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Fair Value of Financial Instruments
12 Months Ended
Dec. 31, 2015
Fair Value Disclosures [Abstract]  
Fair Value of Financial Instruments
Fair Value of Financial Instruments
For financial reporting purposes, we follow a fair value hierarchy established under GAAP that is used to determine the fair value of financial instruments. This hierarchy prioritizes relevant market inputs in order to determine an “exit price” at the measurement date, or the price at which an asset could be sold or a liability could be transferred in an orderly process that is not a forced liquidation or distressed sale. Level 1 inputs are observable inputs that reflect quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets. Level 2 inputs are observable inputs other than quoted prices for an asset or liability that are obtained through corroboration with observable market data. Level 3 inputs are unobservable inputs (e.g., our own data or assumptions) that are used when there is little, if any, relevant market activity for the asset or liability required to be measured at fair value.
In certain cases, inputs used to measure fair value fall into different levels of the fair value hierarchy. In such cases, the level at which the fair value measurement falls is determined based on the lowest level input that is significant to the fair value measurement. Our assessment of the significance of a particular input requires judgment and considers factors specific to the asset or liability being measured.

The following table presents the carrying values and estimated fair values of assets and liabilities that are required to be recorded or disclosed at fair value at December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014.

Table 5.1 – Carrying Values and Fair Values of Assets and Liabilities
 
 
December 31, 2015
 
December 31, 2014
 
 
Carrying
Value
 
Fair
Value
 
Carrying
Value
 
Fair
Value
(In Thousands)
 
 
 
 
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans, held-for-sale
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At fair value
 
$
1,114,305

 
$
1,114,305

 
$
1,341,032

 
$
1,341,032

At lower of cost or fair value
 
1,433

 
1,635

 
1,488

 
1,669

Residential loans, held-for-investment (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At fair value
 
2,813,065

 
2,813,065

 
581,668

 
581,668

At amortized cost
 

 

 
1,474,386

 
1,381,918

Commercial loans, held-for-sale
 
39,141

 
39,141

 
166,234

 
166,234

Commercial loans, held-for-investment
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At fair value
 
67,657

 
67,657

 
71,262

 
71,262

At amortized cost
 
295,849

 
300,824

 
329,431

 
334,876

Trading securities
 
404,011

 
404,011

 
111,606

 
111,606

Available-for-sale securities
 
829,245

 
829,245

 
1,267,624

 
1,267,624

MSRs
 
191,976

 
191,976

 
139,293

 
139,293

Cash and cash equivalents
 
220,229

 
220,229

 
269,730

 
269,730

Restricted cash
 
5,567

 
5,567

 
628

 
628

Accrued interest receivable
 
23,290

 
23,290

 
18,222

 
18,222

Derivative assets
 
16,393

 
16,393

 
16,417

 
16,417

REO (2)
 
4,896

 
5,282

 
4,391

 
4,703

Margin receivable (2)
 
83,191

 
83,191

 
65,374

 
65,374

FHLBC stock (2)
 
34,437

 
34,437

 
10,688

 
10,688

Guarantee asset (2)
 
5,697

 
5,697

 
7,201

 
7,201

Pledged collateral (2)
 
53,600

 
53,600

 
9,927

 
9,927

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Short-term debt
 
$
1,855,003

 
$
1,855,003

 
$
1,793,825

 
$
1,793,825

Accrued interest payable
 
8,936

 
8,936

 
8,502

 
8,502

Margin payable
 
6,415

 
6,415

 
6,455

 
6,455

Guarantee obligation
 
22,704

 
22,702

 
7,201

 
7,201

Derivative liabilities
 
62,794

 
62,794

 
58,331

 
58,331

ABS issued (1)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Fair value
 
996,820

 
996,820

 

 

