide economies and the health of the population. These assumptions include:
the nature and the duration of the pandemic;
the effects on health, the economy and the Company's customers;
the response of government bodies including legislative, regulatory or judicial actions and social influences that could alter the interpretation of the Company's contracts;
the coverage provided under the Company's contracts;
the coverage provided by the Company's ceded reinsurance; and
the evaluation of the loss and impact of loss mitigation actions.

While the Company believes its estimate of net reserves for losses and loss expenses is adequate for losses and loss expenses that have been incurred at December 31, 2020 based on current facts and circumstances, the Company continues to monitor the appropriateness of these assumptions as new information comes to light and adjustments are made to the estimate of ultimate losses related to the COVID-19 pandemic if there are developments that are different from previous expectations. Adjustments are recorded in the period in which they are identified. Actual losses for this event may ultimately differ materially from the Company's current estimates.
The estimate of net reserves for losses and loss expenses related to catastrophes other than the COVID-19 pandemic represent the Company's best estimate of losses and loss expenses that have been incurred at December 31, 2020.The determination of these net reserves for losses and loss expenses is estimated by management after a catastrophe occurs by completing an in-depth analysis of individual contracts which may potentially have been impacted by the catastrophic event. This in-depth analysis may rely on several sources of information including:
estimates of the size of insured industry losses from the catastrophic event and the Company's corresponding market share;
a review of the Company's portfolio of contracts performed to identify those contracts which may be exposed to the catastrophic event;
a review of modeled loss estimates based on information previously reported by customers and brokers, including exposure data obtained during the underwriting process;
discussions of the impact of the event with customers and brokers; and
catastrophe bulletins published by various independent statistical reporting agencies.
A blend of these information sources is generally used to arrive at aggregate estimates of the ultimate losses arising from these catastrophic events.
While the Company believes its estimate of net reserves for losses and loss expenses is adequate for losses and loss expenses that have been incurred at December 31, 2020 based on current facts and circumstances, the Company monitors changes in paid and incurred losses in relation to each significant catastrophe in subsequent reporting periods and adjustments are made to estimates of ultimate losses for each event if there are developments that are different from previous expectations. Adjustments are recorded in the period in which they are identified. Actual losses for these events may ultimately differ materially from the Company's current estimates.
Selection of Reported Reserves – Management’s Best Estimate
The Company's loss reserving process involves the collaboration of its underwriting, claims, actuarial, legal, ceded reinsurance and finance departments, includes various segmental committee meetings and culminates with the approval of a single point best estimate by the Company's Group Reserving Committee, which comprises senior management. In selecting this best estimate, management considers actuarial estimates and applies informed judgment regarding qualitative factors that may not be fully captured in these actuarial estimates. Such factors include, but are not limited to, the timing of the
emergence of claims, volume and complexity of claims, social and judicial trends, potential severity of individual claims and the extent of Company historical loss data versus industry information. While these qualitative factors are considered in arriving at the point estimate, no specific provisions for qualitative factors are established.
Reserve for Losses and Loss Expenses
Reserve for losses and loss expenses comprise the following:
At December 31,20202019
Reserve for reported losses and loss expenses$5,331,900 $4,860,916 
Reserve for losses incurred but not reported8,594,866 7,891,165 
Reserve for losses and loss expenses$13,926,766 $12,752,081 
Reserve Roll-forward
The following table presents a reconciliation of the Company's beginning and ending gross reserves for losses and loss expenses and net reserves for unpaid losses and loss expenses:
Year ended December 31,202020192018
Gross reserve for losses and loss expenses, beginning of year$12,752,081 $12,280,769 $12,997,553 
Less reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses, beginning of year(3,877,756)(3,501,669)(3,159,514)
Net reserve for unpaid losses and loss expenses, beginning of year8,874,325 8,779,100 9,838,039 
Net incurred losses and loss expenses related to:
Current year3,297,161 3,123,698 3,389,949 
Prior years(15,909)(78,900)(199,662)
 3,281,252 3,044,798 3,190,287 
Net paid losses and loss expenses related to:
Current year(571,442)(598,988)(724,199)
Prior years(2,365,959)(2,371,637)(2,368,615)
 (2,937,401)(2,970,625)(3,092,814)
Foreign exchange and other211,949 21,052 (1,156,412)
Net reserve for unpaid losses and loss expenses, end of year9,430,125 8,874,325 8,779,100 
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses, end of year4,496,641 3,877,756 3,501,669 
Gross reserve for losses and loss expenses, end of year$13,926,766 $12,752,081 $12,280,769 
The Company writes business with loss experience generally characterized as low frequency and high severity in nature, which can result in volatility in its financial results. During 2020, 2019 and 2018, the Company recognized catastrophe and weather-related losses, net of reinstatement premiums, of $774 million, $336 million and $430 million.
On December 15, 2019, the Company entered into a quota share retrocessional agreement with Harrington Re, a related party, which was deemed to have met the established criteria for retroactive reinsurance accounting. The Company recognized reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses of $59 million related to this reinsurance agreement. This transaction was conducted at market rates consistent with negotiated arms-length contracts.
On April 16, 2018, the Company entered into a quota share retrocessional agreement with Harrington Re, a related party, which was deemed to have met the established criteria for retroactive reinsurance accounting. The Company recognized reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses of $108 million related to this reinsurance agreement. This transaction was conducted at market rates consistent with negotiated arms-length contracts.
AXIS Managing Agency Ltd., the managing agent of Syndicate 2007 entered into an agreement for the Reinsurance to Close ("RITC") of the 2015 and prior years of account of Syndicate 2007, with an effective date of January 1, 2018. This agreement was accounted for as a novation reinsurance contract. At December 31, 2018, foreign exchange and other included a reduction in reserves for losses and loss expenses of $819 million related to this transaction.
Estimates for Significant Catastrophe Events
At December 31, 2020, net reserve for losses and loss expenses included estimated amounts for numerous catastrophe events. The magnitude and complexity of losses arising from certain of these events inherently increase the level of uncertainty and, therefore, the level of management judgment involved in arriving at estimated net reserves for losses and loss expenses. These events include the COVID-19 pandemic, Hurricanes Laura, Sally, Zeta and Delta, the Midwest derecho and wildfires across the West Coast of the United States in 2020, Japanese Typhoons Hagibis, Faxai and Tapah, Hurricane Dorian and the Australia Wildfires in 2019 and Hurricanes Michael and Florence, California Wildfires and Typhoon Jebi in 2018. As a result, actual losses for these events may ultimately differ materially from current estimates.
Prior Year Reserve Development
The Company's net favorable prior year reserve development arises from changes to estimates for losses and loss expenses related to loss events that occurred in previous calendar years. The following table presents net prior year reserve development by segment:
Favorable (Adverse)Favorable (Adverse)Favorable (Adverse)
Insurance ReinsuranceTotal
Year ended December 31, 2020$8,937 $6,972 $15,909 
Year ended December 31, 201953,302 25,598 78,900 
Year ended December 31, 201892,806 106,856 199,662 
The following sections provide further details on net prior year reserve development by segment, reserving class and accident year.
Insurance Segment:
Favorable (Adverse)Favorable (Adverse)Favorable (Adverse)
Years ended December 31,202020192018
Property and other$46,791 $11,042 $64,781 
Marine16,780 33,260 17,913 
Aviation6,416 3,741 (2,938)
Credit and political risk(745)18,810 3,609 
Professional lines(35,661)11,721 31,687 
Liability(24,644)(25,272)(22,246)
Total$8,937 $53,302 $92,806 
In 2020, we recognized $9 million of net favorable prior year reserve development, the principal components of which were:

