EX-13.2 3 mda.htm MANAGEMENT???S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS OF THE REGISTRANT AS AT AND FOR THE PERIOD ENDED SEPTEMBER 30, 2010. MD Filed by Filing Services Canada Inc.  (403) 717-3898


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TRANSALTA CORPORATION
THIRD QUARTER REPORT FOR 2010


MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS

This management’s discussion and analysis (“MD&A”) contains forward looking statements.  These statements are based on certain estimates and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties.  Actual results may differ materially.  See the Forward Looking Statements section of this MD&A for additional information.


This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim consolidated financial statements of TransAlta Corporation as at and for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 and 2009, and should also be read in conjunction with the audited consolidated financial statements and MD&A contained within our 2009 Annual Report.  In this MD&A, unless the context otherwise requires, ‘we’, ‘our’, ‘us’, the ‘Corporation’ and ‘TransAlta’ refers to TransAlta Corporation and its subsidiaries.  The consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with Canadian Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (“Canadian GAAP”).  All tabular amounts in the following discussion are in millions of Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted.  This MD&A is dated Oct. 28, 2010.  Additional information respecting TransAlta, including its Annual Information Form, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com.


RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The results of operations are presented on a consolidated basis and by business segment.  We have two business segments: Generation and Energy Trading(1).  Our segments are supported by a corporate group that provides finance, tax, treasury, legal, regulatory, environmental, health and safety, sustainable development, corporate communications, government and investor relations, information technology, risk management, human resources, internal audit, and other administrative support.


In this MD&A, the impact of foreign exchange fluctuations on foreign currency denominated transactions and balances is discussed with the relevant income statement and balance sheet items.  While individual balance sheet line items will be impacted by foreign exchange fluctuations, the net impact of the translation of individual items relating to self-sustaining foreign operations is reflected in the equity section of the Consolidated Balance Sheets.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                             

(1) Our Energy Trading segment was referred to as “Commercial Operations and Development” in 2009.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   1



The following table depicts key financial results and statistical operating data: 1

 

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Availability (%)

                     91.0

                   83.9

                   88.1

                   84.4

Production (GWh)

                 12,742

               11,610

               35,857

               33,439

Revenue

 

              700

            666

         2,008

         2,007

Gross margin(1)

 

              380

            380

         1,137

         1,107

Operating income(1)

 

                98

            120

            287

            219

Net earnings

                38

              66

            156

            102

Net earnings per share, basic and diluted

             0.17

           0.34

           0.71

           0.52

Comparable earnings per share(1)

             0.17

           0.34

           0.57

           0.49

EBITDA(1)

              233

            241

            664

            595

Funds from operations(1)

              184

            178

            558

            463

Cash flow from operating activities

 

              230

            194

            502

            334

Cash flow from operating activities per share(1)

 

             1.05

           0.98

           2.28

           1.69

Free cash flow (deficiency)(1)

              107

              12

              74

          (196)

Cash dividends declared per share

             0.29

           0.29

           0.87

           0.87

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As at
Sept. 30, 2010

As at
Dec. 31, 2009

Total assets

 

 

               10,095

                 9,775

Total long-term financial liabilities

 

 

                 5,527

                 5,537



AVAILABILITY & PRODUCTION

Availability for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to lower planned and unplanned outages at our Sundance plant, lower planned outages at our Mississauga and Windsor facilities, and lower unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal.


Availability for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to lower planned outages at the Keephills plant, lower planned and unplanned outages at our Sundance plant, and lower unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal, partially offset by higher planned outages at Centralia Thermal.


Production for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased 1,132 gigawatt hours (“GWh”) compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to lower unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal, lower planned and unplanned outages at the Sundance plant, and higher wind and hydro volumes primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro Developers, Inc. (“Canadian Hydro”), partially offset by the decommissioning of Wabamun.


Production for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased 2,418 GWh compared to the same period in 2009 as a result of higher wind and hydro volumes primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro, lower economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal, lower planned outages at the Keephills plant, lower planned and unplanned outages our Sundance plant, and lower unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal, partially offset by the decommissioning of Wabamun, higher planned outages at Centralia Thermal, and the expiration of the long-term contract at Saranac.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                 

(1) Gross margin, operating income, comparable earnings per share, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (“EBITDA”), funds from operations, cash flow from operating activities per share, and free cash flow (deficiency) are not defined under Canadian GAAP.  Refer to the Non-GAAP Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of these items, including, where applicable, reconciliations to net earnings and cash flow from operating activities.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   2



 

NET EARNINGS

The primary factors contributing to the change in net earnings for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 are presented below:

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

Net earnings, 2009

                                   66

                                      102

Increase in Generation gross margins

                                     4

                                        50

Decrease in Energy Trading gross margins

                                    (4)

                                      (20)

(Increase) decrease in OM&A costs

                                    (5)

                                        44

Increase in depreciation expense

                                  (15)

                                        (2)

Increase in net interest expense

                                  (13)

                                      (28)

(Increase) decrease in non-controlling interests

                                    (5)

                                          7

Decrease in income tax expense / increase in income tax recovery

                                   12

                                        15

Other

                                    (2)

                                      (12)

Net earnings, 2010

                                   38

                                      156


Generation gross margins for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 due to higher wind and hydro volumes as a result of the acquisition of Canadian Hydro, lower planned and unplanned outages at our Sundance plant, and lower unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal, partially offset by the decommissioning of Wabamun, unfavourable pricing, and unfavourable foreign exchange rates.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, Generation gross margins increased due to higher wind and hydro volumes as a result of the acquisition of Canadian Hydro, lower planned outages at the Keephills plant, and lower planned and unplanned outages at our Sundance plant, partially offset by the expiration of the long-term contract at Saranac, unfavourable foreign exchange rates, the decommissioning of Wabamun, and unfavourable pricing.


Energy Trading gross margins for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 decreased relative to the same period in 2009 primarily due to reduced margins from eastern regional spread strategies and narrowing geographical and inter-season spreads in the western region.


Operations, maintenance, and administration (“OM&A”) costs for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro, partially offset by targeted cost savings.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, OM&A costs decreased due to lower planned outages, favourable foreign exchange rates, and targeted cost savings, partially offset by the acquisition of Canadian Hydro.


Depreciation expense for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, depreciation expense was comparable to the same period in 2009 as a result of an increased asset base primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro being offset by a change in the estimated useful lives of certain coal generating facilities and mining assets, a reduction in the estimate of the costs associated with decommissioning our Wabamun plant, lower depreciation at Saranac following the expiration of its long-term contract, and favourable foreign exchange rates.


Net interest expense for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to higher debt levels, partially offset by lower interest rates and higher capitalized interest.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   3



For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, net interest expense increased due to higher debt levels, partially offset by interest income related to the resolution of certain outstanding tax matters, favourable foreign exchange, higher capitalized interest, and lower interest rates.


Non-controlling interests increased for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 compared to the same period in 2009 due to higher earnings at TransAlta Cogeneration, L.P. (“TA Cogen”).


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, non-controlling interests decreased primarily due to lower earnings resulting from the expiration of the long-term contract at Saranac, partially offset by higher earnings at TA Cogen.


Income tax expense decreased for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 compared to the same period in 2009 due to lower
pre-tax earnings.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, the income tax recovery increased due to the recovery related to the resolution of certain outstanding tax matters during the second quarter of 2010, partially offset by higher pre-tax earnings.



CASH FLOW


Cash flow from operating activities for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased $36 million compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to favourable movements in working capital related to the timing of receiving certain tax related recoveries and favourable inventory movements.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, cash flow from operating activities increased $168 million compared to the same period in 2009 as a result of higher cash earnings and favourable changes in working capital primarily due to favourable inventory movements and the timing of receiving certain tax related recoveries.


Free cash flow for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased $95 million and $270 million, respectively, compared to the same period in 2009 due to higher cash earnings and lower sustaining capital expenditures.


SIGNIFICANT EVENTS


Three months ended Sept. 30, 2010


Sundance Unit 3 Uprate


On Sept. 13, 2010, we obtained approval from the Board of Directors for a 15 megawatt (“MW”) efficiency uprate at Unit 3 of our Sundance facility (“Unit 3”).  The total capital cost of the project is estimated to be $27 million with commercial operations expected to begin during the fourth quarter of 2012.


Nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010


Resolution of Tax Matters


During the second quarter, we recognized a $30 million income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain outstanding tax matters.  Interest expense also decreased by $14 million as a result of associated interest recoveries.  $30 million of cash from the resolution of these tax matters was received during the third quarter and the balance is expected to be received before the end of the year.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   4



 

Project Pioneer


On June 28, 2010, we announced that Enbridge Inc. will officially participate in the development of Project Pioneer, Canada’s first fully-integrated carbon capture and storage (“CCS”) project involving retro-fitting a coal-fired generation plant.  


Chief Financial Officer


On June 18, 2010, we announced that Brett Gellner was appointed chief financial officer, succeeding Brian Burden, who has made a personal decision to retire from the Corporation.  Mr. Burden assisted Mr. Gellner with the transition through Sept. 30, 2010.


Sundance Unit 3 Outage


On June 7, 2010, we announced an outage at Unit 3 due to the mechanical failure of critical generator components. As a result, the expected capability levels for Unit 3 were reduced. Unit 3 returned to these reduced expected capability levels on June 23, 2010.  The unit continues to operate at these reduced levels and no assurance can be given as to whether it will return to normal operating levels prior to the completion of major maintenance currently scheduled for the middle of 2012.  As a result of the outage and subsequent derate, production has been reduced by 420 GWh for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010.  Full year production is expected to decline by approximately 480 GWh.


In response to this event, we gave notice of a High Impact Low Probability (“HILP”) event and claimed Force Majeure relief under the Power Purchase Arrangement (“PPA”). During the second quarter, we recorded an after-tax charge of $13 million, or 50 per cent of the penalties to June 30, 2010, representing the amount of penalties we are required to pay to the PPA Buyers pending a resolution of this matter.  No additional penalties were incurred during the third quarter.


On Oct. 20, 2010, the Balancing Pool confirmed it agreed with our determination that the mechanical failure meets the requirements of a HILP event under the PPA.  While this decision neither constitutes a determination of a Force Majeure event, nor provides a definitive resolution to the dispute, management believes this strengthens our position with regards to financial protection from the event.


