EX-13.2 3 tac-q22019mda.htm EXHIBIT 13.2 Exhibit


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Management's Discussion and Analysis
 
TRANSALTA CORPORATION
Second Quarter Report for 2019
This Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) contains forward-looking statements. These statements are based on certain estimates and assumptions and involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially. See the Forward-Looking Statements section of this MD&A for additional information.
This MD&A should be read in conjunction with the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements of TransAlta Corporation as at and for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 and 2018, and should also be read in conjunction with the audited annual consolidated financial statements and MD&A contained within our 2018 Annual Integrated Report. In this MD&A, unless the context otherwise requires, “we”, “our”, “us”, the “Corporation”, and “TransAlta” refers to TransAlta Corporation and its subsidiaries. Our unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements have been prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”) International Accounting Standards (“IAS”) 34 Interim Financial Reporting for Canadian publicly accountable enterprises as issued by the International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) and in effect at June 30, 2019. All tabular amounts in the following discussion are in millions of Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted. This MD&A is dated August 8, 2019. Additional information respecting TransAlta, including its Annual Information Form, is available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com, on EDGAR at www.sec.gov, and on our website at www.transalta.com. Information on or connected to our website is not incorporated by reference herein.

Additional IFRS Measures and Non-IFRS Measures
An additional IFRS measure is a line item, heading, or subtotal that is relevant to an understanding of the financial statements but is not a minimum line item mandated under IFRS, or the presentation of a financial measure that is relevant to an understanding of the financial statements but is not presented elsewhere in the financial statements. We have included line items entitled gross margin and operating income in our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Earnings (Loss) for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 and 2018. Presenting these line items provides management and investors with a measurement of ongoing operating performance that is readily comparable from period to period.

We evaluate our performance and the performance of our business segments using a variety of measures. Certain of the financial measures discussed in this MD&A are not defined under IFRS and, therefore, should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to or to be more meaningful than net earnings attributable to common shareholders or cash flow from operating activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, when assessing our financial performance or liquidity. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. Comparable earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization ("EBITDA"), funds from operations ("FFO"), free cash flow ("FCF"), total consolidated net debt, adjusted net debt and segmented cash flow generated by the business, all as defined below, are non-IFRS measures that are presented in this MD&A. See the Discussion of Consolidated Financial Results, Segmented Comparable Results, Key Financial Ratios and Capital Structure and Liquidity sections of this MD&A for additional information.

Forward-Looking Statements

This MD&A includes "forward-looking information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws, and "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of applicable United States securities laws, including the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (collectively referred to herein as "forward-looking statements").  All forward-looking statements are based on our beliefs as well as assumptions based on information available at the time the assumption was made and on management's experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions and expected future developments, as well as other factors deemed appropriate in the circumstances.  Forward-looking statements are not facts, but only predictions and generally can be identified by the use of statements that include phrases such as "may", "will", "can"; "could", "would", "shall", "believe", "expect", "estimate", "anticipate", "intend", "plan", "forecast" "foresee", "potential", "enable", "continue" or other comparable terminology.  These statements are not guarantees of our future performance, events or results and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause our actual performance, events or results to be materially different from that set out in or implied by the forward-looking statements.

In particular, this MD&A contains forward-looking statements including, but not limited to: our strategic focus, including as it pertains to our operating performance and transitioning to clean power generation; achieving the upper end of its FCF guidance; the $750 million investment by Brookfield, including the closing of the second tranche of $400 million of preferred shares, the use of proceeds, and the expected benefits associated with the Brookfield investment; the share buy backs of up to $250 million; expectations regarding the Pioneer Pipeline, including the throughput of approximately 130 MMcf/day of natural gas on November 1, 2019 and the increase of co-firing; the key financial ratios and target ranges; the investment in the Skookumchuck Wind Energy Facility; the conversion of some or all of the units at Sundance and Keephills and the timing thereof; the timing of issuing limited or full notices to proceed on conversions; the cost to convert a unit and increase co-firing; the repowering of one or more steam turbines to create highly efficient

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combined cycle units; pit development work and planned power maintenance outages; cost estimates for the development of the US Wind Projects; the commercial operation date for the US Wind Projects; the Windrise wind project, including the cost and commercial operation date thereof; the WindCharger Project and that this project will be the first utility-scale battery storage project in Alberta, the receipt of funds from Emissions Reduction Alberta, the supply of lithium-ion batteries, the receipt of regulatory approvals and the construction and commercial operation dates, and expected cost; the expected benefits from Project Greenlight and embedding the program into the business and realization of new value; that TransAlta and Brookfield will work together to complete TransAlta’s transition to clean energy, maximize the value of TransAlta's Alberta Hydro Assets consisting of 13 facilities currently subject to power purchase agreements with the Balancing Pool (the "Hydro Assets"), and create long-term shareholder value; Brookfield’s increase in its share ownership to 9%; Canadian Federal regulatory developments, including carbon pricing, the “backstop” mechanism and clean fuel standard; Alberta regulatory changes, including the Technology Innovation and Emission Reduction regime and maintaining an energy-only market; Ontario regulatory changes, including as it pertains to the large greenhouse gas emitter regulation, carbon tax, and the electricity market review; the terms of the new lease commitment; the exposure under the Alberta Utilities Commission line loss proceeding; the FMG claims; the dispute with the Balancing Pool; the section under “2019 Financial Outlook”, including the Comparable EBITDA, FCF, dividend levels, availability for our generating segments, market pricing and hedging strategy, portfolio management strategy, fuel costs, energy marketing, net interest expense, liquidity and capital resources, growth expenditures, lost production; source of capital for funding capital expenditures; and impact of accounting changes.

The forward looking statements in this MD&A are based on TransAlta’s beliefs and assumptions based on information available at the time the assumptions were made, including assumptions pertaining to: the Company’s ability to successfully defend against any existing or potential legal actions or regulatory proceedings; the closing of the second tranche of the Brookfield investment occurring and other risks to the Brookfield investment not materializing; no significant changes to regulatory, securities, credit or market environments; our ownership of or relationship with TransAlta Renewables Inc. not materially changing; the Alberta Hydro Assets achieving their anticipated future value, cash flows and adjusted EBITDA; the anticipated benefits and financial results generated on the coal-to-gas conversions and the Corporation’s other strategies; the Corporation’s strategies and plans; no significant changes in applicable laws, including any tax or regulatory changes in the markets in which we operate; the anticipated structure and framework of an Alberta capacity market in the future; risks associated with the impact of the Brookfield investment on the Corporation’s stakeholders, including its shareholders, debtholders and other securityholders and credit ratings; assumptions referenced in our 2019 guidance, including: Alberta spot power price equal to $50 to $60 per megawatt hours ("MWh"); Alberta contracted power price equal to $50 to $55 per MWh; Mid-C spot power prices equal to US$20 to US$25 per MWh; Mid-C contracted power price of US$47 to US$53 per MWh; sustaining capital between $140 million and $165 million; no material decline in the dividends expected to be received from TransAlta Renewables Inc.; the expected life extension of the coal fleet and anticipated financial results generated on conversion; and assumptions relating to the completion of the strategic partnership with and investment by Brookfield and proposed share buy-backs.

The forward-looking statements contained in this MD&A are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual performance, events or results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements. Some of the factors that could cause such differences include: the failure of the second tranche of the Brookfield investment to close; the outcomes of existing or potential legal actions or regulatory proceedings not being as anticipated, including those pertaining to the Brookfield investment; changes in our relationships with Brookfield and its affiliated entities or our other shareholders; our Alberta Hydro Assets not achieving their anticipated value, cash flows or adjusted EBITDA; the Brookfield investment not resulting in the expected benefits for the Corporation and its shareholders; the inability to complete share buy-backs within the timeline or on the terms anticipated, or at all; fluctuations in demand, market prices and the availability of fuel supplies required to generate electricity; changes in the current or anticipated legislative, regulatory and political environments in the jurisdictions in which we operate; environmental requirements and changes in, or liabilities under, these requirements; risks associated with the calculation of the Hydro Assets’ EBITDA, including non-financial measures included in that calculation; the anticipated benefits of the joint Brookfield/TransAlta hydro operating committee not materializing; the timing and value of Brookfield’s exchange of exchangeable securities and the amount of equity interest in the Hydro Assets resulting therefrom; changes in general economic conditions including interests rates; operational risks involving our facilities; unexpected increases in cost structure; failure to meet financial expectations; structural subordination of securities; and other risks and uncertainties contained in the Corporation’s Management Proxy Circular dated March 26, 2019 and its Annual Information Form and Management’s Discussion and Analysis for the year ended December 31, 2018, filed under the Company’s profile with the Canadian securities regulators on www.sedar.com and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) on www.sec.gov.

Readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on them, which reflect the Corporation's expectations only as of the date hereof. The Corporation is providing the guidance and other forward looking information for the purpose of assisting shareholders and financial analysts in understanding our financial position and results of operations as at and for the periods ended on the dates presented, as well as our financial performance objectives, vision and strategic goals, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. The forward-looking statements included in this document are made only as of the date hereof and we do not undertake to publicly update these forward-looking statements to reflect new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable laws. In light of these risks, uncertainties and assumptions, the forward-looking statements might occur to a different extent or at a different time than we have described, or might not occur at all. We cannot assure that projected results or events will be achieved.




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Highlights
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Revenues
497

446

1,145

1,034

Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders

(105
)
(65
)
(40
)
Cash flow from operating activities
258

104

340

529

Comparable EBITDA(1,2,3)
215

248

436

641

FFO(1,3)
155

188

324

506

FCF(1,3)
49

96

144

334

Net earnings (loss) per share attributable to common shareholders, basic and diluted

(0.36
)
(0.23
)
(0.14
)
FFO per share(1)
0.55

0.65

1.14

1.76

FCF per share(1)
0.17

0.33

0.51

1.16

Dividends declared per common share
0.04

0.04

0.04

0.08

Dividends declared per preferred share(4)
0.26

0.26

0.26

0.52

 
 
 
 
 
As at
 
 
June 30, 2019

Dec. 31, 2018

Total assets
 
 
9,199

9,428

Total consolidated net debt(5)
 
 
3,157

3,141

Total long-term liabilities
 
 
4,547

4,414

(1)  These items are not defined under IFRS. Presenting these items from period to period provides management and investors with the ability to evaluate earnings trends more readily in comparison with prior periods’ results. Refer to the Reconciliation of Non-IFRS Measures section of this MD&A for further discussion of these items, including, where applicable, reconciliations to measures calculated in accordance with IFRS.
(2) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised our approach to reporting adjustments to arrive at comparable EBITDA, mainly to be more comparable with other companies in the industry. Comparable EBITDA is now adjusted to exclude the impact of unrealized mark-to-market gains or losses. Both the current and prior period amounts have been adjusted to reflect this change.
(3) Includes $157 million received from the Balancing Pool for the early termination of Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018.
(4)  Weighted average of the Series A, B, C, E, and G preferred share dividends declared. Dividends declared vary year over year due to timing of dividend declarations.
(5) Total consolidated net debt includes long-term debt including current portion, amounts due under credit facilities, tax equity, and lease obligations, net of available cash and the fair value of economic hedging instruments on debt. See the table in the Capital Structure and Liquidity section of this MD&A for more details on the composition of net debt.

Year to date, the overall performance of our portfolio is in line with expectations and based on the outlook for the balance of the year, the Corporation is currently tracking to achieve the upper end of its FCF guidance of $270 - $330 million.

In Alberta, Canadian Coal and our wind assets benefited from higher power prices. Average prices during the second quarter in Alberta were consistent at $57 per MWh compared with $56 per MWh in 2018. For the first half of the year, average prices increased to $63 per MWh from $45 per MWh in 2018, mainly reflecting the impact of the extreme cold weather during the first quarter of 2019.

Excluding the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C Power Purchase Arrangements ("PPA") received during the first quarter of 2018, comparable EBITDA at our Canadian Coal segment for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, increased due to strong merchant pricing and lower operations, maintenance, and administration ("OM&A") costs. In addition, performance from our Energy Marketing segment was stronger than the same periods in 2018. As expected, comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, decreased in our Canadian Gas segment, primarily as a result of the expiry of the Mississauga contract and lower scheduled payments on the Poplar Creek contract. Comparable EBITDA as for the six months ended June 30, 2019 was negatively impacted by the unplanned outage at US Coal during the first quarter of 2019.
 
Net earnings attributable to common shareholders for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, excluding the one time receipt of $157 million ($115 million after tax) for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs, were $105 million and $90 million higher, respectively. Stronger earnings are attributable to the Alberta tax rate reduction, strong Alberta pricing, lower year-to-date OM&A costs, and lower interest expense, partially offset by other gains and losses.

FCF, one of the Corporation's key financial metrics, after adjusting for the one time receipt for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs received in 2018, was $47 million and $33 million lower for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, respectively, compared with the same periods in 2018.
Excluding the one time receipt for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs of $157 million received in 2018, Canadian Coal cash flow was $5 million and $15 million lower in the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to higher sustaining capital spend, which was partially offset by stronger comparable EBITDA.
US Coal cash flow was significantly lower on a year-to-date basis due to an unplanned outage for one of the units during extreme market conditions driven by low temperatures and high natural gas prices in early March 2019.
Canadian Gas cash flow in the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, was $30 million and $66 million lower, respectively, mainly due to the Mississauga contract ending Dec. 31, 2018 and lower scheduled payments from the Poplar Creek finance lease.
Hydro cash flow was lower for both the quarter and the year-to-date periods compared to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to strong results in 2018 and decreased opportunities for ancillary services in 2019.

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Sustaining capital increased significantly during both the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, mainly due to planned major maintenance at Canadian Coal. There were no planned maintenance outages in the same period in 2018.

