EX-13.2 3 tac-q32018mda.htm EXHIBIT 13.2 Exhibit
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Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
TRANSALTA CORPORATION
Third Quarter Report for 2018

This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on certain estimates and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. See the Forward-Looking Statements section of this MD&A for additional information.
This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements of TransAlta Corporation as at and for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 and 2017, and should also be read in conjunction with the audited annual consolidated financial statements and MD&A contained within our 2017 Annual Integrated Report. In this MD&A, unless the context otherwise requires, “we”, “our”, “us”, the “Corporation”, and “TransAlta” refers to TransAlta Corporation and its subsidiaries. Our condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) International Accounting Standards (“IAS”) 34 Interim Financial Reporting for Canadian publicly accountable enterprises as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) and in effect at Sept. 30, 2018. All tabular amounts in the following discussion are in millions of Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted. This MD&A is dated Oct. 30, 2018. Additional information respecting TransAlta, including its Annual Information Form, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, on EDGAR at www.sec.gov, and on our website at www.transalta.com. Information on or connected to our website is not incorporated by reference herein.

Additional IFRS Measures and Non-IFRS Measures
An additional IFRS measure is a line item, heading, or subtotal that is relevant to an understanding of the financial statements but is not a minimum line item mandated under IFRS, or the presentation of a financial measure that is relevant to an understanding of the financial statements but is not presented elsewhere in the financial statements. We have included line items entitled gross margin and operating income in our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings (Loss) for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 and 2017. Presenting these line items provides management and investors with a measurement of ongoing operating performance that is readily comparable from period to period.

We evaluate our performance and the performance of our business segments using a variety of measures. Certain of the financial measures discussed in this MD&A are not defined under IFRS and, therefore, should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to or to be more meaningful than net earnings attributable to common shareholders or cash flow from operating activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, when assessing our financial performance or liquidity. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. Comparable EBITDA, FFO, comparable FFO, FCF, net debt, adjusted net debt and cash flow generated by the business, all as defined below, are non-IFRS measures that are presented in this MD&A. See the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures and Discussion of Segmented Comparable Results sections of this MD&A for additional information.

Forward-Looking Statements

This MD&A, the documents incorporated herein by reference, and other reports and filings made with securities regulatory authorities include forward-looking statements or information (collectively referred to herein as “forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable securities legislation. Forward-looking statements are presented for general information purposes only and not as specific investment advice. All forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions based on information available at the time the assumptions were made and on management’s experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors deemed appropriate in the circumstances. Forward-looking statements are not facts, but only predictions and generally can be identified by the use of statements that include phrases such as "may", "will", "believe", "expect", "anticipate", "intend", "plan", "project", "estimate", "forecast", "foresee", "potential", "enable", "continue", or other comparable terminology. These statements are not guarantees of our future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other important factors that could cause our actual performance to be materially different from that projected.

In particular, this MD&A contains forward-looking statements pertaining to: our business model and anticipated future financial performance; our success in executing on our growth projects; the timing and cost of the construction and commissioning of projects under development [including the Brazeau Hydro pumped storage project,] the Pennsylvania and New Hampshire wind projects, and their attendant costs and sources of funding; the closing of the New Hampshire acquisition and satisfaction of closing conditions; [the benefits of the Brazeau Hydro Pumped Storage project;] the pre-tax savings to be delivered by Project Greenlight; spending on growth and sustaining capital and productivity projects, including in connection with Project Greenlight; expectations in terms of the cost of operations, capital spending, and maintenance, and the variability of those costs; purchases of shares under the Normal Course Issue Bid ("NCIB"); continuing the deleveraging plan; regulatory developments, including the Federal Government's release of regulations for gas-fired generation; the ruling by the Alberta Utilities Commission ("AUC") in respect of line losses including our estimated

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M1


maximum exposure; the section titled “2018 Financial Outlook”; expectations related to future earnings and cash flow from operating and contracting activities (including estimates of full-year 2018 comparable earnings before interest, depreciation and amortization (“EBITDA”), funds from operations (“FFO”) and free cash flow (“FCF”), and expected sustaining capital expenditures; Canadian Coal Fleet availability and capacity factor; contributions to gross margin for Energy Marketing in 2018; significant planned major outages in 2018 and lost production; expected governmental regulatory regimes and legislation, including the Government of Alberta’s intended shift to a capacity market and the expected impacts on us and the timing of the implementation of such regimes and regulations, as well as the cost of complying with resulting regulations and laws; expectations in respect of generation availability, capacity, and production; power prices in Alberta, Ontario, and the Pacific Northwest; expected financing of our capital expenditures; the anticipated financial impact of increased carbon prices, including under the Carbon Competitiveness Incentive Regulation (“CCIR”) in Alberta; our trading strategies and the risk involved in these strategies; the estimated impact of changes in interest rates and the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar, the Australian dollar, and other currencies in which we do business; our exposure to liquidity risk; expectations in respect of the global economic environment; expectations relating to the performance of TransAlta Renewables Inc.’s (“TransAlta Renewables”) assets; expectations regarding our continued ownership of common shares of TransAlta Renewables; the refinancing of our upcoming debt maturities over the next two years; expectations regarding our de-leveraging strategy; expectations in respect of our community initiatives; impacts of future IFRS standards and the timing of the implementation of such standards; and amendments or interpretations by accounting standard setters prior to initial adoption of those standards.

Factors that may adversely impact our forward-looking statements include risks relating to: fluctuations in market prices and our ability to contract our generation for prices that will provide expected returns; the regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which we operate; increasingly stringent environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities under, these requirements; ability to compete effectively in the anticipated Alberta capacity market; changes in general economic conditions, including interest rates; operational risks involving our facilities, including unplanned outages at such facilities; growth, whether through acquisition or greenfield development; unanticipated operating conditions; disruptions in the transmission and distribution of electricity; the effects of weather; disruptions in the source of fuels, water, sun, or wind required to operate our facilities; natural or man-made disasters; physical risks related to climate change; the threat of terrorism and cyberattacks and our ability to manage such attacks; equipment failure and our ability to carry out or have completed the repairs in a cost-effective or timely manner; commodity risk management; industry risk and competition; fluctuations in the value of foreign currencies and foreign political risks; the need for additional financing and the ability to access financing at a reasonable cost and on reasonable terms; our ability to fund our growth projects; our ability to maintain our investment grade credit ratings; structural subordination of securities; counterparty credit risk; our ability to recover our losses through our insurance coverage; our provision for income taxes; outcomes of legal, regulatory, and contractual proceedings involving the Corporation including those with Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. ("FMG"); outcomes of investigations and disputes; reliance on key personnel; labour relations matters; risks associated with development projects and acquisitions, including delays or changes in costs in the construction and commissioning of our two new US wind projects; and the maintenance or adoption of enabling regulatory frameworks or the satisfactory receipt of applicable regulatory approvals for existing and proposed operations and growth initiatives, including as it pertains to coal-to-gas conversions.

The foregoing risk factors, among others, are described in further detail in the Governance and Risk Management section of our MD&A for our 2017 annual consolidated financial statements and under the heading “Risk Factors” in our 2018 Annual Information Form.

Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements included in this document are made only as of the date hereof and we do not undertake to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect new information, future events, or otherwise, except as required by applicable laws. In light of these risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, the forward-looking events might occur to a different extent or at a different time than we have described, or might not occur. We cannot assure that projected results or events will be achieved.


M2 TRANSALTA CORPORATION


Highlights
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Revenues
593

588

1,627

1,669

Net loss attributable to common shareholders
(86
)
(27
)
(126
)
(45
)
Cash flow from operating activities
159

201

688

545

Comparable EBITDA(1, 2)
249

245

890

787

FFO(1, 2)
204

196

710

585

FCF(1, 2)
94

101

426

227

Net loss per share attributable to common shareholders, basic and diluted
(0.30
)
(0.09
)
(0.44
)
(0.16
)
FFO per share(1, 2)
0.71

0.68

2.47

2.03

FCF per share(1, 2)
0.33

0.35

1.48

0.79

Dividends declared per common share
0.04

0.04

0.12

0.08

 
 
 
 
 
As at
Sept. 30, 2018

Dec. 31, 2017

 
 
Total assets
9,421

10,304

 
 
Total consolidated net debt(3)
3,057

3,363

 
 
Total long-term liabilities
4,345

4,311

 
 
(1)  These items are not defined under IFRS. Presenting these items from period to period provides management and investors with the ability to evaluate earnings trends more readily in comparison with prior periods’ results. Refer to the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of these items, including, where applicable, reconciliations to measures calculated in accordance with IFRS.
(2) During the fourth quarter of 2017, we revised our approach to reporting adjustments to arrive at FFO, mainly to better represent FFO as a cash metric. Previously, FFO was adjusted to include, exclude, or to modify the timing of cash impacts related to adjustments made in arriving at comparable EBITDA. As a result, comparable EBITDA, FFO, and FCF for 2017 has been revised accordingly.
(3)  Total consolidated net debt includes long-term debt including current portion, amounts due under credit facilities, tax equity, and finance lease obligations, net of available cash and the fair value of economic hedging instruments on debt. See the table in the Capital Structure section of this MD&A for more details on the composition of net debt.

Comparable EBITDA was up $4 million in the third quarter of 2018 compared to 2017, due to:
Higher EBITDA in Canadian Gas, Wind and Solar, and Hydro was partially offset by lower EBITDA in Canadian Coal, US Coal, and Australian Gas.
Canadian Coal EBITDA was lower due to higher carbon compliance costs and the 2017 results include the capacity payments for Sundance Units B and C. The PPAs for Sundance Units B and C were subsequently terminated, for which the Corporation received a one-time payment in the first quarter of 2018.
Year-to-date Comparable EBITDA was higher by $103 million, primarily as a result of the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance Units B and C PPAs and higher EBITDA from Hydro.

Net loss attributable to common shareholders during the third quarter of 2018 was lower by $59 million compared to the same period in 2017, due to lower operating income resulting from higher mine depreciation included in fuel and purchased power, higher carbon compliance costs, an impairment related to the retirement of Sundance Unit 2, lower finance lease income related to the sale of the Solomon facility and higher income tax recovery. Net loss attributable to common shareholders during the nine months of the year was lower by $81 million compared to the same period in 2017, due to higher operating income (including the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs), partially offset by higher mine depreciation included in fuel and purchased power, higher carbon compliance costs, an impairment, lower finance lease income related to the sale of the Solomon facility and higher income tax expense.

Year-to-date FCF, one of the Corporation's key financial metrics, was $199 million higher than 2017 and after adjusting for the one-time receipt for the termination of Sundance B and C PPAs, FCF was $42 million higher than the same period in 2017. For the third quarter, FCF was $7 million lower compared to the same period in 2017.
All generation segments, except Australian Gas, generated cash flows equal to or better than the same period last year on a year-to-date basis. On a quarterly basis, the Canadian Gas, Wind and Solar, Hydro and Energy Marketing segments generated cash flows equal to or better than the same period last year.
In Alberta, Canadian Coal, Hydro and our wind assets benefited from higher power prices. Average prices during the third quarter in Alberta increased to $55 per MWh from $25 per MWh and to $49 per MWh from $22 per MWh in the first nine months of 2018, compared to the same periods in 2017, mainly reflecting the impact of higher carbon pricing costs paid by certain generators and load growth.
Canadian Coal cash flows were significantly higher in the first nine months of 2018 compared to 2017 as the cash flows in the first quarter included the one-time receipt for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs, which reflects the receipt of the capacity payments that would have been received over the 2018 to 2020 period had these PPAs not been terminated.
Sustaining capital was lower in 2018 relative to 2017, primarily because of lower capital requirements in Canadian Coal as a result of the retirement of Sundance Units 1 and 2 and the mothballing of Sundance Units 3 and 5, and lower capital requirements in Canadian Gas and US Coal, mainly due to timing of outages.
Based on the outlook for the balance of the year, the Corporation is currently tracking to achieve the upper end of its FCF guidance of $300 - $350 million, net of the one time Sundance B and C PPAs termination payment of $157 million.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M3


Segmented Cash Flow Generated by the Business
Segmented cash flows generated by the business, shown in the table below, measures the net cash generated by each of our segments after sustaining and productivity capital expenditures, reclamation costs, provisions, and non-cash mark-to-market gains or losses. This is the cash flow available to: pay our interest and cash taxes, make distributions to our non-controlling partners and dividends to our preferred shareholders, grow the business, pay down debt and return capital to our shareholders.
 