Dividend Reinvestment and Share Purchase (“DRASP”)


On April 29, 2010, in accordance with the terms of the DRASP plan, the Board of Directors approved the issuance of shares from Treasury at a three per cent discount from the weighted average price of the shares traded on the Toronto Stock Exchange on the last five days preceding the dividend payment date.  Under the terms of our DRASP plan, eligible participants are able to purchase additional common shares by reinvesting dividends or making an additional contribution of up to $5,000 per quarter.  The Corporation reserves the right to alter the discount or return to purchasing the shares on the open market at any time.


Centralia Thermal Memorandum of Understanding (“MOU”)


On April 26, 2010, we announced that we signed an MOU with the State of Washington to enter discussions to develop an agreement to significantly reduce greenhouse gas (“GHG”) emissions from the Centralia Thermal plant, and to provide replacement capacity by 2025.  The MOU also recognizes the need to protect the value that Centralia Thermal brings to our shareholders.  Details on the results of these discussions will be provided as they become available.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   5



Decommissioning of Wabamun Plant


On March 31, 2010, we fully retired all units of the Wabamun plant as part of our previously-announced shut down.  Over the next several years, we will complete the Wabamun plant remediation and reclamation work as approved by the Government of Alberta. Based on our review of our schedule and detailed costing of the decommissioning and reclamation activities, the asset retirement obligation associated with the Wabamun plant was reduced by $14 million during the first quarter, with the offset recorded as a recovery in depreciation.


Senior Notes Offering


On March 12, 2010, we completed our offering of U.S.$300 million senior notes maturing in 2040 and bearing an interest rate of 6.50 per cent.  The net proceeds from the offering were used to repay borrowings under existing credit facilities and for general corporate purposes.


Summerview 2


On Feb. 23, 2010, our 66 MW Summerview 2 wind farm began commercial operations on budget and ahead of schedule. The total cost of the project was $118 million.


Kent Hills Expansion


On Jan. 11, 2010, we announced that we had been awarded a 25-year contract to provide an additional 54 MW of wind power to New Brunswick Power Distribution and Customer Service Corporation.  Under the agreement, we will expand our existing 96 MW Kent Hills wind facility to a total of 150 MW.  The total capital cost of the project is estimated to be $100 million and is expected to begin commercial operations by the end of 2010.  Natural Forces, who currently owns a 17 per cent interest in the existing Kent Hills wind facility, will have the option to purchase up to a 17 per cent interest in the new operating facility upon completion.


Change in Economic Useful Life


In 2010, management initiated a comprehensive review of the estimated useful lives of all generating facilities and coal mining assets, having regard for, among other things, our economic lifecycle maintenance program, the existing condition of the assets, progress on carbon capture and other technologies, as well as other market related factors. 


Management concluded its review of the coal fleet, as well as its mining assets, and updated the estimated useful lives of these assets to reflect their current expected economic lives.  As a result, depreciation was reduced by $7 million and $19 million for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2009.  The estimated annual pre-tax impact of this change is $29 million and will be reflected in depreciation expense and cost of goods sold.


Any other adjustments resulting from the review of the balance of the fleet will be reflected in future periods.






TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   6



 

BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT


We operate in a variety of business environments to generate electricity, find buyers for the power we generate, and arrange for its transmission.  The major markets we operate in are Western Canada, the Pacific Northwest, and Eastern Canada.  For a further description of the regions in which we operate as well as the impact of prices of electricity and natural gas upon our financial results, refer to our 2009 Annual Report.  


Electricity Prices


Please refer to the Business Environment section of the 2009 Annual Report for a full discussion of the spot electricity market and the impact of electricity prices upon our business and our strategy to hedge our risk on changes in those prices.


The average spot electricity prices and spark spreads for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 and 2009 in our three major markets are shown in the following graphs.


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For the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010, average spot prices in Alberta decreased due to higher levels of supply as a result of higher unit availability. Prices increased in Alberta for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 as a result of lower available supply in the first half of the year, partially offset by the higher availability during the third quarter.  For the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, prices in the Pacific Northwest were comparable or increased slightly due to higher natural gas prices.  Prices in Ontario were higher due to higher demand levels as a result of above-average weather temperatures.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   7



During the third quarter of 2010, our consolidated power portfolio was 95 per cent contracted through the use of PPAs and other long-term contracts, which have historically provided stability to earnings. We also enter into short-term physical and financial contracts for the remaining volumes, which are primarily for periods of up to five years, with the average price of these contracts in 2010 ranging from $60-$65 per megawatt hour (“MWh”) in Alberta, and from U.S.$50-$55 per MWh in the Pacific Northwest.


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      (1) For a 7,000 Btu/KWh heat rate plant.


For the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010, average spark spreads decreased in Alberta due to lower power prices, while for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 spark spreads increased due to higher power prices.  For the three and nine months ended
Sept. 30, 2010, spark spreads decreased in the Pacific Northwest due to gas prices increasing more than power prices.  Ontario spark spreads were higher due to power prices increasing more than gas prices.  






TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   8



 

GENERATION:  Owns and operates hydro, wind, geothermal, biomass, natural gas- and coal-fired facilities, and related mining operations in Canada, the U.S., and Australia.  Generation's revenues are derived from the availability and production of electricity and steam as well as ancillary services such as system support. During the first quarter of 2010, we began commercial operations at Summerview 2, a 66 MW expansion of our Summerview wind farm in southern Alberta.  On March 31, 2010, we decommissioned our 279 MW Wabamun plant.  At Sept. 30, 2010, Generation had 8,986 MW of gross generating capacity(1) in operation (8,562 MW net ownership interest) and 427 MW net under construction.  For a full listing of all of our generating assets and the regions in which they operate, refer to the Plant Summary section of our 2009 Annual Report.



The results of the Generation segment are as follows:

 

 

2010

2009

3 months ended Sept. 30

 Total

Per installed
MWh

 Total

Per installed
MWh

Revenues

 

                 697

              35.13

                 659

             35.59

Fuel and purchased power

                 320

              16.13

                 286

             15.45

Gross margin

                 377

              19.00

                 373

             20.14

Operations, maintenance, and administration

                 131

                6.60

                 116

               6.27

Depreciation and amortization

                 121

                6.10

                 106

               5.72

Taxes, other than income taxes

                     7

                0.35

                     5

               0.27

Intersegment cost allocation

                     1

                0.05

                     8

               0.43

Operating expenses

                 260

              13.10

                 235

             12.69

Operating income

                 117

                5.90

                 138

               7.45

Installed capacity (GWh)

            19,842

 

            18,516

 

Production (GWh)

            12,742

 

            11,610

 

Availability (%)

                91.0

 

                83.9

 



 

 

2010

2009

9 months ended Sept. 30

 Total

Per installed
MWh

 Total

Per installed
MWh

Revenues

 

              1,991

              33.47

              1,970

             35.86

Fuel and purchased power

                 871

              14.64

                 900

             16.38

Gross margin

              1,120

              18.83

              1,070

             19.48

Operations, maintenance and administration

                 419

                7.04

                 434

               7.90

Depreciation and amortization

                 333

                5.60

                 330

               6.01

Taxes, other than income taxes

                   21

                0.35

                   17

               0.31

Intersegment cost allocation

                     4

                0.07

                   24

               0.44

Operating expenses

                 777

              13.06

                 805

             14.66

Operating income

                 343

                5.77

                 265

               4.82

Installed capacity (GWh)

            59,478

 

            54,938

 

Production (GWh)

            35,857

 

            33,439

 

Availability (%)

                88.1

 

                84.4

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                    

(1) We measure capacity as net maximum capacity (see glossary for definition of this and other key items) which is consistent with industry standards.  Capacity
      figures represent capacity owned and in operation unless otherwise stated.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   9



Production and Gross Margins


Generation’s production volumes, fuel and purchased power costs, and gross margins based on geographical regions are presented below.

3 months ended
Sept. 30, 2010

Production (GWh)

Installed (GWh)

Revenue

Fuel & purchased power

Gross margin

Revenue per
installed
MWh

Fuel & purchased power per installed
MWh

Gross margin per installed MWh

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

            6,183

        7,744

          209

                91

          118

          26.99

             11.75

              15.24

   Gas

               902

        1,240

            52

                14

            38

          41.94

             11.29

              30.65

   Renewables

               627

        2,751

            22

                  3

            19

            8.00

               1.09

                6.91

Total Western Canada

            7,712

      11,735

          283

              108

          175

          24.12

               9.21

              14.91

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Gas

            1,110

        1,656

          109

                63

            46

          65.82

             38.04

              27.78

   Renewables

               272

        1,340

            26

                  2

            24

          19.40

               1.49

              17.90

Total Eastern Canada

            1,382

        2,996

          135

                65

            70

          45.06

             21.70

              23.36

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

            2,626

        3,038

          197

              127

            70

          64.85

             41.80

              23.05

   Gas

               678

        1,698

            42

                19

            23

          24.73

             11.19

              13.54

   Renewables

               344

           375

            40

                  1

            39

        106.67

               2.67

            104.00

Total International

            3,648

        5,111

          279

              147

          132

          54.59

             28.76

              25.83

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

          12,742

      19,842

          697

              320

          377

          35.13

             16.13

              19.00



3 months ended
Sept. 30, 2009

Production (GWh)

Installed (GWh)

Revenue

Fuel & purchased power

Gross margin

Revenue per
installed
MWh

Fuel & purchased power per installed
MWh

Gross
margin per installed
MWh

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

            6,002

        8,249

          223

                89

          134

          27.03

             10.79

              16.24

   Gas

               943

        1,186

            48

                16

            32

          40.47

             13.49

              26.98

   Renewables

               366

        2,103

            24

                  1

            23

          11.41

               0.48

              10.93

Total Western Canada

            7,311

      11,538

          295

              106

          189

          25.57

               9.19

              16.38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Gas

               782

        1,656

            80

                44

            36

          48.31

             26.57

              21.74

   Renewables

                 36

           212

              3

                   -

              3

          14.15

                   -   

              14.15

Total Eastern Canada

               818

        1,868

            83

                44

            39

          44.43

             23.55

              20.88

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

            2,250

        3,038

          192

              114

            78

          63.20

             37.52

              25.68

   Gas

               868

        1,698

            50

                21

            29

          29.45

             12.37

              17.08

   Renewables

               363

           374

            39

                  1

            38

        104.28

               2.67

            101.61

Total International

            3,481

        5,110

          281

              136

          145

          54.99

             26.61

              28.38

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

          11,610

      18,516

          659

              286

          373

          35.59

             15.45

              20.14






TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   10



 


