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LOANS
9 Months Ended
Sep. 30, 2021
LOANS  
LOANS

NOTE E: LOANS

The segments of the Company’s loan portfolio are summarized as follows:

September 30, 

December 31, 

(000’s omitted)

    

2021

    

2020

Business lending

$

3,092,177

$

3,440,077

Consumer mortgage

 

2,470,974

 

2,401,499

Consumer indirect

 

1,168,378

 

1,021,885

Consumer direct

 

155,602

 

152,657

Home equity

 

395,451

 

399,834

Gross loans, including deferred origination costs

 

7,282,582

 

7,415,952

Allowance for credit losses

 

(49,499)

 

(60,869)

Loans, net of allowance for credit losses

$

7,233,083

$

7,355,083

The following table presents the aging of the amortized cost basis of the Company’s past due loans, including PCD loans, by segment as of September 30, 2021:

Past Due

90+ Days Past

30 – 89

Due and

Total

(000’s omitted)

    

Days

    

Still Accruing

    

Nonaccrual

    

Past Due

    

Current

    

Total Loans

Business lending

$

5,109

$

148

$

47,820

$

53,077

$

3,039,100

$

3,092,177

Consumer mortgage

 

8,869

 

1,288

 

15,605

 

25,762

 

2,445,212

 

2,470,974

Consumer indirect

 

8,638

 

131

 

0

 

8,769

 

1,159,609

 

1,168,378

Consumer direct

 

608

 

19

 

1

 

628

 

154,974

 

155,602

Home equity

 

1,991

 

288

 

2,541

 

4,820

 

390,631

 

395,451

Total

$

25,215

$

1,874

$

65,967

$

93,056

$

7,189,526

$

7,282,582

The following table presents the aging of the amortized cost basis of the Company’s past due loans, including PCD loans, by segment as of December 31, 2020:

Past Due

90+ Days Past

30 – 89

Due and

Total

(000’s omitted)

    

Days

    

Still Accruing

    

Nonaccrual

    

Past Due

    

Current

    

Total Loans

Business lending

$

4,896

$

59

$

55,709

$

60,664

$

3,379,413

$

3,440,077

Consumer mortgage

 

13,236

 

3,051

 

14,970

 

31,257

 

2,370,242

 

2,401,499

Consumer indirect

 

13,161

 

219

 

1

 

13,381

 

1,008,504

 

1,021,885

Consumer direct

 

1,170

 

28

 

3

 

1,201

 

151,456

 

152,657

Home equity

 

2,296

 

565

 

2,246

 

5,107

 

394,727

 

399,834

Total

$

34,759

$

3,922

$

72,929

$

111,610

$

7,304,342

$

7,415,952

The delinquency status for loans on payment deferment due to COVID-19 financial hardship were reported at September 30, 2021 based on their delinquency status at the execution date of the payment deferment, unless subsequent to the execution date of the payment deferment, the borrower made all required past due payments to bring the loan to current status. Certain loans under extended pandemic-related forbearance were reclassified to nonaccrual status.

No interest income on nonaccrual loans was recognized during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020. An immaterial amount of accrued interest was written off on nonaccrual loans by reversing interest income in both periods.

The Company uses several credit quality indicators to assess credit risk in an ongoing manner. The Company’s primary credit quality indicator for its business lending portfolio is an internal credit risk rating system that categorizes loans as “pass”, “special mention”, “classified”, or “doubtful”. Credit risk ratings are applied individually to those classes of loans that have significant or unique credit characteristics that benefit from a case-by-case evaluation. Loans that were granted COVID-19 related financial hardship payment deferrals were reviewed on a case-by-case basis for credit risk ratings. Loans on payment deferral will continue to be monitored for indications of deterioration that could result in future downgrades. In general, the following are the definitions of the Company’s credit quality indicators:

Pass

    

The condition of the borrower and the performance of the loans are satisfactory or better.

