United Insurance Holdings Corporation (Nasdaq: UIHC) Investor Presentation November 9th, 2022


 
Company Overview 2 UPC Insurance is a specialty underwriter of catastrophe exposed property insurance. United Insurance Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: UIHC) was founded in 1999 and is the insurance holding company for 3 P&C carriers and operating affiliates operating under the brand UPC Insurance (UPC). UPC has the #1 market share of commercial residential property insurance (commercial lines) in Florida with roughly 5,500 policies and $488 million of premium in-force. UPC’s homeowners & fire insurance products (personal lines) are focused on Florida, Louisiana, New York, and Texas with roughly 265,000 policies and $638 million of premium in-force. ¹ UIHC as of September 30, 2022 Total Assets: $2.9 billion Total Equity: $80.4 million Premium in-Force: $1.13 billion ¹ Employees: 296 Headquarters: St. Petersburg, FL Credit Rating: BBB- (Kroll) 1 Excludes discontinued states where renewal rights have been sold Specialty Commercial Property Specialty Homeowners


 
3 Executive Summary • Q3 Results • GAAP net loss of -$70.9m included a -$13.6m non-recurring goodwill impairment charge related to personal lines withdrawal plans. • Core loss of -$57.5m excluding goodwill impairment compared unfavorably to a -$15.5m core loss last year due to higher loss costs. • Gross current year CAT of over $1 billion driven by Hurricane Ian, but reinsurance reduced net retained current year CAT losses to $37.4m • Stockholders’ equity attributable to UIHC as of September 30, 2022, was $80.4m or $1.86 per share. These amounts include an accumulated other comprehensive loss (AOCL) of -$64.8m or -$1.50 per share that may or may not be realized in whole or in part due to the short duration, high credit quality nature of UIHC’s fixed income investment portfolio. • Other Highlights • Received approval from FL, LA & TX regulatory authorities for United Property & Casualty Insurance Company’s (UPCIC) withdrawal plans. • Due to potential Hurricane Ian losses and other pressures on statutory surplus, there is substantial doubt regarding the viability of UPCIC’s run-off plan without additional financial support. • Handled over 23,000 claims from Hurricane Ian (22,362 PL & 712 CL) with 99% contacted, 89% inspected and 77% through quality assurance review. Reinsurance recoveries will be critical to managing liquidity and investment disposals are likely needed in future periods. • Completed reduction in workforce to supplement attrition resulting in a decline from 468 associates at 1/1/22 to 296 at 10/28/22 (-172 or -37%).


 
Q3-22 Results 4 Core loss excluding goodwill impairment was -$57.5m, a decline of -$42.1m from prior year. Loss development continued to exceed expectations for prior accident years driven by higher severity. Q3-22 Q3-21 Change Core income (loss) (57,527)$ (15,453)$ -272.3% per diluted share (CEPS) (1.34)$ (0.36)$ Included the following items Net current year catastrophe loss & LAE incurred 37,440$ 37,002$ Net (favorable) unfavorable reserve development (PYD) 44,561$ 1,947$ Total items 82,001$ 38,949$ Core income (loss) excluding items 7,254$ 15,316$ -52.6% CEPS excluding items 0.17$ 0.36$ Net loss & LAE ratio 100.9% 67.1% Net expense ratio 64.5% 49.8% Combined ratio 165.4% 116.9% 48.5 pts Net current year catastrophe loss & LAE incurred -32.2% -24.1% Net favorable (unfavorable) reserve development -38.4% -1.3% Underlying combined ratio 94.8% 91.5% 3.3 pts