Amortized cost
 
53,137

 
53,137

 
1,545,119

 
1,446,605

FHLBC long-term borrowings
 
1,343,023

 
1,343,023

 
495,860

 
495,860

Commercial secured borrowings
 
63,152

 
63,152

 
66,707

 
66,707

Convertible notes
 
492,500

 
461,053

 
492,500

 
492,188

Other long-term debt
 
139,500

 
83,700

 
139,500

 
101,835

(1)
Upon adoption of ASU 2014-13 on January 1, 2015, we began to record loans held-for-investment in, and ABS issued by, consolidated Sequoia entities at fair value. See Note 3 for further discussion.
(2)
These assets are included in other assets on our consolidated balance sheets.
During the years ended December 31, 2015 and 2014, we elected the fair value option for $236 million and $72 million of residential senior securities, $164 million and $9 million of residential subordinate securities, $10.21 billion and $8.81 billion of residential loans (principal balance), $618 million and $935 million of commercial loans (principal balance), $95 million and $96 million of MSRs, and zero and $7 million of guarantee assets, respectively. We anticipate electing the fair value option for all future purchases of residential loans and commercial senior loans that we intend to sell to third parties or transfer to securitizations as well as for MSRs purchased or retained from sales of residential loans.
The following table presents the assets and liabilities that are reported at fair value on our consolidated balance sheets on a recurring basis at December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014, as well as the fair value hierarchy of the valuation inputs used to measure fair value.
Table 5.2 – Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis
December 31, 2015
 
Carrying Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
(In Thousands)
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans
 
$
3,927,370

 
$

 
$
129,819

 
$
3,797,551

Commercial loans
 
106,798

 

 

 
106,798

Trading securities
 
404,011

 

 

 
404,011

Available-for-sale securities
 
829,245

 

 

 
829,245

Derivative assets
 
16,393

 
2,734

 
8,988

 
4,671

MSRs
 
191,976

 

 

 
191,976

Pledged collateral
 
53,600

 
53,600

 

 

FHLBC stock
 
34,437

 

 
34,437

 

Guarantee asset
 
5,697

 

 

 
5,697

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative liabilities
 
62,794

 
2,963

 
58,368

 
1,463

Commercial secured borrowings
 
63,152

 

 

 
63,152

ABS issued
 
996,820

 

 

 
996,820


December 31, 2014
 
Carrying
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
(In Thousands)
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans
 
$
1,922,700

 
$

 
$
244,716

 
$
1,677,984

Commercial loans
 
237,496

 

 

 
237,496

Trading securities
 
111,606

 

 

 
111,606

Available-for-sale securities
 
1,267,624

 

 

 
1,267,624

Derivative assets
 
16,417

 
6,654

 
8,603

 
1,160

MSRs
 
139,293

 

 

 
139,293

Pledged collateral
 
9,927

 
9,927

 

 

FHLBC Stock
 
10,688

 

 
10,688

 

Guarantee asset
 
7,201

 

 

 
7,201

Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Derivative liabilities
 
58,331

 
9,878

 
48,412

 
41

Commercial secured borrowings
 
66,707

 

 

 
66,707

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

The following table presents additional information about Level 3 assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis for the years ended December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
Table 5.3 – Changes in Level 3 Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value on a Recurring Basis
 
Assets
 
Liabilities
 
Residential Loans
 
Commercial
Loans
 
Trading Securities
 
AFS
Securities
 
MSRs
 
Guarantee Asset
 
Derivatives(1)
 
Commercial Secured Borrowings
 
ABS
Issued
(In Thousands)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beginning balance - December 31, 2014
$
1,677,984

 
$
237,496

 
$
111,606

 
$
1,267,624

 
$
139,293

 
$
7,201

 
$
1,119

 
$
66,707

 
$

Transfer to FVO (2)
1,370,699

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 
1,302,216

Acquisitions
5,231,532

 
617,519

 
399,990

 
33,370

 
95,281

 

 

 

 

Sales
(3,857,807
)
 
(754,636
)
 
(83,038
)
 
(366,373
)
 
(18,206
)
 

 

 

 
(1,362
)
Principal paydowns
(612,473
)
 
(780
)
 
(7,245
)
 
(131,387
)
 

 

 

 
(593
)
 
(312,800
)
Gains (losses) in net income, net
(6,071
)
 
7,199

 
(17,302
)
 
