EX-99.3 14 dex993.htm VALUATION REPORT BY BANCO DE INVESTIMENTO CREDIT SUISSE (BRASIL) S.A. Valuation Report by Banco de Investimento Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A.
Valuation Report
Ultrapar Participações S.A., Refinaria de
Petróleo Ipiranga S.A., Distribuidora de
Produtos de Petróleo Ipiranga S.A. and
Companhia Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga
CONFIDENTIAL
November 8, 2007
Exhibit 99.3


1
CONFIDENTIAL
1.
Executive Summary
2
2.
Information on the Appraiser
11
3.
Description of the Companies
16
4.
General Grounds of Valuation
25
5.
Valuation Summary
27
6.
Final Considerations
90
Appendix
I.
Comparable Public Company Analysis
II.
Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis
III.
Share Price Evolution on the BVSP
IV.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
V.
Net Debt
VI.
Overview of the Industries of the Analyzed Companies
VII.
Description of the Valuation Methodology
VIII.
Glossary
Index


CONFIDENTIAL
2
1. Executive Summary


3
CONFIDENTIAL
The
following
information
is
important
and
should
be
read
carefully
in
its
entirety:
1.
This
Valuation
Report
was
prepared
solely
for
the
Board
of
Directors
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
its
shareholders
in
connection
with
the
proposed
Transaction
and
should
not
be
used
for
any
other
purpose.
This
Valuation
Report
may
not
be
used
by
any
third
party
and
may
not
be
used
for
any
other
purpose
without
the
prior
written
consent
of
CS.
This
Valuation
Report,
including
its
analysis
and
conclusions,
does
not
constitute
a
recommendation
to
any
shareholder
or
member
of
the
Board
of
Directors
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
or
of
Ultrapar
on
how
to
vote
or
act
on
any
matter
related
to
the
Transaction.
The
base
date
used
in
this
Valuation
Report
is
September
30,
2007.
2.
In
order
to
reach
the
conclusions
presented
in
this
Valuation
Report,
we:
(i)
reviewed
(a)
the
consolidated
financial
statements
of
Grupo
Ipiranga,
audited
by
PriceWaterhouseCoopers
for
the
years
ended
December
31,
2004,
2005
and
2006
and
the
interim
financial
statements
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
audited
by
KPMG
Auditores
Independentes
(“KPMG”)
for
the
nine-month
period
ended
September
30,
2007,
and
(b)
the
consolidated
financial
statements
of
Ultrapar
for
the
years
ended
December
31,
2004,
2005
and
2006
audited
by
Deloitte
Touche
Tohmatsu
and
the
consolidated
interim
financial
statements
of
Ultrapar
audited
by
KPMG
for
the
nine-month
period
ended
September
30,
2007;
(ii)
reviewed
other
information
provided
by
each
one
of
the
Companies,
including
financial
and
operating
projections
for
the
next
4
years
provided
by
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar;
(iii)
held
discussions
with
the
management
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
about
the
business
and
perspectives
of
the
Companies;
and
(iv)
took
into
consideration
other
relevant
information,
financial
studies
and
analysis,
and
financial,
economic
and
market
research
and
criteria
(items
(i)
through
(iv)
collectively,
the
“Information”).
3.
Within
the
scope
of
our
review,
we
do
not
take
any
responsibility
for
any
independent
investigation
of
any
of
the
above-mentioned
Information
and
believe
that
the
Information
is
complete
and
precise
in
all
of
its
relevant
aspects.
In
addition,
we
were
not
asked
to
assume
and
did
not
assume
the
independent
verification
of
any
such
Information,
or
the
independent
verification
or
valuation
of
any
asset
or
liability
(whether
contingent
or
not)
of
any
of
the
Companies,
nor
did
we
receive
any
valuation
of
this
nature
and
we
did
not
appraise
the
solvency
or
fair
value
of
the
Companies
for
purposes
of
Brazilian
laws
related
to
bankruptcy,
insolvency
or
similar
matters.
Introduction
Banco
de
Investimentos
Credit
Suisse
(Brasil)
S.A.
(“CS”)
was
retained
by
Companhia
Brasileira
de
Petróleo
Ipiranga
(“CBPI”),
Refinaria
de
Petróleo
Ipiranga
S.A.
(“RIPI”)
and
Distribuidora
de
Produtos
de
Petróleo
Ipiranga
S.A.
(“DPPI”,
and
together
with
CBPI
and
RIPI,
collectively
“Ipiranga”
or
“Grupo
Ipiranga”)
to
prepare
a
financial
Valuation
Report
(“Valuation
Report”)
on
the
value
of
the
shares
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
Participações
S.A.
(“Ultrapar,”
and
together
with
Ipiranga,
collectively
the
“Companies”),
which
Valuation
Report
will
be
used
in
connection
with
the
exchange
of
the
Grupo
Ipiranga
shares
for
Ultrapar
shares
(“Transaction”)
in
accordance
with
Articles
254-A
and
137
of
Brazilian
Law
No.
6,404/64
(“Brazilian
Corporation
Law”)
and
CVM
Instruction
No.
319/99.
This
valuation
report
is
a
free
translation
of
the
original
valuation
report
prepared
in
the
Portuguese
language
and
filed
with
the
Brazilian
Securities
Commission
(Comissão
de
Valores
Mobiliários).
To
the
extent
that
any
inconsistencies
between
this
free
translation
and
the
original
valuation
report
in
Portuguese
exist,
the
original
valuation
report
will
be
deemed
to
control
in
all
respects.


4
CONFIDENTIAL
Introduction (Cont.)
4.
No
declaration
or
guarantee,
express
or
implied,
has
been
given
by
CS
with
respect
to
the
truth
and
completeness
of
the
information
contained
herein
and
upon
which
this
Valuation
Report
was
based.
Nothing
in
this
Valuation
Report
shall
be
interpreted
or
understood
as
being
a
representation
regarding
the
present,
past
or
future.
5.
We
do
not
provide,
nor
shall
we
provide,
expressly
or
implicitly,
any
representation
or
declaration
related
to
any
information
(including
financial
and
operating
projections
of
any
of
the
Companies,
or
assumptions
or
estimates
upon
which
such
projections
were
based)
used
in
this
Valuation
Report.
In
addition,
we
do
not
undertake
any
obligation
to
conduct,
and
we
did
not
conduct,
any
physical
inspection
of
the
properties
or
installations
of
the
Companies.
We
are
not
an
accounting
firm,
and
we
do
not
provide
accounting
or
auditing
services
in
connection
with
this
Valuation
Report.
We
are
not
a
law
firm,
and
we
do
not
provide
legal
or
tax
services
in
connection
with
this
Valuation
Report.
6.
The
operating
and
financial
projections
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
were
based
on
information
obtained
from
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
and
other
public
information,
and
we
assumed
that
such
projections
reflect
the
best
estimates
currently
available
in
connection
with
the
future
financial
performance
of
the
Companies,
which
were
appraised
on
a
stand-alone
basis.
7.
The
management
of
the
Companies
has
declared
to
us
that
the
operating
and
financial
projections
of
the
Companies
have
been
reasonably
prepared
on
bases
reflecting
the
best
currently
available
estimates
and
judgments
of
the
management
in
connection
with
the
future
financial
performance
of
the
Companies.
In
the
event
that
this
premise
is
not
valid,
the
results
presented
herein
may
change
substantially.
8.
The
Companies
have
delivered
projections
related
to
market
demand
and
growth.
We
assume
that
such
projections
were
prepared
reasonably
on
the
basis
of
the
best
currently
available
estimates.
9.
This
Valuation
Report
is
not
and
should
not
be
construed
as:
(i)
a
fairness
opinion
on
the
Transaction;
(ii)
a
recommendation
in
respect
of
any
aspect
of
the
Transaction;
or
(iii)
a
fairness
opinion
or
a
determination
on
the
fair
and/or
accurate
value
of
the
shares
of
the
Companies.
10.
In
cases
where
our
analysis
has
been
prepared
based
on
the
discounted
cash
flow
methodology,
we
assumed
a
macro-economic
scenario
based
on
projections
by
the
Central
Bank
of
Brazil,
which
projections
may
differ
substantially
from
future
results.
Due
to
the
fact
that
the
analysis
and
the
values
are
based
on
forecasts
of
future
results,
they
do
not
necessarily
indicate
actual
and
future
financial
results
of
the
Companies,
which
may
be
significantly
more
or
less
favorable
than
those
suggested
by
our
analysis.
Due
to
the
fact
that
this
analysis
is
intrinsically
subject
to
uncertainties,
based
on
several
events
and
factors
that
are
outside
of
our
control
and
the
control
of
the
Companies,
we
are
not
responsible
in
any
way
if
the
future
results
of
any
of
the
Companies
differ
substantially
from
the
results
presented
in
this
Valuation
Report.
There
is
no
guarantee
that
the
future
results
of
the
Companies
will
correspond
to
the
financial
projections
used
as
a
basis
for
our
analysis,
and
that
the
differences
between
our
projections
and
the
financial
results
of
the
Companies
may
not
be
relevant.
Future
results
of
the
Companies
may
also
be
affected
by
economic
and
market
conditions.


5
CONFIDENTIAL
Introduction (Cont.)
11.
The
preparation
of
a
financial
analysis
is
a
complex
procedure
that
involves
selecting
the
most
appropriate
and
relevant
methodology
and 
applying
that
methodology.
To
reach
the
conclusions
presented
in
this
Valuation
Report,
we
conducted
a
qualitative
analysis
and
reached
a
final
conclusion
based
on
the
results
of
the
analysis
as
a
whole
and
not
based
on,
or
related
to,
any
single
factor
of
our
analysis.
Therefore,
we
believe
that
our
analysis
must
be
considered
as
a
whole
and
that
the
selection
of
parts
of
our
analysis
or
specific
factors,
without
considering
our
analysis
and
conclusions
as
a
whole,
may
result
in
an
incomplete
and
incorrect
understanding
of
the
procedures
used
in
our
analysis
and
conclusions.
12.
This
Valuation
Report
indicates
solely
the
value
of
the
Companies
and
does
not
appraise
any
other
aspect
or
implication
of
the
Transaction
or
any
contract,
agreement
or
understanding
entered
into
in
connection
with
Transaction.
We
do
not
express
any
opinion
on
the
value
of
the
shares
to
be
issued
pursuant
to
the
terms
of
the
Transaction
or
the
value
at
which
the
shares
of
the
Companies
shall
be
or
may
be
negotiated
in
the
securities
market
at
any
time.
This
Valuation
Report
does
not
consider
the
merits
of
the
Transaction
as
compared
to
other
commercial
strategies
that
may
be
available
to
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar,
nor
does
it
consider
any
commercial
decisions
required
to
be
made
by
the
same
in
order
to
carry
out
the
Transaction.
The
results
presented
in
this
Valuation
Report
refer
exclusively
to
the
Transaction
and
do
not
apply
to
any
other
issue
or
transaction,
present
or
future,
relating
to
any
of
the
Companies,
the
economic
group
to
which
they
belong
or
the
sector
in
which
they
operate.
13.
Our
Valuation
Report
is
necessarily
based
on
information
that
was
made
available
to
us
as
of
the
date
hereof
and
considers
existing
market,
economic
and
other
conditions
as
of
such
date.
Although
future
events
and
other
events
may
affect
the
conclusions
presented
in
this
Valuation
Report,
we
do
not
have
an
obligation
to
update,
review,
rectify
or
revoke
all
or
any
part
of
this
Valuation
Report
due
to
any
subsequent
event
or
for
any
other
reason. 
14.
Our
analysis
does
not
distinguish
between
different
classes
and
types
of
shares
of
each
of
the
Companies
and
considers
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
as
stand-alone
companies
and,
therefore,
does
not
include
operating,
tax
or
other
benefits
or
losses,
nor
does
it
include
any
synergies,
incremental
value
and/or
costs,
if
any,
that
Grupo
Ipiranga
or
Ultrapar
may
incur
upon
the
closing
of
the
Transaction
or
of
any
other
transaction.
The
valuation
also
does
not
take
into
consideration
potential
operating
and
financial
gains
or
losses
that
may
be
incurred
after
the
Transaction
due
to
the
changes
in
the
current
business
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar.
15.
Grupo
Ipiranga
has
agreed
to
reimburse
our
expenses
and
to
indemnify
us
and
some
of
our
related
parties
for
certain
liabilities
and
expenses.
We
will
receive
a
fee
related
to
the
preparation
of
this
Valuation
Report,
which
is
payable
to
us
regardless
of
whether
the
Transaction
is
completed.


6
CONFIDENTIAL
Introduction (Cont.)
16.
In
the
past,
we
have
provided,
from
time
to
time,
investment
banking
services
and
other
financial
services
to
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
its
affiliates,
and
to
Ultrapar
and
its
affiliates,
for
which
we
have
been
compensated,
and
we
may
in
the
future
render
such
services
to
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
and/or
its
affiliates,
for
which
we
expect
to
be
compensated.
We
are
a
financial
institution
that
provides
a
variety
of
financial
and
other
services
related
to
securities,
brokerage
and
investment
banking.
During
the
normal
course
of
our
activities,
we
may
purchase,
hold
or
sell,
for
our
own
account
or
on
behalf
of
our
clients,
shares,
debt
instruments
and
other
securities
and
financial
instruments
(including
bank
loans
and
other
obligations)
of
Grupo
Ipiranga
and
Ultrapar
and
any
other
company
that
is
involved
in
the
Transaction,
as
well
as
provide
investment
banking
and
other
financial
services
to
such
companies
and
their
controlling
or
controlled
companies.
In
addition,
the
professionals
in
our
securities
research
department
and
other
departments
may
base
their
analyses
and
publications
on
different
operating
and
market
premises
and
on
different
methodologies
of
analysis
than
those
used
in
the
preparation
of
this
Valuation
Report,
such
that
the
research
reports
and
other
publications
prepared
by
them
may
contain
different
results
and
conclusions
than
those
presented
herein.
We
adopt
certain
policies
and
procedures
to
maintain
the
independence
of
our
security
analysts,
who
may
hold
different
opinions
than
those
of
our
investment
banking
department.
We
also
adopt
certain
policies
and
procedures
to
maintain
independence
between
the
investment
banking
department
and
other
CS
areas
and
departments,
including,
but
not
limited
to,
asset
management,
proprietary
trading,
debt
instruments,
securities
and
other
financial
instruments.
17.
This
Valuation
Report
is
the
intellectual
property
of
CS.
18.
Numerical
figures
shown
as
totals
in
this
Valuation
Report
may
not
be
an
arithmetic
aggregation
of
the
figures
that
preceded
them
due
to
rounding
adjustments.
Banco de Investimentos Credit Suisse (Brasil) S.A.