 
Q3-22 Results by Line of Business 5 Commercial lines remained profitable despite the impact of Hurricane Ian. $ in millions CL PL Other Total CL PL Other Total Gross Premiums Earned 119.8$ 182.1$ -$ 301.9$ 340.5$ 586.4$ -$ 926.9$ Ceded Premiums Earned (60.3) (125.4) - (185.7) (184.1) (414.3) - (598.4) Net Premiums Earned 59.5 56.7 - 116.2 156.4 172.0 - 328.4 Investment & other revenue 2.9 7.2 0.0 10.1 5.5 17.9 0.0 23.3 Unrealized G(L) on Equities (0.9) (1.6) 0.0 (2.5) (4.1) (5.8) - (9.9) Total Revenue 61.6 62.2 0.0 123.8 157.8 184.1 0.0 341.9 Underlying Loss & LAE 8.8 26.4 - 35.2 34.3 124.0 - 158.3 Current year CAT Loss & LAE 27.2 10.2 - 37.4 27.8 58.9 - 86.6 Prior year development (1.8) 46.4 - 44.6 (5.5) 59.2 - 53.8 Total Loss 34.2 83.0 - 117.2 56.5 242.1 - 298.7 Operating & Interest Expense 25.6 48.9 2.8 77.3 69.2 115.1 8.6 192.8 Total Expenses 59.8 131.9 2.8 194.5 125.7 357.2 8.6 491.5 Other income (loss) 0.0 (0.0) - (0.0) 0.0 (0.1) 1.7 1.6 Income (Loss) before tax 1.8$ (69.8)$ (2.8)$ (70.8) 32.1$ (173.2)$ (6.9)$ (148.0) Income tax expense (benefit) 0.1 25.2 Less: Non-controlling interests - (0.1) Net income (loss) attributable to UIHC (70.9) (173.0) Net Loss Ratio 57.5% 146.5% 100.9% 36.1% 140.7% 90.9% Net Expense Ratio 43.0% 86.4% 64.5% 44.2% 66.9% 56.5% Combined Ratio 100.5% 232.9% 165.4% 80.3% 207.6% 147.4% CAT Loss 45.7% 18.0% 32.2% 17.7% 34.2% 26.4% PY Development (F)/U -3.0% 81.8% 38.4% -3.5% 34.4% 16.4% Underlying Combined Ratio 57.8% 133.1% 94.8% 66.1% 139.0% 104.6% Three Months Ended Sep 30, 2022 Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2022


 
Hurricane Ian: Core CAT Reinsurance Program Impact 6 We have $1.39b of aggregate limit remaining, but UPCIC’s limit for Ian is nearing exhaustion. Our retention for a second event could be up to $31.8m with $16.4m net to ACIC & UPC with another $15.4m to UPC Re. Our captive’s (UPC Re) share of the UL Layer Loss was $20.1m.


 
Balance Sheet Highlights 7 Equity erosion of ~$232m driven by: Hurricane Ian = -$35.6m Change in AOCI = -$58.3m Valuation allowance = -$53.9m Goodwill impairment = -$13.6m Prior year development = -$53.8m All Other items = -$16.8m Sep. 30, Dec. 31, ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) 2022 2021 Variance Selected Balance Sheet Data Cash & investments 768,602$ 964,844$ -20.3% Unpaid loss & LAE reserves, net of reinsurance 132,285$ 87,330$ 51.5% Financial debt 152,684$ 156,561$ -2.5% Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) (64,805)$ (6,531)$ 892.3% Stockholders' equity attributable to UIHC 80,434$ 312,406$ -74.3% Total capital 233,118$ 468,967$ -50.3% Leverage Ratios Debt-to-total capital 65.5% 33.4% 96.2% Net premiums earned-to-stockholders' equity 544.5% 188.8% 188.4% Per Share Data Common shares outstanding 43,285,807 43,370,442 -0.2% Book value per common share 1.86$ 7.20$ -74.2% Underlying book value per common share 3.36$ 7.35$ -54.4% Tangible book value per common share 0.12$ 5.10$ -97.7% Underlying tangible book value per common share 1.61$ 5.25$ -69.3%


 
Business In-force 8 Personal lines (PL) continues to shrink while Commercial lines (CL) grows. 12.31.21 9.30.22 Change 12.31.21 9.30.22 Change 12.31.21 9.30.22 Change 1 FL 198,838 147,520 -25.8% 437,211$ 392,844$ -10.1% 89,605$ 71,223$ -20.5% 2 TX 67,755 44,181 -34.8% 130,754$ 91,604$ -29.9% 29,915$ 20,814$ -30.4% 3 LA 41,956 34,573 -17.6% 89,934$ 91,823$ 2.1% 18,330$ 16,988$ -7.3% 4 NY 43,529 38,864 -10.7% 63,787$ 61,798$ -3.1% 32,013$ 29,052$ -9.2% 5 SC 33,748 18,975 -43.8% 50,589$ 31,655$ -37.4% 16,299$ 9,208$ -43.5% 6 MA 24,992 - 47,328$ -$ 20,520$ -$ 7 NC 19,306 10,524 -45.5% 32,464$ 20,880$ -35.7% 10,036$ 5,555$ -44.6% 8 NJ 30,867 - 32,294$ -$ 16,523$ -$ 9 GA 4,708 2,137 -54.6% 6,006$ 3,295$ -45.1% 2,298$ 1,092$ -52.5% 10 Toal PL 465,699 296,774 -36.3% 890,367$ 693,899$ -22.1% 235,539$ 153,932$ -34.6% 11 Discontinued / Sold 113,621 31,636 168,681$ 55,830$ 65,676$ 15,855$ % of UIHC 10% 5% 7% 12 PL Adjusted (10-11) 352,078 265,138 -24.7% 721,686$ 638,069$ -11.6% 169,863$ 138,077$ -18.7% 13 Total CL 6,025 5,522 -8.3% 425,415$ 487,975$ 14.7% 74,130$ 70,548$ -4.8% 14 Total UIHC (10+13) 471,724 302,296 -35.9% 1,315,782$ 1,181,874$ -10.2% 309,669$ 224,480$ -27.5% 15 UIHC Adjusted (12+13) 358,103 270,660 -24.4% 1,147,101$ 1,126,044$ -1.8% 243,993$ 208,625$ -14.5% Policies Premium ($000) TIV ($000,000)


