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Finance Receivables | 9 Months Ended
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Sep. 25, 2022
Receivables [Abstract] |
Finance Receivables | Finance Receivables The Company provides retail financial services to customers of its dealers in the U.S. and Canada. The origination of retail loans is a separate and distinct transaction between the Company and the retail customer, unrelated to the Company’s sale of product to its dealers. Retail finance receivables consist of secured promissory notes and secured installment sales contracts and are primarily related to dealer sales of motorcycles to retail customers. The Company holds either titles or liens on titles to vehicles financed by promissory notes and installment sales contracts. The Company offers wholesale financing to its dealers in the U.S. and Canada. Wholesale finance receivables are related primarily to the Company's sale of motorcycles and related parts and accessories to dealers. Wholesale loans to dealers are generally secured by financed inventory or property. Finance receivables, net were as follows (in thousands):
| September 25, 2022 |  | December 31, 2021 |  | September 26, 2021
Retail finance receivables | $ | 6,945,649 |  |  | $ | 6,493,519 |  |  | $ | 6,727,956 |
Wholesale finance receivables | 756,895 |  |  | 417,781 |  |  | 491,136 |
| 7,702,544 |  |  | 6,911,300 |  |  | 7,219,092 |
Allowance for credit losses | (360,096) |  |  | (339,379) |  |  | (355,834) |
| $ | 7,342,448 |  |  | $ | 6,571,921 |  |  | $ | 6,863,258 |
The Company’s finance receivables are reported at amortized cost, net of the allowance for credit losses. Amortized cost includes the principal outstanding, accrued interest, and deferred loan fees and costs. The Company's allowance for credit losses reflects expected lifetime credit losses on its finance receivables. Based on differences in the nature of the finance receivables and the underlying methodology for calculating the allowance for credit losses, the Company segments its finance receivables into the retail and wholesale portfolios. The Company further disaggregates each portfolio by credit quality indicators. As the credit risk varies between the retail and wholesale portfolios, the Company utilizes different credit quality indicators for each portfolio. The retail portfolio primarily consists of a large number of small balance, homogeneous finance receivables. The Company performs a collective evaluation of the adequacy of the retail allowance for credit losses. The Company utilizes a vintage-based loss forecast methodology that includes decompositions for probability of default, exposure at default, attrition rate, and recovery balance rate. Reasonable and supportable economic forecasts for a two-year period are incorporated into the methodology to reflect the estimated impact of changes in future economic conditions, such as unemployment rates, household obligations or other relevant factors, over the two-year reasonable and supportable period. For periods beyond the Company’s reasonable and supportable forecasts, the Company reverts to its average historical loss experience using a mean-reversion process over a three-year period. Adjustments to historical loss information are made for differences in current loan-specific risk characteristics such as differences in underwriting standards, portfolio mix, or term as well as other relevant factors. The wholesale portfolio is primarily composed of large balance, non-homogeneous loans. The Company’s evaluation for the wholesale allowance for credit losses is first based on a loan-by-loan review to determine whether the loans share similar risk characteristics. The Company individually evaluates loans that do not share risk characteristics. Loans identified as those for which foreclosure is probable are classified as Non-Performing, and a specific allowance for credit losses is established when appropriate. The specific allowance is determined based on the amortized cost of the related finance receivable and the estimated fair value of the collateral, less selling costs and the cash that the Company expects to receive. Finance receivables in the wholesale portfolio not individually assessed are aggregated, based on similar risk characteristics, according to the Company’s internal risk rating system and measured collectively. The related allowance for credit losses is based on factors such as the specific borrower’s