$47 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on property and other business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence mainly related to the 2018 and 2019 accident years, better than expected loss emergence attributable to the 2017, 2018 and 2019 catastrophe events.

$17 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on marine business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence mainly related to the 2018 accident year.

$36 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on professional lines business primarily due to reserve strengthening within the European professional indemnity and financial institutions books of business and the commercial management solutions book of business mainly related to the 2018 and 2019 accident years and an increase in the loss estimate attributable to a specific large claim related to the 2009 accident year.

$25 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on liability business primarily due to reserve strengthening within the primary casualty, U.S. excess casualty and program books of business mainly related to the 2017 and 2018 accident years.

In 2019, we recognized $53 million of net favorable prior year reserve development, the principal components of which were:
 
$33 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on marine business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence mainly related to the 2015 through 2017 accident years.

$19 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on credit and political risk business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence mainly related to recent accident years.

$12 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on professional lines business reflecting generally favorable experience on older accident years as the Company continued to transition to more experience based actuarial methods.

$11 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on property and other business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence related to the 2017 catastrophe events and SuperStorm Sandy, partially offset by reserve strengthening within the international book of business mainly related to the 2018 accident year.

$25 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on liability business primarily due to reserve strengthening within the U.S. excess casualty and U.S. primary casualty books of business mainly driven by the higher frequency and severity of auto claims and the higher frequency of general liability claims mainly related to the 2015 and 2017 accident years.
Reinsurance Segment:

Favorable (Adverse)Favorable (Adverse)Favorable (Adverse)
Years ended December 31,202020192018
Property and other$(5,935)$(133,448)$6,012 
Credit and surety36,829 53,223 33,497 
Professional lines(15,352)3,668 21,310 
Motor21,086 70,872 22,932 
Liability(29,656)31,283 23,105 
Total$6,972 $25,598 $106,856 
In 2020, we recognized $7 million of net favorable prior year reserve development, the principal components of which were:

$37 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on credit and surety business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence related to multiple accident years.

$21 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on motor business primarily due to non-proportional treaty business mainly related to older accident years, partially offset by an increase in loss estimates for proportional treaty business mainly related to the 2018 accident year.

$30 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on liability business due to reserve strengthening within the U.S. casualty, the U.S. multiline/regional and the European books of business mainly related to the 2016 to 2019 accident years and an increase in the loss estimate attributable to a specific large claim related to the 2009 accident year.

$15 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on professional lines business due to an increase in the loss estimate attributable to a specific large claim related to the 2016 accident year and reserve strengthening within the European book of business mainly related to the 2016 to 2018 accident years.

$6 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on property and other business primarily due to an increase in the loss estimate attributable to a specific large claim within the marine and aviation line of business related to the 2019 accident year, reserve strengthening within the engineering line of business mainly related to the 2016 to 2018 accident years, partially offset by net favorable prior year reserve development within the property line of business due to better than expected loss emergence attributable to the 2019 catastrophe events.

In 2019, we recognized $26 million of net favorable prior year reserve development, the principal components of which were:

$71 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on motor business primarily due to the impact of the increase in the Ogden Rate and changes in related actuarial assumptions on several accident years.

$53 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on credit and surety business primarily due to better than expected loss emergence mainly related to accident years 2015 through 2017.

$31 million of net favorable prior year reserve development on liability business primarily due to increased weight given by management to experience based indications on older accident years.

