EX-99.1 2 b51530c8exv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(MARTIN CURRIE LETTERHEAD)

IN BRIEF

     
Net asset value per share
  US$24.53 
Market price
  US$27.17 
Pemium/discount
  10.76% 
Fund size
  US$247.3m

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

 

At July 31, 2004   US$ returns
                 
    China Fund NAV   MSCI Golden Dragon*
    %
  %
One month return
    -0.8       -1.9  
One year return
    7.2       18.4  

MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

As we enter the dog days of summer, the Chinese markets continue under pressure. Recent results from invested companies, such as Sohu, have been good, and we expect this to continue through the raft of interim results to be announced in August. Although headline inflation appeared worrying at 5%, it has actually started to decline month-on-month, and this will be hastened by falling grain prices. After a slowdown in loan growth and fixed asset investment, there are early signs that the authorities may soon ease the selective credit tightening initiated in April. Following some monthly trade deficits at the start of the year, strong growth in exports and some slowing of imports mean that China is now back to recording big monthly trade surpluses; the foreign exchange reserves now stand at US$471 billion, up by US$30 billion since March. Domestic consumption remains solid and the rebound in July of local steel, cement and glass prices indicates that rumours of the demise of the Chinese economy appear somewhat exaggerated. However, sentiment has remained negative, as investors have preferred to focus on high oil prices and military manoeuvres in the Taiwan Straits (an annual event).

There are now lots of cheap stocks, especially in Taiwan where your manager has never seen such value in 15 years following that market. Investors seem as overly pessimistic now as they were optimistic at the start of the year. The main worry remains equity supply, especially of large state-owned enterprises. However, we have seen a number of recent deals pulled or downsized. This may have a salutary effect on sellers and investment bankers.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

Your fund has holdings in 59 stocks, of which four are unlisted. Recent performance has been hampered by our large exposure to management-owned small caps and to Taiwan. However, we are finding plenty of good growth companies trading at single digit price-to-earnings ratios to buy in both areas. We also expect the MSCI re-weighting of Taiwan, which will take place from November, to boost interest from foreign investors. We are therefore practicing patience, and with the exception of adding to our stake in China’s leading gold miner, Zijin, there has been little turnover in the portfolio in July. After all, every patient dog has his day.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

Over the last month there has been considerable activity in the Fund’s direct investment portfolio. On July 23, 2004, the valuation of the Fund’s direct investment in Tomoike was increased from US$2.3 mn to US$6.3 mn. This substantial upward revaluation reflects a 120% increase in the company’s audited profits since the investment was made in February 2003. On June 18, 2004, the Fund completed an investment of US$3 mn in Global e-Business Services (GO), a Hong Kong based e-commerce company. GO’s main business is the electronic processing of import/export documentation and it is one of just two companies granted a license from the Hong Kong Government to provide this service. The Fund’s other direct investments continue to perform well.

The measures adopted by the PRC Government to slow excessive growth in some sectors of the economy are showing encouraging signs of achieving a soft landing. Growth is slowing and activity in overheated sectors such as property development is being effectively curtailed. This process will take a few months to complete but should provide a more stable basis for rapid growth in the future. The tightened credit environment is lowering corporate valuations and creating an attractive opportunity to make new high quality direct investments. We are actively engaged in pursuing such new investments for the Fund.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

FUND DETAILS

     
Market cap*
  US$273.0m
Shares outstanding
  10,081,913 
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source: Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP.

ASSET ALLOCATION

(PIE CHART)

SECTOR ALLOCATION

                 
    The China   MSCI Golden
    Fund, Inc
  Dragon*
Industrials
    21.2 %     12.9 %
Consumer discretionary
    18.1 %     6.8 %
Information technology
    17.4 %     17.6 %
Materials
    8.9 %     7.0 %
Utilities
    8.7 %     9.2 %
Financials
    7.2 %     31.3 %
Consumer staples
    5.4 %     0.6 %
Telecommunications
    4.2 %     8.1 %
Healthcare
    3.1 %     0.1 %
Energy
    2.8 %     6.4 %
Other assets & liabilities
    3.0 %      
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

 

PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)
                 
    NAV   Market price
    %
  %
One month
    -0.8       -5.7  
Year to date
    -6.3       -33.4  
Three years (annualized)
    22.7       35.1  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation

DIRECT INVESTMENTS (5.2%)

             
Tomoike Industrial (HK) Ltd
  Industrials     2.6 %
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.2 %
Global E Business
  Information technology     1.2 %
Teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.2 %

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (46.8%)

             
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     4.5 %
Sohu.com
  Information technology     4.4 %
TCL International
  Consumer discretionary     3.9 %
BYD
  Industrials     3.7 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     3.3 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     3.1 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     3.0 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  Energy     2.8 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.7 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     2.7 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     2.6 %
Cathay Financial
  Financials     2.6 %
China Metal Products
  Materials     2.5 %
Shanda Interactive
  Consumer discretionary     2.5 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     2.5 %

Source: State Street Corporation

 

FUND PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)
                                                         
    One   Three   Calendar   One   Three   Five   Since
    month   months   year to date   year   years   years   launch
    %
  %
  %
  %
  % pa
  % pa
  % pa
The China Fund, Inc.
    -0.8       -3.7       -6.3       7.2       22.7       13.7       7.5  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    -1.9       -2.4       -4.8       18.4       5.6       -2.6       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    1.0       6.8       -14.1       42.7       29.8       12.4       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized. Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE

(PERFORMANCE CHART)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of July 31, 2004.

THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT

(PERFORMANCE CHART)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of July 31, 2004.

DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART

(PERFORMANCE CHART)

                                                                                         
Total
    0.91       0.61       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78  
Income
    0.09       0.01       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07  
Long term capital
    0.04       0.24       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67  
Short term capital
    0.79       0.36       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation.

 


 

 

THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT JULY 31, 2004
                                         
    Company                
Sector
  (BBG ticker)
  Price
  Holding
  Value $
  % of portfolio
Hong Kong
                                    51.8 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$2.0     43,089,900       11,187,088       4.5 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$2.3     32,318,000       9,633,497       3.9 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$22.3     3,225,000       9,220,429       3.7 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$4.2     15,356,000       8,219,608       3.3 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$3.4     17,778,000       7,635,619       3.1 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$2.7     21,494,000       7,302,636       3.0 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$9.5     5,686,000       6,888,984       2.8 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$5.2     9,968,000       6,645,504       2.7 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$3.7     13,976,000       6,585,015       2.7 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$3.0     13,950,000       5,276,097       2.1 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$1.8     20,698,000       4,696,974       1.9 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$5.4     6,714,000       4,605,233       1.9 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$14.0     2,536,000       4,551,912       1.8 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.7     12,835,000       4,360,721       1.8 %
China Shipping Container Lines
  2866 HK   HK$2.7     9,221,000       3,162,411       1.3 %
Proview International
  334 HK   HK$1.7     14,644,000       3,135,398       1.3 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.4     50,380,000       2,712,839       1.1 %
Hong Kong.com
  8006 HK   HK$0.7     30,232,000       2,635,678       1.1 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.5     32,780,000       2,269,443       0.9 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.5     37,500,000       2,259,673       0.9 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$1.0     17,379,000       2,183,571       0.9 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$1.4     11,835,000       2,139,459       0.9 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.3     7,000,000       2,019,283       0.8 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.9     18,000,000       1,938,511       0.8 %
Fujian Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$2.5     6,000,000       1,884,664       0.8 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$1.1     13,196,000       1,844,104       0.7 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$0.9     15,254,000       1,838,350       0.7 %
Jingwei Textile Machinery
  350 HK   HK$1.8     3,436,000       792,943       0.3 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.2     18,386,000       407,803       0.2 %
Taiwan
                                    30.4 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$73.5     3,012,016       6,513,186       2.6 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$56.0     3,862,000       6,362,813       2.6 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT$33.8     6,325,659       6,290,299       2.5 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$51.5     4,059,640       6,150,970       2.5 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$98.0     1,831,200       5,279,718       2.1 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$28.0     5,453,952       4,492,811       1.8 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$43.3     3,305,974       4,211,494       1.7 %
Polaris Securities
  2854 TT   NT$15.0     8,859,377       3,909,699       1.6 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$43.5     3,001,152       3,840,839       1.6 %
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise
  9939 TT   NT$30.9     4,179,435       3,799,486       1.5 %
CMC Magnetics
  2323 TT   NT$14.9     8,100,000       3,538,835       1.4 %
Asia Optical
  3019 TT   NT$153.0     686,937       3,092,126       1.3 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$33.6     2,503,413       2,474,689       1.0 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$19.1     3,968,339       2,229,929       0.9 %
ChungHwa Telecom
  2412 TT   NT$53.5     1,408,000       2,216,181       0.9 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$50.5     1,478,520       2,196,683       0.9 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$28.4     2,421,104       2,022,929       0.8 %
Vanguard International Semiconductor
  5347 TT   NT$11.0     6,000,000       1,932,921       0.8 %
Allied Material
  8017 TT   NT$13.7     4,000,000       1,606,355       0.7 %
Soft-World International
  5478 TT   NT$65.0     790,000       1,510,738       0.6 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$14.4     3,500,000       1,482,789       0.6 %
Singapore
                                    0.2 %
Autron
  AAT SP   SGD0.3     2,795,000       447,018       0.2 %
B shares
                                    2.4 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$12.0     3,908,395       6,013,070       2.4 %
New York
                                    7.0 %
Sohu.com
  Sohu US   US$20.7     526,286       10,904,646       4.4 %
Shanda Interactive
  SNDA US   US$19.0     324,300       6,161,700       2.5 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$7.3     42,987       311,656       0.1 %
Direct
                                    5.2 %
Tomoike Industrial
                    825,000       6,331,233       2.6 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.2 %
Global E Business
                    40,000       3,000,077       1.2 %
Teco Optronics
                    1,500,000       441,306       0.2 %
Other assets & liabilities
                                    3.0 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE

The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS

The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closed-ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements can cause the value of the shares and the income from them to fluctuate and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your shares.