EX-99.2 3 exhibit99-2.htm SUPPLEMENTAL INVESTOR PACKAGE, FIRST QUARTER 2009 exhibit99-2.htm
Exhibit 99.2
 
 




                                                                                                                  

 



Supplemental Investor Package
 

 
First Quarter 2009








Investor Contact:
Jennifer DiBerardino
Vice President, Investor Relations
Tel:  973-948-1364
jennifer.diberardino@selective.com

 
 

 

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
FIRST QUARTER 2009 INVESTOR PACKET
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Earnings Press Release
2
Selected Balance Sheet Data
7
Selected Income Statement Data
8
Quarterly Investment Income
9
Statutory Combined Ratio Summary by LOB Quarter
10
Consolidated Balance Sheets
11
Consolidated Statements of Income
12
Consolidated Statements of Stockholder’s Equity
13
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flow
14
Statutory Balance Sheets
15
Statutory Statements of Income
16
Investment Portfolio – Appendix
 
 
Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio Exhibit
17
 
Ratings on Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio Exhibit
18
 
Structured Securities Chart
19
  Structured Securities Ratings Migration
20
 
RMBS & RABS Chart
21
 
RMBS & RABS by Vintage Year Exhibit
22
 
RMBS and RABS by Type Exhibit
23
 
RMBS & RABS Ratings Migrations
24
 
CMBS Chart
25
 
CMBS by Vintage Year Exhibit
26
 
CMBS by Type Exhibit
27
 
CMBS Ratings Migration
28
 
2007 Vintage CMBS Chart
29
 
2007 Vintage CMBS Exhibit
30
 
2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS Exhibit
31
 
2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS Exhibit
32
 
Alt-A RMBS Chart
33
 
Alt-A by Vintage Year Exhibit
34
 
Fixed Income Government & Agency Exposure Exhibit
35
  Fixed Maturities Severity & Duration of Unrealized/Unrecognized Losses Exhibit
36
 
Credit Quality of AFS Securities Exhibit
37
 
Credit Quality of HTM Securities Exhibit
38


 
 

 


Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
 
 Selected Balance Sheet Data (unaudited)
 
 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
   
                             
   
March 31,
   
March 31,
   
December 31,
   
 2009
   
 2008
   
 2008
       
 Unrecognized/
       
 Unrecognized/
       
 Unrecognized/
   
Balance
Market
Unrealized
   
Balance
Market
Unrealized
   
Balance
Market
Unrealized
   
Sheet
Value
Gain/(Loss)
   
Sheet
Value
Gain/(Loss)
   
Sheet
Value
Gain/(Loss)
Invested Assets:
                           
  Corporate bonds1,2
$
  1,053,477
  1,047,586
         (97,934)
 
 
$
      1,251,910
      1,251,913
            (26,416)
 
 
$
  1,024,179
  1,024,181
        (124,294)
  Gov't\ Municipal bonds2
 
  2,072,518
  2,059,462
          59,158
   
      1,774,064
      1,774,186
              31,862
   
  2,011,262
  2,011,275
            35,240
                                                  Total bonds
 
  3,125,995
  3,107,048
         (38,776)
   
      3,025,974
      3,026,099
                5,446
   
  3,035,441
  3,035,456
          (89,054)
  Equities
 
       94,472
       94,472
           (5,226)
   
         232,787
         232,787
              85,613
   
     132,131
     132,131
              6,184
  Short-term investments
 
     271,277
     271,277
                  -
   
         212,616
         212,616
                      -
   
     198,111
     198,111
                   -
  Trading securities
 
               -
               -
                  -
   
           23,148
           23,148
                5,861
   
         2,569
         2,569
            (1,216)
  Other investments
 
     153,337
     153,337
         (16,192)
   
         197,097
         197,097
              26,109
   
     172,057
     172,057
            (5,585)
                                   Total invested assets
 
  3,645,081
  3,626,134
         (60,194)
   
     3,691,622
      3,691,747
            123,029
   
  3,540,309
  3,540,324
          (89,671)
                             
                             
Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
 
           4.00
       
               3.53
       
           3.98
   
                             
Total assets
 
  5,001,933
       
      4,970,486
       
  4,941,332
   
                             
  Liabilities:
                           
  Reserve for losses
 
  2,273,947
       
      2,199,024
       
  2,256,329
   
  Reserve for loss expenses
 
     390,890
       
         368,274
       
     384,644
   
  Unearned premium reserve
 
     856,823
       
         850,494
       
     844,334
   
                             
Total liabilities
 
  4,091,798
       
      3,924,794
       
  4,050,839
   
                             
Stockholders' equity
 
    910,135
       
      1,045,692
       
    890,493
   
                             
Total debt to capitalization ratio
 
        23.1%
       
           21.5%
       
       23.5%
   
Adjusted total debt to capitalization ratio 3
 
        16.7%
       
           15.0%
       
        17.0%
   
                             
Book value per share
 
         17.23
       
             19.62
       
         16.84
   
                             
Book value per share excluding
                           
FAS 115 unrealized gain or loss on bond portfolio
 
         17.47
       
             19.55
       
         17.94
   
                             
NPW per insurance segment employee
 
            783
       
                823
       
            797
   
                             
Statutory premiums to surplus ratio
 
           1.8x
       
              1.5x
       
           1.7x
   
                             
Statutory surplus
 
     849,985
       
      1,016,282
       
     884,431
   
                             
                             
                             
                             
1 Includes mortgage-backed and asset backed securities.
 
2 Certain prior year amounts were reclassified to conform with currrent year presentation.
 
3 The adjusted debt to capitalization ratio reflects a reduction in debt for amounts held in an irrevocable trust for the benefit of senior note holders as well as the median rating agency equity treatment of 75% applied to our $100 million Junior Subordinated Notes issued September 25, 2006.
           
   
     

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
               
 Selected Income Statement Data (unaudited)
               
 March 2009
 
 THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31,
 ($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
 2009
 
 2008
         
 Per diluted share
     
 Per diluted share
 Consolidated
               
 
 Revenue
 $
     369,565
   
 $
     439,047
   
 
 Operating income
 
         2,739
 
                     0.05
 
       19,518
 
                    0.36 
 
 Net realized (losses) gains, after tax
 
      (15,616
) 
                   (0.30
) 
            985
 
                    0.02 
 
 Net (loss) income
 
      (12,877
)
                   (0.25
) 
       20,503
 
                    0.38 
 
 Operating return on equity
 
1.2%
     
7.4%
   
                   
 Insurance Operations
               
 
 Gross premiums written
 
     436,441
     
     443,979
   
 
 Net premiums written
 
     375,783
     
     391,954
   
 
 Net premiums earned
 
     363,873
     
     383,387
   
 
 Underwriting (loss) profit - before tax
 
        (2,963
)    
         1,799
   
 
                                          - after tax
 
        (1,926
)
                   (0.04
) 
         1,169
 
                    0.02 
 
 GAAP combined ratio
 
100.8%
     
99.5%
   
                   
 Commercial lines
               
 
 Net premiums earned
 
     311,545
     
     332,091
   
 
 GAAP combined ratio
 
100.1%
     
98.3%
   
 Personal lines
               
 
 Net premiums earned
 
       52,328
     
       51,296
   
 
 GAAP combined ratio
 
105.3%
     
107.3%
   
                   
 Investments
               
 
 Net investment income - before tax
 
       15,717
     
       37,866
   
 
                                      - after tax
 
       15,141
 
                     0.29
 
       29,371
 
                    0.55 
 
 Effective tax rate
 
3.7%
     
22.4%
   
 
 Annual after-tax yield on investment portfolio
 
1.7%
     
3.2%
   
 
 Annual after-tax, after-interest expense yield
 
1.3%
     
2.8%
   
 
 Invested assets per $ of stockholders' equity
 
           4.00
     
           3.53
   
                   
 Human Resource Administration Outsourcing
               
 
 Annual gross billings
 
     917,256
     
     988,002
   
 
 Revenue
 
       12,719
     
       15,118
   
 
 Income - after tax
 
              73
 
                     0.00
 
            507
 
                    0.01 
 
 Return on revenue
 
0.6%
     
3.4%
   
 
 Worksite lives
 
       20,381
     
       24,017
   
                   
 Other expenses (net of other income)
               