9 months ended
Sept. 30, 2010

Production (GWh)

Installed (GWh)

Revenue

Fuel & purchased power

Gross margin

Revenue per
installed
MWh

Fuel & purchased power per installed
MWh

Gross margin per installed MWh

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

          18,607

      23,581

          592

              238

          354

          25.10

             10.09

              15.01

   Gas

            2,963

        3,626

          169

                57

          112

          46.61

             15.72

              30.89

   Renewables

            1,801

        8,216

            97

                  7

            90

          11.81

               0.85

              10.96

Total Western Canada

          23,371

      35,423

          858

              302

          556

          24.22

               8.52

              15.70

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Gas

            2,870

        4,914

          324

              183

          141

          65.93

             37.24

              28.69

   Renewables

               906

        3,976

            86

                  5

            81

          21.63

               1.26

              20.37

Total Eastern Canada

            3,776

        8,890

          410

              188

          222

          46.12

             21.15

              24.97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

            6,151

        9,015

          525

              334

          191

          58.24

             37.05

              21.19

   Gas

            1,613

        5,038

          107

                43

            64

          21.24

               8.54

              12.70

   Renewables

               946

        1,112

            91

                  4

            87

          81.83

               3.60

              78.23

Total International

            8,710

      15,165

          723

              381

          342

          47.68

             25.13

              22.55

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

          35,857

      59,478

       1,991

              871

       1,120

          33.47

             14.64

              18.83



9 months ended
Sept. 30, 2009

Production (GWh)

Installed (GWh)

Revenue

Fuel & purchased power

Gross margin

Revenue per
installed
MWh

Fuel & purchased power per installed
MWh

Gross
margin per installed
MWh

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

          17,946

      24,473

          597

              253

          344

          24.39

             10.34

              14.05

   Gas

            2,983

        3,517

          161

                58

          103

          45.78

             16.49

              29.29

   Renewables

            1,298

        6,240

            83

                  5

            78

          13.30

               0.80

              12.50

Total Western Canada

          22,227

      34,230

          841

              316

          525

          24.57

               9.23

              15.34

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Gas

            2,551

        4,914

          282

              171

          111

          57.39

             34.80

              22.59

   Renewables

               150

           629

            12

                   -

            12

          19.08

                   -   

              19.08

Total Eastern Canada

            2,701

        5,543

          294

              171

          123

          53.04

             30.85

              22.19

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

   Coal

            5,278

        9,015

          550

              335

          215

          61.01

             37.16

              23.85

   Gas

            2,218

        5,038

          179

                66

          113

          35.53

             13.10

              22.43

   Renewables

            1,015

        1,112

          106

                12

            94

          95.32

             10.79

              84.53

Total International

            8,511

      15,165

          835

              413

          422

          55.06

             27.23

              27.83

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

          33,439

      54,938

       1,970

              900

       1,070

          35.86

             16.38

              19.48






TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   11



Western Canada


Our Western Canada assets consist of coal, natural gas, hydro, biomass, and wind facilities.  Refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2009 Annual Report for further details on our Western operations.


The primary factors contributing to the change in production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 are presented below:

 

 

3 months ended
Sept. 30

9 months ended
Sept. 30

 

 

(GWh)

(GWh)

Production, 2009

 

                  7,311

                     22,227

Lower planned outages at Keephills

 

                          -

                          865

Higher merchant volumes due to Sundance 5 uprate

 

                     117

                          347

Higher wind volumes primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro

 

                     124

                          300

Lower planned outages at Sundance

 

                     209

                          270

Lower unplanned outages at Sundance

 

                     317

                          235

Higher hydro volumes primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro

 

                     137

                          202

Higher PPA customer demand

 

                     104

                            53

Decommissioning of Wabamun

 

                    (516)

                         (973)

Lower production at natural gas-fired facilities

 

                      (71)

                         (115)

Lower (higher) unplanned outages at Sheerness

 

                         9

                           (60)

Other

 

                      (29)

                            20

Production, 2010

 

                  7,712

                     23,371


The primary factors contributing to the change in gross margin for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 are presented below:

 

 

3 months ended
Sept. 30

9 months ended
Sept. 30

Gross margin, 2009

 

                     189

                          525

Lower planned outages at Keephills

 

                          -

                            36

Lower planned outages at Sundance

 

                         7

                            17

Higher wind volumes primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro

 

                         3

                            14

Higher hydro volumes primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro

 

                         7

                            13

Higher merchant volumes due to Sundance 5 uprate

 

                         4

                            11

Lower unplanned outages at Sundance

 

                         9

                              8

Unfavourable pricing

 

                      (23)

                           (40)

Decommissioning of Wabamun

 

                      (20)

                           (26)

Higher unplanned outages at Sheerness

 

                          -

                             (5)

Other

 

                        (1)

                              3

Gross margin, 2010

 

                     175

                          556


Eastern Canada


Our Eastern Canada assets consist of natural gas, hydro, and wind facilities.  Refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2009 Annual Report for further details on our Eastern operations.


Production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased 564 GWh and 1,075 GWh, respectively, primarily due to higher wind volumes as a result of the acquisition of Canadian Hydro and market conditions at Sarnia.




 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   12



 

 

 

For the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010, gross margin increased $31 million due to higher wind volumes as a result of the acquisition of Canadian Hydro.


Gross margin increased $99 million for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 due to higher wind volumes as a result of the acquisition of Canadian Hydro and the new agreement with the Ontario Power Authority at our Sarnia regional cogeneration power plant that came into effect in the third quarter of 2009.


International


Our International assets consist of coal, natural gas, hydro, and geothermal facilities in various locations in the United States, and natural gas assets in Australia.  Refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2009 Annual Report for further details on our International operations.


The primary factors contributing to the change in production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 are presented below:

 

 

3 months ended
Sept. 30

9 months ended
Sept. 30

 

 

(GWh)

(GWh)

Production, 2009

 

                  3,481

                       8,511

Economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal

 

                    (108)

                          870

Lower unplanned outages at Centralia Thermal

 

                     592

                          414

Higher planned outages at Centralia Thermal

 

                    (107)

                         (410)

Expiration of long-term contract at Saranac

 

                          -

                         (357)

Lower production at natural gas-fired facilities

 

                    (200)

                         (211)

Lower production at geothermal facilities

 

                          -

                           (93)

Other

 

                      (10)

                           (14)

Production, 2010

 

                  3,648

                       8,710

 

The primary factors contributing to the change in gross margin for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 are presented below:

 

 

3 months ended
Sept. 30

9 months ended
Sept. 30

Gross margin, 2009

 

                     145

                          422

Expiration of long-term contract at Saranac

 

                          -

                           (42)

Unfavourable foreign exchange

 

                        (6)

                           (35)

Lower production at natural gas-fired facilities

 

                        (6)

                             (6)

Mark-to-market movements

 

                        (2)

                             (5)

Economic dispatching at Centralia Thermal

 

                          -

                             (5)

Higher coal costs

 

                        (2)

                             (2)

Favourable pricing

 

                         1

                            17

Lower outages at Centralia Thermal

 

                         8

                              5

Other

 

                        (6)

                             (7)

Gross margin, 2010

 

                     132

                          342


The long-term contract between our Saranac facility and New York State Electric and Gas expired in June 2009.  The facility now operates under a combined capacity and merchant dispatch contract, resulting in a corresponding $13 million decrease in depreciation expense for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010.  Further, as a portion of the facility is owned by a third party, there is also a decrease in earnings attributable to non-controlling interests.  The net pre-tax earnings impact of the expiration of this contract is a decrease of approximately $10 million for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   13



Operations, Maintenance and Administration Expense


OM&A costs for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased compared to the same period in 2009 primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro and costs previously borne by the Energy Trading segment and recovered through the intersegment fee being directly charged to the Generation segment in 2010, partially offset by targeted cost savings.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, OM&A costs decreased due to lower planned outages, favourable foreign exchange rates, and targeted cost savings partially offset by the acquisition of Canadian Hydro and costs previously borne by the Energy Trading segment and recovered through the intersegment fee being directly charged to the Generation segment in 2010.


Depreciation Expense


The primary factors contributing to the change in depreciation expense for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 are presented below:

 

 

 3 months ended
Sept. 30

 9 months ended
Sept. 30

Depreciation and amortization expense, 2009

 

                     106

                          330

Increased asset base primarily due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro

 

                       16

                            52

Asset retirements

 

                         7

                              7

Change in useful lives

 

                        (7)

                           (19)

Reduction in decommissioning costs at Wabamun

 

                          -

                           (14)

Expiration of long-term contract at Saranac

 

                          -

                           (13)

Favourable foreign exchange

 

                        (2)

                           (12)

Other

 

                         1

                              2

Depreciation and amortization expense, 2010

 

                     121

                          333



ENERGY TRADING: Derives revenue and earnings from the wholesale trading of electricity and other energy-related commodities and derivatives.  Achieving a positive gross margin while remaining within Value at Risk (“VaR”) limits is a key measure of Energy Trading’s activities.


Energy Trading is responsible for the execution management of certain commercial activities for our current generating assets.  Energy Trading also manages available merchant generating capacity as well as the fuel and transmission needs of the Generation business by utilizing contracts of various durations for the forward sales of electricity and for the purchase of natural gas, coal, and transmission capacity.  The results of these activities are included in the Generation segment.


For a more in-depth discussion of our Energy Trading activities, refer to the Discussion of Segmented Results section of our 2009 Annual Report.


The results of the Energy Trading segment are as follows:

 

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Gross margin

 

                      3

                       7

                    17

                    37

Operations, maintenance, and administration

 

                      4

                       9

                    12

                    25

Depreciation and amortization

 

                      -

                       1

                      1

                      2

Intersegment cost recovery

 

                    (1)

                     (8)

                    (4)

                  (24)

Operating expenses

 

                      3

                       2

                      9

                      3

Operating income

 

                      -

                       5

                      8

                    34

 

 

 

 

 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   14



 

 

For the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, gross margin decreased relative to the same periods in 2009 primarily due to reduced margins from eastern regional spread strategies and narrowing geographical and inter-season spreads in the western region.  


