EX-99.1 2 ip2008.htm EXHIBIT 99.1 - INVESTOR PRESENTION 2008 ip2008.htm
Exhibit 99.1     
Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Investor Presentation
February 2008
 
 

 
 Certain statements in this report, including information incorporated by reference, are “forward-looking statements”
 as that term is defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (“PSLRA”). The PSLRA provides a
 safe harbor under the Securities Act of 1933 and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 for forward-looking
 statements. These statements relate to our intentions, beliefs, projections, estimations or forecasts of future
 events or our future financial performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors
 that may cause our or our industry's actual results, levels of activity, or performance to be materially different from
 those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. In some cases, you can identify forward-looking
 statements by use of words such as "may," "will," "could," "would," "should," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "target,"
 "project," "intend," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential," "pro forma," "seek," "likely" or "continue" or other
 comparable terminology. These statements are only predictions, and we can give no assurance that such
 expectations will prove to be correct. We undertake no obligation, other than as may be required under the
 federal securities laws, to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new
 information, future events or otherwise.
 Factors, that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those projected, forecasted or estimated by us
 in forward-looking statements are discussed in further detail in Selective’s public filings with the United States
 Securities and Exchange Commission. These risk factors may not be exhaustive. We operate in a continually
 changing business environment, and new risk factors emerge from time-to-time. We can neither predict such new
 risk factors nor can we assess the impact, if any, of such new risk factors on our businesses or the extent to which
 any factor or combination of factors may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied
 in any forward-looking statements in this report. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward
 -looking events discussed in this report might not occur.
Forward Looking Statement
 
 

 
Financial Strength
 
 

 
 Strong market position
  21-state super-regional
  $1.6B NPW
  87% commercial lines
  13% personal lines
 High-Tech, High-Touch™ Business
 Model
  Industry-leading technology
  Distribution partner with 876
 independent agents
  350 field personnel
 Excellent strategic execution
 History of financial strength
MN
IA
MO
IL
IN
MI
MI
NC
PA
NY
NJ
DE
CT
MA
“A+” A.M. Best rated for 46 years
Selective Profile
 
 

 
Reserving Practices
 Strong actuarial department
  7 fellows, 4 associates
  Responsible for budgeting and planning
 Detailed actuarial reviews quarterly
 Monthly and quarterly controls and
 monitoring
 Minimal environmental & asbestos exposure
 Carried reserves at 57th percentile of range
 
 

 
($ in 000s)
%
Insurance Operations Productivity
 
 

 
($ in 000s)
%
Insurance Operations Productivity - Proforma
 
 

 
Ongoing Underwriting Improvements
 Safety management plan
  Increase productivity
 through new system
  Increase % of accounts on
 service plans
 Catastrophe management
 strategy
  Average annual loss - more
 granular pricing of property
 premium to exposure
 
 

 
Percentages are net of tax, reinsurance & reinstatement premium
RMS Data as of 6/30/07; Equity data as of 12/31/07
% of Equity at Risk
CAT cover: $310M in excess of $40M
RMS Model
Natural Catastrophe Management
 
 

 
12.5% ROE generated by investment portfolio
$3.7B Invested Assets
as of Dec. 31, 2007
Conservative Investment Portfolio
 
 

 
No downgrades on structured securities to date
No Significant Sub-Prime Exposure
 
 

 
18.9%
26.0%
82.8%
Annual Earnings
($ in Millions)
Dividends paid
Share Repurchase
% of Capital Returned to Shareholders
116.0%
25.2%
Proactive Capital Management
 
 

 
What Drives Success with Agents?
 
 

 
Selective Delivers:
Agents Want Superior Service
 Field model with front-line decision making authority
  100 Agency Management Specialists (AMS)
  75 Safety Management Specialists (SMS)
 Competitive products and programs though Strategic
 Business Units
 Granular pricing capability through predictive modeling
 capabilities
 Superior claims service
  150 Claims Management Specialists (CMS)
 
 

 
($ in millions)
Commercial Lines New Business
 
 

 
One third of agent business is generated through xSELerate
Selective Delivers:
2007
Commercial
Lines
Interface
Carrier of the
Year Award
from
ASCnet
2007
Quantum
Award from
the AMS Users’
Group
2007
Celent
Model Carrier
Award for
Agency
Interface
Technology
Agents Want Easy to Use Technology
 Ability to seamlessly transfer underwriting data with first-to-market,
 award winning
 
 

 
Selective Delivers:
Average premium written per business day
($ in thousands)
Agents Want Easy to Use Technology
 Easy to use small business system One & Done with 440+
 classes of business
 
 

 
Selective Delivers:
Agents Want Carriers Who Understand Their Needs
 Access to management team
 Agent development programs
  Hiring producers through CIB program; 65 hired in 2007
  Sales training for producers; 300 trained in 2007
 Customer-focused 24 x 7 capabilities
  On-line bill pay services enrollment up 135% in 2007
  Steady usage from 7:00 a.m. - 10:00 p.m.
 Providing pre-qualified sales leads
  Agency sales meetings
 
 

 
Selective Delivers:
Agents Want Profitability
 Information and analytics delivered through Knowledge
 Management
 Pricing precision through predictive modeling
  Commercial lines models: workers compensation, BOP, CPP and
 commercial auto
  MATRIX® for personal lines: auto and homeowners
 
 

 
The Power of Predictive Modeling
 Commercial lines business performance
 
 

 
Cumulative Direct Premiums ($ millions)
2003
2007
500
1,000
1,500
Agent’s Profitability 2003 vs. 2007
 
 

 
Goal: 7 point combined ratio improvement by year-end 2007
Note: Booked accident year combined
ratios
7.8 points
Workers Compensation Success
 
 

 
Personal Lines Improvement Plan
 Competitive pricing through MATRIX®
  Auto rolled out Aug 2006
  Homeowners rollout Jan 2008
 Price increases totaling
  Auto +8.7%
  Homeowners +5%
 Shift in mix of business
 Property results
  Inspection program in key markets
 
 

 
Agents rate us 8.9 for overall service levels for second consecutive year
Jerry Niewiek, Principal
Berends, Hendricks, Stuit Insurance
Grandville, Michigan
[Video Available @ www.selective.com]
Agents Get What they Want from Selective
 
 

 
+
=
Actionable
Information
High-Tech,
High-Touch
Profitable Growth
The Formula for Profitable Growth
 
 

 
Long-Term Shareholder Value Creation