72,612

 
(24,392
)
 
(1,377
)
 
60,823

 
(3,011
)
 
8,366

Unrealized losses in OCI, net

 

 

 
(46,961
)
 

 

 

 

 

Other settlements, net (3)
(6,313
)
 

 

 
360

 

 
(127
)
 
(58,734
)
 
49

 
400

Ending balance - December 31, 2015
$
3,797,551

 
$
106,798

 
$
404,011

 
$
829,245

 
$
191,976

 
$
5,697

 
$
3,208

 
$
63,152

 
$
996,820

 
Assets
 
Liabilities
(In Thousands)
Residential
Loans
 
Commercial
Loans
 
Trading
Securities
 
AFS
Securities
 
MSRs
 
Guarantee
Asset
 
Derivatives(1)
 
Commercial
Secured
Borrowings
Beginning balance - December 31, 2013
$
391,100

 
$
89,111

 
$
124,555

 
$
1,558,306

 
$
64,824

 
$

 
$
(379
)
 
$

Acquisitions
5,020,988

 
937,594

 
81,545

 
237,499

 
95,550

 
7,201

 

 
65,048

Sales
(3,746,417
)
 
(807,931
)
 
(64,393
)
 
(440,361
)
 

 

 

 

Principal paydowns
(42,657
)
 
(4,157
)
 
(5,934
)
 
(168,308
)
 

 

 

 
(374
)
Amortization income

 

 

 
32,774

 

 

 

 

Gains (losses) in net income, net
56,835

 
22,824

 
(24,167
)
 
23,412

 
(21,081
)
 

 
14,527

 
2,033

Unrealized gains in OCI, net

 

 

 
24,302

 

 

 

 

Other settlements, net (3)
(1,865
)
 
55

 

 

 

 

 
(13,029
)
 

Ending balance - December 31, 2014
$
1,677,984

 
$
237,496

 
$
111,606

 
$
1,267,624

 
$
139,293

 
$
7,201

 
$
1,119

 
$
66,707

(1) 
For the purpose of this presentation, derivative assets and liabilities, which consist of loan purchase commitments, are presented on a net basis.
(2)
Upon adoption of ASU 2014-13 on January 1, 2015, loans held-for-investment in, and ABS issued by, consolidated financial entities are now recorded at fair value. See Note 3 for further discussion.
(3)
Other settlements, net for derivatives represents the transfer of the fair value of loan purchase commitments at the time loans are acquired to the basis of residential loans.
The following table presents the portion of gains or losses included in our consolidated statements of income that were attributable to Level 3 assets and liabilities recorded at fair value on a recurring basis and held at December 31, 2015, 2014, and 2013. Gains or losses incurred on assets or liabilities sold, matured, called, or fully written down during the years ended December 31, 2015, 2014, and 2013 are not included in this presentation.
Table 5.4 – Portion of Net Gains (Losses) Attributable to Level 3 Assets and Liabilities Still Held at December 31, 2015, 2014, and 2013 Included in Net Income
 
 
Included in Net Income
 
 
Years Ended December 31,
(In Thousands)
 
2015
 
2014
 
2013
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans at Redwood
 
$
(5,541
)
 
$
16,512

 
$
(290
)
Residential loans at consolidated Sequoia entities
 
7,422

 

 

Commercial loans
 
(2,620
)
 
3,357

 
1,501

Trading securities
 
(13,391
)
 
(25,216
)
 
32,496

Available-for-sale securities
 
(246
)
 
(434
)
 
(1,108
)
MSRs
 
(3,471
)
 
(15,239
)
 
14,196

Loan purchase commitments
 
4,252

 
1,119

 

Guarantee asset
 
(1,504
)
 

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loan purchase commitments
 
$

 
$

 
$
(379
)
Commercial secured borrowing
 
3,011

 
2,033

 

ABS issued
 
(8,366
)
 

 