 
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Segmented cash inflow (outflow)
 
 
 
 
 
   Canadian Coal(1)
 
 
32

54

264

164

   US Coal
 
 
11

19

42

18

   Canadian Gas(2)
 
 
55

51

169

165

   Australian Gas
 
 
30

40

92

100

   Wind and Solar
 
 
30

22

143

128

   Hydro
 
 
22

13

85

51

Generation cash inflow
 
 
180

199

795

626

   Energy Marketing
 
 
32

14

23

24

   Corporate
 
 
(25
)
(24
)
(73
)
(80
)
Total comparable cash inflow
 
187

189

745

570

(1)  Includes $157 million received from the Balancing Pool for the early termination of Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018.
(2) Includes $34 million (TransAlta's share) from the OEFC relating to the settlement in the first quarter of 2018 of a prior years indexation dispute during 2017.

Significant Events
Our strategic focus continues to be reducing our corporate debt, improving our operating performance, and transitioning to clean power generation. The Corporation made the following progress throughout the period:
On Oct. 19, 2018, TransAlta Renewables announced that the 17.25MW expansion of the wind facility at Kent Hills, New Brunswick, is now fully operational, bringing total generating capacity at the site to 167MW.
On Aug. 2, 2018, the Corporation redeemed all of the outstanding principal $400 million, 6.40 per cent debentures, due Nov. 18, 2019 for approximately $425 million, including a prepayment premium and accrued and unpaid interest. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
On July 20, 2018, the Corporation monetized the payments under the Off-Coal Agreement ("OCA") with the Government of Alberta and closed an approximate $345 million bond offering at a rate of 4.509 per cent per annum, payable semi-annually and maturing on Aug. 5, 2030. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
On July 31, 2018, the Sundance Unit 2 was retired. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
On May 31, 2018, TransAlta Renewables acquired an economic interest in the 50 MW Lakeswind Wind Farm and 21 MW of solar projects located in the US ("Mass Solar") from TransAlta and acquired ownership of the 20 MW Kent Breeze Wind Farm located in Ontario. The total purchase price for the three assets was approximately $166 million, including the assumption of $62 million of tax equity obligations and project debt. On June 28, 2018, TransAlta Renewables subscribed for an additional $33 million (US$25 million) of tracking preferred shares of a subsidiary of the Corporation related to Mass Solar in order to fund the repayment of Mass Solar's project debt.
On June 22, 2018, TransAlta Renewables closed a bought deal offering of 11,860,000 common shares through a syndicate of underwriters. The shares were issued at a price of $12.65 per share for gross proceeds of approximately $150 million.
On Feb. 20, 2018, TransAlta Renewables entered into an arrangement to acquire two construction-ready wind projects in the Northeast United States. The wind development projects consist of: (i) a 90 Megawatt ("MW") project located in Pennsylvania which has a 15-year PPA with Microsoft Corp. ("Big Level") and (ii) a 29 MW project located in New Hampshire with two 20-year PPAs ("Antrim") (collectively, the "US Wind Projects"), with counterparties that have Standard & Poor's credit ratings of A+ or better. On April 20, 2018, TransAlta Renewables acquired an economic interest in the Big Level project. The Corporation expects the acquisition to close in early 2019. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
On March 15, 2018, the Corporation redeemed the outstanding 6.650 per cent US $500 million Senior Notes due May 15, 2018. The redemption price for the Notes was approximately $617 million (US$516 million). Repayment of the US Senior notes was funded by cash on hand and our credit facility. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
During the first nine months of the year, the Corporation purchased and cancelled 1,907,200 common shares at an average price of $7.34 per common share through our NCIB program, for a total cost of $14 million. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
On March 31, 2018, the Corporation received approximately $157 million in compensation for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs from the Balancing Pool. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
On Jan. 1, 2018, the Corporation permanently shutdown Sundance Unit 1 and mothballed Sundance Unit 2. On April 1, 2018, we mothballed Sundance Unit 3 and Sundance Unit 5.




M4 TRANSALTA CORPORATION


Adjusted Availability and Production
Adjusted availability for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was 93.7 per cent and 91.3 per cent, respectively, compared to 86.5 per cent and 86.3 per cent for the same periods in 2017. The increases were mainly due to lower unplanned and planned outages and stronger performance at Canadian Coal and Canadian Gas.

Production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was 7,762 gigawatt hours ("GWh") and 20,133 GWh, respectively, compared to 9,767 GWh and 26,526 GWh for the same periods in 2017. The lower production is primarily due to certain Sundance units becoming merchant effective April 1, 2018, which resulted is less dispatching. In addition, production is down as a result of retiring and mothballing units during the year.

Electricity Prices
The average spot electricity prices in Alberta for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased significantly compared to 2017 mainly due to higher carbon compliance costs, which have increased the marginal cost of production, and weather-adjusted load growth in 2018 of approximately 3 per cent.

Power prices were higher in the Pacific Northwest in the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, mainly due to stronger weather driven demand in the region as well as in California, which receives excess power from the Pacific Northwest.

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chart-479eeb65177053b49c9.jpg


Discussion of Consolidated Financial Results
We evaluate our performance and the performance of our business segments using a variety of measures. Comparable figures are not defined under IFRS. Those discussed below, and elsewhere in this MD&A, are not defined under IFRS and, therefore, should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to or to be more meaningful than net earnings attributable to common shareholders or cash flow from operating activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, when assessing our financial performance or liquidity. These measures are not necessarily comparable to a similarly titled measure of another company. Each business segment assumes responsibility for its operating results measured to comparable EBITDA and cash flows generated by the business. Gross margin is also a useful measure as it provides management and investors with a measurement of operating performance that is readily comparable from period to period.













TRANSALTA CORPORATION M5


Comparable EBITDA
EBITDA is a widely adopted valuation metric and an important metric for management that represents our core business profitability. Interest, taxes, and depreciation and amortization are not included, as differences in accounting treatments may distort our core business results. In addition, we reclassify certain transactions to facilitate the discussion on the performance of our business:
(i)
Certain assets we own in Canada and Australia are fully contracted and recorded as finance leases under IFRS. We believe it is more appropriate to reflect the payments we receive under the contracts as a capacity payment in our revenues instead of as finance lease income and a decrease in finance lease receivables. We depreciate these assets over their expected lives;
(ii)
We also reclassify the depreciation on our mining equipment from fuel and purchased power to reflect the actual cash cost of our business in our comparable EBITDA;
(iii)
In December 2016, we agreed to terminate our existing arrangement with the Independent Electricity System Operator (“IESO”) relating to our Mississauga cogeneration facility in Ontario and entered into a new Non-Utility Generator (“NUG”) Enhanced Dispatch Contract (the “NUG Contract”) effective Jan. 1, 2017. Under the new NUG Contract, we receive fixed monthly payments until Dec. 31, 2018 with no delivery obligations. Under IFRS, for our reported results in 2016, as a result of the NUG Contract, we recognized a receivable of $207 million (discounted), a pre-tax gain of approximately $191 million net of costs to mothball the units, and accelerated depreciation of $46 million. In 2017 and 2018, on a comparable basis, we record the payments we receive as revenues as a proxy for operating income, and continue to depreciate the facility until Dec. 31, 2018; and
(iv)
On commissioning the South Hedland Power Station, we prepaid approximately $74 million of electricity transmission and distribution costs. Interest income is recorded on the prepaid funds. We reclassify this interest income as a reduction in the transmission and distribution costs expensed each period to reflect the net cost to the business.

A reconciliation of net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders to comparable EBITDA results is set out below:
 
 
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
 
 
2018

2017(1)

2018

2017(1)

Net loss attributable to common shareholders
 
(86
)
(27
)
(126
)
(45
)
      Net earnings attributable to non-controlling interests
 
9

(21
)
65

23

      Preferred share dividends
 
 
10

10

30

20

Net earnings (loss)
 
 
(67
)
(38
)
(31
)
(2
)
Adjustments to reconcile net income to comparable EBITDA
 
 
 
 
 
      Depreciation and amortization
 
 
146

158

422

455

      Foreign exchange (gain) loss
 
 
8

8

15

7

      Other (income) loss
 
 
(1
)
1

(1
)
(1
)
      Net interest expense
 
 
73

69

200

190

      Income tax expense (recovery)
 
 
(21
)
(5
)
10

(41
)
Comparable reclassifications
 
 
 
 
 
      Decrease in finance lease receivables
 
15

14

44

44

      Mine depreciation included in fuel cost
 
35

19

103

55

      Australian interest income
 
 
1

1

3

1

Adjustments to earnings to arrive at comparable EBITDA
 
 
 
 
 
      Impacts to revenue associated with certain de-designated and economic hedges



2

      Impacts associated with Mississauga recontracting(2)
22

18

75

57

      Asset impairment charge
38


50

20

Comparable EBITDA
 
 
249

245

890

787

(1) During the fourth quarter of 2017, we revised the way in which comparable EBITDA is reconciled to net earnings. Accordingly, 2017 results have been revised.
(2)  Impacts associated with Mississauga recontracting for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, are as follows: revenue $78 million (2017 - $72 million), fuel and purchased power and de-designated hedges $3 million (2017 - $12 million), and operations, maintenance, and administration nil (2017 - $3 million).

Funds from Operations and Free Cash Flow
FFO is an important metric as it provides a proxy for cash generated from operating activities before changes in working capital, and provides the ability to evaluate cash flow trends in comparison with results from prior periods. FCF is an important metric as it represents the amount of cash that is available to invest in growth initiatives, make scheduled principal repayments on debt, repay maturing debt, pay common share dividends, or repurchase common shares. Changes in working capital are excluded so FFO and FCF are not distorted by changes that we consider temporary in nature, reflecting, among other things, the impact of seasonal factors and timing of receipts and payments. FFO per share and FCF per share are calculated using the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M6


The table below reconciles our cash flow from operating activities to our FFO and FCF:
 
 
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Cash flow from operating activities
 
159

201

688

545

Change in non-cash operating working capital balances
29

(21
)
(25
)
(7
)
Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital
188

180

663

538

Adjustment:
 
 
 
 
 
   Decrease in finance lease receivable
 
15

14

44

44

   Other
 
 
1

2

3

3

FFO
 
204

196

710

585

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
 
   Sustaining capital
(49
)
(40
)
(112
)
(173
)
   Productivity capital
(6
)
(6
)
(12
)
(15
)
   Dividends paid on preferred shares(1)
(10
)
(10
)
(30
)
(30
)
   Distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests
(43
)
(38
)
(126
)
(136
)
   Other
 
(2
)
(1
)
(4
)
(4
)
FCF
 
94

101

426

227

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding in the year
287

288

287

288

FFO per share
 
0.71

0.68

2.47

2.03

FCF per share
0.33

0.35

1.48

0.79

(1) Dividends paid on preferred shares for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 have been adjusted to exclude the July 3, 2018 payment as this was reflected in the second quarter FCF.

The table below bridges our comparable EBITDA to our FFO and FCF:
 
 
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Comparable EBITDA
249

245

890

787

Interest expense
(45
)
(56
)
(147
)
(166
)
Provisions
2

3

7

3

Unrealized gains (losses) from risk management activities
1

(8
)
(5
)
(20
)
Current income tax (expense) recovery
1

(5
)
(18
)
(17
)
Realized foreign exchange gain (loss)
(2
)
5

4

7

Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
(10
)
(5
)
(23
)
(12
)
Other cash and non-cash items
8

17

2

3

FFO
 
204

196

710

585

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
 
   Sustaining capital
(49
)
(40
)
(112
)
(173
)
   Productivity capital
(6
)
(6
)
(12
)
(15
)
   Dividends paid on preferred shares
(10
)
(10
)
(30
)
(30
)
   Distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests
(43
)
(38
)
(126
)
(136
)
   Other
 
(2
)
(1
)
(4
)
(4
)
FCF
 
94

101

426

227

(1) Dividends paid on preferred shares for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 have been adjusted to exclude the July 3, 2018 payment as this was reflected in the second quarter FCF.

FFO for the quarter increased by $8 million over last year mainly due to increased Comparable EBITDA. FFO was down $32 million over the first nine months of 2018 (after adjusting for the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs), mainly due to lower Comparable EBITDA of $54 million and higher mine reclamation costs, partially offset by lower interest expense and lower unrealized mark-to-mark losses.

