EX-99.1 2 b52808fhexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(Martin Currie graphic)

(The China Fund, Inc. graphic)

IN BRIEF


         
Net asset value per share
  US$ 27.19  
Market price
  US$ 33.58  
Premium/(discount)
    23.50 %
Fund size
  US$ 274.1m  
                 
At November 30, 2004
          US$ returns  
  China Fund NAV     MSCI Golden Dragon*
    %       %  
One month
    3.5       8.5  
One year
    5.2       16.4  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

MANAGER’S COMMENTARY


Chinese stockmarkets improved in November as the CPI fell sharply on declining food prices (from 5.2% in September to 4.3% in October). This undermined some of the more aggressive interest rate forecasts touted by doom-mongers in the wake of the October rate hike. The government will have also been happy to see both money growth and industrial production decelerate slightly. The debate about renminbi revaluation was re-kindled as the US dollar slid and garnered some local support; a revaluation could now be sold domestically as an aid to reducing imported inflation, and an alternative to further rate hikes. Also, as China embarks on a spending spree on overseas hard assets (mostly resources), and outbound tourism booms, a slightly stronger currency has some clear benefits.

Looking forward to 2005, it promises to be a year for consumer stocks. Retail sales have been accelerating (up by 14.2% year-on-year in October), just as the exaggerated fixed asset investment numbers have been falling. The problem this year is that many consumer companies achieved good top-line growth, but little profit growth, due to rising raw material and transport costs. Such margin pressures seem likely to ease in 2005, helped by currency appreciation, improvement in bottlenecks and the decline in a number of commodity prices including grains and cement. Product prices may also gradually be raised, depending on the progress in consolidation in the specific industry. In TV production, for example, the process is well advanced (we have a holding in TCL). Meanwhile, in the auto industry it has barely started, explaining the absence of auto stocks from the portfolio.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY


The fund is 94.6% invested with holdings in 60 companies, of which four are unlisted. During the month, we gradually raised cash to fund the substantial dividend to be paid in January. This entailed selling our remaining holding in the portal Sohu and taking some profits on on-line game operator Shenda and Taiwanese IC foundry Vanguard.

Reflecting our growing interest in consumer stocks, we accumulated a stake in sanitary napkin and tissue maker Hengan, as well as adding to holdings in sportswear chain Li Ning and Far Eastern Department Store. Your managers are normally leery of buying airline stocks. But with the triple benefits of currency appreciation, some relief on fuel prices and a possible improvement in cross-straits ties after the December 11 elections in Taiwan, we built up our courage and invested in EVA Airways.

With our more positive stance on the neglected telecom sector, we followed participation in the Netcom IPO, with an increased stake in mobile telecom coverage experts Comba. We also plan to subscribe to the IPO of ZTE, one of China’s two largest telecom equipment makers, which we have followed in the A-share market for some years.

MESSAGE TO INVESTORS


As we approach the end of our financial year it seems likely that the company will pay a dividend in January, which is a result of profits taken early in the year. Dividends can be taken in cash or stock. Dividend shares will be issued at the greater of net asset value or a 5% discount to the market price. The Fund is currently trading at a 23.50% premium to net asset value.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY


The administrative measures implemented by the Central Government to control lending growth are becoming effective. This trend will be strengthened by the recent rise in the interest rate. The retail sector shows strong sales growth and inflation is showing some signs of moderating. This suggests that so far the Central government is having some successes in curbing excess consumption in overheated sectors without tipping the economy into a hard landing. Rising speculation, again, about a revaluation of the RMB and/or a widened trading band will make maintaining this balance harder and is attracting some speculative inflows into the deal market.

In light of the current tightening, we are focusing our new deal activity on companies that are relatively unaffected by the direct measures to slow the economy or where we can invest on valuations which discount the less optimistic expectations for the short-term performance of the Chinese economy.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

FUND DETAILS


         
Market cap
      US$337.2m
Shares outstanding
      10,081,913
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management

Source: State Street Corporation.