financial performance and ability to repay, the Company’s past credit loss experience, reasonable and supportable economic forecasts, and the value of the underlying collateral and expected recoveries. The Company considers various third-party economic forecast scenarios as part of estimating the allowance for expected credit losses and applies a probability-weighting to those economic forecast scenarios. Each quarter, the Company’s outlook on economic conditions impacts the Company's retail and wholesale estimates for expected credit losses. During the third quarter of 2022, economic recovery slowed and the ongoing pace of economic recovery remained uncertain as the magnitude of inflation continued to challenge the U.S. and global economies, near-term recession concerns have not abated, muted consumer confidence persisted, the conflict in Ukraine was wide-reaching with resolution uncertain, and global supply chain issues continued, among other factors. As such, at the end of the third quarter of 2022, the Company’s outlook on economic conditions and its probability weighting of its economic forecast scenarios included continued slow economic improvement in certain factors, such as unemployment, with a high probability of a near-term recession. Additionally, the historical experience incorporated into the portfolio-specific models does not fully reflect the Company's comprehensive expectations regarding the future. As such, the Company incorporated qualitative factors to establish an appropriate allowance for credit losses balance. These factors include motorcycle recovery value considerations, delinquency adjustments, specific problem loan trends, and changes in other portfolio-specific loan characteristics. Due to the use of projections and assumptions in estimating the losses, the amount of losses actually incurred by the Company in either portfolio could differ from the amounts estimated. Further, the Company’s allowance for credit losses incorporates known conditions at the balance sheet date and the Company’s expectations surrounding the economic forecasts. The Company will continue to monitor future economic trends and conditions. Expectations surrounding the Company's economic forecasts may change in future periods as additional information becomes available. Changes in the Company's allowance for credit losses on its finance receivables by portfolio were as follows (in thousands):
| Three months ended September 25, 2022 |  | Nine months ended September 25, 2022
| Retail |  | Wholesale |  | Total |  | Retail |  | Wholesale |  | Total
Balance, beginning of period | $ | 342,691 |  |  | $ | 9,446 |  |  | $ | 352,137 |  |  | $ | 326,320 |  |  | $ | 13,059 |  |  | $ | 339,379 |
Provision for credit losses | 34,697 |  |  | 1,920 |  |  | 36,617 |  |  | 96,265 |  |  | (1,693) |  |  | 94,572 |
Charge-offs | (40,283) |  |  | — |  |  | (40,283) |  |  | (114,145) |  |  | — |  |  | (114,145) |
Recoveries | 11,625 |  |  | — |  |  | 11,625 |  |  | 40,290 |  |  | — |  |  | 40,290 |
Balance, end of period | $ | 348,730 |  |  | $ | 11,366 |  |  | $ | 360,096 |  |  | $ | 348,730 |  |  | $ | 11,366 |  |  | $ | 360,096 |
| Three months ended September 26, 2021 |  | Nine months ended September 26, 2021
| Retail |  | Wholesale |  | Total |  | Retail |  | Wholesale |  | Total
Balance, beginning of period | $ | 342,490 |  |  | $ | 16,321 |  |  | $ | 358,811 |  |  | $ | 371,738 |  |  | $ | 19,198 |  |  | $ | 390,936 |
Provision for credit losses | 13,861 |  |  | (2,653) |  |  | 11,208 |  |  | 10,465 |  |  | (5,530) |  |  | 4,935 |
Charge-offs | (24,670) |  |  | — |  |  | (24,670) |  |  | (76,366) |  |  | — |  |  | (76,366) |
Recoveries | 10,335 |  |  | 150 |  |  | 10,485 |  |  | 36,179 |  |  | 150 |  |  | 36,329 |
Balance, end of period | $ | 342,016 |  |  | $ | 13,818 |  |  | $ | 355,834 |  |  | $ | 342,016 |  |  | $ | 13,818 |  |  | $ | 355,834 |