$133 million of net adverse prior year reserve development on property and other business primarily due to an increase in loss estimates attributable to Hurricanes Irma and Michael consistent with industry trends, an increase in the loss
estimate attributable to Typhoon Jebi consistent with updated industry insured loss estimates, and reserve strengthening within the U.S. regional and commercial proportional property books of business and the European proportional property book of business.
Net Incurred and Paid Claims Development Tables by Accident Year
The following tables present net incurred and paid claims development by accident year, total incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims, cumulative reported claims frequency and average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age for each reserve class. The loss development tables are presented on an accident year basis for the insurance and reinsurance segments. The Company does not discount reserves for losses and loss expenses.
Non-U.S. dollar denominated loss data is converted to U.S. dollar at the rates of exchange in effect at the balance sheet date for material underlying currencies. Fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates may cause material shifts in loss development. Reserves for losses and loss expenses disclosed in the consolidated balance sheets are also remeasured using the rates of exchange in effect at the balance sheet date.
There are many considerations in establishing net reserves for losses and loss expenses and an attempt to evaluate net reserves for losses and loss expenses using solely the data presented in these tables could be misleading. The Company cautions against mechanical application of standard actuarial methodologies to project ultimate losses using data presented in this disclosure.
Insurance Segment
The reporting of cumulative claims frequency for the reserve classes within the insurance segment has been measured by counting the number of unique claim references including claim references assigned to nil and nominal case reserves. Claim references are grouped by claimant by loss event for each reserve class. For certain insurance facilities and business produced by managing general agents where underlying data is reported to the Company in an aggregated format, the information necessary to provide cumulative claims frequency is not available therefore reporting of claims frequency is deemed to be impracticable.
Insurance Property and Other
This reserve class includes property, terrorism, accident and health, and discontinued lines - Novae.
The property line of business provides physical loss or damage, business interruption and machinery breakdown cover for virtually all types of property, including commercial buildings, residential premises, construction projects and onshore energy installations. This line of business includes primary and excess risks, some of which are catastrophe-exposed.
The terrorism line of business provides cover for physical damage and business interruption of an insured following an act of terrorism and includes kidnap and ransom, and crisis management insurance.
The accident and health line of business includes accidental death, travel insurance and specialty health products for employer and affinity groups. A large increase in reported claims related to the accident and health line of business was observed from 2012. In addition, an increase in limited benefits medical business written in 2017 resulted in a significant increase in reported claims observed in that year.
The discontinued lines - Novae includes the international direct and facultative property line of business that Novae exited or placed into run-off in the fourth quarter of 2016.
In general, reporting and payment patterns are relatively short-tailed although they can be volatile due to the incidence of catastrophe events.
Insurance property and other
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claimsCumulative number of reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$347,569 $325,274 $304,702 $284,201 $281,155 $279,964 $280,395 $278,688 $277,792 $277,515 $(231)6,367
2012393,170 403,254 385,068 364,667 360,525 354,801 353,971 343,934 343,619 (21)29,942
2013310,601 300,682 273,775 269,831 269,490 279,922 276,229 275,712 1,135 53,204
2014362,684 357,885 347,227 331,142 330,011 328,404 323,736 4,334 62,371
2015280,489 273,606 262,733 258,190 255,319 257,419 1,763 48,469
2016355,771 384,230 375,260 362,103 356,016 3,427 93,792
2017911,274 838,640 824,039 813,005 (5,501)698,289
2018742,601 775,861 754,741 10,217 731,142
2019454,386 448,467 11,186 659,908
2020733,794 308,515 524,539
Total$4,584,024 
Insurance property and other
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$83,511 $191,823 $248,346 $270,636 $269,626 $269,423 $270,104 $270,546 $270,516 $270,507 
201277,794 214,771 279,588 302,638 310,171 315,391 315,466 317,574 317,803 
201376,179 199,930 238,808 249,852 260,895 263,930 265,749 269,598 
2014133,451 261,155 308,010 315,212 319,414 320,597 317,306 
2015100,483 204,862 229,901 244,205 244,916 251,758 
2016126,232 294,777 335,173 343,839 345,188 
2017256,136 634,649 751,394 781,152 
2018292,977 592,507 693,287 
2019197,703 330,268 
2020219,395 
Total3,796,262 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance7,141 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$794,903 

Insurance property and other
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
34.0%40.8%14.6%4.7%1.3%1.1%—%0.7%0.1%—%
Insurance Marine
This reserve class includes the marine line of business which provides cover for traditional marine classes, including offshore energy, renewable offshore energy, cargo, liability, recreational marine, fine art, specie, and hull and war. Offshore energy coverage includes physical damage, business interruption, operators extra expense and liability coverage for all aspects of offshore upstream energy, from exploration and construction through the operation and distribution phases. The complex nature of claims arising under marine policies tends to result in reporting and payment patterns that are longer than those of the property and other reserve class. Exposure to natural perils such as windstorm and earthquake can result in volatility.
Insurance marine
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claimsCumulative number of reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$90,960 $79,215 $73,257 $66,351 $66,320 $66,560 $68,860 $69,555 $68,861 $67,054 $(1,250)3,830
201289,889 83,431 69,484 71,663 72,708 75,326 73,581 63,067 66,026 7,249 4,135
201380,641 102,110 97,660 98,759 83,984 83,594 82,622 81,774 846 2,354
201459,786 44,936 49,238 44,979 46,705 48,470 42,221 (2,231)2,166
2015160,793 142,383 138,704 131,483 118,861 123,836 7,507 2,231
201686,464 78,953 76,805 71,694 70,491 3,300 2,857
2017207,378 172,077 160,919 158,812 13,932 4,005
2018186,550 194,257 183,415 34,579 4,370
2019170,489 168,318 47,064 4,475
2020170,763 107,624 3,558
Total$1,132,710 