The following table presents information on assets recorded at fair value on a non-recurring basis at December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014. This table does not include the carrying value and gains or losses associated with the asset types below that were not recorded at fair value on our balance sheet at December 31, 2015 and December 31, 2014.
Table 5.5 – Assets and Liabilities Measured at Fair Value on a Non-Recurring Basis
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gain (Loss) for
Year Ended
December 31, 2015
 
Carrying
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
 
(In Thousands)
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
December 31, 2015
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans, at lower of cost or fair value
 
$
1,096

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,096

 
$
3

REO
 
2,395

 

 

 
2,395

 
(764
)
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Guarantee obligation
 
4,414

 

 

 
4,414

 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gain (Loss) for
Year Ended
December 31, 2014
 
Carrying
Value
 
Fair Value Measurements Using
 
(In Thousands)
 
 
Level 1
 
Level 2
 
Level 3
 
December 31, 2014
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans, at lower of cost or fair value
 
$
1,104

 
$

 
$

 
$
1,104

 
$
(1
)
REO
 
2,069

 

 

 
2,069

 
(320
)
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Guarantee obligation
 
7,201

 

 

 
7,201

 


The following table presents the net market valuation gains and losses recorded in each line item of our consolidated statements of income for the years ended December 31, 2015, 2014, and 2013.
Table 5.6 – Market Valuation Gains and Losses, Net
 
 
Years Ended December 31,
(In Thousands)
 
2015
 
2014
 
2013
Mortgage banking and investment activities, net
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans held-for-sale, at fair value
 
$
3,712

 
$
51,312

 
$
(10,455
)
Residential loan purchase and forward sale commitments
 
50,234

 
13,891

 
(399
)
Residential loans held-for-investment at fair value, at Redwood
 
(6,337
)
 
(697
)
 

Consolidated Sequoia entities (1)
 
(1,192
)
 
(894
)
 
(612
)
Commercial loans, at fair value (2)
 
10,265

 
20,788

 
8,694

Trading securities
 
(17,279
)
 
(24,197
)
 
38,926

Impairments on AFS securities
 
(246
)
 
(565
)
 
(1,833
)
Risk management derivatives, net
 
(52,146
)
 
(38,959
)
 
51,385

Guarantee asset
 
(1,504
)
 

 

Other investments
 
(382
)
 
104

 

Total mortgage banking and investment activities, net(3)
 
$
(14,875
)
 
$
20,783

 
$
85,706

MSR Income (loss), net
 
 
 
 
 
 
MSRs
 
$
(24,392
)
 
$
(21,081
)
 
$
11,995

Risk management derivatives, net
 
(12,708
)
 

 

Total MSR income (loss), net (4)
 
$
(37,100
)
 
$
(21,081
)
 
$
11,995

Total market valuation gains and losses, net
 
$
(51,975
)
 
$
(298
)
 
