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Business Developments and Risks and Uncertainties | 6 Months Ended
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Jun. 30, 2013
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Business Developments and Risks and Uncertainties | MBIA Inc. and Subsidiaries Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) Note 1: Business Developments and Risks and Uncertainties Summary MBIA Inc., together with its consolidated subsidiaries, (collectively, “MBIA” or the “Company”) operates one of the largest financial guarantee insurance businesses in the industry and is a provider of asset management and advisory services. These activities are managed through three business segments: United States (“U.S.”) public finance insurance; structured finance and international insurance; and advisory services. The Company's U.S. public finance insurance business is primarily operated through National Public Finance Guarantee Corporation and its subsidiaries (“National”), its structured finance and international insurance business is primarily operated through MBIA Insurance Corporation and its subsidiaries (“MBIA Corp.”), and its asset management and advisory services business is primarily operated through Cutwater Holdings, LLC and its subsidiaries (“Cutwater”). In addition, the Company's asset management and advisory services business also consists of Trifinium Advisors (UK) Limited (“Trifinium”). The holding company, MBIA, and certain of its subsidiaries also manage certain other business activities, the results of which are reported in its corporate, asset/liability products, and conduit segments. The corporate segment includes revenues and expenses that arise from general corporate activities. While the asset/liability products and conduit businesses represent separate business segments, they may be referred to collectively as “wind-down operations” as the funding programs managed through those businesses are in wind-down. Refer to “Note 11: Business Segments” for further information about the Company's reporting segments. Business Developments In May of 2013, MBIA Inc., together with its subsidiaries MBIA Corp. and Nationa l, entered into a comprehensive settlement agreement and related agreements (the “BofA Settlement Agreement”) with Bank of America Corporation and certain of its subsidiaries (collectively, “Bank of America”), discussed below under “Bank of America Settlement”. As a result of the BofA Settlement Agreement, the repayment of MBIA Insurance Corporation's secured loan from National (the “National Secured Loan”) and recent credit ratings upgrades, certain barriers to re-enter the bond insurance market have been removed and the Company is currently evaluating strategies for such re-entry into the U.S. public finance market. As of June 30, 2013, National was rated A with a stable outlook by Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC (“S&P”) and Baa1 with a positive outlook by Moody's Investors Service, Inc. (“Moody's”). As of June 30, 2013, MBIA Insurance Corporation was rated B with a stable outlook by S&P and B3 with a positive outlook by Moody's. Bank of America Settlement Under the terms of the BofA Settlement Agreement, MBIA Corp. receive d a payment of approximately $1.7 billion, consisting of $1.6 billion in cash and $13 6 million principal amount of MBIA Inc.'s 5.70% Senior Notes due 2034. In exchange for such payment, MBIA Corp. agreed to dismiss the litigation commenced in September 2008 against Countrywide Home Loans, Inc. (“Countrywide”), among other parties, and later amended to include claims against Bank of America, relating to breaches of representations and warranties on certain MBIA-insured securitizations sponsored by Countrywide. Bank of America and MBIA have also agreed to the commutation of all of the MBIA Corp. policies held by Bank of America, which ha d a notional insured amount of approximately $7.4 billion, of which $6.1 billion we re policies insuring credit default swaps (“CDS”) held by Bank of America referencing commercial real estate (“CRE”) exposures. MBIA Corp. ha s no further payment obligations under the commuted policies. The New York State Department of Financial Services (“NYSDFS”) advised MBIA Corp. that the NYSDFS did not object to the BofA Settlement Agreement. The $1.6 billion of cash received in connection with the BofA Settlement Agreement is included in “Proceeds from recoveries and reinsurance” presented under the heading “Cash flows from operating activities” on the Company's consolidated statements of cash flows. Under the terms of the BofA Settlement Agreement, Bank of America receive d a five-year warrant to purchase 9.94 million shares of MBIA common stock at a price of $9.59 per share. Bank of America has also agreed to dismiss the pending litigation between the parties concerning the restructuring transactions announced by MBIA on February 18, 2009 (the “Transformation”) and the pending litigation between the parties concerning the senior debt c onsent s olicitation completed by MBIA in the fourth quarter of 2012. In addition, Bank of America agreed to withdraw the purported “notice of default” it sent in connection with such consent solicitation. Under the terms of the BofA Settlement Agreement, the dismissals of the litigations referenced above are initially being filed on a “without prejudice” basis. The parties will refile such dismissals on a “with prejudice” basis provided that, within the one-year period following execution of the BofA Settlement Agreement, none of the claims released pursuant to the BofA