EX-99.1 2 d882858dex991.htm EX-99.1

EX-99.1

Chemical

EBITDA

-

Sensitivity

Analysis

for

2017

(EBITDA $ in millions)

30

Key factors in model above:

Average ammonia plants on-stream rate of 95%+

Average daily production rates are maintained

Mining sales volumes replaced at El Dorado

EDC ammonia plant and nitric acid plant are up and producing for the entire year

Assumes that a $50 per ton change in ammonia price is equivalent to a $21 per ton change in

UAN price and a $23 per ton change in AN price

$5.00

$4.50

$4.00

$3.50

$3.00

$600

265

$       

273

$       

282

$       

290

$       

299

$       

$550

238

$       

246

$       

255

$       

263

$       

272

$       

$500

211

$       

219

$       

228

$       

236

$       

245

$       

$450

184

$       

192

$       

201

$       

209

$       

218

$       

$400

157

$       

165

$       

174

$       

182

$       

191

$       

Natural Gas per Mmbtu

Exhibit 99.1