7
CONFIDENTIAL
Ultrapar
TEV
(R$ million)
Ultrapar
6,694.6
(-) Net Debt
(a)
(1,212.9)
Ultrapar - Equity Value
5,481.8
total number of shares (million)
80.74
-5%
+5%
Price per Share (R$ per share)
64.50
67.90
71.29
Note: Valuation as of September, 30 2007.
(a) Includes tag along to be paid
Ultrapar –
Valuation Summary
Based on economic value that was calculated by the discounted cash flow methodology (DCF), the price per
share of  Ultrapar (Ultrapar) ranges between R$ 64.50 and R$ 71.29
Volume Weighted
Share
Price
(1)
Economic
Value
(DCF)
Book
Value
Source:
Data
from
Ultrapar
(1) From 03/16/2007 to 10/31/2007
Note: The common
shares of Ultrapar have
limited
liquidity. Accordingly, we
have
excluded
the
value
and volume of
Ultrapar’s common
shares
from
this
analysis.
Source: Bloomberg
Ultrapar
PN
ON
Average Daily Trading Volume (R$ million)
8.08
NA
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
63.30
NA
Source: Data from Ultrapar and Credit Suisse
Note 1: Company Valuation as of September 30, 2007.
Note 2: Valuation of Ultrapar does not contemplate the premium from the
purchase of the control of Ipiranga.
(a)
For details on Net Debt, see page 112. Includes the value of R$163.1 million
to be disbursed in the tag-along.
Ultrapar
30-Sep-07
Shareholders' Equity (R$ million)
2,008.42
Total number of shares (million)
80.74
Book value per share (R$ per share)
24.88


8
CONFIDENTIAL
RIPI –
Valuation Summary
Based on economic value that was calculated by the discounted cash flow methodology (DCF), the price per
share of Refinaria
de Petróleo Ipiranga (RIPI) ranges between R$ 50.90 and R$ 56.26
Volume Weighted
Share
Price
(1)
Economic
Value
(DCF)
Book
Value
Source: Data from
Ipiranga
(1) From 03/16/2007 to 10/31/2007
Source: Bloomberg
RIPI
PN
ON
Average Daily Trading Volume (R$ million)
2.64
1.47
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
46.80
100.67
Source: Data from Ipiranga and Credit Suisse
(a) For details on the
valuations
of IQ, CBPI and DPPI, see pages 10, 49
and 57, respectivey.
(b) For details on Net Debt, see page 111.
RIPI
30-Sep-07
Shareholders' Equity (R$ million)
769.50
Total number of shares (million)
29.60
Book value per share (R$ per share)
26.00
RIPI
100% TEV
(%)
TEV
(R$ million)
IQ S.A. (a)
2,870.3
58.53%
1,680.0
CBPI S.A. (a)
3,858.5
11.42%
440.6
DPPI S.A. (a)
1,470.9
7.65%
112.5
RIPI Opco
4.0
100.00%
4.0
RIPI -
Total Enterprise Value
2,237.2
(-) Net Debt(b)
(651.2)
RIPI -
Equity Value
1,586.1
total number of shares (million)
29.60
-5%
+5%
Price per Share (R$ per share)
50.90
53.58
56.26


9
CONFIDENTIAL
DPPI –
Valuation Summary
Based on economic value that was calculated by the discounted cash flow methodology (DCF), the price per
share of Distribuidora de Produtos de Petróleo Ipiranga (DPPI) ranges between R$ 42.00 and R$ 46.42
Volume Weighted
Share
Price
(1)
Economic
Value
(DCF)
Book
Value
Source: Data from
Ipiranga
(1) From 03/16/2007 to 10/31/2007
Source: Bloomberg
DPPI
PN
ON
Average Daily Trading Volume (R$ million)
1.10
0.15
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
39.61
104.64
Source: Data from Ipiranga and Credit Suisse
(a) For details on the
valuation
of CBPI, see page 49.
(b) For details on
the
valuations of DPPI and Isa Sul, see pages 57 and 89,
respectively.
(c) For details on Net Debt, see page 111.
DPPI
100% TEV
(%)
TEV
(R$ million)
CBPI S.A. (a)
3,858.5
21.01%
810.7
DPPI S.A. (b)
660.2
100.00%
660.2
DPPI -
Total Enterprise Value
1,470.9
(-) Net Debt (c)
(56.1)
DPPI -
Equity Value
1,414.8
total number of shares (million)
32.00
-5%
+5%
Price per Share (R$ per share)
42.00
44.21
46.42
DPPI
30-Sep-07
Shareholders' Equity (R$ million)
909.97
Total number of shares (million)
32.00
Book value per share (R$ per share)
28.44


10
CONFIDENTIAL
CBPI –
Valuation Summary
Based on economic value that was calculated by the discounted cash flow methodology (DCF), the price per
share of Companhia Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga (CBPI) ranges between R$ 27.65 and R$ 30.57
Volume Weighted
Share
Price
(1)
Economic
Value
(DCF)
Book
Value
(1) From 03/16/2007 to 10/31/2007
Source: Bloomberg
Source: Data from
Ipiranga
CBPI
PN
ON
Average Daily Trading Volume (R$ million)
7.39
0.17
Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
25.49
54.87
Source: Data from Ipiranga and Credit Suisse
(a) For details on valuations of Copesul, IPQ and IQ, see pages 72, 80 and
89, respectively.
(b) Includes AM/PM, IASA and EMCA, as detailed on pages 65 and 89 of
this
Valuation
Report.
(c) For details on Net Debt, see page 111.
CBPI
100% TEV
(%)
TEV
(R$ million)
Copesul (a)
4,755.9
29.46%
1,401.1
IPQ Opco
1,330.0
100.00%
1,330.0
100% IPQ
2,731.1
IPQ S.A. (a)
2,731.1
100.00%
2,731.1
IQ Opco
139.3
100.00%
139.3
100% IQ S.A.
2,870.3
IQ S.A. (a)
2,870.3
41.47%
1,190.3
CBPI Opco
(b)
2,668.2
100.00%
2,668.2
CBPI -
Total Enterprise Value
3,858.5
(-) Net Debt (c)
(774.3)
CBPI -
Equity Value
3,084.2
total number of shares (million)
105.95
-5%
+5%
Price per Share (R$ per share)
27.65
29.11
30.57
CBPI
30-Sep-07
Shareholders' Equity (R$ million)
1,839.87
Total number of shares (million)
105.95
Book value per share (R$ per share)
17.37


CONFIDENTIAL
11
2. Information on the Appraiser


12
CONFIDENTIAL
Credit Suisse Credentials
In compliance with CVM Instructions, the following chart sets forth CS’s credentials.
CS has
acted
as
a
financial
adviser
in
important
merger
and
acquisition
transactions
in
Brazil:
2003
Advised Telesp Celular in the purchase of Tele Centro Oeste Celular
Telesp Celular SA
2003
Advised Mutual Investment Limited in the sale of its shares of Santista Têxtil to Camargo Corrêa 
Santista Têxtil SA
2003
Advised Brisa Participações e Empreendimentos Ltda., Camargo Corrêa Transportes S.A. and Andrade Gutierrez
Construções S.A. in the purchase of shares of CCR from Odebrecht
Companhia de Concessões Rodoviárias SA
2003
Advised Solae
LLC,
a
joint
venture
between
Bunge
and
Dupont,
in
a
combined
public
offering
for
the
sale
of
control
and
for Solae do Brasil Holdings S.A. to become a private company
Solae LLC
2003
Advised Rexam in the acquisition of 88.6% of the total capital of Latasa
Rexam PLC
2004
Advised Unibanco in the purchase of Hipercard
Unibanco -
Uniao de Bancos Brasileiros SA
2004
Advised Eni in the sale of Agip do Brasil to Petrobrás
Eni B.V.
2004
Advised Seara in the sale of its control to Cargill
Seara Alimentos SA
2004
Advised Bunge Ltda. in the purchase of  90.7% of the free-float of Bunge Brasil, increasing its share interest to 98.5%
Bunge Brasil SA
2005
Advised Usiminas in the exchange of shares of Siderar and Sidor for 16% of the total capital of Ternium
Ternium SA
2005
Advised Previ and Petros in their put option to sell 25% of the voting capital of Acesita
Acesita SA
2006
Advised TIM Partipações in the acquisition of shares of TIM Celular
TIM Participações SA
2006
Advised Dufry in the purchase of Brasif e Eurotrade
Dufry Management LTD
2006
Advised the
Schahin
Group
in
the
sale
of
its
share
interest
in
5
companies
to
Cemig,
MDU
Brasil
and
Brascan
Brasil
Schahin Engenharia Ltda
2006
Advised ALL in the acquisition of shares of Brasil Ferrovias S.A. and Novoeste Ferrovias S.A.
America Latina Logística S.A.
2006
Advised IP in the sale of Impacel to Stora Enso
International Paper
2006
Advised CVRD in the hostile acquisition of Inco, a Canadian mining company
Companhia Vale do Rio Doce S.A.
2006
Advised in the merger of Submarino and Americanas.com
Submarino S.A.
2006
Advised Bunge in the sale of Bunge Fertilizantes to Fosfertil
Bunge Brasil SA
2007
Advised MMX and Centennial Asset in the sale of 50% of the capital stock of MMX Minas-Rio to Anglo American
MMX Mineração e Metálicos S.A.
2007
Advised in the sale of Grupo Dedini Agro to Abengoa Bioenergy
Grupo Dedini Agro
2007
Advised in the sale of Magnesita to GP Investimentos
Magnesita S.A.
Date
Transaction
Company


13
CONFIDENTIAL
Credit Suisse Credentials
(Cont.)
Business experience of the professionals responsible for this Valuation Report:
Mr. José
Olympio Pereira is responsible for the investment banking department of Credit Suisse Brasil. 
From February 2001 to May 2004, Mr. José
Olympio worked for Citigroup Global Markets where he was co-responsible for the
investment banking department for Latin America and responsible for the investment banking department in Brazil. From February 1998
to December 2000,  Mr. Olympio was responsible for the Donaldson, Lufkin & Jenrette office in Brazil.  He also worked for Banco de
Investimentos Garantia S.A for 13 years, where he held several positions, including head of the corporate finance department. During his
professional career, Mr. Olympio was responsible for several mergers and acquisitions, and equity and bond public offerings in the
Brazilian and international capital markets.
Mr. Olympio holds a bachelor’s in civil engineering from Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio de Janeiro and holds a master’s degree
in business administration from Harvard Business School.
José
Olympio Pereira
Executive Officer, Director of Investment Banking in Brazil
Mr. Marco Gonçalves is responsible for mergers and acquisitions of the investment banking department of Credit Suisse Brasil. 
Before working for CS, Mr. Marco Gonçalves worked for ABN Amro Bank, Deustche Bank and BNP Paribas in
Brazil and in New York.
Mr. Gonçalves has more than 10 years of experience in investment banking
and has acted as advisor in several merger and acquisition
transactions in different industries.
Mr. Gonçalves holds a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering from Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina and a specialization
degree in finance from New York University.
Marco Gonçalves
Mergers and Acquisition, Investment Bank


14
CONFIDENTIAL
Credit Suisse Credentials (Cont.)
Business experience of the professionals responsible for this Valuation Report :
Claudio Sassaki
Vice President, Investment Bank
Mr. Eduardo Bontempo is part of the investment banking team of Credit Suisse in Brazil.
Before joining CS in May 2006,  Mr. Bontempo worked in the corporate finance department of Rio Bravo Investimentos. During his
professional career, Mr. Bontempo worked in several mergers and acquisition transactions and capital markets transactions.
Mr. Bontempo holds a bachelor’s degree in business administration from Fundação Getulio Vargas in São Paulo.
Eduardo Bontempo
Analyst, Investment Bank
Mr. Claudio Sassaki is part of the investment banking team of Credit Suisse in Brazil.
Before working for CS, Mr. Sassaki worked for Sagent Advisors and Citigroup Global Markets in New York.  During his professional
career,
Mr. Sassaki worked in several merger and acquisition transactions and capital markets transactions.
Mr. Sassaki holds a bachelor’s degree in architecture from Universidade de São Paulo and a master’s degree in business administration
from Stanford Graduate School of Business.


15
CONFIDENTIAL
Additional Considerations
Pursuant to CVM Instruction No. 319/99, CS declares that:
1. It has no direct or indirect interest in the Companies or in the Transaction, and there is no other significant circumstance that can
constitute a conflict of interest.
2. The controlling shareholder and the management of the Companies did not direct, limit, encumber or perform any act that compromised
or could compromise the access, use or communication of information, assets, documents or work methods that are relevant to the
quality of the conclusions.
3. There is no current or future conflict or pooling of interests with the controlling shareholder of Grupo Ipiranga, or its minority
shareholders, or in connection with Ultrapar and its partners, or in connection with the Transaction.
This Valuation Report is the intellectual property of CS.
In preparing this Valuation Report, CS did not assume any difference between different classes of shares of the Companies.  Numerical
figures shown as totals in this Valuation Report may not be an arithmetic aggregation of the figures that preceded them due to rounding
adjustments.


CONFIDENTIAL
16
3. Overview of the Companies


CONFIDENTIAL
17
3.1. Overview of Ultrapar
Participações S.A.