 
 Interest expense - before tax
 
        (5,024
)    
        (5,309
)  
 
                             - after tax
 
        (3,266
)
                   (0.06
) 
        (3,451
                   (0.06)
                   
 
 Other - after tax
 $
        (7,283
)
                   (0.14
)
$
        (8,078
) 
                   (0.16)
                   
Diluted weighted avg shares outstanding  
 52,352
     
 53,882
   
       

 
 

 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
                         
Quarterly
GAAP Investment Income
(unaudited)
($ in thousands)
                     
                     
                     
       
For the three months ended
   
%
       
March
   
March
   
Increase
       
2009
   
2008
   
(Decrease)
Investment Income:
               
 
Interest:
               
 
                   Fixed Maturity Securities
   
36,261
     
36,406
     
(0.4
)
 
                   Short-term
   
612
     
1,437
     
(57.4
)
 
Alternative Investments
   
(20,549
)
   
1,833
     
N/M
 
 
Dividends
   
515
     
1,159
     
(55.6
)
 
Change in Fair Value
   
262
     
(1,888
)
   
113.9
 
 
Miscellaneous
   
172
     
74
     
132.4
 
         
17,273
     
39,021
     
(55.7
)
                               
Investment Expense
   
1,556
     
1,155
     
34.7
 
                               
Net Investment Income Before Tax
   
15,717
     
37,866
     
(58.5
)
                               
Tax
       
576
     
8,495
     
(93.2
)
                               
Net Investment Income After Tax
  $
15,141
     
29,371
     
(48.4
)
                               
Net Investment Income per Share
   
0.29
     
0.55
     
(47.3
)
                               
Effective Tax Rate
     
3.7
%    
22.4
%          
                               
Average Yields:
                           
                               
   Fixed Maturity Securities
                         
 
Pre Tax
     
4.3
%    
4.6
%          
 
After Tax
     
3.4
%    
3.6
%          
                               
   Portfolio
                             
 
Pre Tax
     
1.7
%    
4.1
%          
 
After Tax
     
1.7
%    
3.2
%          
                               

     
Year to Date
   
     
March
 
March
   
Net Realized Gains (Losses)
2009
 
2008
   
 
Fixed Maturities Gains
$4,533
 
$543
   
 
Fixed Maturities Losses
(28,368
)
(1,154
)
 
 
     Total Fixed Maturities
(23,835
) 
(611
)
 
               
 
Equity Securities Gains
19,663
 
2,597
   
 
Equity Securities Losses
(19,853
)
(471
)
 
 
     Total Equity Securities
(190
2,126
   
               
 
Total
 
(24,025
) 
1,515
   
 
Net of Tax
(15,616
)
985
   
               
 
(1)  
Certain prior year amounts were reclassified to conform with current year presentation.

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
                                     
2009 Statutory Results by Line of Business
                                     
March 2009 YTD (unaudited)
                                     
($ in thousands)
                                     
                                                                   
   
Net
Premiums
Written
   
Percent
Change
   
Net
Premiums
Earned
   
Percent
Change
   
Loss
Ratio
   
LAE
Ratio
   
Underwriting
Expense
Ratio
   
Dividends to
Policyholders
Ratio
   
Combined Ratio
2009
   
Combined Ratio
2008
   
Underwriting
Gain/(Loss)
 
 
 
Personal Lines:
                                                                 
                                                                   
Homeowners
  $
15,351
     
8.8
%
  $
17,106
     
3.2
%    
84.1
%    
8.7
%    
37.4
%    
0.0
%    
130.2
%    
111.8
%   $
(4,508
)
Auto
   
32,639
     
(2.8
)%
   
32,852
     
0.8
%    
56.3
%    
13.8
%    
30.5
%    
0.0
%    
100.6
%    
113.4
%   $
(134
)
Other (including flood)
   
2,352
     
13.6
%
   
2,371
     
11.9
%    
75.7
%    
(10.9
)%    
(31.4
)%    
0.0
%    
33.4
%    
1.1
%    
1,573
 
Total
  $
50,342
     
1.2
%   $
52,328
     
2.0
%    
66.3
%    
11.0
%    
29.7
%    
0.0
%    
107.0
%    
107.8
%   $
(3,069
)
                                                                                         
Commercial Lines:
                                                                                       
                                                                                         
Fire/IM
  $
50,234
     
4.1
%   $
48,885
     
(2.1
)%    
59.5
%    
4.8
%    
37.3
%    
(0.6
)%    
101.0
%    
96.6
%   $
(995
)
Workers compensation
   
72,176
     
(10.1
)%    
70,377
     
(10.3
)%    
51.5
%    
14.6
%    
24.6
%    
1.8
%    
92.5
%    
94.5
%    
4,836
 
General liability
   
99,804
     
(10.3
)%    
94,224
     
(8.8
)%    
54.0
%    
18.2
%    
32.5
%    
(0.3
)%    
104.4
%    
97.1
%    
(5,927
)
Auto
   
79,859
     
(0.4
)%    
75,846
     
(4.3
)%    
60.6
%    
7.2
%    
28.6
%    
(0.3
)%    
96.1
%    
100.1
%    
1,772
 
BOP
   
16,377
     
7.8
%    
15,210
     
7.6
%    
71.8
%    
12.2
%    
33.8
%    
0.0
%    
117.8
%    
105.1
%    
(3,099
)
Bonds
   
4,339
     
(4.3
)%    
4,623
     
(3.2
)%    
23.1
%    
4.9
%    
59.4
%    
0.0
%    
87.4
%    
81.1
%    
750
 
Other
   
2,652
     
7.9
%    
2,380
     
4.4
%    
(2.1
)%  
 
0.8
%    
43.1
%    
0.0
%    
41.8
%    
47.9
%    
1,268
 
Total
  $
325,441
     
(4.9
)%   $
311,545
     
(6.2
)%    
55.9
%    
12.0
%    
31.1
%    
0.1
%    
99.1
%    
96.9
%   $
(1,394
)
                                                                                         
Grand Total
  $
375,783
     
(4.1
)%   $
363,873
     
(5.1
)%    
57.4
%    
11.9
%    
30.8
%    
0.1
%    
100.2
%    
98.3
%   $
(4,463
)
                                                                                         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                                                                     
                                                                                         
           
2009
   
2008
                                                                 
   
Losses Paid
    $
195,792
    $
188,840 
                                                                 
   
LAE Paid
     
36,685
     
34,461 
                                                                 
   
Total Paid
    $
232,477
    $
223,301 
                                                                 

 
 

 

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
 
Unaudited
       
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
 
March 31,
   
December 31,
 
($ in thousands, except share amounts)
 
2009
   
2008
 
ASSETS
           
Investments:
           
Fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity – at amortized cost
           
(fair value of:  $1,867,519 – 2009; $1,178 – 2008)
  $
1,886,466
     
1,163
 
Fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
               
(amortized cost of:  $1,265,228 – 2009; $3,123,346 – 2008)
   
1,239,529
     
3,034,278
 
Equity securities, available-for-sale – at fair value
               
(cost of:   $99,698 – 2009; $125,947 – 2008)
   
94,472
     
132,131
 
Short-term investments – at cost which approximates fair value
   
271,277
     
198,111
 
Equity securities, trading – at fair value
   
-
     
2,569
 
Other investments
   
153,337
     
172,057
 
Total investments
   
3,645,081
     
3,540,309
 
Cash and cash equivalents
   
12,631
     
18,643
 
Interest and dividends due or accrued
   
35,555
     
36,538
 
Premiums receivable, net of allowance for uncollectible
               
accounts of:  $5,251 – 2009; $4,237 – 2008
   
483,237
     
480,894
 
Other trade receivables, net of allowance for uncollectible
               
accounts of:  $306 – 2009; $299 – 2008
   
21,799
     
19,461
 
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses
   
5,262
     
6,513
 
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses
   
228,303
     
224,192
 
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
   
97,196
     
96,617
 
Current federal income tax
   
2,483
     
26,327
 
Deferred federal income tax
   
140,484
     
146,801
 
Property and equipment – at cost, net of accumulated
               
depreciation and amortization of:  $135,712 – 2009; $132,609 – 2008
   
49,706
     
51,697
 
Deferred policy acquisition costs
   
213,669
     
212,319
 
Goodwill
   
29,637
     
29,637
 
Other assets
   
36,890
     
51,384
 
Total assets
  $
5,001,933
     
4,941,332
 
                 
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
               
Liabilities:
               