For the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, OM&A costs and the intersegment fee decreased relative to the same periods in 2009 as a result of support costs previously borne by the Energy Trading segment and recovered through the intersegment fee being directly charged to the Generation segment in 2010.



NET INTEREST EXPENSE


The components of net interest expense are shown below:

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Interest on debt

                   63

                        46

                   181

                    132

Interest income from resolution of certain
  outstanding tax matters

                      -

                           -

                   (14)

                        -

Capitalized interest

                 (13)

                      (10)

                   (35)

                    (27)

Interest income

                   (1)

                        (3)

                     (2)

                      (6)

Other

                      -

                          3

                        -

                        3

Net interest expense

                   49

                        36

                   130

                    102



The change in net interest expense for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, compared to the same periods in 2009 is shown below:

 

 

3 months ended
Sept. 30

 

9 months ended Sept. 30

Net interest expense, 2009

 

                    36

 

                    102

Higher debt levels

 

                        20

 

                      65

Interest income from resolution of certain outstanding tax matters

                           -

 

                    (14)

Favourable foreign exchange

 

                        (2)

 

                    (10)

Higher capitalized interest

 

                        (3)

 

                      (8)

Lower interest rates

 

                        (4)

 

                      (9)

Lower interest income

 

                          2

 

                        4

Net interest expense, 2010

 

                    49

 

                    130



OTHER INCOME


During the first quarter of 2009, we settled an outstanding commercial issue that was related to our previously held Mexican equity investment and recorded as a pre-tax gain of $7 million.  During the second quarter of 2009, we recorded a pre-tax gain of $1 million on the sale of a 17 per cent interest in our Kent Hills wind farm.





TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   15



NON-CONTROLLING INTERESTS


The earnings attributable to non-controlling interests for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 increased $5 million compared to the same period in 2009 due to higher earnings at TA Cogen.


For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, earnings attributable to non-controlling interests decreased $7 million due to lower earnings at CE Generation, LLC resulting from the expiration of the long-term contract at Saranac, partially offset by higher earnings at TA Cogen.



INCOME TAXES


A reconciliation of income taxes and effective tax rates on comparable income before income taxes is presented below:


3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Earnings before income taxes

      42

               82

             141

            102

Settlement of commercial issue

         -

                 -

                  -

              (7)

Change in life of Centralia parts

         -

                 -

                  -

                2

Comparable earnings(1) before income taxes

      42

               82

             141

              97

Income tax expense (recovery)

        4

               16

              (15)

                -

Income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain outstanding
   tax matters

         -

                 -

               30

                -

Income tax expense on settlement of commercial issue

         -

                 -

                  -

              (1)

Income tax recovery on change in life of Centralia parts

         -

                 -

                  -

                1

Income tax expense excluding non-comparable items

        4

               16

               15

                -

Effective tax rate on earnings before income taxes (%)

      10

               20

              (11)

                -

Effective tax rate on comparable earnings before income taxes (%)

      10

               20

   11

                -

1

The income tax expense excluding non-comparable items decreased for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 compared to the same period in 2009 due to lower pre-tax earnings.  For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, the income tax expense excluding non-comparable items increased due to higher pre-tax earnings.


The effective tax rate decreased for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010 and increased for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 compared to the same periods in 2009 primarily due to certain deductions that do not fluctuate with earnings and a change in the mix of jurisdictions where pre-tax income is earned.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


                                                                                                                                             

(1) Comparable earnings are not defined under Canadian GAAP.  Refer to the Non-GAAP Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of this item, as well as a reconciliation to net earnings.


 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   16



 

 

 

FINANCIAL POSITION

The following chart highlights significant changes in the Consolidated Balance Sheets from Dec. 31, 2009 to Sept. 30, 2010:


 

Increase/

 

 

 

(Decrease)

 

Primary factors explaining change

Accounts receivable

         (60)

 

Timing of customer receipts

Income taxes receivable

           14

 

Expected receivable related to the resolution of certain outstanding tax matters

Inventory

         (21)

 

Higher production at coal facilities

Long-term receivables

         (49)

 

Partial payment received with remainder reclassified to current taxes receivable

Risk management assets (current and
   long-term)

         256

 

Price movements

Property, plant, and equipment, net

         211

 

Capital additions, partially offset by depreciation expense

Intangible assets

         (22)

 

Amortization expense

Other assets

           10

 

Increase in defined benefit pension asset and new growth and productivity initiatives

Accounts payable and accrued liabilities

       (115)

 

Timing of payments, combined with lower operational expenditures

Collateral received

           83

 

Collateral collected from counterparties as a result of a change in forward prices

Long-term debt (including current portion)

         242

 

Issuance of U.S.$300 senior notes, partially offset by repayments of other long-term debt

Risk management liabilities (current and
   long-term)

         (12)

 

Price movements

Asset retirement obligation (including current
   portion)

         (33)

 

Revised cost estimate of the decommissioning of our Wabamun plant and foreign exchange

Deferred credits and other long-term liabilities

           17

 

Timing of deferred revenues and accrued benefits

Net future income tax liabilities (including
   current portions)

           70

 

Tax effect on the increase in net risk management assets

Non-controlling interests

         (39)

 

Distributions in excess of earnings attributable to
non-controlling interests and hedging activity

Shareholders’ equity

         143

 

Net earnings, and movements in AOCI, partially offset by dividends declared





TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   17



FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS


Refer to Note 7 of the notes to the consolidated financial statements within our 2009 Annual Report and Note 6 of the interim consolidated financial statements as at and for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 for details on Financial Instruments.  Refer to the Risk Management section of our 2009 Annual Report for further details on our risks and how we manage them.  Our risk management profile and practices have not changed materially from Dec. 31, 2009.  


In limited circumstances, Energy Trading may enter into commodity transactions involving non-standard features for which market observable data is not available.  These are defined under Canadian GAAP as Level III financial instruments.  Level III financial instruments are not traded in an active market and fair value is therefore developed using valuation models or upon internally developed assumptions or inputs.  Our Level III fair values are determined using valuation techniques with inputs that are based on historical data such as unit availability, transmission congestion, or demand profiles.  Fair values are validated on a quarterly basis by using reasonably possible alternative assumptions as inputs to valuation techniques, and any material differences are disclosed in the notes to the financial statements.


As a result of the acquisition of Canadian Hydro, we also have various contracts with terms that extend beyond five years.  As forward price forecasts are not available for the full period of these contracts, the value of these contracts must be derived by reference to a forecast that is based on a combination of external and internal fundamental modeling, including discounting.  As a result, these contracts are classified in Level III.  These contracts are for a specified price with counterparties that we believe to be creditworthy.


At Sept. 30, 2010, Level III financial instruments had a net liability carrying value of $10 million (Dec. 31, 2009 – $26 million).



STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS


The following charts highlight significant changes in the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 compared to the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2009:


3 months ended Sept. 30

2010

2009

Primary factors explaining change

Cash and cash equivalents, beginning
   of period

             43

             54

 

Provided by (used in):

 

 

 

Operating activities

           230

           194

Favourable changes in working capital of $30 million related to the timing of receiving certain tax related recoveries and favourable inventory movements.

 

 

 

 

Investing activities

          (126)

          (270)

Decrease in capital spending of $85 million and an increase in collateral received from counterparties of $75 million.

 

 

 

 

Financing activities

            (72)

           110

Lower borrowings primarily as a result of lower capital spending, increased collateral receipts and favourable movements in working capital.

Translation of foreign currency cash

               5

              (2)

 

Cash and cash equivalents, end of period

             80

             86

 



 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   18



 

 


9 months ended Sept. 30

2010

2009

Primary factors explaining change

Cash and cash equivalents, beginning
   of period

             82

             50

 

Provided by (used in):

 

 

 

Operating activities

           502

           334

Higher cash earnings of $95 million and favourable changes in working capital of $73 million, due to favourable movements in inventory and the timing of receiving certain tax related recoveries.

 

 

 

 

Investing activities

          (523)

          (562)

Decrease in capital spending of $88 million, partially offset by a decrease in the amount of collateral received from counterparties of $19 million.

 

 

 

 

Financing activities

             17

           266

Lower borrowings as a result of higher cash flow from operating activities and lower capital spending.

Translation of foreign currency cash

               2

              (2)

 

Cash and cash equivalents, end of period

             80

             86

 



LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES


Liquidity risk arises from our ability to meet general funding needs, engage in trading and hedging activities, and manage the assets, liabilities and capital structure of the Corporation.  Liquidity risk is managed by maintaining sufficient liquid financial resources to fund obligations as they come due in a cost effective manner.


Our liquidity needs are met through a variety of sources, including cash generated from operations, borrowings under our long-term credit facilities, and long-term debt issued under our Canadian and U.S. shelf registrations. Our primary uses of funds are operational expenses, capital expenditures, dividends, distributions to non-controlling partners, and interest and principal repayments on debt securities.


Debt


Recourse and non-recourse debt totalled $4.7 billion at Sept. 30, 2010 compared to $4.4 billion at Dec. 31, 2009.  Total debt increased from Dec. 31, 2009 primarily due to growth capital expenditures.


Credit Facilities


At Sept. 30, 2010, we have a total of $2.1 billion (Dec. 31, 2009 – $2.1 billion) of committed credit facilities of which $0.8 billion
(Dec. 31, 2009 – $0.7 billion) is not drawn and is available, subject to customary borrowing conditions.  At Sept. 30, 2010, the $1.3 billion (Dec. 31, 2009 – $1.4 billion) of credit utilized under these facilities is comprised of actual drawings of $1.0 billion
(Dec. 31, 2009 – $1.1 billion) and letters of credit of $0.3 billion (Dec. 31, 2009 – $0.3 billion). These facilities are comprised of a $1.5 billion committed syndicated bank facility, which matures in 2012, with the remainder comprised of bilateral credit facilities which mature between the fourth quarter of 2011 and 2013.  We anticipate renewing these facilities, based on reasonable commercial terms, prior to their maturities.


