EX-99.1 2 b54144kaexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(MONTHLY INSIGHT HEADER)

         
IN BRIEF
 
Net asset value per share
    US$26.88  
Market price
    US$33.34  
Premium/(discount)
    24.03%  
Fund size
    US$272.5
     
At February 28, 2005   US$ returns
                 
    China Fund NAV     MSCI Golden Dragon*  
    %     %  
One month
    3.8       5.3  
One year
    3.6       4.5  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

 

The holiday-shortened month of February was a good one for the fund. There was the reassurance of low inflation in China (the consumer price index in January was only up by 1.9% year-on-year) despite continued high economic growth. This, together with the retreat in the US dollar, brought cash back into the Chinese markets. The fund rose by 3.8%. It is now up by 10.9% year-to-date, compared with a rise of only 1.8% in the MSCI Golden Dragon index.

We expect January to mark the low-point for inflation, which might snap-back to over 3% in February. Given recent noises from the authorities about over-high property price inflation in some major cities, this raises the likelihood of an interest rate hike at the end of March or early April. This would have the added benefit of fattening the interest rate spreads at the state-owned banks, which the authorities are determined to list as soon as possible (banking de-regulation in 2007 is drawing near).

Domestic consumption remains strong — China’s retail sales rose by 16% year-on-year over the Chinese New Year period — and Chinese exports are as competitive as ever with the renewed weakness of the US dollar. But an interest rate rise might temporarily damage overseas investor sentiment, as happened in spring 2004, particularly towards the resource-heavy H share index, which has led the recent rally. In contrast the domestic ‘A’ share market has just started to recover from five-year lows; reform initiatives are expected from this month’s meeting of the National People’s Congress.

We undertook an extensive marketing trip around US institutional investors in February. We found growing interest in China from foundations and pension funds. However, interest is still rather tentative due to reports from certain high-profile analysts of Chinese bubbles and their imminent collapse. From the vantage point of our base in Shanghai, visiting Chinese companies every day, we can report that growth remains solid. That overseas portfolio investment in China’s stockmarkets, especially the domestic markets, remains so limited, is a bullish point for portfolios such as your fund’s, which are already well positioned here.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

 

The fund is 96.8% invested, with holdings in 57 companies, of which three are unlisted.

During the month, our purchases focussed on non-cyclicals, such as Guangshen Railway, Shineway Pharmaceutical, Fu Ji Catering and Mingyuan (manufacturer of protein chips used for cancer detection). We took profit on the cyclicals China Metal and Key Ware, and cut our losses on online game company Softworld.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

 

The Chinese economy continued to register strong growth. We maintain a positive view on the China market. However there are continuing debates over whether China is going to have a hard or soft landing in the short run.

On the investment front, we continue to look for companies that have demonstrated a business model that can weather any adverse change in the economy. A realistic exit plan is also a key consideration in view of the possibility that the current benign market sentiment toward Chinese plays could turn negative.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

FUND DETAILS

 
         
Market cap
    US$339.7m
Shares outstanding
    10,138,287
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management

Source: State Street Corporation.

SECTOR ALLOCATION

 
                 
    The China   MSCI Golden
    Fund, Inc   Dragon
 
               
Industrials
    22.5 %     12.5 %
Information technology
    16.8 %     21.4 %
Consumer discretionary
    15.0 %     6.9 %
Utilities
    8.8 %     7.5 %
Materials
    8.6 %     7.7 %
Consumer staples
    8.1 %     0.6 %
Financials
    5.5 %     30.1 %
Telecommunications
    5.1 %     7.4 %
Healthcare
    4.6 %     0.1 %
Energy
    1.8 %     5.8 %
Other assets & liabilities
    3.2 %      
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation. Source for index data: MSCI

ASSET ALLOCATION

 

(PIE CHART)

Source: State Street Corporation

     
PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)
 
                 
    NAV     Market price  
    %     %  
 
               
One month
    3.8       6.6  
Year to date
    10.9       1.9  
3 years (annualized)
    27.1       43.5  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation

DIRECT INVESTMENTS (8.5%)

 
             
CDW Holding Ltd
  Information technology     6.0 %
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.1 %
Global e Business
  Information technology     1.1 %
teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.3 %

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (45.2%)

 
             
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     5.2 %
China International Marine
  Industrials     3.8 %
BYD
  Industrials     3.6 %
Weichai Power
  Consumer discretionary     3.1 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     3.1 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     2.9 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     2.9 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     2.8 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     2.8 %
TCL International
  Consumer discretionary     2.7 %
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology     2.7 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     2.7 %
China Netcom
  Telecommunications     2.4 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.3 %
Soloman Systech
  Information technology     2.2 %

Source: State Street Corporation

     
FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)   (US$ RETURNS)
                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
    %     %     %     %     % pa     % pa     % pa  
 
                                                       
The China Fund, Inc.
    3.8       10.9       10.9       3.6       27.1       19.3       8.9  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    5.3       5.0       1.8       4.5       13.1       -3.2       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    9.1       3.4       8.3       0.8       36.9       28.7       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized. Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE

 

(BAR CHART)

THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT

 

(LINE CHART)

DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART

 

(BAR CHART)

                                                                                                 
Total
    0.91       0.61       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78       3.57  
Income
    0.09       0.01       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07       0.20  
Long term capital
    0.04       0.24       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67       3.27  
Short term capital
    0.79       0.36       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04       0.10  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation.