Reserve for losses
  $
2,273,947
     
2,256,329
 
Reserve for loss expenses
   
390,890
     
384,644
 
Unearned premiums
   
856,823
     
844,334
 
Notes payable
   
273,885
     
273,878
 
Commissions payable
   
31,653
     
48,560
 
Accrued salaries and benefits
   
125,139
     
147,050
 
Other liabilities
   
139,461
     
96,044
 
Total liabilities
   
4,091,798
     
4,050,839
 
                 
Stockholders' Equity:
               
Preferred stock of $0 par value per share:
Authorized shares:  5,000,000; no shares issued or outstanding
               
Common stock of $2 par value per share:
               
Authorized shares:  360,000,000
               
Issued:  95,376,045 – 2009; 95,263,508 – 2008
   
190,752
     
190,527
 
Additional paid-in capital
   
221,835
     
217,195
 
Retained earnings
   
1,108,335
     
1,128,149
 
Accumulated other comprehensive income
   
(63,420
)    
(100,666
)
Treasury stock – at cost (shares:  42,556,303 – 2009;  42,386,921 – 2008)
   
(547,367
)    
(544,712
)
Total stockholders' equity
   
910,135
     
890,493
 
Commitments and contingencies
               
Total liabilities and stockholders' equity
  $
5,001,933
     
4,941,332
 

 
 

 

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
     
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
 
Quarters ended
 
   
 March 31,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
 
2009
   
2008
 
Revenues:
           
Net premiums written
  $
375,783
     
391,954
 
Net increase in unearned premiums and prepaid reinsurance premiums
   
 (11,910
)
   
 (8,567
)
Net premiums earned
   
363,873
     
383,387
 
Net investment income earned
   
15,717
     
37,866
 
Net realized (losses) gains
   
(24,025
)    
1,515
 
Other income
   
14,000
     
16,279
 
Total revenues
   
369,565
     
439,047
 
                 
Expenses:
               
Losses incurred
   
209,089
     
210,130
 
Loss expenses incurred
   
43,105
     
42,946
 
Policy acquisition costs
   
113,106
     
127,677
 
Dividends to policyholders
   
465
     
535
 
Interest expense
   
5,024
     
5,309
 
Other expenses
   
19,698
     
25,848
 
Total expenses
   
390,487
     
412,445
 
                 
(Loss) income before federal income tax
   
(20,922
)    
26,602
 
                 
Federal income tax (benefit) expense:
               
Current
   
5,694
     
11,135
 
Deferred
   
(13,739
)    
(5,036
)
Total federal income tax (benefit) expense
   
(8,045
)    
6,099
 
                 
Net (loss) income
  $
(12,877
)    
20,503
 
                 
                 
Earnings per share:
               
Basic net (loss) income
  $
(0.25
)    
0.39
 
                 
Diluted net (loss) income
  $
(0.25
)    
0.38
 
                 
Dividends to stockholders
  $
0.13
     
0.13
 

 
 

 

SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
       
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF
       
STOCKHOLDERS’ EQUITY
       
     
Quarters ended March 31,
 
($ in thousands, except per share amounts)
   
2009
   
2008
 
Common stock:
                         
Beginning of year
    $
190,527
           
189,306
       
Dividend reinvestment plan
                             
(shares: 36,670 – 2009; 19,298 – 2008)
     
73
           
38
       
Convertible debentures
                             
(shares: 45,759 – 2008)
     
-
           
92
       
Stock purchase and compensation plans
                             
(shares: 75,867 – 2009; 133,339 – 2008)
     
152
           
267
       
End of period
     
190,752
           
189,703
       
                               
Additional paid-in capital:
                             
Beginning of year
     
217,195
           
192,627
       
Dividend reinvestment plan
     
373
           
429
       
Convertible debentures
     
-
           
645
       
Stock purchase and compensation plans
     
4,267
           
10,088
       
End of period
     
221,835
           
203,789
       
                               
Retained earnings:
                             
Beginning of year
     
1,128,149
           
1,105,946
       
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of FAS 159,
                             
    net of deferred income tax effect of $3,344
     
-
           
6,210
       
Net (loss) income
     
(12,877
)    
(12,877
   
20,503
     
20,503
 
Cash dividends to stockholders ($0.13 per share – 2009;
                                 
$0.13 per share – 2008)
     
(6,937
)            
(7,062
)        
End of period
     
1,108,335
             
1,125,597
         
                                   
Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income:
                                 
Beginning of year
     
(100,666
)            
86,043
         
Cumulative-effect adjustment due to adoption of FAS 159,
                                 
    net of deferred income tax effect of $(3,344)
     
-
             
(6,210
)        
Other comprehensive income (loss) increase (decrease) in:
                                 
    Net unrealized gains (losses) on investment securities,
                                 
        net of deferred income tax effect of
                                 
        $20,152 – 2009, $(14,357) – 2008      
37,425
     
37,425
     
(26,663
)    
(26,663
)
        Defined benefit pension plans, net of deferred income tax effect of
                                 
        $(97) – 2009; $19 – 2008    
(179
)    
(179
)    
35
     
35
 
End of period
     
(63,420
)            
53,205
         
Comprehensive income (loss)
             
24,369
             
(6,125
)
                                     
Treasury stock:
                                 
Beginning of year
     
(544,712
)          
 
(497,879
)        
Acquisition of treasury stock
                                 
(shares: 169,382 – 2009; 1,196,663 – 2008)
     
(2,655
)            
(28,723
)        
End of period
     
(547,367
)            
(526,602
)        
Total stockholders’ equity
    $
910,135
             
1,045,692
         

 
 

 
 
SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC.
 
UNAUDITED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOW
Quarters ended March 31,
($ in thousands)
2009
 
2008
Operating Activities
           
Net (loss) income
  $ (12,877 )     20,503  
                 
Adjustments to reconcile net (loss) income to net cash provided by operating activities:
               
Depreciation and amortization
    6,788       7,129  
Stock-based compensation expense
    3,238       8,896  
Undistributed losses of equity method investments
    20,549       980  
Net realized losses (gains)
    24,025       (1,515 )
Postretirement life curtailment benefit
    (4,217 )     -  
Deferred tax benefit
    (13,739 )     (5,036 )
Unrealized (gain) loss on trading securities
    (262 )     1,888  
                 
Changes in assets and liabilities:
               
Increase in reserves for losses and loss expenses, net of reinsurance recoverable
               
on unpaid losses and loss expenses
    20,019       29,598  
Increase in unearned premiums, net of prepaid reinsurance and advance premiums
    11,497       8,295  
Decrease/increase in net federal income tax recoverable/payable
    23,844       9,854  
Increase in premiums receivable
    (2,343 )     (185 )
Increase in other trade receivables
    (2,338 )     (618 )
(Increase) Decrease in deferred policy acquisition costs
    (1,350 )     876  
Decrease in interest and dividends due or accrued
    1,012       1,033  
Decrease in reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses
    1,251       122  
Decrease in accrued salaries and benefits
    (16,211 )     (11,724 )
Decrease in accrued insurance expenses
    (14,221 )     (24,950 )
Purchase of trading securities
    -       (4,530 )
Sale of trading securities
    2,831       4,696  
Other-net
    7,424       641  
Net adjustments
    67,797       25,450  
Net cash provided by operating activities
    54,920       45,953  
                 
Investing Activities
               
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    (50,408 )     -  
Purchase of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    (216,000 )     (77,944 )
Purchase of equity securities, available-for-sale
    (60,100 )     (7,212 )
Purchase of other investments
    (4,620 )     (15,506 )
Purchase of short-term investments
    (601,637 )     (341,234 )
Sale of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    168,019       30,452  
Sale of short-term investments
    528,471       318,696  
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, held-to-maturity
    34,097       1,492  
Redemption and maturities of fixed maturity securities, available-for-sale
    51,666       79,566  
Sale of equity securities, available-for-sale
    86,318       6,995  
Proceeds from other investments
    14,499       2,609  
Purchase of property and equipment
    (1,360 )     (1,825 )
Net cash used in investing activities
    (51,055 )     (3,911 )
                 