In addition to the $0.8 billion available under the credit facilities, we also have $80 million of cash.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   19



Share Capital


On Oct. 28, 2010, we had 220.3 million common shares outstanding.


At Sept. 30, 2010, we had 219.5 million (Dec. 31, 2009 – 218.4 million) common shares issued and outstanding.  During the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010, 0.7 million (Sept. 30, 2009 – 0.1 million) common shares were issued for $15 million under the terms of the DRASP plan (Sept. 30, 2009 – nil). During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, 1.1 million (Sept. 30, 2009 – 0.3 million) common shares were issued for $19 million (Sept. 30, 2009 – nil), of which $18 million was issued under the terms of the DRASP plan.


During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 and 2009, no shares were acquired or cancelled under the Normal Course Issuer Bid program prior to its expiry on May 6, 2010.


We employ a variety of stock-based compensation to align employee and corporate objectives.  At Sept. 30, 2010, we had
2.3 million outstanding employee stock options (Dec. 31, 2009 – 1.5 million), reflecting 0.9 million stock options granted on
Feb. 1, 2010, at a strike price of $22.46, being the last sale price of board lots of the shares on the Toronto Stock Exchange the day prior to the day the options were granted for Canadian employees, and U.S.$20.75, being the closing sale price on the New York Stock Exchange on the same date for U.S. employees.  These options will vest in equal installments over four years starting
Feb. 1, 2011, and expire after 10 years.  During the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010, a nominal number of options expired, or were exercised or cancelled (Sept. 30, 2009 – nil).  During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010, 0.1 million options expired, or were exercised or cancelled (Sept. 30, 2009 – 0.1 million expired, 0.1 million cancelled).


Guarantee Contracts


We have obligations to issue letters of credit and cash collateral to secure potential liabilities to certain parties including those related to potential environmental obligations, energy trading activities, hedging activities, and purchase obligations.  At Sept. 30, 2010, we provided letters of credit totalling $332 million (Dec. 31, 2009 – $334 million) and cash collateral of $32 million
(Dec. 31, 2009 – $27 million). These letters of credit and cash collateral secure certain amounts included on our Consolidated Balance Sheets under “Risk Management Liabilities” and “Asset Retirement Obligation.”



CLIMATE CHANGE AND THE ENVIRONMENT


Canada


Following the federal government’s announcement on June 23, 2010 for plans to regulate GHG emissions from the coal-fired power sector, we have been in discussions with both the Governments of Canada and Alberta about the design of the proposed regulation.  The proposal, if passed into law, would become effective in 2015 and require existing coal-fired plants to meet a natural gas emissions performance standard by their 45th year of operation, or the end of their PPA term, whichever is later.  If the coal-fired plants do not meet the required performance standard by that time, they would be required to cease operations.  Until then, the plants would not be subject to any federal GHG compliance costs.


While the above development would provide regulatory clarity for future capital decision-making, there are some issues that will have to be resolved, including how transition costs are recovered by generators, the impacts on Alberta PPAs, standards for emission requirements for natural gas-fired facilities, and how CCS will continue to be supported.  The effect of this proposal on the Alberta deregulated market and PPA structure must also be considered.  The federal government has announced its intention to put forward the first draft of the regulation in early 2011.




 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   20



 

 

In Ontario, the provincial government continues to develop its plans for a GHG regulatory framework consistent with the Western Climate Initiative model, which uses a cap and trade design as the regulatory vehicle.  Details of the Government of Ontario’s proposed design have not yet been released.


Mercury capture technology is in the final installation stages at our Alberta coal-fired plants, and will be operational before the end of 2010 to be compliant with the Alberta regulation to begin removing 70 per cent of mercury emissions by Jan. 1, 2011.


United States


In the U.S., the future direction on climate change has not been resolved.  Legislative proposals in the Senate continue to be discussed but none have been adopted.  We do not expect any further significant developments until after the U.S. mid-term elections, and not likely before 2011.  Meanwhile, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (“EPA”) continues with plans to regulate GHG emissions from power plants and other industries beginning in January 2011.  After that point, new or modified plants would be required to employ best available technology to reduce their GHG emissions.  The definition of best available technology has not yet been determined.  This EPA initiative is expected to face legal challenges as well as some opposition from Congress.


Canada continues to state that it will follow the U.S. lead and timing on all sectors except for the coal-fired power sector.


In Washington, we have been working with the State government to develop a plan to reduce GHG emissions from our Centralia plant, consistent with the Governor’s Executive Order to reduce emissions by approximately 50 per cent of current levels by 2025.  Discussions with the State and other stakeholders are ongoing.


Recent changes to environmental regulations may materially adversely affect us.  As indicated under “Risk Factors” in our Annual Information Form, many of our activities and properties are subject to environmental requirements, as well as changes in or liabilities under these requirements, which may have a materially adverse affect upon our consolidated financial results.



2010 OUTLOOK


In 2010, we anticipate double digit growth in comparable earnings per share based upon the significant factors that are discussed below.


Business Environment


Power Prices


For the remainder of 2010, power prices are expected to be at or lower than 2009 levels due to low natural gas prices.  In Alberta, the longer-term fundamentals of the market remain strong and increased production at the oil sands is expected to drive load growth, keeping Alberta prices near the same levels as seen in the fourth quarter of 2009.  In the Pacific Northwest, natural gas prices and the economy will be the main drivers behind power prices.  Both of these fundamental drivers remain weak and are likely to result in lower power prices compared to 2009.  Natural gas prices are expected to remain low through 2011 and 2012.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   21



Environmental Legislation


With the Government of Canada’s announcement on plans for regulating GHG emissions from the coal-fired power sector on
June 23, 2010, there may be some regulatory clarity for our coal-fired facilities in the future. The finalization of GHG emission regulations for the coal-fired power sector is expected in 2011, for implementation in 2015.  For other Canadian industrial sectors, the federal government has expressed its intention to coordinate the timing and structure of its GHG regulatory framework with the U.S. In the U.S. it is not clear if climate change legislation will prevail or if regulation will instead be applied by the EPA.  Each of these outcomes could create widely different results for the energy industry in the U.S., and indirectly for Canada's regulatory approach.


We continue to closely monitor the progress and risks associated with environmental legislation changes on our future operations.


Economic Environment


While we expect our results from operations in 2010 to be impacted by the current economic environment, we expect that this impact will be somewhat mitigated by the contracted production and prices through our Alberta PPAs and other long-term contracts.


We continue to monitor counterparty credit risk and act in accordance with our established risk management policies.  We do not anticipate any material change to our existing credit practices and continue to deal primarily with investment grade counterparties.


Operations


Capacity, Production, and Availability


Generating capacity is expected to increase for the remainder of 2010 due to the commissioning of Kent Hills 2 and Ardenville.  Overall production for 2010 is expected to increase due to lower planned and unplanned outages across the fleet and the acquisition of Canadian Hydro, partially offset by the decommissioning of Wabamun.  Availability for 2010 is expected to increase due to lower planned and unplanned outages across the fleet, with the overall fleet availability for 2010 expected to be between approximately 89 to 90 per cent.


Commodity Hedging


Through the use of Alberta PPAs, long-term contracts, and other short-term physical and financial contracts, on average, approximately 75 per cent of our capacity is contracted over the next seven years.  On an aggregated portfolio basis we target being up to 90 per cent contracted for the upcoming year, stepping down to 70 per cent in the fourth year.  As at the end of the third quarter, approximately 94 per cent of our 2010 capacity was contracted.  The average price of our short-term physical and financial contracts in 2010 ranges from $60-$65 per MWh in Alberta, and from U.S.$50-$55 per MWh in the Pacific Northwest.


Fuel Costs


Mining coal in Alberta is subject to cost increases due to greater overburden removal, inflation, capital investments, and commodity prices. Seasonal variations in coal costs at our Alberta mines are minimized through the application of standard costing.  Coal costs for 2010, on a standard cost basis, are expected to increase five to 10 per cent compared to the prior year as a result of increased depreciation due to mine capital investment and higher diesel costs.


Fuel at Centralia Thermal is purchased from external suppliers in the Powder River Basin and delivered by rail.  The delivered cost of fuel for 2010 is expected to be consistent with 2009.





TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   22



 

 

We purchase natural gas from outside companies coincident with production or have it supplied by our customers, thereby minimizing our risk to changes in prices.  The continued success of unconventional gas production in North America could reduce the year to year volatility of prices going forward.


We closely monitor the risks associated with changes in electricity and input fuel prices on our future operations and, where we consider it appropriate, use various physical and financial instruments to hedge our assets and operations from such price risk.   


Operations, Maintenance, and Administration Costs


OM&A costs per MWh of installed capacity fluctuate by quarter and are dependent on the timing and nature of maintenance activities.  OM&A costs for 2010 are expected to be lower than 2009 as costs related to Canadian Hydro are expected to be more than offset by lower planned maintenance, operational synergies, and productivity measures.  OM&A costs per installed MWh for 2010 are expected to decrease primarily as a result of lower planned maintenance and an increase in installed capacity due to the acquisition of Canadian Hydro.  


Energy Trading


Earnings from our Energy Trading segment are affected by prices in the market, positions taken, and the duration of those positions.  We continuously monitor both the market and our exposure to enhance earnings while still maintaining an acceptable risk profile.  Our 2010 objective is for Energy Trading to contribute between $30 million and $50 million in gross margin.  The annual objective for Energy Trading gross margin contribution has decreased from prior estimates to reflect the year-to-date results.


Exposure to Fluctuations in Foreign Currencies


Our strategy is to minimize the impact of fluctuations in the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar by offsetting foreign denominated assets with foreign denominated liabilities and foreign exchange contracts.  We also have foreign-denominated expenses, including interest charges, which largely offset our net foreign-denominated revenues.


Net Interest Expense


Net interest expense for 2010 is expected to be higher than 2009 mainly due to higher debt balances.  However, changes in interest rates and in the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the U.S. dollar will affect the amount of net interest expense incurred.


Liquidity and Capital Resources


If there is increased volatility in power and natural gas markets, or if market trading activities increase, there may be the need for additional liquidity. To mitigate this risk and to provide for sufficient liquidity to meet our requirements, we maintain $2.1 billion of committed credit facilities and continually monitor our exposures and obligations.


