EX-99.1 2 b53820kaexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER Insight Newsletter
 

(MONTHLY INSIGHT LOGO)

(THE CHINA FUND, INC. LOGO)

         
IN BRIEF        
 
Net asset value per share
  US$25.89  
Market price
  US$31.28  
Premium/(discount)
    20.82 %
Fund size
  US$262.5 m
                 
At January 31, 2005
            US$ returns
 
 
 
China Fund NAV
 
    MSCI Golden Dragon*
 
    %       %  
One month
    6.9       -3.3  
One year
    6.2       3.4  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

     
MANAGER’S COMMENTARY
   
 

The New Year has so far been less than happy for Chinese stockmarkets. As the oil price and US dollar both firmed, they all fell sharply at the start of the month. The domestic A share market was particularly weak. It fell to a five-year low as the government failed to address the non-floating share issue, and launched a new IPO process with two unattractive offerings (both power plants). A cut in stamp tax failed to improve sentiment. However, the markets rallied towards the month end after supportive economic statistics. These showed that China continued to grow at a robust 9.5% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2004. Meanwhile, the consumer price index (CPI) slowed to 2.4% in December, down from 2.8% in November. The rally in the Hang Seng index was noticeably less pronounced than for the H share and Taiwan indices, as its heavily weighted property and bank stocks remain under pressure from the inexorable rise in US interest rates.

This rise in US rates is increasing the attractiveness of the US dollar. If the Chinese government can weather the forthcoming G8 meeting and news of an increase in the trade surplus resulting from the ending of the textile quota system, then it may be able to hold the line on the RMB. For that reason, we are turning less negative on exporters, including the technology sector. With new equity supply a recurring problem in the Chinese stockmarkets, one positive factor for the next two or three months is that we are in a ‘rain shadow’ for new IPOs. The need now to use audited 2004 figures in applications to list on the HKSE means that we will be free of large, new IPOs for a while, the next probably being Shenhua Coal and Bank of Communications in late May or June.

     
INVESTMENT STRATEGY
   
 

Your fund is 95.3% invested with holdings in 56 companies, of which four are unlisted. Following the large dividend payment in early January, we rebalanced the portfolio. Our purchases included the newly-listed catering company Fu Ji, and additions to existing small positions in Netcom, Guangshen Railway, Shineway Pharmaceutical and sanitary napkin maker Heng An. We sold China Shipping Container, one of the few remaining cyclical stocks in our portfolio, and reduced Taiwanese financial stocks Cathay, Fubon and Polaris.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

     
DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY
   
 

CDW Holding Limited (“CDW”, formerly Tomoike Industrial (H.K.) Ltd.) had a successful IPO on the Singapore Stock Exchange on January 26, 2005. As part of the offering, the Fund divested a quarter of its holding. Net proceeds returned to the Fund from the vendor sales disposal was approximately U$4.55 million. This represented approximately two times the original investment made by the Fund in February 2003. Based on the IPO price, the net proceeds on vendor shares sale and the value of the remaining shares represent approximately eight times of the Fund’s original cost of investment. Mr Koh Kuek-Chiang remains a non-executive director of CDW.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

         
FUND DETAILS        
 
Market cap
    US$315.4 m
Shares outstanding
    10,138,287
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management
 
       
Source: State Street Corporation.

(LOGO)

         
ASSET ALLOCATION        
 
• Hong Kong
    58.4 %
• Taiwan
    23.7 %
• B Shares
    3.4 %
• New York
    0.2 %
Direct
    9.6 %
Other assets & liabilities
    4.7 %
 
       
Source: State Street Corporation
       
                 
SECTOR ALLOCATION
 
    The China     MSCI Golden  
    Fund, Inc     Dragon  
Industrials
    21.8 %     12.8 %
Information technology
    16.8 %     21.0 %
Consumer discretionary
    14.4 %     6.7 %
Utilities
    9.3 %     7.7 %
Materials
    8.7 %     7.6 %
Consumer staples
    8.0 %     0.6 %
Healthcare
    5.0 %     0.1 %
Telecommunications
    5.0 %     7.4 %
Financials
    4.6 %     30.7 %
Energy
    1.7 %     5.4 %
Other assets & liabilities
    4.7 %      
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %
 
       
Source: State Street Corporation Source for index data: MSCI
       
     
PERFORMANCE
  (US$ RETURNS)
 
    NAV         Market price        
 
  %        %          
One month
    6.9       -4.4  
Year to date
    6.9       -4.4  
Three years (annualized)
    25.4       40.9  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation
             
DIRECT INVESTMENTS (9.6%)
           
 
CDW Holding Ltd
  Information technology     7.1 %
Global e Business
  Information technology     1.2 %
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.1 %
teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.2 %

             
15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (44.7%)
           
 
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     5.2 %
BYD
  Industrials     3.8 %
China International Marine
  Industrials     3.4 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     3.2 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     3.1 %
Weichai Power
  Consumer discretionary     3.0 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     3.0 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     2.8 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     2.7 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     2.6 %
TCL International
  Consumer discretionary     2.5 %
Golden Meditech
  Healthcare     2.4 %
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology     2.4 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.3 %
China Netcom
  Telecommunications     2.3 %

Source: State Street Corporation

     
FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)
  (US$ RETURNS)
 
                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
 
    %       %       %       %       % pa     % pa     % pa
The China Fund, Inc.
    6.9       10.6       6.9       6.2       25.4       17.8       8.6  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    -3.3       8.2       -3.3       3.4       9.9       -3.9       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    -0.8       4.6       -0.8       2.4       35.1       20.9       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
 
Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.
 
Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

(PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE LINE GRAPH)

(THE CHINA FUND INC. LINE GRAPH)

(DIVIDEND HISTORY BAR CHART)

 


 

     
THE PORTFOLIO - IN FULL
  AT JANUARY 31, 2005
 
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)     Price     Holding     Value $     % of portfolio  
Hong Kong
                                    58.4 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$3.2       34,089,900       13,767,163       5.2 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$23.8       3,225,000       9,819,774       3.8 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$3.1       21,494,000       8,473,650       3.2 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$4.5       13,976,000       8,063,129       3.1 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$24.5       2,536,000       7,949,436       3.0 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$4.4       13,938,000       7,817,839       3.0 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$3.4       16,118,000       7,077,500       2.7 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$1.6       32,318,000       6,670,810       2.5 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$1.8       27,900,000       6,402,733       2.4 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$4.8       9,968,000       6,134,193       2.3 %
China Netcom
  906 HK   HK$11.3       4,253,000       6,106,911       2.3 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$2.1       20,698,000       5,638,914       2.1 %
Fujian Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$3.4       12,400,000       5,444,907       2.1 %
Li Ning
  2331 HK   HK3.7       11,400,000       5,371,189       2.1 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$11.1       3,146,000       4,456,862       1.7 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$4.9       6,714,000       4,239,316       1.6 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.6       12,835,000       4,196,085       1.6 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.6       50,380,000       4,069,180       1.6 %
China Travel
  308 HK   HK$2.5       10,000,000       3,173,097       1.2 %
Weiqiao Textile
  2698 HK   HK$11.9       1,854,500       2,817,432       1.1 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.6       32,780,000       2,437,503       0.9 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$1.1       17,379,000       2,384,057       0.9 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.8       23,250,000       2,354,823       0.9 %
Hengan International
  1044 HK   HK$4.8       3,600,000       2,215,399       0.9 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.4       7,000,000       2,176,296       0.8 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$4.4       3,576,000       1,994,320       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$1.0       15,254,000       1,877,427       0.7 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.4       37,500,000       1,826,935       0.7 %
Singamas Container
  716 HK   HK$4.8       3,000,000       1,826,935       0.7 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$1.2       11,735,000       1,820,441       0.7 %
Guangshen Railway
  525 HK   HK$3.2       4,042,000       1,619,401       0.6 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$0.9       13,196,000       1,590,297       0.6 %
FU Jl Food & Catering
  1175 HK   HK$7.2       1,160,000       1,070,776       0.4 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.2       18,386,000       407,795       0.2 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    23.7 %  
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$45.0       5,165,604       7,321,329       2.8 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$72.0       3,012,016       6,830,398       2.6 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$92.5       2,155,749       6,280,529       2.4 %
EVA Airways
  2618 TT   NT$15.2       11,300,000       5,409,764       2.0 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$38.6       3,805,974       4,627,105       1.8 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$62.5       2,331,000       4,588,583       1.7 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT31.8       4,453,952       4,460,966       1.7 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$43.2       2,778,413       3,780,392       1.4 %
ET Internet Technology
  2614 TT   NT$15.6       7,136,000       3,506,192       1.3 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT33.6       2,974,714       3,148,044       1.2 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$19.1       4,237,987       2,549,466       1.0 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$51.5       1,567,231       2,542,123       1.0 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$27.1       2,404,152       2,052,048       0.8 %
Soft-World International
  5478 TT   NT$60.5       933,457       1,778,713       0.7 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$15.5       3,500,000       1,708,661       0.7 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$33.5       1,421,104       1,499,432       0.6 %
 
                                       
B shares
                                    3.4 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$17.9       3,908,395       8,969,323       3.4 %
 
                                       
New York
                                    0.2 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$7.9       69,987       552,897       0.2 %
 
                                       
Direct
                                    9.6 %
CDW Holding Ltd
                    60,000,000       18,643,499       7.1 %
Global e Business
                    40,000       3,034,049       1.2 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.1 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       592,715       0.2 %
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                                    4.7 %

 


 

     
OBJECTIVE
   
 

The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

     
CONTACTS
   
 

The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closed-ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements can cause the value of the shares and the income from them to fluctuate and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your shares.