Financing Activities
               
Dividends to stockholders
    (6,955 )     (6,572 )
Acquisition of treasury stock
    (2,655 )     (28,723 )
Net proceeds from stock purchase and compensation plans
    885       2,196  
Excess tax benefits from share-based payment arrangements
    (1,152 )     1,265  
Principal payments of convertible debt
    -       (8,754 )
Net cash used in financing activities
    (9,877 )     (40,588 )
Net (decrease) increase in cash and cash equivalents
    (6,012 )     1,454  
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of year
    18,643       8,383  
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
  $ 12,631       9,837  

Supplemental Disclosures of Cash Flow Information
Cash paid (received) during the year for:
           
Interest
  $ $1,875       1,968  
Federal income tax
    (17,000 )     -  
Supplemental schedule of non-cash financing activity:
               
Conversion of convertible debentures
    -       169  
 
 
 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
Unaudited Statutory Balance Sheets
($ in thousands)
           
           
     March 31       December 31  
   
2009
       2008*
 
                 
ASSETS
               
Bonds
  $
3,112,564
     
3,104,395
 
Common stocks
   
94,472
     
134,700
 
Affiliated mortgage loan
   
39,855
     
40,000
 
Other investments
   
153,634
     
172,346
 
Short-term investments
   
209,957
     
137,878
 
Total investments
   
3,610,482
     
3,589,319
 
                   
Cash on hand and in banks
   
(32,603
)    
(36,472
)
Interest and dividends due and accrued
   
35,716
     
36,523
 
Premiums receivable
   
480,317
     
476,768
 
Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and expenses
   
5,262
     
6,513
 
Federal income tax recoverable
   
-
     
12,069
 
Deferred tax recoverable
   
88,964
     
86,208
 
EDP equipment
   
3,246
     
3,815
 
Equities and deposits in pools and associations
   
8,220
     
8,517
 
Receivable for sold securities
   
1,355
     
13,278
 
Capital contribution receivable
   
20,000
     
-
 
Other assets
   
26,317
     
28,719
 
Total assets
  $
4,247,276
     
4,225,257
 
                   
LIABILITIES
                 
Reserve for losses
  $
2,045,009
     
2,031,947
 
Reinsurance payable on paid loss and loss expense
   
912
     
716
 
Reserve for loss expenses
   
389,245
     
382,796
 
Unearned premiums
   
759,627
     
747,717
 
Reserve for commissions payable
   
31,653
     
48,560
 
Ceded balances payable
   
10,840
     
8,421
 
Federal income tax payable
   
14,515
     
-
 
Premium and other taxes payable
   
23,407
     
20,721
 
Reserve for dividends to policyholders
   
4,134
     
5,023
 
Reserves for unauthorized/overdue reinsurance
   
1,416
     
1,416
 
Payable for securities
   
36,149
     
-
 
Funds withheld on account of others
   
6,210
     
4,977
 
Accrued salaries and benefits
   
57,511
     
74,287
 
Other liabilities
   
16,663
     
14,245
 
Total liabilities
   
3,397,291
     
3,340,826
 
             
 
   
                   
POLICYHOLDERS' SURPLUS
                 
Capital
   
28,325
     
28,325
 
Paid in surplus
   
235,792
     
235,792
 
Unassigned surplus
   
585,868
     
620,314
 
Total policyholders' surplus
   
849,985
     
884,431
 
     Total liabilities and policyholders' surplus
  $
4,247,276
     
4,225,257
 
                   
*December 31, 2008 results include a retroactive affiliate transaction involving Selective Insurance Company of America, Selective Insurance Group, Inc., and Wantage Avenue Holding Company, Inc.
   
 
 
 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.
Combined Insurance Company Subsidiaries
Unaudited Statutory Statements Of Income
($ in thousands)
                       
                       
   
  Three Months Ended
     
         
March
           
                       
UNDERWRITING
 
2009
         
2008
     
                       
                       
Net premiums written
  $
375,783
           
391,953
     
                           
Net premiums earned
   
363,873
           
383,387
     
                           
                           
Net losses paid
   
195,792
           
188,840
     
Change in reserve for losses
   
13,062
           
21,284
     
Net losses incurred
   
208,854
     
57.4
%    
210,124
     
54.8
%
Net loss expenses paid
   
36,685
             
34,461
     
Change in reserve for loss expenses
   
6,451
             
8,279
     
Net loss expenses incurred
   
43,136
     
11.9
%    
42,740
     
11.1
%
Net underwriting expenses incurred
   
115,813
     
30.8
%    
126,486
     
32.3
%
     Total deductions
   
367,803
             
379,350
     
Statutory (loss) gain
   
(3,930
)            
4,037
     
                             
                             
                             
Net loss from premium balances charged off
   
(1,334
)            
(653
)    
Finance charges and other income
   
1,266
             
691
     
Total other (expense) income
   
(68
)    
0.0
%    
38
     
0.0
%
Policyholders' dividends incurred
   
(465
)    
0.1
%    
(535
)    
0.1
%
Total underwriting (loss) gain
   
(4,463
)    
100.2
%    
3,540
     
98.3
%
     
 
                     
                             
INVESTMENT
                           
Net investment income earned
   
26,054
             
40,248
     
Net realized (loss) gain
   
(24,978
)            
3,320
     
Total (loss) income before income tax
   
(3,387
)            
47,108
     
Federal income tax expense
   
9,584
             
14,694
     
                     
 
     
                             
Net (loss) income
  $
(12,971
)            
32,414
     
                             
                             
Policyholders' Surplus
                           
Surplus, beginning of period
  $
884,431
             
1,034,294
     
                             
                             
Net (loss) income
   
(12,971
)            
32,414
     
Change in deferred tax
   
15,052
             
1,411
     
Change in unrealized (losses)
   
(22,061
)            
(18,115
)    
Dividends to stockholders
   
(12,003
)            
(24,540
)    
Paid in surplus
   
20,000
             
-
     
Change in non-admitted assets
   
(22,463
)            
(9,087
)    
Surplus adjustments
   
-
             
(95
)    
                             
                             
Net change in surplus for period
   
(34,446
)            
(18,012
)    
                             
                             
Surplus, end of period
  $
849,985
             
1,016,282
     
                             
                             
Statutory underwriting (loss) gain:
  $
(4,463
)            
3,540
     
                             
Adjustments under GAAP:
                           
Deferred policy acquisition costs
   
1,351
             
(876
)    
Other, net
   
149
             
(865
)    
GAAP underwriting (loss) gain
  $
(2,963
)            
1,799
     
                             
                             
Note: Some amounts or ratios may not foot due to rounding.
       
Certain amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current year's presentation.
 
 
 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
 
Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio as of March 31, 2009
 
($ in millions)
 
(unaudited)
                     
 
Average
 
Market
   
% of Total
   
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
 
 
Credit Rating
 
Value
   
Muni Portfolio
   
Gain/(Loss)
 
                     
 Uninsured Securities
AA+
    908       53 %     $26  
                           
 Securities with Insurance Enhanced1
AA+
    807       47 %     22  
     Without Insurance Enhancement
AA-
                       
                           
 Total
    $ 1,715       100 %     $48  
 

 
1 Includes $25.7 million of unrated municipal fixed income securities which are considered to be investment grade.
A "BBB-" rating has been applied to these municipal fixed income securities in the interest of conservatism.
           