Special Mention

The condition of the borrower has deteriorated although the loan performs as agreed. Loss may be incurred at some future date, if conditions deteriorate further.

Classified

The condition of the borrower has significantly deteriorated and the performance of the loan could further deteriorate and incur loss, if deficiencies are not corrected.

Doubtful

The condition of the borrower has deteriorated to the point that collection of the balance is improbable based on current facts and conditions and loss is likely.

The following tables show the amount of business lending loans by credit quality category at September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020:

Revolving

Loans

(000’s omitted)

Term Loans Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year

Amortized

September 30, 2021

    

2021

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

    

2017

    

Prior

    

Cost Basis

    

Total

Business lending:

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Risk rating

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Pass

$

418,709

$

365,951

$

339,050

$

261,444

$

179,753

$

624,089

$

501,995

$

2,690,991

Special mention

 

4,877

 

12,376

 

11,965

 

39,450

 

34,331

 

64,406

 

26,468

 

193,873

Classified

 

788

 

1,797

 

20,851

 

47,749

 

25,280

 

74,205

 

34,856

 

205,526

Doubtful

 

0

 

0

 

15

 

916

 

0

 

0

 

856

 

1,787

Total business lending

$

424,374

$

380,124

$

371,881

$

349,559

$

239,364

$

762,700

$

564,175

$

3,092,177

Revolving

Loans

(000’s omitted)

Term Loans Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year

Amortized

December 31, 2020

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

    

2017

    

2016

    

Prior

    

Cost Basis

    

Total

Business lending:

Risk rating

Pass

$

860,178

$

351,350

$

312,087

$

217,138

$

231,453

$

543,999

$

483,018

$

2,999,223

Special mention

 

14,687

 

36,041

 

28,410

 

21,875

 

29,386

 

51,657

 

52,732

 

234,788

Classified

 

6,336

 

4,560

 

30,422

 

24,807

 

14,891

 

65,157

 

56,000

 

202,173

Doubtful

 

0

 

18

 

2,888

 

0

 

0

 

108

 

879

 

3,893

Total business lending

$

881,201

$

391,969

$

373,807

$

263,820

$

275,730

$

660,921

$

592,629

$

3,440,077

All other loans are underwritten and structured using standardized criteria and characteristics, primarily payment performance, and are normally risk rated and monitored collectively on a monthly basis. These are typically loans to individuals in the consumer categories and are delineated as either performing or nonperforming. Performing loans include loans classified as current as well as those classified as 30 - 89 days past due. Nonperforming loans include 90+ days past due and still accruing and nonaccrual loans.

The following table details the balances in all other loan categories at September 30, 2021:

Revolving

Loans

(000’s omitted)

Term Loans Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year

Amortized

September 30, 2021

    

2021

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

    

2017

    

Prior

    

Cost Basis

    

Total

Consumer mortgage:

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

FICO AB(1)

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

  

Performing

$

360,580

$

237,931

$

195,086

$

127,786

$

125,836

$

612,420

$

0

$

1,659,639

Nonperforming

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

256

 

475

 

2,851

 

0

 

3,582

Total FICO AB

 

360,580

 

237,931

 

195,086

 

128,042

 

126,311

 

615,271

 

0

 

1,663,221

FICO CDE(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

 

109,400

 

125,742

 

91,312

 

65,967

 

58,841

 

323,974

 

19,206

 

794,442

Nonperforming

 

80

 

232

 

977

 

679

 

781

 

10,562

 

0

 

13,311

Total FICO CDE

 

109,480

 

125,974

 

92,289

 

66,646

 

59,622

 

334,536

 

19,206

 

807,753

Total consumer mortgage

$

470,060

$

363,905

$

287,375

$

194,688

$

185,933

$

949,807

$

19,206

$

2,470,974

Consumer indirect:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

$

480,254

$

229,368

$

209,894

$

126,128

$

48,624

$

73,979

$

0

$

1,168,247

Nonperforming

 

0

 

39

 

74

 

9

 

9

 