Accounting Estimates


A number of our accounting estimates, including those outlined in the Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates section of our 2009 Annual MD&A, are based on the current economic environment and outlook.  While we currently do not anticipate significant changes to these estimates, market fluctuations could impact, among other things, future commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, and interest rates, which could, in turn, impact future earnings and the unrealized gains or losses associated with our risk management assets and liabilities.  The unrealized gains or losses related to our risk management assets and liabilities are not expected to impact our future cash flows as they are generally settled at the contracted prices.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   23



Income Taxes


The effective tax rate for 2010, excluding recoveries related to the resolution of certain outstanding tax matters, is expected to be approximately 17 to 22 per cent.


Capital Expenditures


Our major projects are focused on sustaining our current operations and supporting our growth strategy.  


Growth Capital Expenditures


We have seven significant growth capital projects that are currently in progress with targeted completion dates between Q4 2010 and Q4 2012.  A summary of each of these projects and the project we completed in 2010 is outlined below:1


 

Total Project

 

2010

Target

 

 

Project

Estimated spend

Incurred to date(1)

 

Estimated spend

Incurred to date(1)

completion
date

 

Details

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Keephills 3

             988

          885

 

 225 - 245

        178

Q2 2011

 

A 450 MW (225 MW net ownership interest) supercritical coal-fired plant and associated mine capital in a partnership with Capital Power

Summerview 2

             118

          117

 

 10 - 15

         11

Commercial operations
began
Q1 2010

 

A 66 MW expansion of our Summerview wind farm in southern Alberta

Keephills Unit
   1 uprate

               34

              4

 

 0 - 5

           3

Q4 2011

 

A 23 MW efficiency uprate at our Keephills facility

Keephills Unit
   2 uprate

               34

              3

 

 5 - 10

            2

Q4 2012

 

A 23 MW efficiency uprate at our Keephills facility

Ardenville

             135

          118

 

 105 - 115

          91

Q4 2010

 

A 69 MW wind farm in southern Alberta

Bone Creek

               48

            41

 

 50 - 55

          37

Q1 2011

 

An 18 MW hydro facility in British Columbia

Kent Hills 2

             100

            78

 

 80 - 85

          60

Q4 2010

 

A 54 MW expansion of our wind farm in New Brunswick

Sundance Unit
   3 uprate

               27

              1

 

 0 - 5

            1

Q4 2012

 

A 15 MW efficiency uprate at our Sundance facility

Total growth

          1,484

       1,247

 

475 - 535

       383

 

 

 


Amounts disclosed in the above chart are shown net of any joint venture contributions received.


The total project spend and 2010 estimated spend for Summerview 2 has decreased compared to prior estimates to reflect cost savings associated with the early delivery of wind turbines.


 

 

 

                                                                                                                         

(1) Represents amounts incurred as of Sept. 30, 2010, including the impact of project hedges.





TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   24



 

 

The 2010 estimated spend for Ardenville has increased and the target completion date has been revised to reflect accelerated construction during the third and fourth quarters of this year.  The 2010 estimated spend for Bone Creek has increased compared to prior period estimates primarily due to a change in the timing of project spend and associated recoveries.  The total project spend in each case remains unchanged.


Sustaining Capital Expenditures


For 2010, our estimate for total sustaining capital expenditures, net of any contributions received, is allocated among the following:1


Category

Description

 

 

Expected
cost

Incurred
to date
(1)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Routine capital

Expenditures to maintain our existing generating capacity

120 - 140

             90

Productivity capital

Projects to improve power production efficiency

10 - 15

               7

Mining equipment and
   land purchases

Expenditures related to mining equipment and
   land purchases

20 - 25

               6

Planned maintenance

Regularly scheduled major maintenance

125 - 140

             99

Total sustaining expenditures

 

 

 

 

275 - 320

           202



Details of the 2010 planned maintenance program are outlined as follows:

 

 

 

Coal

 

 

Expected
cost

Incurred
to date
(1)

 

 

 

Gas

Renewables

Capitalized

 

 

70 - 75

30 - 35

25 - 30

125 - 140

             99

Expensed

 

 

65 - 70

0 - 5

                    -

65 - 75

             61

 

 

 

135 - 145

30 - 40

25 - 30

190 - 215

           160

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coal

Gas

Renewables

Total

Incurred
to date (1)

GWh lost

 

 

2,465 - 2,475

160 - 170

                    -

2,625 - 2,645

        2,467



Financing


Financing for these capital expenditures is expected to be provided by cash flow from operating activities, existing bank borrowing capacity, and capital markets. The funds required for committed growth and sustaining projects are not expected to be impacted by the current economic environment due to the highly contracted nature of our cash flow, our financial position, and the amount of capital available to us under existing committed credit facilities.


 

 

 


                                                                             

(1) Represents amounts incurred as of Sept. 30, 2010.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   25



RELATED PARTY TRANSACTIONS


On Dec.16, 2006, predecessors of TransAlta Generation Partnership (“TAGP”), a firm owned by the Corporation and one of its subsidiaries, entered into an agreement with the partners of the Keephills 3 joint venture project to supply coal for the coal-fired plant.  The joint venture project is held in a partnership owned by Keephills 3 Limited Partnership (“K3LP”), a wholly owned subsidiary of the Corporation, and Capital Power Corporation.  TAGP will supply coal until the earlier of the permanent closure of the Keephills 3 facility or the early termination of the agreement by TAGP and the partners of the joint venture.  As at Sept. 30, 2010,
TAGP had received $59 million from K3LP for future coal deliveries.  Commercial operation of the Keephills plant is scheduled to commence in the second quarter of 2011.  Payments received prior to that date for future coal deliveries are recorded in deferred revenues and will be amortized into revenue over the life of the coal supply agreement when TAGP starts delivering coal for commissioning activities.


TAGP operates and maintains three combined-cycle power plants in Ontario, a combined-cycle power plant in Fort Saskatchewan, Alberta, and a cogeneration plant in Lloydminster, Alberta on behalf of TA Cogen, which is a subsidiary of TransAlta.  TAGP also provides management services to the Sheerness thermal plant, which is operated by Canadian Utilities Limited.


For the period November 2002 to October 2012, TA Cogen entered into various transportation swap transactions with TransAlta Energy Marketing Corporation (“TEMC”). The business purpose of these transportation swaps is to provide TA Cogen with the delivery of fixed price gas without being exposed to escalating costs of pipeline transportation for two of its plants over the period of the swap.  The notional gas volume in the swap transaction is equal to the total delivered fuel for each of the facilities.  Exchange amounts are based on the market value of the contract. 


For the period October 2010 to October 2011, TA Cogen entered into physical gas purchase transactions with TEMC for volumes to be consumed by one of its plants.


For the period November 2012 to October 2017, TA Cogen entered into financial and foreign currency swap transactions with TEMC to mitigate the natural gas price exposure at one of its plants.


TEMC has entered into offsetting contracts and therefore has no risk other than counterparty risk.







TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   26



 

 

FUTURE ACCOUNTING CHANGES


International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) Convergence


On May 8, 2009, the Accounting Standards Board re-confirmed that IFRS will be required for interim and annual financial statements commencing on Jan. 1, 2011, with appropriate comparative IFRS financial information for 2010.  Our project to convert to IFRS consists of the following phases:  


Phase

Description

Status

Diagnostic

In-depth identification and analysis of differences between Canadian GAAP and IFRS

Complete

Design and planning

Cross-functional, issue-specific teams analyze the key areas of convergence, and along with Information Technology and Internal Control resources, determine process, system, and financial reporting controls changes required for the conversion to IFRS

Complete

Solution development

Plans to address identified conversion issues are developed and tested in
a controlled environment. Staff training programs and internal communication plans are implemented to communicate process changes as a result of the conversion to IFRS

Nearing completion

Implementation

Processes required for dual reporting in 2010 and full convergence in 2011 are implemented in a live environment with change management in place for
a successful transition to steady state

In progress


A steering committee monitors the progress and critical decisions of the transition to IFRS and continues to meet regularly.  This committee includes representatives from Finance, Information Technology, Treasury, Investor Relations, Human Resources, and Operations.  Quarterly updates are provided to the Audit and Risk Committee.


While IFRS uses a conceptual framework similar to Canadian GAAP and has many similarities to Canadian GAAP, there are several significant differences in accounting policies that must be addressed as part of our conversion project.  Most differences are expected to have a relatively modest impact on our consolidated financial results.  Based on the work we’ve completed to date, the more significant impacts of IFRS to us are as follows:


Property, Plant, and Equipment (“PP&E”)

§

Key change in accounting: Major inspection costs, which are currently expensed, will be capitalized and depreciated over the period until the next major inspection.

§

Income statement impact: Earnings will likely be less volatile.

§

Balance sheet impact upon transition to IFRS: Net increase in PP&E of approximately $115 million as previously expensed major inspection costs will be capitalized.

§

Cash low statement impact: Major inspection costs will be recorded as cash flows used in investing activities instead of as cash flows used in operating activities.

§

Other differences: Additional disclosures reconciling the changes in cost and accumulated depreciation for individual classes of PP&E will be required.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   27



Employee Benefits

§

Key change in accounting: All actuarial gains and losses related to defined benefit plans will be recognized in other comprehensive income.

§

Income statement impact: Expenses associated with defined benefit plans will differ. The impact on net earnings is not expected to be significant.

§

Balance sheet impact upon transition to IFRS: Recognition of net cumulative actuarial losses of $78 million (after-tax) in opening retained earnings.

§

Cash flow statement impact: None.


Joint Arrangements

§

Key change in accounting: Prior to Dec. 31, 2010, the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) is expected to issue a new standard on the accounting for joint ventures, which is expected to come into effect Jan. 1, 2013, with early adoption permitted.  If we decide to early adopt this new standard effective Jan. 1, 2010, certain joint arrangements that had been previously accounted for using proportionate consolidation will be accounted for using the equity method.

§

Income statement impact: Revenues and expenses will be recorded as equity earnings or loss, a single line item on the Consolidated Statement of Earnings.  There is no impact on net earnings.

§

Balance sheet impact upon transition to IFRS: Our share of assets and liabilities will be removed from the various line items on the Statement of Financial Position and the corresponding net amount will be recorded as an investment.