18
CONFIDENTIAL
Overview of Ultrapar Participações S.A.
Corporate Structure
VS: 66.0%
TS: 40.1%
Ultra S.A.
VS: 30.4%
TS: 21.1%
Others
VS: 3.6%
TS: 38.8%
Free Float
Oxiteno
Ultragaz
Ultracargo
Ultrapar Participações
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
Principal Shareholders
Companies of the Group
Note 1: VS–
Voting Shares; TS –
Total Shares
Note 2: Interests in the companies of the Ipiranga Group considers % purchased
from controlling shareholders and % acquired by tag-along.
Overview
Ultrapar Participações S.A., or Ultrapar, has been in operation for over
70 years. It is a holding company and one of the largest corporate
groups in Brazil, with operations in Mexico and Argentina. Currently,
Ultrapar has more than 9,500 employees.
In April 18, 2007, Ultrapar had three main subsidiaries: Ultragaz;
Oxiteno; and Ultracargo.
Main Subsidiaries
Ultragaz
is the leading company in the distribution of liquified
petroleum
gas (“LPG”) in Brazil and:
supplies over 10 million homes in Brazil;
has a strong presence in the production and commercial industries,
supplying over 30 thousand companies; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$2.3 billion during the nine months
ended September 30, 2007.
Oxiteno
is
the
largest
producer
of
ethylene
oxide
and
its
byproducts
in
South
America,
as
well
as
a
large
producer
of
other
chemicals.
It has five plants in Brazil and three in Mexico, exporting to over 40
countries; and
It recorded net sales revenue of R$1.2 billion during the nine
months ended September 30, 2007.
Ultracargo
is
one
of
the
largest
suppliers
of
integrated
logistics
in
Brazil. It:
provides storage, distribution and transportation services of bulk
products that require special handling;
provides multimodal terminals that are strategically located in the
main ports and petrochemical complexes in Brazil, such as Santos
(SP), Suape (PE) and Aratu (BA), with access to rail, road and river
transportation; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$170.6 million during the nine
months ended September 30, 2007.
RIPI
DPPI
CBPI
VS: 82.11%
TS: 34.47%
VS: 96.62%
TS: 40.28%
VS: 8.31%
TS: 2.78%


CONFIDENTIAL
19
3.2. Overview of Refinaria
Petróleo Ipiranga S.A. (RIPI)


20
CONFIDENTIAL
Overview of Refinaria Petróleo Ipiranga S.A.
(RIPI)
Overview
Refinaria de Petróleo Ipiranga (RIPI) is a holding company that controls some
companies in the Ipiranga Group and an oil refinery.
The oil refinery processes crude oil into several petroleum products, such as gas,
diesel fuel, kerosene, LPG, solvents and other byproducts.
Main Subsidiaries
Ipiranga Química (IQ):
distributes chemical products and controls IPQ; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$366.7 million and EBITDA of R$12.7 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Ipiranga Petroquímica (IPQ):
controls Copesul together with Braskem;
is a second-generation petrochemical company; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$1.5 billion and EBITDA of R$228.1 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Distribuidora de Produtos de Petroleo Ipiranga (DPPI):
distributes fuel in the South of Brazil;
controls CBPI and, through this interest, DPPI holds indirect interests in IQ, IPQ
and Copesul; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$2.5 billion and EBITDA of R$50.0
million during
the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Companhia Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga (CBPI):
is present in almost all of Brazil;
at the end of the first half of 2007, CBPI owned 2,374 gas stations in operation;
and
recorded net sales revenue of R$16.5 billion and EBITDA of R$297
million during
the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Copesul:
first-generation petrochemical company; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$5.4 billion and EBITDA of R$818.0 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Principal Shareholders
Companies of the Group
Source:
information
disclosed
by
RIPI
(1) On behalf of and in place of Petrobras and Braskem
Note: Shares of Grupo Ipiranga consider % purchased from controlling
shareholders and % acquired by tag-along.
Controlling Company
Corporate Structure
Copesul
IPQ
IQ
CBPI
DPPI
Minority
Shareholders
Ultrapar
(1)
RIPI
VS: 29.46%
TS: 29.46%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
VS: 41.47%
TS: 41.47%
VS: 62.88%
TS: 21.01%
VS: 58.53%
TS: 58.53%
VS: 24.81%
TS: 11.42%
VS: 15.25%
TS: 7.65%
VS: 3.38%
TS: 59.72%
VS: 96.62%
TS: 40.28%


CONFIDENTIAL
21
3.3. Overview of Distribuidora de
Produtos de Petróleo Ipiranga
(DPPI)


22
CONFIDENTIAL
Overview of Distribuidora de Produtos de
Petróleo Ipiranga (DPPI)
Overview
Distribuidora de Produtos de Petróleo Ipiranga, or DPPI, distributes fuel such as
gasoline, ethanol, diesel fuel and natural gas for automobiles, in the state of Rio
Grande do Sul
and in parts of the state of Santa Catarina.
DPPI also operates AM/PM, a network of convenience stores in the
southern
states of Rio Grande do Sul
and Santa Catarina.
By the end of the first quarter of 2007, DPPI owned 925 gas stations in its area of
operation.
During the nine months ended September 30, 2007, the Company distributed a total
of 1.3 billion cubic meters of products.
Main Subsidiaries
Companhia Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga, or CBPI:
CBPI is present in almost all Brazil;
At the end of the first half of 2007, CBPI owned 2,374 gas stations in its area of
operation; and
CBPI recorded net sales revenue of R$16.5 billion and EBITDA of R$297.0
million during the nine months ended September 30, 2007. 
Isa-Sul Administração e Participações, or Isa-Sul:
owns 147 gas stations in DPPI’s
area of operation; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$16.0 million and EBITDA of R$14.3 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Ipiranga Química, or IQ:
distributes chemical products and controls IPQ; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$366.7 million and EBITDA of R$12.7 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Ipiranga Petroquímica, or IPQ:
controls Copesul together with Braskem;
is a second generation petrochemical company; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$1.5 billion and EBITDA of R$228.1 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Copesul:
first generation petrochemical company; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$5.4 billion and EBITDA of R$818 million during
the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Corporate Structure
Principal Shareholders
Companies of the Group
Note: VS –
Voting Shares, TS –Total Shares
Controlling Company
VS: 15.25%
TS: 7.65%
VS: 2.64%
TS: 57.88%
VS: 82.11%
TS: 34.47%
DPPI
Minority
Shareholders
Ultrapar
(1)
RIPI
CBPI
Isa-Sul
IQ
Copesul
IPQ
VS: 62.88%
TS: 21.01%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
VS: 41.47%
TS: 41.47%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
VS: 29.46%
TS: 29.46%
Source:
Information
disclosed
by
RIPI
(1) On behalf of and in place of Petrobras and Braskem
Note: Shares of Grupo
Ipiranga consider % purchased from the controlling
shareholders and % acquired by tag-along.


CONFIDENTIAL
23
3.4. Overview of Companhia
Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga
(CBPI)


24
CONFIDENTIAL
Overview of Companhia Brasileira de
Petróleo Ipiranga (CBPI)
Overview
Companhia Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga, or CBPI, distributes fuel and petroleum
byproducts throughout Brazil, except for the states of Roraima and Rio Grande do
Sul.
Products offered by the company include, among others, gasoline,
ethanol, natural
gas for automobiles, alcohol, diesel fuel, tar and lubricating oils.
CBPI also operates AM/PM, a network of convenience stores present in the
Brazilian states mentioned above.
In the nine months ended September 30, 2007, CBPI distributed a total volume of 9.6
billion cubic meters of products.
Main Subsidiaries
Ipiranga Química, or IQ:
distributes chemical products and controls IPQ; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$366.7 million and EBITDA of R$12.7 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Ipiranga Petroquímica, or IPQ:
controls Copesul together with Braskem;
is a second-generation petrochemical company; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$1.5 billion and EBITDA of R$228.1 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Copesul:
first-generation petrochemical company; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$5.4 billion and EBITDA of R$818.0 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
AM/PM Comestíveis:
network of convenience stores located in gas stations; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$16 million
(1)
and EBITDA of R$24.0 million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Ipiranga Asfaltos, or IASA:
produces tar and tar additives and offers paving services; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$208.4 million and EBITDA of R$(2.6) million
during the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Empresa Carioca de Produtos Químicos, or EMCA:
produces special oils for use in pharmaceutical, food, cosmetics
and plastic
industries; and
recorded net sales revenue of R$61.2 million and EBITDA of R$2.7
million during
the nine months ended September 30, 2007.
Corporate Structure
Principal Shareholders
Companies of the Group
Note: VS –
Voting Shares, TS –
Total Shares
Controlling Company
Minority
Shareholders
Ultrapar
(1)
RIPI
DPPI
AM/PM
IASA
EMCA
CBPI
VS : 24.81%
TS : 11.42%
VS : 4.00%
TS : 64.79%
VS: 8.31%
TS: 2.78%
VS: 62.88%
TS: 21.01%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
Copesul
IPQ
IQ
VS : 100.00%
TS : 100.00%
VS : 29.46%
TS : 29.46%
VS : 41.47%
TS : 41.47%
Source: Information disclosed by CBPI
(1) On behalf of and in place of Petrobras and Braskem.
Note:
Shares of Grupo
Ipiranga consider % purchased from the controlling
shareholders and % acquired by tag-along.
(1)
Only
includes
revenue
from
royalties.                   
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%
VS: 100.00%
TS: 100.00%


CONFIDENTIAL
25
4. General Premises of the
Valuation


26
CONFIDENTIAL
Macroeconomic Premises
The macroeconomic premises set forth below are based on estimates made by the
department of macroeconomic research of the Central Bank of Brazil.
From
2011
on,
projected
exchange
rates
show
the
maintenance
of
the
purchasing
power
between the U.S. dollar and the real.
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp
FX Rate
R$ / US$ (EoP)
(1)
1.81
1.88
1.99
2.04
2.09
2.12
2.15
2.19
2.22
2.25
2.29
R$ / US$ (avg.)
(1)
1.95
1.87
1.95
2.01
2.05
2.08
2.11
2.15
2.18
2.21
2.24
Interest Rates
SELIC (EoP) (1)
11.1%
10.3%
9.6%
9.1%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
8.8%
SELIC (avg.)
(1)
11.9%
10.6%
9.8%
9.4%
8.9%
8.9%
8.9%
8.9%
8.9%
8.9%
8.9%
Inflation
IGP -
M
(1)
5.5%
4.1%
4.2%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
IPCA
(1)
3.9%
4.1%
4.1%
4.1%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
US Inflation (CPI)
(2)
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2.5%
Population
Brazilian Population
(3)
189.3
191.9
194.4
196.8
199.3
201.6
204.0
206.2
208.5
210.7
212.9
Growth (%)
1.4%
1.3%
1.3%
1.3%
1.2%
1.2%
1.2%
1.1%
1.1%
1.1%
1.1%
GDP
Real Growth (%)
(1)
4.8%
4.4%
4.1%
4.2%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
4.0%
Source: (1) Central Bank of Brazil
(2) CS Economic Research
(3) IBGE


CONFIDENTIAL
27
5. Valuation Summary


CONFIDENTIAL
28
5.1. Consolidated Ultrapar


29
CONFIDENTIAL
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp.
EBIT
143
176
217
314
353
365
370
406
429
450
395
(-) Taxes
(29)
(35)
(43)
(62)
(69)
(72)
(75)
(85)
(92)
(97)
(80)
Effective Tax Rate
(20.4%)
(19.7%)
(19.9%)
(19.6%)
(19.5%)
(19.8%)
(20.2%)
(21.0%)
(21.4%)
(21.5%)
(20.3%)
Operating Profit After Taxes
113
141
174
252
284
293
295
321
337
353
315
(+) Depreciation and Amortization
103
137
148
143
152
159
166
149
139
148
148
(-) Investments
(328)
(326)
(218)
(116)
(119)
(120)
(122)
(126)
(129)
(132)
(148)
(-) Working Capital Variation
(13)
(52)
(68)
(47)
(30)
(19)
(19)
(27)
(21)
(22)
(23)
Free Cash Flow to Firm
(125)
(100)
36
233
287
313
320
317
327
347
292
0
3.2%
3.7%
4.2%
4.7%
5.2%
10.7%
8.1x
8.5x
8.9x
9.3x
9.9x
10.2%
8.8x
9.2x
9.7x
10.3x
11.0x
9.7%
9.6x
10.1x
10.7x
11.4x
12.3x
9.2%
10.5x
11.1x
11.8x
12.7x
13.9x
8.7%
11.5x
12.3x
13.2x
14.4x
16.0x
Results of Discounted Cash Flow
(in millions of U.S.$)
Discounted Cash Flow
Source:
According
to
information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ultrapar
Total Value of the Company
(1)
Implied Multiple (EBITDA 2008)
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth (U.S.$ Nominal)
(in millions of reais)
Source:
Information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ultrapar
(1)
Amounts
translated
into
U.S.
dollars
at
the
selling
rate
on
September
30,
2007
of
R$1.84
to
U.S.$1.00.
Source:
Information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ultrapar
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth (U.S.$ Nominal)
0
3.2%
3.7%
4.2%
4.7%
5.2%
10.7%
4,733
4,934
5,166
5,437
5,757
10.2%
5,121
5,363
5,645
5,978
6,379
9.7%
5,568
5,862
6,210
6,627
7,138
9.2%
6,089
6,451
6,887
7,420
8,086
8.7%
6,704
7,159
7,715
8,410
9,304


CONFIDENTIAL
30
5.1.1 Ultragaz


31
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Estimates published
by the Central Bank of
Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Estimate
of
volume
of
bottled
gas
calculated
based
on
population
growth.
Estimate of volume of bulk gas calculated based on GDP growth.
Volume
Estimate of average price of bottled gas based on the current price adjusted for inflation.
Estimate
of
average
price
of
bulk
gas
based
on
the
current
price
adjusted
for
inflation.
Prices
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Net Revenue calculated based on volume sold and average sales price.
Net Revenue
Calculated based on current expenses and adjusted for inflation.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Expenses calculated based on the increase of volume sold.
Selling Expenses
Source:
Information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ultrapar


32
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Working Capital
Investments of R$20 per ton of gas sold to the residential market, adjusted for inflation, according to information
disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Investments of R$100 per ton of gas sold to companies, adjusted for inflation, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Additional investments, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Projects that are not yet approved by the board of directors of Ultrapar or that are uncertain were not considered in the
preparation of projections.
Capital
Expenditures
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal Value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 2.5% in actual perpetuity terms.
Terminal Value
Calculated based on different tax rates projected by Ultrapar and consistent with historical rates and with the future
expectations of the company.
Taxes
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar


33
CONFIDENTIAL
2,151
2,244
2,340
2,440
2,545
2,658
2,777
2,902
2,230
2,278
2,325
2,415
2,508
2,604
2,704
2,808
2,917
3,029
2,040
1,945
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Avg. Price (bottled)
Avg. Price (bulk)
Principal Revenue Premises
Volume
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
Average Prices
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in reais per ton)
(in thousands
of tons)
1,133
1,154
1,174
1,191
1,206
1,220
1,233
1,246
681
710
1,073
1,103
627
601
576
541
508
740
771
654
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Bottled (residential)
Bulk (industrial and commercial)


34
CONFIDENTIAL
503
547
594
643
460
418
379
341
296
271
10.2%
10.4%
10.0%
10.8%
10.6%
8.4%
8.5%
9.0%
9.4%
9.7%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
3,785
4,051
4,330
4,620
4,925
5,249
5,596
5,967
3,230
3,492
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Net Revenue
Source:
Information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ultrapar
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source:
Information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)