0

 

0

 

131

Total consumer indirect

$

480,254

$

229,407

$

209,968

$

126,137

$

48,633

$

73,979

$

0

$

1,168,378

Consumer direct:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

$

61,119

$

32,913

$

29,379

$

15,118

$

5,668

$

5,259

$

6,126

$

155,582

Nonperforming

 

0

 

0

 

1

 

4

 

0

 

14

 

1

 

20

Total consumer direct

$

61,119

$

32,913

$

29,380

$

15,122

$

5,668

$

5,273

$

6,127

$

155,602

Home equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

$

56,317

$

45,314

$

39,025

$

21,292

$

17,137

$

39,052

$

174,485

$

392,622

Nonperforming

 

0

 

118

 

21

 

104

 

96

 

793

 

1,697

 

2,829

Total home equity

$

56,317

$

45,432

$

39,046

$

21,396

$

17,233

$

39,845

$

176,182

$

395,451

(1)FICO AB refers to higher tiered loans with FICO scores greater than or equal to 720.
(2)FICO CDE refers to loans with FICO scores less than 720 and potentially higher risk.

The following table details the balances in all other loan categories at December 31, 2020:

Revolving

Loans

(000’s omitted)

Term Loans Amortized Cost Basis by Origination Year

Amortized

December 31, 2020

    

2020

    

2019

    

2018

    

2017

    

2016

    

Prior

    

Cost Basis

    

Total

Consumer mortgage:

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

FICO AB(1)

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

 

  

Performing

$

260,588

$

227,027

$

166,638

$

163,653

$

160,911

$

614,976

$

321

$

1,594,114

Nonperforming

 

0

 

0

 

275

 

398

 

345

 

2,709

 

0

 

3,727

Total FICO AB

 

260,588

 

227,027

 

166,913

 

164,051

 

161,256

 

617,685

 

321

 

1,597,841

FICO CDE(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

 

115,049

 

102,788

 

80,973

 

75,289

 

83,214

 

314,668

 

17,382

 

789,363

Nonperforming

 

0

 

1,010

 

582

 

877

 

1,786

 

10,040

 

0

 

14,295

Total FICO CDE

 

115,049

 

103,798

 

81,555

 

76,166

 

85,000

 

324,708

 

17,382

 

803,658

Total consumer mortgage

$

375,637

$

330,825

$

248,468

$

240,217

$

246,256

$

942,393

$

17,703

$

2,401,499

Consumer indirect:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

$

303,471

$

305,901

$

202,373

$

86,497

$

61,449

$

61,975

$

0

$

1,021,666

Nonperforming

 

51

 

52

 

82

 

17

 

16

 

1

 

0

 

219

Total consumer indirect

$

303,522

$

305,953

$

202,455

$

86,514

$

61,465

$

61,976

$

0

$

1,021,885

Consumer direct:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

$

49,181

$

46,992

$

27,872

$

12,326

$

5,232

$

4,146

$

6,878

$

152,627

Nonperforming

 

1

 

19

 

2

 

5

 

0

 

3

 

0

 

30

Total consumer direct

$

49,182

$

47,011

$

27,874

$

12,331

$

5,232

$

4,149

$

6,878

$

152,657

Home equity:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Performing

$

48,145

$

48,780

$

28,074

$

23,524

$

17,828

$

35,900

$

194,773

$

397,024

Nonperforming

 

0

 

24

 

73

 

104

 

183

 

490

 

1,936

 

2,810

Total home equity

$

48,145

$

48,804

$

28,147

$

23,628

$

18,011

$

36,390

$

196,709

$

399,834

(1)FICO AB refers to higher tiered loans with FICO scores greater than or equal to 720.
(2)FICO CDE refers to loans with FICO scores less than 720 and potentially higher risk.

