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Secured Note Liability
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2022
Disclosure Of Borrowings Text Block Abstract  
Secured note liability
12.Secured note liability

 

On February 25, 2022, the Company, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, KSM Mining ULC (“KSMCo”) signed a definitive agreement to sell a secured note (“secured note”) that is to be exchanged at maturity for a silver royalty on its 100% owned KSM Project (“KSM”) to institutional investors (“Investors”) for US$225 million. The transaction closed on March 24, 2022. The key terms of the secured note include:

 

When the secured note matures, the Investors will use all of the principal amount repaid on maturity to purchase a 60% gross silver royalty (the “Silver Royalty”) maturity occurs upon the first to occur of:

 

a)Commercial production being achieved at KSM; and

 

b)Either the 10-year anniversary, or if the Environmental Assessment Certificate (“EAC”) expires and the Investors do not exercise their right to put the secured note to the Company, the 13-year anniversary of the issue date of the secured note.

 

Prior to its maturity, the secured note bears interest at 6.5% per annum, payable quarterly in arrears. The Company can elect to satisfy interest payments in cash or by delivering common shares.

 

The Company has the option to buyback 50% of the Silver Royalty, once exchanged on or before 3 years after commercial production has been achieved, for an amount that provides the Investors a minimum guaranteed annualized return.

 

If project financing to develop, construct and place KSM into commercial production is not in place by the fifth anniversary from closing, the Investors can put the secured note back to the Company for US$232.5 million, with the Company able to satisfy such amount in cash or by delivering common shares at its option. This right expires once such project financing is in place. If the Investors exercise this put right, the Investors’ right to purchase the Silver Royalty terminates.

 

If KSM’s EAC expires at anytime while the secured note is outstanding, the Investors can put the secured note back to the Company for US$247.5 million at any time over the following nine months, with the Company able to satisfy such amount in cash or by delivering common shares at its option. If the Investors exercise this put right, the Investors’ right to purchase the Silver Royalty terminates.

 

If commercial production is not achieved at KSM prior to the tenth anniversary from closing, the Silver Royalty payable to the Investors will increase to a 75% gross silver royalty (if the EAC expires during the term of the secured note and the corresponding put right is not exercised by the Investors, this uplift will occur at the thirteenth anniversary from closing).

 

No amount payable shall be paid in common shares if, after the payment, any of the Investors would own more than 9.9% of the Company’s outstanding shares.

 

The Company’s obligations under the secured note are secured by a charge over all of the assets of KSMCo and a limited recourse guarantee from the Company secured by a pledge of the shares of KSMCo.

 

A number of the above noted options within the agreement represent embedded derivatives. Management has elected to not separate these embedded derivatives from the underlying host secured note, and instead account for the entire secured note as a financial liability at fair value through profit or loss.

 

The Company entered into the loan commitment within the scope of IFRS 9 ‘Financial Instruments’ on February 25, 2022 related to the secured note, as at that date, the Company and the Investors were committed under pre-specified terms and conditions to complete the transaction. The loan commitment was initially recognized at a fair value of US$225 million. Upon funding of the secured note on March 24, 2022, the loan commitment was settled with no gain or loss recognized.

 

The secured note was recognized at its estimated fair value at initial recognition of $282.3 million (US$225 million) using a discounted cash flow model with a Monte Carlo simulation. This incorporated several scenarios and probabilities of the EAC expiring, achieving commercial production and securing project financing, forecasted silver prices and the discount rates. During the year ended December 31, 2022, the fair value of the secured note decreased, and the Company recorded $36.7 million gain on the remeasurement.

 

The following inputs and assumptions were used in the determination of fair value:

 

Inputs and assumptions  March 24,
2022
  December 31,
2022
Weighted Average Life 1    23.5 years  44.9 years
Forecast silver production in thousands of ounces   105,778  166,144
Future silver price   US$ 28.96 to US$35.42   US$ 29.38 to US$110.51
Risk-free rate   2.5%  3.4%
Credit spread   5.2%  5.3%
Volatility   60%  60%
Silver royalty discount factor   7.1%  8.6%

 

1)Weighted average life reflects the revised silver forecast production schedule contained in the recently filed KSM updated Preliminary Feasibility Study (“PFS”) and Preliminary Economic Assessment (“PEA”) for the KSM project filed in the second quarter of 2022

 

The carrying amount for the secured note is as follows:

 

($000s)   Secured Note 
Fair value at inception   282,263 
Add (deduct):     
Unrealized change in fair value   (39,879)
Foreign currency translation loss   21,157 
Carrying value and fair value on December 31, 2022   263,541 

 

Sensitivity Analysis:

 

For the fair value of the secured note, reasonably possible changes at the reporting date to one of the significant inputs, holding other inputs constant, would have the following effects:

 

Key Inputs  Inter-relationship between significant inputs and fair value measurement 

Increase (decrease)

(millions)

 
Key observable inputs  The estimated fair value would increase (decrease) if:    
●   Silver price forward curve  ●   Future silver prices were 10% higher  $9.7 
   ●   Future silver prices were 10% lower  $(9.8)
●   Discount rates (7.6% - 9.6%)  ●   Discount rates were 1% higher  $(16.1)
   ●   Discount rates were 1% lower  $18.7 
Key unobservable inputs        
●   Forecasted silver production  ●   Silver production indicated silver ounces were 10% higher  $9.7 
   ●   Silver production indicated silver ounces were 10% lower  $(9.8)