Significant Events
Our focus continues to be improving our operating performance and transitioning to clean power generation. The Corporation made the following progress throughout the period:
During the second quarter of 2019, the Pioneer Pipeline transported first gas four months ahead of schedule to TransAlta's generating units at Sundance and Keephills.
During the first half of the year, we purchased and cancelled 2,398,200 common shares at an average price of $8.57 per common share through our normal course issuer bid ("NCIB") program, for a total cost of $21 million.
On April 12, 2019, TransAlta signed an agreement to purchase a 49 per cent interest in the 136.8 MW Skookumchuk Wind Energy Facility.
On March 28, 2019, the Corporation closed its acquisition of the Antrim wind project following the receipt of required regulatory approvals.
On March 25, 2019, the Corporation announced a $750 million investment in exchangeable securities by Brookfield Renewable Partners or its affiliates (collectively “Brookfield”). On May 1, 2019, Brookfield invested the initial tranche of $350 million in exchange for unsecured subordinated debentures.
On March 8, 2019, the Alberta Electric System Operator ("AESO") approved the Corporation's decision to extend the mothballing of Sundance Unit 3 and 5 until Nov. 1, 2021.
On March 4, 2019, TransAlta approved the WindCharger Battery Storage Project ("Windcharger"), an innovative 10 MW / 20 MWh energy storage project.
See the Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation and Significant and Subsequent Events sections of this MD&A for further details.

Adjusted Availability and Production
Adjusted availability for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 was 83.8 per cent and 86.7 per cent, respectively, compared to 85.8 per cent and 90.1 per cent for the same periods in 2018. The decreases were mainly due to higher planned outages at Canadian Coal, unplanned outages and derates at US Coal and an unplanned outage at Australian Gas.

Production for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 was 5,235 and 13,360 gigawatt hours ("GWh"), respectively, compared to 5,199 and 12,370 GWh for the same periods in 2018. The higher year-to-date production was primarily due to a strong price environment in the Pacific Northwest during the first quarter of 2019, which resulted in higher dispatching at US Coal. This was partially offset by lower production at Canadian Coal due to higher planned outages in 2019 and the mothballing of Sundance Units 3 and 5 on April 1, 2018.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M5



Electricity Prices
The average spot electricity prices in Alberta for the three months ended June 30, 2019 remained consistent with 2018. For the six months ended June 30, 2019, the average spot electricity prices in Alberta increased significantly compared to 2018 primarily due to significantly below average temperatures in February and early March.

Similarly, power prices were only slightly higher in the Pacific Northwest in the three months ended June 30, 2019, whereas power prices for the six months ended June 30, 2019 were substantially higher than 2018 mainly due to stronger weather driven demand in February and March as well as regional daily natural gas prices that averaged approximately US$14/mmBtu in the first quarter of 2019.

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Discussion of Consolidated Financial Results
We evaluate our performance and the performance of our business segments using a variety of measures. Comparable figures are not defined under IFRS. Those discussed below, and elsewhere in this MD&A, are not defined under IFRS and, therefore, should not be considered in isolation or as an alternative to or to be more meaningful than net earnings attributable to common shareholders or cash flow from operating activities, as determined in accordance with IFRS, when assessing our financial performance or liquidity. These measures are not necessarily comparable to a similarly titled measure of another company. Each business segment assumes responsibility for its operating results measured to comparable EBITDA and cash flows generated by the business. Gross margin is also a useful measure as it provides management and investors with a measurement of operating performance that is readily comparable from period to period.

Comparable EBITDA
EBITDA is a widely adopted valuation metric and an important metric for management that represents our core business performance. Interest, taxes, and depreciation and amortization are not included, as differences in accounting treatments may distort our core business results. In addition, we reclassify certain transactions to facilitate the discussion on the performance of our business:
(i)
Certain assets we own in Canada are fully contracted and recorded as finance leases under IFRS. We believe it is more appropriate to reflect the payments we receive under the contracts as a capacity payment in our revenues instead of as finance lease income and a decrease in finance lease receivables. We depreciate these assets over their expected lives;
(ii)
We also reclassify the depreciation on our mining equipment from fuel and purchased power to reflect the actual cash cost of our business in our comparable EBITDA;
(iii)
In December 2016, we agreed to terminate our existing arrangement with the Independent Electricity System Operator (“IESO”) relating to our Mississauga cogeneration facility in Ontario and entered into a new Non-Utility Generator (“NUG”) Enhanced Dispatch Contract (the “NUG Contract”) effective Jan. 1, 2017. Under the NUG Contract, we received fixed monthly payments until Dec. 31, 2018 with no delivery obligations. Under IFRS, for our reported results in 2016, as a result of the NUG Contract, we recognized a receivable of $207 million (discounted), a pre-tax gain of approximately $191 million net of costs to mothball the units, and accelerated depreciation of $46 million. In 2017 and 2018, on a comparable basis, we recorded the payments we received as revenues as a proxy for operating income, and depreciated the facility until Dec. 31, 2018;
(iv)
On commissioning the South Hedland Power Station in Australia, we prepaid approximately $74 million of electricity transmission and distribution costs. Interest income is recorded on the prepaid funds. We reclassify this interest income as a reduction in the transmission and distribution costs expensed each period to reflect the net cost to the business; and
(v)
During the first quarter of 2019, we revised our approach to reporting adjustments to arrive at comparable EBITDA, mainly to be more comparable with other companies in the industry. Comparable EBITDA is now adjusted to exclude the impact of unrealized mark-to-market gains or losses. Both the current and prior period amounts have been adjusted to reflect this change.

A reconciliation of net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders to comparable EBITDA results is set out below:
 
 
3 months ended June 30(1)
 
6 months ended June 30(1)
 
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders (2)

(105
)
(65
)
(40
)
      Net earnings attributable to non-controlling interests
16

28

51

56

      Preferred share dividends
 
10

10

10

20

Net earnings (loss)
 
26

(67
)
(4
)
36

Adjustments to reconcile net income to comparable EBITDA
 
 
 
 
      Depreciation and amortization
 
143

146

288

276

      Foreign exchange loss
 
8

5

9

7

      Other (gains) losses
 
12


12


      Net interest expense
 
56

59

106

127

      Income tax expense (recovery)
 
(50
)
(6
)
(33
)
31

Comparable reclassifications
 
 
 
 
      Decrease in finance lease receivables
6

14

12

29

      Mine depreciation included in fuel cost
31

37

60

68

      Australian interest income
1

1

2

2

      Unrealized (gains) losses from risk management activities

(18
)
23

(16
)

Adjustments to earnings to arrive at comparable EBITDA
 
 
 
 
      Impacts associated with Mississauga recontracting(3)

24


53

      Asset impairment charge

12


12

Comparable EBITDA
 
215

248

436

641

Comparable EBITDA - excluding the PPA settlement
215

248

436

484

(1) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.
(2) Includes $157 million received from the Balancing Pool for the early termination of Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018.
(3) The Mississauga recontracting ended in 2018. The impact for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 was a decrease to revenue of $25 million and $54 million, respectively and a decrease to fuel and purchased power and de-designated hedges of $1 million for both periods.


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Excluding the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs received during the first quarter of 2018, comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased $33 million and $48 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018. The reduction was primarily a result of the expiry of the Mississauga NUG Contract, lower revenues on the Poplar Creek contract in Canadian Gas and an unplanned outage in US Coal. The decrease was partially offset by stronger performance in Energy Marketing and lower year-to-date Corporate costs. Excluding the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs, Canadian Coal comparable EBITDA increased due to strong merchant pricing lower fuel, carbon costs and purchased power and lower OM&A costs.

Funds from Operations and Free Cash Flow
FFO is an important metric as it provides a proxy for cash generated from operating activities before changes in working capital, and provides the ability to evaluate cash flow trends in comparison with results from prior periods. FCF is an important metric as it represents the amount of cash that is available to invest in growth initiatives, make scheduled principal repayments on debt, repay maturing debt, pay common share dividends, or repurchase common shares. Changes in working capital are excluded so FFO and FCF are not distorted by changes that we consider temporary in nature, reflecting, among other things, the impact of seasonal factors and timing of receipts and payments. FFO per share and FCF per share are calculated using the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period.

The table below reconciles our cash flow from operating activities to our FFO and FCF:
 
 
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Cash flow from operating activities(1)
 
258

104

340

529

Change in non-cash operating working capital balances
(110
)
69

(30
)
(54
)
Cash flow from operations before changes in working capital
148

173

310

475

Adjustment:
 
 
 
 
 
Decrease in finance lease receivable
 
6

14

12

29

Other
 
 
1

1

2

2

FFO
 
155

188

324

506

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
 
   Sustaining capital(2)
(61
)
(34
)
(86
)
(54
)
   Productivity capital
(1
)
(2
)
(3
)
(6
)
   Dividends paid on preferred shares(3)
(10
)
(10
)
(20
)
(20
)
   Distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests
(27
)
(40
)
(59
)
(81
)
   Payments on lease obligations(2)
(6
)
(5
)
(11
)
(9
)
   Other
 
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(2
)
FCF
 
49

96

144

334

Weighted average number of common shares outstanding in the year
284

288

284

288

FFO per share
 
0.55

0.65

1.14

1.76

FCF per share
0.17

0.33

0.51

1.16

(1) Includes $157 million received from the Balancing Pool for the early termination of Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018.
(2) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised the way in which FFO and FCF are reconciled to reflect the payments related to lease obligations as a separate line and removed finance leases from sustaining capital. 2018 results have been revised to reflect these changes.
(3) Dividends paid on preferred shares for the three months ended June 30, 2018 and 2019 have been adjusted to include the dividends payable in the second quarter.


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The table below bridges our comparable EBITDA to our FFO and FCF:
 
 
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Comparable EBITDA(1)
215

248

436

641

Interest expense
(46
)
(49
)
(88
)
(102
)
Provisions
7

2

11

(1
)
Current income tax expense (recovery)
(7
)
(10
)
(14
)
(19
)
Realized foreign exchange gain (loss)
(2
)
3

(7
)
6

Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
(8
)
(6
)
(15
)
(13
)
Other cash and non-cash items
(4
)

1

(6
)
FFO
 
155

188

324

506

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
 
   Sustaining capital(2)
(61
)
(34
)
(86
)
(54
)
   Productivity capital
(1
)
(2
)
(3
)
(6
)
   Dividends paid on preferred shares(3)
(10
)
(10
)
(20
)
(20
)
   Distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests
(27
)
(40
)
(59
)
(81
)
   Payments on lease obligations(2)
 
(6
)
(5
)
(11
)
(9
)
   Other
 
(1
)
(1
)
(1
)
(2
)
FCF
 
49

96

144

334

(1) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change. 2018 includes $157 million received from the Balancing Pool in the first quarter of 2018, for the early termination of Sundance B and C PPAs.
(2) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised the way in which FFO and FCF are reconciled to reflect the payments related to lease obligations as a separate line and removed finance leases from sustaining capital. 2018 results have been revised to reflect these changes.
(3) Dividends paid on preferred shares for the three months ended June 30, 2018 and 2019 have been adjusted to include the dividends payable in the second quarter.
 
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
Supplemental disclosure
2019

2018

2019

2018

FFO - excluding the PPA settlement
155

188

324

349

FCF - excluding the PPA settlement
49

96

144

177


After adjusting for the 2018 one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs, FFO was down $33 million and $25 million over the three and six months ended June 30, 2018, respectively, mainly due to lower comparable EBITDA of $33 million and $48 million, respectively, primarily due to the expiry of the Mississauga contract, lower revenues on the Poplar Creek contract and the unplanned outage at US Coal during the first quarter of 2019. Lower comparable EBITDA was partially offset by lower interest expense and favourable timing of cash settlements.

Segmented Comparable Results
Segmented cash flow generated by the business, shown in the table below, measures the net cash generated by each of our segments after sustaining and productivity capital expenditures, reclamation costs, provisions, and non-cash mark-to-market gains or losses. This is the cash flow available to: pay our interest and cash taxes, make distributions to our non-controlling partners and dividends to our preferred shareholders, grow the business, pay down debt and return capital to our shareholders.
 
 
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Segmented cash flow(1)
 
 
 
 
 
   Canadian Coal(2)
 
 
19

24

60

232

   US Coal
 
 
11

13

(1
)
31

   Canadian Gas
 
 
24

54

48

114

   Australian Gas
 
 
29

31

59

62

   Wind and Solar
 
 
39

48

105

113

   Hydro
 
 
32

47

56

63

Generation cash flow
 
 
154

217

327

615

   Energy Marketing
 
 
20

9

44

(9
)
   Corporate
 
 
(30
)
(23
)
(41
)
(48
)
Total comparable cash flow
 
144

203

330

558

Total comparable cash flow - excluding PPA settlement
144

203

330

401

(1) Segmented cash flow is a non-IFRS measure. 
(2) Includes $157 million received from the Balancing Pool for the early termination of Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M9



Canadian Coal  
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Availability (%)
80.3

91.0

85.7

90.7

Contract production (GWh)
1,424

1,658

3,486

4,958

Merchant production (GWh)
1,365

1,265

3,022

2,173

Total production (GWh)
2,789

2,923

6,508

7,131

Gross installed capacity (MW)(1)
3,231

3,231

3,231

3,231

Revenues(2)
186

183

421

451

Fuel, carbon costs, and purchased power(2)
91

99

237

264

Comparable gross margin
95

84

184

187

Operations, maintenance, and administration
35

43

68

90

Taxes, other than income taxes
4

4

7

7

Termination of Sundance B and C PPAs



(157
)
Net other operating income
(10
)
(10
)
(20
)
(21
)
Comparable EBITDA(2)
66

47

129

268

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
4

3

7

7

     Mine capital
5

9

10

11

     Planned major maintenance
29

1

32

1

     Total sustaining capital expenditures(3)
38

13

49

19

     Productivity capital
1

2

3

3

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
39

15

52

22

 
 
 
 
 
     Provisions

1

1

(2
)
 Payments on lease obligations(3)
4

4

8

7

     Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
4

3

8

9

Canadian Coal cash flow
19

24

60

232

(1) Includes units temporarily mothballed (774 MW Sundance Units 3 and 5).
(2) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.
(3) On implementation of IFRS 16 in 2019, we have removed the finance leases from sustaining capital and included principal payments on lease obligations as a separate line in arriving at segmented cash flow.
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
Supplemental disclosure
2019

2018

2019

2018

Comparable EBITDA - excluding the PPA settlement
66

47

129

111

Canadian Coal cash flow - excluding the PPA settlement
19

24

60

75


Availability for the second quarter and year-to-date periods declined compared to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to higher planned maintenance outages during the second quarter of 2019. In 2018, there were no planned maintenance outages in this same period.