$
97,701

(1)
On January 1, 2015, we adopted ASU 2014-13 and began to record the assets and liabilities of consolidated Sequoia entities at fair value. This amount includes the net change in fair value of the consolidated assets and liabilities of these entities, which include residential loans held-for-investment, REO, and ABS issued. This combined amount represents the estimated change in value of our retained interests in these entities. See Note 3 for further discussion.
(2)
Commercial loans at fair value does not include commercial A-notes, which were sold in 2014, but did not qualify for sale treatment under GAAP. The market valuation gains and losses on the commercial A-notes and associated commercial secured borrowings net to zero in each period presented.
(3)
Mortgage banking and investment activities, net presented above does not include fee income or provisions for repurchases that are components of mortgage banking and investment activities, net presented on our consolidated statements of income, as these amounts do not represent market valuation changes.
(4)
MSR Income (loss), net presented above does not include net fee income or provisions for repurchases that are components of MSR Income (loss), net on our consolidated statements of income, as these amounts do not represent market valuation adjustments.
Valuation Policy
We maintain a policy that specifies the methodologies we use to value different types of financial instruments. Significant changes to the valuation methodologies are reviewed by members of senior management to confirm the changes are appropriate and reasonable. Valuations based on information from external sources are performed on an instrument-by-instrument basis with the resulting amounts analyzed individually against internal calculations as well as in the aggregate by product type classification. Initial valuations are performed by our portfolio management groups using the valuation processes described below. Our finance department then independently reviews all fair value estimates using available market, portfolio, and industry information to ensure they are reasonable. Finally, members of senior management review all fair value estimates, including an analysis of the methodology and valuation changes from prior reporting periods.
Valuation Process
We estimate fair values for financial assets or liabilities based on available inputs observed in the marketplace as well as unobservable inputs. We primarily use two pricing valuation techniques: market comparable pricing and discounted cash flow analysis. Market comparable pricing is used to determine the estimated fair value of certain instruments by incorporating known inputs and performance metrics, such as observed prepayment rates, delinquencies, credit support, recent transaction prices, pending transactions, or prices of other similar instruments. Discounted cash flow analysis techniques generally consist of developing an estimate of future cash flows that are expected to occur over the life of an instrument and then discounting those cash flows at a rate of return that results in an estimate of fair value. After considering all available indications of the appropriate rate of return that market participants would require, we consider the reasonableness of the range indicated by the results to determine an estimate that is most representative of fair value. We also consider counterparty credit quality and risk as part of our fair value assessments.
The following table provides quantitative information about the significant unobservable inputs used in the valuation of our Level 3 assets and liabilities measured at fair value.
Table 5.7 – Fair Value Methodology for Level 3 Financial Instruments
December 31, 2015
 
Fair
Value
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Weighted
Average
(Dollars in Thousands, except input values)
 
 
Unobservable Input
 
Range
 
 
Assets
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans, at fair value:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Jumbo fixed rate loans
 
$
1,936,062

 
Whole loan spread to TBA price
 
$
3.10

-
$
4.53

 
 
$
4.27

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Jumbo hybrid loans
 
206,309

 
Prepayment rate (Annual CPR)
 
15

-
15

%
 
15

%
 
 
 
 
Spread to swap rate
 
125

-
165

bps
 
138

bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Jumbo loans committed to sell
 
633,310

 
Committed Sales Price
 
$
102.56

-
$
102.61

 
 
$
102.58

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loans held by consolidated Sequoia entities (1)
 
1,021,870

 
Liability price
 
 
 
N/A

 
 
N/A
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Residential loans, at lower of cost or fair value
 
1,096

 
Loss severity
 
13

-
30

%
 
21

%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial loans, at fair value
 
106,798

 
Spread to swap rate
 
221

-
221

bps
 
221

bps
 
 
 
 
Credit support
 
26

-
26

%
 
26

%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Trading and AFS securities
 
1,233,256

 
Discount rate
 
5

-
12

%
 
6

 %
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate (annual CPR)
 
1

-
35

%
 
12

 %
 
 
 
 
Default rate
 
0

-
35

%
 
6

 %
 
 
 
 
Loss severity
 
20

-
65

%
 
29

 %
 
 
 
 
Credit support
 
0

-
48

%
 
4

 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
MSRs
 
191,976

 
Discount rate
 
9

-
12

%
 
10

 %
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate (annual CPR)
 
5

-
60

%
 
10

 %
 
 
 
 
Per loan annual cost to service
 
$
72

-
$
82

 
 
$
79

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Guarantee asset
 
5,697

 
Discount rate
 
11

-
11

%
 
11

%
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate (annual CPR)
 
12

-
12

%
 
12

%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
REO
 
2,395

 
Loss severity
 
0

-
89

%
 
51

%
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Loan purchase commitments, net (2)
 
3,208

 
MSR Multiple
 
0

-
6

x
 
3.4

x
 
 
 
 
Fallout rate
 
1

-
99

%
 
25

%
 
 
 
 
Whole loan spread to TBA price
 
3.10

-
4.38

 
 
4.16

 
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate (Annual CPR)
 
15

-
15

 
 
15

%
 
 
 
 
Spread to swap rate
 
125

-
165

bps
 
137

bps
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Liabilities
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ABS issued(1)
 
996,820

 
Discount rate
 
5

-
9

%
 
5

 %
 
 
 
 
Prepayment rate (annual CPR)
 