ASSET ALLOCATION


(PIE GRAPH)

Source: State Street Corporation



SECTOR ALLOCATION


                 
    The China   MSCI Golden
    Fund, Inc   Dragon
Industrials
    23.3 %     13.6 %
Consumer discretionary
    16.6 %     6.7 %
Information technology
    10.5 %     16.9 %
Materials
    9.2 %     6.9 %
Utilities
    9.1 %     8.8 %
Consumer staples
    8.2 %     0.5 %
Financials
    7.7 %     32.4 %
Healthcare
    4.1 %     0.1 %
Telecommunications
    4.0 %     7.8 %
Energy
    1.9 %     6.3 %
Other assets & liabilities
    5.4 %      
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation.

      

PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)

                 
    NAV   Market price
    %   %
One month
    3.5       15.2  
Year to date
    3.8       -17.6  
3 years (annualized)
    27.6       44.8  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation

DIRECT INVESTMENTS (4.8%)


             
Tomoike Industrial (HK) Ltd
  Industrials     2.3 %
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.1 %
Global E Business
  Information technology     1.1 %
teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.3 %

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (44.4%)


             
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     5.7 %
BYD
  Industrials     3.4 %
TCL International
  Consumer discretionary     3.3 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     3.2 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     3.0 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     3.0 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     2.9 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     2.8 %
China International Marine
  Industrials     2.8 %
Cathay Financial
  Financials     2.7 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     2.5 %
Golden Meditech
  Healthcare     2.5 %
Shanda Interactive
  Consumer discretionary     2.3 %
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology     2.2 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.1 %

Source: State Street Corporation

      

FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)   (US$ RETURNS)

                                                         
    One   Three   Calendar   One   Three   Five   Since
    month   months   year to date   year   years   years   launch
    %   %   %   %   % pa   % pa   % pa
The China Fund, Inc.
    3.5       8.5       3.8       5.2       27.6       16.0       8.1  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    8.5       10.3       10.8       16.4       13.3       -2.0       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    10.4       16.1       -1.2       29.4       40.7       18.2       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.
Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

(Performance in perspective graph)

(The China Fund Inc. premium discount line graph)

(Dividend history bar graph)

 


 

THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT NOVEMBER 30, 2004

                                         
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)   Price   Holding   Value $   % of portfolio
Hong Kong
                                    54.2 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
    682 HK       HK$2.8       43,089,900       15,653,439       5.7 %
BYD
    1211 HK       HK$22.1       3,225,000       9,165,113       3.4 %
TCL International
    1070 HK       HK$2.2       32,318,000       9,038,983       3.3 %
Anhui Expressway
    995 HK       HK$3.9       17,778,000       8,858,709       3.2 %
Xinao Gas
    2688 HK       HK$4.6       13,976,000       8,222,234       3.0 %
Comba Telecom Systems
    2342 HK       HK$3.5       18,018,000       8,051,508       3.0 %
Shenzhen Expressway
    548 HK       HK$2.9       21,494,000       7,946,409       2.9 %
Golden Meditech
    8180 HK       HK$1.9       27,900,000       6,744,937       2.5 %
TPV Technology
    903 HK       HK$4.6       9,968,000       5,864,283       2.1 %
Fujian Zijin Mining
    2899 HK       HK$3.7       12,400,000       5,859,963       2.1 %
Weichai Power
    2338 HK       HK$17.7       2,536,000       5,772,160       2.1 %
Li Ning
    2331 HK       HK$3.4       11,400,000       5,020,896       1.8 %
Fountain Set
    420 HK       HK$5.7       6,714,000       4,878,043       1.8 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
    1171 HK       HK$11.9       3,146,000       4,793,943       1.8 %
Solomon Systech
    2878 HK       HK$1.7       20,698,000       4,631,199       1.7 %
Sinotrans
    598 HK       HK$2.7       12,835,000       4,415,049       1.6 %
China Shipping Container Lines
    2866 HK       HK$3.4       9,221,000       4,001,913       1.5 %
China Fire Safety
    8201 HK       HK$0.6       50,380,000       3,498,386       1.3 %
China Netcom
    906 HK       HK$9.4       2,334,000       2,806,262       1.0 %
Weiqiao Textile
    2698 HK       HK$11.8       1,854,500       2,802,080       1.0 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
    157 HK       HK$0.6       32,780,000       2,318,395       0.8 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
    187 HK       HK$2.5       7,000,000       2,205,362       0.8 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
    2882 HK       HK$1.0       17,379,000       2,190,114       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
    769 HK       HK$1.1       15,254,000       2,118,475       0.8 %
Asia Aluminium
    930 HK       HK$0.9       18,000,000       2,083,199       0.8 %
Sino Golf
    361 HK       HK$1.2       11,835,000       1,871,928       0.7 %
Asia Zirconium
    395 HK       HK$1.0       13,196,000       1,713,876       0.6 %
Singamas Container
    716 HK       HK$4.4       3,000,000       1,678,133       0.6 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
    8243 HK       HK$0.3       37,500,000       1,470,777       0.5 %
Hengan International
    1044 HK       HK$4.8       2,000,000       1,234,489       0.5 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
    2877 HK       HK$4.0       1,594,000       894,699       0.3 %
China Power International
    2380 HK       HK$3.1       1,029,000       410,197       0.1 %
Arcontech
    8097 HK       HK$0.2       18,386,000       409,024       0.1 %
Taiwan
                                    30.3 %
Synnex Technologies
    2347 TT       NT$47.5       5,165,604       7,614,156       2.8 %
Cathay Financial
    2882 TT       NT$62.0       3,862,000       7,430,380       2.7 %
Merry Electronics
    2439 TT       NT$73.0       3,012,016       6,823,186       2.5 %
Taiwan Green Point
    3007 TT       NT$90.5       2,155,749       6,054,159       2.2 %
Fubon Financial
    2881 TT       NT$32.3       5,453,952       5,466,645       2.0 %
Polaris Securities
    2854 TT       NT$17.6       9,407,587       5,138,046       1.9 %
China Metal Products
    1532 TT       NT$36.9       4,378,714       5,013,950       1.8 %
EVA Airways
    2618 TT       NT$14.2       11,300,000       4,979,364       1.8 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
    2105 TT       NT$40.0       3,805,974       4,724,250       1.7 %
Radiant Opto-Electronics
    6176 TT       NT$65.5       1,890,000       3,841,583       1.4 %
ET Internet Technology
    2614 TT       NT$17.2       7,136,000       3,808,819       1.4 %
Tripod Technology
    3044 TT       NT$43.6       2,778,413       3,759,156       1.4 %
Asia Optical
    3019 TT       NT$167.0       686,937       3,559,922       1.3 %
Chicony Electronics
    2385 TT       NT$29.5       3,001,152       2,747,370       1.0 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
    5903 TT       NT$54.5       1,567,231       2,626,237       0.9 %
Data Systems Consulting
    2447 TT       NT$19.8       4,237,987       2,603,945       0.9 %
Wintek
    2384 TT       NT$29.7       2,421,104       2,231,398       0.8 %
Far Eastern Department Stores
    2903 TT       NT$18.1       3,000,000       1,685,027       0.6 %
Soft-World International
    5478 TT       NT$55.5       933,457       1,607,661       0.6 %
Yieh United Steel
    9957 TT       NT$13.5       3,500,000       1,466,253       0.6 %
B shares
                                    2.8 %
China International Marine
    200039 CH       HK$15.0       3,908,395       7,538,857       2.8 %
New York
                                    2.5 %
Shanda Interactive
    SNDA US       US$40.2       154,700       6,211,205       2.3 %
Chindex International
    CHDX US       US$9.1       69,987       634,082       0.2 %
Direct
                                    4.8 %
Tomoike Industrial
                    825,000       6,350,203       2.3 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.1 %
Global E Business
                    40,000       3,043,198       1.1 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       581,964       0.3 %
Other assets & liabilities
                                    5.4 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE


The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have at least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS


The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

          

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closed-ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements can cause the value of the shares and the income from them to fluctuate and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your shares.