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
     

 
 

 



Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Ratings on Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio
March 31, 2009
($ in millions)
(unaudited)
                     
 
Uninsured
Securities
(1)
Insurance Enhanced Securities1
(2)
Underlying Rating of Insurance Enhanced Securities1
(3)
Total Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio
(with Insurance Enhancement)
(1) + (2)
Total Municipal Fixed Income Portfolio
(without Insurance Enhancement)
(1) + (3)
Ratings
Market Value
 % of
Total
Market
Value
 % of
Total
Market
Value
 % of
Total
Market
Value
 % of
Total
Market
Value
 % of
Total
AAA
 $      481
53%
 $      221
27%
 $       63
8%
 $       702
41%
 $       545
32%
AA+
        150
16%
          85
11%
        102
13%
          235
14%
          252
15%
AA
        151
17%
        111
14%
        142
17%
          261
16%
          292
17%
AA-
          70
8%
        327
41%
        242
30%
          398
23%
          313
18%
A+
          28
3%
          10
1%
          87
11%
            39
2%
          115
7%
A
 -
0%
          40
5%
          75
9%
            40
2%
            75
4%
A-
          18
2%
          10
1%
          57
7%
            28
2%
            75
4%
BBB+
            1
0%
            3
0%
            9
1%
              4
0%
              9
1%
BBB
            7
1%
 -
0%
 -
0%
              7
0%
              7
0%
BBB-
 -
0%
 -
0%
          30
4%
 -
0%
            30
2%
BB+
            2
0%
 -
0%
 -
0%
              2
0%
              2
0%
Total
 $      908
100%
 $      807
100%
 $      807
100%
 $     1,715
100%
 $     1,715
100%
Average Rating:
 
AA+
 
AA+
 
AA-
 
AA+
  AA
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss):
26
 
22
     
48
     
 
 
1 Includes $25.7 million of unrated municipal fixed income securities which are considered to be investment grade.
A "BBB-" rating has been applied to these municipal fixed income securities in the interest of conservatism.
               
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
         

 
 

 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Structured Securities
March 31, 2009
 
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
•Market Value = $608,564 ; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($81,370)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 50%; Available for Sale (AFS) 50%
 
•Structured Security Portfolio Average Rating =   AA+
 
•Structured Securities = 16.8% of the Total Portfolio

 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Structured Securities
 Ratings Migration (1)
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
 (unaudited)
                 
                 
 
Original Rating
 
Current Rating
 
Rating
Amount
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
B
CC
AAA
$                  567,592
                     529,172
        6,954
        8,549
       14,811
       6,722
       1,384
-
AA
   25,452
         4,796
       17,432
        2,028
-
          291
-
905
A
           9,881
-
-
        9,881
-
-
-
-
BBB
           2,889
-
-
-
        2,580
          309
-
-
BB
           2,750
-
-
-
-
       2,750
-
-
Total Market Value
$                  608,564
     533,968
       24,386
       20,458
       17,391
     10,072
       1,384
905
                 
Note (1): Migration period is from the purchase date of each security to March 31, 2009
       
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 

 
 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS) Securities
March 31, 2009
 
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
•Market Value = $380,840; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($38,135)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 45%; Available for Sale (AFS) 55%
 
•RMBS & RABS Portfolio Average Rating = AA+
 
•RMBS & RABS Securities = 10.5% of the Total Portfolio
 

 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS)- by Vintage Year
March 31, 2009
 ($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
                     
 
                     
                       
Market Value
                 
 
                                                                   
Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
   
A
 
BBB
   
BB
     
   
CC
   
Total
   
% of Total RMBS & RABS
   
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
   
% of Total GAAP Equity
 
1983 
  $ 16     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 16       0 %     0 %     0 %
2002 
    60,840       -       1,927       -       -       -       -       62,767       16 %     2 %     7 %
2003 
    60,357       -       904       -       -       -       -       61,262       16 %     2 %     7 %
2004 
    42,712       1,426       -       -       -       -       -       44,138       12 %     1 %     5 %
2005 
    50,689       -       -       -       -       -       -       50,689       13 %     2 %     6 %
2006 
    69,051       4,193       -       11,427       6,468       1,384       905       93,428       25 %     3 %     10 %
2007 
    9,427       1,620       2,483       411       -       -       -       13,942       4 %     0 %     1 %
2008 
    28,537       -       -       -       -       -       -       28,537       7 %     1 %     3 %
2009 
    26,060       -       -       -       -       -       -       26,060       7 %     1 %     3 %
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value
  $ 347,691     $ 7,239     $ 5,314     $ 11,838     $ 6,468     $ 1,384     $ 905     $ 380,840       100 %     12 %     42 %
% of Total RMBS & RABS
    91 %     2 %     2 %     3 %     2 %     0 %     0 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    11 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     12 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    38 %     1 %     1 %     1 %     1 %     0 %     0 %     42 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    90.9       61.5       30.6       60.7       43.1       46.1       10.0       83.1                          
                                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                                   
                                                                                         
Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
     
BBB
   
BB
     
    B
 
CC
   
Total
                         
1983 
  $ 1     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 1                          
2002 
    1,237       -       (457 )     -       -       -       -       781                          
2003 
    160       -       (1,431 )     -       -       -       -       (1,271 )                        
2004 
    (1,822 )     (384 )     -       -       -       -       -       (2,206 )                        
2005 
    (12,761 )     -       -       -       -       -       -       (12,761 )                        
2006 
    (8,781 )     (1,982 )     -       (87 )     (2,101 )     (754 )     -       (13,705 )                        
2007 
    102       (1,075 )     (8,439 )     (308 )     -       -       -       (9,721 )                        
2008 
    638       -       -       -       -       -       -       638                          
2009 
    109       -       -       -       -       -       -       109                          
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ (21,117 )   $ (3,441 )   $ (10,327 )   $ (395 )   $ (2,101 )   $ (754 )   $ -     $ (38,135 )                        
% of Total RMBS & RABS
    55 %     9 %     27 %     1 %     6 %     2 %     0 %     100 %                        
                                                                                         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                                                             
 
 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) and Residential ABS (RABS)- by Type
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
                       
                       
Market Value
                     
 
                                                                   
RMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
     
A
   
BBB
   
BB
     
B
   
CC
   
Total
   
% of Total RMBS & RABS
   
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
   
% of Total GAAP Equity
 
Agency
  $ 260,221     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 260,221       68 %     9 %     29 %
FHA/VA
    10,252       -       -       -       -       -       -       10,252       3 %     0 %     1 %
Total Agency
    270,473       -       -       -       -       -       -       270,473       71 %     9 %     30 %
Alt-A
    30,289       1,426       -       3,210       3,571       1,384       -       39,880       10 %     1 %     4 %
Alt-A CDO
    -       -       -       -       -       -       905       905       0 %     0 %     0 %
Home Equity ABS
    -       -       1,927       -       -       -       -       1,927       1 %     0 %     0 %
Non-Agency & Other Prime
    46,929       5,814       3,387       8,628       2,897       -       -       67,656       18 %     2 %     8 %
Total RMBS & RABS-Market Value
  $ 347,691     $ 7,239     $ 5,314     $ 11,838     $ 6,468     $ 1,384     $ 905     $ 380,840       100 %     12 %     42 %
% of Total RMBS & RABS
    91 %     2 %     2 %     3 %     2 %     0 %     0 %     100 %                        
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    11 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     12 %                        
% of Total GAAP Equity
    38 %     1 %     1 %     1 %     1 %     0 %     0 %     42 %                        
Weighted Average Market Price
    90.9       61.5       30.6       60.7       43.1       46.1       10.0       83.1                          
                                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                                               
                                                                   
RMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
     
A
   
BBB
   
BB
     
   
CC
   
Total
   
Agency
  $ 7,684     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 7,684                          
FHA/VA
    (1,888 )     -       -       -       -       -       -       (1,888 )  
Total Agency
    5,796       -       -       -       -       -       -       5,796                          
Alt-A
    (11,907 )     (384 )     -       -       -       (754 )     -       (13,046 )                        
Alt-A CDO
    -       -       -       -       -       -       -       -                          
Home Equity ABS
    -       -       (457 )     -       -       -       -       (457 )                        
Non-Agency & Other Prime
    (15,006 )     (3,057 )     (9,871 )     (395 )     (2,101 )     -       -       (30,428 )  
Total RMBS & RABS - Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ (21,117 )   $ (3,441 )   $ (10,327 )   $ (395 )   $ (2,101 )   $ (754 )   $ -     $ (38,135 )  
% of Total RMBS & RABS
    55 %     9 %     27 %     1 %     6 %     2 %     0 %     100 %  
 
 

 
 
 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Residential Mortgage Backed (RMBS) and Asset Backed (RABS) Securities
 Ratings Migration (1)
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
 (unaudited)
 