35
CONFIDENTIAL
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
133
144
156
167
178
190
203
216
231
246
(+) Current Assets
214
232
251
269
287
306
327
348
371
396
(-) Current Liabilities
81
88
95
102
109
116
124
132
140
150
Net Working Capital Variation
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
(6)
(11)
(12)
(11)
(12)
(12)
(13)
(13)
(14)
(15)
148
130
145
155
165
127
130
142
119
143
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
112
114
120
124
130
138
146
156
135
102
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)


CONFIDENTIAL
36
5.1.2 Oxiteno


37
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Projected average price of specialty chemical denominated in U.S. dollars; assumes that prices in the domestic and
international markets converge in the long term.
Projected average price of commodities is based on data projected by PCI and CMAI, in U.S. dollars.
Prices
Net
Revenue
is
calculated
based
on
volume
sold
and
average
sales
price.
Net revenue
Estimated increase in production capacity of ethylene oxide forecast for 2008 and 2009.
Projected volume of specialty chemical based on Ultrapar’s growth plan to meet projected demand.
Projected volume of commodities is the result of the production capacity minus volume used for production of specialty
chemical.
Volume
Calculated based on current expenses and adjusted for inflation.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Expenses calculated based on the increase of volume sold.
Selling Expenses
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar


38
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Working Capital
Investment in maintenance of approximately R$25 per ton of installed production capacity.
Considers investments for expansion of production capacity, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed
with Ultrapar.
Projects
that
are
not
yet
approved
by
Ultrapar’s
board
of
directors
or
that
are
uncertain
were
not
considered
in
the
preparation
of
the
projections.
Capital
Expenditures
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 0.5% in actual perpetuity terms.
Terminal Value
Calculated based on different tax rates projected by Ultrapar and consistent with historical rates and with the future
expectations of the company.
Taxes
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment,
considering
an
average
amortization
period of approximately 15 years.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar


39
CONFIDENTIAL
1,610
1,444
1,463
1,538
1,678
1,846
1,988
2,007
2,862
3,034
3,228
3,543
3,634
3,741
3,851
3,948
4,061
4,174
2,113
1,959
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Avg. Price (Commodities)
Avg. Price (Specialty Chemicals)
150
100
70
70
70
70
70
70
816
841
147
115
805
760
707
586
465
848
855
810
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Volume (Commodities)
Volume (Specialty Chemicals)
Principal Revenue Premises
Volume
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
Average Prices
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in reais per ton)
(in thousands
of tons)


40
CONFIDENTIAL
518
523
515
542
527
519
450
304
226
161
15.9%
15.2%
16.8%
14.6%
14.4%
9.8%
11.3%
12.0%
15.9%
17.1%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
2,524
2,835
3,028
3,139
3,260
3,449
3,582
3,710
1,641
2,003
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Net Revenue
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)


41
CONFIDENTIAL
92
105
111
117
123
130
136
143
58
71
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
216
90
92
93
95
96
98
99
398
501
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar
(in millions of reais)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
380
463
583
662
709
735
761
803
832
863
(+) Current Assets
496
605
762
856
915
948
985
1,042
1,082
1,120
(-) Current Liabilities
116
141
180
195
205
213
224
238
250
258
Net Working Capital Variation
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
(18)
(84)
(119)
(79)
(48)
(25)
(26)
(42)
(29)
(30)


CONFIDENTIAL
42
5.1.3 Ultracargo


43
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Projection
of
average
price
per
cubic
meter
and
per
square
meter
based
on
current
price
adjusted
for
inflation.
Projection of average price per kilometer transported based on current price adjusted for inflation.
Prices
Net Revenue is calculated based on sales volume and average prices.
Net Revenue
Increase in installed capacity and storage usage rate in cubic meters, according to estimates made by Ultrapar.
Increase in installed capacity and storage usage rate in square meters, according to estimates made by Ultrapar.
Storage
Projection of transportation distance covered based on GDP growth.
Transportation
Calculated based on current expenses adjusted for inflation and the increase in revenue.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Expenses calculated based on the increase in volume, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with
Ultrapar.
Selling Expenses
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.


44
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Working Capital
Investments in maintenance of approximately R$20 per ton of installed capacity in cubic meters, plus approximately
R$16 million per year adjusted for inflation.
Capital expenditures projected according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Projects
that
are
not
yet
approved
by
Ultrapar’s
board
of
directors
or
that
are
uncertain
were
not
considered
in
the
preparation of the projections.
Capital
Expenditures
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 2.5% in actual perpetuity terms.
Terminal Value
Calculated based on different tax rates projected by Ultrapar and consistent with historical rates and with the future
expectations of the company.
Taxes
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment,
considering
an
average
amortization
period of approximately 10 years.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.


45
13,065
19,680
19,680
19,680
19,680
19,680
19,680
19,680
11,658
10,250
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
307,500
385,100
395,100
405,100
415,100
425,100
425,100
425,100
277,000
295,500
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises
Storage –
Cubic Meters
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Storage –
Square Meters
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
(in m³)
(in m²)
CONFIDENTIAL


46
37,223
38,775
40,342
41,972
43,667
45,432
47,267
49,177
34,237
35,737
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises
Transportation
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
(in thousands of kilometers)
CONFIDENTIAL


47
112
120
128
137
48
59
67
90
97
104
28.0%
28.2%
27.5%
27.3%
23.7%
22.8%
20.9%
28.3%
28.4%
27.7%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
284
331
353
376
401
427
453
481
261
231
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Net Revenues
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
CONFIDENTIAL


48
50
53
56
59
63
62
38
42
24
40
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
97
30
31
32
33
35
36
38
73
40
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ultrapar.
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
17
19
21
25
27
28
30
32
34
36
(+) Current Assets
35
40
43
51
54
58
61
65
69
74
(-) Current Liabilities
18
21
22
26
27
29
31
33
35
37
Net Working Capital Variation
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
(2)
(1)
(2)
(2)
(4)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
(2)
CONFIDENTIAL


49
5.2. Companhia Brasileira de
Petróleo Ipiranga (CBPI)
CONFIDENTIAL


50
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Population estimated based on a study of Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística, or IBGE.
Population
Number of vehicles estimated based on regression analysis of historical data between the number of vehicles and GDP
per capita, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
No. of Vehicles
Volume of gasoline and ethanol estimated based on the number of vehicles resulting from the regression analysis and
estimate of consumption per vehicle, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Volume of diesel fuel estimated based on regression analysis of historical data between number of vehicles and GDP.
Volume
Contribution margin by product estimated based on historical margins of the company.
Maintenance of the compound margin of gasoline and ethanol in actual terms, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Other products consider the constant margin in actual terms, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed
with Ipiranga.
Contribution
Margin by Product
Straight-line gain of 200bps of market share during 5 years starting in 2008, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Market Share
Net Revenue increase is driven by market growth, increase in market share and contribution margin by product.
Net Revenue
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


51
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Calculated based on tax rates projected by CBPI and consistent with historical rates and with the future expectations of
the company.
Income Tax and
Social
Contribution
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Working Capital
Investment
of
R$14.8
per
for
the
years
in
which
the
company
maintains
its
market
share
and
of
R$18.0
per
in
th
e years
in
which
there
is
an
increase
in
market
share,
according
to
information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ipiranga.
Capital
Expenditures
Discount
rate
calculated
based
on:
(i)
unleveraged
beta
of
comparable
companies;
(ii)
optimum
capital
structure
based
on
comparable
companies
in
the
industry
and
discussions
held
with
Ipiranga’s
management;
(iii)
country
risk;
and
(iv)
estimated
cost
of
debt
net
of
income
tax
and
social
contribution
benefits.
Discount Rate
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 3.0% in actual perpetuity terms.
Terminal Value
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment,
considering
an
average
amortization
period
of
approximately
10
years
for
fixed
assets
and
of
5
years
for
goodwill,
according
to
information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ipiranga.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Some fixed expenses are adjusted for inflation and some are based on volumes, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Expenses calculated based on volume sold, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Selling Expenses
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
3
3


52
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp.
EBIT
164
194
200
212
228
247
275
313
378
437
404
(-) Taxes
(43)
(51)
(52)
(56)
(60)
(65)
(72)
(82)
(99)
(115)
(106)
Effective Tax Rate
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
(26.2%)
Operating Profit After Taxes
121
143
147
156
168
182
203
231
279
322
298
(+) Depreciation and Amortization
43
60
79
101
125
152
173
188
179
182
199
(-) Investments
(102)
(140)
(152)
(167)
(186)
(207)
(151)
(164)
(179)
(194)
(199)
(-) Working Capital Variation
(93)
(75)
(87)
(101)
(108)
(119)
(105)
(113)
(122)
(131)
(136)
Free Cash Flow to Firm
(31)
(12)
(13)
(12)
(1)
9
120
141
157
179
162
Results of Discounted Cash Flow
Total Value of the Company
(1)
Implied Multiple (EBITDA 2008)
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth (U.S.$ Nominal)
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1)
Amounts
translated
into
U.S.
dollars
at
the
selling
rate
on
September
30,
2007
of
R$1.84
to
U.S.$1.00.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth (U.S.$ Nominal)
(in millions of U.S. dollars )
Discounted Cash Flow
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
0
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
12.3%
3.6x
3.8x
4.0x
4.2x
4.5x
11.8%
3.9x
4.1x
4.4x
4.7x
5.1x
11.3%
4.3x
4.6x
4.9x
5.3x
5.7x
10.8%
4.8x
5.1x
5.5x
6.0x
6.6x
10.3%
5.3x
5.7x
6.2x
6.9x
7.6x
CONFIDENTIAL
0
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
12.3%
1,693
1,782
1,885
2,005
2,145
11.8%
1,857
1,964
2,088
2,234
2,408
11.3%
2,046
2,176
2,328
2,509
2,728
10.8%
2,267
2,426
2,614
2,843
3,124
10.3%
2,528
2,725
2,963
3,256
3,627


53
81,897
87,563
93,208
99,094
105,225
111,610
118,256
125,171
71,850
76,942
18.9%
18.9%
18.5%
18.1%
17.7%
17.3%
16.9%
19.0%
19.0%
18.9%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Market Volume
CBPI's Market Share
30.4
32.5
34.5
36.7
38.9
41.2
43.6
46.2
28.5
26.4
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises
Number of Vehicles in Brazil
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Sales Volumes of Principal Products
(1)
and Market Share of CBPI
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1) Gasoline, Ethanol, Diesel Fuel
(in millions)
(in million of m³, except market share in %)
CONFIDENTIAL


54
28,307
32,385
36,831
41,807
46,259
51,122
56,431
62,223
22,061
24,881
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
0
50
100
150
200
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises (Cont.)
(R$ / m³)
Compound Gross Margin
(1)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1) Compound gross margin accounts for gasoline, ethanol and diesel fuel.
126
Net Revenues
Source:  Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


55
947
1,074
1,214
1,367
396
475
544
628
723
831
2.0%
2.1%
2.0%
1.9%
1.9%
1.9%
1.8%
2.2%
2.2%
2.0%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
1,366
1,563
1,777
2,017
2,232
2,467
2,723
3,003
1,201
1,065
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Gross Profit
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


56
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
1,100
1,240
1,411
1,614
1,835
2,083
2,305
2,548
2,813
3,103
(+) Current Assets
1,563
1,763
2,006
2,295
2,610
2,963
3,278
3,623
3,999
4,410
(-) Current Liabilities
464
523
595
681
775
880
973
1,075
1,186
1,307
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
(181)
(141)
(171)
(203)
(221)
(248)
(222)
(243)
(266)
(290)
154
202
257
317
366
402
391
402
84
112
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
296
337
381
430
319
353
389
429
261
199
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


57
5.3. Distribuidora de Produtos de
Petróleo Ipiranga (DPPI)
CONFIDENTIAL


58
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Population estimated based on a study by Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística, or IBGE.
Population
Number of vehicles estimated based on regression analysis of historical data between the number of vehicles and GDP
per capita, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
No. of Vehicles
Volume of gasoline and ethanol estimated based on the number of vehicles resulting from the regression analysis and
estimate of consumption per vehicle, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Volume of diesel fuel estimated based on regression analysis of historical data between number of vehicles and GDP.
Volume
Contribution margin per product estimated based on historical margins of the company.
Maintenance of the compound margin of gasoline and ethanol in actual terms, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Other products consider the constant margin in actual terms, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed
with Ipiranga.
Contribution
Margin per
Product
Sustaining current market share, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Market Share
Net Revenue is driven by market growth, market share and contribution margin by product.
Net Revenue
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


59
Principal Premises
Calculated based on tax rates projected by DPPI and consistent with historical rates and future expectations of the
company.
Income Tax and
Social
Contribution
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Working Capital
Investment
of
R$15.7
per
m
3
throughout
projection
period,
according
to
information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ipiranga.
Capital
Expenditures
Discount
rate
calculated
based
on:
(i)
unleveraged
beta
of
comparable
companies;
(ii)
optimum
capital
structure
based
on
comparable
companies
in
the
industry
and
discussions
held
with
Ipiranga’s
management;
(iii)
country
risk;
and
(iv)
estimated
cost
of
debt
net
of
income
tax
and
social
contribution
benefits.
Discount Rate
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 3.0% in actual perpetuity terms
for cash flow.
Terminal Value
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment
and
new
investments,
considering
an
average amortization period of approximately 10 years for fixed assets and of 5 years for goodwill, according to
information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Some fixed expenses are indexed for inflation and some are indexed to volumes, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Expenses calculated based on volumes sold, according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Selling Expenses
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


60
0
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
12.3%
390
407
427
450
477
11.8%
422
443
467
495
528
11.3%
460
485
514
549
591
10.8%
503
533
570
614
667
10.3%
554
592
637
694
765
Results of Discounted Cash Flow
(in millions of U.S. dollars)
Discounted Cash Flow
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Total Value of the Company
(1)
Implied Multiple (EBITDA 2008)
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth (US$ Nominal)
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1) Amounts translated into U.S. dollars at the selling rate on September 30, 2007 of R$1.84 to U.S.$1.00.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth (US$ Nominal)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp.
EBIT
26
33
35
39
43
48
54
60
70
82
69
(-) Taxes
(7)
(8)
(9)
(10)
(11)
(12)
(14)
(15)
(18)
(21)
(18)
Effective Tax Rate
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
(25.4%)
Operating Profit After Taxes
19
25
26
29
32
36
40
44
52
61
51
(+) Depreciation and Amortization
8
10
12
13
15
18
20
22
21
19
21
(-) Investments
(15)
(17)
(18)
(20)
(21)
(23)
(25)
(27)
(29)
(32)
(21)
(-) Working Capital Variation
(12)
(11)
(15)
(17)
(18)
(19)
(21)
(22)
(24)
(25)
(17)
Free Cash Flow to Firm
1
6
5
5
9
11
14
17
20
22
35
0
4.5%
5.0%
5.5%
6.0%
6.5%
12.3%
4.7x
4.9x
5.1x
5.4x
5.7x
11.8%
5.0x
5.3x
5.6x
5.9x
6.3x
11.3%
5.5x
5.8x
6.1x
6.5x
7.0x
10.8%
6.0x
6.4x
6.8x
7.3x
8.0x
10.3%
6.6x
7.1x
7.6x
8.3x
9.1x
CONFIDENTIAL