2

-
23

%
 
12

 %
 
 
 
 
Default rate
 
1

-
12

%
 
7

 %
 
 
 
 
Loss severity
 
20

-
32

%
 
27

 %
 
 
 
 
Credit support
 

-
33

%
 
9

 %
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Commercial secured financing
 
63,152

 
Spread to swap rate
 
219

-
220

bps
 
220

bps
 
 
 
 
Credit support
 
25
%
-
25

%
 
25

%
Notes to Table 5.7
(1)
Upon adoption of ASU 2014-13 on January 1, 2015, we began to record loans held-for-investment in, and ABS issued by, consolidated Sequoia entities at fair value. In accordance with this new guidance, the fair value of the loans in these entities was based on the fair value of the liabilities (ABS) issued by these entities, which we determined were more readily observable. See Note 3 for further discussion.
(2)
For the purpose of this presentation, loan purchase commitment assets and liabilities are presented net.
Determination of Fair Value
A description of the instruments measured at fair value as well as the general classification of such instruments pursuant to the Level 1, Level 2, and Level 3 valuation hierarchy is listed herein. We generally use both market comparable information and discounted cash flow modeling techniques to determine the fair value of our Level 3 assets and liabilities. Use of these techniques requires determination of relevant inputs and assumptions, some of which represent significant unobservable inputs as indicated in the preceding table. Accordingly, a significant increase or decrease in any of these inputs – such as anticipated credit losses, prepayment rates, interest rates, or other valuation assumptions – in isolation would likely result in a significantly lower or higher fair value measurement.
Residential Loans
Estimated fair values for residential loans are determined using models that incorporate various observable inputs, including pricing information from recent securitizations and whole loan sales. Certain significant inputs in these models are considered unobservable and are therefore Level 3 in nature. Pricing inputs obtained from market securitization activity include indicative spreads to indexed TBA prices for senior RMBS and indexed swap rates for subordinate RMBS (Level 3). Pricing inputs obtained from market whole loan transaction activity include indicative spreads to indexed TBA prices for fixed-rate loans and indexed swap rates for hybrid loans (Level 3). Other observable inputs include Agency RMBS transactions, benchmark interest rates, and prepayment rates. At December 31, 2015, our jumbo fixed-rate loans were priced exclusively using whole loan sale inputs. These assets would generally decrease in value based upon an increase in the credit spread, prepayment speed, or credit support assumptions.
Estimated fair values for conforming loans are determined based upon quoted market prices (Level 2). Conforming loans are mortgage loans that conform to Agency guidelines. As necessary, these values are adjusted for servicing value, market conditions and liquidity.
Commercial Loans
Estimated fair values for senior commercial loans held-for-sale are determined by an exit price to securitization. Certain significant inputs in the valuation analysis are Level 3 in nature. Relevant market indicators that are factored into the analyses include pricing points for current third-party Commercial Mortgage-Backed Securities (“CMBS”) sales, pricing points for secondary sales of CMBS, yields for synthetic instruments that use CMBS bonds as an underlying index, indexed swap yields, credit rating agency guidance on expected credit enhancement levels for newly issued CMBS transactions, and interest rates (Level 3). In certain cases, commercial senior mortgage loans are valued based on third-party offers for the loans for purchase into securitization (Level 2). The estimated fair value of our senior commercial loans would generally decrease based upon an increase in credit spreads or required credit support.
Estimated fair values for mezzanine commercial loans are determined by both market comparable pricing and discounted cash flow analysis valuation techniques (Level 3). Our discounted cash flow models utilize certain significant unobservable inputs including the underwritten net operating income and debt coverage ratio assumptions and actual performance relative to those underwritten metrics as well as estimated market discount rates. An increase in market discount rates would reduce the estimated fair value of the commercial loans.
Real Estate Securities