 
Original Rating
 
Current Rating
Rating
Amount
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
B
CC
AAA
$                  374,385 
     347,560
        5,619
       1,927
       11,427
       6,468
       1,384
 
AA
         4,685 
         132
       1,620
        2,028
  -
    -
  -
905
A
           1,359 
-
  -
        1,359
-
  -
  -
-
BBB
$                        411
  -
  -
  -
        411
          -
  -
-
BB
           -  
  -
  -
  -
  -
      -
  -
 -
Total Market Value
        380,840 
     347,692
       7,239
       5,314
       11,838
     6,468
       1,384
905
                 
Note (1): Migration period is from the purchase date of each security to March 31, 2009
       
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
    • Market Value = $171,204; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($33,438)
    • Held to Maturity (HTM) 60%; Available for Sale (AFS) 40%
    • CMBS Portfolio Average Rating = AAA
    • CMBS Securities = 4.7% of the Total Portfolio
       
 
 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) - by Vintage Year
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
                   
                   
                   
Market Value
                 
 
Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
     
A
   
BBB
   
BB
   
Total
   
% of Total CMBS
   
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
   
% of Total GAAP Equity
 
1996
  $ 5,022     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 5,022       3 %     0 %     0 %
1999
    6,940       -       -       -       -       6,940       4 %     0 %     1 %
2000
    28,317       -       -       -       -       28,317       17 %     1 %     3 %
2001
    26,704       -       -       -       -       26,704       16 %     1 %     3 %
2002
    15,902       -       -       -       -       15,902       9 %     1 %     2 %
2003
    1,830       -       -       -       -       1,830       1 %     0 %     0 %
2004
    8,499       -       -       -       -       8,499       5 %     0 %     1 %
2005
    951       -       1,029       718       254       2,952       2 %     0 %     0 %
2006
    21,208       1,335       -       1,945       -       24,488       14 %     1 %     3 %
2007
    45,817       -       -       1,383       3,350       50,550       30 %     2 %     6 %
Total CMBS-Market Value
  $ 161,190     $ 1,335     $ 1,029     $ 4,046     $ 3,604     $ 171,204       100 %     6 %     19 %
% of Total CMBS
    94 %     1 %     1 %     2 %     2 %     100 %  
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    5 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     6 %  
% of Total GAAP Equity
    18 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     19 %  
Weighted Average Market Price
    95.3       38.1       23.0       20.5       19.5       79.5    
                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
 
                                                   
Vintage Yr
 
AAA
   
AA
     
   
BBB
   
BB
   
Total
   
1996 
  $ (234 )   $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ (234 )                        
1999 
    38       -       -       -       -       38                          
2000 
    137       -       -       -       -       137                          
2001 
    815       -       -       -       -       815                          
2002 
    782       -       -       -       -       782                          
2003 
    (174 )     -       -       -       -       (174 )                        
2004 
    (1,000 )     -       -       -       -       (1,000 )                        
2005 
    (634 )     -       (3,443 )     (4,081 )     (2,568 )     (10,728 )                        
2006 
    (5,216 )     751       -       (7,673 )     -       (12,138 )                        
2007 
    (3,247 )     -       -       (1,970 )     (5,720 )     (10,937 )  
Total CMBS-Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ (8,733 )   $ 751     $ (3,443 )   $ (13,724 )   $ (8,289 )   $ (33,438 )  
% of Total CMBS
    26 %     -2 %     10 %     41 %     25 %     100 %  
                                                                         
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
                                   
 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS) - by Type
March 31, 2009
($ thousands)
(unaudited)
                   
 
Market Value
                 
   
CMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
         
BBB
   
BB
   
Total
   
% of Total CMBS
   
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
   
% of Total GAAP Equity
 
Agency MultiFamily
  $ 90,968     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 90,968       53 %     3 %     10 %
Conduit
    11,252       -       -       -       -       11,252       7 %     1 %     1 %
Fusion (1)
    48,565       -       -       851       600       50,016       29 %     2 %     6 %
Lease-Backed
    4,148       -       -       -       -       4,148       2 %     0 %     0 %
Re-Securitization
    1,231       1,335       1,029       1,945       254       5,794       3 %     0 %     1 %
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
    5,026       -       -       1,250       2,750       9,026       5 %     0 %     1 %
Total CMBS-Market Value
  $ 161,190     $ 1,335     $ 1,029     $ 4,046     $ 3,604     $ 171,204       100 %     6 %     19 %
% of Total CMBS
    94 %     1 %     1 %     2 %     2 %     100 %  
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    5 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     0 %     6 %  
% of Total GAAP Equity
    18 %     0 %     0 %     0 %     1 %     19 %  
Weighted Average Market Price
    95.3       38.1       23.0       20.5       19.5       79.5    
                                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                 
                                                   
CMBS Type
 
AAA
   
AA
     
  A 
   
BBB
   
BB
   
Total
   
Agency MultiFamily
  $ 3,383     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ -     $ 3,383                          
Conduit
    (89 )     -       -       -       -       (89 )                        
Fusion (1)
    (7,815 )     -       -       (5,301 )     (3,470 )     (16,586 )                        
Lease-Backed
    40       -       -       -       -       40                          
Re-Securitization
    (4,240 )     751       (3,443 )     (7,673 )     (2,569 )     (17,174 )                        
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
    (12 )     -       -       (750 )     (2,250 )     (3,012 )  
Total CMBS-Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ (8,733 )   $ 751     $ (3,443 )   $ (13,724 )   $ (8,289 )   $ (33,438 )  
% of Total CMBS
    26 %     -2 %     10 %     41 %     25 %     100 %  
 
 
(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans.
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
 
 

 
 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)
 
Ratings Migration (1)
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
             
             
Original Rating
Current Rating
       
 
Rating
 
 
Amount
 
AAA
 
AA
 
A
 
BBB
 
BB
AAA
$                     161,088
    156,525
        1,335
        1,029
        1,945
          254
AA
               4,956
        4,665
             -
-
-
          291
A
                    -
-
-
-
-
-
BBB
               2,410
-
-
-
        2,101
          309
BB
               2,750
-
-
-
-
        2,750
Total Market Value
$                     171,204
    161,190
        1,335
        1,029
        4,046
        3,604
             
 
Note (1): Migration period is from the purchase date of each security to March 31, 2009
 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
2007 Vintage Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
March 31, 2009
 
 
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
•Market Value = $50,550; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($10,937)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 41%; Available for Sale (AFS) 59%
 
•2007 Vintage CMBS Portfolio Average Rating = AA+
 
•2007 Vintage CMBS Securities = 1.6% of the Fixed Income Portfolio
 
•2007 Vintage CMBS Securities = 1.4% of the Total Portfolio
 
•2007 Vintage CMBS Securities = 5.5% of GAAP Equity
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
2007 Vintage Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
               
 
Market Value
                                         
                                           
CMBS Type
 
AAA
   
BBB
   
BB
   
Total
   
% of 2007 Vintage CMBS
   
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
   
% of Total GAAP Equity
 
Agency MultiFamily
  $ 40,531     $ -     $ -     $ 40,531       80 %     1 %     4 %
Fusion (1)
    5,286       133       600       6,020       12 %     0 %     1 %
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
    -       1,250       2,750       4,000       8 %     1 %     1 %
2007 Vintage CMBS-Market Value
  $ 45,817     $ 1,383     $ 3,350     $ 50,550       100 %     2 %     6 %
% of 2007 Vintage CMBS
    91 %     2 %     7 %     100 %  
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
    1 %     0 %     1 %     2 %  
% of Total GAAP Equity
    5 %     0 %     1 %     6 %  
Weighted Average Market Price
    93.3       27.7       21.4       72.5    
                                                         
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                                   
CMBS Type
 
AAA
   
BBB
   
BB
   
Total
   
Agency MultiFamily
  $ 1,491     $ -     $ -     $ 1,491                          
Fusion (1)
    (4,737 )     (1,220 )     (3,470 )     (9,427 )                        
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
    -       (750 )     (2,250 )     (3,000 )  
2007 Vintage CMBS-Unrealized/Unrecognized
  $ (3,247 )   $ (1,970 )   $ (5,720 )   $ (10,937 )  
% of 2007 Vintage CMBS
    30 %     18 %     52 %     100 %  
 