Insurance marine
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$26,467 $44,483 $55,329 $58,465 $60,340 $61,063 $65,512 $67,560 $68,051 $68,022 
201210,752 38,820 45,197 50,028 50,865 53,309 55,387 56,524 56,689 
201319,577 44,931 56,126 64,497 67,196 78,245 78,396 79,683 
20146,365 15,418 27,529 27,462 36,681 41,788 42,945 
201521,467 55,425 109,431 112,390 113,818 115,391 
201612,498 31,890 57,552 63,829 64,645 
201714,634 68,709 92,848 117,253 
201827,218 87,150 117,629 
201936,354 76,175 
202038,433 
Total776,865 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance6,786 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$362,631 
Insurance marine
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
19.8%29.7%22.5%7.0%5.3%6.3%3.2%2.1%0.5%—%
Insurance Aviation
This reserve class includes the aviation line of business which provides cover for hull and liability, and specific war cover primarily for passenger airlines but also for cargo operations, general aviation operations, airports, aviation authorities, security firms and product manufacturers. The claims reporting pattern varies by insurance coverage provided. Losses arising from war or terrorism and damage to hulls of aircraft are generally reported quickly compared with liability claims which involve passengers and third parties and generally exhibit longer reporting and payment patterns. To date, the claims reported to the Company have predominantly related to damage to hulls, therefore, reporting and payment patterns have typically exhibited a relatively short tail.
Insurance aviation
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claimsCumulative number of reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$17,727 $15,407 $12,799 $9,576 $8,447 $7,301 $7,259 $7,217 $6,976 $6,582 $56 4,203
201212,808 10,705 10,832 8,752 7,804 7,747 7,635 7,428 7,346 59 2,859
201315,657 16,349 15,234 15,278 15,615 15,502 16,793 16,700 149 3,020
201420,438 23,050 24,373 21,818 21,876 19,118 17,370 58 3,534
201529,796 28,534 29,877 29,613 27,557 28,038 86 4,155
201629,194 33,553 33,728 31,796 32,525 812 4,091
201756,102 62,643 67,644 70,029 (1,046)4,347
201858,340 64,250 62,696 3,262 4,405
201944,653 42,786 5,387 2,785
202037,092 22,625 1,297
Total$321,164 
Insurance aviation
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$639 $2,834 $4,527 $5,047 $5,584 $5,836 $6,057 $6,199 $6,244 $6,252 
2012958 2,872 4,166 5,966 6,863 7,087 7,201 7,136 7,134 
20134,402 7,339 9,767 11,474 13,585 14,195 14,516 15,976 
20143,990 8,035 11,711 13,871 14,509 14,874 15,044 
20158,092 16,182 20,990 23,253 24,716 26,026 
201610,424 19,310 26,311 27,879 29,117 
201721,458 40,811 51,512 59,895 
201821,544 40,713 48,088 
201918,465 29,808 
20206,311 
Total243,651 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance6,511 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$84,024 

Insurance aviation
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
25.8%26.8%18.1%11.4%7.6%3.5%2.0%3.3%0.4%0.1%
Insurance Credit and Political Risk
This reserve class includes the credit and political risk line of business which provides credit and political risk insurance products for banks, commodity traders, corporations and multilateral and export credit agencies. Cover is provided for a range of risks including sovereign default, credit default, political violence, currency inconvertibility and non-transfer, expropriation, aircraft non-repossession and contract frustration due to political events.
The credit insurance coverage is primarily for lenders seeking to mitigate the risk of non-payment from their borrowers. In order to claim compensation under a credit insurance contract, the insured (most often a bank) cannot assign, without the Company's prior agreement, the insured contract (most often a loan) to any third party and is normally obliged to hold a material portion of insured asset on their books, unhedged and uninsured. Claims for this business tend to be characterized by their severity risk, as opposed to their frequency risk. Claim reporting and payment patterns are anticipated to be volatile. Under the notification provisions of credit insurance policies issued by the Company, it anticipates being advised of an insured event within a relatively short time period. Consequently, the Company generally estimates ultimate losses based on a contract-by-contract analysis which considers the contracts’ terms, the facts and circumstances of underlying loss events and qualitative input from claims managers.
Insurance credit and political risk
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claimsCumulative number of reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$58,154 $48,665 $47,706 $48,361 $48,333 $45,036 $33,609 $27,904 $27,904 $27,754 $118 4
201232,602 15,672 12,435 12,447 10,323 47 199 199 199 155 4
201326,439 25,684 9,759 9,880 14,942 14,067 12,377 12,739 4,432 2
201438,825 70,713 67,109 68,324 69,589 71,275 70,747 2,123 6
201530,329 30,368 27,524 26,012 25,930 24,851 1,542 2
201647,736 43,746 41,256 41,826 25,612 2,061 1
201748,086 33,524 26,552 18,744 8,163 3
201845,047 34,116 32,740 12,279 1
201951,638 80,181 23,821 14
202060,501 48,752 24
Total$354,068 

Insurance credit and political risk
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$32,788 $37,205 $27,636 $27,636 $27,636 $27,636 $27,636 $27,636 $27,636 $27,636 
2012— — — — 40 42 44 44 44 
2013745 2,235 3,726 5,216 11,769 13,828 13,828 13,828 
20141,924 39,952 61,108 57,858 57,858 64,051 70,224 
2015— 23,309 23,309 23,309 23,309 23,309 
2016— 23,551 23,551 23,551 23,551 
2017396 4,305 9,615 12,103 
20185,751 14,095 16,152 
201916,260 46,797 
20209,823 
Total243,467 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance(3,957)
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$106,644 
Insurance credit and political risk
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
18.3%39.1%5.2%2.9%11.9%5.2%2.4%—%—%—%
Insurance Professional Lines
This reserve class includes the professional lines line of business which provides directors’ and officers’ liability, errors and omissions liability, employment practices liability, fiduciary liability, crime, professional indemnity, cyber and privacy insurance, medical malpractice and other financial insurance related covers for commercial enterprises, financial institutions, not-for-profit organizations and other professional service providers. This reserve class also includes discontinued lines - Novae specifically the financial institutions and professional indemnity lines of business that Novae exited or placed into run-off in the first quarter of 2017. This business is predominantly written on a claims-made basis. Typically, this reserve class is anticipated to exhibit medium to long tail claim reporting and payment patterns.
With respect to key actuarial assumptions, the Company relies on its loss experience when establishing expected loss ratios and selecting loss development patterns. Loss reporting patterns for professional lines business tend to be volatile, causing instability in actuarial indications based on incurred loss data until an accident year or underwriting year matures. Consequently, initial reserves for losses and loss expenses for an accident year or underwriting year are generally based on an ELR Method and the consideration of relevant qualitative factors. As accident years and underwriting years mature, the Company increasingly gives more weight to methods that reflect its experience until its selections are based almost exclusively on experience-based methods. The Company evaluates the appropriateness of the transition to experience-based methods at the reserve class level, commencing this transition when it believes that its incurred loss development is sufficient to produce meaningful actuarial indications. The rate at which the Company transitions fully to sole reliance on experience-based methods can vary by reserve class and by year, depending on its assessment of the stability and relevance of such indications. For some professional lines in the insurance segment, the Company also relies on the evaluation of the open claim inventory in addition to the commonly employed actuarial methods when establishing reserves.
Insurance professional lines
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claimsCumulative number of reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$314,835 $316,639 $335,265 $327,971 $331,903 $344,964 $353,336 $353,862 $351,191 $345,862 $22,156 7,239
2012330,010 377,296 378,793 377,895 365,291 367,369 355,893 353,860 335,671 22,818 8,334
2013385,460 399,136 400,434 367,072 356,643 358,938 336,933 340,078 41,955 9,457
2014414,720 413,840 423,998 394,748 374,397 356,930 350,182 63,136 9,825
2015379,378 379,036 384,477 359,619 346,488 329,502 54,530 10,493
2016351,055 353,679 360,116 361,799 372,198 76,612 11,836
2017396,543 403,257 439,134 435,827 154,318 13,670
2018365,577 378,822 432,338 196,909 16,453
2019407,043 429,729 248,218 16,369
2020439,054 384,984 9,284
Total$3,810,441 