61
30.5
32.5
34.6
36.7
39.0
41.3
43.7
46.2
28.5
26.4
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises
Number of Vehicles in Brazil
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Sales Volumes of Principal Products
(1)
and Market Share of DPPI
(in millions)
CONFIDENTIAL
81,897
87,563
93,208
99,094
105,225
111,610
118,256
125,171
71,850
77,052
2.3%
2.3%
2.3%
2.3%
2.3%
2.4%
2.4%
2.3%
2.3%
2.3%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Market Volume
DPPI’s
Market Share
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1) Gasoline, Ethanol, Diesel Fuel
(in
millions
of
m²,
except
market
share
in
%)


62
3,994
4,416
4,861
5,346
5,875
6,452
7,081
7,766
3,360
3,644
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
0
40
80
120
160
200
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises (Cont.)
(R$ / m³)
Compound Gross Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
160
Net Revenues
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


63
217
192
169
148
129
112
96
84
67
244
3.0%
2.9%
2.8%
3.1%
3.1%
2.0%
2.3%
2.4%
2.5%
2.7%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
235
259
285
314
345
379
416
214
197
456
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Gross Profit
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


64
22
27
31
36
41
46
44
39
16
19
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
34
38
42
46
51
56
61
67
31
28
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions
of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
280
304
333
368
405
446
490
538
591
649
(+) Current Assets
309
336
368
407
448
492
541
594
652
715
(-) Current Liabilities
30
32
35
39
42
46
51
56
61
66
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
(23)
(24)
(29)
(35)
(37)
(41)
(44)
(48)
(53)
(58)
CONFIDENTIAL


65
5.4. AM/PM
CONFIDENTIAL


66
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Considers
increase
in
number
of
stores,
according
to
information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ipiranga.
No. of Stores
Revenue
per
store
considering
existing
and
new
stores,
according
to
information
disclosed
by
and/or
discussed
with
Ipiranga. This premise was not independently confirmed.
Revenue per
Store
Calculated based on historical percentage of royalties, revenue from rent of owned gas stations and additional revenue
from amounts paid by suppliers for the use of promotional space in the stores.
Net Revenue
Some fixed expenses indexed to inflation, and some are indexed to volume, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Selling Expenses
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment
and
new
investments,
according
to
information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


67
Principal Premises
Investment in expansion and maintenance of R$45 thousand per store (new + existing), according to information
disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Capital
Expenditures
Discount
rate
calculated
based
on:
(i)
unleveraged
beta
of
comparable
companies;
(ii)
optimum
capital
structure
based
on
comparable
companies
in
the
industry
and
discussions
held
with
Ipiranga’s
management;
(iii)
country
risk;
and
(iv)
estimated
cost
of
debt
net
of
income
tax
and
social
contribution
benefits.
Discount Rate
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 1.0% in actual perpetuity terms
for cash flow.
Terminal Value
Projection based on the maintenance of average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Working Capital
Assumes taxable income will be calculated based on the presumed method until 2009 and income tax and social
contribution at a rate of 34% of taxable income from then on, according to standard financial statements of the
Company, consistent with historical rates and expectations of the Company.
Income Tax and
Social
Contribution
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


68
Results of Discounted Cash Flow
(in millions of U.S. dollars)
Discounted Cash Flow
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Total Value of the Company
(1)
Implied Multiple (EBITDA 2008)
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth
(US$ Nominal)
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1)
Amounts
translated
into
U.S.
dollars
at
the
selling
rate
on
September
30,
2007
of
R$1.84
to
U.S.$1.00
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth
(US$ Nominal)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp.
EBIT
15
17
18
19
20
21
21
22
23
24
24
(-) Taxes
(2)
(3)
(3)
(6)
(7)
(7)
(7)
(8)
(8)
(8)
(8)
Effective Tax Rate
(15.6%)
(15.6%)
(15.6%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
(34.0%)
Operating Profit After Taxes
13
14
15
12
13
14
14
15
15
16
16
(+) Depreciation and Amortization
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
3
3
3
3
(-) Investments
(2)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(3)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(4)
(3)
(-) Working Capital Variation
1
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
Free Cash Flow to Firm
13
13
13
11
11
12
13
13
14
14
16
0
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
12.2%
235
241
248
256
265
11.7%
249
256
264
273
284
11.2%
264
272
282
293
306
10.7%
281
291
303
316
331
10.2%
301
313
326
342
361
0
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
12.2%
6.9x
7.1x
7.3x
7.6x
7.8x
11.7%
7.3x
7.6x
7.8x
8.1x
8.4x
11.2%
7.8x
8.0x
8.3x
8.7x
9.0x
10.7%
8.3x
8.6x
8.9x
9.3x
9.8x
10.2%
8.9x
9.2x
9.6x
10.1x
10.7x
CONFIDENTIAL


69
46
50
54
58
61
65
68
72
40
41
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Principal Revenue Premises
Number of Franchises
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Net Revenues
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL
1,269
1,339
1,389
1,429
1,459
1,489
1,519
1,549
1,189
1,099
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E


70
50
53
56
59
32
34
38
41
44
47
82.1%
82.1%
82.0%
81.9%
81.9%
81.7%
81.5%
82.1%
82.1%
82.0%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
43
47
50
54
57
60
63
66
39
37
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Gross Profit
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


71
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
3
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
(+) Current Assets
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
(-) Current Liabilities
8
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
14
15
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
3
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
(0)
3
3
4
4
5
6
6
7
2
3
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
6
6
7
8
8
9
9
10
5
4
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
CONFIDENTIAL


72
5.5. Copesul
CONFIDENTIAL


73
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Does not consider increase in production capacity.
Capacity utilization of 97.7% in the years without a work stoppage and 93.0% in years with a work stoppage (2008,
2011 and 2014).
Capacity and
Volume
Price per product (ethylene, propylene, benzene, butadiene, toluene, mixed xylenes, ETBE / MTBE and gasoline),
according to data estimated by CMAI, adjusted for historical prices of Copesul.
Price of ethylene and propylene calculated based on margin sharing.
Margin
sharing
reflects
an
agreement
between
Copesul
and
second-generation
companies
in
the
petrochemical
complex
in
Triunfo,
Rio
Grande
do
Sul
designed
to
share
the
margin
on
sales
of
second
generation
petrochemicals
among
first
and
second
generation
petrochemical
companies.
Price
Net Revenue calculated based on price curve and volume by product sold.
Net Revenue
Some fixed expenses indexed to inflation, and some are indexed to volume, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Selling Expenses
Cost calculated based on naphtha's price curve, according to data estimated by CMAI and the historical consumption
rate of the company, as well as other historical costs.
CMV
Calculated based on current expenses and adjusted for projected inflation.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


74
Principal Premises
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Working Capital
Investment for maintenance estimated based on the company’s investment plan, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Does not consider investments to increase production capacity.
Capital
Expenditures
Discount
rate
calculated
based
on:
(i)
unleveraged
beta
of
comparable
companies;
(ii)
optimum
capital
structure
based
on
comparable
companies
in
the
industry
and
discussions
held
with
Ipiranga’s
management;
(iii)
country
risk;
and
(iv)
estimated
cost
of
debt
net
of
income
tax
and
social
contribution
benefits.
Discount Rate
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 2.0% in actual perpetuity terms
for cash flow.
Terminal Value
Calculated based on tax rates projected by the Company and consistent with historical rates and future expectations of
the company.
Income Tax and
Social
Contribution
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment
and
new
investments,
according
to
information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
CONFIDENTIAL


75
CONFIDENTIAL
Results of Discounted Cash Flow
(in millions of U.S.$)
Discounted Cash Flow
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Total Value of the Company
(1)
Implied Multiple (Normalized EBITDA)
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth
(US$ Nominal)
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1)
Amounts
translated
into
U.S.
dollars
at
the
selling
rate
on
September
30,
2007
of
R$1.84
to
U.S.$1.00
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth
(US$ Nominal)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp.
EBIT
428
332
165
83
63
232
328
410
514
449
400
(-) Taxes
(140)
(109)
(54)
(27)
(21)
(76)
(107)
(134)
(168)
(147)
(131)
Effective Tax Rate
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
(32.8%)
Operating Profit After Taxes
288
223
111
56
42
156
220
275
346
302
269
(+) Depreciation and Amortization
118
139
139
139
140
35
39
45
50
52
57
(-) Investments
(83)
(90)
(43)
(43)
(89)
(43)
(43)
(89)
(43)
(43)
(57)
(-) Working Capital Variation
21
76
8
8
8
(10)
(11)
(4)
(19)
(3)
6
Free Cash Flow to Firm
344
349
216
161
101
138
206
227
334
308
275
0
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
11.8%
4,055
4,144
4,243
4,354
4,477
11.3%
4,267
4,370
4,485
4,614
4,759
10.8%
4,502
4,622
4,756
4,907
5,080
10.3%
4,764
4,904
5,062
5,242
5,448
9.8%
5,059
5,224
5,411
5,626
5,876
0
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
11.8%
4.0x
4.0x
4.1x
4.2x
4.4x
11.3%
4.2x
4.3x
4.4x
4.5x
4.6x
10.8%
4.4x
4.5x
4.6x
4.8x
5.0x
10.3%
4.7x
4.8x
4.9x
5.1x
5.3x
9.8%
4.9x
5.1x
5.3x
5.5x
5.7x


76
CONFIDENTIAL
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Ethylene
Propylene
Benzene
Butadiene
Toluene
Other
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Ethylene
Propylene
Benzene
Butadiene
Toluene
Mixed Xylenes
ETBE / MTBE
Gasoline
Principal Revenue Premises (Cont.)
Volume
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in US$ per ton)
Price Curve by Product
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of tons)


77
CONFIDENTIAL
4,344
4,256
4,083
4,132
4,304
4,297
4,697
4,907
6,031
4,326
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
4,786
4,548
4,339
4,748
5,137
5,322
5,972
6,060
7,013
5,061
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Net Revenues
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Cost of Goods Sold
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)


78
CONFIDENTIAL
593
774
974
1,229
1,107
1,080
876
447
416
555
15.1%
18.3%
15.4%
17.3%
12.4%
9.8%
9.6%
11.7%
20.6%
18.3%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
443
292
256
616
833
1,025
1,275
1,153
981
735
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Gross Profit
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)


79
CONFIDENTIAL
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
473
332
316
299
283
304
326
334
375
383
(+) Current Assets
896
631
618
599
573
598
633
642
710
732
(-) Current Liabilities
423
299
303
299
290
295
307
308
335
350
(Increase) / Decrease in Working Capital
42
141
16
16
16
(21)
(23)
(8)
(41)
(8)
271
280
286
73
82
96
110
115
231
259
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
83
86
183
89
90
192
93
94
163
167
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)


CONFIDENTIAL
80
5.6. Ipiranga Petroquímica


81
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Estimates published by the Central Bank of Brazil.
Macroeconomic
Does not consider an increase in production capacity.
Maintains volume sold and average of sales mix for 2006 and 2007.
Capacity and
Volume
Price per product (HDPE, LDPE and polypropylene) based on estimates by CMAI, adjusted for historical prices of the
Company.
Sales
price
in
the
domestic
market
is
adjusted
based
on
costs
to
import
the
product
and
a
safety
margin.
Price
Net Revenue calculated based on the price curve of volumes sold by product.
Net Revenue
Cost calculated based on the price curve of ethylene and propylene, according to estimates by CMAI and the historical
consumption rate of the Company, as well as other historical costs.
CMV
Some fixed expenses are indexed to inflation, and some are indexed to volume, according to information disclosed by
and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Selling Expenses
Calculated based on current expenses adjusted for inflation.
General and
Administrative
Expenses
Source: according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.


82
CONFIDENTIAL
Principal Premises
Projection based on the maintenance of the average maturity of current assets and liabilities as of September 30, 2007,
according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Working Capital
Investments for maintenance estimated according to information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Does not consider investments to increase production capacity.
Capital
Expenditures
Discount
rate
calculated
based
on:
(i)
unleveraged
beta
of
comparable
companies;
(ii)
optimum
capital
structure
based
on
comparable
companies
in
the
industry
and
discussions
held
with
Ipiranga’s
management;
(iii)
country
risk;
and
(iv)
estimated
cost
of
debt
net
of
income
tax
and
social
contribution
benefits.
Discount Rate
Gordon Perpetuity growth model.
Terminal value: based on normalized cash flow for 2017. It considers a growth rate of 0% in actual perpetuity terms for
cash flow.
Terminal Value
Calculated based on tax rates projected by the Company and consistent with historical rates and future expectations of
the Company.
Income Tax and
Social
Contribution
Calculated
based
on
the
depreciation
schedule
of
property,
plant
and
equipment
and
new
investments,
according
to
information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Depreciation and
Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.