 
(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
2005 & 2006 Vintage Commercial Mortgage Backed (CMBS) Securities
March 31, 2009
 
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
•Market Value = $27,440; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($22,866)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 54%; Available for Sale (AFS) 46%
 
•2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS Portfolio Average Rating = AA+
 
•2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS Securities = 0.9% of the Fixed Income Portfolio
 
•2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS Securities = 0.8% of the Total Portfolio
 
•2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS Securities = 3.0% of GAAP Equity
 
 
 

 
 
 
Selective Insurance Group Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
2005 & 2006 Vintage Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities (CMBS)
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
                   
Market Value
                 
                   
CMBS Type
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
Total
 % of 2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
% of Total GAAP Equity
Agency MultiFamily
 $             12,497
 $                    -
 $                    -
 $                  -
 $                 -
 $             12,497
46%
1%
1%
Fusion (1)
                   8,431
                       -
                       -
                  718
                    -
                  9,149
33%
0%
1%
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
                   1,231
                1,335
                1,029
               1,945
                 254
                  5,794
21%
0%
1%
2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS-Market Value
 $             22,159
 $             1,335
 $             1,029
 $           2,663
 $              254
 $             27,440
100%
1%
3%
% of 2007 Vintage CMBS
81%
5%
3%
10%
1%
100%
     
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
1%
0%
0%
0%
0%
1%
     
% of Total GAAP Equity
2%
0%
0%
0%
1%
3%
     
Weighted Average Market Price
80.3
38.1
23.0
18.1
9.0
51.7
     
                   
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
                   
CMBS Type
AAA
AA
A
BBB
BB
Total
     
Agency MultiFamily
 $                   (41)
 $                    -
 $                    -
 $                  -
 $                 -
 $                   (41)
     
Fusion (1)
                 (1,569)
                       -
                       -
             (4,081)
                    -
                 (5,650)
     
Single Borrower - Multiple Properties
                 (4,240)
                   751
               (3,443)
             (7,673)
            (2,568)
              (17,174)
     
2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS-Unrealized/Unrecognized
 $              (5,850)
 $                751
 $           (3,443)
 $        (11,754)
 $         (2,568)
 $           (22,866)
     
% of 2005 & 2006 Vintage CMBS
26%
-3%
15%
51%
11%
100%
     
                   
                   
(1) Fusion means a CMBS composed of large and small loans
             
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.
               
 
 
 
 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Alt-A RMBS Securities
March 31, 2009
 
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
•Market Value = $40,785; Unrealized Gain/(Loss) = ($13,046)
 
•Held to Maturity (HTM) 2%; Available for Sale (AFS) 98%
 
•Alt-A RMBS Portfolio Average Rating = AA
 
•Alt-A RMBS Securities = 1.1% of the Total Portfolio
   
-Fixed-30 Loan-to-Value Ratio = 72.6%
    -Hybrid ARM Loan-to-Value Ratio = 71.9% 
    -Fixed-15 Loan-to-Value Ratio = 42.2% 
 
 
 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
ALT-A by Vintage Year
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
 
 
Market Value
 

Vintage Yr
ALT-A Fixed-15
Alt-A Fixed-30
Alt-A Hybrid ARM
Alt-A CDO
Total
% of Total Alt-A
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
% of Total GAAP Equity
2002
 $            5,340
 $                   -
 $                   -
 $                   -
 $            5,340
13%
0%
0%
2003
-
1,698
430
-
2,128
5%
0%
0%
2004
-
                     2,043
1,535
-
3,578
9%
0%
0%
2005
-
                     2,993
2,396
-
5,389
13%
0%
1%
2006
-
                   21,509
1,936
905
24,350
60%
1%
3%
Total ALT-A, Market Value
 $            5,340
 $          28,243
 $            6,297
 $               905
 $          40,785
100%
1%
4%
% of Total ALT-A
13%
69%
16%
2%
100%
     
% of Total Fixed Income Portfolio
0%
1%
0%
0%
1%
     
% of Total GAAP Equity
0%
3%
1%
0%
4%
     
Weighted Average Market Price
99.8
45.3
54.5
10.0
46.2
     
                 
                 
Unrealized/Unrecognized Gain/(Loss)
       
                 
Vintage Yr
ALT-A Fixed-15
Alt-A Fixed-30
Alt-A Hybrid ARM
Alt-A CDO
Total
     
2002
 $                  (9)
 $                   -
 $                   -
 $                   -
 $                  (9)
     
2003
-
 (338)
 (69)
-
 (407)
     
2004
-
 (260)
 (443)
-
 (703)
     
2005
-
 (681)
 (2,225)
-
 (2,906)
     
*2006
-
 (6,573)
 (2,448)
-
 (9,021)
     
Total ALT-A, Unrealized/Unrecognized
 $                   (9)
 $          (7,852)
 $          (5,185)
 $                   -
 $        (13,046)
     
% of Total ALT-A
0%
60%
40%
0%
100%
     
 
*Alt-A purchases in 3Q06 were halted—no 2007 or later vintage in portfolio.
 
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 

 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
Fixed Income Government & Agency Exposure
March 31, 2009
($ in thousands)
(unaudited)
               
         
Unrecognized/
Unrealized
   
   
Market Value
   
Gains
   
               
          US Government
             
Small Business Adm
  $ 36,143     $ 1,079    
US Treasury (1)
    39,686       5,479    
Other US Govt Guaranteed (2)
    96,156       1,640    
        Total US Government
    171,985       8,198    
                   
                   
                   
          Government Agency Debt
                 
Fannie Mae
    40,316       351    
Freddie Mac
    40,301       301    
      80,617       652    
Federal Farm Credit Bank
    47,523       293    
Federal Home Loan Bank
    31,122       943    
Tenn Valley Authority
    13,526       1,177    
      92,171       2,413    
      Total Govt Agency Debt
    172,788       3,065    
                   
          Total US Government Obligations
    344,773       11,263    
                   
          Agency MBS
                 
Fannie Mae
    78,201       2,381    
Freddie Mac
    107,728       2,408    
        Total Agency MBS(3)
    185,929       4,789    
                   
                   
                   
          Total Government & Agency Exposure
  $ 530,702     $ 16,052    
                   
                   
                   

 
(1) $24.0 Million market value on deposit.
 
(2) U.S. Government includes corporate securities fully guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC).
 
(3) Included in the portfolios are $177.7 million market value of Ginnie Mae MBS which benefit from a direct government guarantee.

 
Note: Some amounts may not foot due to rounding.

 

 
 
Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
 
Fixed Maturity Securities
 
Severity and Duration of Unrealized/Unrecognized Losses
 
March 31, 2009
 
($ in millions)
 
(unaudited)
 
             
             
             
   
Unrealized/
Unrecognized
 
Fair
 
Fair Value as a Percentage of Amortized Cost
 
(Loss) Gain
   
Value
 
85% but less than 100% of amortized cost
  $ (21.3 )     573.4  
75% or more but less than 85% of amortized cost
    (16.7 )     72.3  
Less than 75% of amortized cost
    (93.3 )     90.5  
Gross unrealized/unrecognized losses on fixed maturity securities
    (131.3 )     736.2  
Gross unrealized/unrecognized gains on fixed maturity securities
    92.5       2,370.8  
Net unrealized/unrecognized losses on fixed maturity securities
  $ (38.8 )     3,107.0  
                 
                 
   
75% or more but less than 85% of Amortized Cost/
 
Less than 75% of Amortized Cost/
 
Duration of Unrealized/Unrecognized Loss Position
   
Carry Value 
     
Carry Value 
 
0 – 3 months
  $ (5.0 )     (7.9 )
4 – 6 months
    (10.2 )     (24.6 )
7 – 9 months
    (1.5 )     (15.5 )
10 – 12 months
    -       (7.6 )
Greater than 12 months
    -       (37.7 )
Gross unrealized/unrecognized losses
  $ (16.7 )     (93.3 )


 
 

 
 

 
 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
 
Credit Quality of Available for Sale Securities
 
March 31, 2009
 
($ in millions)
 