The decrease in FCF in the third quarter of 2018 compared to the same period in 2017 was mainly due to increased sustaining capital expenditures resulting from higher mine capital expenditures at Canadian Coal. FCF increased for the year-to-date period of 2018 compared to the same period in 2017 due to lower sustaining capital expenditures resulting from lower planned maintenance activities at Canadian Coal and Canadian Gas, the timing of maintenance activities at US Coal, and lower distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests. The increase in FCF in the year-to-date period of 2018 was also positively impacted by the Sundance B and C PPAs termination payment of $157 million received during the first quarter of 2018.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M7


Segmented Comparable Results

Canadian Coal  
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Availability (%)
94.4

78.6

91.9

82.2

Contract production (GWh)
1,897

4,665

6,855

14,065

Merchant production (GWh)
1,519

918

3,693

2,841

Total production (GWh)
3,416

5,583

10,548

16,906

Gross installed capacity (MW)(1)
2,457

3,791

2,457

3,791

Revenues
232

252

680

750

Fuel, carbon costs, and purchased power
123

135

387

379

Comparable gross margin
109

117

293

371

Operations, maintenance, and administration
37

42

127

133

Taxes, other than income taxes
3

3

10

10

Net other operating income
(10
)
(10
)
(188
)
(30
)
Comparable EBITDA
79

82

344

258

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
5

5

12

15

     Mine capital
21

3

32

9

     Finance leases
4

4

11

10

     Planned major maintenance
3

8

4

43

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
33

20

59

77

     Productivity capital
4

2

7

7

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
37

22

66

84

 
 
 
 
 
     Provisions
(1
)
(1
)
(3
)
(2
)
     Unrealized gains (losses) on risk management activities
6

4

3

6

     Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
5

3

14

6

Canadian Coal cash flow
32

54

264

164

(1) On Jan. 1, 2018, 560 MW Sundance Units 1 and 2 were shut down and mothballed, respectively. On April 1, 2018, 774 MW Sundance Units 3 and 5 were mothballed. On July 31, 2018 Sundance Unit 2 was shutdown permanently.

Availability for the third quarter and year-to-date periods improved compared to 2017, mainly due to lower unplanned outages and derates in 2018. Availability in the third quarter of 2017 was impacted by coal supply disruptions at the mine.

Production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased 2,167 GWh and 6,358 GWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2017. Lower production was due to the retirement and mothballing of certain Sundance units and less dispatching, partially offset by lower planned outages and derates.

Revenue for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased by $20 million and $70 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2017, mainly due to lower production offset by higher prices.

In the third quarter and year-to-date periods of 2018, revenue per MWh of production rose to approximately $68 per MWh from $45 per MWh in 2017 and $64 per MWh from $44 per MWh in 2017, respectively, which more than offset the increase in carbon costs and resulted in higher gross margin per MWh in both periods of 2018.

Fuel, carbon compliance costs, and purchased power costs per MWh were higher in 2018 compared to 2017. Coal costs were higher due to higher mining costs. Pit development work underway at the Highvale mine is expected to result in lower cost coal in late 2018 and future years. Carbon compliance costs were higher in 2018, reflecting the regulated increase in the carbon price and due to the fact that carbon compliance costs are no longer recoverable on the Sundance units as the PPAs have been terminated. Both the fuel and carbon pricing cost increases were as expected.

During the third quarter we continued to co-fire with natural gas at the merchant units. Co-firing lowers the carbon compliance costs as the GHG emissions are lower. In addition, fuel costs can be lower by co-firing, depending on the market price for natural gas. We expect this level of co-firing to be sustainable for the balance of 2018 and beyond.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M8


OM&A costs were lower in both the third quarter and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 compared to 2017. There are certain fixed and common costs that are required to maintain the remaining operational Sundance units and during the first nine months of the year, one-time OM&A costs were incurred in association with mothballing of certain Sundance Units. We expect to see the full OM&A cost benefits from the retirement and mothballing of Sundance units reflected through the balance of 2018, as initial mothball implementation costs are non-recurring and we continue to optimize the operations of the facility in response to the merchant market.

Comparable EBITDA for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was higher by $86 million, as a result of the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018, partially offset by higher carbon compliance costs. For the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018, Comparable EBITDA was consistent with the 2017 results.

Sustaining and productivity capital expenditures increased $15 million for the third quarter compared to the same period in 2017, as mine capital increased due to pit development work. Sustaining and productivity capital expenditures decreased $18 million for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 compared to the same period in 2017, mainly due to lower planned outages, mothballing of units, partially offset by pit development work. Establishing pits will provide the lowest cost fuel for the remaining life of the facilities. In 2017, three planned outages were performed throughout the year, while during 2018 there were no planned major outages at TransAlta operated plants. Overall, for 2018, there are four fewer units in the fleet to maintain, which significantly reduced the sustaining capital costs.

US Coal  
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Availability (%)
90.2

95.7

51.8

56.6

Adjusted availability (%)(1)
90.2

95.7

84.5

83.2

Contract sales (GWh)
839

894

2,490

2,714

Merchant sales (GWh)
2,400

2,013

3,239

2,973

Purchased power (GWh)
(954
)
(672
)
(2,642
)
(2,639
)
Total production (GWh)
2,285

2,235

3,087

3,048

Gross installed capacity (MW)
1,340

1,340

1,340

1,340

Revenues
158

147

296

296

Fuel and purchased power
122

109

186

188

Comparable gross margin
36

38

110

108

Operations, maintenance, and administration
17

13

44

37

Taxes, other than income taxes
1

1

3

3

Comparable EBITDA
18

24

63

68

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital


2

2

     Finance leases
1

1

3

3

     Planned major maintenance

1

11

28

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
1

2

16

33

     Productivity capital



3

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
1

2

16

36

 
 
 
 
 
     Unrealized gains (losses) on risk management activities
1

1

(4
)
8

     Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
5

2

9

6

US Coal cash flow
11

19

42

18

(1) Adjusted for economic dispatching.

Availability for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was down compared to 2017 due to higher unplanned outages and derates. Availability for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was down compared to 2017 due to the timing of economic dispatching and unplanned outages and derates in the third quarter of 2018, slightly offset by forced outages on Centralia Unit 1 in January 2017. In 2017 and 2018, both Centralia Units were taken out of service in February as a result of seasonally lower prices in the Pacific Northwest. In 2017, we performed major maintenance on both units during that time.

Production for the third quarter of 2018 compared to 2017 was up 50 GWh due to higher merchant sales. Production was up 39 GWh during the first nine months of 2018 compared to 2017, due mainly to higher merchant sales and the timing of economic dispatching.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M9


Comparable EBITDA was down by $6 million and $5 million during the third quarter and first nine months of 2018 compared to 2017, primarily due to lower production as a result of an unplanned outage, sales for which had to be supplied through open market purchases at higher prices.

Sustaining and productivity capital expenditures for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased $1 million and $20 million respectively, due to planned outages executed during the second quarter of 2017. Productivity capital relates to project Greenlight, our Corporate transformation project, which is intended to provide long-term cost savings. See the Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation section of this MD&A for further details.

US Coal's cash flows declined by $8 million for the third quarter of 2018, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to higher cash settlements of mine decommissioning and restoration costs and lower Comparable EBITDA. Cash flows improved by $24 million for the year-to-date 2018 period, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to lower sustaining and productivity capital spend, partially offset by the unfavourable impact of mark-to-market positions.

Canadian Gas
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Availability (%)
95.1

87.3

92.8

90.2

Contract production (GWh)
431

357

1,172

1,128

Merchant production (GWh)
61

98

132

148

Total production (GWh)
492

455

1,304

1,276

Gross installed capacity (MW)
953

953

953

953

Revenues
95

94

296

331

Fuel and purchased power
25

28

73

90

Comparable gross margin
70

66

223

241

Operations, maintenance, and administration
11

10

36

39

Taxes, other than income taxes


1

1

Net other operating income




Comparable EBITDA
59

56

186

201

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital


2

4

     Planned major maintenance
2

3

9

22

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
2

3

11

26

     Productivity capital
1


2


     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
3

3

13

26

 
 
 
 
 
     Provisions


(2
)
2

     Unrealized gains (losses) on risk management activities
1

2

6

8

Canadian Gas cash flow
55

51

169

165


Availability for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased compared to the same period in 2017, primarily due to lower unplanned outages at Sarnia. Availability for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased compared to the same period in 2017, mainly due to the 2017 base cycling conversion project at Windsor and lower planned and unplanned outages at Sarnia and Windsor this year.

Production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased 37 GWh and 28 GWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2017, mainly due to higher production at the Fort Saskatchewan, Ottawa, and Windsor facilities.

Comparable EBITDA for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by $3 million compared to the same period in 2017, mainly due to the positive impact from the Mississauga recontracting. For the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 comparable EBITDA decreased by $15 million compared to the same period in 2017, mainly due to the retroactive contract indexation dispute settlement received in 2017 ($34 million) offset by the positive impact from the Mississauga recontracting and cost reduction initiatives. The Mississauga, Ottawa, Windsor, and our 60 per cent share of Fort Saskatchewan, generating facilities are owned through our 50.01 per cent interest in TransAlta Cogeneration L.P. The Mississauga recontracting ends in December 2018 and is not expected to be renewed.

Sustaining and productivity capital for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased $13 million. In the second quarter of 2018 we completed a planned major maintenance at Sarnia. In 2017, we completed the base cycling conversion project at Windsor to increase its flexibility to respond to market prices and the scheduled maintenance at Sarnia.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M10



Cash flow at Canadian Gas improved by $4 million in the third quarter of 2018 compared to 2017, due to higher Comparable EBITDA. Cash flow improved by $4 million in the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 compared to the prior year due to cost reduction initiatives and lower sustaining capital spend in 2018. In 2017, one-time sustaining capital expenditures were incurred for the Windsor base cycling conversion project.

Australian Gas
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Availability (%)
98.0

96.2

94.6

93.6

Contract production (GWh)
444

476

1,357

1,346

Gross installed capacity (MW)
450

575

450

575

Revenues
41

56

123

138

Fuel and purchased power
1

2

3

8

Comparable gross margin
40

54

120

130

Operations, maintenance, and administration
10

9

28

22

Comparable EBITDA
30

45

92

108

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital

5


7

     Planned major maintenance



1

     Total sustaining capital expenditures

5


8

 
 
 
 
 
Australian Gas cash flow
30

40

92

100


Production for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased by 32 GWh and increased by 11 GWh, respectively, due largely to the availability of the South Hedland Power Station, partially offset by FMG's repurchase of the Solomon Power Station. Our contracts in Australia are capacity contracts, and our results are not directly impacted by generation.

Comparable EBITDA for both the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was lower than the same periods in 2017. Higher Comparable EBITDA from the South Hedland Power Station was more than offset by FMG's repurchase of the Solomon Power Station and higher OM&A costs due to the addition of the South Hedland Power Station and ongoing legal costs.

Sustaining capital for both the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 was lower than the same periods in 2017 due to major maintenance incurred at our Southern Cross facility in August 2017. 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M11


Wind and Solar
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Availability (%)
93.9

94.6

94.9

95.9

Contract production (GWh)
388

334

1,666

1,598

Merchant production (GWh)
137

163

639

730

Total production (GWh)
525

497

2,305

2,328

Gross installed capacity (MW)
1,363

1,363

1,363

1,363

Revenues
55

42

192

188

Fuel and purchased power
3

2

13

10

Comparable gross margin
52

40

179

178

Operations, maintenance, and administration
14

12

38

36

Taxes, other than income taxes
2

2

6

6

Net other operating income
(6
)

(6
)

Comparable EBITDA
42

26

141

136

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
3

1

3

1

     Planned major maintenance
1

3

5

8

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
4

4

8

9

     Productivity capital

1


1

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
4

5

8

10

 
 
 
 
 
     Provisions

(2
)

(2
)
     Unrealized gains (losses) on risk management activities
8

1

(10
)

Wind and Solar cash flow
30

22

143

128


Production for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by 28 GWh compared to the same period in 2017, mainly due to higher wind resources in Eastern Canada and the United States, partially offset by lower wind resources in Alberta. Production for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased by 23 GWh compared to the same periods in 2017, mainly due to lower wind resources across the Canadian fleet combined with the sale of the Wintering Hills merchant facility on March 1, 2017. This lower production was partially offset by higher wind resources in Eastern Canada and the United States.