Production for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased 134 GWh and 623 GWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018. Lower total production in both periods was due to planned maintenance outages mainly in the second quarter of 2019, on the Sundance 4, Keephills 1 and Keephills 2 units. Lower contract production was partially offset by higher merchant production.

Revenue for the three months ended June 30, 2019 was consistent with the same period in 2018. Revenue for the six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased by $30 million compared to the same period in 2018, mainly due to lower production as a result of the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs on March 31, 2018, partially offset by higher market prices.

In the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, revenue per MWh of production increased to approximately $67 per MWh and $65 per MWh, respectively, compared with $63 per MWh and $63 per MWh, respectively, for the same periods in 2018. Revenues in the first quarter of 2018 included the Sundance B and C PPA revenue as well as the pass through revenues associated with carbon compliance costs, which are no longer recoverable on the Sundance units as the PPAs have been terminated.

Fuel, carbon compliance costs, and purchased power costs per MWh of production were lower for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, at $33 per MWh and $36 per MWh, respectively, compared with $34 per MWh and $37 per MWh, respectively, in the

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M10



same periods in 2018. Consequently, comparable gross margin per MWh for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, improved by $5/MWh and $2/MWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018.

We continued to co-fire with natural gas at the merchant units, when economical. Co-firing lowers the carbon compliance costs as the GHG emissions are lower. In addition, fuel costs can be lower by co-firing, depending on the market price for natural gas. We expect the level of co-firing to increase as the higher capacity Pioneer Pipeline began to transport gas late in the second quarter of 2019. See the Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation section of this MD&A for further details.

OM&A costs were $8 million and $22 million lower in the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 compared to 2018, respectively. 2019 OM&A reflects the full impact of cost reductions progressively implemented over the proceeding year. These cost reductions arose from a combination of factors including fewer units operating, lower capacity factor operation on merchant units, co-firing with gas, and operations and maintenance work optimization.

Excluding the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs in the first quarter of 2018, comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 was $19 million and $18 million higher, respectively, compared with the same periods in 2018. This largely reflects the combined impact of higher prices, lower fuel, carbon compliance and purchased power costs as well as lower OM&A costs.

Sustaining and productivity capital expenditures increased $24 million and $30 million for the second quarter and year-to-date periods, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, as capital increased due to planned power plant maintenance outages in 2019. There were no planned maintenance outages on operated power plants in the same periods in 2018.

Canadian Coal cash flow for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, declined by $5 million and $15 million (excluding the one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs), respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to increased sustaining capital expenditures associated with the planned maintenance outages in 2019, partially offset by higher comparable EBITDA, There were no planned maintenance outages in these periods in 2018.

US Coal  
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Availability (%)
35.2

25.9

55.9

32.2

Adjusted availability (%)(1)
73.6

63.5

75.2

81.5

Contract sales (GWh)
830

830

1,650

1,651

Merchant sales (GWh)
397

90

2,571

839

Purchased power (GWh)
(881
)
(836
)
(1,850
)
(1,688
)
Total production (GWh)
346

84

2,371

802

Gross installed capacity (MW)
1,340

1,340

1,340

1,340

Revenues(2)
72

58

231

143

Fuel and purchased power
34

20

188

64

Comparable gross margin
38

38

43

79

Operations, maintenance, and administration
18

12

32

27

Taxes, other than income taxes
1

1

2

2

Comparable EBITDA(2)
19

25

9

50

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
1

2

1

2

     Planned major maintenance
4

6

4

11

     Total sustaining capital expenditures(3)
5

8

5

13

     Productivity capital




     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures(3)
5

8

5

13

 
 
 
 
 
 Payments on lease obligations(3)

1


2

     Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
3

3

5

4

US Coal cash flow
11

13

(1
)
31

(1) Adjusted for dispatch optimization.
(2) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.
(3) On implementation of IFRS 16 in 2019, we have removed the finance leases from sustaining capital and included principal payments on lease obligations as a separate line. The contractual arrangement that was accounted for as a finance lease in 2018 and prior periods is not considered a lease under IFRS 16. Accordingly, the costs are reflected in fuel and purchased power and there are no payments on lease obligations from Jan. 1, 2019.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M11



Adjusted availability for the three months ended June 30, 2019 was up compared to the same period in 2018, due to reduced planned maintenance. Adjusted availability for the six months ended June 30, 2019 was down compared to the same period in 2018, due to higher unplanned outages and derates. In 2019, both Centralia Units remained in service into April due to higher prices in the Pacific Northwest, whereas in 2018, both Centralia Units were taken out of service in February as a result of seasonally lower prices in the Pacific Northwest. In 2018, we performed major maintenance on both units during that time. Availability was also lower in 2019 as Centralia Unit 1 operated with a derate due to blocked precipitator hoppers impacting the six months ended June 30, 2019. This derate was resolved during the period the unit was offline during the second quarter of 2019.

Production for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 increased 262 GWh and 1,569 GWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, due mainly to higher merchant pricing and the timing of dispatch optimization. Prices did not support dispatch optimization at Centralia until mid April in 2019.

Comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, was down $6 million and $41 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018. During an isolated and extreme pricing event in March, Centralia was unable to commit one of its units to physical production for day ahead supply due to an unplanned forced outage repair. As a result, the Corporation incurred cash losses of $25 million on its day ahead hedging position. This isolated and extreme pricing event was the result of cold weather and strong demand in the Pacific Northwest as well as from extremely high natural gas prices. The affected unit was able to return to service earlier than expected for delivery in the real time market, however, it was only able to recover a portion of the day ahead hedge losses due to real time prices settling significantly below the day ahead settlement price. The day ahead and subsequent real time prices are historically very similar. The event occurred within a 48 hour period. The remaining year-to-date comparable EBITDA variance of $16 million is related to the fact that in 2018 we fulfilled more of our contracted volumes with lower priced power purchases. In 2019, lower priced power to service our contracted volumes was not available until later in the year, requiring additional higher cost production from the plant to support our contracts. In addition, the precipitator derate repair resulted in higher OM&A costs in the second quarter of 2019.

Sustaining and productivity capital expenditures for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased $3 million and $8 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, as there was less planned outage work performed in 2019.

US Coal's cash flow for the second quarter of 2019 was consistent with 2018. Year-to-date cash flow declined by $32 million compared to the same period in 2018, due mainly to lower Comparable EBITDA, slightly offset by lower capital expenditures.

Canadian Gas
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Availability (%)
89.2

84.5

94.3

91.6

Contract production (GWh)
423

326

860

741

Merchant production (GWh)(1)
(59
)
33

100

71

Total production (GWh)
364

359

960

812

Gross installed capacity (MW)
945

953

945

953

Revenues(2)
55

92

127

196

Fuel and purchased power
12

19

43

48

Comparable gross margin
43

73

84

148

Operations, maintenance, and administration
11

12

22

25

Taxes, other than income taxes
1


1

1

Comparable EBITDA(2)
31

61

61

122

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
3

1

8

2

     Planned major maintenance
4

6

5

7

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
7

7

13

9

     Productivity capital



1

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
7

7

13

10

 
 
 
 
 
     Provisions and other



(2
)
Canadian Gas cash flow
24

54

48

114

(1) Includes purchased power, which is used for dispatch optimization, when economical.
(2) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.

Availability for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 increased compared to the same periods in 2018, primarily due to lower planned outages at Fort Saskatchewan in the second quarter and Sarnia during the first quarter.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M12



Production for the three months ended June 30, 2019 was in line with the same period in 2018, as higher production at Fort Saskatchewan was offset by lower production at Sarnia due to lower market demand. Production for the six months ended June 30, 2019 increased 148 GWh compared to the same period in 2018, mainly due to higher production at the Sarnia facility during the first quarter of 2019 due to lower planned outages and higher market demand.

Comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased by $30 million and $61 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to the Mississauga contract ending Dec. 31, 2018 and lower scheduled payments from the Poplar Creek finance lease. In the three and six months ended June 30, 2018, comparable EBITDA included $32 million and $70 million of EBITDA, respectively, from the Mississauga and Poplar Creek contracts.

Sustaining and productivity capital in the second quarter was consistent year over year. Sustaining and productivity capital for the six months ended June 30, 2019 increased $3 million compared to the same period in 2018, due to the timing of capital spares purchases for Sarnia.

Cash flow at Canadian Gas decreased by $30 million and $66 million in the second quarter and year-to-date periods of 2019, respectively, compared to 2018, due to lower comparable EBITDA.

Australian Gas
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Availability (%)
90.6

93.9

86.0

92.8

Contract production (GWh)
453

473

919

913

Gross installed capacity (MW)
450

450

450

450

Revenues
40

41

81

82

Fuel and purchased power
1

1

2

2

Comparable gross margin
39

40

79

80

Operations, maintenance, and administration
8

9

18

18

Comparable EBITDA
31

31

61

62

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Planned major maintenance
2


2


     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
2


2


 
 
 
 
 
Australian Gas cash flow
29

31

59

62

 
Availability for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased compared to the same periods in 2018, primarily due to unplanned outages.

Production for the three months ended June 30, 2019 decreased 20 GWh compared to the same period in 2018, mainly due to decreased customer demand. Production for the six months ended June 30, 2019 was consistent with the same period in 2018. Our contracts in Australia are capacity contracts, and our results are not directly impacted by changes in electricity generation.

Comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 was consistent with the same periods in 2018, which was expected due to the nature of our contracts.

Sustaining capital for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 increased by $2 million compared with the same periods in 2018, due to planned major maintenance at our Southern Cross facility in June 2019. 


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M13



Wind and Solar
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Availability (%)
95.2

96.2

95.1

95.3

Contract production (GWh)
518

529

1,275

1,278

Merchant production (GWh)
190

222

404

502

Total production (GWh)
708

751

1,679

1,780

Gross installed capacity (MW)
1,382

1,363

1,382

1,363

Revenues(1)
61

66

148

155

Fuel and purchased power
3

4

7

10

Comparable gross margin
58

62

141

145

Operations, maintenance, and administration
13

11

25

24

Taxes, other than income taxes
2

2

4

4

Net other operating income
(4
)

(4
)

Comparable EBITDA(1)
47

49

116

117

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Planned major maintenance
3

1

5

4

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
3

1

5

4

 
 
 
 
 
 Payments on lease obligations(2)
1


1


     Decommissioning and restoration costs settled


1


 Other (insurance proceeds)
4


4


Wind and Solar cash flow
39

48

105

113

(1) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.
(2) On implementation of IFRS 16 in 2019, we included principal payments on lease obligations as a separate line.

Availability for the three months ended June 30, 2019 was lower than the same period in 2018, due to higher unplanned outages. Availability for the six months ended June 30, 2019 was consistent with 2018.

Production for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased by 43 GWh and 101 GWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, mainly due to lower wind resources in Western Canada and the United States, partially offset by higher wind resources in Eastern Canada.

Comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 was consistent with the same periods in 2018, as lower overall production was mostly offset by insurance proceeds from a tower fire at Summerview. OM&A costs were up slightly due to increased contractor costs.

Wind and Solar's cash flow decreased by $9 million and $8 million in the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, due to lower production, higher capital expenditures and payments on lease obligations.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M14



Hydro
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Production
 
 
 
 
Energy contracted
 
 
 
 
Alberta hydro PPA assets (GWh)(1)
417

448

735

730

Other hydro energy (GWh)(1)
133

133

160

169

Energy merchant
 
 
 
 
Other hydro energy (GWh)
25

28

28

33

Total energy production (GWh)
575

609

923

932

Ancillary services volumes (GWh)(2)
788

876

1,569

1,822

Gross installed capacity (MW)
926

926

926

926

Revenues
 
 
 
 
Alberta hydro PPA assets energy
27

31

56

41

Alberta hydro PPA assets ancillary services
28

45

57

60

Capacity payments received under Alberta hydro PPA(3) 
14

14

28

28

Other revenue(4)
18

17

23

23

Total gross revenues
87

107

164

152

Net payment relating to Alberta hydro PPA
(38
)
(44
)
(78
)
(62
)
Revenues
49

63

86

90

 
 
 
 
 
Fuel and purchased power
2

2

3

3

Comparable gross margin
47

61

83

87

Operations, maintenance, and administration
10

11

18

19

Taxes, other than income taxes

1

1

2

Comparable EBITDA(5)
37

49

64

66

Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
1

1

2

1

     Planned major maintenance
3

1

5

2

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
4

2

7

3

 
 
 
 
 
     Decommissioning and restoration costs settled
1


1


Hydro cash flow
32

47

56

63

(1) Alberta hydro PPA assets include 13 hydro facilities on the Bow and North Saskatchewan river systems included under the PPA legislation. Other hydro facilities include our hydro facilities in BC, Ontario and the hydro facilities in Alberta not included in the legislated PPAs.
(2) Ancillary services as described in the AESO Consolidated Authoritative Document Glossary.
(3) Capacity payments include the annual capacity charge as described in the Power Purchase Arrangements Determination Regulation AR 175/2000, available from Alberta Queen's Printer.
(4) Other revenue includes revenues from our non-PPA hydro facilities, our transmission business and other contractual arrangements, including the flood mitigation agreement with the Alberta government and black start services.
(5) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change. However, there was no impact to Hydro's comparable EBITDA.