All loan classes are collectively evaluated for credit losses except business lending. A summary of individually assessed business loans as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 follows:

    

September 30, 

    

December 31, 

(000’s omitted)

    

2021

    

2020

Loans with allowance allocation

$

21,688

$

27,437

Loans without allowance allocation

 

9,145

 

8,138

Carrying balance

 

30,833

 

35,575

Contractual balance

 

33,357

 

38,362

Specifically allocated allowance

 

1,834

 

3,874

The average carrying balance of individually assessed loans was $31.5 million and $8.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2021 and September 30, 2020, respectively. The average carrying balance of individually assessed loans was $34.1 million and $4.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and September 30, 2020, respectively. No interest income was recognized on individually assessed loans for the three or nine months ended September 30, 2021 and September 30, 2020.

In the course of working with borrowers, the Company may choose to restructure the contractual terms of certain loans. In this scenario, the Company attempts to work-out an alternative payment schedule with the borrower in order to optimize collectability of the loan. Any loans that are modified are reviewed by the Company to identify if a troubled debt restructuring (“TDR”) has occurred, which is when, for economic or legal reasons related to a borrower’s financial difficulties, the Company grants a concession to the borrower that it would not otherwise consider. Terms may be modified to fit the ability of the borrower to repay in line with its current financial standing and the restructuring of the loan may include the transfer of assets from the borrower to satisfy the debt, a modification of loan terms, or a combination of the two.

In accordance with the clarified guidance issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (“OCC”), loans that have been discharged in Chapter 7 bankruptcy but not reaffirmed by the borrower are classified as TDRs, irrespective of payment history or delinquency status, even if the repayment terms for the loan have not been otherwise modified. The Company’s lien position against the underlying collateral remains unchanged. Pursuant to that guidance, the Company records a charge-off equal to any portion of the carrying value that exceeds the net realizable value of the collateral. The amount of loss incurred in the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020 was immaterial.

TDRs less than $0.5 million are collectively included in the allowance for credit loss estimate. Commercial loans greater than $0.5 million are individually assessed, and if necessary, a specific allocation of the allowance for credit losses is provided. With regard to determination of the amount of the allowance for credit losses, TDR loans are considered to be impaired. As a result, the determination of the amount of allowance for credit losses related to impaired loans for each portfolio segment within TDRs is the same as detailed previously.

With respect to the Company’s lending activities, the Company implemented a customer forbearance program allowing for loan payment deferrals up to three months per request during 2020 to assist both consumer and business borrowers that were experiencing financial hardship due to COVID-19 related challenges. Business lending, consumer direct, and consumer indirect loans in deferment status continued to accrue interest on the deferred principal during the deferment period unless otherwise classified as nonaccrual. Consumer mortgage and home equity loans did not accrue interest on the deferred payments during the deferment period. Consistent with the Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security Act ( “CARES Act”), the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021 (“CAA”), and industry regulatory guidance, borrowers that were otherwise current on loan payments and granted COVID-19 related financial hardship payment deferrals were reported as current loans throughout the first 180 days of the deferral period and were not classified as TDRs. Borrowers that were delinquent in their payments to the Company prior to requesting a COVID-19 related financial hardship payment deferral were reviewed on a case-by-case basis for TDR classification and non-performing loan status.

As of September 30, 2021, the Company had 4 borrowers in forbearance due to COVID-19 related financial hardship, representing $3.9 million in outstanding loan balances, or 0.1% of total loans outstanding. These forbearances were comprised of 3 business borrowers representing $3.8 million in outstanding loan balances and 1 consumer borrower representing approximately $0.1 million in outstanding loan balances. As of December 31, 2020, the Company had 74 borrowers in forbearance due to COVID-19 related financial hardship, representing $66.5 million in outstanding loan balances, or 0.9% of total loans outstanding. These forbearances were comprised of 63 business borrowers representing $65.7 million in outstanding loan balances and 11 consumer borrowers representing approximately $0.8 million in outstanding loan balances.