83
CONFIDENTIAL
Results of Discounted Cash Flow
(in millions of U.S$)
Discounted Cash Flow
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
Total Value of the Company
(1)
Implied Multiple (Normalized EBITDA)
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth
(Nominal US$)
(in millions of reais)
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(1) Amount translated into U.S. dollars at the selling rate on September 30, 2007 of R$1.84 to U.S.$1.00.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
W
A
C
C
Perpetuity Growth
(Nominal US$)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Perp.
EBIT
143
29
66
52
49
52
97
155
159
137
91
(-) Taxes
(36)
(7)
(17)
(13)
(12)
(13)
(24)
(39)
(40)
(34)
(23)
Effective Tax Rate
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
(25.0%)
Operating Profit After Taxes
107
22
50
39
37
39
73
116
119
103
68
(+) Depreciation and Amortization
17
19
18
19
19
19
20
20
20
21
21
(-) Investments
(6)
(6)
(6)
(7)
(7)
(7)
(7)
(7)
(7)
(7)
(21)
(-) Working Capital Variation
(16)
24
(12)
1
1
1
(6)
(8)
2
4
(1)
Free Cash Flow to Firm
103
58
50
52
50
53
80
121
134
121
67
0
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
11.9%
1,152
1,173
1,196
1,222
1,251
11.4%
1,208
1,233
1,260
1,290
1,324
10.9%
1,271
1,299
1,330
1,366
1,406
10.4%
1,339
1,372
1,409
1,451
1,499
9.9%
1,416
1,455
1,498
1,548
1,606
0
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
11.9%
4.6x
4.7x
4.8x
4.9x
5.0x
11.4%
4.8x
4.9x
5.0x
5.1x
5.3x
10.9%
5.1x
5.2x
5.3x
5.4x
5.6x
10.4%
5.3x
5.5x
5.6x
5.8x
6.0x
9.9%
5.6x
5.8x
6.0x
6.2x
6.4x


84
CONFIDENTIAL
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Polyethylene
Polypropylene
617
617
617
617
617
617
617
617
617
617
500
700
900
1,100
1,300
1,500
1,700
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
High Density Polyethylene
Polypropylene
Low Density Polyethylene
Principal Revenue Premises
Volume
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in US$ per ton)
Price Curve by Product
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in thousands of tons)


85
CONFIDENTIAL
1,435
1,371
1,381
1,448
1,575
1,723
1,846
1,868
1,658
1,572
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
1,673
1,586
1,594
1,675
1,907
2,191
2,336
2,318
1,731
2,050
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Net Revenues
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Cost of Goods Sold
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)


86
CONFIDENTIAL
166
143
247
374
391
349
149
139
89
309
12.9%
17.1%
8.9%
15.1%
16.7%
15.1%
5.1%
9.9%
9.0%
8.7%
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
EBITDA
EBITDA Margin
238
215
214
227
332
468
490
450
159
392
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Financial Statements
Gross Profit
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais, except EBITDA margin in %)
EBITDA and EBITDA Margin
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)


87
CONFIDENTIAL
36
37
39
40
42
43
45
45
34
35
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
13
13
14
14
15
15
16
17
12
12
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Balance Sheet
CAPEX
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Depreciation and Amortization
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
Variation of Net Working Capital
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.
(in millions of reais)
2007E
2008E
2009E
2010E
2011E
2012E
2013E
2014E
2015E
2016E
Total Working Capital
(34)
(79)
(56)
(58)
(59)
(61)
(49)
(33)
(37)
(47)
(+) Current Assets
594
521
494
469
472
496
556
629
672
671
(-) Current Liabilities
628
600
550
527
531
557
605
662
708
717
Net Working Capital Variation
(Increase/Decrease in Working Capital)
(31)
45
(23)
1
1
2
(12)
(17)
4
10


CONFIDENTIAL
88
5.7. Other Companies


89
CONFIDENTIAL
Valuation Summary –
Other Companies
Valuation of the company based on market multiples.
Normalized EBITDA based on historical results of the Company.
4
5.6x
Refinaria de Petróleo
Ipiranga (RIPI)
Company
Overview
TEV
(in millions of
reais)
TEV
EBITDA 2007
Valuation of the company based on historical multiples of comparable
transactions.
Normalized EBITDA based on historical results of the Company.
139
8.2x
Ipiranga Química (IQ)
Valuation of the company based on market multiples for companies
that
produce chemicals and commodities.
Normalized EBITDA based on historical results of the Company.
25
7.0x
Empresa Carioca de
Produtos Químicos
(EMCA)
Valuation of the company based on historical multiples of comparable
transactions.
Normalized EBITDA based on historical results of the Company.
33
6.9x
Ipiranga Asfaltos S.A.
(IASA)
Valuation of the company based on implied multiple of 2007 generated by
discounted cash flow from DPPI.
Normalized EBITDA based on historical results of the Company.
146
7.7x
Isa Sul Administração
e Participação Ltda.
Source: Information disclosed by and/or discussed with Ipiranga.


90
6. Conclusions
CONFIDENTIAL


91
CONFIDENTIAL
Conclusions
Price range per share based on
economic value (in reais per share)
-5%
Mid-Point
+5%
CBPI
27.65
29.11
30.57
DPPI
42.00
44.21
46.42
RIPI
50.90
53.58
56.26
Ultrapar
64.50
67.90
71.29


CONFIDENTIAL
92
Annex I. Comparable Public
Company Analysis


93
CONFIDENTIAL
Comparable Public Company Analysis
(US$ millions, except per share info)
Price per Share
Equity
Net
Firm
FV/EBITDA
P/E
Company
Country
as of 5-Nov-07
Value
Debt
Value
2006A
2007E
2008E
2006A
2007E
2008E
Commodities
Nova Chemicals
Canada
35.06
2,908
1,700
4,608
7.6x
5.4x
5.7x
nm
9.3x
10.8x
Basf
Germany
134.36
65,901
13,351
79,252
5.7x
5.3x
5.3x
14.2x
11.5x
12.4x
Westlake
US
22.45
1,467
218
1,685
4.4x
5.2x
5.4x
7.5x
10.9x
11.2x
Dow
US
43.57
41,784
7,772
49,556
6.7x
7.0x
6.9x
11.2x
11.5x
11.7x
Lyondell
US
47.24
11,973
6,002
17,975
8.7x
6.8x
6.9x
64.4x
16.4x
12.9x
Braskem
Brazil
9.09
3,230
3,397
6,627
8.6x
4.6x
6.9x
55.7x
25.7x
19.8x
Suzano Petroquímica
Brazil
5.50
1,247
751
1,998
18.8x
9.7x
8.9x
131.0x
14.2x
26.2x
Petroquímica União
Brazil
8.80
882
275
1,157
7.3x
NA
NA
10.5x
9.9x
8.9x
Mean
8.5x
6.3x
6.6x
42.1x
13.7x
14.2x
Median
7.4x
5.4x
6.9x
14.2x
11.5x
12.0x
Max.
18.8x
9.7x
8.9x
131.0x
25.7x
26.2x
Min.
4.4x
4.6x
5.3x
7.5x
9.3x
8.9x
Specialty Chemicals
Croda
England
13.32
1,814
801
2,615
15.5x
10.2x
9.0x
23.9x
16.8x
14.8x
Clariant
Switzerland
12.41
2,856
1,502
4,358
6.0x
6.2x
5.8x
25.1x
12.2x
9.9x
Rhodia
France
37.23
3,736
2,285
6,021
6.3x
5.3x
4.6x
23.3x
13.3x
7.0x
Lubrizol
US
64.17
4,428
928
5,356
15.6x
8.6x
8.0x
41.9x
16.1x
14.8x
Huntsman
US
26.14
5,774
3,616
9,390
7.6x
9.1x
8.3x
25.1x
19.1x
14.1x
Celanese
US
41.60
6,209
2,920
9,129
7.4x
7.4x
7.0x
15.3x
11.5x
10.6x
Mean
9.7x
7.8x
7.1x
25.8x
14.8x
11.9x
Median
7.5x
8.0x
7.5x
24.5x
14.7x
12.3x
Max.
15.6x
10.2x
9.0x
41.9x
19.1x
14.8x
Min.
6.0x
5.3x
4.6x
15.3x
11.5x
7.0x
Refineries
Alon
US
35.84
1,678
401
2,078
8.0x
5.4x
5.2x
10.7x
10.0x
9.1x
Delek
US
22.95
1,177
276
1,454
8.2x
6.0x
6.8x
12.7x
8.7x
10.4x
Frontier
US
45.60
4,886
(380)
4,505
7.2x
5.5x
7.5x
12.9x
10.2x
13.5x
Mean
7.8x
5.6x
6.5x
12.1x
9.6x
11.0x
Median
8.0x
5.5x
6.8x
12.7x
10.0x
10.4x
Max.
8.2x
6.0x
7.5x
12.9x
10.2x
13.5x
Min.
7.2x
5.4x
5.2x
10.7x
8.7x
9.1x
Source: Company reports and Bloomberg (market consensus)
Share prices as of 5 November 2007
Note: FV/EBITDA and P/E multiples calculated in local currency


CONFIDENTIAL
94
Annex II. Comparable Precedent
Transaction Analysis


95
CONFIDENTIAL
6.9x
4.4x
9.3x
9.7x
6.4x
8.7x
5.4x
12.5x
9.1x
15.2x
6.7x
6.2x
7.4x
8.1x
7.6x
8.4x
5.7x
5.8x
5.8x
8.0x
9.4x
6.3x
(2)
SABIC /
DSM
MatlinPatterson
/ Huntsman
Bain /
Celanese
– Trespaphan
Business
Superior /
Sterling (Pulp
Chemicals)
LBO France /
Materis
Bain /
Brenntag
Koch /
Invista
Blackstone /
Celanese
Lyondell /
Millennium
Lion / PolyOne
(Elastomers &
Additives)
Oxy /
Vulcan
Celanese /
Acetex
Access /
Basell
Ineos /
Innovene
TPC /
Huntsman
(Butadiene)
Georgia Gulf /
Royal Group
SABIC /
Huntsman
European
Commodities
Business
Advent /
Celanese Oxo Huntsman US
Products
Koch /
Commodities
Business
National
Titanium
Dioxide Co /
Lyondell TiO2
Business
Olin /
Pioneer
Companies
Basell /
Lyondell
Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis
Commodities
Multiples of Value / LTM EBITDA
(local currency in millions)
Note:
Yellow bars show acquisitions made by financial investors. Average multiples of strategic investors were calculated considering a multiple of 6.0x for the SABIC / Huntsman transaction.
(1)
Date of announcement; transaction still pending.
(2)
Multiple 6.0x based on normalized LTM EBITDA.
(3)
Based on combined EBITDA of €100 million (considering absence of debt of E-Oxo).
Average Multiple -
Strategic:  8.5x
Average Multiple -
Financial:  7.2x
Acquisition
Value:
€2,075
$3,876
€200
$375
€1,100
€1,394
$4,400
€3,100
$2,300
$120
$214
$492
€4,400
$9,000
$275
$1,556
$700
$630
$761      $1,200       $93     $19,880
Date:
3-Apr
18-Jun
31-Oct
13-Nov
23-Sep
12-Nov
17-Nov
16-Dec
30-Mar
29-Jun
12-Oct
27-Oct
5-May
7-Oct
24-Feb
9-Jun
28-Sep
31-Dec
(1)
15-Feb
(1)
26-Feb
(1)
21-Apr
(1)
17Jul
(1)
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
(3)
Source: Factset and Bloomberg.


96
9.6x
11.5x
9.0x
9.0x
16.0x
16.2x
9.2x
8.4x
10.4x
12.1x
10.0x
8.0x
10.5x
10.3x
8.8x
9.9x
11.7x
9.3x
8.9x
11.0x
8.8x
7.8x
7.0x
8.3x
10.9x
9.3x
GE Specialty
Materials/
Betz
Dearborn
DSM/
Roche
Vitamins
and F.C.
UCB/
Solutia
Additives
and Resins
Lubrizol/
Noveon
GE/
Crompton
OSI
Albemarle/
Akzo
Catalysts
Cytec/
UCB
Resins
Henkel/
Sovereign
DSM/
Avecia
NeoResins
Crompton/ Macquarie/
Great
Lakes
Dyno Nobel
BASF/
Degussa
Const.
Chem
Ashland/
Degussa
Water
Treat.
BASF/
Johnson
Polymer
BASF/
Engelhard
Linde/
BOC
Croda/
Uniqema
Kemira/
Cytec
Water
Treatment/
Acrylamide
Monsanto/
Delta
& Pine
Lonza/
Cambrex
Research
Bioproducts
& Microbial
Givaudan/
Quest
Int'l
Airgas/
Linde US
Bulk Gas
Business
Dow
Chemical/
Wolff
Walsrode
Sabic/
GE
Plastics
ICL/
Supresta
Hexion/
Huntsman
(1)
Date of announcement; transaction still pending.
Average: 10.1x
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis
Chemical Specialties
Multiples of Value / LTM EBITDA
(local currency in millions)
Source: Factset and Bloomberg
CONFIDENTIAL
Acquisitions
Amount:
$1,800
CHF3,500
$510
$1,840
$1,050
$625
$1,361
$575
$515
$1,800
$1,700
$2,800
$144
$470
$5,212
£9,608
$410
$240
$1,500
367
£1,200
$495
$585
$11,600
$352
$10,600
Date:
2/12
9/3
12/5
4/16
4/28
4/20
10/1
10/6
12/14
3/9
9/19
3/1
3/30
5/2
5/30
6/3
6/29
6/17
8/15
(1)
10/26
(1)
11/20
(1)
11/22
(1)
12/19
5/21
(1)
6/24
(1)
7/9
(1)


97
CONFIDENTIAL
Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis
Distributors of Chemical Products
Multiples of Value / LTM EBITDA
(local currency in millions)
2000
2001
2007
Average: 8.2x
Source: Factset and Bloomberg
9.3x
6.1x
8.8x
8.5x
ChemCentral
-
Univar
Ellis & Evirard
-
Vopak
Distribution
INT Muellor
Chemical -
NIB
Capital
HCI -
Brenntag
$306
$228
$480
$650


98
CONFIDENTIAL
Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis
Producers of Tar
Multiples of Value / LTM EBITDA
(local currency in millions)
$146
Average: 6.9x
Source: Factset and Bloomberg
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
$422
$362
$172
$138
$648
$177
$155
5.6x
8.0x
5.7x
5.9x
7.3x
8.8x
6.3x
7.3x
Dell Contractors
and Millington
Quarry / CRH
Thompson-
McCully
/ CR%H
The Shelly
Company / CRH
Northern Ohio
Paving and
Dolomite Group /
CRH
Mount Hope Rock
Products / CRH
Kiewit Materials /
CSR
SE Johnson /
CRH
Better Materials
Corp. / Hanson
Building Materials


CONFIDENTIAL
99
Annex III. Share Price Evolution
on the BVSP


100
CONFIDENTIAL
Ultrapar
Weighted Average Price of the Shares on the BVSP
Price
of
Ultrapar’s
preferred
shares
(UGPA4)
on
the
BVSP
(past
12
months)
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
Oct-06
Dec-06
Feb-07
Apr-07
Jun-07
Aug-07
Oct-07
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Volume (BRL)
Price (BRL)
Ultrapar PN
Max.
75.40
Min.
40.90
VWAP
59.39


101
CONFIDENTIAL
CBPI
Weighted Average Price of the Shares on the BVSP
Price of common and preferred shares of Companhia Brasileira de Petróleo Ipiranga (PTIP4) on
the
BVSP
(past
12
months
from
October
31,
2006
to
October
31,
2007)


102
CONFIDENTIAL
RIPI
Weighted Average Price of the Shares on the BVSP
Price of common and preferred shares of Refinaria de Petróleo Ipiranga (RIPI4) on the BVSP
(past 12 months –
from October 31, 2006 to October 31, 2007)