Real estate securities include residential, commercial, and other asset-backed securities that are generally illiquid in nature and trade infrequently. Significant inputs in the valuation analysis are predominantly Level 3 in nature, due to the lack of readily available market quotes and related inputs. For real estate securities, we utilize both market comparable pricing and discounted cash flow analysis valuation techniques. Relevant market indicators that are factored into the analyses include bid/ask spreads, the amount and timing of credit losses, interest rates, and collateral prepayment rates. Estimated fair values are based on applying the market indicators to generate discounted cash flows (Level 3). These cash flow models use significant unobservable inputs such as a discount rate, prepayment rate, default rate, loss severity and credit support. The estimated fair value of our securities would generally decrease based upon an increase in default rates, serious delinquencies, or a decrease in prepayment rates or credit support.
As part of our securities valuation process, we request and consider indications of value from third-party securities dealers. For purposes of pricing our securities at December 31, 2015, we received dealer price indications on 79% of our securities, representing 94% of our carrying value. In the aggregate, our internal valuations of the securities for which we received dealer price indications were within 1% of the aggregate average dealer valuations. Once we receive the price indications from dealers, they are compared to other relevant market inputs, such as actual or comparable trades, and the results of our discounted cash flow analysis. In circumstances where relevant market inputs cannot be obtained, increased reliance on discounted cash flow analysis and management judgment are required to estimate fair value.
Derivative Assets and Liabilities
Our derivative instruments include swaps, swaptions, TBAs, financial futures, CMBX credit default index swaps, loan purchase commitments ("LPCs"), and forward sale commitments ("FSCs"). Fair values of derivative instruments are determined using quoted prices from active markets, when available, or from valuation models and are supported by valuations provided by dealers active in derivative markets. TBA and financial futures fair values are generally obtained using quoted prices from active markets (Level 1). Our derivative valuation models for swaps and swaptions require a variety of inputs, including contractual terms, market prices, yield curves, credit curves, measures of volatility, prepayment rates, and correlations of certain inputs. Model inputs can generally be verified and model selection does not involve significant management judgment (Level 2).
LPC fair values for conforming loans are estimated based on quoted Agency MBS prices, estimates of the fair value of the MSRs we expect to retain in the sale of the loans, and the probability that the mortgage loan will be purchased (Level 3). FSC fair values for conforming loans are obtained using quoted Agency prices. LPC fair values for jumbo loans are estimated based on the estimated fair values of the underlying loans (as described in "Residential loans" above) as well as the probability that the mortgage loan will be purchased (Level 3).
For other derivatives, valuations are based on various factors such as liquidity, bid/ask spreads, and credit considerations for which we rely on available market inputs. In the absence of such inputs, management’s best estimate is used (Level 3).
MSRs
MSRs include the rights to service jumbo and conforming residential mortgage loans. Significant inputs in the valuation analysis are predominantly Level 3, due to the nature of these instruments and the lack of readily available market quotes. These inputs include market discount rates, prepayment rates of serviced loans, and the market cost of servicing. Changes in the fair value of MSRs occur primarily due to the collection/realization of expected cash flows, as well as changes in valuation inputs and assumptions. Estimated fair values are based on applying the inputs to generate the net present value of estimated future MSR income (Level 3). These discounted cash flow models utilize certain significant unobservable inputs including prepayment rate and discount rate assumptions. An increase in these unobservable inputs will reduce the estimated fair value of the MSRs.
As part of our MSR valuation process, we received a valuation estimate from a third-party valuations firm. In the aggregate, our internal valuation of the MSRs were within 1% of the third-party valuation.
FHLBC Stock
Our Federal Home Loan Bank ("FHLB") member subsidiary is required to purchase Federal Home Loan Bank of Chicago ("FHLBC") stock under a borrowing agreement between our FHLBC member subsidiary and the FHLBC. Under this agreement, the stock is redeemable at face value, which represents the carrying value and fair value of the stock (Level 2).
Guarantee Asset
The guarantee asset represents the estimated fair value of cash flows we are contractually entitled to receive related to a risk sharing arrangement with Fannie Mae. Significant inputs in the valuation analysis are Level 3, due to the nature of this asset and the lack of market quotes. The fair value of the guarantee asset is determined using a discounted cash flow model, for which significant inputs include prepayment rates and market discount rate (Level 3). An increase in prepayment speed or market discount rate will reduce the estimated fair value of the guarantee asset.