Production for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased by 34 GWh and 9 GWh, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018. Lower production for the three months ended June 30, 2019 was mainly due to high water resources during the second quarter of 2018. Year-to-date production was in line with 2018 due to favourable market conditions and strong water resources in Alberta during the first quarter of 2019, partially offset by lower water resources in British Columbia.

Total gross revenues decreased by $20 million for the second quarter of 2019 compared to 2018, due to lower ancillary services sales. For the year-to-date period, total gross revenues increased by $12 million compared to 2018, due to favourable power and ancillary services pricing in the first quarter of 2019, which partially offset the decrease in the second quarter. After net payments relating to the Alberta hydro PPA, comparable EBITDA for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased by $12 million and $2 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018.

Sustaining and productivity capital expenditures increased $2 million and $4 million for the second quarter and year-to-date period compared to the same periods in 2018, respectively, due to an overhaul at our Rundle and Three Sisters facilities.

Hydro's cash flow decreased by $15 million and $7 million for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, due mainly to lower Comparable EBITDA and higher planned major maintenance.
Energy Marketing
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Revenues and gross margin(1)
21

11

49

9

Operations, maintenance, and administration
8

5

17

13

Comparable EBITDA(1)
13

6

32

(4
)
Deduct:
 
 
 
 
     Provisions and other
(7
)
(3
)
(12
)
5

Energy Marketing cash flow
20

9

44

(9
)
(1) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.

For the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, comparable EBITDA was higher by $7 million and $36 million, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018 due to strong results across all markets with particularly strong performance from US Western markets.

Energy Marketing's cash flow improved by $11 million and $53 million in the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, respectively, compared to the same periods in 2018, due to higher comparable EBITDA and other cash settlements.

In addition, for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, Energy Marketing generated $4 million and $22 million, respectively, in unrealized mark-to-market gains (2018 - $2 million and $21 million gains, respectively), which were not included in comparable EBITDA or cash flow above. The cash flow from the 2019 unrealized value is expected to be realized in future periods.

Corporate
 
3 months ended June 30,
 
6 months ended June 30,
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Operations, maintenance, and administration
(27
)
(20
)
(34
)
(40
)
Net other operating income (loss)
(2
)

(2
)

Comparable EBITDA
(29
)
(20
)
(36
)
(40
)
Deduct:
 
 
 
 
  Sustaining capital:
 
 
 
 
     Routine capital
2

3

5

6

     Total sustaining capital expenditures
2

3

5

6

     Productivity capital



2

     Total sustaining and productivity capital expenditures
2

3

5

8

 
 
 
 
 
 Payments on lease obligations(1)
1


2


Other
(2
)

(2
)

Corporate cash flow
(30
)
(23
)
(41
)
(48
)
(1) On implementation of IFRS 16 in 2019, we have included interest and principal payments on lease obligations as a separate line.

For the six months ended June 30, 2019, OM&A costs decreased by $6 million, primarily due to the year-to-date realized net gain of $9 million from the total return swap on our share-based payment plans, partially offset by increased legal fees. A portion of the settlement cost of our share-based payment plans is fixed by entering into total return swaps, which are cash settled every quarter. During the three months ended June 30, 2019, OM&A costs increased by $7 million, due to realized losses from the total return swap on our share-based payment plan and higher legal fees. The loss on the total return swap realized during the second quarter of 2019 partially offset the gain realized in the first quarter of 2019.



TRANSALTA CORPORATION M15



Key Financial Ratios
The methodologies and ratios used by rating agencies to assess our credit ratings are not publicly disclosed. We have developed our own definitions of ratios and targets to help evaluate the strength of our financial position. These metrics and ratios are not defined under IFRS, and may not be comparable to those used by other entities or by rating agencies. We are focused on strengthening our financial position and flexibility and aim to meet all our target ranges.

FFO Before Interest to Adjusted Interest Coverage
For the twelve months ended
 
June 30, 2019

Dec. 31, 2018

FFO
 
745

927

Less: Early termination payment received on Sundance B and C PPAs
 

(157
)
Add: Interest on debt, exchangeable securities and lease obligations, net of interest income
  and capitalized interest
 
163

174

FFO before interest
 
908

944

Interest on debt, exchangeable securities and lease obligations, net of interest income
 
167

176

Add: 50 per cent of dividends paid on preferred shares(1)
 
20

20

Adjusted interest
 
187

196

FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage (times)
 
4.9

4.8

(1) Dividends paid on preferred shares for the three months ended June 30, 2018 and 2019 have been adjusted to include the dividends payable in the second quarter.

Our target for FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage is four to five times. While both periods are within our target range, the ratio improved at June 30, 2019 compared to Dec. 31, 2018, mainly due to lower adjusted interest.

Adjusted FFO to Adjusted Net Debt
As at
 
June 30, 2019

Dec. 31, 2018

FFO(1)
 
745

927

Less: Early termination payment received on Sundance B and C PPAs(1)
 

(157
)
Less: 50 per cent of dividends paid on preferred shares(1, 2)
 
(20
)
(20
)
Adjusted FFO
 
725

750

Period-end long-term debt(3)
 
3,047

3,267

Exchangeable securities
 
324


Less: Cash and cash equivalents
 
(208
)
(89
)
Less: Principal portion of TransAlta OCP restricted cash
 

(27
)
Add: 50 per cent of issued preferred shares
 
471

471

Fair value asset of hedging instruments on debt(4)
 
(6
)
(10
)
Adjusted net debt
 
3,628

3,612

Adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt (%)
 
20.0

20.8

(1) Last 12 months.
(2) Dividends paid on preferred shares for the three months ended June 30, 2018 and 2019 have been adjusted to include the dividends payable in the second quarter.
(3) Includes lease obligations and tax equity financing.
(4) Included in risk management assets and/or liabilities on the condensed consolidated financial statements as at June 30, 2019 and Dec. 31, 2018.

Our target range for adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt is 20 to 25 per cent. Our adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt declined due to lower adjusted FFO compared with 2018.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M16



Adjusted Net Debt to Comparable EBITDA
As at
 
June 30, 2019

Dec. 31, 2018

Period-end long-term debt(1)
 
3,047

3,267

Exchangeable securities
 
324


Less: Cash and cash equivalents
 
(208
)
(89
)
Less: Principal portion of TransAlta OCP restricted cash
 

(27
)
Add: 50 per cent of issued preferred shares
 
471

471

Fair value asset of hedging instruments on debt(2)
 
(6
)
(10
)
Adjusted net debt
 
3,628

3,612

Comparable EBITDA(3, 4)
 
947

1,152

Less: Early termination payment received on Sundance B and C PPAs
 

(157
)
Adjusted comparable EBITDA(3, 4)
 
947

995

Adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA(3, 4) (times)
 
3.8

3.6

(1) Includes lease obligations and tax equity financing.
(2) Included in risk management assets and/or liabilities on the condensed consolidated financial statements as at June 30, 2019 and Dec. 31, 2018.
(3) Last 12 months.
(4) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.

Our target for adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA is 3.0 to 3.5 times. Our adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA ratio increased compared to 2018, mainly due to lower comparable EBITDA.

Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation

Coal-to-Gas Conversions and Repowering of Sundance and Keephills
We are planning the coal-to-gas conversion and repowering of some or all of the units at Sundance and Keephills to gas-fired generation in the 2020 to 2023 time frame. During the first quarter of 2019, we issued Limited Notice to Proceed (“LNTP”) for the coal-to-gas conversion on Sundance Unit 6 and on July 4, 2019, we issued Full Notice to Proceed (“FNTP”) for this unit. We are targeting to complete the conversion of Sundance Unit 6 by the second half of 2020. We expect to issue LNTP and FNTP for a number of the other Sundance and Keephills units later in 2019 and in early 2020 and expect to complete the conversion of these units in 2021 and 2022. The cost to convert each unit is expected to be approximately $30 to $35 million per unit. In 2019, we expect to incur costs of approximately $24 million to maximize our ability to co-fire gas more consistently at up to 30% of rated capacity and for advancing our coal-to-gas conversions.    

In addition, we continue to evaluate the potential to repower one or more of the steam turbines at Sundance and Keephills by installing one or more combustion turbines and heat recovery steam generators, thereby creating highly efficient combined cycle units. We expect to make the decision to proceed with these investments in 2020. Repowering is expected to cost 40% lower than a new combined cycle facility while achieving a similar heat rate.

Pioneer Gas Pipeline Partnership
On Dec. 17, 2018, the Corporation exercised its option to acquire 50 per cent ownership in the Pioneer Pipeline. During the second quarter of 2019, the Pioneer Pipeline transported first gas four months ahead of schedule to TransAlta's generating units at Sundance and Keephills. The Pioneer Pipeline is currently flowing approximately 50 MMcf/day of natural gas during this start-up phase where initial flows may fluctuate depending on market conditions. Firm throughput of approximately 130 MMcf/day of natural gas will commence flowing through the Pioneer Pipeline on Nov. 1, 2019. Tidewater and TransAlta each own a 50 per cent interest in the Pioneer Pipeline which is backstopped by a 15-year take-or-pay agreement from TransAlta at market rate tolls. The investment for TransAlta, including associated infrastructure, will be approximately $100 million.

US Wind Projects
On Feb. 20, 2018, TransAlta Renewables announced that it had entered into an arrangement to acquire two construction-ready wind projects in the United States. Construction of the projects are underway. The wind development projects consist of: i) a 90 MW project located in Pennsylvania that has a 15-year PPA with Microsoft Corp. ("Big Level") and ii) a 29 MW project located in New Hampshire with two 20-year PPAs ("Antrim") (collectively, the "US Wind Projects"), with counterparties that have Standard & Poor's credit ratings of A+ or better.

On March 28, 2019, the closing conditions related to the acquisition of Antrim were finalized and the Corporation acquired the development project. Cost estimates for the US Wind Projects have been re-forecasted to US$259 million, primarily due to construction and weather related delays as well as higher interconnection costs. TransAlta Renewables will fund these costs either by acquiring additional preferred shares issued by a subsidiary of TransAlta or by subscribing for interest-bearing notes issued by the project entity. The proceeds from the issuance of such preferred shares or notes will be used exclusively in connection with the acquisition and construction of the US Wind Projects. TransAlta Renewables expects to fund these acquisition and construction costs

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M17



using its existing liquidity and tax equity financing. Foundations are complete and turbine erection is progressing at both projects. Both Big Level and Antrim are expected to be fully operational during the second half of 2019. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section of this MD&A for further details.

Windrise Wind Project
On Dec. 17, 2018, TransAlta's 207 MW Windrise wind project was selected by the AESO as one of the three selected projects in the third round of the Renewable Electricity Program. TransAlta and the AESO executed a Renewable Electricity Support Agreement with a 20-year term. The Windrise project is situated on 11,000 acres of land located in the county of Willow Creek, Alberta and is expected to cost approximately $270 million. The project development work is on schedule as it is progressing through the permitting process and is on track to reach commercial operation during the second quarter of 2021.

WindCharger Project
During the first quarter of 2019, TransAlta approved the WindCharger project, an innovative 10 MW / 20 MWh energy storage project. WindCharger is located in southern Alberta in the Municipal District of Pincher Creek next to TransAlta’s existing Summerview Wind Farm Substation. WindCharger will store energy produced by the nearby Summerview II Wind Farm and discharge into the Alberta Electricity Grid at times of high-peak demand. This project is expected to be the first utility-scale battery storage facility in Alberta and will be receiving co-funding support from Emissions Reduction Alberta. Regulatory applications, including a facilities application to the Alberta Utilities Commission, have been submitted with approvals expected during the third quarter of 2019. TransAlta is in the process of completing detailed design and engineering and procuring long-lead equipment. Construction is on-track to begin in March 2020 with a commercial operation date of June 2020. The total expected cost of the project to TransAlta is $7 million.

Project Greenlight
Project Greenlight is a multi-year program to transform our business and the delivery of the Corporation’s strategy. Business units are focusing both on cash flow improvements and the way the Corporation is delivering sustainable value. Through this program we delivered on projects that improved performance by improving generation efficiency, improving heat rates, lowering fuel costs, reducing GHG emissions, reducing operating and maintenance costs, optimizing our capital spend, avoiding new costs, reducing overhead costs and financing costs, improving working capital, monetizing assets, streamlining processes and achieving efficiencies.

The success of this project has enabled financial flexibility for new investments and as we proceed with plans to embed the transformation process into the business, we expect to continue to realize new value through innovation and process improvements. 

Significant and Subsequent Events

TransAlta and Capital Power Swap Non-Operating Interests in Keephills 3 and Genesee 3
On Aug. 2, 2019, the Corporation announced that it entered into an agreement with Capital Power Corporation ("Capital Power") to swap TransAlta's 50 per cent ownership interest in the Genesee 3 facility for Capital Power's 50 per cent ownership interest in the Keephills 3 facility. As a result, TransAlta will own 100 per cent of the Keephills 3 facility and Capital Power will own 100 per cent of the Genesee 3 facility. The purchase prices for each non-operating interest will largely offset each other, resulting in a net payment of approximately $10 million from Capital Power to TransAlta, subject to working capital adjustments and other terms and conditions. The closing of the transaction is subject to certain closing conditions, including the receipt of all necessary governmental and regulatory approvals. The Corporation anticipates that the transaction will be neutral to both comparable EBITDA and FFO. We expect to recognize a net pre-tax loss in the range of $155 million to $205 million, mainly resulting from the write-down to fair value of TransAlta’s existing 50 per cent of Keephills 3.