The Company manages retail credit risk through its credit approval process and ongoing collection efforts. The Company uses FICO scores, a standard credit rating measurement, to differentiate the expected default rates of retail credit applicants, enabling the Company to better evaluate credit applicants for approval and to tailor pricing according to this assessment. For the Company’s U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables, the Company determines the credit quality indicator for each loan at origination and does not update the credit quality indicator subsequent to the loan origination date. As loan performance by credit quality indicator differs between the U.S. and Canadian retail loans, the Company’s credit quality indicators vary for the two portfolios. For U.S. retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 740 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 640 and 740 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 640 are generally considered sub-prime. For Canadian retail finance receivables, those with a FICO score of 700 or above at origination are generally considered super prime, loans with a FICO score between 620 and 700 are generally categorized as prime, and loans with FICO score below 620 are generally considered sub-prime. The amortized cost of the Company's U.S. and Canadian retail finance receivables by vintage and credit quality indicator was as follows (in thousands):
| September 25, 2022
| 2022 |  | 2021 |  | 2020 |  | 2019 |  | 2018 |  | 2017 & Prior |  | Total
U.S. Retail: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Super prime | $ | 1,002,057 |  |  | $ | 684,597 |  |  | $ | 312,641 |  |  | $ | 187,399 |  |  | $ | 87,508 |  |  | $ | 36,424 |  |  | $ | 2,310,626 |
Prime | 1,281,483 |  |  | 982,085 |  |  | 476,677 |  |  | 297,481 |  |  | 160,552 |  |  | 102,887 |  |  | 3,301,165 |
Sub-prime | 389,674 |  |  | 334,611 |  |  | 185,874 |  |  | 122,231 |  |  | 67,147 |  |  | 58,364 |  |  | 1,157,901 |
| 2,673,214 |  |  | 2,001,293 |  |  | 975,192 |  |  | 607,111 |  |  | 315,207 |  |  | 197,675 |  |  | 6,769,692 |
Canadian Retail: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Super prime | 46,930 |  |  | 33,149 |  |  | 19,727 |  |  | 14,500 |  |  | 6,365 |  |  | 2,085 |  |  | 122,756 |
Prime | 15,043 |  |  | 11,537 |  |  | 8,149 |  |  | 5,738 |  |  | 3,562 |  |  | 2,345 |  |  | 46,374 |
Sub-prime | 1,984 |  |  | 1,552 |  |  | 1,321 |  |  | 991 |  |  | 582 |  |  | 397 |  |  | 6,827 |
| 63,957 |  |  | 46,238 |  |  | 29,197 |  |  | 21,229 |  |  | 10,509 |  |  | 4,827 |  |  | 175,957 |
| $ | 2,737,171 |  |  | $ | 2,047,531 |  |  | $ | 1,004,389 |  |  | $ | 628,340 |  |  | $ | 325,716 |  |  | $ | 202,502 |  |  | $ | 6,945,649 |
| December 31, 2021
| 2021 |  | 2020 |  | 2019 |  | 2018 |  | 2017 |  | 2016 & Prior |  | Total
U.S. Retail: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Super prime | $ | 1,010,636 |  |  | $ | 484,479 |  |  | $ | 316,390 |  |  | $ | 171,763 |  |  | $ | 65,753 |  |  | $ | 27,424 |  |  | $ | 2,076,445 |
Prime | 1,391,385 |  |  | 712,858 |  |  | 470,177 |  |  | 277,206 |  |  | 142,288 |  |  | 82,169 |  |  | 3,076,083 |
Sub-prime | 476,688 |  |  | 273,787 |  |  | 182,002 |  |  | 105,330 |  |  | 61,923 |  |  | 51,035 |  |  | 1,150,765 |
| 2,878,709 |  |  | 1,471,124 |  |  | 968,569 |  |  | 554,299 |  |  | 269,964 |  |  | 160,628 |  |  | 6,303,293 |
Canadian Retail: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Super prime | 51,779 |  |  | 32,724 |  |  | 27,073 |  |  | 13,984 |  |  | 4,619 |  |  | 1,614 |  |  | 131,793 |
Prime | 16,882 |  |  | 12,675 |  |  | 9,244 |  |  | 6,230 |  |  | 3,628 |  |  | 1,779 |  |  | 50,438 |
Sub-prime | 2,356 |  |  | 2,134 |  |  | 1,571 |  |  | 947 |  |  | 606 |  |  | 381 |  |  | 7,995 |
| 71,017 |  |  | 47,533 |  |  | 37,888 |  |  | 21,161 |  |  | 8,853 |  |  | 3,774 |  |  | 190,226 |
| $ | 2,949,726 |  |  | $ | 1,518,657 |  |  | $ | 1,006,457 |  |  | $ | 575,460 |  |  | $ | 278,817 |  |  | $ | 164,402 |  |  | $ | 6,493,519 |
| September 26, 2021
| 2021 |  | 2020 |  | 2019 |  | 2018 |  | 2017 |  | 2016 & Prior |  | Total
U.S. Retail: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Super prime | $ | 896,163 |  |  | $ | 551,078 |  |  | $ | 367,490 |  |  | $ | 206,333 |  |  | $ | 83,674 |  |  | $ | 38,494 |  |  | $ | 2,143,232 |
Prime | 1,228,335 |  |  | 805,349 |  |  | 538,440 |  |  | 323,554 |  |  | 171,308 |  |  | 107,715 |  |  | 3,174,701 |
Sub-prime | 428,238 |  |  | 312,163 |  |  | 207,139 |  |  | 119,730 |  |  | 72,026 |  |  | 64,890 |  |  | 1,204,186 |
| 2,552,736 |  |  | 1,668,590 |  |  | 1,113,069 |  |  | 649,617 |  |  | 327,008 |  |  | 211,099 |  |  | 6,522,119 |
Canadian Retail: |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
Super prime | 50,110 |  |  | 36,596 |  |  | 31,173 |  |  | 16,701 |  |  | 6,265 |  |  | 2,239 |  |  | 143,084 |
Prime | 16,166 |  |  | 13,904 |  |  | 10,336 |  |  | 7,026 |  |  | 4,228 |  |  | 2,350 |  |  | 54,010 |
Sub-prime | 2,345 |  |  | 2,436 |  |  | 1,694 |  |  | 1,090 |  |  | 704 |  |  | 474 |  |  | 8,743 |