Pledged Collateral
Pledged collateral consists of cash and U.S. Treasury securities held by a custodian in association with certain agreements we have entered into. Treasury securities are carried at their fair value, which is determined using quoted prices in active markets
(Level 1).
Cash and Cash Equivalents
Cash and cash equivalents include cash on hand and highly liquid investments with original maturities of three months or less. Fair values equal carrying values (Level 1).
Restricted Cash
Restricted cash primarily includes interest-earning cash balances at consolidated Sequoia entities and at the Residential Resecuritization and Commercial Securitization entities for the purpose of distribution to investors and reinvestment. Due to the short-term nature of the restrictions, fair values approximate carrying values (Level 1).
Accrued Interest Receivable and Payable
Accrued interest receivable and payable includes interest due on our assets and payable on our liabilities. Due to the short-term nature of when these interest payments will be received or paid, fair values approximate carrying values (Level 1).
REO
REO includes properties owned in satisfaction of foreclosed loans. Fair values are determined using available market quotes, appraisals, broker price opinions, comparable properties, or other indications of value (Level 3).
Margin Receivable
Margin receivable reflects cash collateral we have posted with our various derivative and debt counterparties as required to satisfy margin requirements. Fair values approximate carrying values (Level 2).
Guarantee Obligations
In association with our risk sharing transactions with the Agencies we have made certain guarantees. For these transactions, at the close of each delivery period, or at quarter-end for open delivery periods, we recognize a liability representing the fair value of the guarantee obligation we assumed. Fair values of guarantee obligations are determined using internal models that incorporate certain significant inputs that are considered unobservable and are therefore Level 3 in nature.  Pricing inputs include prepayment assumptions, loss assumptions, and discount rates.  An increase in discount rates or loss rates, or a decrease in prepayment rates, would reduce the estimated fair value of the guarantee obligations.
Short-term Debt
Short-term debt includes our credit facilities that mature within one year. As these borrowings are secured and subject to margin calls and as the rates on these borrowings reset frequently to market rates, we believe that carrying values approximate fair values (Level 2).
ABS Issued
ABS issued includes asset-backed securities issued through the Sequoia, Residential Resecuritization, and Commercial Securitization entities. These instruments are generally illiquid in nature and trade infrequently. Significant inputs in the valuation analysis are predominantly Level 3, due to the nature of these instruments and the lack of readily available market quotes. For ABS issued, we utilize both market comparable pricing and discounted cash flow analysis valuation techniques. Relevant market indicators factored into the analyses include bid/ask spreads, the amount and timing of collateral credit losses, interest rates, and collateral prepayment rates. Estimated fair values are based on applying the market indicators to generate discounted cash flows (Level 3). These liabilities would generally decrease in value (become a larger liability) if credit losses decreased or if the prepayment rate or discount rate were to increase.
FHLBC Borrowings
FHLBC borrowings include amounts borrowed from the FHLBC that are secured, generally by residential mortgage loans. As these borrowings are secured and subject to margin calls and as the rates on these borrowings reset frequently to market rates, we believe that carrying values approximate fair values (Level 2).
Commercial Secured Borrowings
Commercial secured borrowings represent liabilities recognized as a result of transfers of portions of senior commercial mortgage loans to third parties that do not meet the criteria for sale treatment under GAAP and are accounted for as secured borrowings. Fair values for commercial secured borrowings are based on the fair values of the senior commercial loans associated with the borrowings (Level 3).
Convertible Notes
Convertible notes include unsecured convertible and exchangeable senior notes. Fair values are determined using quoted prices in active markets (Level 2).
Trust Preferred Securities and Subordinated Notes
Estimated fair values of trust preferred securities and subordinated notes are determined using discounted cash flow analysis valuation techniques. Significant inputs in the valuation analysis are predominantly Level 3, due to the nature of these instruments and the lack of readily available market quotes. Estimated fair values are based on applying the market indicators to generate discounted cash flows (Level 3).