The Keephills 3 facility is a 463 MW coal-fired generating facility located approximately 70 kilometers west of Edmonton, Alberta, adjacent to TransAlta’s existing Keephills Unit 1 and Unit 2 power plants. TransAlta and Capital Power are currently equal partners in the ownership of the Keephills 3 facility and TransAlta is responsible for its operations. The Keephills 3 facility achieved commercial operation in 2011, and has been identified as a candidate for TransAlta’s intended coal-to-gas conversions.
   
The Genesee 3 facility is a 466 MW coal-fired generating facility located approximately 50 kilometers southwest of Edmonton, adjacent to Capital Power’s Genesee generating station. TransAlta and Capital Power are also equal partners in the ownership of the Genesee 3 facility and Capital Power is responsible for its operations.

Normal Course Issuer Bid
On May 27, 2019 the Corporation announced that the Toronto Stock Exchange ("TSX") accepted the notice filed by the Corporation to implement a NCIB for a portion of its common shares. Pursuant to the NCIB, the Corporation may repurchase up to a maximum of 14,000,000 common shares, representing approximately 4.92 per cent of issued and outstanding common shares as at May 27, 2019. Purchases under the NCIB may be made through open market transactions on the TSX and any alternative Canadian trading platforms on which the common shares are traded, based on the prevailing market price. Any common shares purchased under the NCIB will be cancelled.

The period during which TransAlta is authorized to make purchases under the NCIB commenced on May 29, 2019, and ends on May 28, 2020, or such earlier date on which the maximum number of common shares are purchased under the NCIB or the NCIB is terminated at the Corporation's election.   

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Under TSX rules, not more than 176,447 common shares (being 25 per cent of the average daily trading volume on the TSX of 705,788 common shares for the six months ended April 30, 2019) can be purchased on the TSX on any single trading day under the NCIB, with the exception that one block purchase in excess of the daily maximum is permitted per calendar week.

During the six months ended June 30, 2019, the Corporation purchased and cancelled 2,398,200 common shares at an average price of $8.57 per common share, for a total cost of $21 million. See Note 15 of the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 for further details.

Management Changes
On Aug. 8, 2019, the Board of Directors appointed John Kousinioris to Chief Operating Officer of TransAlta Corporation. Mr. Kousinioris held previously the roles of Chief Legal Officer and most recently Chief Growth Officer at TransAlta.  Prior to this promotion, he was responsible for overseeing the areas of business development, gas and renewables operations, commercial, and energy marketing.

On May 17, 2019, the Corporation announced the promotion of Todd Stack to CFO. Mr. Stack, who has served as Managing Director and Corporate Controller of the Corporation since February 2017, has been responsible for providing leadership and direction over TransAlta’s financial activities, corporate accounting, reporting, tax, and planning.

Since joining TransAlta in 1990, Mr. Stack has acted as the Corporation's Treasurer, Corporate Controller, as well as a member of the corporate development team reviewing greenfield and acquisition opportunities. Prior to joining the finance team at TransAlta, Mr. Stack held a number of roles in the engineering team, including design, operations and project management. Mr. Stack replaces Christophe Dehout, who left the Corporation to pursue new opportunities.

Strategic Investment by Brookfield
On March 25, 2019, the Corporation announced it had entered into an investment agreement whereby Brookfield will invest $750 million in the Corporation. This investment provides the financial flexibility to drive TransAlta's transition to 100% clean energy by 2025, recognizes the anticipated future value of TransAlta's Alberta Hydro Assets, and accelerates the Corporation's plan to return capital to its shareholders.

Under the terms of the agreement, Brookfield agreed to invest $750 million in TransAlta through the purchase of exchangeable securities, which are exchangeable by Brookfield into an equity ownership interest in TransAlta’s Alberta Hydro Assets in the future at a value based on a multiple of the Hydro Assets’ future EBITDA.

On May 1, 2019, Brookfield invested the initial tranche of $350 million in exchange for 7% unsecured subordinated debentures due May 1, 2039. The remaining $400 million will be invested in October 2020 in exchange for a new series of redeemable, retractable first preferred shares, subject to the satisfaction of certain conditions precedent.

In addition, subject to the exceptions in the investment agreement, Brookfield has committed to purchase TransAlta common shares on the open market to increase its share ownership in TransAlta to not less than 9% at the conclusion of the prescribed share purchase period, provided that Brookfield is not obligated to purchase any common shares at a price per share in excess of $10 per share. TransAlta shareholders elected two experienced Brookfield directors, Harry Goldgut and Richard Legault, to our Board of Directors at the 2019 Annual and Special Meeting of shareholders. TransAlta and Brookfield intend to work together to complete TransAlta’s transition to clean energy, maximize the value of the Hydro Assets, and create long-term shareholder value.

TransAlta has indicated that it intends to return up to $250 million of capital to shareholders through share repurchases within the next three years.

Upon entering into the investment agreement and as required in the terms of the agreement, the Corporation paid to Brookfield a $7.5 million structuring fee. A commitment fee of $15 million was paid upon completion of the initial funding. These transaction costs have been recognized as part of the carrying value of the debentures.

Skookumchuck Wind Energy Facility
On April 12, 2019, TransAlta signed an agreement to purchase a 49 per cent interest in the Skookumchuck Wind Energy Facility, a 136.8 MW wind facility currently under construction and located in Lewis and Thurston counties near Centralia in Washington state.  The project has a 20-year power purchase agreement with an investment grade counterparty. TransAlta will make its investment decision when the facility reaches its commercial operation date, which is expected to be in December 2019. Total consideration for the investment will represent 49 per cent of the total construction cost, less capital contributions from tax equity investors.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M19



Mothballing of Sundance Units
On March 8, 2019, the Corporation announced that the AESO granted an extension to the mothballing of Sundance Units 3 and 5, which will remain mothballed until Nov. 1, 2021, extended from April 1, 2020.

The extensions were requested by TransAlta based on TransAlta’s assessment of market prices and market conditions. TransAlta has the ability to return either of the units back to full operation by providing three months’ notice to the AESO.

Acquisition of Two US Wind Projects
During the first half of 2019, TransAlta Renewables funded $64 million (US$49 million) of construction costs for the US Wind Projects.
On March 28, 2019, the closing conditions related to the acquisition of Antrim were finalized and the Corporation acquired the development project for total cash consideration of $24 million and the settlement of the balance of the outstanding loan receivable of $41 million. As a result, we recognized $50 million for assets under construction in property, plant and equipment and $15 million in intangibles. The Corporation also paid the final holdback for the Big Level development project of $7 million (US$5 million) due on the closing of Antrim. Upon the closing of the purchase of Antrim, TransAlta Renewables funded an additional $70 million (US$52 million) by subscribing for an interest-bearing promissory note issued by the project entity.
Please refer to the Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation section of this MD&A for updates on ongoing projects. Please refer to Note 4 of the audited annual 2018 consolidated financial statements within our 2018 Annual Integrated Report and Note 3 of our unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 for significant events impacting both prior and current year results.

Regulatory Updates
Refer to the Regional Regulation and Compliance discussion in our 2018 annual MD&A for further details that supplement the recent developments as discussed below:

Canadian Federal Government
Large Greenhouse Gas Emitter Regulations
On June 21, 2018, the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act (GGPPA) was passed. Under this Act, the Canadian federal government implemented a national price on GHG emissions. The price began at $20 per tonne of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO2e) emitted in 2019 and will rise by $10 per year until reaching $50 per tonne in 2022.

Carbon Tax
On Jan. 1, 2019, the GGPPA’s “backstop” mechanisms came into effect for large emitters in jurisdictions that did not implement an independent carbon pricing program or where the existing program was not deemed equivalent to the federal system - Ontario, Manitoba, New Brunswick, Saskatchewan, Prince Edward Island, Yukon and Nunavut.

The backstop mechanism has two components: a carbon levy for small emitters and regulation for large emitters called the Output Based Pricing Standard (OBPS). The carbon levy sets a carbon price per tonne of greenhouse gas emissions related to transportation fuels, heating fuels and other, small emission sources. The OBPS is an intensity-based standard where large emitters must meet an industry specific emission intensity performance standard per unit of production. If the facility's emission intensity is below or above the performance standard, the facility will generate carbon credits or carbon obligations equal to the difference between the industry’s emission intensity performance standard and the regulated facility’s emission intensity.

The final regulations for the OBPS were released on June 28, 2019. TransAlta currently operates under this system in Ontario.

Clean Fuel Standard
In 2016, the Canadian federal government announced plans to consult on the development of a Clean Fuel Standard ("CFS") to reduce Canada’s greenhouse gas emissions through the increased use of lower carbon fuels, energy sources and technologies. The objective of the regulation is to achieve 30 million metric tonnes of annual reductions in GHG emissions by 2030. The CFS will establish lifecycle carbon intensity requirements separately for liquid, gaseous and solid fuels that are used in transportation, industry and buildings. Under the proposed policy, coal combusted at facilities that are covered by coal-fired electricity regulations will be exempt from the regulation. Natural gas used for electricity production is currently expected to be included under the gaseous stream.

Consultation on the gaseous stream, commenced in 2019 and will continue into 2020. Publication of the draft regulations for the gaseous stream will occur in late 2020 with final regulations expected in 2021. The gaseous stream is currently expected to come into force by 2023. TransAlta continues to be engaged in the consultation process.

Alberta
Large Greenhouse Gas Emitter Regulations
On Jan. 1, 2018, the Alberta government transitioned from the Specified Gas Emitters Regulation to the Carbon Competitiveness Incentive Regulation (“CCIR”). Under the CCIR, the regulatory compliance moved from a facility-specific compliance standard to a product or sectoral performance compliance standard.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M20



On April 16, 2019, the United Conservative Party ("UCP") won the Alberta provincial election with a majority government. The UCP have committed to moving away from the CCIR to a new regulation called the Technology Innovative Emissions Reduction ("TIER") regime, expected to take effect on Jan. 1, 2020.


Under the proposed TIER regulations, large emitters that emit over 100,000 tCO2e per year will be covered with an opt-in provision from 100,000 to 10,000 tCO2e per year. For the electricity sector, like CCIR, TIER is an intensity-based carbon standard where emission obligations are assessed on a tonnes of carbon per MWh. Electricity sector covered entities will have to meet a “good-as-best-gas” sector intensity standard that is proposed to be the same as CCIR at 370 tCO2e/GWh. All other larger emitters will need to reduce emission by 10% from their 2016-18 average facility emission factor.

Facilities with emissions above the set reduction requirements will need to comply with TIER by: 1) paying the Carbon Fund price, 2) making reductions at their facility, 3) remitting emission performance credits from other facilities, or 4) remitting emission offset credits.

To get stakeholder feedback on TIER, the Alberta government held consultation meetings throughout July ending with final written submissions due on Aug. 2, 2019. The Alberta government intends to draft and pass the new TIER regulation during the Fall session with TIER replacing CCIR on Jan. 1, 2020.

Upon finalization of the program, the TIER system will be submitted for review by the federal government. The federal government conducts an annual review of provincial carbon pricing systems to confirm alignment with the guidance requirements. The 2019 review process is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of 2019.

Carbon Tax
The Albertan UCP government passed Bill 1: An Act to Repeal the Carbon Tax that removed the carbon tax as of May 30, 2019 on fossil fuel sources such as gasoline, natural gas, etc. The federal government has committed to replace the provincial carbon tax with an equivalent federal carbon tax as of January 1, 2020. TransAlta will not pay the carbon tax on the relevant fuels from June 1, 2019 to December 31, 2019.

Electricity Market Review
On July 24, 2019, the UCP cancelled the capacity market after completing their 90 day review process.  The Alberta government has indicated they will continue with the energy-only market structure.  This market structure will be supportive of TransAlta’s current and future strategies.

Ontario
Large Greenhouse Gas Emitter Regulations
Ontario large emitters are currently subject to the federal backstop OBPS regulation and are expected to remain under this regulation until at least the next federal review in 2022.

On July 4, 2019, the Government of Ontario released the final regulations for the provincial Greenhouse Gas Emissions performance Standards (EPS). The EPS establishes greenhouse gas emission limits on covered facilities. Large emitters generating over 50,000 tonnes CO2e or more per year will be covered with an opt-in provision for those emitters between 10,000 and 50,000 tCO2e annually. The carbon emissions limit for electricity is set at 420 tCO2e/GWh. The program also provides a method that accounts for the carbon efficiency of cogeneration units.

Facilities with emissions above the set reduction requirements can comply by: 1) buying excess emission units from the regulator, 2) making reductions at their facility, or 3) using emission performance units generated by facilities emitting below their emission intensity limit.

The first compliance period under the Regulation will begin on Jan. 1 in the year in which Ontario is removed from the list of provinces to which the federal OBPS applies. We currently anticipate this to occur on January 1, 2023.

Carbon Tax
The Federal carbon tax was implemented in Ontario as of April 1, 2019. It is expected to remain in place until the next Federal review in 2022.

Electricity Market Review
Ontario is implementing a transitional capacity market that will allow demand response and existing, uncontracted generators to participate. The first auction will be held in December 2019 for the 2020 obligation period. TransAlta assets are contracted and will not participate. This capacity market will evolve and allow participation by imports and uncontracted capacity at contracted facilities. TransAlta may be able to participate in the 2022 or later auctions.