103
CONFIDENTIAL
DPPI
Weighted Average Price of the Shares on the BVSP
Price of common and preferred shares of Distribuidora de Produtos de Petróleo Ipiranga (DPPI4)
on
the
BVSP
(past
12
months
from
October
31,
2006
to
October
31,
2007)


CONFIDENTIAL
104
Annex IV. Weighted Average Cost
of Capital (WACC)


105
CONFIDENTIAL
Weighted Average Cost of Capital -
Ultrapar
WACC calculated in nominal U.S. dollars of 9.56% to 9.80% per annum
Assumptions
Effective tax rate
20.3%
Risk free rate
(1)
4.92%
Equity risk premium
(2)
5.12%
Country risk
(3)
1.40%
Capital Structure
Net Debt /
Net Debt /
Unleveraged
Beta
Leverage
Leveraged
Cost of Equity
Equity Risk
Total Capital
Equity Value
Ultrapar
(4)
Rate
Beta
(5)
(Nominal
Terms)
(6)
Premium
30.0%
42.9%
0.732
1.342
0.982
11.3%
5.12%
(2)  Source: Ibbotson.
(3)  Projected market risk premium. Source: Credit Suisse.
(4)
Source:
Barra
Beta.
(5)  Leveraged Beta:  (Unleveraged
Beta * Leverage Rate).
(6)
Cost
of
Equity:
Rf
+
B
*
(
Rm
-
Rf
)
+
Sp.
(7)
WACC:
(Kd
*
(1
-
taxes)
*
(D
/
(D
+
E)
)
)
+
(Ke
*
(E
/
(D
+
E)
)
[Kd
=
Cost
of
Debt;
Ke
=
Cost
of
Equity].
(1)  US Treasury Bond of 30 years. Average of last 3 months ended in 11/01/07. Source: Bloomberg
WACC Calculation
Kd
before taxes
6.25%
6.75%
7.25%
7.75%
8.25%
Kd
after taxes
4.98%
5.38%
5.78%
6.18%
6.58%
WACC
9.44%
9.56%
9.68%
9.80%
9.92%


106
CONFIDENTIAL
Weighted Average Cost of Capital -
CBPI
WACC calculated in nominal U.S. dollars of 11.17% to 11.39% per annum
Assumptions
Effective tax rate
26.2%
Risk free rate
(1)
4.92%
Equity risk premium
(2)
5.12%
Country risk
(3)
1.40%
Capital Structure
Net Debt /
Net Debt /
Unleveraged
Beta
Leverage
Leveraged
Cost of Equity
Equity Risk
Total Capital
Equity Value
CBPI
(4)
Rate
Beta
(5)
(Nominal Terms)
(6)
Premium
30.0%
42.9%
0.995
1.316
1.309
13.0%
5.12%
(2)  Source: Ibbotson.
(3)  Projected market risk premium. Source: Credit Suisse.
(4)
Source:
Barra
Beta.
(5)  Leveraged Beta:  (Unleveraged
Beta * Leverage Rate).
(6)
Cost
of
Equity:
Rf
+
B
*
(
Rm
-
Rf
)
+
Sp.
(7)
WACC:
(Kd
*
(1
-
taxes)
*
(D
/
(D
+
E)
)
)
+
(Ke
*
(E
/
(D
+
E)
)
[Kd
=
Cost
of
Debt;
Ke
=
Cost
of
Equity].
(1)  US Treasury Bond of 30 years. Average of last 3 months ended in 11/01/07. Source: Bloomberg
WACC Calculation
Kd
before taxes
8.79%
9.29%
9.79%
10.29%
10.79%
Kd
after taxes
6.48%
6.85%
7.22%
7.59%
7.96%
WACC
11.06%
11.17%
11.28%
11.39%
11.50%


107
CONFIDENTIAL
Weighted Average Cost of Capital -
DPPI
WACC calculated in nominal U.S. dollars of 11.21% to 11.43% per annum
Assumptions
Effective tax rate
25.4%
Risk free rate
(1)
4.92%
Equity risk premium
(2)
5.12%
Country risk
(3)
1.40%
Capital Structure
Net Debt /
Net Debt /
Unleveraged
Beta
Leverage
Leveraged
Cost of Equity
Equity Risk
Total Capital
Equity Value
DPPI
(4)
Rate
Beta
(5)
(Nominal Terms)
(6)
Premium
30.0%
42.9%
0.995
1.320
1.313
13.0%
5.12%
(2)  Source: Ibbotson.
(3)  Projected market risk premium. Source: Credit Suisse.
(4)
Source:
Barra
Beta.
(5)
Leveraged
Beta:
(Unleveraged
Beta
*
Leverage
Rate).
(6)
Cost
of
Equity:
Rf
+
B
*
(
Rm
-
Rf
)
+
Sp.
(7)
WACC:
(Kd
*
(1
-
taxes)
*
(D
/
(D
+
E)
)
)
+
(Ke
*
(E
/
(D
+
E)
)
[Kd
=
Cost
of
Debt;
Ke
=
Cost
of
Equity].
(1)  US Treasury Bond of 30 years. Average of last 3 months ended in 11/01/07. Source: Bloomberg
WACC Calculation
Kd
before taxes
8.79%
9.29%
9.79%
10.29%
10.79%
Kd
after taxes
6.55%
6.93%
7.30%
7.67%
8.04%
WACC
11.10%
11.21%
11.32%
11.43%
11.54%


108
CONFIDENTIAL
Weighted Average Cost of Capital –
AM/PM
WACC calculated in nominal U.S. dollars of 10.84% to 11.04% per annum
Assumptions
Effective tax rate
34.0%
Risk free rate
(1)
4.92%
Equity risk premium
(2)
5.12%
Country risk
(3)
1.40%
Capital Structure
Net Debt /
Net Debt /
Unleveraged
Beta
Leverage
Leveraged
Cost of Equity
Equity Risk
Total Capital
Equity Value
AM/PM
(4)
Rate
Beta
(5)
(Nominal Terms)
(6)
Premium
30.0%
42.9%
0.995
1.283
1.276
12.9%
5.12%
(2)  Source: Ibbotson.
(3)  Projected market risk premium. Source: Credit Suisse.
(4)  Source: Barra
Beta.
(5)  Leveraged Beta:  (Unleveraged
Beta * Leverage Rate).
(6)  Cost of Equity:  Rf
+  B * ( Rm
-
Rf
) + Sp.
(7)  WACC: (Kd
* (1 -
taxes) * (D / (D + E) ) ) + (Ke
* (E / (D + E) )  [Kd
= Cost of Debt; Ke
=  Cost of Equity].
(1)  US Treasury Bond of 30 years. Average of last 3 months ended in 11/01/07. Source: Bloomberg
WACC Calculation
Kd
before taxes
8.79%
9.29%
9.79%
10.29%
10.79%
Kd
after taxes
5.80%
6.13%
6.46%
6.79%
7.12%
WACC
10.74%
10.84%
10.94%
11.04%
11.13%


109
CONFIDENTIAL
Weighted Average Cost of Capital -
Copesul
WACC calculated in nominal U.S. dollars of 10.73% to 10.83% per annum
Assumptions
Effective tax rate
32.8%
Risk free rate
(1)
4.92%
Equity risk premium
(2)
5.12%
Country risk
(3)
1.40%
Capital Structure
Net Debt /
Net Debt /
Unleveraged
Beta
Leverage
Leveraged
Cost of Equity
Equity Risk
Total Capital
Equity Value
Copesul
(4)
Rate
Beta
(5)
(Nominal Terms)
(6)
Premium
15.0%
17.6%
0.924
1.119
1.034
11.6%
5.12%
(2)  Source: Ibbotson.
(3)  Projected market risk premium. Source: Credit Suisse.
(4)
Source:
Barra
Beta.
(5)  Leveraged Beta:  (Unleveraged
Beta * Leverage Rate).
(6)
Cost
of
Equity:
Rf
+
B
*
(
Rm
-
Rf
)
+
Sp.
(7)
WACC:
(Kd
*
(1
-
taxes)
*
(D
/
(D
+
E)
)
)
+
(Ke
*
(E
/
(D
+
E)
)
[Kd
=
Cost
of
Debt;
Ke
=
Cost
of
Equity].
(1)  US Treasury Bond of 30 years. Average of last 3 months ended in 11/01/07. Source: Bloomberg
WACC Calculation
Kd
before taxes
8.00%
8.50%
9.00%
9.50%
10.00%
Kd
after taxes
5.38%
5.72%
6.05%
6.39%
6.72%
WACC
10.68%
10.73%
10.78%
10.83%
10.88%


110
CONFIDENTIAL
Weighted Average Cost of Capital -
IPQ
WACC calculated in nominal U.S. dollars of 10.88% to 11.00% per annum
Assumptions
Effective tax rate
25.0%
Risk free rate
(1)
4.92%
Equity risk premium
(2)
5.12%
Country risk
(3)
1.40%
Capital Structure
Net Debt /
Net Debt /
Unleveraged
Beta
Leverage
Leveraged
Cost of Equity
Equity Risk
Total Capital
Equity Value
IPQ
(4)
Rate
Beta
(5)
(Nominal Terms)
(6)
Premium
15.0%
17.6%
0.924
1.132
1.047
11.7%
5.12%
(2)  Source: Ibbotson.
(3)  Projected market risk premium. Source: Credit Suisse.
(4)
Source:
Barra
Beta.
(5)  Leveraged Beta:  (Unleveraged
Beta * Leverage Rate).
(6)
Cost
of
Equity:
Rf
+
B
*
(
Rm
-
Rf
)
+
Sp.
(7)
WACC:
(Kd
*
(1
-
taxes)
*
(D
/
(D
+
E)
)
)
+
(Ke
*
(E
/
(D
+
E)
)
[Kd
=
Cost
of
Debt;
Ke
=
Cost
of
Equity].
(1)  US Treasury Bond of 30 years. Average of last 3 months ended in 11/01/07. Source: Bloomberg
WACC Calculation
Kd
before taxes
8.00%
8.50%
9.00%
9.50%
10.00%
Kd
after taxes
6.00%
6.38%
6.75%
7.13%
7.50%
WACC
10.83%
10.88%
10.94%
11.00%
11.05%


CONFIDENTIAL
111
Annex V: Net Debt


112
CONFIDENTIAL
Ultrapar –
Calculation of Net Debt / (Net Cash)
Ultrapar
(
in millions of reais)
Financial Debt
2,261.8
Pension Fund
0.0
Payable / Receivable Dividends
40.2
Credit with Related Parties
0.0
Debt with Related Parties
(5.2)
Export Prepayment Disbursement
0.0
Provision for Contingencies
30.6
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(1,277.6)
Net Debt / (Net Cash)
1,049.73


113
CONFIDENTIAL
Financial Debt                                                  
101.1
Ipiranga -
Calculation of Net Debt / (Net Cash)
Copesul
IPQ
IQ
(in
millions
of
reais)
(in
millions
of
reais)
(in
millions of reais)                                                  
Financial Debt
241.8
Financial Debt
616.5
Pension Fund
8.9
Pension Fund
5.9
Pension Fund                                                    
2.0
Payable / Receivable Dividends
4.2
Payable / Receivable Dividends
0.0
Payable / Receivable Dividends
0.0
Credit with Related Parties
0.0
Credit with Related Parties
0.0
Credit with Related Parties
0.0
Debt with Related Parties
0.0
Debt with Related Parties
0.0
Debt with Related Parties
0.0
Export Prepayment Disbursement
17.3
Export Prepayment Disbursement
155.9
Export Prepayment Disbursement
0.0
Provision for Contingencies
32.3
Provision for Contingencies
9.1
Provision for Contingencies
0.1
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(639.6)
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(57.7)
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(10.6)
(+)
29.46%
Copesul's
Net
Debt
(98.7)
(+)
100.00%
IPQ's
Net
Debt
630.9
Net Debt / (Net Cash)
(335.13)
Net Debt / (Net Cash)
630.94
CBPI
DPPI
RIPI
(in
millions
of reais)
(in
millions
of reais)
(in
millions
of reais)
Financial Debt
599.6
Financial Debt
35.1
Financial Debt
84.7
Pension Fund
44.0
Pension Fund
30.2
Pension Fund
40.4
Payable / Receivable Dividends
0.0
Payable / Receivable Dividends
0.0
Payable
/
Receivable
Dividends
0.3
Credit with Related Parties
(4.1)
Credit with Related Parties
(3.3)
Credit with Related Parties
0.0
Debt with Related Parties
12.2
Debt with Related Parties
8.5
Debt with Related Parties
0.0
Export Prepayment Disbursement
0.0
Export Prepayment Disbursement
0.0
Export Prepayment Disbursement
0.0
Provision for Contingencies
62.4
Provision for Contingencies
2.5
Provision for Contingencies
1.1
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(182.1)
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(107.4)
Cash and Cash Equivalents
(28.6)
Controled
companies
(57.9)
Warrants
(36.8)
Warrants
36.8
(+) 41.47% IQ's Net Debt
300.2
Controled
companies
(35.3)
(+) 58.53% IQ's Net Debt
423.7
(+)
21.01%
CBPI's
Net
Debt
162.7
(+)
11.42%
CBPI's
Net
Debt
88.4
(+)
7.65%
DPPI's
Net
Debt
4.3
Net Debt / (Net Cash)
774.26
Net Debt / (Net Cash)
56.13
Net Debt / (Net Cash)        
651.15
Net Debt / (Net Cash)
723.84
IQ


CONFIDENTIAL
114
Annex VI. Overview of the
Industries of the Analyzed
Companies


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2002
2003
2004
2005
USA
Japan
Germany
China
Brazil
Mexico
Argentina
2002
2003
2004
2005
USA
Germany
Mexico
Argentina
Brazil
1,220
1,069
1,316
1,466
1,456
1,416
1,499
1,151
816
40
283
776
1,249
1
10
9
15
48
32
50
43
1
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Gasoline
Ethanol
Flex Fuel
Overview of the Brazilian Fuel Distribution
Industry
Source: Anfavea
Source: Anfavea
Source: Anfavea
(In thousands of cars)
Inhabitants per Car
Car Fleet
Brazilian Car Production by Type of Fuel
(In millions of cars)
The Brazilian fuel distribution industry is expected to
grow over the next few years, primarily due to an
increase in car sales and to the low rate of cars per
inhabitant in Brazil compared to other countries.
Consumption of ethanol as a fuel is expected to increase
at a faster rate than consumption of other fuels, primarily
due to the significant increase in sales of flex fuel cars,
according to Anfavea.