 
Personal Lines Premium Trend 9 All Personal Lines Metric 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 Renewing Policies 93,364 71,661 64,016 74,306 63,371 Renewal Acceptance 80.8% 82.3% 79.4% 75.1% 70.4% Company Initiated Non-Renewals 11,959 5,046 5,755 10,508 12,270 Renewal Acceptance xNon-Renewals 90.2% 87.4% 85.5% 84.0% 81.6% Renewed TIV 45,444,516,211 35,129,624,436 33,159,540,114 40,229,720,081 34,439,684,504 Expiring TIV 44,302,602,896 33,842,563,649 30,865,894,811 36,331,053,358 30,650,915,393 Additional TIV 1,141,913,315 1,287,060,787 2,293,645,304 3,898,666,723 3,788,769,111 Percent Change 2.6% 3.8% 7.4% 10.7% 12.4% Renewed Premium 199,430,515 156,293,383 151,429,011 187,670,668 174,709,302 Expiring Premium 169,762,340 134,640,765 119,597,661 144,511,760 129,197,464 Additional Premium 29,668,175 21,652,618 31,831,351 43,158,908 45,511,837 Percent Change 17.5% 16.1% 26.6% 29.9% 35.2% Renewal Premium Rate/$1k TIV 4.39 4.45 4.57 4.66 5.07 Expiring Premium Rate/$1k TIV 3.83 3.98 3.87 3.98 4.22 Monthly Rate Change 14.5% 11.8% 17.9% 17.3% 20.4% R e n e w in g P o li ci e s O n ly +70¢ Highest quarterly average rate/$1k TIV recorded to date. Renewal acceptance dipped to 77.3% – down from 92.5% in Sept 2021 – driven by strategic underwriting actions implemented portfolio- wide (rate increases & ITV changes). +68¢+47¢+56¢ Additional premium and percent change are at all time highs due to rate increases in FL. +85¢ We continued to see improvement in rate adequacy during Q3-22.


 
Commercial Lines Rate Trend 10 Renewal rate change for American Coastal driven by hard market conditions.


 
Combined Premium & Exposure Trends 11 Premiums still holding flat while exposures decrease.


 
Cautionary Statements 12 This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward looking statements include expectations regarding our diversification, growth opportunities, retention rates, liquidity, investment returns and our ability to meet our investment objectives and to manage and mitigate market risk with respect to our investments. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the industry and market in which we operate, and management's beliefs and assumptions. Without limiting the generality of the foregoing, words such as "may," "will," "expect," "endeavor," "project," "believe," "anticipate," "intend," "could," "would," "estimate," or "continue" or the negative variations thereof, or comparable terminology, are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements. The risks and uncertainties include, without limitation: the regulatory, economic and weather conditions in the states in which we operate; the impact of new federal or state regulations that affect the property and casualty insurance market; the cost, variability and availability of reinsurance; assessments charged by various governmental agencies; pricing competition and other initiatives by competitors; our ability to attract and retain the services of senior management; the outcome of litigation pending against us, including the terms of any settlements; dependence on investment income and the composition of our investment portfolio and related market risks; our exposure to catastrophic events and severe weather conditions; downgrades in our financial strength ratings; risks and uncertainties relating to our acquisitions including our ability to successfully integrate the acquired companies; and other risks and uncertainties described in the section entitled "Risk Factors" and elsewhere in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), including our Annual Report in Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020 and 2021 and our Form 10-Q for the periods ending March 31, 2021, June 30, 2021, September 30, 2021, March 31, 2022, June 30, 2022, and September 30, 2022. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these forward looking statements, which are valid only as of the date they were made. Except as may be required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect new information, the occurrence of unanticipated events, or otherwise. This presentation contains certain non-GAAP financial measures. See our earnings release, Form 10-K ,and Form 10-Q for further information regarding these non-GAAP financial measures. The information in this presentation is confidential. Any photocopying, disclosure, reproduction or alteration of the contents of this presentation and any forwarding of a copy of this presentation or any portion of this presentation to any person is prohibited.