Ontario is planning to implement major changes to its energy market, including the adoption of nodal pricing (transmission congestion pricing) and a day-ahead market. These changes are expected to have small impacts on prices in Southern Ontario where most of TransAlta’s assets are located.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M21



Capital Structure and Liquidity

Our capital structure consists of the following components as shown below:
 
 
June 30, 2019
Dec. 31, 2018
As at
 $

 %

 $

 %

TransAlta Corporation
 
 
 
 
   Recourse debt - CAD debentures
 
647

9

647

9

   Recourse debt - US senior notes
 
907

13

943

13

   Exchangeable securities
 
324

5



   Credit facilities
 


174

2

   US tax equity financing
 
25

1

28


   Other
 
10


11


Less: Cash and cash equivalents
(189
)
(3
)
(16
)

Less: Principal portion of TransAlta OCP restricted cash


(27
)

Less: fair value asset of economic hedging instruments on debt
(6
)

(10
)

   Net recourse debt
1,718

25

1,750

24

   Non-recourse debt
441

6

469

6

   Lease obligations
60

1

63

1

Total net debt - TransAlta Corporation
2,219

32

2,282

31

TransAlta Renewables
 
 
 
 
   Credit facility
 
200

3

165

2

Less: cash and cash equivalents
(19
)

(73
)
(1
)
   Net recourse debt
181

3

92

1

   Non-recourse debt
742

10

767

11

   Lease obligations
15




Total net debt - TransAlta Renewables
938

13

859

12

Total consolidated net debt
3,157

45

3,141

43

Non-controlling interests
1,095

15

1,137

16

Equity attributable to shareholders
 
 
 
 
   Common shares
3,034

43

3,059

42

   Preferred shares
942

13

942

13

   Contributed surplus, deficit, and
      accumulated other comprehensive income
 
(1,117
)
(16
)
(1,004
)
(14
)
Total capital
7,111

100

7,275

100


Overall, our total consolidated net debt increased by $16 million during the first six months of 2019 mainly due to the issuance of the exchangeable securities offset by lower drawings on the credit facilities and increased cash and cash equivalents. Between 2019 and 2021, we have approximately $619 million of debt maturing. We will receive the proceeds from the issuance to Brookfield of the second tranche of exchangeable securities of $400 million in the fourth quarter of 2020. See the Significant and Subsequent Events section for further details.

Our credit facilities provide us with significant liquidity. We have a total of $2.2 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $2.0 billion) of committed credit facilities, comprised of our $1.25 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $1.25 billion) committed syndicated bank credit facility, TransAlta Renewables’ committed syndicated bank credit facility of $0.7 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $0.5 billion) and our $0.2 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $0.2 billion) committed bilateral facilities. These facilities were renewed, and TransAlta Renewables' facility was increased by $200 million, during the second quarter of 2019 and expire in 2023, 2023, and 2021 respectively. The $1.95 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $1.75 billion) committed syndicated bank facilities are the primary source for short-term liquidity after the cash flow generated from the Corporation's business.
In total, $1.3 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $0.9 billion) is not drawn. At June 30, 2019, the $0.9 billion (Dec. 31, 2018 - $1.1 billion) of credit utilized under these facilities was comprised of actual drawings of $200 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $339 million) and letters of credit of $654 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $720 million). The Corporation is in compliance with the terms of the credit facilities and all undrawn amounts are fully available. In addition to the $1.3 billion available under the credit facilities, the Corporation also has $208 million of available cash and cash equivalents.


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The Corporation's subsidiaries have issued non-recourse bonds of $1,182 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $1,235 million) that are subject to customary financing conditions and covenants that may restrict our ability to access funds generated by the facilities’ operations. Upon meeting certain distribution tests, typically performed once per quarter, the funds are able to be distributed by the subsidiary entities to their respective parent entity. These conditions include meeting a debt service coverage ratio prior to distribution, which was met by these entities in the second quarter. However, funds in these entities that have accumulated since the second quarter test will remain there until the next debt service coverage ratio can be calculated in the third quarter of 2019. At June 30, 2019, $23 million (Dec. 31, 2018 -$33 million) of cash was subject to these financial restrictions.

We have $31 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $31 million) of restricted cash related to the Kent Hills project financing that is being held in a construction reserve account, which was returned in July 2019. Additionally, certain non-recourse bonds require that certain reserve accounts be established and funded through cash held on deposit and/or by providing letters of credit. We have elected to use letters of credit as at June 30, 2019.

The weakening of the US dollar has decreased our long-term debt balances by $38 million in 2019. Almost all our US-denominated debt is hedged either through financial contracts or net investments in our US operations. During the period, these changes in our US-denominated debt were offset as follows:
 
June 30, 2019

Effects of foreign exchange on carrying amounts of US operations
(net investment hedge)
(19
)
Foreign currency economic cash flow hedges on debt
(5
)
Economic hedges on US operations
(11
)
Unhedged
(3
)
Total
(38
)

Share Capital
The following tables outline the common and preferred shares issued and outstanding:
As at
August 8, 2019

June 30, 2019

Dec. 31, 2018

 
Number of shares (millions)
Common shares issued and outstanding, end of period
282.3

282.3

284.6

Preferred shares
 

 

 

Series A
10.2

10.2

10.2

Series B
1.8

1.8

1.8

Series C
11.0

11.0

11.0

Series E
9.0

9.0

9.0

Series G
6.6

6.6

6.6

Preferred shares issued and outstanding, end of period
38.6

38.6

38.6


Non-Controlling Interests
As of June 30, 2019, we own 60.6 per cent (June 30, 2018 - 61.1 per cent) of TransAlta Renewables. Our ownership percent decreased due to common shares issued under TransAlta Renewables Dividend Reinvestment Plan. We do not participate in this plan.
 
We also own 50.01 per cent of TransAlta Cogeneration L.P (“TA Cogen”), which owns, operates, or has an interest in four natural-gas-fired facilities (Mississauga, Ottawa, Windsor and Fort Saskatchewan) and one coal-fired generating facility.

Reported earnings attributable to non-controlling interests for the year-to-date and second quarter 2019 decreased to $51 million and $16 million, respectively, from $56 million and $28 million, respectively, in the same periods of 2018. Earnings in both periods were down at TransAlta Renewables in 2019, primarily as a result of a decrease in finance and interest income related to subsidiaries of TransAlta, higher foreign exchange losses, partially offset by an increase in the change in fair value of investments in subsidiaries of TransAlta. Earnings from TA Cogen increased in both the quarter and the year-to-date 2019 periods, mainly due to strong Alberta pricing and lower costs of fuel at the coal-fired generating facility.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M23



Returns to Providers of Capital
Net Interest Expense
The components of net interest expense are shown below:
 
3 months ended June 30
 
6 months ended June 30
 
 
2019

2018

2019

2018

Interest on debt
42

45

83

98

Interest on exchangeable securities
5


5


Interest income
(3
)
(3
)
(5
)
(6
)
Capitalized interest
(1
)

(2
)

Loss on early redemption of US Senior Notes and Debentures



5

Interest on lease obligations
1

1

2

2

Credit facility and bank charges
4

3

7

6

Other interest
2

7

4

10

Accretion of provisions
6

6

12

12

Net interest expense
56

59

106

127


Interest expense decreased during the three and six months ended June 30, 2019 due to lower debt levels, the $5 million pre-payment premium incurred in the first quarter of 2018 relating to the early redemption of the US$500 million Senior Notes and the $5 million of costs expensed in 2018 in connection with project level financing that was no longer practicable. Interest on the exchangeable securities was largely offset by lower interest on debt.
 
Dividends to Shareholders
 
The following are the common and preferred shares dividends declared from Jan. 1, 2019 up to Aug 8, 2019:
 
 
 
Common

Preferred Series dividends per share
 
Payable date
dividends

 

 

 

 

 

Declaration date
Common Shares
Preferred Shares
per share

A

B

C

E

G

July 16, 2019
Oct. 1, 2019
Sept. 30, 2019
0.04

0.16931

0.23422

0.25169

0.32463

0.33125

April 15, 2019
July 1, 2019
June 30, 2019
0.04

0.16931

0.23136

0.25169

0.32463

0.33125



TRANSALTA CORPORATION M24



Financial Position
 
The following table outlines significant changes in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position as at June 30, 2019, compared to Dec. 31, 2018:
 
Increase/

 
 
Assets
(decrease)

 
Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents
119

 
Timing of receipts and payments and cash received from the issuance of the exchangeable securities
Trade and other receivables
(252
)
 
Timing of customer receipts and seasonality of revenues
Prepaid expenses
26

 
Annual property tax and insurance payments ($22 million)
Inventory
26

 
Increased coal inventory at US Coal operations ($30 million), partially offset by reduced coal inventory at Canadian Coal operations ($9 million)

Restricted cash
(35
)
 
Restricted cash related to the OCP bonds was used as part of the debt repayment
Property, plant, and equipment, net
(126
)
 
Depreciation for the period ($304 million), adjustments on implementing IFRS 16 ($62 million), unfavourable change in foreign exchange rates ($51 million) and retirement of assets and disposals ($27 million), partially offset by additions ($247 million), acquisition relating to Antrim ($50 million) and revisions to decommissioning and restoration costs ($21 million)
Right of use assets, net
79

 
Transfers from property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and other assets ($38 million) and new right of use assets recognized under IFRS 16 ($47 million) (see Accounting Changes section for further details), partially offset by depreciation ($9 million)
Intangible assets
(12
)
 
Amortization ($25 million), partially offset by the acquisition relating to Antrim ($14 million)
Risk management assets (current and long term)
(19
)
 
Contract settlements and unfavourable foreign exchange rates, partially offset by favourable market prices

Other assets
(17
)
 
Note receivable for the project development costs related to the Pioneer Pipeline moved to PP&E additions
Others
(18
)
 
 
Total decrease in assets
(229
)
 

 
 
 
 
 
Increase/

 
 
Liabilities and equity
(decrease)

 
Primary factors explaining change
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
(132
)
 
Timing of payments and accruals
Dividends payable
(11
)
 
Timing of the declaration of common share dividends
Credit facilities, long term debt, and lease obligations (including current portion)
(220
)
 
Repayments on the credit facilities ($139 million), repayments of long-term debt ($54 million) and favourable changes in foreign exchange ($38 million) were partially offset by an increase in lease obligations on implementation of IFRS 16, net of repayments ($12 million)

Exchangeable securities
324

 
Issuance of the exchangeable securities (see Significant and Subsequent Events section for further details)
Contract liabilities (current and long term)
17

 
Contract liabilities moved from defined benefit obligation and other long term liabilities as they are no longer considered leases on the adoption of IFRS 16 (see the Accounting Changes section for further details)
Defined benefit obligation and other long term liabilities
29

 
Actuarial losses ($37 million) partially offset by liabilities moved to contract liabilities ($17 million)
Deferred income tax liabilities
(68
)
 
Decrease in taxable temporary differences mainly due to the Alberta tax rate reduction (see the Other Consolidated Analysis section for further details)
Equity attributable to shareholders
(138
)
 
Net loss ($55 million), other comprehensive loss ($48 million), shares purchased under the NCIB ($21 million) and common and preferred share dividends declared ($21 million)
Non-controlling interests
(42
)
 
Distributions paid and payable ($70 million) and intercompany FVOCI investments ($35 million), partially offset by net earnings ($51 million) and changes in non-controlling interests in TransAlta Renewables from dividend reinvestment plan ($12 million)
Others
12

 
 
Total decrease in liabilities and equity
(229
)
 
 

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M25



Cash Flows

The following tables outline significant changes in the Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, compared to the three and six months ended June 30, 2018
3 months ended June 30,
2019

2018

Increase/(decrease)

Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
109

329

(220
)
 
Provided by (used in):
 

 

 
 
Operating activities
258

104

154

Favourable changes in non-cash working capital ($179 million) were partially offset by lower cash flow from operations before changes in working capital ($25 million)

Investing activities
(177
)
(106
)
(71
)
Higher additions to PP&E ($50 million), investment in the Pioneer Pipeline ($33 million), and lower receipts from finance leases ($8 million) were partially offset by the favourable change in non-cash investing working capital balances ($10 million) and cash proceeds received from an insurance claim for the fire at Summerview ($4 million)
Financing activities
19

(205
)
224

Issuance of the exchangeable securities ($350 million), lower repayments of long-term debt ($40 million), lower repayment on the credit facilities ($12 million) and lower distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests ($16 million), partially offset by lower proceeds on issuance of TransAlta Renewables common shares ($144 million), higher financing fees paid ($26 million), higher preferred share dividends paid ($10 million) and higher share buybacks under NCIB ($15 million)
Translation of foreign currency cash
(1
)
1

(2
)
 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
208

123

85

 

6 months ended June 30,
2019

2018

Increase/(decrease)

Primary factors explaining change
Cash and cash equivalents, beginning of period
89

314

(225
)
 
Provided by (used in):
 

 

 
 
Operating activities
340

529

(189
)
Lower cash flow from operations before changes in working capital ($165 million) mainly due to the 2018 one time receipt of $157 million for the termination of the Sundance Units B and C PPAs. There was also an unfavourable change in non-cash working capital ($24 million)
Investing activities
(230
)
(159
)
(71
)
Investment in the Pioneer Pipeline ($83 million), higher additions to PP&E ($61 million) and lower receipts from finance leases ($17 million), partially offset by the decrease in restricted cash related to the OCP debt ($35 million) and a favourable change in non-cash investing working capital balances ($44 million) and cash proceeds received from an insurance claim for the fire at Summerview ($4 million)
Financing activities
10

(562
)
572

Lower repayments of long-term debt ($671 million), issuance of the exchangeable securities ($350 million) and lower distributions paid to subsidiaries' non-controlling interests ($25 million), partially offset by higher net repayments under credit facilities ($243 million), lower proceeds on issuance of TransAlta Renewables common shares ($144 million), lower realized gains on financial instruments ($48 million), higher financing fees paid ($21 million) and higher share buybacks under NCIB ($14 million)
Translation of foreign currency cash
(1
)
1

(2
)
 
Cash and cash equivalents, end of period
208

123

85

 

Other Consolidated Analysis

Unconsolidated Structured Entities or Arrangements
Disclosure is required of all unconsolidated structured entities or arrangements such as transactions, agreements, or contractual arrangements with unconsolidated entities, structured finance entities, special purpose entities, or variable interest entities that are reasonably likely to materially affect liquidity or the availability of, or requirements for, capital resources. We currently have no such unconsolidated structured entities or arrangements.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M26



 
Guarantee Contracts
We have obligations to issue letters of credit and cash collateral to secure potential liabilities to certain parties, including those related to potential environmental obligations, commodity risk management and hedging activities, construction projects, and purchase obligations. At June 30, 2019, we provided letters of credit totaling $654 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $720 million) and cash collateral of $70 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $105 million). These letters of credit and cash collateral secure certain amounts included on our Condensed Consolidated Statements of Financial Position under risk management liabilities and decommissioning and other provisions.
 