Settlement Agreement are reinstated and neither party is required to make a payment on any such released claims. The Company views the likelihood of such an event as remote, and thus expects that the litigation dismissals will be filed on a “with prejudice” basis at the expiration of such one-year period. MBIA Corp.'s policies insuring the residential mortgage-backed securities (“RMBS”) securitizations originated by Countrywide will continue to be in full force and effect, and MBIA Corp. will continue to make timely payment s of principal and interest if there are shortfalls when due under such policies. Bank of America will have no further representation and warranty liability with respect to the origination of the mortgage loans in the MBIA-insured Countrywide and certain other securitizations. In addition, MBIA Insurance Corp oration has entered into a $500 million three-year secured revolving credit agreement with Blue Ridge Investments, L.L.C. (“Blue Ridge”), an affiliate of Bank of America (the “Blue Ridge Secured Loan”). Refer to “Note 9: Debt” for a discussion of the Blue Ridge Secured Loan. The payment from Bank of America, including the MBIA Inc. notes, was used by MBIA Corp. to repay the remaining outstanding balance and accrued interest on the National Secured Loan. T he National S ecured L oan balance of $1.7 billion as of March 31, 2013 was reduced to approximately $1.6 billion prior to the Bank of America settlement as a result of the receipt of $110 million in settlement of Flagstar Bank's put-back obligation. The value of the settlement is consistent with amounts recorded on MBIA Corp.'s statutory balance sheet as of December 31, 2012. MBIA Corp.'s liquidity and capital risk profile ha s substantially improved as a result of the settlement. Pursuant to the anti-dilution provisions of warrants that were issued by MBIA to Warburg Pincus Private Equity X, L.P. and certain of its affiliates (“Warburg Pincus”) pursuant to an Investment Agreement, dated as of December 10, 2007, as amended and restated as of February 6, 2008, by and between MBIA and Warburg Pincus, the exercise price under such warrants was decreased and the aggregate number of shares of MBIA common stock to be issued upon exercise of such warrants w as increased, in each case as a result of the issuance of the warrant to Bank of America. The adjustments to the exercise price and number of such underlying shares are not expected to have a material dilutive effect on the MBIA common stock. Societe Generale Settlement In May of 2013, the Company entered into an agreement with Societe Generale pursuant to which the Company c ommuted $4.2 billion of gross insured exposure comprising asset-backed securities (“ABS”) collateralized debt obligations (“CDOs”), structured commercial mortgage-backed securities (“CMBS”) pools and CRE CDOs. The amount MBIA paid to Societe Generale in consideration of commuting its insured exposure is consistent with MBIA Corp.'s December 31, 2012 aggregate statutory loss reserves for the exposures commuted. Also, pursuant to the agreement, Societe Generale agreed to dismiss the pending litigation between the parties concerning the Transformation, which includes any appeals of the decision denying the Article 78 petition and the plenary case. Residential Capital LLC Agreement In May of 2013, the Company and the other Consenting Claimants, Residential Capital LLC (“ResCap”) and Ally Financial Inc. (“Ally”), agreed to the terms of a comprehensive plan agreement to support ResCap's Chapter 11 plan. The confirmation of ResCap's Chapter 11 plan would resolve MBIA Corp.'s claims against the Residential Funding Company, LLC (“RFC”), GMAC Mortgage LLC (“GMAC”) and ResCap estates, and Ally. In June of 2013, the bankruptcy court issued a Memorandum Opinion approving the Plan Support Agreement (the “Plan”). The Plan is now subject to voting by creditors as well as a confirmation hearing by the bankruptcy court. There can be no assurance that the Plan will be confirmed. Refer to “Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves” for a discussion of the ResCap agreement. Transformation Litigation Subsequent to the B ofA S ettlement Agreement and the Societe Generale settlement, all litigation brought originally by the group of eighteen domestic and international financial institutions relating to the establishment of National has been resolved. Other As of June 30, 2013, the liquidity position of MBIA Inc., which consists of the liquidity positions of the Company's corporate segment and asset/liability products segment, was $327 million compared with $239 million as of December 31, 2012. During the six months ended June 30, 2013, $115 million was released from an escrow account under the MBIA group's tax sharing agreement (the “Tax Escrow Account”), which result ed in an increase to MBIA's liquidity position. Management believes that MBIA can support its operating needs for the foreseeable future primarily from its existing liquidity position, expected subsidiary dividends and additional anticipated releases of assets from the Tax Escrow Account, which releases are subject to the risk s of National incurring net tax losses in the future and/or declines in the value of the assets held in the Tax Escrow Account. As of June 30, 2013 and December 31, 2012, MBIA Corp.'s cash and liquid assets were $92 million and $345 million, respectively. The Company believes MBIA Corp.'s current liquidity position, together with future cash inflows and amounts available under the Blue Ridge Secured Loan, is adequate to make expected future claim payments. The