 


 

     
THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT FEBRUARY 28, 2005
 
                                         
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)   Price   Holding     Value $     % of portfolio
Hong Kong
                                    59.8 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$3.3     34,089,900       14,205,127       5.2 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$23.9     3,225,000       9,903,102       3.6 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$26.0     2,536,000       8,437,672       3.1 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$3.1     21,494,000       8,405,298       3.1 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$4.4     13,938,000       7,863,016       2.9 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$4.3     13,976,000       7,750,059       2.8 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$1.8     32,318,000       7,458,526       2.7 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$3.6     16,118,000       7,336,274       2.7 %
China Netcom
  906 HK   HK$11.6     4,253,000       6,461,744       2.4 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$5.1     9,968,000       6,390,194       2.3 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$2.3     20,698,000       6,037,342       2.2 %
Li Ning
  2331 HK   HK4.0     11,400,000       5,883,107       2.2 %
Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$3.6     12,400,000       5,723,480       2.1 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$1.6     27,900,000       5,651,937       2.1 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$12.3     3,146,000       4,961,350       1.8 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.7     50,380,000       4,715,384       1.7 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$5.2     6,714,000       4,519,357       1.7 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.7     12,835,000       4,360,916       1.6 %
China Travel
  308 HK   HK$2.6     10,000,000       3,301,515       1.2 %
Weiqiao Textile
  2698 HK   HK$12.8     1,854,500       3,043,497       1.1 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.9     23,250,000       2,742,501       1.0 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$1.2     17,379,000       2,740,728       1.0 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.6     32,780,000       2,395,631       0.9 %
Shanghai Ming Yuan
  233 HK   HK$0.8     22,840,000       2,372,013       0.9 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.6     7,000,000       2,311,060       0.9 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$4.1     4,435,000       2,345,598       0.8 %
Singamas Container
  716 HK   HK$5.9     3,000,000       2,250,159       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$1.1     15,254,000       2,170,915       0.8 %
Hengan International
  1044 HK   HK$4.6     3,600,000       2,134,766       0.8 %
Guangshen Railway
  525 HK   HK$2.9     5,614,000       2,069,409       0.8 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$1.3     11,735,000       1,925,879       0.7 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$1.0     13,196,000       1,624,238       0.6 %
FU JI Food & Catering
  1175 HK   HK$6.5     1,844,000       1,524,954       0.6 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.3     37,500,000       1,442,409       0.5 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.2     18,386,000       407,821       0.2 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    24.5 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$81.5     3,012,016       7,900,846       2.9 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$46.5     5,165,604       7,730,949       2.8 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$107.0     2,155,749       7,424,047       2.7 %
EVA Airways
  2618 TT   NT$16.5     9,400,000       4,991,954       1.8 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$63.0     2,331,000       4,726,521       1.8 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$38.9     3,805,974       4,765,123       1.7 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$32.7     4,453,952       4,687,616       1.7 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$47.5     2,778,413       4,247,654       1.5 %
ET Internet Technology
  2614 TT   NT$16.0     7,136,000       3,674,799       1.4 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$37.3     2,421,104       2,906,572       1.1 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$19.8     4,237,987       2,700,745       1.0 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$52.5     1,567,231       2,648,202       1.0 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$33.9     2,452,152       2,675,505       1.0 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT$33.7     1,989,714       2,158,139       0.8 %
Soft-World International
  5478 TT   NT$61.0     933,457       1,832,664       0.7 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$15.7     3,500,000       1,768,587       0.6 %
 
                                       
B shares
                                    3.8 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$21.0     3,908,395       10,498,288       3.8 %
 
                                       
New York
                                    0.2 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US     US$6.9       69,987       484,310       0.2 %
 
                                       
Direct
                                    8.5 %
CDW Holding Ltd
                    60,000,000       16,402,426       6.0 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.1 %
Global e Business
                    40,000       3,034,244       1.1 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       605,687       0.3 %
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                                    3.2 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE

 

The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS

 

The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closed-ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

Please remember that past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements can cause the value of the shares and the income from them to fluctuate and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your shares.