(unaudited)
 
                                     
   
March 31, 2009
   
December 31, 2008
 
   
Fair Value
   
Unrealized Gain (Loss)
   
Credit Quality
   
Fair Value
   
Unrealized Gain (Loss)
   
Credit Quality
 
AFS Portfolio:
                                   
U.S. government obligations1
  $ 177.7       2.6    
AAA
      252.2       16.6    
AAA
 
State and municipal obligations
    451.0       21.8    
AA+
      1,758.0       18.6    
AA+
 
Corporate securities
    305.5       (9.7 )  
A
      366.5       (22.9 )  
A
 
Mortgage-backed securities
    278.6       (37.6 )  
AA+
      596.2       (86.1 )  
AA+
 
Asset-backed securities ("ABS")
    26.7       (2.8 )  
AA
      61.4       (15.3 )  
AA
 
     Total AFS portfolio
  $ 1,239.5       (25.7 )  
AA+
      3,034.3       (89.1 )  
AA+
 
                                                 
State and Municipal Obligations:
                                               
Government obligations
  $ 251.2       12.0    
AA+
      574.1       16.2    
AA+
 
Special revenue obligations
    199.8       9.8    
AA+
      1,183.9       2.4    
AA+
 
     Total state and municipal obligations
  $ 451.0       21.8    
AA+
      1,758.0       18.6    
AA+
 
                                                 
Corporate Securities:
                                               
Financial
  $ 63.2       (8.2 )  
AA-
      101.0       (13.1 )  
 A+
 
Industrials
    41.4       1.0    
 A
      67.7       (2.1 )  
 A-
 
Utilities
    27.5       (0.3 )  
 A-
      47.6       (0.8 )    A  
Consumer discretion
    29.8       (1.0 )  
 
      33.9       (1.5 )  
 A-
 
Consumer staples
    43.2       1.3    
 
      42.0       0.5      A  
Health care
    35.5       1.6    
AA
      22.7       0.7    
 A+
 
Materials
    12.3       (2.7 )  
 A-
      13.2       (3.7 )  
BBB+
 
Energy
    30.0       1.0    
 A+
      19.1       (0.2 )  
 A-
 
Information technology
    10.2       (1.8 )  
BBB-
      10.1       (1.9 )  
BBB
 
Telecommunications services
    12.4       (0.6 )  
 A-
      9.2       (0.8 )  
 A-
 
     Total corporate securities
  $ 305.5       (9.7 )  
 A
      366.5       (22.9 )  
 A
 
                                                 
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                               
Agency CMBS
  $ 68.5       2.8    
AAA
      72.9       2.8    
AAA
 
Non-agency CMBS
    -       -    
 -
      154.3       (34.8 )  
AAA
 
Agency RMBS
    103.3       3.0    
AAA
      245.5       4.2    
AAA
 
Non-agency RMBS
    66.9       (30.3 )  
AA+
      74.3       (28.4 )  
AA+
 
Alternative-A ("Alt-A") RMBS
    39.9       (13.1 )  
AA+
      49.2       (29.9 )  
AA+
 
     Total MBS
  $ 278.6       (37.6 )  
AA+
      596.2       (86.1 )  
AA+
 
                                                 
Asset-backed securities:
                                               
ABS
  $ 26.7       (2.8 )  
AA
      59.3       (15.1 )  
AA+
 
Alt-A ABS
    -       -    
 -
      0.9       -    
 B
 
Sub-prime ABS2
    -       -    
 -
      1.2       (0.2 )  
 A
 
     Total ABS
  $ 26.7       (2.8 )  
AA
      61.4       (15.3 )  
AA
 
                                                 
1 U.S. Governemnt includes coporate securities fully guaranteed by the FDIC.
                         
2 Sub-prime exposure is defined as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO® scores below 650.
 
 
Unrealized gains (losses) represent market value fluctuations from the later of:  (i) the date a security is designated as available for sale; or (ii) the date that an other-than-temporary impairment charge is recognized, through the end of the reporting period.
 
 
 

 

 
 

Selective Insurance Group, Inc. and Consolidated Subsidiaries
 
Credit Quality of Held to Maturity Securities
 
March 31, 2009
 
($ in millions)
 
(unaudited)
 
                                     
   
Fair Value
   
Carry Value
   
Unrecognized Holding Gain (Loss)
   
Unrealized Gain (Loss) in Other Comprehensive Income
   
Total Unrealized / Unrecognized Gain (Loss)
   
Credit Quality
 
 
HTM Fixed Maturity Portfolio1:
                                   
U.S. government obligations
  $ 167.1       165.6       1.5       7.2       8.7    
AAA
 
State and municipal obligations
    1,263.7       1,278.2       (14.5 )     40.6       26.1    
AA+
 
Corporate securities
    133.5       133.1       0.4       (7.3 )     (6.9 )  
  A
 
Mortgage-backed securities
    270.6       276.2       (5.6 )     (28.0 )     (33.6 )  
AAA
 
Asset-backed securities
    32.6       33.4       (0.8 )     (6.6 )     (7.4 )  
AA
 
     Total HTM portfolio
  $ 1,867.5       1,886.5       (19.0 )     5.9       (13.1 )  
AA+
 
                                                 
State and Municipal Obligations:
                                               
Government obligations
  $ 310.6       315.1       (4.5 )     17.0       12.5    
AA+
 
Special revenue obligations
    953.1       963.1       (10.0 )     23.6       13.6    
AA+
 
     Total state and municipal obligations
  $ 1,263.7       1,278.2       (14.5 )     40.6       26.1    
AA+
 
                                                 
Corporate Securities:
                                               
Financial
  $ 41.1       41.8       (0.7 )     (5.0 )     (5.7 )  
 A
 
Industrials
    32.0       31.7       0.3       (2.5 )     (2.2 )  
 A-
 
Utilities
    16.9       16.5       0.4       (0.1 )     0.3    
 A+
 
Consumer discretion
    10.6       10.6       -       0.2       0.2    
 A
 
Consumer staples
    18.9       18.7       0.2       0.6       0.8    
AA-
 
Health care
    3.0       3.0       -       -       -    
BBB
 
Materials
    1.9       1.9       -       (0.1 )     (0.1 )  
BBB
 
Energy
    9.1       8.9       0.2       (0.4 )     (0.2 )  
 A
 
     Total corporate securities
  $ 133.5       133.1       0.4       (7.3 )     (6.9 )  
 A
 
                                                 
Mortgage-backed securities:
                                               
Agency CMBS
  $ 22.5       22.4       0.1       0.5       0.6    
AAA
 
Non-agency CMBS
    80.2       85.8       (5.6 )     (31.2 )     (36.8 )  
AA+
 
Agency RMBS
    156.7       157.0       (0.3 )     3.1       2.8    
AAA
 
Non-agency RMBS
    11.2       11.0       0.2       (0.4 )     (0.2 )  
AAA
 
     Total mortgage-backed securities
  $ 270.6       276.2       (5.6 )     (28.0 )     (33.6 )  
AAA
 
                                                 
Asset-backed securities:
                                               
ABS
  $ 30.6       30.9       (0.3 )     (6.8 )     (7.1 )  
AA+
 
Alt-A ABS
    0.9       1.3       (0.4 )     0.4       -    
CC
 
Sub-prime ABS2
    1.1       1.2       (0.1 )     (0.2 )     (0.3 )  
 A
 
     Total ABS
  $ 32.6       33.4       (0.8 )     (6.6 )     (7.4 )  
AA
 
                                                 
1 2008 HTM securities are not presented as they are not material
2 Sub-prime exposure is defined as exposure to direct and indirect investments in non-agency residential mortgages with average FICO® scores below 650.

Unrecognized holding gains (losses) represent market value fluctuations from the later of:  (i) the date a security is designated as held to maturity; or (ii) the date that an other-than-temporary impairment charge is recognized, through the end of the reporting period.  In addition, for securities transferred from an available-for-sale designation, unrealized gain/loss amounts represent market value fluctuations from the later of: (i) the date a security was originally designated as available for sale; or (ii) the date that an other-than-temporary impairment charge was recognized, through the date of transfer, net of amortization subsequent to the date of transfer.