§

Cash flow statement impact: Our proportionate share of cash from equity accounted joint venture’s will not be reflected on the Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow.  Only contributions to and distributions from investments accounted for using the equity method will be reflected in the cash flow statement as an investing activity.  


Provisions, Contingent Liabilities and Contingent Assets

§

Key change in accounting: Asset retirement obligations (“AROs”) are revalued at the end of each quarterly and annual reporting period using current market-based interest rates instead of using historic rates.

§

Income statement impact: Accretion expense will be classified as a finance (interest) cost under IFRS as opposed to an operating expense under Canadian GAAP, and may fluctuate more often due to the impact of the period end revaluations.

§

Balance sheet impact upon transition to IFRS: Due to differences in discount rates, the opening balance of the provisions for ARO will increase by approximately $34 million.

§

Cash flow statement impact: None.


Arrangements Containing a Lease

§

Key change in accounting: All contractual arrangements will be evaluated to determine if they contain a finance or operating lease.  

§

Income statement impact: For those contracts that are determined to be finance leases, a portion of payments received under the contract will be recorded as finance (interest) income. For those contracts that are determined to be operating leases, the timing of recognition of revenue may differ.  The impact on net earnings in either case is not expected to be significant.

§

Balance sheet impact of transitioning to IFRS: For certain long-term contracts that are deemed to be finance leases, the associated PP&E of $30 million will be removed from the Consolidated Balance Sheets and replaced with a long-term receivable of approximately $50 million, representing the present value of lease payments to be received over the life of the contract.

§

Cash flow impact: Payments received under the contract for finance leases will be recorded as cash flows from financing activities instead of cash flows from operating activities.






TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   28



 

 

Asset Impairment

§

Key change in accounting: Asset impairment testing no longer utilizes undiscounted future cash flows to initially assess for impairment.  Instead, an asset’s carried value is compared to the greater of its value in use or fair value less normal costs to sell.  Asset impairment charges can be reversed if the conditions creating the impairment reverse. The work associated with this standard is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2010.

§

Income statement impact: Depreciation expense for any impaired assets will be lower over the useful life of the asset.

§

Balance sheet impact of transitioning to IFRS: Impairment charges will reduce PP&E and opening retained earnings.

§

Cash flow impact: None.


Several exemptions from full retrospective application of certain IFRSs are available under IFRS 1, First-Time Adoption of International Financial Reporting Standards to assist with the transition to IFRS.  At present, we expect to make use of several exemptions that will have the following effect:


§

Cumulative unrealized losses on translating self-sustaining foreign operations, net of hedges and tax, of $63 million, will be reset to zero;

§

Share-based payment guidance under IFRS will only be applied to equity instruments outstanding at transition that were granted on or after Nov. 7, 2002, and which had not vested by the transition date.  The impact is not expected to be material;

§

Business Combinations that occurred prior to Jan. 1, 2010 will continue to be measured and recorded at the Canadian GAAP amounts;

§

We will use a simplified method to recalculate the cost of decommissioning assets included in PP&E;

§

We will not adjust interest previously capitalized as part of PP&E under Canadian GAAP; and


In addition, various presentation changes are required under IFRS that have no impact on opening retained earnings.


At this time, it is not anticipated that any other material new standards or amendments will be effective on convergence in 2011.  However, the progress and recommendations of IASB projects for financial instruments, post-employment benefits, financial statement presentation, revenue recognition, and leases are being closely monitored to ensure that any potential adverse impacts to the convergence project are identified and can be minimized.



NON-GAAP MEASURES


We evaluate our performance and the performance of our business segments using a variety of measures.  Those discussed below are not defined under Canadian GAAP, and therefore, should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to or to be more meaningful than net earnings or cash flow from operating activities, as determined in accordance with Canadian GAAP, when assessing our financial performance or liquidity.  These measures are not necessarily comparable to a similarly titled measure of another company.


Each business unit assumes responsibility for its operating results measured to gross margin and operating income.  Operating income and gross margin provides management and investors with a measurement of operating performance which is readily comparable from period to period.




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   29



Net Earnings Reconciliation


Gross margin and operating income are reconciled to net earnings below:

 

 

 

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Revenues

 

 

 

                 700

             666

             2,008

            2,007

Fuel and purchased power

 

                 320

             286

                871

               900

Gross margin

 

 

                 380

             380

             1,137

            1,107

Operations, maintenance, and administration

                 149

             144

                481

               525

Depreciation and amortization

 

                 126

             111

                348

               346

Taxes, other than income taxes

 

                     7

                 5

                  21

                 17

Operating expenses

 

 

                 282

             260

                850

               888

Operating income

 

 

                   98

             120

                287

               219

Foreign exchange gain

 

 

                     1

                 1

                    4

                   4

Net interest expense

 

 

                 (49)

             (36)

              (130)

              (102)

Other income

 

 

 

                     -  

                  -

                     -

                   8

Earnings before non-controlling interests and
   income taxes

                   50

               85

                161

               129

Non-controlling interests

 

 

                     8

                 3

                  20

                 27

Earnings before income taxes

 

                   42

               82

                141

               102

Income tax expense (recovery)

 

                     4

               16

                (15)

                   -  

Net earnings

 

 

                   38

               66

                156

               102


Earnings on a Comparable Basis


Presenting earnings on a comparable basis from period to period provides management and investors with the ability to evaluate earnings trends more readily in comparison with results from prior periods. Earnings on a comparable basis per share are calculated using the weighted average common shares outstanding during the period.


In calculating comparable earnings for 2010, we excluded the impact of an income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain outstanding tax matters as they do not relate to the earnings in the period in which they have been reported.


In calculating comparable earnings for 2009, we excluded the settlement of an outstanding commercial issue that was recorded in other income as this was related to our previously held Mexican equity investment.  The change in life of certain component parts at Centralia Thermal was also excluded from the calculation of comparable earnings in 2009 as it relates to the cessation of mining activities at the Centralia coal mine and conversion of Centralia to consuming solely third party supplied coal.


 

 

 

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

 

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Net earnings

 

 

                   38

               66

                156

               102

Income tax recovery related to the resolution of certain
  outstanding tax matters

                      -

                  -

                (30)

                    -

Settlement of commercial issue, net of tax

                      -

                  -

                     -

                  (6)

Change in life of Centralia parts, net of tax

                      -

                  -

                     -

                   1

Earnings on a comparable basis

 

                   38

               66

                126

                 97

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding
   in the period

                 220

             198

                220

               198

Earnings on a comparable basis per share

                0.17

            0.34

               0.57

              0.49






TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   30



 

 

EBITDA


Presenting EBITDA from period to period provides management and investors with a proxy for the amount of cash generated from operating activities before net interest expense, non-controlling interests, income taxes, and working capital adjustments.


 

 

 

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

 

 

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Operating income

 

 

                   98

             120

                287

               219

Asset retirement obligation accretion per the Consolidated
   Statements of Cash Flows

                     5

                 5

                  15

                 17

Depreciation and amortization per the Consolidated
   Statements of Cash Flows(1)

                 130

             116

                362

               359

EBITDA

 

 

 

                 233

             241

                664

               595


1

Funds from Operations and Cash Flow from Operating Activities per Share


Presenting funds from operations and cash flow from operating activities from period to period provides management and investors with a proxy for the amount of cash generated from operating activities, before and after changes in working capital, and provides the ability to evaluate cash flow trends more readily in comparison with prior periods. Cash flow from operating activities per share is calculated using the weighted average common shares outstanding during the period.


 

 

 

 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

 

 

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Funds from operations

 

 

                 184

178

558

463

Change in non-cash operating working capital balances

                   46

16

(56)

(129)

Cash flow from operating activities

 

                 230

             194

                502

               334

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding
   in the period

                 220

             198

                220

               198

Cash flow from operating activities per share

                1.05

            0.98

               2.28

              1.69



Free Cash Flow (Deficiency)


Free cash flow represents the amount of cash generated by our business that is available to invest in growth initiatives, repay scheduled principal repayments of recourse debt, pay additional common share dividends, or repurchase common shares.

 

Sustaining capital expenditures for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2010, represents total additions to PP&E per the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows less $115 million ($113 million net of joint venture contributions) that we have invested in growth projects(2). For the same period in 2009, we invested $154 million ($153 million net of joint venture contributions) in growth projects.  For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 and 2009, we invested $390 million ($383 million net of joint venture contributions) and $387 million ($378 million net of joint venture contributions), respectively, in growth projects.


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                         

(1) To calculate EBITDA, we use depreciation and amortization per the Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows in order to account for depreciation related to mine
      assets, which is  included in cost of sales on  the Consolidated Statements of Earnings and Retained Earnings.

(2) The calculation of sustaining capital expenditures for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2010 also excludes the impact of project hedges.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   31



The reconciliation between cash flow from operating activities and free cash flow is calculated below:


 

3 months ended Sept. 30

9 months ended Sept. 30

 

2010

2009

2010

2009

Cash flow from operating activities

                230

                194

                502

                334

Add (Deduct):

 

 

 

 

Sustaining capital expenditures

                (59)

              (116)

              (202)

              (294)

Cash dividends paid on common shares

                (49)

                (58)

              (169)

              (169)

Distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests

                (15)

                  (7)

                (44)

                (40)

Non-recourse debt repayments(1)

                     -

                  (1)

                (13)

                (19)

Other income

                     -

                     -

                     -

                  (8)

Free cash flow (deficiency)

                107

                  12

                  74

              (196)

1

We seek to maintain sufficient cash balances and committed credit facilities to fund periodic net cash outflows related to our business.



SELECTED QUARTERLY INFORMATION

 

 

 

Q4 2009

Q1 2010

Q2 2010

Q3 2010

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue

 

            763

            726

             582

             700

Net earnings

 

              79

              67

               51

               38

Basic and diluted earnings per share

 

           0.37

           0.31

            0.23

            0.17

Comparable earnings per share

 

           0.40

           0.31

            0.10

            0.17

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Q4 2008

Q1 2009

Q2 2009

Q3 2009

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue

 

            808

            756

             585

             666

Net earnings (loss)

 

              94

              42

               (6)

               66

Basic and diluted earnings (loss) per share

 

           0.47

           0.21

          (0.03)

            0.34

Comparable earnings (loss) per share

 

           0.40

           0.18

          (0.03)

            0.34



Basic and diluted earnings per share and comparable earnings per share are calculated each period using the weighted average common shares outstanding during the period.  As a result, the sum of the earnings per share for the four quarters making up the calendar year may sometimes differ from the annual earnings per share.



