EX-99.1 2 b51220ekexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER Insight Newsletter
 

(MARTIN CURRIE HEAD)

(THE CHINA FUND HEAD)

IN BRIEF

         
Net asset value per share
  US$ 24.72  
Market price
  US$ 28.80  
Premium/discount
    16.50 %
Fund size
  US$ 249.2m  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

                 
At June 30, 2004           US$ returns
 
    China Fund NAV   MSCI Golden Dragon*
    %
  %
One month return
    -5.3       -1.1  
One year return
    21.9       32.0  

MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

Investment sentiment towards China remained negative in June. However, there were early signs that government efforts to restrain over-investment in specific sectors are achieving some success. A slowdown in imports resulted in the return to a US$2.1 billion surplus in May. Fixed asset investment growth is clearly slowing. There was some concern about the 4.4% CPI figure in May. But this was over 90% due to food prices; non-food inflation was only 0.6%. Government policies to stimulate the rural economy, such as cutting taxes and land reform, have resulted in a 9% year-on-year increase in planted acreage of rice. There is every sign that the current harvest will be a record and grain prices are already starting to fall. We expect investors to be once more worrying about deflation rather than inflation by the year-end. Worries about rapid increases in interest rates will fade. As Herodotus predicted: “Very few things happen at the right time, and the rest do not happen at all.”

In recent company visits we have concentrated on the consumer sector. We find that consumption growth remains strong, both in China and Taiwan. We expect the next leg of the bull market to be consumption rather than investment-driven. With the Japanese consumer finally starting to spend again, it will be interesting to see whether intra-Asian demand is able to offset a potential slowdown in US demand and allow Asian and US equity markets finally to diverge.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

Your fund is almost fully invested with holdings in 60 companies, of which 4 are unlisted. During June we sold some stocks linked to capital spending (such as Jingwei Textile) and defensives (Chunghwa Telecom). In their place, we have started investing in NYSE-listed Chindex (hospital management), Taiwan Honchuan (beverage bottles) and a selection of cheap, technology companies — Asia Optical (lenses and digital cameras), Tripod (PCBs) and Synnex (leading electronic distributor). We have also invested in Asia Aluminium (Aluminium extrusion), where we expect to see a recovery in margins in the second half.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

In June, we made a US$3mn investment in Global e-Business Services (BVI) Ltd. (“GO”). GO operates electronic tendering platforms and provides e-business outsourcing services in both public and commercial sectors in Hong Kong. GO has one of the two available licenses in Hong Kong granted by the Hong Kong Government to provide front-end Government Electronic Trading Services (“GETS”). GETS is a mandatory service for the 70,000-trader community in Hong Kong to submit their applications for trade documents online. There were more than 17mn of such trade declaration transactions recorded in 2003.

GO is a subsidiary of Computer And Technologies Holdings Limited (C&T), one of the leading IT service providers engaging in system integration, solution services, and software/e-commerce application services in Greater China. C&T is listed on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

FUND DETAILS

         
Market cap*
    US$287.1m
Shares outstanding
      10,081,913
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source: Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP.

SECTOR ALLOCATION

                 
    The China   MSCI Golden
    Fund, Inc
  Dragon*
Industrials
    20.1 %     12.7 %
Consumer discretionary
    18.7 %     6.9 %
Information technology
    18.3 %     19.2 %
Materials
    8.3 %     6.8 %
Utilities
    8.3 %     9.0 %
Financials
    7.8 %     30.5 %
Consumer staples
    5.7 %     0.6 %
Telecommunications
    4.8 %     8.4 %
Healthcare
    3.1 %     0.1 %
Energy
    2.3 %     5.8 %
Other assets & liabilities
    2.6 %      
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

ASSET ALLOCATION

(ROUND GRAPHIC)

Source: State Street Corporation

                 
PERFORMANCE           (US$ RETURNS)
    NAV   Market price
    %
  %
One month
    -5.3       -2.0  
Year to date
    -5.6       -29.4  
3 years (annualized)
    18.6       32.5  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation

DIRECT INVESTMENTS (3.5%)

             
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.2 %
Global E Business
  Information technology     1.2 %
Tomoike Industrial (HK) Ltd
  Industrials     0.9 %
Teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.2 %

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (46.8%)

             
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     4.8 %
Sohu.com
  Information technology     4.2 %
TCL International
  Consumer discretionary     4.0 %
BYD
  Industrials     3.8 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     3.6 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     3.0 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.9 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     2.8 %
Cathay Financial
  Financials     2.8 %
China Metal Products
  Materials     2.6 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     2.6 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     2.6 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     2.5 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  Energy     2.3 %
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology     2.3 %

Source: State Street Corporation

FUND PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)
                                                         
    One   Three   Calendar   One   Three   Five   Since
    month   months   year to date   year   years   years   launch
    %
  %
  %
  %
  % pa
  % pa
  % pa
The China Fund, Inc.
    -5.3       -12.3       -5.6       21.9       18.6       11.8       7.6  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    -1.1       -7.8       -2.9       32.0       4.0       -3.5       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    -0.3       -10.3       -14.9       57.4       22.9       9.7       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.

Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE

(PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of June 30, 2004.

THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT

(PREMIUM-DISCOUNT)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of June 30, 2004.

DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART

(DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART)

                                                                                         
Total
    0.91       0.61       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78  
Income
    0.09       0.01       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07  
Long term capital
    0.04       0.24       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67  
Short term capital
    0.79       0.36       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation.

 


 

THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT JUNE 30, 2004
                                         
Sector
  Company (BBG ticker)
  Price
  Holding
  Value $
  % of portfolio
Hong Kong
                                    51.8 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$2.18     43,089,900       12,015,915       4.8 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$2.43     32,318,000       10,047,970       4.0 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$23.05     3,225,000       9,509,981       3.8 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$4.58     15,356,000       9,007,231       3.6 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$3.28     17,778,000       7,464,768       3.0 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$5.60     9,968,000       7,156,788       2.9 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$2.55     21,494,000       7,027,155       2.8 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$3.48     13,976,000       6,226,727       2.5 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$8.50     5,186,000       5,651,628       2.3 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$3.00     13,950,000       5,365,591       2.2 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$1.93     20,698,000       5,121,625       2.1 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.80     12,835,000       4,607,613       1.8 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$5.20     6,714,000       4,476,172       1.8 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$13.15     2,536,000       4,275,600       1.7 %
Proview International
  334 HK   HK$1.81     17,644,000       4,094,470       1.6 %
China Shipping Container Lines
  2866 HK   HK$2.80     9,221,000       3,280,674       1.3 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.45     50,380,000       2,874,354       1.2 %
Hong Kong.com
  8006 HK   HK$0.70     30,232,000       2,713,233       1.1 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.54     32,780,000       2,269,472       0.9 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$1.45     11,835,000       2,200,181       0.9 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$0.93     17,379,000       2,116,754       0.8 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.43     37,500,000       2,043,348       0.8 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.20     7,000,000       1,974,435       0.8 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.76     18,000,000       1,753,914       0.7 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$1.02     13,196,000       1,725,697       0.7 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$0.87     15,254,000       1,701,473       0.7 %
Jingwei Textile Machinery
  350 HK   HK$1.81     4,436,000       1,035,106       0.4 %
Fujian Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$2.65     2,770,000       941,126       0.4 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.17     18,386,000       407,808       0.2 %
Taiwan
                                    33.7 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$60.5     3,862,000       6,949,762       2.8 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT$37.8     5,873,408       6,603,653       2.6 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$54.5     4,059,640       6,580,916       2.6 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$77.0     2,844,208       6,514,099       2.6 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$103.5     1,831,200       5,637,394       2.3 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$29.3     5,453,952       4,753,147       1.9 %
Polaris Securities
  2854 TT   NT$17.7     8,859,377       4,664,217       1.9 %
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise
  9939 TT   NT$37.0     3,968,435       4,367,403       1.7 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$47.5     3,001,152       4,240,176       1.7 %
CMC Magnetics
  2323 TT   NT$17.5     8,100,000       4,216,240       1.7 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$44.0     3,016,400       3,947,698       1.6 %
Asia Optical
  3019 TT   NT$204.0     500,000       3,033,908       1.2 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$43.9     2,179,000       2,845,274       1.1 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$20.6     3,968,339       2,431,522       1.0 %
ChungHwa Telecom
  2412 TT   NT$58.0     1,408,000       2,429,030       1.0 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$37.0     2,048,000       2,253,896       0.9 %
Vanguard International Semiconductor
  5347 TT   NT$12.5     6,000,000       2,230,815       0.9 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$50.5     1,478,520       2,220,858       0.9 %
Tsann Kuen Enterprise
  2430 TT   NT$42.0     1,700,000       2,123,736       0.9 %
Soft-World International
  5478 TT   NT$86.0     790,000       2,020,821       0.8 %
Allied Material
  8017 TT   NT$16.2     4,000,000       1,927,424       0.8 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$14.1     3,500,000       1,467,876       0.6 %
Ability Enterprise
  2374 TT   NT$22.7     739,840       499,535       0.2 %
B shares
                                    2.0 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$10.07     3,908,395       5,046,032       2.0 %
New York
                                    6.4 %
Sohu.com
  Sohu US   US$ 19.88       526,286       10,462,566       4.2 %
Shanda Interactive
  SNDA US   US$ 15.42       324,300       5,000,706       2.0 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$ 9.59       42,987       412,245       0.2 %
Direct
                                    3.5 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.2 %
Global E Business
                    40,000       3,000,115       1.2 %
Tomoike Industrial
                    825,000       2,351,932       0.9 %
Teco Optronics
                    1,500,000       446,163       0.2 %
Other assets & liabilities
                                    2.6 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE

The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS

The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closed-ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements can cause the value of the shares and the income from them to fluctuate and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your shares.