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Fair Value Measurements
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2023
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value Measurements
NOTE 12 - FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENTS
The following tables summarize the fair value of assets and liabilities that are recorded in the Company’s consolidated balance sheets as of December 31, 2023 and 2022 at fair value on a recurring basis.
December 31, 2023
Frequency of
Measurement
TotalLevel 1Level 2Level 3
Liabilities
Earn-out liabilitiesRecurring$14,032 $— $— $14,032 
Warrant liabilities - Series ARecurring8,612 — — 8,612 
Warrant liabilities - Series BRecurring2,682 — — 2,682 
  Warrant liabilities11,294 — — 11,294 
Total liabilities measured at fair value$25,326 $— $— $25,326 
December 31, 2022
Frequency of
Measurement
TotalLevel 1Level 2Level 3
Liabilities
SAFE Agreement liabilitiesRecurring$18,314 $— $— $18,314 
Total liabilities measured at fair value$18,314 $— $— $18,314 

The following table provides a roll-forward of the Company’s Level 3 liabilities (in thousands):

Earn-out liabilitiesWarrant liabilities - Series AWarrant liabilities - Series BTotal Warrant liabilitiesSAFE Agreement liabilities
Balance, December 31, 2022$— $— $— $— $18,314 
Additions99,659 17,459 9,270 26,729 — 
Change in fair value(66,252)(8,847)(6,588)(15,435)2,353 
Converted to equity(19,375)— — — (20,667)
Balance, December 31, 2023$14,032 8,612 2,682 11,294 $— 

Earn-out Liabilities

The fair value of the earn-out liabilities as of December 31, 2023 was estimated using a Monte Carlo simulation approach that modeled the triggering events including the simulated stock price of the Company over the maturity dates. The significant assumptions utilized in estimating the fair value of the earn-out liabilities include: (i) Intuitive Machines stock price of $2.56; (ii) a dividend yield of 0.0%; (iii) a risk-free rate of 3.84%; and (iv) expected volatility of 105%.

In conjunction with the closing of the Business Combination on February 13, 2023, the fair value of the earn-out liabilities was estimated at $99.7 million. The significant assumptions utilized in estimating the fair value of the earn-out liabilities include: (i) Intuitive Machines stock price of $10.42; (ii) a dividend yield of 0.0%; (iii) a risk-free rate of 3.93%; and (iv) expected volatility of 100%. The probability of the Company being awarded the OMES III contract was assumed at 60%.

Warrant Liabilities

The fair value of the Series A Warrant and the Series B Warrant liabilities as of December 31, 2023 was estimated using a Black-Scholes-Merton model. The significant assumptions utilized in estimating the fair value of the Series A Warrant liabilities include: (i) a per share price of the Class A Common Stock of $2.56; (ii) a dividend yield of 0.0%; (iii) a risk-free rate of 3.84%; and (iv) expected volatility of 105%. The significant assumptions utilized in estimating the fair value of the Series B Warrant liabilities include: (i) a per share price of the Class A Common Stock of $2.56; (ii) a dividend yield of 0.0%; (iii) a risk-free rate of 4.69%; and (iv) expected volatility of 92%.
In connection with the closing of the Private Placement on September 5, 2023 as described further in Note 9, the fair values of the Series A Warrant and the Series B Warrant liabilities were estimated at $17.4 million and $9.3 million, respectively. The significant assumptions utilized in estimating the fair value of the Series A Warrant liabilities include: (i) a per share price of the Class A Common Stock of $4.96; (ii) a dividend yield of 0.0%; (iii) a risk-free rate of 4.37%; and (iv) expected volatility of 90%. The significant assumptions utilized in estimating the fair value of the Series B Warrant liabilities include: (i) a per share price of the Class A Common Stock of $4.96; (ii) a dividend yield of 0.0%; (iii) a risk-free rate of 5.18%; and (iv) expected volatility of 76%.

SAFE Agreements

Prior to the Business Combination described in Notes 1 and 3, the fair value of the SAFE Agreements under the equity financing scenario were estimated using a Monte Carlo simulation approach. The fair value of the SAFE Agreements under the liquidity event and dissolution event scenarios were estimated based on the present value of the purchase amount.
The unobservable inputs used in the fair value measurement of the Company’s SAFE Agreements are the probabilities of future scenarios, volatility, discount rate and risk-free rate.
As of December 31, 2022, the probability of an equity financing was 0%, the probability of a liquidity event was 95% and the probability of a dissolution event was 5%. The value under the liquidity event and dissolution event scenarios is based on the present value of the purchase amount. The present value factors are estimated based on a 16.4% discount rate based on venture capital rates of return for December 31, 2022. The periods in which the scenarios are expected to occur for the liquidity event and dissolution events are 0.25 year and 1 year, respectively as of December 31, 2022.
In conjunction with the closing of the Business Combination on February 13, 2023, the fair value of the SAFE Agreements was estimated at $20.7 million. The fair value was estimated using the 2,066,667 shares of Class A Common Stock issued to the SAFE investors at the Closing Date using the issuance price of $10.00 per share.