Insurance professional lines
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$7,464 $33,058 $74,932 $109,183 $166,417 $239,092 $284,246 $295,434 $303,147 $318,439 
20127,830 41,586 100,608 185,091 231,960 255,108 274,615 282,970 299,719 
201317,732 73,347 130,341 176,846 214,481 244,566 265,346 278,086 
201423,616 71,224 131,018 193,659 225,591 244,832 254,655 
201520,376 67,994 138,369 170,331 204,480 243,519 
201615,924 71,316 147,958 193,151 235,346 
201721,039 72,501 140,047 207,157 
201821,346 83,623 156,052 
201928,265 99,594 
202026,489 
Total2,119,056 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance94,767 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,786,152 
Insurance professional lines
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
4.9%13.3%17.2%14.8%12.1%10.8%7.0%3.1%3.6%4.4%
Insurance Liability
This reserve class includes the liability line of business which primarily targets primary and low to mid-level excess and umbrella commercial liability risks in the U.S. wholesale markets in addition to primary and excess of loss employers, public and products liability business predominately in the U.K. This reserve class also includes discontinued lines - Novae specifically the international liability line of business that Novae exited or placed into run-off in the fourth quarter of 2016. Target industry sectors include construction, manufacturing, transportation and trucking and other services. The delay between the writing of a contract, notification and subsequent settlement of a claim in respect of that contract results in claim reporting and payment patterns that are typically long-tail in nature. A consequence of the claim development tail is that this line of business is particularly exposed, among a number of uncertainties, to the potential for unanticipated levels of claim inflation relative to that assumed when the contracts were written. Factors influencing claim inflation on this class can include, but are not limited to, underlying economic and medical inflation, judicial inflation, mass tort and changing social trends.
Insurance liability
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claimsCumulative number of reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$72,584 $75,329 $83,925 $87,771 $85,792 $84,079 $82,313 $82,658 $85,037 $85,085 $12,780 3,691
201270,883 71,711 74,136 71,475 68,659 75,698 72,728 67,239 64,543 14,803 3,312
201393,238 95,315 95,181 88,248 93,688 95,989 91,949 89,908 11,899 3,693
2014107,161 124,368 129,828 130,688 132,034 131,490 132,596 18,701 5,087
2015128,438 127,423 137,718 165,202 182,959 188,296 34,876 6,351
2016124,331 130,249 129,069 127,691 120,442 36,430 7,262
2017167,648 167,673 183,746 200,362 47,636 8,542
2018169,557 167,564 190,741 78,563 8,255
2019192,320 193,686 109,765 7,119
2020225,025 204,825 3,977
Total$1,490,684 
Insurance liability
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$2,761 $10,540 $20,190 $38,377 $46,074 $54,996 $60,261 $62,151 $67,114 $72,023 
20121,631 5,515 15,412 30,146 37,140 42,741 46,541 48,035 48,317 
20132,364 23,287 33,326 42,056 60,011 66,970 71,989 73,320 
20141,419 18,665 49,861 71,609 84,389 93,589 103,063 
20155,440 22,441 39,718 92,753 120,357 141,062 
20166,333 23,326 36,404 56,497 66,437 
20175,481 29,687 59,432 116,232 
20189,554 35,056 72,604 
20197,900 40,047 
20208,156 
Total741,261 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance53,506 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$802,929 