Comparable EBITDA for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by $16 million compared to the same period in 2017, primarily due to the favourable impact of the US non-cash mark-to-market gains, insurance proceeds related to a tower fire at the Wyoming Wind Farm in 2017, and higher merchant prices in Alberta. Comparable EBITDA for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by $5 million compared to the same period in 2017, as higher merchant prices in Alberta and insurance proceeds from Wyoming Wind Farm in 2017 were partially offset by the unfavourable impact of the US non-cash mark-to-market losses relating to the fair value of the Big Level PPA contract.

Wind and Solar's cash flows improved by $8 million for the third quarter of 2018, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to higher Comparable EBITDA, which was partially offset by the favourable impact of the US non-cash mark-to-market gains. Cash flows improved by $15 million for the year-to-date 2018 period, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to higher Comparable EBITDA and the addback of the US non-cash mark-to-market losses relating to the fair value of the Big Level PPA contract.














TRANSALTA CORPORATION M12


Hydro
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Contract production (GWh)
559

482

1,459

1,544

Merchant production (GWh)
41

39

73

78

Total production (GWh)
600

521

1,532

1,622

Gross installed capacity (MW)
926

926

926

926

Revenues
37

31

127

95

Fuel and purchased power
2

2

5

5

Comparable gross margin
35

29

122

90

Operations, maintenance, and administration
8

10

27

27

Taxes, other than income taxes
1


3

2

Comparable EBITDA
26

19

92

61

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
1

3

2

6

     Planned major maintenance
3

1

5

3

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
4

4

7

9

     Productivity capital

1


1

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
4

5

7

10

 
 
 
 
 
     Unrealized gains (losses) on risk management activities

1



Hydro cash flow
22

13

85

51


Production for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by 79 GWh compared to the same period in 2017, primarily due to higher water resources. Production for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 decreased by 90 GWh compared to the same periods in 2017, primarily due to lower water resources.

Comparable EBITDA for the three months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by $7 million compared to the same period in 2017, primarily due to higher production and revenue from Ancillary Services at higher market prices. Comparable EBITDA for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by $31 million compared to the same period in 2017, primarily due to higher revenue from Ancillary Services at higher market prices, which more than offset the lower generation.

Hydro's cash flows improved by $9 million for the third quarter of 2018, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to higher Comparable EBITDA. Cash flows improved by $34 million for the year-to-date 2018 period, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to higher Comparable EBITDA and lower sustaining and productivity capital expenditures.

Energy Marketing
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Revenues and gross margin
18

17

48

36

Operations, maintenance, and administration
4

5

17

16

Comparable EBITDA
14

12

31

20

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
     Provisions
(1
)
(1
)
(2
)
(2
)
     Unrealized gains (losses) on risk management activities
(17
)
(1
)
10

(2
)
Energy Marketing cash flow
32

14

23

24


For the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, comparable EBITDA was higher compared to the same periods in 2017 due to strong results from Western markets. Year to date 2018 results were also positively impacted by a return to normal levels during the first quarter of 2018 and negatively impacted by less favourable market dynamics in the second quarter.

Energy Marketing's cash flows improved by $18 million for the third quarter of 2018, compared to the same period in 2017, due mainly to higher Comparable EBITDA and the addback of the non-cash mark-to-market losses. Cash flows for the year-to-date 2018 period were flat, compared to the same period in 2017, as higher Comparable EBITDA in 2018 was offset by higher non-cash mark-to-market gains.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M13


Corporate
Our Corporate overhead costs of $19 million for the third quarter of 2018 were comparable to the same period in 2017. For the first nine months of 2018, Corporate overhead costs of $59 million were $6 million lower compared to the same period in 2017 due to lower incentive payments and cost reduction initiatives.

Key Financial Ratios
The methodologies and ratios used by rating agencies to assess our credit ratings are not publicly disclosed. We have developed our own definitions of ratios and targets to help evaluate the strength of our financial position. These metrics and ratios are not defined under IFRS, and may not be comparable to those used by other entities or by rating agencies. We are focused on strengthening our financial position and flexibility and aim to meet all our target ranges by 2018.

FFO Before Interest to Adjusted Interest Coverage
As at
 
Sept. 30, 2018

Dec. 31, 2017

FFO(1)
 
929

804

Less: Early termination payment received on Sundance B and C PPAs
 
(157
)

Add: Interest on debt and finance leases, net of interest income and capitalized interest
 
187

205

FFO before interest
 
959

1,009

Interest on debt and finance leases, net of interest income
 
187

214

Add: 50 per cent of dividends paid on preferred shares
 
20

20

Adjusted interest
 
207

234

FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage (times)
 
4.6

4.3

(1) Last 12 months. Our target range for FFO in 2018 is $750 million to $800 million. See the 2018 Financial Outlook for further details.

While both periods are within our target range, the ratio improved at Sept. 30, 2018 compared to 2017, mainly due to lower adjusted interest. Our target for FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage is four to five times, and we expect this metric to improve as we continue to execute on our deleveraging plan.

Adjusted Funds from Operations to Adjusted Net Debt
As at
 
Sept. 30, 2018

Dec. 31, 2017

FFO(1,2)
 
929

804

Less: Early termination payment received on Sundance B and C PPAs
 
(157
)

Less: 50 per cent of dividends paid on preferred shares
 
(20
)
(20
)
Adjusted FFO
 
752

784

Period-end long-term debt(3)
 
3,183

3,707

Less: Cash, cash equivalents and principal portion of TransAlta OCP restricted cash
 
(122
)
(314
)
Add: 50 per cent of issued preferred shares
 
471

471

Fair value asset of hedging instruments on debt(4)
 
(4
)
(30
)
Adjusted net debt
 
3,528

3,834

Adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt (%)
 
21.3

20.4

(1) Last 12 months.
(2) Our target range for FFO in 2018 is $750 million to $800 million. See the 2018 Financial Outlook for further details.
(3) Includes finance lease obligations and tax equity financing.
(4) Included in risk management assets and/or liabilities on the condensed consolidated financial statements as at Sept. 30, 2018 and Dec. 31, 2017.

Our adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt improved compared to 2017, mainly due to lower adjusted net debt at Sept. 30, 2018. We expect this metric to improve towards our targeted level of 20 to 25 per cent as we continue to execute on our deleveraging plan.











TRANSALTA CORPORATION M14


Adjusted Net Debt to Comparable EBITDA
As at
 
Sept. 30, 2018

Dec. 31, 2017

Period-end long-term debt(1)
 
3,183

3,707

Less: Cash, cash equivalents and principal portion of TransAlta OCP restricted cash
 
(122
)
(314
)
Add: 50 per cent of issued preferred shares
 
471

471

Fair value asset of hedging instruments on debt(2)
 
(4
)
(30
)
Adjusted net debt
 
3,528

3,834

Comparable EBITDA(3)
 
1,165

1,062

Less: Early termination payment received on Sundance B and C PPAs
 
(157
)

Adjusted comparable EBITDA
 
1,008

1,062

Adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA (times)
 
3.5

3.6

(1) Includes finance lease obligations and tax equity financing.
(2) Included in risk management assets and/or liabilities on the condensed consolidated financial statements as at Sept. 30, 2018 and Dec. 31, 2017.
(3) Last 12 months.

Our adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA ratio improved compared with 2017, mainly due to the significant reduction in our net debt during the period. Our target for adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA is 3.0 to 3.5 times.

Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation

Acquisition of Two US Wind Projects
On Feb. 20, 2018, TransAlta Renewables announced that it had entered into an arrangement to acquire two wind construction-ready projects in the United States. Construction of the projects has started. The wind development projects consist of: (i) a 90 Megawatt ("MW") project located in Pennsylvania which has a 15-year PPA with Microsoft Corp. ("Big Level") and (ii) a 29 MW project located in New Hampshire with two 20-year PPAs ("Antrim") (collectively, the "US Wind Projects"), with counterparties that have Standard & Poor's credit ratings of A+ or better. The acquisition of Antrim remains subject to certain closing conditions, including the receipt of a favourable regulatory ruling. The Corporation expects the acquisition to close in early 2019. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.

Kent Hills Wind Project
During 2017, TransAlta Renewables entered into a 17-year power purchase agreement with the New Brunswick Power Corporation (“NB Power”) for the sale of all power generated by an additional 17.25 MW of capacity from the Kent Hills wind project. On Oct. 19, 2018, TransAlta Renewables announced that the expansion is fully operational, bringing total generating capacity of the Kent Hills wind facility to167 MW.

Brazeau Hydro Pumped Storage
The Brazeau Hydro Pumped Storage project will generate and support clean electricity in the Province of Alberta. It will store water that can be used to both generate power when it is needed and store excess power supply when demand is low. The Brazeau Hydro Pumped Storage project is a focus for us, as it has existing infrastructure that reduces the cost and environmental footprint of the project, is situated close to existing transmission infrastructure, and allows for increased renewables development by balancing intermittent generation from wind and solar.

We are currently working to secure a path that will advance our investment in the project and secure a long-term contract for the project. The Brazeau Hydro Pumped Storage project is expected to have new capacity up to 900 MW, bringing the total Brazeau facility from 755 to 1,255 MW, post-completion. We estimate an investment in the range of $1.5 billion to $2.7 billion. During the first nine months of 2018, we invested approximately $2 million to advance the environmental study, work with stakeholders and execute geotechnical work to help further our design and construction phase. Further advancement of the project is dependent on securing a long-term contract.

In May 2018, the AESO released a report stating that dispatchable renewable resources are not needed in the Alberta market before 2030.  The value and benefit of the Brazeau Hydro Pumped Storage project would be well beyond the 2030 period. The Corporation still believes that generation from pumped storage should be part of future calls for power under the Alberta Renewables program.  The Corporation is not spending additional development dollars on the project at this time but will continue to work with governments to find the appropriate financial mechanisms for bringing low cost, green, dispatchable renewables into the market to support low prices and emissions for Alberta customers.  

Project Greenlight
Our transformation project is a top priority for us. Driven by engagement from all employees, the intent is to deliver ambitious improvements in every part of the Corporation. Initiatives include increasing revenue, improving generation, reducing operating and maintenance costs, reducing overhead costs and financing costs, and optimizing our capital spend. We expect Project Greenlight to deliver sustainable pre-tax savings of approximately $50 million to $70 million annually in 2018. We are on track to achieve our

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M15


expected annual savings targets. Year-to-date, we have invested approximately $10 million in this program, with these the costs largely offset by cost reductions and productivity gains. We expect to invest a further $2 million on this program for the remainder of 2018 and also expect to spend $20 million to $25 million related to productivity capital in 2018.

The following table outlines our generation comparable OM&A, including greenlight costs:
 
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Generation comparable OM&A
 
97

96

300

294

Greenlight transformation costs included in OM&A
 
 
 
 
 
  Canadian Coal
 

(4
)
(5
)
(7
)
  US Coal
 

(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
  Gas and Renewables
 

(3
)
(4
)
(3
)
  Australia
 

(1
)

(1
)
Adjusted Generation comparable OM&A
 
97

87

290

282


Significant and Subsequent Events

A. TransAlta Renewables Expansion of the Kent Hills Wind Facility
On Oct. 19, 2018 TransAlta Renewables announced that the 17.25MW expansion of the wind facility at Kent Hills, New Brunswick, is now fully operational, bringing total generating capacity at the site to 167MW. In 2017, TransAlta Renewables entered into a 17-year power purchase agreement with NB Power for the sale of all power generated by an additional 17.25 MW of capacity from the Kent Hills wind project.

B. TransAlta Renewables Acquires Three Renewable Assets from the Corporation
On May 31, 2018, TransAlta Renewables acquired from the Corporation an economic interest in the 50 MW Lakeswind wind farm in Minnesota and 21 MW Mass Solar projects through the subscription of tracking preferred shares of a subsidiary of the Corporation. In addition, TransAlta Renewables acquired from the Corporation an ownership of the 20 MW Kent Breeze wind farm located in Ontario. The total purchase price for the three assets was approximately $166 million, including the assumption of $62 million of tax equity obligations and project debt, for net cash consideration of $104 million. We continue to operate these assets on behalf of TransAlta Renewables.

On June 28, 2018, TransAlta Renewables subscribed for an additional $33 million of tracking preferred shares of a subsidiary of the Corporation related to Mass Solar, in order to fund the repayment of Mass Solar's project debt.

C. TransAlta Renewables Closes $150 million Offering of Common Shares
On June 22, 2018, TransAlta Renewables closed a bought deal offering of 11,860,000 common shares through a syndicate of underwriters (the "Offering"). The common shares were issued at a price of $12.65 per common share for gross proceeds of approximately $150 million ($144 million of net proceeds).