Information regarding TDRs as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020 is as follows:

September 30, 2021

    

December 31, 2020

(000’s omitted)

Nonaccrual

Accruing

Total

Nonaccrual

Accruing

Total

    

#

    

Amount

    

#

    

Amount

    

#

    

Amount

    

#

    

Amount

    

#

    

Amount

    

#

    

Amount

Business lending

10

$

458

 

5

$

175

 

15

$

633

 

6

$

529

 

4

$

191

 

10

$

720

Consumer mortgage

62

 

2,828

 

44

 

2,307

 

106

 

5,135

 

56

 

2,413

 

48

 

2,266

 

104

 

4,679

Consumer indirect

0

 

0

 

73

 

816

 

73

 

816

 

0

 

0

 

86

 

951

 

86

 

951

Consumer direct

0

 

0

 

17

 

10

 

17

 

10

 

0

 

0

 

23

 

85

 

23

 

85

Home equity

10

 

244

 

12

 

240

 

22

 

484

 

11

 

285

 

13

 

264

 

24

 

549

Total

82

$

3,530

 

151

$

3,548

 

233

$

7,078

 

73

$

3,227

 

174

$

3,757

 

247

$

6,984

The following table presents information related to loans modified in a TDR during the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020. Of the loans noted in the table below, all consumer mortgage loans for the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020 were modified due to a Chapter 7 bankruptcy as described previously. The financial effects of these restructurings were immaterial.

    

Three Months Ended

    

Three Months Ended

September 30, 2021

September 30, 2020

Number of

Outstanding

Number of

Outstanding

(000’s omitted)

    

loans modified

    

Balance

    

loans modified

    

Balance

Business lending

 

5

$

1,925

 

0

$

0

Consumer mortgage

 

9

 

728

 

8

 

646

Consumer indirect

 

5

 

78

 

14

 

131

Consumer direct

 

1

 

2

 

1

 

2

Home equity

 

0

 

0

 

2

 

56

Total

 

20

$

2,733

 

25

$

835

Nine Months Ended 

Nine Months Ended 

September 30, 2021

September 30, 2020

Number of 

Outstanding 

Number of 

Outstanding 

(000’s omitted)

    

loans modified

    

Balance

    

loans modified

    

Balance

Business lending

 

5

$

1,925

 

0

$

0

Consumer mortgage

 

19

 

1,193

 

17

 

1,378

Consumer indirect

 

17

 

222

 

25

 

261

Consumer direct

 

2

 

8

 

2

 

12

Home equity

 

0

 

0

 

2

 

56

Total

 

43

$

3,348

 

46

$

1,707

Allowance for Credit Losses

The following presents by segment the activity in the allowance for credit losses during the three months and nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020:

    

Three Months Ended September 30, 2021

Beginning

Charge-

Ending

(000’s omitted)

    

balance

    

offs

    

Recoveries

    

Provision

    

balance

Business lending

$

23,417

$

(872)

$

169

$

(2,688)

$

20,026

Consumer mortgage

 

10,001

 

(127)

 

3

 

(132)

 

9,745

Consumer indirect

 

11,103

 

(1,365)

 

973

 

1,334

 

12,045

Consumer direct

 

2,548

 

(309)

 

163

 

268

 

2,670

Home equity

 

1,796

 

(30)

 

10

 

(56)

 

1,720

Unallocated

 

1,000

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

1,000

Purchased credit deteriorated

 

1,885

 

0

 

35

 

373

 

2,293

Allowance for credit losses – loans

 

51,750

 

(2,703)

 

1,353

 

(901)

 

49,499

Liabilities for off-balance-sheet credit exposures

 

762

 

0

 

0

 

(43)

 

719

Total allowance for credit losses

$

52,512

$

(2,703)

$

1,353

$

(944)

$

50,218

Three Months Ended September 30, 2020

    

Beginning 

    

Charge-

    

    

    

Ending 

(000’s omitted)

balance

offs

Recoveries

Provision

balance

Business lending

$

24,204

$

(736)

$

67

$

3,539

$

27,074

Consumer mortgage

 