Insurance liability
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
3.3%13.0%14.5%20.5%12.1%9.0%6.2%2.0%3.1%5.8%
Reinsurance Segment
The presentation of net incurred and paid claims development tables by accident year for the reinsurance segment is challenging due to the need to allocate loss information related to proportional treaties to the appropriate accident years. Information related to proportional treaty reinsurance contracts is generally submitted to the Company using quarterly bordereau reporting by underwriting year, with a supplemental listing of large losses. Large losses can be allocated to the corresponding accident years accurately. The remaining losses can generally only be allocated to accident years based on estimated premiums earned and loss reporting patterns. To the extent management’s assumptions and allocation procedures differ from the actual loss development patterns, the actual loss development may differ materially from the net incurred and paid claims development presented in the tables below.
The reporting of cumulative claims frequency for the reserve classes within the reinsurance segment is deemed to be impracticable as the information necessary to provide cumulative claims frequency for these reserve classes is not available to the Company.
Reinsurance Property and Other
This reserve class includes catastrophe, property, agriculture, engineering, marine and aviation, accident and health, and discontinued lines - Novae.
The catastrophe line of business provides protection for most catastrophic losses that are covered in the underlying insurance policies written by the Company's cedants. The underlying policies principally cover property-related exposures but other exposures including workers compensation and personal accident are also covered. The principal perils covered by policies in this portfolio include hurricane and windstorm, earthquake, flood, tornado, hail and fire. In some instances, terrorism may be a covered peril or the only peril. This business is written on a proportional and an excess of loss basis.
The property line of business provides protection for property damage and related losses resulting from natural and man-made perils that are covered in underlying personal and commercial lines insurance policies written by the Company's cedants. The predominant exposure is to property damage, but other risks, including business interruption and other non-property losses, may also be covered when arising from a covered peril. The most significant perils covered by policies in this portfolio include windstorm, tornado and earthquake, but other perils such as freezes, riots, floods, industrial explosions, fires, hail and a number of other loss events are also included. This business is written on a proportional and excess of loss basis.
The agriculture line of business provides protection for risks associated with the production of food and fiber on a global basis for primary insurance companies writing multi-peril crop insurance, crop hail, and named peril covers, as well as custom risk transfer mechanisms for agricultural dependent industries with exposures to crop yield and/or price deviations. This business is written on a proportional and aggregate stop loss reinsurance basis.
The engineering line of business provides protection for all types of construction risks and risks associated with erection, testing and commissioning of machinery and plants during the construction stage. This line of business also includes coverage for losses arising from operational failures of machinery, plant and equipment, and electronic equipment as well as business interruption. The Company decided to exit this line of business in 2020.
The marine and aviation line of business includes specialty marine classes such as cargo, hull, pleasure craft, marine liability, inland marine and offshore energy. The principal perils covered by policies in this portfolio include physical loss, damage and/or liability arising from natural perils of the seas or land, man-made events including fire and explosion, stranding/sinking/salvage, pollution, shipowners and maritime employers liability. This business is written on a non-proportional and proportional basis. Aviation provides cover for airline, aerospace and general aviation exposures. This business is written on a proportional and non-proportional basis.
The accident and health line of business includes personal accident, specialty health, accidental death, travel, life and disability reinsurance products which are offered on a proportional and catastrophic or per life excess of loss basis.
The discontinued lines - Novae includes the international facultative property line of business that Novae exited or placed into run-off in the fourth quarter of 2016.
In general, reporting and payment patterns are relatively short-tailed although they can be volatile due to the incidence of catastrophe events.
Reinsurance property and other
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$1,147,558 $1,156,022 $1,156,008 $1,113,395 $1,096,469 $1,070,969 $1,069,295 $1,070,875 $1,072,109 $1,068,938 $4,016 
2012558,114 526,700 511,157 480,467 464,567 459,625 461,000 457,777 457,372 747 
2013583,687 567,292 536,423 516,164 510,134 509,582 506,213 505,548 738 
2014544,212 565,279 539,285 526,767 524,785 524,099 521,230 39,729 
2015481,328 470,515 465,427 459,819 455,873 461,382 6,756 
2016623,624 644,393 630,447 626,868 628,910 2,351 
20171,101,428 1,080,866 1,098,312 1,106,201 47,451 
2018889,102 1,020,689 1,025,683 68,161 
2019966,716 977,194 183,064 
2020855,632 442,418 
Total$7,608,090 

Reinsurance property and other
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$261,198 $605,668 $817,211 $919,965 $950,247 $1,024,187 $1,039,375 $1,042,203 $1,048,430 $1,052,937 
2012123,594 296,496 369,726 392,448 407,161 416,897 418,995 431,573 437,895 
2013107,883 328,273 446,221 477,155 487,161 488,626 489,337 494,554 
2014102,394 355,383 438,269 456,267 462,510 467,589 469,836 
201571,438 268,037 372,981 405,736 418,506 429,278 
2016128,439 381,965 527,359 570,973 592,463 
2017251,905 720,708 860,241 929,367 
2018196,512 654,299 798,684 
2019161,854 593,715 
2020184,340 
Total5,983,069 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance14,996 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,640,017 
Reinsurance property and other
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
20.8%41.8%18.4%6.3%2.6%2.5%0.6%1.4%1.0%0.4%
Reinsurance Credit and Surety
This reserve class includes the credit and surety line of business which provides reinsurance of trade credit insurance products and includes proportional and excess of loss structures. The underlying insurance indemnifies sellers of goods and services in the event of a payment default by the buyer of those goods and services. Surety reinsurance provides protection for losses arising from a broad array of surety bonds issued by insurers to satisfy regulatory demands or contract obligations in a variety of jurisdictions around the world. The Company also provides mortgage reinsurance to mortgage guaranty insurers and U.S. government sponsored entities for losses related to credit risk transfer into the private sector.
Initial and most recent underwriting year loss projections are generally based on the ELR Method, with consideration given to qualitative factors. Given that there is a quicker and more stable reporting pattern for trade credit and mortgage business, the Company generally commences the transition to experience-based methods sooner for these lines of business than for surety business.
Reinsurance credit and surety
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$124,676 $113,314 $111,684 $119,067 $117,020 $108,220 $106,414 $105,776 $102,612 $100,503 $1,102 
2012164,496 154,131 156,952 153,928 145,254 136,944 133,199 130,049 127,775 2,141 
2013168,742 158,105 149,059 145,059 140,569 128,951 128,982 131,791 2,600 
2014139,551 140,462 147,688 143,931 132,014 130,638 126,854 3,602 
2015164,357 172,064 166,901 162,359 142,908 143,946 4,697 
2016145,370 145,838 153,816 127,556 119,640 3,335 
2017142,334 137,372 131,559 122,789 4,399 
2018114,691 125,256 120,639 30,189 
201977,203 72,559 17,807 
202077,143 39,026 
Total$1,143,639 
Reinsurance credit and surety
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$22,714 $56,811 $75,122 $83,199 $87,860 $90,181 $92,557 $94,208 $95,042 $95,734 
201250,749 88,745 103,866 109,765 113,340 115,187 116,559 118,514 118,948 
201332,786 79,432 94,952 101,765 109,528 111,532 116,501 118,730 
201435,910 63,361 89,356 98,712 106,341 110,768 111,316 
201533,105 84,626 103,810 121,482 123,365 127,130 
201642,410 75,646 95,624 105,444 106,658 
201737,531 76,621 94,020 106,016 
201839,333 71,157 76,834 
201919,535 33,521 
202025,366 
Total920,253 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance20,223 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$243,609 