The net proceeds were used to partially repay drawn amounts under TransAlta Renewables' credit facility, which were drawn in order to fund recent acquisitions. The additional liquidity under the credit facility is expected to be used for general corporate purposes, including ongoing construction costs associated with the US wind development acquisitions, described in (J) below.

TransAlta did not purchase any additional common shares under the Offering and, following the closing, owns 161 million common shares, representing approximately 61 per cent of the outstanding common shares of TransAlta Renewables.

D. $345 Million Financing
The Corporation monetized the payments under the OCA on July 20, 2018, upon the closing of an approximate $345 million bond offering its indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, TransAlta OCP by way of private placement which is secured by, among other things, a first ranking charge over the OCA payments payable by the Government of Alberta. The amortizing bonds bear interest from their date of issuance at a rate of 4.509 per cent per annum, payable semi-annually and maturing on Aug. 5, 2030. The bonds have a rating of BBB, with a Stable trend, by DBRS. Under the terms of the OCA, the Corporation receives annual cash payments on or before July 31 of approximately $40 million (approximately $37 million, net to the Corporation), commencing Jan. 1, 2017, and terminating at the end of 2030. The net proceeds were used to partially repay the 6.40 per cent debentures, as described below.

E. Early Redemption of $400 Million of Debentures
On Aug. 2, 2018, the Corporation early redeemed all of its outstanding 6.40 per cent debentures, due Nov. 18, 2019, for the principal amount of $400 million . The redemption price was approximately $425 million in aggregate, including a prepayment premium and accrued and unpaid interest.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M16


F. Sundance Unit 2 Retirement
On July 19, 2018, the Corporation's Board approved the retirement of Sundance Unit 2 effective July 31, 2018. The decision was driven largely by Sundance Unit 2's age, size, and short useful life relative to other units, and the capital requirements needed to return the unit to service. The retirement is consistent with our transition strategy to clean power by 2025. We recorded an impairment charge of $38 million ($28 million after-tax) in the third quarter of 2018.

G. TSX Acceptance of Normal Course Issuer Bid
On March 9, 2018 we announced that the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") accepted the notice filed by the Corporation to implement a normal course issuer bid ("NCIB") for a portion of its common shares ("Common Shares"). Pursuant to the NCIB, we may repurchase up to a maximum of 14,000,000 Common Shares, representing approximately 4.86 per cent of issued and outstanding Common Shares as at March 2, 2018. Purchases under the NCIB may be made through open market transactions on the TSX and any alternative Canadian trading platforms on which the Common Shares are traded, based on the prevailing market price. Any Common Shares purchased under the NCIB will be cancelled.

The period during which TransAlta is authorized to make purchases under the NCIB commenced on March 14, 2018 and ends on March 13, 2019 or such earlier date on which the maximum number of Common Shares are purchased under the NCIB or the NCIB is terminated at the Corporation's election.  

Under TSX rules, not more than 102,039 Common Shares (being 25 per cent of the average daily trading volume on the TSX of 408,156 Common Shares for the six months ended February 28, 2018) can be purchased on the TSX on any single trading day under the NCIB, with the exception that one block purchase in excess of the daily maximum is permitted per calendar week.

During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, the Corporation purchased and cancelled 1,907,200 Common Shares at an average price of $7.34 per Common Share, for a total cost of $14 million. See Note 13 of the condensed consolidated financial statements for further details.

Further transactions under the NCIB will depend on market conditions. The Corporation retains discretion whether to make purchases under the NCIB, and to determine the timing, amount and acceptable price of any such purchases, subject at all times to applicable TSX and other regulatory requirements. 

H. Early Redemption of Senior Notes
On March 15, 2018, the Corporation early redeemed all of its outstanding 6.650 per cent US Senior Notes due May 15, 2018. The redemption price for the Notes was approximately $617 million (US$516 million), including $14 million of accrued interest. An early redemption premium was recognized in net interest expense for the three months ended March 31, 2018.

I. Balancing Pool Terminates the Alberta Sundance Power Purchase Arrangements
On Sept. 18, 2017, we received formal notice from the Balancing Pool of the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs effective March 31, 2018.  This announcement was expected and we took steps to re-take dispatch control for the units effective March 31, 2018. 

Pursuant to a written agreement, the Balancing Pool paid us approximately $157 million on March 29, 2018. We are disputing the termination payment received. The Balancing Pool excluded certain mining assets that we believe should be included in the net book value calculation for an additional termination payment of $56 million. The dispute is currently proceeding through the PPA arbitration process.

J. Acquisition of Two US Wind Projects
On Feb. 20, 2018, TransAlta Renewables announced it had entered into an arrangement to acquire two construction-ready projects in the Northeastern United States. The wind development projects consist of: (i) a 90 MW Big Level project that has a 15-year PPA with Microsoft Corp., and (ii) a 29 MW Antrim project with two 20-year PPAs, with counterparties that have Standard & Poor's credit ratings of A+ or better.  The commercial operation date for both projects is expected during the second half of 2019.  A subsidiary of TransAlta acquired the 90 MW project on Feb. 20, 2018, whereas the acquisition of Antrim remains subject to certain closing conditions, including the receipt of a favourable regulatory ruling. The Corporation expects the acquisition to close in early 2019.
On April 20, 2018, TransAlta Renewables completed the acquisition of an initial economic interest in the US wind projects from a subsidiary of TransAlta (“TA Power”). Pursuant to the arrangement, a TransAlta subsidiary will own the US wind projects directly and TA Power will issue to TransAlta Renewables tracking preferred shares that pay quarterly dividends based on the pre-tax net earnings of the US wind projects. The construction and acquisition costs of the two US wind projects are to be funded by TransAlta Renewables and are estimated to be US$240 million. TransAlta Renewables will fund these costs either by acquiring additional preferred shares issued by TA Power or by subscribing for interest bearing notes issued by the subsidiary. The proceeds from the issuance of such preferred shares or notes shall be used exclusively in connection with the acquisition and construction of the US wind projects.  TransAlta Renewables expects to fund these acquisition and construction costs using its existing liquidity and tax equity. 
During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, TransAlta Renewables funded approximately $61 million (US$48 million) of construction costs.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M17


Regulatory Updates
Refer to the Regional Regulation and Compliance discussion in our 2017 annual MD&A for further details that supplement the recent developments as discussed below:

Canadian Federal Government
On Feb. 17, 2018, the Department of Environment and Climate Change Canada published the draft regulations for gas-fired electricity generation, which include specific rules for coal-to-gas converted units.  Under the proposed regulations, TransAlta’s units are expected to receive an additional 75 years of operating life as a result of being able to convert to gas-fired generation.  Consultation on the draft regulations concluded in mid-2018 with finalized regulations expected by the end of 2018.  

The federal government remains committed to achieving nation-wide carbon pricing as of Jan. 1, 2019.  The enabling legislation through the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act came into force on June 21, 2018.  Provinces and territories were required to submit carbon pricing plans by Sept. 1, 2018 for equivalency analysis against the federal benchmark ($20/tCO2e in 2019, escalating by $10/ year to $50/tCO2e by 2022).  On Oct. 23, 2018, the federal government announced the results of their equivalency review and have confirmed that Ontario will fall under the federal system as of Jan. 1, 2019. System design will include a carbon tax for small emitters and an Output Based Pricing System (“OBPS”) for emission intensive trade exposed (“EITE”) industrial emitters.  Final sector standards have not yet been announced, but electricity generation is planned to fall within the OBPS program. 

Alberta
On Jan. 1, 2018, the Alberta government transitioned from Specified Gas Emitters Regulation (“SGER”) to the Carbon Competitiveness Incentive Regulation (“CCIR”). Under the CCIR, regulatory compliance moved from a facility-specific compliance standard to a product/sectoral performance compliance standard. The carbon price remains set at $30/tCO2e from 2018 to 2020. On Aug. 30, 2018
Alberta announced plans to withdraw from the Pan-Canadian Framework agreement, removing the commitment to further pricing increases of $40/tCO2e in 2021 and $50/tCO2e in 2022. The electricity sector performance standard was set at 0.37tCO2e/MWh declining at 1% per year from 2020 forward with a program review in 2022. Renewable assets that received crediting under the SGER are expected to continue to receive credits under CCIR on a one-to-one basis. Renewable assets that did not receive credits under SGER will now be able to opt into the CCIR and get carbon crediting up to the electricity sector performance standard. Once the wind projects crediting standard under SGER ends, these renewable projects will also be able to opt into the CCIR and receive crediting.

Ontario
On June 7, 2018, the Progressive Conservative Party was elected as the new provincial government.  On July 3, 2018, the government revoked Ontario's cap-and-trade program and other green initiatives that were funded by carbon-pricing.  As of Oct. 1, natural gas utilities are no longer allowed to include carbon costs in natural gas rates.  Impacts of these changes to TransAlta were minimal given that contract provisions with customers provide for carbon costs flow through.   Due to the cancellation of the Ontario cap-and-trade program, emitters in the province will be required to comply with the federal carbon tax program as of Jan. 1, 2019.  There is expected to be limited impact to TransAlta due to TransAlta's customer contract structures in Ontario.
  
On July 13, 2018, the Ontario government announced the cancellation of 758 pre-notice to proceed renewable energy contracts.  This decision fulfilled a campaign pledge made by the PC party to withdraw from contracts in the pre-construction phase as they could be cancelled with minimal cost impacts. One post-notice to proceed contract was cancelled for the White Pines Wind Farm.  This cancellation was viewed as an anomaly as notice to proceed was issued during the writ period. Further contract cancellations are not expected at this time.  TransAlta was not impacted by this decision. 



TRANSALTA CORPORATION M18


Capital Structure and Liquidity

Our capital structure consists of the following components as shown below:
 
 
Sept. 30, 2018
Dec. 31, 2017
As at
 $

 %

 $

 %

TransAlta Corporation
 
 
 
 
   Recourse debt - CAD debentures
 
647

9

1,046

14

   Recourse debt - US senior notes
 
902

12

1,499

19

   Credit facilities
 
132

2



   US tax equity financing
 
27


31


   Other
 
12


13


Less: Cash, cash equivalents and principal portion of OCP restricted cash
(98
)
(1
)
(294
)
(4
)
Less: fair value asset of economic hedging
  instruments on debt
 
(4
)

(30
)

   Net recourse debt
1,618

22

2,265

29

   Non-recourse debt
489

7

208

3

   Finance lease obligations
59

1

69

1

Total net debt - TransAlta Corporation
2,166

30

2,542

33

TransAlta Renewables
 
 
 
 
   Credit facility
 
126

2

27


Less: cash and cash equivalents
(24
)

(20
)

   Net recourse debt
102

2

7


   Non-recourse debt
789

11

814

11

Total net debt - TransAlta Renewables
891

13

821

11

Total consolidated net debt
3,057

43

3,363

44

Non-controlling interests
1,119

15

1,059

14

Equity attributable to shareholders
 
 
 
 
   Common shares
3,074

42

3,094

40

   Preferred shares
942

12

942

12

   Contributed surplus, deficit, and
      accumulated other comprehensive income
 
(851
)
(12
)
(710
)
(9
)
Total capital
7,341

100

7,748

100


During the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, we have reduced our senior corporate debt by approximately $1.0 billion and enhanced shareholder value by:
early redeeming our outstanding 6.650 per cent US$500 million Senior Notes due May 15, 2018, for approximately $617 million (US$516 million) using proceeds from the Sundance B and C PPAs termination payment and existing liquidity.
early redeeming our outstanding 6.40 per cent $400 million debenture due November 2019, for approximately $425 million. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
purchased and cancelled 1,907,200 Common Shares at an average price of $7.34 under our NCIB program, for a total cost of $14 million. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.

On June 27, 2018, the Corporation paid out US$25 million non-recourse debt related to its Mass Solar projects.
On July 20, 2018, we monetized the payments under the OCA upon closing of a $345 million bond offering through our indirect wholly-owned subsidiary, TransAlta OCP by way of private placement. The amortizing bonds bear interest from their date of issuance at a rate of 4.509 per cent per annum, payable semi-annually and maturing on Aug. 5, 2030. The net proceeds of the bond offering were used to pay for the Aug. 2, 2018 early redemption of the Corporation's outstanding 6.40 per cent debentures, which were due Nov. 18, 2019, for the principal amount of $400 million. The redemption price was $425 million in aggregate, including a prepayment premium and accrued and unpaid interest.