13,088

 

(248)

 

23

 

(599)

 

12,264

Consumer indirect

 

15,866

 

(1,281)

 

1,111

 

(963)

 

14,733

Consumer direct

 

4,028

 

(340)

 

225

 

(120)

 

3,793

Home equity

 

2,690

 

(24)

 

5

 

(124)

 

2,547

Unallocated

 

1,000

 

0

 

0

 

4

 

1,004

Purchased credit deteriorated

 

3,561

 

(91)

 

32

 

45

 

3,547

Allowance for credit losses – loans

 

64,437

 

(2,720)

 

1,463

 

1,782

 

64,962

Liabilities for off-balance-sheet credit exposures

 

1,452

 

0

 

0

 

163

 

1,615

Total allowance for credit losses

$

65,889

$

(2,720)

$

1,463

$

1,945

$

66,577

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2021

    

Beginning 

    

Charge-

    

    

    

Ending 

(000’s omitted)

balance

offs

Recoveries

Provision

balance

Business lending

$

28,190

$

(925)

$

491

$

(7,730)

$

20,026

Consumer mortgage

 

10,672

 

(369)

 

22

 

(580)

 

9,745

Consumer indirect

 

13,696

 

(3,514)

 

3,402

 

(1,539)

 

12,045

Consumer direct

 

3,207

 

(822)

 

607

 

(322)

 

2,670

Home equity

 

2,222

 

(145)

 

19

 

(376)

 

1,720

Unallocated

 

1,000

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

1,000

Purchased credit deteriorated

 

1,882

 

0

 

95

 

316

 

2,293

Allowance for credit losses – loans

 

60,869

 

(5,775)

 

4,636

 

(10,231)

 

49,499

Liabilities for off-balance-sheet credit exposures

 

1,489

 

0

 

0

 

(770)

 

719

Total allowance for credit losses

$

62,358

$

(5,775)

$

4,636

$

(11,001)

$

50,218

Nine Months Ended September 30, 2020

Beginning

Beginning

balance,

balance,

prior to the

after

adoption of

Impact of

adoption of

Steuben

Ending

(000’s omitted)

    

ASC 326

    

ASC 326

    

ASC 326

    

Charge-offs

    

Recoveries

    

acquisition

    

Provision

    

balance

Business lending

$

19,426

$

288

$

19,714

$

(919)

$

289

$

2,483

$

5,507

$

27,074

Consumer mortgage

 

10,269

 

(1,051)

 

9,218

 

(668)

 

67

 

146

 

3,501

 

12,264

Consumer indirect

 

13,712

 

(997)

 

12,715

 

(4,791)

 

3,107

 

183

 

3,519

 

14,733

Consumer direct

 

3,255

 

(643)

 

2,612

 

(1,214)

 

578

 

87

 

1,730

 

3,793

Home equity

 

2,129

 

808

 

2,937

 

(178)

 

23

 

235

 

(470)

 

2,547

Unallocated

 

957

 

43

 

1,000

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

4

 

1,004

Purchased credit deteriorated

 

0

 

3,072

 

3,072

 

(91)

 

80

 

528

 

(42)

 

3,547

Purchased credit impaired

 

163

 

(163)

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

0

 

0

Allowance for credit losses – loans

 

49,911

 

1,357

 

51,268

 

(7,861)

 

4,144

 

3,662

 

13,749

 

64,962

Liabilities for off-balance-sheet credit exposures

 

0

 

1,185

 

1,185

 

0

 

0

 

67

 

363

 

1,615

Total allowance for credit losses

$

49,911

$

2,542

$

52,453

$

(7,861)

$

4,144

$

3,729

$

14,112

$

66,577

Improvements in economic forecasts have resulted in an allowance for credit losses to total loans ratio of 0.68% at September 30, 2021, 19 basis points lower than the level at September 30, 2020 and 14 basis points lower than the level at December 31, 2020.