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Number of Gas Stations in Brazil
Production
Distribution
Retail
Consumer
Overview of the Brazilian Fuel Distribution
Industry  (cont.)
Source: SINDICOM
Brazilian Market Share by Number of Gas Stations in 2006
Source: ANP
Industry Distribution and Logistics
Refineries
Petrochemical
Companies
Mills and
Distilleries
Biodiesel
Producers
Importers
Distribution
Centers
Retail Gas Stations
Retail
Transporters and
Dealers -
RTR
Car Drivers
Truck Drivers
Small Consumers
Companies
Farmers
Large Consumers
Source: SINDICOM
BR, 41.2%
Shell, 15.3%
Chevron, 10.5%
Ipiranga CBPI, 19.4%
Esso, 8.0%
Repsol YPF, 1.3%
FL Brasil, 0.1%
Ipiranga DPPI, 2.9%
Castrol, 0.1%
Brazilian Market Share by Distributed Volume in 2006
Source: SINDICOM
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Texaco, 6.0%
AleSat, 2.5%
Shell, 5.8%
Esso, 4.4%
Ipiranga, 11.0%
Branca, 42.8%
Others, 10.90%
BR, 16.6%


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Fertilizers, 5.60
Pesticides, 3.90
Others, 2.30
Paints, 2.10
Soap, 4.60
Pharmaceuticals, 10.90
Personal Care, 6.90
Industrial Chemicals, 45.40
Overview of the Brazilian Petrochemical
Industry
According to ABIQUIM, net sales of the Brazilian
chemical industry totaled R$ 177.7 billion in
2006, a 2.3% increase compared to 2005.
Exported volumes increased by 14.2% in 2006,
with total export sales revenue of U.S.$ 8.92
billion, a 20.8% increase compared to 2005.
The Brazilian petrochemical industry is
structured into three different generation levels,
as set forth below:
Total Sales of the Industry by Type of Product in
2006
Source: ABIQUIM
Oil
Natural Gas
Plastics
Refinement and Extraction
Ethylene
Others
Propylene
Propylene
Ethylene
PE
PVC
PP
PE
Others
Ethane
Diesel Fuel
Naphtha
Propane
Ethane
Others
Flexible Packaging
Toys
Tires
Shoes
Car Parts
3
rd
Generation
2
nd
Generation
1
st
Generation
Structure of the Petrochemical Industry
Source: Braskem (IAN 2006)
(In billions of U.S.$)


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Overview of the Brazilian Petrochemical
Industry (Cont.)
Copesul is a first generation petrochemical company
located in the Petrochemical Complex of Triunfo, in the
State of Rio Grande do Sul. It caters to second
generation plants in the same area.
The petrochemical industry is cyclical and sensitive to
changes in supply and demand.
Each cycle spans approximately five years and results
in a variation in sales and margins of companies in this
industry.
Naphtha (raw material) is supplied in part by Petrobras
and the rest through direct imports.
Price variations are largely due to the volatility of oil
prices.
Increase in supply is pegged to increases in the
production capacity of the plants that generally require
high levels of investments.
Location of Petrochemical Complexes
Source: ABIQUIM and
Petrobras
Evolution
of
Ethylene
Sales in Brazil
Source: ABIQUIM and
Petrobras
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2.44
2.43
2.60
2.70
2.69
BAHIA
1.28 million tons per year
ethylene
0.73 million tons per year PE
RIO DE JANEIRO
0.52 million tons per year ethylene
0.54 million tons per year PE
SÃO PAULO
1.28 million tons per year ethylene
0.73 million tons per year PE
RIO GRANDE DO SUL
1.19 million tons per year ethylene
1.13 million tons per year PE


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Country
Gas Stations
Stores
Stores/Gas Stations
USA
173,698
145,119
84%
England
9,487
7,985
84%
South Africa
7,027
1,997
28%
Germany
13,858
11,224
81%
Argentina
6,540
3,054
47%
Brazil
34,127
4,834
14%
Spain
7,088
4,288
60%
Netherlands
2,603
1,533
59%
Venezuela
4,384
1,631
37%
Chile
2,922
949
32%
Global Benchmarking
Source: Sindicom
Overview of the Brazilian Convenience Store
Industry
According to SINDICOM, Brazil is expected to have 5,800 convenience stores by the end of
2007.
According to Gouvêa de Souza & MD (in partnership with SINDICOM), sales rank by product
category
is
as
follows:
food
services
(24%);
soft
drinks
(27%);
other
non-alcoholic
beverages
(17%); and chocolates (12%).
In 2006, 440 million units were sold in convenient stores in Brazil, totaling R$2 billion in sales,
according to the fifth edition of the Fuel and Convenience Stores Year Book of SINDICOM.
Number of Convenience Stores in Brazil
Source: Sindicom


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Overview of the Brazilian LPG Distribution Industry
Distributors of LPG in Brazil buy LPG primarily
from Petrobras.
LPG produced by Petrobras accounted for
approximately 87% of total demand in Brazil, in
2006.
Currently, there are 99 million gas cylinders in
circulation in Brazil.
An average of approximately 1.5 million
cylinders is delivered daily to Brazilian
consumers.
Market Share per Distributed Volume
(From January to February 2007)
LPG Sales by Distributors
Sales by Region
(From January to February 2007)
J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
450
470
490
510
530
550
570
590
484
2005
2006
2007
Source: ANP
Source: ANP
Source: ANP
NE, 21.30%
S, 16.70%
CW, 8.10%
N, 5.60%
SE, 48.40%
Maxi-Chama, 0.21%
Others, 0.14%
Grupo
Nacional,
18.36%
Amazongás, 0.65%
Consigaz, 2.23%
Servgás, 0.68%
Fogás, 1.73%
Copagaz, 7.38%
Grupo
SHV, 23.34%
Liquigás, 21.51%
Grupo
Ultra, 23.77%
121
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CONFIDENTIAL
121
Annex VII: Description of the
Valuation Methodology


122
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Overview of the Valuation Methodologies
There are three main economic valuation methods: Discounted Cash
Flow Analysis, or DCF; Comparable
Public Company Analysis; and Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis.
Discounted Cash Flow
DCF
Analysis
Comparable Public Company
Analysis
Comparable Precedent Transaction
Analysis
Methodologies:
-Unleveraged
projections of cash flows
-Terminal value calculation based on
EBITDA multiple or perpetuity growth
-Cash flow and terminal value discounted by
a discount that corresponds to the
Company’s Weighted Average Cost of
Capital (“WACC”)
-
Identification
of listed companies that are
comparable to the business assessed
-
Calculation of value as a multiple of value
drivers
-
Multiples
of value are applied to the
corresponding value driver of the company
being assessed
-
Identification
of transactions involving
companies with comparable activities
-
Calculation of the implied multiples of
value in those transactions
-
Multiples of value are applied to the
corresponding value driver of the
company being assessed
Advantages:
-Estimates
the intrinsic value of the company
-Valuation adequat
ely
reflects the expected
return based on the country risk and risks
intrinsic to the type of business
-Flexibility to incorporate opportunities and
adjust extraordinary
distortions
-
Incorporates
increases in production
capacity / future investments
-
It reflects the capital market trends and the
trends in the industry being assessed
-
Reflects
the implied value of the
transactions being assessed
Disadvantages:
-
Subject
to
different
views
of
the
financial
projections
-
Does not adequately reflect the differences
between the profitability potential among
companies
-
Difficult
to identify companies that are
totally comparable
-
Analysis
may be affected by
macroeconomic conditions
-
It depends on the transaction strategy and
market conditions at the time
-
It does not reflect the differences among
the companies’
potential returns
-
Difficult
to identify transactions that are
comparable
-
Limited public information available
Considerations:
-Highly sensitive to key variables, including
:
debt
/capital
ratio;
country risk;
discount
rate;
and EBITDA
multiples or perpetuity
growth multiples used to calculate the
terminal value
-
Does not incorporate
the control premium
-
Limited sample of truly comparable
companies
-
Comparable international companies are
generally bigger, more capitalized and
have different risk perspectives
-
Limited sample of comparable companies in
the Latin American market
-
Normally
incorporates the control premium
-
Premium paid reflects the characteristics of
each transaction


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A. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
DCF Methodology
The DCF is an economic valuation methodology based on:
Cash Flow Projections
Projections based on estimates of the company’s management
More flexibility when analyzing sensitivities
Unleveraged cash flows are calculated during the projected period and discounted by the Company’s
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC).
The most important variables for the determination of the value of a company are compared to those of
competitors to validate the consistency of the valuation.  Such variables depend on the type of activity of the
company and generally include the primary items that are recorded as revenue and costs, operating
expenses, capital and working capital investments.
Terminal Value
Terminal value includes the value of the activities of the company that are not accounted for during the
period of the projected cash flow.
Two methods are used to calculate the terminal value:
Market value:
market value is applied to the most significant operational variable in the last projected
year to calculate the terminal value. The operational variable most used in valuations of the industry is
EBITDA.
Perpetuity:
the terminal value of the company’s cash flow in the last year of the projected period.
Terminal value calculation based on perpetuity growth.


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A. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis (Cont.)
Premises of
Management
Firm Value
Unleveraged
Cash Flow
PV of the
Unleveraged Cash Flow
PV of Terminal Value
Perpetuity of Unleveraged
Cash Flow
Equity Value
-
Net debt
-
Net contingencies
WACC
Unleveraged Net Profit
+ Depreciation
-
CAPEX
+/-
Variation of Working Capital
DCF Methodology (cont.)


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A. Discounted Cash Flow –
DCF Analysis (Cont.)
Calculating WACC.
WACC
equals
cost
of
equity
(K
e
)
plus
cost
of
debt
(K
d
)
of
the
analyzed
company,
considering
an
optimum
capital
structure
(1)
K
e
is
derived
from
the
Capital
Asset
Pricing
Model,
or
CAPM
CAPM
considers
K
e
to
be
equal
to
risk-free
rate
plus
premium
for
systemic
risk
(not
diversifiable).
Premium
related
to
systemic
risk
is
given
by
Beta
(ß)
(that
captures
the
correlation
between
return
on
results
of
the
company
and
return
on
results
of
the
market)
multiplied
by
the
premium
of
expected
market
risk.
A. Risk Premium of the Equity Market:
due to the volatility of the risk premium of the Brazilian
equity market, CS uses the premium methodology of the U.S. market.
B.
Company’s
Beta:
includes
analysis
of
comparable
companies
in
the
European
and
U.S.
equity
markets
and
their
return
on
investment
compared
to
the
return
on
investment
of
the
domestic
equity
market
for
different
periods
of
time,
adjusted
for
financial
leverage
of
the
respective
companies.
C.
Risk
Premium
for
the
Country:
risk
premium
for
the
country
is
estimated
based
on
the
difference
between
(i)
yield
of
the
Brazilian
sovereign
debt
and
(ii)
U.S.
bonds
for
30
years.
Cost
of
debt
(K
d
)
To
calculate
K
d
,
CS
estimates:
(i)
the
risk
of
adequate
credit
of
the
analyzed
company,
based
on
the
conditions
in
the
bond
market;
or
(ii)
assumes
the
weighted
average
cost
on
the
date
in
which
the
existing
debt
is
analyzed.
(1) Optimum capital structure is determined by the average capital structure of other companies in the same industry and the goals established by the management
of the company being analyzed.


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A. Discounted Cash Flow –
DCF Analysis (Cont.)
Calculating WACC
WACC
is
cost
of
equity
(K
e
)
plus
cost
of
debt
(K
d
)
of
the
analyzed
company,
considering
an
optimum
capital structure.
K
e
was estimated using CAPM adjusted to the risk of the country.
K
d
was estimated considering risk of credit and current situation of the debt market.
WACC
Cost of debt (C
d
)
Cost of Equity (K
e
)
Risk-Free Rate
U.S.A
R
f
Beta (B)
Expected Risk
Premium of the
Equity Market
(EMRP)
Risk Premium
of the Country
(CRP)
K
d
= K
d
* (1-
tax bracket)
K
e
= R
f
+ (
B
*EMRP) + CRP
WACC = D/(D + E) * K
d
+ E/(D + E) * K
e


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CONFIDENTIAL
B. Comparable Public Companies Analysis
Uses market value of other public companies with similar operating and financial
characteristics to value the company
Once
the
sample
of
comparable
companies
is
selected,
the
implied
value
of
the
company
and
its
shares
is
calculated
by
multiplying
the
operating
variables
of
the
company
(ie:
net
profit,
EBITDA)
by
the
respective
multiples
of
the
comparable
sample.
The
values
of
comparable
companies
do
not
include
“control”
premiums
of
the
comparable
companies.
The
key
element
in
the
comparable
companies
analysis
is
identifying
those
that
are
more
comparable and relevant.
A
comparable
company
is
one
that
has
similar
operating
and
financial
characteristics
to
the
company being analyzed.
Examples
of
operating
characteristics
are:
industry
of
activity;
types
of
products;
distribution
channels;
markets
of
activity;
types
of
clients;
and
operations
with
same
seasonality
and
cyclicality.
Examples
of
financial
characteristics:
size;
leverage;
shareholder
base;
growth;
and
profit
margin.
The lack of comparable companies is one of the main limitations of this method.


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CONFIDENTIAL
C. Comparable Precedent Transaction Analysis
Uses
implied
multiples
in
comparable
mergers
and
acquisitions
to
value
a
company
It
is
important
to
identify
transactions
that
are
adequately
comparable
and
to
know
their
economic aspects in detail.
Premiums paid reflect particularities of each transaction.
Recent transactions reflect current market trends more accurately.
It is important to analyze companies with operating and financial characteristics that are similar
to those of the company being valued.
Just as is the case with Comparable Company Analysis, the lack of comparable
transactions is the main limitation of this method.


CONFIDENTIAL
129
Annex VIII: Glossary


130
CONFIDENTIAL
Glossary
EBITDA:
Earnings
Before
Interest,
Taxes,
Depreciation
and
Amortization,
considers
operating
income before financial expenses, taxes, depreciation and amortization, for a period of
time.
EBIT:
Earnings
Before
Interest
and
Taxes,
considers
operating
income
before
financial
expenses and taxes in a period of time.
CAGR:
Compound Average Growth Rate
Capex:
Capital
Expenditures
or
investments
in
maintenance
and
expansion
of
activities.
WACC:
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (discount rate).
CAPM:
Capital Asset Pricing Model.
Management:
management of the Company.
Market share:
market share.
LTM:
Last Twelve Months.
P/E:
Price / Earnings.
TEV:
Total Enterprise Value.