Overall, our total consolidated net debt was reduced by approximately $300 million during the first nine months of 2018.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M19


During the period through Dec. 31, 2021, we have approximately $719 million of debt maturing. We expect to continue our de-leveraging strategy by allocating a portion of our free cash flow over the next three years to debt reduction.

Our credit facilities provide us with significant liquidity. We have a total of $2.0 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $2.0 billion) of committed credit facilities, comprised of our $1.3 billion committed syndicated bank credit facility, TransAlta Renewables’ committed syndicated bank credit facility of $0.5 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $0.5 billion) and our $0.2 billion committed bilateral facilities. During the second quarter of 2018, the Corporation's US$200 million committed facility was cancelled and the Corporation's committed syndicated bank credit facility was increased by $250 million. These facilities were renewed during the second quarter and expire in 2022, 2022, and 2020 respectively. The $1.8 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $1.5 billion) committed syndicated bank facilities are the primary source for short-term liquidity after the cash flow generated from the Corporation's business.

In total, $1.1 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $1.4 billion) is not drawn. At Sept. 30, 2018, the $0.9 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $0.6 billion) of credit utilized under these facilities was comprised of actual drawings of $0.3 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $27 million) and letters of credit of $0.6 billion (Dec. 31, 2017 - $0.6 billion). The Corporation is in compliance with the terms of the credit facilities and all undrawn amounts are fully available. In addition to the $1.1 billion available under the credit facilities, the Corporation also has $0.1 billion of available cash and cash equivalents.

The Corporation's subsidiaries have issued non-recourse bonds of $1,277 million (Dec. 31, 2017 - $1,021 million) that are subject to customary financing conditions and covenants that may restrict our ability to access funds generated by the facilities’ operations. Upon meeting certain distribution tests, typically performed once per quarter, the funds are able to be distributed by the subsidiary entities to their respective parent entity. These conditions include meeting a debt service coverage ratio prior to distribution, which was met by these entities in the third quarter. However, funds in these entities that have accumulated since the third quarter test will remain there until the next debt service coverage ratio can be calculated in the fourth quarter of 2018. At Sept. 30, 2018, $40 million (Dec. 31, 2017 -$35 million) of cash was subject to these financial restrictions.

Additionally, certain non-recourse bonds require that certain reserve accounts be established and funded through cash held on deposit and/or by providing letters of credit. We have elected to use letters of credit as at Sept. 30, 2018. In addition, we have $31 million (Dec. 31, 2017 - $30 million) of restricted cash related to the Kent Hills project financing that is being held in a construction reserve account, which will be released upon certain conditions, including commissioning, being met. We also have $35 million (Dec. 31, 2017 - nil) of restricted cash related to the TransAlta OCP bonds, which is required to be held in a debt service reserve account to fund the next scheduled debt repayment in February 2019.

The strengthening of the US dollar has increased our long-term debt balances by $33 million in 2018. Almost all our US-denominated debt is hedged either through financial contracts or net investments in our US operations. During the period, these changes in our US-denominated debt were offset as follows:
 
Sept. 30, 2018

Effects of foreign exchange on carrying amounts of US operations
(net investment hedge)
18

Foreign currency economic cash flow hedges on debt
5

Economic hedges on US operations
9

Unhedged
1

Total
33


Share Capital
The following tables outline the common and preferred shares issued and outstanding:
As at
Oct. 30, 2018

Sept. 30, 2018

Dec. 31, 2017

 
Number of shares (millions)
Common shares issued and outstanding, end of period
286.0

286.0

287.9

Preferred shares
 

 

 

Series A
10.2

10.2

10.2

Series B
1.8

1.8

1.8

Series C
11.0

11.0

11.0

Series E
9.0

9.0

9.0

Series G
6.6

6.6

6.6

Preferred shares issued and outstanding, end of period
38.6

38.6

38.6








M20 TRANSALTA CORPORATION


Non-Controlling Interests
As of Sept. 30, 2018, we own 61.0 per cent (Dec. 31, 2017 – 64.0 per cent) of TransAlta Renewables. We remain committed to maintaining our position as the majority shareholder and sponsor of TransAlta Renewables with a stated goal of maintaining our interest between 60 to 80 per cent. On May 31, 2018, TransAlta Renewables adopted a Dividend Reinvestment Plan ("DRIP"), with the first issuance of shares being made on July 31, 2018. The participation of shareholders in TransAlta Renewables' DRIP has not had a material dilutive impact on our ownership.
 
We also own 50.01 per cent of TransAlta Cogeneration L.P (“TA Cogen”), which owns, operates, or has an interest in four natural-gas-fired facilities (Mississauga, Ottawa, Windsor, and Fort Saskatchewan) and one coal-fired generating facility.

Reported earnings attributable to non-controlling interests for the year-to-date and third quarter 2018 periods increased to $65 million and $9 million, respectively, from $23 million and a loss of $21 million, respectively, in the same periods of 2017. Earnings in both periods were up at TransAlta Renewables in 2018 due to higher finance income from its investment in the Australian business, lower foreign exchange losses in the third quarter of 2018, and lower interest expense in the year-to-date 2018 period, partially offset by a prior period impairment of an investment. Earnings from TA Cogen LP were consistent quarter to quarter, but were lower in the year-to-date 2018 period mainly due to the settlement in 2017 of the contract indexation dispute with the OEFC relating to the Ottawa and Windsor facilities.

Returns to Providers of Capital
Net Interest Expense
The components of net interest expense are shown below:
 
3 months ended Sept. 30
 
9 months ended Sept. 30
 
 
2018

2017

2018

2017

Interest on debt
44

53

142

164

Interest income
(2
)
(1
)
(8
)
(4
)
Capitalized interest
(1
)
(2
)
(1
)
(10
)
Loss on early redemption of US Senior Notes and Debentures
19

6

24

6

Interest on finance lease obligations

1

2

3

Credit facility and bank charges
4

6

10

15

Other interest
3


13


Accretion of provisions
6

6

18

16

Net interest expense
73

69

200

190


Although interest on debt was down due to lower debt levels, net interest expense was higher period-over-period due to the $19 million prepayment premium relating to the early redemption of the $400 million debenture in the third quarter, the $5 million pre-payment premium relating to the early redemption of the US$500 million Senior Notes during the first quarter, $5 million of costs expensed in the second quarter in connection to a project level financing that is no longer practicable, and lower capitalized interest.
 
Dividends to Shareholders
 

The following are the common and preferred shares dividends declared up to Oct. 30, 2018:
 
 
 
 
Common

Preferred Series dividends per share
 
Payable date
dividends

 

 

 

 

 

Declaration date
Common Shares
Preferred Shares
per share

A

B

C

E

G

Feb. 2, 2018
April 1, 2018
March 31, 2018
0.04

0.16931

0.17889

0.25169

0.32463

0.33125

April 19, 2018
July 3, 2018
July 3, 2018
0.04

0.16931

0.19951

0.25169

0.32463

0.33125

July 19, 2018
Oct. 1, 2018
Sept. 30, 2018
0.04

0.16931

0.20984

0.25169

0.32463

0.33125

Oct. 10, 2018
Jan. 1, 2019
Dec. 31, 2018
0.04

0.16931

0.22301

0.25169

0.32463

0.33125



TRANSALTA CORPORATION M21


Financial Position
 
The following table outlines significant changes in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position from Sept. 30, 2018, to Dec. 31, 2017:
 
 
Increase/

 
 
Assets
(decrease)

 
Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents
(219
)
 
Timing of receipts and payments
Trade and other receivables
(283
)
 
Timing of customer receipts and seasonality of revenue
Prepaid expenses
22

 
US Wind development project costs ($11 million), and annual property tax and insurance payments ($11 million)
Inventory
45

 
Higher costs and lower produced volumes at our Canadian Coal operations

Restricted cash
36

 
Additional restricted cash related to OCP bonds
Finance lease receivables (long term)
(19
)
 
Scheduled receipts
Property, plant, and equipment, net
(377
)
 
Depreciation for the period ($474 million), asset impairment charges ($50 million), revisions to decommissioning and restoration costs ($27 million), and retirements and disposals ($12 million), partially offset by additions ($176 million) and acquisitions ($4 million).
Intangible assets
(23
)
 
Amortization ($37 million), partially offset by additions ($16 million)
Risk management assets (current and long term)
(108
)
 
Contract settlements, partially offset by favourable changes in foreign exchange rates.
Other assets
38

 
Project development costs related to the acquisition of two US Wind projects
Others
5

 
 
Total decrease in assets
(883
)
 

 
 
 
 
 
Increase/

 
 
Liabilities and equity
(decrease)

 
Primary factors explaining change
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
(118
)
 
Timing of payments and accruals
Income taxes payable
(56
)
 
Primarily due to the payment of taxes on FMG's repurchase of the Solomon Power Station
Credit facilities, long term debt, and finance lease obligations (including current portion)
(524
)
 
Repayment of long-term debt ($1,137 million), partially offset by drawings on the credit facility ($231 million), long-term debt issued ($345 million) and unfavourable changes in foreign exchange ($61 million)

Decommissioning and other provisions (current and long term)
(14
)
 
Liabilities settled ($27 million) and an increase in risk-adjusted discount rates ($27 million), partially offset by accretion ($18 million), and new provisions incurred ($14 million)
Deferred income tax liabilities
(17
)
 
Increase in taxable temporary differences
Risk management liabilities (current and long term)
(47
)
 
Contract settlements, partially offset by unfavourable changes in market price movements
Equity attributable to shareholders
(161
)
 
Net loss ($96 million), common share dividends ($34 million), preferred share dividends ($30 million), shares purchased under NCIB ($14 million), impact of changes in our accounting policies ($14 million), partially offset by changes in non-controlling interests in TransAlta Renewables ($24 million) and net other comprehensive income ($2 million)
Non-controlling interests
60

 
Net earnings ($65 million) and changes in non-controlling interests in TransAlta Renewables from share issuance ($126 million), partially offset by distributions paid and payable ($131 million)
Others
(6
)
 
 
Total decrease in liabilities and equity
(883
)
 
 



M22 TRANSALTA CORPORATION


Cash Flows

The following tables outline significant changes in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the three and nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018, compared to the same periods Sept. 30, 2017
3 months ended Sept. 30
2018

2017

Increase/(decrease)

Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
123

50

73

 
Provided by (used in):
 

 

 
 
Operating activities
159

201

(42
)
Unfavourable change in non-cash working capital
Investing activities
(135
)
(145
)
10

Lower additions to PP&E ($16 million) and intangibles ($29 million), offset by an increase in restricted cash related to the OCP debt issuance ($35 million)

Lower proceeds on disposals ($60 million) and higher project development acquisitions ($36 million)
Financing activities
(51
)
(18
)
(33
)
Higher repayment of long-term debt ($411 million), dividends on preferred shares ($10 million) and repurchasing common shares under NCIB ($10 million), partially offset by higher borrowing on the credit facilities ($80 million) and the issuance of long-term debt ($345 million)
Translation of foreign currency cash
(1
)
(1
)

 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
95

87

8

 
9 months ended Sept. 30
2018

2017

Increase/(decrease)

Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
314

305

9

 
Provided by (used in):
 

 

 
 
Operating activities
688

545

143

Higher cash earnings ($125 million) and favourable change in non-cash working capital ($18 million)
Investing activities
(294
)
(214
)
(80
)
Lower proceeds on disposals ($61 million), higher project development acquisitions ($30 million), an increase in restricted cash related to the OCP debt issuance ($35 million) and unfavourable change in non-cash investing working capital balances ($80 million), partially offset by lower additions to PP&E ($90 million) and intangibles ($29 million)
Financing activities
(613
)
(548
)
(65
)
Higher repayments of long-term debt ($549 million), lower realized gains on financial instruments ($59 million) and repurchasing common shares under NCIB ($14 million), partially offset by higher borrowing on the credit facilities ($84 million), the issuance of long-term debt ($345 million), and net proceeds on issuance of TransAlta Renewables common shares ($144 million)
Translation of foreign currency cash

(1
)
1

 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
95

87

8

 

Other Consolidated Analysis

Unconsolidated Structured Entities or Arrangements
Disclosure is required of all unconsolidated structured entities or arrangements such as transactions, agreements, or contractual arrangements with unconsolidated entities, structured finance entities, special purpose entities, or variable interest entities that are reasonably likely to materially affect liquidity or the availability of, or requirements for, capital resources. We currently have no such unconsolidated structured entities or arrangements.
 