Reinsurance credit and surety
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
29.7%29.1%13.9%7.9%3.6%2.3%1.9%1.6%0.6%0.7%
Reinsurance Professional Lines
This reserve class includes the professional line of business which provides protection for directors' and officers' liability, employment practices liability, medical malpractice, professional indemnity, environmental liability, cyber, and miscellaneous errors and omissions insurance risks. The underlying business is predominantly written on a claims-made basis. This business is written on a proportional and excess of loss basis. Typically, this reserve class is anticipated to exhibit medium to long-tail claim reporting and payment patterns.
With respect to key actuarial assumptions, the Company relies on its loss experience when establishing expected loss ratios and selecting loss development patterns. Loss reporting patterns for professional lines business tend to be volatile, causing instability in actuarial indications based on incurred loss data until an underwriting year matures. Consequently, initial reserves for losses and loss expenses for an underwriting year are generally based on the ELR Method and the consideration of relevant qualitative factors. As underwriting years mature, the Company increasingly gives more weight to methods that reflect its experience until its selections are based almost exclusively on experience-based methods. The Company evaluates the appropriateness of the transition to experience-based methods at the reserve class level, commencing this transition when it believes that its incurred loss development is sufficient to produce meaningful actuarial indications. The rate at which the Company transitions fully to sole reliance on experience-based methods can vary by reserve class and by year, depending on its assessment of the stability and relevance of such indications.
Reinsurance professional lines
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$202,330 $202,548 $203,632 $212,362 $209,993 $209,133 $201,175 $178,046 $167,553 $163,620 $8,396 
2012210,543 217,148 222,578 224,912 223,661 213,805 215,159 207,936 204,530 10,839 
2013210,173 215,431 216,716 215,064 214,668 207,425 183,035 170,614 17,670 
2014220,070 220,132 220,120 220,167 234,567 231,153 230,034 21,710 
2015212,683 213,076 215,362 226,092 233,056 230,331 37,004 
2016195,753 196,922 200,808 229,187 257,160 55,800 
2017156,074 157,025 163,474 180,501 64,159 
2018148,348 151,299 158,552 86,571 
2019141,702 142,176 101,309 
2020141,457 123,152 
Total$1,878,975 

Reinsurance professional lines
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$1,510 $11,836 $30,342 $57,404 $85,065 $103,322 $120,088 $130,411 $136,934 $138,436 
2012780 10,453 29,747 53,827 86,240 107,641 132,392 146,517 156,191 
20131,069 12,132 30,676 65,218 81,967 105,398 123,927 129,296 
20142,020 13,089 48,957 74,799 109,581 147,649 159,457 
20153,134 13,507 41,600 79,330 112,228 132,417 
20161,786 20,646 52,820 95,727 125,847 
20172,815 15,082 40,082 63,183 
2018272 2,702 31,594 
2019377 13,843 
20203,824 
Total954,088 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance65,680 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$990,567 
Reinsurance professional lines
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
1.0%5.8%13.0%15.1%13.9%12.1%9.6%5.4%4.4%0.9%
Reinsurance Motor
This reserve class includes the motor line of business which provides protection to insurers for motor liability and motor property damage losses arising from any one occurrence. A loss occurrence can involve one or many claimants where the ceding insurer aggregates the claims from the occurrence. This reserve class also includes discontinued lines - Novae specifically the motor reinsurance line of business that Novae exited or placed into run-off in the first quarter of 2017. The Company offers traditional proportional and non-proportional reinsurance as well as structured solutions predominantly relating to European exposures.
The business written on a proportional basis has expanded significantly since 2010 and now represents the majority of the premium in this line of business. Most of the premium relates to a relatively small number of large United Kingdom ("U.K.") quota share reinsurance treaty contracts. The motor proportional class generally has a significantly shorter reported and payment pattern, relative to the motor non-proportional class.
The motor non-proportional business consists of standard excess of loss contracts written for cedants in several European countries with most of the premium related to two major markets, U.K. and France. Since 2009/2010, an increasing number of large bodily injury settlements in the U.K. market were settled using indexed annuities (Periodical Payment Orders "PPOs"). This led to a materially longer development tail on the older accident years for the U.K. non-proportional motor book. This also resulted in the inclusion of capitalization clauses on a number of U.K. motor treaties which allow reinsurers to settle claims arising under PPOs with a lump sum payment, to help mitigate the lengthening of the development tail on more recent accident years.
In 2017, the U.K. Ministry of Justice announced a decrease in the discount rate to be used to calculate lump sum awards in U.K. bodily injury cases, known as the Ogden Rate. Effective March 20, 2017, the Ogden rate changed from plus 2.5% to minus 0.75%. This resulted in a trend toward a lower number of claims settlements using PPOs and an increase in projected ultimate losses, particularly related to recent accident years.
Effective August 5, 2019, the Ogden rate changed from minus 0.75% to minus 0.25%. This resulted in a decrease in projected ultimate losses, particularly related to recent accident years.
Reinsurance motor
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$164,847 $169,341 $173,561 $179,943 $176,048 $166,869 $155,648 $150,105 $142,017 $139,182 $17,768 
2012188,256 179,151 166,747 158,734 153,524 143,492 140,251 131,573 131,937 13,920 
2013172,316 171,275 158,838 148,804 145,148 141,827 132,624 129,238 12,486 
2014192,457 196,133 191,121 187,883 183,197 179,646 175,871 6,713 
2015233,605 231,712 235,796 237,299 225,413 223,532 11,590 
2016257,429 279,115 281,659 270,554 261,473 11,999 
2017379,810 396,370 377,292 378,976 37,506 
2018375,513 378,515 391,410 55,538 
2019354,221 354,568 79,778 
2020221,276 152,472 
Total$2,407,463 