 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                                                                                                                        

(1) Excludes debt repayments related to recourse debt that have been or will be refinanced with long-term debt issuances, consistent with our overall capital
      strategy.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   32



 

 

 

DISCLOSURE CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES


As required by Rule 13a-15 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”), management has evaluated, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report.  Disclosure controls and procedures refer to controls and other procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file or submit under the Exchange Act are recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the rules and forms of the Securities and Exchange Commission.  Disclosure controls and procedures include, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in our reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act are accumulated and communicated to management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding our required disclosure.  In designing and evaluating our disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management was required to apply its judgment in evaluating and implementing possible controls and procedures.  


There has been no change in the internal control over financial reporting during the period covered by this report that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.  Based on the foregoing evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as of Sept. 30, 2010, the end of the period covered by this report, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective at a reasonable assurance level.  



FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS


This MD&A, the documents incorporated herein by reference, and other reports and filings made with the securities regulatory authorities, include forward looking statements.  All forward looking statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions based on information available at the time the assumption was made and on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected further developments as well as other factors deemed appropriate in the circumstances.  Forward looking statements are not facts, but only predictions and generally can be identified by the use of statements that include phrases such as “may”, “will”, “believe”, “expect”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “plan”, “foresee”, “potential”, “enable”, “continue” or other comparable terminology.  These statements are not guarantees of our future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause our actual performance to be materially different from those projected.

In particular, this MD&A contains forward looking statements pertaining to the following: expectations relating to the timing of the completion and commissioning of projects under development, including uprates and upgrades, and their attendant costs; expectations related to future earnings and cash flow from operating activities; expectations relating to the timing of the completion of the FEED study regarding CCS and the cost of the study; estimates of fuel supply and demand conditions and the costs of procuring fuel; our plans to invest in existing and new capacity, and the expected return on those investments; expectations for demand for electricity in both the short-term and long-term, and the resulting impact on electricity prices; expectations in respect of generation availability and production; expectations in terms of the cost of operations and maintenance, and the variability of those costs; our plans to install mercury control equipment at our Alberta Thermal operations and our initiative to reduce nitrogen oxide and mercury emissions from our Centralia Plant; expected governmental regulatory regimes and legislation, as well as the cost of complying with resulting regulations and laws; our trading strategy and the risk involved in these strategies; expectations relating to the renegotiation of certain of the collective bargaining agreements to which we are party; estimates of future tax rates, future tax expense, and the adequacy of tax provisions; expectations for the outcome of existing or potential legal claims; and expectations for the ability to access capital markets at reasonable terms.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   33



Factors that may adversely impact our forward looking statements include risks relating to: (i) fluctuations in market prices and availability of fuel supplies required to generate electricity and in the price of electricity; (ii) the regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which we operate; (iii) environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities under, these requirements; (iv) changes in general economic conditions including interest rates; (v) operational risks involving our facilities, including unplanned outages at such facilities; (vi) disruptions in the transmission and distribution of electricity; (vii) effects of weather; (viii) disruptions in the source of fuels, water, wind or biomass required to operate our facilities; (ix) natural disasters; (x) equipment failure; (xi) energy trading risks; (xii) industry risk and competition; (xiii) fluctuations in the value of foreign currencies and foreign political risks; (xiv) need for additional financing; (xv) structural subordination of securities; (xvi) counterparty credit risk; (xvii) insurance coverage; (xviii) our provision for income taxes; (xix) legal proceedings involving the Corporation; (xx) reliance on key personnel (xxi) labour relations matters; and (xxii) development projects and acquisitions.  The foregoing risk factors, among others, are described in further detail in the Risk Management section of our 2009 Annual Report and under the heading “Risk Factors” in our 2009 Annual Information Form.

Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements.  The forward looking statements included in this document are made only as of the date hereof and we do not undertake to publicly update these forward looking statements to reflect new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable laws.  In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward looking events might occur to a different extent or at a different time than we have described, or might not occur.  We cannot assure you that projected results or events will be achieved.



 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   34



 


SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION

 

 

 

Sept. 30, 2010

Dec. 31, 2009

 

 

 

 

 

Closing market price (TSX) ($)

 

 

21.96

23.48

 

 

 

 

 

Price range for the last 12 months (TSX) ($)

High

 

23.98

25.30

 

 

 

 

 

 

Low

 

19.61

18.11

 

 

 

 

 

Debt to invested capital including non recourse debt (%)

 

 

56.7

56.1

 

 

 

 

 

Debt to invested capital excluding non recourse debt (%)

 

 

53.5

52.6

 

 

 

 

 

Return on shareholders' equity (%)

 

 

9.1

6.9

 

 

 

 

 

Comparable return on shareholders' equity(1), (2) (%)

 

 

8.1

6.9

 

 

 

 

 

Return on capital employed(1) (%)

 

 

6.4

5.7

 

 

 

 

 

Comparable return on capital employed(1), (2) (%)

 

 

6.6

5.8

 

 

 

 

 

Cash dividends per share(1) ($)

 

 

1.16

1.16

 

 

 

 

 

Price/earnings ratio(1) (times)

 

 

20.1

26.1

 

 

 

 

 

Earnings coverage(1) (times)

 

 

1.9

1.9

 

 

 

 

 

Dividend payout ratio based on net earnings(1) (%)

 

 

107.7

129.8

 

 

 

 

 

Dividend payout ratio based on comparable earnings(1), (2) (%)

 

 

120.5

129.8

 

 

 

 

 

Dividend coverage(1) (times)

 

 

3.0

2.5

 

 

 

 

 

Dividend yield(1) (%)

 

 

5.3

4.9

 

 

 

 

 

Cash flow to debt(1) (%)

 

 

21.2

20.1

 

 

 

 

 

Cash flow to interest coverage(1) (times)

 

 

4.6

4.9


                                                                                                                     

(1)   Last 12 months

(2)  These ratios incorporate items that are not defined under Canadian GAAP. None of these measurements are used to enhance the Corporation’s reported financial performance or position. These ratios are useful complementary measurements for assessing the Corporation’s financial performance, efficiency, and liquidity and are common in the reports of other companies but may differ by definition and application. For a reconciliation of the Non-GAAP measure used in this calculation, refer to the Non-GAAP Measures section of this MD&A.


RATIO FORMULAS

Debt to invested capital = (debt – cash and cash equivalents) / (debt + non-controlling interests + shareholders’ equity – cash and cash equivalents)


Return on shareholders’ equity = net earnings or earnings on a comparable basis / average shareholders’ equity excluding Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income (“AOCI”)


Return on capital employed = (earnings before non-controlling interests and income taxes + net interest expense or comparable earnings before non-controlling interests and income taxes + net interest expense) / average invested capital excluding AOCI


Price/earnings ratio = current period’s close price / basic earnings per share


Earnings coverage = (net earnings + income taxes + net interest expense) / (interest on debt – interest income)


Dividend payout ratio = dividends / net earnings or earnings on a comparable basis


Dividend coverage = cash flow from operating activities / common share dividends


Dividend yield = dividend per common share / current period’s close price


Cash flow to debt = cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital / average debt


Cash flow to interest coverage = (cash flow from operating activities before changes in working capital + net interest expense) / (interest on debt – interest income)



TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   35



GLOSSARY OF KEY TERMS


Alberta Power Purchase Arrangement (PPA) - A long-term arrangement established by regulation for the sale of electric energy from formerly regulated generating units to PPA Buyers.


Availability - A measure of time, expressed as a percentage of continuous operation 24 hours a day, 365 days a year that a generating unit is capable of generating electricity, regardless of whether or not it is actually generating electricity.


British thermal unit (Btu) - A measure of energy. The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one pound of water one degree Fahrenheit, when the water is near 39.2 degrees Fahrenheit.


Capacity - The rated continuous load-carrying ability, expressed in megawatts, of generation equipment.


Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) - An approach to mitigating the contribution of greenhouse gas emissions to global warming, which is based on capturing carbon dioxide emissions from industrial operations and permanently storing them in deep underground formations.


Gigawatt - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000 megawatts.


Gigawatt hour (GWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000 megawatts of power over a period of one hour.


Greenhouse Gas (GHG) – Gases having potential to retain heat in the atmosphere, including water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons and perfluorocarbons.


Heat rate - A measure of conversion, expressed as Btu/MWh, of the amount of thermal energy required to generate electrical energy.


Megawatt (MW) - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000,000 watts.


Megawatt hour (MWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000,000 watts of power over a period of one hour.


Net Maximum Capacity - The maximum capacity or effective rating, modified for ambient limitations, that a generating unit or power plant can sustain over a specific period, less the capacity used to supply the demand of station service or auxiliary needs.


Spark Spread - A measure of gross margin per MW (sales price less cost of natural gas).


Unplanned Outage - The shutdown of a generating unit due to an unanticipated breakdown.


Uprate - To increase the rated electrical capability of a power generating facility or unit.


Value at Risk (VaR) - A measure to manage earnings exposure from energy trading activities.





 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   36



 

 

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TransAlta Corporation

Box 1900, Station “M”

110 - 12th Avenue S.W.

Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 2M1

Phone

403.267.7110


Website

www.transalta.com


CIBC Mellon Trust Company

P.O. Box 7010 Adelaide Street Station

Toronto, Ontario Canada M5C 2W9

Phone

Toll-free in North America: 1.800.387.0825

Toronto or outside North America: 416.643.5500

Fax

416.643.5501

Website

www.cibcmellon.com


FOR MORE INFORMATION

Media inquiries

Jeff Gaulin

Vice President, Communications and Government Relations

Phone

403.267.7543

E-mail

 jeff_gaulin@transalta.com


Investor inquiries

Jess Nieukerk

Director, Investor Relations

Phone

1.800.387.3598 in Canada and United States

or 403.267.2520

Fax

403.267.2590

E-mail

investor_relations@transalta.com




TRANSALTA CORPORATION / Q3 2010   37