Guarantee Contracts
We have obligations to issue letters of credit and cash collateral to secure potential liabilities to certain parties, including those related to potential environmental obligations, commodity risk management and hedging activities, construction projects, and purchase obligations. At Sept. 30, 2018, we provided letters of credit totalling $642 million (Dec. 31, 2017 - $677 million) and cash collateral of $37 million (Dec. 31, 2017 - $67 million). These letters of credit and cash collateral secure certain amounts included on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position under risk management liabilities and decommissioning and other provisions.
 

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M23


Contingencies

I. Line Loss Rule Proceeding
TransAlta has been participating in a line loss rule proceeding (the “LLRP”) before the Alberta Utilities Commission ("AUC"). The AUC determined that it has the ability to retroactively adjust line loss charges going back to 2006 and directed the AESO to, among other things, perform such retroactive calculations. The various decisions by the AUC are, however, subject to appeal and challenge.  A recent decision by the AUC determined the methodology to be used retroactively and it is now possible to estimate the total potential retroactive exposure faced by TransAlta for its non-PPA MWs.  The estimate of the maximum exposure is $15 million; however, if TransAlta and others are successful on the appeal of legal and jurisdictional questions regarding retroactivity, the amount owing will be nil; TransAlta accordingly recorded an appropriate provision in 2017.

II. FMG Disputes
The Corporation is currently engaged in two disputes with FMG.  The first arose as a result of FMG’s purported termination of the South Hedland PPA.  TransAlta has sued FMG, seeking payment of amounts invoiced and not paid under the South Hedland PPA, as well as a declaration that the PPA is valid and in force.  FMG, on the other hand, seeks a declaration that the PPA was lawfully terminated. 
The second matter involves FMG’s claims against TransAlta related to the transfer of the Solomon Power Station to FMG.  FMG claims certain amounts related to the condition of the facility while TransAlta claims certain outstanding costs that should be reimbursed.
III. Balancing Pool Dispute
Pursuant to a written agreement, the Balancing Pool paid the Corporation approximately $157 million on March 29, 2018 as part of the net book value payment required on termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs. The Balancing Pool, however, excluded certain mining and corporate assets that the Corporation believes should be included in the net book value calculation, which amounts to an additional $56 million. The dispute is currently proceeding through arbitration.

Financial Instruments
 
Refer to Note 13 of the notes to the audited annual consolidated financial statements within our 2017 Annual Integrated Report and Note 9 of our unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 for details on Financial Instruments. Refer to the Governance and Risk Management section of our 2017 Annual Integrated Report and Note 10 of our unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for further details on our risks and how we manage them. Refer to the Accounting Changes section of this MD&A for further details on the adoption of IFRS 9 Financial Instruments effective Jan. 1, 2018. Our risk management profile and practices have not changed materially from Dec. 31, 2017.

We may enter into commodity transactions involving non-standard features for which observable market data is not available. These are defined under IFRS as Level III financial instruments. Level III financial instruments are not traded in an active market and fair value is, therefore, developed using valuation models based upon internally developed assumptions or inputs. Our Level III fair values are determined using data such as unit availability, transmission congestion, or demand profiles. Fair values are validated on a quarterly basis by using reasonably possible alternative assumptions as inputs to valuation techniques, and any material differences are disclosed in the notes to the financial statements.

As at Sept. 30, 2018, total Level III financial instruments had a net asset carrying value of $696 million (Dec. 31, 2017 - $771 million net asset). The decrease during the period is primarily due to the settlement of contracts, market price changes in value of the long-term power sale contract designated as an all-in-one cash flow hedge for which changes in fair value are recognized in other comprehensive income, partially offset by favourable foreign exchange rates.




















TRANSALTA CORPORATION M24


2018 Financial Outlook
 
As a result of our strong performance during our first quarter, we revised our targets during the first quarter. The following table outlines our expectation on key financial targets for 2018:
Measure
Original Target
Revised Target
Comparable EBITDA
$950 million to $1,050 million
$1,000 million to $1,050 million
FFO
$725 million to $800 million
$750 million to $800 million
FCF
$275 million to $350 million
$300 million to $350 million
Canadian Coal capacity factor
65 to 75 per cent
Unchanged
Dividend
$0.16 per share annualized,
 13 to 17 per cent payout of FCF
$0.16 per share annualized,
 13 to 15 per cent payout of FCF
 
 
 
Range of Key Assumptions
 
 
Market
Power Prices ($/MWh)
Alberta Spot
$50 to $60
Alberta Contracted
$35 to $40
Mid-C Spot (US$)
$20 to $25
Mid-C Contracted (US$)
$47 to $53
Hydro/ Wind Resource
Long term average

Operations
Availability
Total availability of our Canadian coal fleet is expected to be in the range of 86 to 88 per cent in 2018. Availability of our other generating assets (gas, renewables) is expected to be in the range of 95 per cent in 2018. We will be accelerating our transition to gas and renewables generation, and have retired Sundance Unit 1 effective Jan. 1, 2018, retired Sundance Unit 2 effective July 31, 2018, and temporarily mothballed Sundance Unit 3 and Sundance Unit 5 effective April 1, 2018.

Market Pricing and Hedging Strategy
For 2018, power prices in Alberta are expected to be higher than 2017 due to increased carbon costs affecting the price of generation year-over-year and a lower reserve margin with the mothballing and shutdown of certain coal-fired units in 2018.

The objective of our portfolio management strategy is to deliver a high confidence for annual FCF which also provides for positive exposure to price volatility in Alberta. Given our cash operating costs, we can be more or less hedged in a given period, and we expect to realize our annual FCF targets through a combination of forward hedging and selling generation into the spot market.

Fuel Costs
In Alberta, we expect our cash fuel costs per tonne to be higher compared to 2017 due to lower produced volumes and increased carbon costs.

In the Pacific Northwest, our US Coal mine, adjacent to our power plant, is in the reclamation stage. Fuel at US Coal has been purchased primarily from external suppliers in the Powder River Basin and delivered by rail. In 2017 we amended our fuel and rail contract such that our costs fluctuate partly with gas prices. The delivered fuel cost is expected to increase by approximately 5% over the remaining balance of the year due to higher natural gas prices.

Most of our generation from gas is sold under contracts with pass-through provisions for fuel. For gas generation with no pass-through provision, we purchase natural gas from outside companies coincident with production, thereby minimizing our risk to changes in prices.

We closely monitor the risks associated with changes in electricity and input fuel prices on our future operations and, where we consider it appropriate, use various physical and financial instruments to hedge our assets and operations from such price risks.

Energy Marketing
Comparable EBITDA from our Energy Marketing segment is affected by prices and volatility in the market, overall strategies adopted, and changes in regulation and legislation. We continuously monitor both the market and our exposure to maximize earnings while still maintaining an acceptable risk profile. Our 2018 objective for Energy Marketing is for the segment to contribute between $70 million to $80 million in gross margin for the year.
 
Exposure to Fluctuations in Foreign Currencies
Our strategy is to minimize the impact of fluctuations in the Canadian dollar against the US dollar and Australian dollar by offsetting foreign-denominated assets with foreign-denominated liabilities and by entering into foreign exchange contracts.  We also have foreign-denominated expenses, including interest charges, which largely offset our net foreign-denominated revenues.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M25


We expect to spend approximately US$240 million to construct and commission the two US wind development projects. We plan to use foreign exchange contracts to manage the foreign exchange exposure created by these projects. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.
 
Net Interest Expense
Net interest expense, excluding prepayment premiums and accretion of provisions, for 2018 is expected to be lower than in 2017 largely due to lower levels of debt. However, changes in interest rates and in the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar can affect the amount of net interest expense incurred.

Net Debt, Liquidity, and Capital Resources
We expect to maintain adequate available liquidity under our committed credit facilities. We currently have access to approximately$1.1 billion under our committed facilities and $95 million in cash and cash equivalents. Our continued focus will be toward repositioning our capital structure and we expect to be well positioned to address the upcoming debt maturities in 2020 and 2022.

Growth Expenditures
Our growth projects are focused on sustaining our current operations and supporting our growth strategy in our renewables platform.

A summary of the significant growth and major projects that are in progress is outlined below:
 
Total Project
 
Expected spend in 2018

Target
 
 
Estimated
spend

Spent to
date(1)

 
completion
date
Details
Project
 
 
 
 
 
 
Kent Hills 3 Wind Expansion(2)
37

32

 
28

Oct. 19, 2018
17.25 MW expansion project on our existing Kent Hills wind farms.
Pennsylvania wind development project(3)
214

83

 
133

2nd half of 2019
90 MW wind project with a 15-year PPA.
New Hampshire wind development project(4)
97

10

 
54

2nd half of 2019
29 MW wind project with two 20-year PPAs
Total
348

125


215

 
 
(1) Represents amounts spent as of Sept. 30, 2018.
(2) Our 17 per cent partner on the existing Kent Hills facilities is participating in the expansion project and also owns a 17 per cent interest. They will be funding their share of the total project costs.
(3) The numbers reflected above are in CAD but the actual cash spend on this project in USD and therefore these amounts will fluctuate with changes in foreign exchange rates. The estimated total spend is USD$165 million, spent to date is USD$65 million and estimated total spend in 2018 is USD$103 million. TransAlta Renewables will fund the acquisition and construction costs using its existing liquidity and tax equity.
(4) The numbers reflected above are in CAD but the actual cash spend on this project in USD and therefore these amounts will fluctuate with changes in foreign exchange rates. The estimated total spend is USD$75 million, spent to date is USD$8 million and expected total spend in 2018 is USD$43 million. TransAlta Renewables will fund the acquisition and construction costs using its existing liquidity and tax equity. The project remains subject to certain closing conditions, including the receipt of a favourable regulatory ruling.

Sustaining and Productivity Capital Expenditures
A significant portion of our sustaining and productivity capital is planned major maintenance, which includes inspection, repair and maintenance of existing components, and the replacement of existing components. Planned major maintenance costs are capitalized as part of PP&E and are amortized on a straight-line basis over the term until the next major maintenance event. It excludes amounts for day-to-day routine maintenance, unplanned maintenance activities, and minor inspections and overhauls, which are expensed as incurred.
 
Our estimate for total sustaining and productivity capital is allocated among the following:
Category
Description
Spent to
date (1)

Expected spend in 2018
Routine capital
Capital required to maintain our existing generating capacity
32

55

60
Planned major maintenance
Regularly scheduled major maintenance
34

60

65
Mine capital
Capital related to mining equipment and land purchases
32

35

45
Finance leases
Payments on finance leases
14

15

20
Total sustaining capital
112

165

190
Productivity capital
Projects to improve power production efficiency and corporate improvement initiatives
12

20

30
Total sustaining and productivity capital
124

185

220
(1) As at Sept. 30, 2018.
 
Significant planned major outages for the remainder of 2018 include a major outage in our Canadian Coal segment during the fourth quarter to a unit operated by our partner.



M26 TRANSALTA CORPORATION


Lost production as a result of planned major maintenance, excluding planned major maintenance for US Coal, which is scheduled during a period of economic dispatching, is estimated as follows for 2018:

 
Canadian
Coal
Gas and
Renewables
Total
Lost to date(1)
 
GWh lost
 
130-170
170-250
300-420
185
(1) As at Sept. 30, 2018.

Funding of Capital Expenditures
Funding for these planned capital expenditures is expected to be provided by cash flow from operating activities, existing liquidity, and capital raised from our contracted cash flows. We have access to approximately $1.2 billion in liquidity. The funds required for committed growth, sustaining capital, and productivity projects are not expected to be significantly impacted by the current economic environment.
Accounting Changes
 
A. Current Accounting Changes

 
I. IFRS 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers
 
The Corporation has adopted IFRS 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers (IFRS 15) with an initial adoption date of Jan. 1, 2018.

The Corporation has elected to adopt IFRS 15 retrospectively with the modified retrospective method of transition practical expedient. Under this method, the comparative period presented in the condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 will not be restated and is reported under IAS 18 Revenue. Instead, the Corporation recognized the cumulative impact of the initial application of the standard in Deficit as at Jan. 1, 2018, as follows: Applying the significant financing component requirements to a specific contract resulted in an increase to the contract liability of $17 million, a decrease in deferred income tax liabilities of $4 million, and an increase to Deficit of $13 million.
IFRS 15 requires that, in determining the transaction price, the promised amount of consideration is to be adjusted for the effects of the time value of money if the timing of payments specified in a contract provides either party with a significant benefit of financing the transfer of goods or services to the customer (“significant financing component”). The objective when adjusting the promised amount of consideration for a significant financing component is to recognize revenue at an amount that reflects the price that the customer would have paid, had they paid cash in the future when the goods or services are transferred to them. The application of the significant financing component requirements results in the recognition of interest expense over the financing period and a higher amount of revenue.