combination of commutation payments to reduce liabilities and claim payments have placed liquidity pressure on MBIA Corp. MBIA Corp. continues to seek to reduce both the absolute amount and the volatility of its obligations and potential future claim payments through the execution of commutations of insurance policies. During the six months ended June 30, 2013, MBIA Corp. c ommuted $19.9 billion of gross insured exposure, primarily comprising structured CMBS pools, investment grade CDOs, ABS CDOs, first-lien subprime RMBS, high yield corporate CDOs, CRE CDOs, structured insurance securities, and first-lien alternative A-paper RMBS. Risks and Uncertainties The Company's financial statements include estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses. The outcome of certain significant risks and uncertainties could cause the Company to revise its estimates and assumptions or could cause actual results to differ from the Company's estimates. While the Company believes it continues to have sufficient capital and liquidity to meet all of its expected obligations, if one or more possible adverse outcomes were to be realized, its statutory capital, financial position, results of operations and cash flows could be materially and adversely affected. Significant risks and uncertainties that could affect amounts reported in the Company's financial statements in future periods include, but are not limited to, the following: The amount and timing of potential claims from the Company's second-lien RMBS and remaining insured CMBS pools are potentially volatile, as are the projected collections of excess spread and the remaining put-back recoverables. However, management's expected liquidity and capital forecasts for MBIA Corp. for 2013, which include expected availability of draws under the Blue Ridge Secured Loan and expected recoveries from the ResCap agreement, reflect adequate resources to pay expected claims. Further, the remaining insured portfolio, aside from these exposures, could deteriorate and result in loss reserves and claim payments. While management believes MBIA Corp. will have adequate resources to pay expected claims, if MBIA Corp. experiences higher than expected claim payments or is unable to commute the remaining exposures that represent substantial risk to the Company, MBIA Corp. may ultimately have insufficient resources to continue to pay claims, which could cause the NYSDFS to put MBIA Insurance Corporation into a rehabilitation or liquidation proceeding. Refer to “Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves” for information about MBIA Corp.'s reserves and recoveries. MBIA Inc. continues to have liquidity risk. If invested asset performance deteriorates, or the flow of dividends from subsidiaries was interrupted, its liquidity position would be eroded over time. However, management believes that MBIA Inc. has sufficient liquidity resources to meet all of its obligations for the foreseeable future. In order to meet its liquidity requirements, MBIA Inc. may use free cash or other assets or use its ability to finance through intercompany or third-party facilities, although there can be no assurance that these strategies will be available or adequate. A failure by MBIA Inc. to settle liabilities that are also insured by MBIA Corp. could result in claims on MBIA Corp. The Company's ability to commute insured transactions is limited by available liquidity, including the availability of the Blue Ridge Secured Loan, recoveries from the ResCap agre ement and the use of other available financing structures and liquidity, some of which could be subject to regulatory approval by the NYSDFS and/or the United Kingdom's Prudential Regulation Authority. The Company's primary strategy for managing its CMBS pool and ABS CDO exposures has been commutations. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to fund further commutations through borrowings or otherwise. Refer to “Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves” for information about the Company's estimate of losses on its exposures. As of June 30, 2013, MBIA Insurance Corporation was not in compliance with a requirement under the New York Insurance Law (“NYIL”) to hold qualifying assets in an amount necessary to satisfy its contingency reserves. MBIA Insurance Corporation has reported the deficit and has requested approval from the NYSDFS, to release a portion of its contingency reserves as of September 30, 2012, December 31, 2012, March 31, 2013, and June 30, 2013. All of these requests were disapproved by the NYSDFS. In addition, as of June 30, 2013, MBIA Insurance Corporation reported an overage related to its single risk limits under NYIL. MBIA Insurance Corporation previously filed a formal notification with the NYSDFS regarding th is overage and submitted a plan to achieve compliance with its limits. While the NYSDFS has not taken action against MBIA Insurance Corporation, the NYSDFS may restrict MBIA Insurance Corporation from making commutation or other payments or may impose other remedial actions for failing to meet these requirements. Changes in fair value of insured credit derivatives can be caused by general market conditions and the volatility in the relationship between MBIA's credit spreads and those underlying collateral assets on insured credit derivatives may cause significant unrealized gains and losses in the Company's reported results of operations. Refer to “Note 6: Fair Value of Financial Instruments” for information about the Company's valuation of insured credit derivatives.

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