| 68,621 |  |  | 52,936 |  |  | 43,203 |  |  | 24,817 |  |  | 11,197 |  |  | 5,063 |  |  | 205,837 |
| $ | 2,621,357 |  |  | $ | 1,721,526 |  |  | $ | 1,156,272 |  |  | $ | 674,434 |  |  | $ | 338,205 |  |  | $ | 216,162 |  |  | $ | 6,727,956 |
The Company's credit risk on the wholesale portfolio is different from that of the retail portfolio. Whereas the retail portfolio represents a relatively homogeneous pool of retail finance receivables that exhibit more consistent loss patterns, the wholesale portfolio exposures are less consistent. The Company utilizes an internal credit risk rating system to manage credit risk exposure consistently across wholesale borrowers and individually evaluates credit risk factors for each borrower. The Company uses the following internal credit quality indicators, based on an internal risk rating system, listed from highest level of risk to lowest level of risk for the wholesale portfolio: Doubtful, Substandard, Special Mention, Medium Risk and Low Risk. Based upon the Company’s review, the dealers classified in the Doubtful category are the dealers with the greatest likelihood of being charged-off, while the dealers classified as Low Risk are least likely to be charged-off. Additionally, the Company classifies dealers identified as those in which foreclosure is probable as Non-Performing. The internal rating system considers factors such as the specific borrower's ability to repay and the estimated value of any collateral. Dealer risk rating classifications are reviewed and updated by the Company on a quarterly basis. The amortized cost of the Company's wholesale financial receivables, by vintage and credit quality indicator, was as follows (in thousands):
| September 25, 2022
| 2022 |  | 2021 |  | 2020 |  | 2019 |  | 2018 |  | 2017 & Prior |  | Total
Non-Performing | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |
Doubtful | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Substandard | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Special Mention | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Medium Risk | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Low Risk | 714,122 |  |  | 22,850 |  |  | 7,169 |  |  | 3,749 |  |  | 8,607 |  |  | 398 |  |  | 756,895 |
| $ | 714,122 |  |  | $ | 22,850 |  |  | $ | 7,169 |  |  | $ | 3,749 |  |  | $ | 8,607 |  |  | $ | 398 |  |  | $ | 756,895 |
| December 31, 2021
| 2021 |  | 2020 |  | 2019 |  | 2018 |  | 2017 |  | 2016 & Prior |  | Total
Non-Performing | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |
Doubtful | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Substandard | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Special Mention | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Medium Risk | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Low Risk | 380,211 |  |  | 11,379 |  |  | 11,047 |  |  | 10,565 |  |  | 3,662 |  |  | 917 |  |  | 417,781 |
| $ | 380,211 |  |  | $ | 11,379 |  |  | $ | 11,047 |  |  | $ | 10,565 |  |  | $ | 3,662 |  |  | $ | 917 |  |  | $ | 417,781 |
| September 26, 2021
| 2021 |  | 2020 |  | 2019 |  | 2018 |  | 2017 |  | 2016 & Prior |  | Total
Non-Performing | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |  |  | $ | — |
Doubtful | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Substandard | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Special Mention | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Medium Risk | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |  |  | — |
Low Risk | 432,088 |  |  | 19,082 |  |  | 22,821 |  |  | 11,218 |  |  | 4,222 |  |  | 1,705 |  |  | 491,136 |
| $ | 432,088 |  |  | $ | 19,082 |  |  | $ | 22,821 |  |  | $ | 11,218 |  |  | $ | 4,222 |  |  | $ | 1,705 |  |  | $ | 491,136 |
Retail finance receivables are contractually delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the specified due date. Retail finance receivables at amortized cost, excluding accrued interest, are generally charged-off when the receivable is 120 days or more delinquent, the related asset is repossessed, or the receivable is otherwise deemed uncollectible. The Company reverses accrued interest related to charged-off accounts against Financial Services interest income when the account is charged-off. The Company reversed $3.9 million and $3.1 million of accrued interest against Financial Services interest income during the three months ended September 25, 2022 and September 26, 2021, respectively, and $13.0 million and $11.6 million during the nine months ended September 25, 2022 