Accrued interest receivable on loans, included in accrued interest and fees receivable on the consolidated statements of condition, totaled $18.2 million at September 30, 2021 and is excluded from the estimate of credit losses and amortized cost basis of loans.

Under ASU No. 2016-13, Financial Instruments – Credit Losses (Topic 326), also referred to as CECL, the Company utilizes the historical loss rate on its loan portfolio as the initial basis for the estimate of credit losses using the cumulative loss, vintage loss and line loss methods which is derived from the Company’s historical loss experience from January 1, 2012 to December 31, 2020. Adjustments to historical loss experience were made for differences in current loan-specific risk characteristics and to address current period delinquencies, charge-off rates, risk ratings, lack of loan level data through an entire economic cycle, changes in loan sizes, and underwriting standards as well as the addition of acquired loans which were not underwritten by the Company. The Company considered historical losses immediately prior, through, and following the Great Recession of 2008 compared to the historical period used for modeling to adjust the historical information to account for longer-term expectations for loan credit performance. Under CECL, the Company is required to consider future economic conditions to determine current expected credit losses. Management selected an eight quarter reasonable and supportable forecast period using a two quarter lag adjustment with a four quarter reversion to the historical mean to use as part of the economic forecast. Management determined that these qualitative adjustments were needed to adjust historical information for expected losses and to reflect changes as a result of current conditions.

For qualitative macroeconomic adjustments, the Company uses third party forecasted economic data scenarios utilizing a base scenario and two alternative scenarios that were weighted based on guidance from the third party provider, with forecasts available as of September 30, 2021. These forecasts were factored into the qualitative portion of the calculation of the estimated credit losses and included the impact of COVID-19, including forecasted vaccine distribution progress and current and future Federal stimulus packages. The scenarios utilized outline a significant improvement in economic conditions with peak unemployment ranging from 2.9% to 9.1% in the third quarter of 2022, a general improvement in unemployment levels over the subsequent three quarters, and an improvement in real estate and vehicle collateral values. In addition to the economic forecast, the Company also considered additional qualitative adjustments as a result of COVID-19 and the impact on all industries, loan deferrals, delinquencies and downgrades, and the risk that Paycheck Protection Program (“PPP”) loans will not be forgiven.

Management developed expected loss estimates considering factors for segments as outlined below:

Business lending – non real estate: The Company considered and selected projected unemployment and GDP as possible indicators of forecasted losses related to business lending. The Company also considered delinquencies, the level of loan deferrals, risk rating changes, recent charge-off history and acquired loans as part of the review of estimated losses.
Business lending – real estate: The Company considered and selected projected unemployment and commercial and multi-family real estate values as possible indicators of forecasted losses related to commercial real estate loans. The Company also considered the factors noted in business lending – non real estate.
Consumer mortgages and home equity: The Company considered and selected projected unemployment and residential real estate values as possible indicators of forecasted losses related to mortgage lending. In addition, current delinquencies, the level of loan deferrals, charge-offs and acquired loans were considered.
Consumer indirect: The Company considered and selected projected unemployment and vehicle valuation indices as possible indicators of forecasted losses related to indirect lending. In addition, current delinquencies, the level of loan deferrals, charge-offs and acquired loans were considered.
Consumer direct: The Company considered and selected projected unemployment and median household income as possible indicator of forecasted losses related to direct lending. In addition, current delinquencies, the level of loan deferrals, charge-offs and acquired loans were considered.

The following table presents the carrying amounts of loans purchased and sold during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 by portfolio segment:

Business

Consumer

Consumer

Consumer

Home

(000’s omitted)

    

lending

    

mortgage

    

indirect

    

direct

    

equity

    

Total

Purchases

$

0

$

0

$

0

$

0

$

0

$

0

Sales

848

16,955

0

0

0

17,803

All the sales of consumer mortgages during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 were sales of secondary market eligible residential mortgage loans. The sales of business loans during the nine months ended September 30, 2021 includes two business lending loans under one relationship.