Income Taxes
In the second quarter of 2019, the Corporation recognized a deferred income tax recovery of $40 million related to a decrease in the Alberta corporate tax rate from 12 per cent to 8 per cent. The lower tax rates will be phased in as follows: 11 per cent effective July 1, 2019; 10 per cent effective Jan. 1, 2020; 9 per cent effective Jan. 1, 2021; and 8 per cent effective Jan. 1, 2022.

Commitments
During the second quarter of 2019, the Corporation entered into new contractual commitments for new assets beginning in the third quarter of 2019, with total payments of $65 million. Annual payments will be: 2019 - $9 million; 2020 - $17 million; 2023 to 2038 - $2-3 million per year.

In addition, beginning on Nov. 1, 2019, TransAlta has a commitment to transport the initial daily contract quantity of 139,000 gj/day of natural gas on a firm basis on the Pioneer Pipeline.

Contingencies 
I. Line Loss Rule Proceeding 
The Corporation has been participating in a line loss rule proceeding before the Alberta Utilities Commission ("AUC"). The AUC determined that it has the ability to retroactively adjust line loss charges going back to 2006 and directed the Alberta Electric System Operator to, among other things, perform such retroactive calculations. A recent decision by the AUC determined the methodology to be used retroactively and it is now possible to estimate the total potential retroactive exposure faced by the Corporation for its non-PPA MWs. Because of the complexity of the new methodology, the final calculations from the AESO will not be available for some time, and there will be no payments until 2021.  The Applications for permission to appeal various AUC decisions were denied. There is some potential for further appeals, but the probability of success on such appeals is low. The current estimate of exposure based on known data is $15 million and therefore the Corporation has recorded a provision of $15 million as at June 30, 2019 and Dec. 31, 2018. 
II. FMG Disputes
The Corporation is currently engaged in two disputes with Fortescue Metals Group Ltd. ("FMG").  The first arose as a result of FMG’s purported termination of the South Hedland PPA.  TransAlta has sued FMG, seeking payment of amounts invoiced and not paid under the South Hedland PPA, as well as a declaration that the PPA is valid and in force.  FMG, on the other hand, seeks a declaration that the PPA was lawfully terminated. 
The second matter involves FMG’s claims against TransAlta related to the transfer of the Solomon Power Station to FMG.  FMG claims certain amounts related to the condition of the facility while TransAlta claims certain outstanding costs that should be reimbursed.
III. Balancing Pool Dispute
Pursuant to a written agreement, the Balancing Pool paid the Corporation approximately $157 million on March 29, 2018 as part of the net book value payment required on termination of the Sundance B and C PPAs. The Balancing Pool, however, excluded certain mining and corporate assets that the Corporation believes should be included in the net book value calculation, which amounts to an additional $56 million. The dispute is currently proceeding through arbitration.

IV. Mangrove
On April 23, 2019, Mangrove Partners commenced an action in the Ontario Superior Court of Justice, naming TransAlta Corporation, the incumbent members of the Board of Directors of TransAlta Corporation on such date, and Brookfield BRP Holdings (Canada), as defendants.  Mangrove Partners is seeking various remedies but primarily to set aside the Brookfield transaction. TransAlta believes the claim is wholly lacking in merit and is taking all steps to defend against the allegations.

Financial Instruments
 
Refer to Note 14 of the notes to the audited annual consolidated financial statements within our 2018 Annual Integrated Report and Note 9 and 14 of our unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements as at and for the six months ended June 30, 2019 for details on Financial Instruments. Refer to the Governance and Risk Management section of our 2018 Annual Integrated Report and Note 10 of our unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for further details on our risks and how we manage them. Our risk management profile and practices have not changed materially from Dec. 31, 2018.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M27



We may enter into commodity transactions involving non-standard features for which observable market data is not available. These are defined under IFRS as Level III financial instruments. Level III financial instruments are not traded in an active market and fair value is, therefore, developed using valuation models based upon internally developed assumptions or inputs. Our Level III fair values are determined using data such as unit availability, transmission congestion, or demand profiles. Fair values are validated on a quarterly basis by using reasonably possible alternative assumptions as inputs to valuation techniques, and any material differences are disclosed in the notes to the financial statements.

As at June 30, 2019, total Level III financial instruments had a net asset carrying value of $656 million (Dec. 31, 2018 - $695 million net asset). The decrease during the period is primarily due to the settlement of contracts and changes in foreign exchange rates, partially offset by favourable market price changes for contracts designated as cash flow hedges for which changes in fair value are recognized in other comprehensive income.

2019 Financial Outlook

 The following table outlines our expectation on key financial targets for 2019:
Measure
Target
 
Comparable EBITDA
$875 million to $975 million
 
FCF
$270 million to $330 million
 
Dividend
$0.16 per share annualized, 14 to 17 per cent payout of FCF
 
 
 
Range of Key Assumptions
 
 
Market
Power Prices ($/MWh)
Alberta Spot
$50 to $60
Alberta Contracted
$50 to $55
Mid-C Spot (US$)
$20 to $25
Mid-C Contracted (US$)
$47 to $53
 
 
 
Other assumptions relevant to 2019 financial outlook
Sustaining capital
$140 million to $165 million (revised)(1)
 
Productivity capital
$10 million to $15 million
 
Sundance coal capacity factor
30%
 
Hydro/ Wind resource
Long term average
 
(1) The original 2019 outlook for sustaining capital spend included an additional $20 million to $25 million in expected spend on finance leases. On implementation of IFRS 16, we reclassified payments on finance leases out of sustaining capital and now show this spend as a separate line to calculate FCF and segmented cash flow. See the Accounting Changes section of this MD&A for further details.

Operations
Availability
Availability of our Canadian coal fleet is expected to be in the range of 87 to 89 per cent in 2019. Availability of our other generating assets (gas, renewables) is expected to be in the range of 90 to 96 per cent in 2019. We will be accelerating our transition to gas and renewables generation, and continue on our coal-to-gas conversion strategy as set out in the Strategic Growth and Corporate Transformation section of this MD&A.

Market Pricing and Hedging Strategy
For 2019, power prices in Alberta are expected to be slightly higher than 2018 due to a full year with improved supply demand balances and strong settled prices year-to-date. Pacific Northwest power prices for 2019 are expected to be higher than 2018 as prices for the first half of the year are stronger relative to 2018. Prices in the third quarter of 2019 will be dependent on weather, however, we don't anticipate a repeat of the natural gas supply issues that impacted regional power prices in November and December. Ontario power prices are expected to be comparable to 2018 given weaker prices during the second quarter due to strong hydro generation.

The objective of our portfolio management strategy is to deliver a high confidence for annual FCF which also provides for positive exposure to price volatility in Alberta. Given our cash operating costs, we can be more or less hedged in a given period, and we expect to realize our annual FCF targets through a combination of forward hedging and selling generation into the spot market.

Fuel Costs
In Alberta, we expect our cash fuel costs per tonne of coal to remain consistent with 2018 costs, even though we expect to mine approximately 2 - 3 million tonnes less in 2019. Total fuel costs on a dollar per MWh basis are expected to remain consistent with 2018 while total fuel costs are expected to be slightly lower due to increased co-firing with natural gas among the merchant units.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M28



In the Pacific Northwest, our US Coal mine, adjacent to our power plant, is in the reclamation stage. Fuel at US Coal has been purchased primarily from external suppliers in the Powder River Basin and delivered by rail. The delivered fuel cost for the remainder of 2019 is expected to decrease by approximately 6 per cent compared to costs incurred in 2018 mainly due to lower natural gas prices.

Aside from the gas used for co-firing at the Canadian Coal plants, most of our other generation from gas is sold under contracts with pass-through provisions for fuel. For gas generation with no pass-through provision, we purchase natural gas from outside companies coincident with production, thereby minimizing our risk to changes in prices.

We closely monitor the risks associated with changes in electricity and input fuel prices on our future operations and, where we consider it appropriate, use various physical and financial instruments to hedge our assets and operations from such price risks.

Energy Marketing
Comparable EBITDA from our Energy Marketing segment is affected by prices and volatility in the market, overall strategies adopted, and changes in regulation and legislation. We continuously monitor both the market and our exposure to maximize earnings while still maintaining an acceptable risk profile. Our 2019 objective for Energy Marketing is for the segment to contribute between $80 million to $100 million in gross margin for the year.
 
Exposure to Fluctuations in Foreign Currencies
Our strategy is to minimize the impact of fluctuations in the Canadian dollar against the US dollar and Australian dollar by offsetting foreign-denominated assets with foreign-denominated liabilities and by entering into foreign exchange contracts.  We also have foreign-denominated expenses, including interest charges, which largely offset our net foreign-denominated revenues.

Net Interest Expense
Net interest expense for 2019 is expected to be lower than in 2018 largely due to lower interest rates, even after including the new exchangeable securities. However, changes in interest rates and in the value of the Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar can affect the amount of net interest expense incurred. In addition, interest expense will increase as a result of implementing IFRS 16. See the Accounting Changes section of this MD&A for further details.

Liquidity and Capital Resources
We expect to maintain adequate available liquidity under our committed credit facilities. We currently have access to approximately$1.3 billion under our committed facilities and $208 million in cash and cash equivalents. Our continued focus will be toward repositioning our capital structure and we expect to be well positioned to address the upcoming debt maturities in 2020 and 2022 with cash flow from operations, the proceeds received from the exchangeable securities and our existing credit facilities.

Growth and Coal-to-Gas Conversion Expenditures
Our growth projects are focused on sustaining our current operations and supporting our growth strategy in our renewables platform. A summary of the significant growth and major projects that are in progress is outlined below:
 
Total project
 
Remaining estimated spend in 2019

Target completion date
 
 
 
Estimated
spend

Spent to
date(1)

 
 
Details
Project
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Big Level wind development project(2)
231

124

 
107

Q4 2019
 
90 MW wind project with a 15-year PPA
Antrim wind development project(3)
105

85

 
20

Q3 2019
 
29 MW wind project with two 20-year PPAs
Pioneer gas pipeline partnership
100

98

 
2

Q4 2019
 
50 per cent ownership in the 120 km natural gas pipeline to supply gas to Sundance and Keephills
Windrise wind development project
270

18

 
33

Q2 2021
 
207 MW wind project with a 20-year Renewable Electricity Support Agreement with AESO
Coal-to-gas conversions(4)
185

8

 
24

2020 to 2022
 
Coal-to-gas conversions at Canadian Coal
Total
891

333

 
186

 
 
 
(1) Represents amounts spent as of June 30, 2019.
(2) The numbers reflected above are in CAD but the actual cash spend on this project is in US funds and therefore these amounts will fluctuate with changes in foreign exchange rates. The estimated total spend is US$178 million, spent to date is US$93 million and estimated remaining spend in 2019 is US$85 million. TransAlta Renewables will fund the construction costs using its existing liquidity and tax equity.
(3) The numbers reflected above are in CAD but the actual cash spend on this project is in US funds and therefore these amounts will fluctuate with changes in foreign exchange rates. The estimated total spend is US$81 million, spent to date is US$64 million and estimated remaining spend in 2019 is US17 million. TransAlta Renewables will fund the acquisition and construction costs using its existing liquidity and tax equity.
(4) Does not include repowering opportunities.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M29



Sustaining and Productivity Capital Expenditures
A significant portion of our sustaining and productivity capital is planned major maintenance, which includes inspection, repair and maintenance of existing components, and the replacement of existing components. Planned major maintenance costs are capitalized as part of PP&E and are amortized on a straight-line basis over the term until the next major maintenance event. It excludes amounts for day-to-day routine maintenance, unplanned maintenance activities, and minor inspections and overhauls, which are expensed as incurred.
 
Our estimate for total sustaining and productivity capital is allocated among the following:
Category
Description
Spent to
date(1)

Expected spend in 2019
Routine capital
Capital required to maintain our existing generating capacity
23

50

60
Planned major maintenance
Regularly scheduled major maintenance
53

70

80
Mine capital
Capital related to mining equipment and land purchases
10

20

25
Total sustaining capital(2)
86

140

165
Productivity capital
Projects to improve power production efficiency and corporate improvement initiatives
3

10

15
Total sustaining and productivity capital
89

150

180
(1) As at June 30, 2019.
(2) The original 2019 outlook for sustaining capital spend included an additional $20 million to $25 million in expected spend on finance leases. On implementation of IFRS 16, we reclassified payments on finance leases out of sustaining capital and now show this spend as a separate line to calculate FCF and segmented cash flow. See the Accounting Changes section of this MD&A for further details.
 
Significant planned major outages at TransAlta's operated units for the remainder of 2019 include the following:
distributed planned maintenance expenditures across the entire Hydro fleet; and
distributed expenditures across our Wind fleet, focusing on planned component replacements.