and September 26, 2021, respectively. All retail finance receivables accrue interest until either collected or charged-off. Due to the timely write-off of accrued interest, the Company made the election provided under Accounting Standards Codification (ASC) Topic 326, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses to exclude accrued interest from its allowance for credit losses. Accordingly, as of September 25, 2022, December 31, 2021 and September 26, 2021, all retail finance receivables were accounted for as interest-earning receivables. Wholesale finance receivables are delinquent if the minimum payment is not received by the contractual due date. Wholesale finance receivables are written down once the Company determines that the specific borrower does not have the ability to repay the loan in full. Interest continues to accrue on past due finance receivables until the date the Company determines that foreclosure is probable, and the finance receivable is placed on non-accrual status. The Company will resume accruing interest on these accounts when payments are current according to the terms of the loans and future payments are reasonably assured. While on non-accrual status, all cash received is applied to principal or interest as appropriate. Once an account is charged-off, the Company will reverse the associated accrued interest against interest income. As the Company follows a non-accrual policy for interest, the allowance for credit losses excludes accrued interest for the wholesale portfolio. There were no charged-off accounts during the three and nine months ended September 25, 2022 and September 26, 2021. As such, the Company did not reverse any accrued interest in those periods. There were no dealers on non-accrual status at September 25, 2022, December 31, 2021, and September 26, 2021. The aging analysis of the Company's finance receivables was as follows (in thousands):
| September 25, 2022
| Current |  | 31-60 Days Past Due |  | 61-90 Days Past Due |  | Greater than 90 Days Past Due |  | Total Past Due |  | Total
Retail finance receivables | $ | 6,714,095 |  |  | $ | 136,957 |  |  | $ | 49,260 |  |  | $ | 45,337 |  |  | $ | 231,554 |  |  | $ | 6,945,649 |
Wholesale finance receivables | 756,609 |  |  | 271 |  |  | 15 |  |  | — |  |  | 286 |  |  | 756,895 |
| $ | 7,470,704 |  |  | $ | 137,228 |  |  | $ | 49,275 |  |  | $ | 45,337 |  |  | $ | 231,840 |  |  | $ | 7,702,544 |
| December 31, 2021
| Current |  | 31-60 Days Past Due |  | 61-90 Days Past Due |  | Greater than 90 Days Past Due |  | Total Past Due |  | Total
Retail finance receivables | $ | 6,298,485 |  |  | $ | 115,942 |  |  | $ | 44,326 |  |  | $ | 34,766 |  |  | $ | 195,034 |  |  | $ | 6,493,519 |
Wholesale finance receivables | 417,720 |  |  | 9 |  |  | 1 |  |  | 51 |  |  | 61 |  |  | 417,781 |
| $ | 6,716,205 |  |  | $ | 115,951 |  |  | $ | 44,327 |  |  | $ | 34,817 |  |  | $ | 195,095 |  |  | $ | 6,911,300 |
| September 26, 2021
| Current |  | 31-60 Days Past Due |  | 61-90 Days Past Due |  | Greater than 90 Days Past Due |  | Total Past Due |  | Total
Retail finance receivables | $ | 6,561,412 |  |  | $ | 101,157 |  |  | $ | 35,273 |  |  | $ | 30,114 |  |  | $ | 166,544 |  |  | $ | 6,727,956 |
Wholesale finance receivables | 490,974 |  |  | 46 |  |  | 92 |  |  | 24 |  |  | 162 |  |  | 491,136 |
| $ | 7,052,386 |  |  | $ | 101,203 |  |  | $ | 35,365 |  |  | $ | 30,138 |  |  | $ | 166,706 |  |  | $ | 7,219,092 |
Generally, it is the Company’s policy not to change the terms and conditions of finance receivables. However, to minimize economic loss, the Company may modify certain finance receivables in troubled debt restructurings. Total finance receivables in troubled debt restructurings were not significant as of September 25, 2022, December 31, 2021 and September 26, 2021. Additionally, in certain situations, the Company may offer short-term adjustments to customer payment due dates without affecting the associated interest rate or loan term. From the second quarter of 2020 through the end of the second quarter of 2021, in response to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Company granted an increased amount of short-term payment due date extensions on eligible retail loans to help retail customers get through financial difficulties associated with the COVID-19 pandemic. The Company continues to grant standard payment extensions to customers in accordance with its policies.

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