Additionally, the Corporation no longer recognizes revenue (or fuel costs) related to non-cash consideration for natural gas supplied by a customer at one of its gas plants , as it was determined under IFRS 15 that the Corporation does not obtain control of the customer-supplied natural gas. This change had no impact on the cumulative impact of initial adoption as recognized in Deficit as Jan. 1, 2018.

Refer to Note 2 of the Corporation's condensed consolidated financial statements for a more detailed discussion of the Corporation's accounting policies under IFRS 15.

II. IFRS 9 Financial Instruments
 
Effective Jan. 1, 2018, the Corporation adopted IFRS 9, which introduces new requirements for:
1) The classification and measurement of financial assets and liabilities
2) The recognition and measurement of impairment of financial assets
3) General hedge accounting

In accordance with the transition provisions of the standard, the Corporation has elected to not restate prior periods.

Under the new classification and measurement requirements, financial assets must be classified and measured at either amortized cost, at fair value through profit or loss, or through OCI. The classification and measurement depends on the contractual cash flow characteristics of the financial asset and the entity’s business model for managing the financial asset. The classification requirements for financial liabilities are largely unchanged from IAS 39. While the Corporation had no direct impact of adopting the IFRS 9 classification and measurement requirements, a $1 million increase in deficit resulted from the increase in equity attributable to non-controlling interests due to IFRS 9 classification and measurement impacts at TransAlta Renewables.

IFRS 9 introduces a new impairment model for financial assets measured at amortized cost. The expected credit loss model requires entities to account for expected credit losses on financial assets at the date of initial recognition, and to account for changes in expected credit losses at each reporting date to reflect changes in credit risk. The loss allowance for a financial asset is measured at an amount equal to the lifetime expected credit loss if its credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition. If the credit risk on a financial asset has not increased significantly since initial recognition, its loss allowance is measured at an amount equal to the 12-month expected credit loss. The Corporation’s management reviewed and assessed its existing financial assets for impairment using

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M27


reasonable and supportable information in accordance with the requirements of IFRS 9 to determine the credit risk of the respective items at the date they were initially recognized, and compared that to the credit risk as at Jan. 1, 2018. There were no significant increases in credit risk determined upon application of IFRS 9.

The new general hedge accounting model is intended to be simpler and more closely focused on how an entity manages its risks, replaces the IAS 39 effectiveness testing requirements with the principle of an economic relationship, and eliminates the requirement for retrospective assessment of hedge effectiveness. The Corporation’s qualifying hedging relationships under IAS 39 in place as at Jan. 1, 2018 also qualified for hedge accounting in accordance with IFRS 9, and were therefore regarded as continuing hedging relationships. No rebalancing of any of the hedging relationships was necessary on Jan. 1, 2018.

Refer to Note 2 of the Corporation's condensed consolidated financial statements for a more detailed discussion of the Corporation's accounting policies under IFRS 9.

III. Change in Estimates - Useful Lives
 
As a result of the Off-Coal Agreement ("OCA") with the Government of Alberta described in Note 4(H) of our most recent annual consolidated financial statements, the Corporation has adjusted the useful lives of some of its Sunhills mine assets to align with the Corporation's coal-to-gas conversion plans. As a result, depreciation expense included in fuel and purchased power for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 increased by approximately $29 million and the full year depreciation expense is expected to increase be approximately $38 million. The useful lives may be revised or extended in compliance with the Corporation's accounting policies, dependent upon future operating decisions and events.
B.  Future Accounting Changes
 
Accounting standards that have been previously issued by the IASB but are not yet effective, and have not been applied by the Corporation, include  IFRS 16 Leases. Refer to Note 3 of the Corporation’s most recent annual consolidated financial statements for information regarding the requirements of IFRS 16. The Corporation has prepared a detailed project plan and is finalizing the completeness procedures and continuing the detailed contract assessment under IFRS 16. The impact on our consolidated financial statements upon adoption of IFRS 16 is currently being assessed, but it is expected to be material.

Selected Quarterly Information
 
Our results are seasonal due to the nature of the electricity market and related fuel costs. Higher maintenance costs are usually incurred in the spring and fall when electricity prices are expected to be lower, as electricity prices generally increase in the peak winter and summer months in our main markets due to increased heating and cooling loads. Margins are also typically impacted in the second quarter due to the volume of hydro production resulting from spring runoff and rainfall in the Pacific Northwest, which impacts production at US Coal. Typically, hydro facilities generate most of their electricity and revenues during the spring months when melting snow starts feeding watersheds and rivers. Inversely, wind speeds are historically greater during the cold winter months and lower in the warm summer months.

 
Q4 2017

Q1 2018

Q2 2018

Q3 2018

 
 
 
 
 
Revenues
638

588

446

593

Comparable EBITDA
275

416

225

249

FFO
219

318

188

204

Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders
(145
)
65

(105
)
(86
)
Net earnings (loss) per share attributable to common shareholders, basic and diluted(1)
(0.50
)
0.23

(0.36
)
(0.30
)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Q4 2016

Q1 2017

Q2 2017

Q3 2017

 
 
 
 
 
Revenues
717

578

503

588

Comparable EBITDA
374

274

268

245

FFO
228

202

187

196

Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders
61


(18
)
(27
)
Net earnings (loss) per share attributable to common shareholders, basic and diluted(1)
0.21


(0.06
)
(0.09
)
(1) Basic and diluted earnings per share attributable to common shares are calculated each period using the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period. As a result, the sum of the earnings per share for the four quarters making up the calendar year may sometimes differ from the annual earnings per share.

Reported net earnings, comparable EBITDA and FFO are generally higher in the first and fourth quarters due to higher demand associated with winter cold in the markets in which we operate and lower planned outages.

Net earnings attributable to common shareholders has also been impacted by the following variations and events:
effects of the impairment charge during the second quarter of 2018;
recognition of the $157 million early termination payment received regarding Sundance B and C PPAs during the first quarter of 2018;
a recovery of a writedown of deferred tax assets in the second quarter of 2017;

M28 TRANSALTA CORPORATION


change in income tax rates in US in the fourth quarter of 2017;
effects of non-comparable unrealized gains on intercompany financial instruments that are attributable only to the
non-controlling interests in the first quarter of 2017;
effects of the Keephills 1 outage provision in the fourth quarter of 2016;
effects of the Wintering Hills impairment charge during the fourth quarter of 2016, and the Sundance Unit 1 impairment charge during the second quarter of 2017;
effects of the Mississauga facility recontracting during the fourth quarter of 2016;
effects of changes in useful lives of certain Canadian Coal assets during the first, second, and third quarters of 2017; and
effects of an impairment of $137 million in 2017 on intercompany financial instruments that is attributable only to the non-controlling interests.

Disclosure Controls and Procedures
 
Management has evaluated, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer, the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures as of the end of the period covered by this report. Disclosure controls and procedures refer to controls and other procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file or submit under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (“Exchange Act”) are recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the rules and forms of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Disclosure controls and procedures include, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in our reports that we file or submit under the Exchange Act is accumulated and communicated to management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding our required disclosure. In designing and evaluating our disclosure controls and procedures, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives, and management is required to apply its judgment in evaluating and implementing possible controls and procedures.

There have been no other changes in our internal control over financial reporting during the period ended Sept. 30, 2018, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect our internal control over financial reporting. Based on the foregoing evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Interim Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as at Sept. 30, 2018, the end of the period covered by this report, our disclosure controls and procedures were effective.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION M29


Supplemental Information
 
 
 
Sept. 30, 2018

Dec. 31, 2017

 
 
 
 
 
Closing market price (TSX) ($)
 
 
7.27

7.45

Price range for the last 12 months (TSX) ($)
High
 
8.18

8.50

 
Low
 
6.31

6.88

FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage(2)(times)
 
 
4.6

4.3

Adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt(2)(%)
 
 
21.3

20.4

Adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA(1, 2) (times)
 
 
3.5

3.6

Adjusted net debt to invested capital(1) (%)
 
 
48.1

49.5

Return on equity attributable to common shareholders(2)(%)
 
 
(15.7
)
(10.0
)
Return on capital employed(2)(%)
 
 
2.1

2.1

Earnings coverage(2)(times)
 
 
0.7

0.6

Dividend payout ratio based on FFO(1, 2)(%)
 
 
5.9

4.3

Dividend coverage(2)(times)
 
 
14.1

14.1

Dividend yield(2)(%)
 
 
2.2

2.1

(1) These ratios incorporate items that are not defined under IFRS. None of these measurements should be used in isolation or as a substitute for the Corporation’s reported financial performance or position as presented in accordance with IFRS. These ratios are useful complementary measurements for assessing the Corporation’s financial performance, efficiency, and liquidity and are common in the reports of other companies but may differ by definition and application. For a reconciliation of the non-IFRS measures used in these calculations, refer to the Discussion of Financial Results section of this MD&A.
(2) Last 12 months.

Ratio Formulas

FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage = FFO + interest on debt and finance lease obligations - interest income - capitalized interest / interest on debt and finance lease obligations + 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares - interest income

Adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt = FFO - 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares / period end long-term debt and finance lease obligations including fair value (asset) liability of hedging instruments on debt + 50 per cent issued preferred shares - cash and cash equivalents

Adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA = long-term debt and finance lease obligations including current portion and fair value (asset) liability of hedging instruments on debt + 50 per cent issued preferred shares - cash and cash equivalents / comparable EBITDA    

Adjusted net debt to invested capital = long-term debt and finance lease obligations including current portion and fair value (asset) liability of hedging instruments on debt + 50 per cent issued preferred shares - cash and cash equivalents / adjusted net debt + non-controlling interests + equity attributable to shareholders - 50 per cent issued preferred shares

Return on equity attributable to common shareholders = net earnings attributable to common shareholders / equity attributable to shareholders excluding AOCI - issued preferred shares

Return on capital employed = earnings before non-controlling interests and income taxes + net interest expense - earnings attributable to non-controlling interests + net interest expense / invested capital excluding AOCI

Earnings coverage = net earnings attributable to shareholders + income taxes + net interest expense / interest on debt and finance lease obligations + 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares - interest income

Dividend payout ratio = dividends declared on common shares / FFO - 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares

Dividend coverage ratio based on comparable FFO = FFO - 50 per cent dividends / cash dividends paid on common shares

Dividend yield = dividend paid per common share / current period’s closing market price





TRANSALTA CORPORATION M30


Glossary of Key Terms

Availability - A measure of the time, expressed as a percentage of continuous operation 24 hours a day, 365 days a year that a generating unit is capable of generating electricity, regardless of whether or not it is actually generating electricity.

Capacity - The rated continuous load-carrying ability, expressed in megawatts, of generation equipment.

Force Majeure - Literally means “greater force”. These clauses excuse a party from liability if some unforeseen event beyond the control of that party prevents it from performing its obligations under the contract.

Gigawatt - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000 megawatts.

Gigawatt Hour (GWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000 megawatts of power over a period of one hour.

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) - Gases having potential to retain heat in the atmosphere, including water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, and perfluorocarbons.

Megawatt (MW) - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000,000 watts.

Megawatt Hour (MWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000,000 watts of power over a period of one hour.

Power Purchase Arrangement (PPA) - A long-term arrangement established by regulation for the sale of electric energy from formerly regulated generating units to buyers.

Unplanned Outage - The shut-down of a generating unit due to an unanticipated breakdown.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION M31


TransAlta Corporation
110 - 12th Avenue S.W.
Box 1900, Station “M”
Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 2M1

Phone
403.267.7110

Website
www.transalta.com

AST Trust Company (Canada)
P.O. Box 700 Station “B”
Montreal, Québec Canada H3B 3K3

Phone Toll-free in North America: 1.800.387.0825
Toronto or outside North America: 416.682.3860

Fax 514.985.8843

E-mail
inquiries@canstockta.com

Website www.canstockta.com

FOR MORE INFORMATION

Media and Investor Inquiries
Investor Relations

Phone1.800.387.3598 in Canada and United States
or 403.267.2520

Fax
403.267.7405
E-mail
investor_relations@transalta.com


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M32