Reinsurance motor
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$24,346 $49,721 $65,351 $76,441 $83,615 $89,952 $94,893 $95,946 $98,020 $100,394 
201229,851 55,800 71,305 81,695 88,535 92,812 95,269 96,508 98,316 
201334,780 56,692 71,790 82,510 88,589 94,498 97,715 100,213 
201444,432 78,589 99,642 108,374 119,252 129,566 139,456 
201559,120 98,431 120,135 138,317 155,110 169,838 
201662,171 110,605 136,449 155,493 175,311 
201773,759 141,599 174,770 209,888 
201885,701 150,276 200,801 
201991,189 159,461 
202025,631 
Total1,379,309 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance233,087 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,261,241 
Reinsurance motor
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
22.1%18.2%11.0%7.7%6.1%5.0%3.4%1.2%1.5%1.7%
Reinsurance Liability
This reserve class includes the liability line of business which provides protection to insurers of admitted casualty business, excess and surplus lines casualty business and specialty casualty programs. The primary focus of the underlying business is general liability, workers' compensation, auto liability and excess casualty. This reserve class includes discontinued lines - Novae specifically the general liability reinsurance line of business that Novae exited or placed into run-off in the first quarter of 2017.
Claim reporting and payment patterns are typically long-tail in nature and, therefore, subject to increased uncertainty surrounding future loss development. In particular, claims can be subject to inflation from a number of sources including, but not limited to, economic and medical inflation, judicial inflation mass tort and changing social trends.
Reinsurance liability
Incurred claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsuranceAt December 31, 2020
For the years ended December 31,Total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$174,639 $174,227 $175,605 $193,629 $200,328 $197,061 $196,289 $194,372 $191,594 $193,320 $6,656 
2012168,766 164,844 169,091 173,932 175,105 172,431 165,296 159,163 161,267 10,642 
2013173,637 177,377 184,048 186,062 185,681 178,529 157,813 156,342 16,314 
2014201,352 204,684 206,463 202,487 201,313 199,173 189,296 28,929 
2015216,431 216,838 217,784 217,535 215,250 215,178 48,999 
2016242,579 248,194 253,506 256,767 267,235 73,124 
2017278,204 273,664 281,677 290,621 95,966 
2018267,162 272,102 277,824 127,342 
2019265,317 275,090 186,427 
2020283,901 239,574 
Total$2,310,074 
Reinsurance liability
Cumulative paid claims and allocated claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance
For the years ended December 31,
Accident year2011 unaudited2012 unaudited2013 unaudited2014 unaudited2015 unaudited2016 unaudited2017 unaudited2018 unaudited2019 unaudited2020
2011$5,202 $21,305 $40,027 $70,339 $92,760 $112,649 $123,781 $136,200 $142,173 $150,790 
20123,545 12,812 28,426 58,881 78,405 101,391 115,874 126,298 134,789 
20135,977 22,262 52,364 69,100 88,334 102,678 113,217 123,774 
20147,112 28,700 48,503 70,400 89,760 110,511 131,002 
20157,274 27,476 54,640 81,010 109,349 131,327 
201611,886 37,831 69,903 112,434 143,917 
201712,448 42,218 78,830 121,535 
201819,369 50,223 85,671 
201919,334 45,511 
202016,948 
Total1,085,264 
All outstanding liabilities before 2011, net of reinsurance95,411 
Liabilities for claims and claim adjustment expenses, net of reinsurance$1,320,221 

Reinsurance liability
Average annual percentage payout of incurred claims by age, net of reinsurance (unaudited)
Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10
4.5%9.5%12.4%14.3%11.9%11.0%8.1%6.6%4.2%4.5%
Reconciliation of Loss Development Tables to Consolidated Balance Sheet
The following table reconciles the reserve for losses and loss expenses at December 31, 2020, included in the loss development tables to the reserve for losses and loss expenses reported in the consolidated balance sheet:
Reconciliation of the disclosure of incurred and paid claims development to the liability
for unpaid claims and claim adjustment expenses
At December 31, 2020
Net outstanding liabilitiesReinsurance recoverable on unpaid claimsGross outstanding liabilities
Insurance segment
Property and other$794,903 $508,225 $1,303,128 
Marine362,631 162,396 525,027 
Aviation84,024 64,252 148,276 
Credit and political risk106,644 51,667 158,311 
Professional lines1,786,152 1,227,183 3,013,335 
Liability802,929 1,182,644 1,985,573 
Total insurance segment3,937,283 3,196,367 7,133,650 
Reinsurance segment
Property and other1,640,017 497,211 2,137,228 
Credit and surety243,609 70,143 313,752 
Professional lines990,567 186,245 1,176,812 
Motor1,261,241 228,453 1,489,694 
Liability1,320,221 318,222 1,638,443 
Total reinsurance segment5,455,655 1,300,274 6,755,929 
Total$9,392,938 $4,496,641 13,889,579 
Unallocated claims adjustment expenses140,245 
Foreign exchange and other(1)
49,072 
(Ceded)/assumed reserves related to retroactive transactions (152,130)
Total liability for unpaid claims and claims adjustment expense$13,926,766 
(1)    Non-U.S. dollar denominated loss data is converted to U.S dollar at the rates of exchange in effect at the balance sheet date for material underlying currencies. Fluctuations in currency exchange rates may cause material shifts in loss development. Reserves for losses and loss expenses disclosed in the consolidated balance sheets are also remeasured using rates of exchange in effect at the balance sheet date.