Lost production as a result of planned major maintenance, excluding planned major maintenance for US Coal, which is scheduled during a period of dispatch optimization, is estimated as follows for 2019:
 
Canadian
Coal
Gas and
Renewables
Total
Lost to date(1)
 
GWh lost
 
600 - 625
350 - 375
950 - 1,000
780
(1) As at June 30, 2019.

Funding of Capital Expenditures
Funding for these planned capital expenditures is expected to be provided by cash flow from operating activities, the proceeds received from the exchangeable securities and existing liquidity. We have access to approximately $1.5 billion in liquidity. The funds required for committed growth, sustaining capital, and productivity projects are not expected to be significantly impacted by the current economic environment.

Accounting Changes
 
Current Accounting Changes

I. IFRS 16 Leases
The Corporation has adopted IFRS 16 Leases ("IFRS 16") with an initial adoption date of Jan. 1, 2019. IFRS 16 sets out the principles for the recognition, measurement, presentation and disclosure of leases. The standard provides a single lessee accounting model, requiring lessees to recognize a right of use asset and liabilities for all in-scope leases. Previously, the Corporation determined at contract inception whether an arrangement is or contains a lease under IAS 17 Leases (IAS 17) or International Financial Reporting Interpretations Committee Interpretation 4 Determining whether an arrangement contains a lease. As a result of the IFRS 16 adoption, the Corporation has changed its accounting policy for leases, which is outlined in Note 2 of the Corporation's unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements.

The Corporation has elected to adopt IFRS 16 using the modified retrospective approach on transition. Comparative information has not been restated and is reported under IAS 17. Refer to the Corporation's most recent annual consolidated financial statements for information on its prior accounting policy. 

The Corporation recognized the cumulative impact of the initial application of the standard of $3 million in Deficit as at Jan. 1, 2019. In applying IFRS 16 for the first time, the Corporation has used the following practical expedients permitted by the standard:
Exemption to not recognize right of use assets and lease liabilities for short-term leases that have a remaining lease term of less than 12 months as at Jan. 1, 2019 and for low value leases;
Excluding initial direct costs for the measurement of the right of use asset at the date of initial application;
Using hindsight in determining the lease term where the contract contains options to extend or terminate the lease;

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M30



Adjusting the right of use assets by the amount of IAS 37 onerous contract provision immediately before the date of initial application; and
Measuring the right of use asset at an amount equal to the lease liability, adjusted by the amount of any prepaid or accrued lease payments relating to that lease recognized in the statement of financial position immediately before the date of initial application.

Impact on the financial statements
Lessee
The Corporation recognized the cumulative impact of the initial application of the standard recording a right of use asset based on the corresponding lease liability measured at the present value of the remaining lease payments discounted using the Corporation's incremental borrowing rate (or the rate implicit in the lease) applied to the lease liabilities at Jan. 1, 2019. We recognized lease liabilities of $83 million as at Jan. 1, 2019, including $63 million that was previously included as finance lease liabilities.

The associated right of use assets were measured at an amount equal to the lease liability, adjusted by the amount of any prepaid or accrued lease payments, onerous contract provisions and lease inducements. On Jan. 1, 2019, the Corporation recognized right of use assets of $85 million, including $38 million that was previously included in property, plant and equipment, intangible assets and other assets.

Applying the IFRS 16 definition of a lease to a contractual arrangement that was accounted for as a finance lease under IAS 17 but is no longer considered a lease under IFRS 16, resulted in the derecognition of a finance lease asset of $29 million and a finance lease liability of $32 million with the net impact of $3 million recorded in Deficit.

Lessor
Several of the Corporation's long term contracts at certain wind, hydro and solar facilities are no longer considered to be operating leases under IFRS 16. Revenues earned on these are now accounted for applying IFRS 15 Revenue from Contracts with Customers. No significant change in the pattern of revenue recognition arose. The Corporation continues to account for its subleases as operating leases.

Refer to Note 2 of the Corporation's unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for a more detailed discussion of the Corporation's adoption of IFRS 16.

II. Change in Estimates - Useful Lives
During the quarter, the Corporation has adjusted the useful life of its Sheerness assets to align with the dual fuel conversion plans. As a result, depreciation expense for the six months ended June 30, 2019 decreased by approximately $2 million and the full year depreciation expense is expected to decrease by approximately $11 million. The useful lives may be revised or extended in compliance with the Corporation's accounting policies, dependent upon future operating decisions and events.

Selected Quarterly Information
Our results are seasonal due to the nature of the electricity market and related fuel costs. Higher maintenance costs are usually incurred in the spring and fall when electricity prices are expected to be lower, as electricity prices generally increase in the peak winter and summer months in our main markets due to increased heating and cooling loads. Margins are also typically impacted in the second quarter due to the volume of hydro production resulting from spring runoff and rainfall in the Pacific Northwest, which impacts production at US Coal. Typically, hydro facilities generate most of their electricity and revenues during the spring months when melting snow starts feeding watersheds and rivers. Inversely, wind speeds are historically greater during the cold winter months and lower in the warm summer months.
 
Q3 2018

Q4 2018

Q1 2019

Q2 2019

 
 
 
 
 
Revenues
593

622

648

497

Comparable EBITDA(1)
250

261

221

215

FFO
204

217

169

155

Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders
(86
)
(122
)
(65
)

Net earnings (loss) per share attributable to common shareholders, basic and diluted(2)
(0.30
)
(0.43
)
(0.23
)

 
 
 
 
 
 
Q3 2017

Q4 2017

Q1 2018

Q2 2018

 
 
 
 
 
Revenues
588

638

588

446

Comparable EBITDA(1)
233

275

393

248

FFO
196

219

318

188

Net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders
(27
)
(145
)
65

(105
)
Net earnings (loss) per share attributable to common shareholders, basic and diluted(2)
(0.09
)
(0.50
)
0.23

(0.36
)
(1) During the first quarter of 2019, we revised our approach to reporting adjustments to arrive at comparable EBITDA, mainly to be more comparable with other companies in the industry. Comparable EBITDA is now adjusted to exclude the impact of unrealized mark-to-market gains or losses. Both the current and prior period amounts have been adjusted to reflect this change.
(2) Basic and diluted earnings per share attributable to common shares are calculated each period using the weighted average number of common shares outstanding during the period. As a result, the sum of the earnings per share for the four quarters making up the calendar year may sometimes differ from the annual earnings per share.

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M31




Reported net earnings, comparable EBITDA and FFO are generally higher in the first and fourth quarters due to higher demand associated with winter cold in the markets in which we operate and lower planned outages.

Net earnings attributable to common shareholders has also been impacted by the following variations and events:
change in income tax rates in the US in the fourth quarter of 2017 and in Alberta in the second quarter of 2019;
effects of impairment charges during the second, third and fourth quarters of 2018;
recognition of the $157 million early termination payment received regarding Sundance B and C PPAs during the first quarter of 2018;
a writedown of deferred tax assets in the first quarter of 2019;
effects of changes in useful lives of certain Canadian Coal assets during the second and third quarters of 2017; and
effects of an impairment of $137 million in the fourth quarter of 2017 on intercompany financial instruments that is attributable only to the non-controlling interests.

Disclosure Controls and Procedures
Management is responsible for establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over financial reporting (‘‘ICFR’’) and disclosure controls and procedures (“DC&P’’). There have been no material changes in our ICFR or DC&P during the three and six months ended June 30, 2019, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our ICFR or DC&P.

ICFR is a framework designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of consolidated financial statements for external purposes in accordance with IFRS. Management has used the Internal Control - Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (2013 framework) in order to assess the effectiveness of the Corporation’s ICFR.

DC&P refer to controls and other procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in the reports we file or submit under securities legislation are recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time frame specified in securities legislation. DC&P include, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed by us in our reports that we file or submit under securities legislation is accumulated and communicated to management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, as appropriate to allow timely decisions regarding our required disclosure.

Together, the ICFR and DC&P frameworks provide internal control over financial reporting and disclosure. In designing and evaluating our ICFR and DC&P, management recognizes that any controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired control objectives and as such may not prevent or detect all misstatements, and management is required to apply its judgment in evaluating and implementing possible controls and procedures. Further, the effectiveness of ICFR is subject to the risk that controls may become inadequate because of changes in conditions or that the degree of compliance with policies or procedures may change.

Management has evaluated, with the participation of our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, the effectiveness of our ICFR and DC&P as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on the foregoing evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer have concluded that, as at June 30, 2019, the end of the period covered by this report, our ICFR and DC&P were effective.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M32



Supplemental Information
 
 
 
June 30, 2019

Dec. 31, 2018

 
 
 
 
 
Closing market price (TSX) ($)
 
 
8.52

5.59

Price range for the last 12 months (TSX) ($)
High
 
10.14

7.90

 
Low
 
5.44

5.44

FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage(2)(times)
 
 
4.9

4.8

Adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt(2)(%)
 
 
20.0

20.8

Adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA(1, 2) (times)
 
 
3.8

3.7

Adjusted net debt to invested capital(1) (%)
 
 
51.0

49.7

Return on equity attributable to common shareholders(2)(%)
 
 
(18.4
)
(15.8
)
Return on capital employed(2)(%)
 
 
(1.2
)
0.7

Earnings coverage(2)(times)
 
 
(0.4
)
0.2

Dividend payout ratio based on FFO(1, 2)(%)
 
 
6.2

7.6

Dividend coverage(2)(times)
 
 
13.8

18.3

Dividend yield(2)(%)
 
 
1.9

2.9

(1) These ratios incorporate items that are not defined under IFRS. None of these measurements should be used in isolation or as a substitute for the Corporation’s reported financial performance or position as presented in accordance with IFRS. These ratios are useful complementary measurements for assessing the Corporation’s financial performance, efficiency, and liquidity and are common in the reports of other companies but may differ by definition and application. For a reconciliation of the non-IFRS measures used in these calculations, refer to the Discussion of Financial Results section of this MD&A.
(2) Last 12 months. During the first quarter of 2019, we revised comparable EBITDA to remove the unrealized mark-to-market gains (losses). 2018 results have been revised to reflect this change.
Ratio Formulas
FFO before interest to adjusted interest coverage = FFO + interest on debt and lease obligations - interest income - capitalized interest / interest on debt and lease obligations + 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares - interest income
Adjusted FFO to adjusted net debt = FFO - 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares / period end long-term debt and lease obligations including fair value (asset) liability of hedging instruments on debt + 50 per cent issued preferred shares - cash and cash equivalents
Adjusted net debt to comparable EBITDA = long-term debt and lease obligations including current portion and fair value (asset) liability of hedging instruments on debt + 50 per cent issued preferred shares - cash and cash equivalents / comparable EBITDA    
Adjusted net debt to invested capital = long-term debt and lease obligations including current portion and fair value (asset) liability of hedging instruments on debt + 50 per cent issued preferred shares - cash and cash equivalents / adjusted net debt + non-controlling interests + equity attributable to shareholders - 50 per cent issued preferred shares
Return on equity attributable to common shareholders = net earnings (loss) attributable to common shareholders / equity attributable to shareholders excluding AOCI - issued preferred shares
Return on capital employed = earnings (loss) before income taxes + net interest expense - net earnings (loss) attributable to non-controlling interests / invested capital excluding AOCI
Earnings coverage = net earnings (loss) attributable to shareholders + income taxes + net interest expense / interest on debt and lease obligations + 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares - interest income
Dividend payout ratio = dividends paid on common shares / FFO - 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares
Dividend coverage ratio based on comparable FFO = FFO - 50 per cent dividends paid on preferred shares/ dividends paid on common shares
Dividend yield = dividend paid per common share / current period’s closing market price

TRANSALTA CORPORATION M33



Glossary of Key Terms

Availability - A measure of the time, expressed as a percentage of continuous operation 24 hours a day, 365 days a year that a generating unit is capable of generating electricity, regardless of whether or not it is actually generating electricity.

Adjusted Availability - Availability is adjusted when economic conditions exist such that planned routine and major maintenance activities are scheduled to minimize expenditures. In high price environments, actual outage schedules would change to accelerate the generating unit's return to service.

Capacity - The rated continuous load-carrying ability, expressed in megawatts, of generation equipment.

Force Majeure - Literally means “greater force”. These clauses excuse a party from liability if some unforeseen event beyond the control of that party prevents it from performing its obligations under the contract.

Gigawatt - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000 megawatts.

Gigawatt Hour (GWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000 megawatts of power over a period of one hour.

Greenhouse Gas (GHG) - Gases having potential to retain heat in the atmosphere, including water vapour, carbon dioxide, methane, nitrous oxide, hydrofluorocarbons, and perfluorocarbons.

Megawatt (MW) - A measure of electric power equal to 1,000,000 watts.

Megawatt Hour (MWh) - A measure of electricity consumption equivalent to the use of 1,000,000 watts of power over a period of one hour.

Power Purchase Arrangement (PPA) - A long-term arrangement established by regulation for the sale of electric energy from formerly regulated generating units to buyers.

Unplanned Outage - The shut-down of a generating unit due to an unanticipated breakdown.


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M34




TransAlta Corporation
110 - 12th Avenue S.W.
Box 1900, Station “M”
Calgary, Alberta Canada T2P 2M1

Phone
403.267.7110

Website
www.transalta.com

AST Trust Company (Canada)
P.O. Box 700 Station “B”
Montreal, Québec Canada H3B 3K3

Phone Toll-free in North America: 1.800.387.0825
Toronto or outside North America: 416.682.3860

Fax 514.985.8843

E-mail
inquiries@canstockta.com

Website www.canstockta.com

FOR MORE INFORMATION

Media and Investor Inquiries
Investor Relations

Phone1.800.387.3598 in Canada and United States
or 403.267.2520

Fax
403.267.7405
E-mail
investor_relations@transalta.com


TRANSALTA CORPORATION M35