EX-99.1 2 b54641cfexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(MARTIN CURRIE LOGO)

(ASIAN DIRECT LOGO)

IN BRIEF


                             
Net asset value per share
  US$ 26.34     At March 31, 2005           US$returns
Market price
  US$ 30.16         China Fund NAV   MSCI Golden Dragon*
Premium/(discount)
    14.50 %         %       %  
Fund size
  US$ 267.0m     One month     -2.0       -4.8  
 
          One year     4.9       5.2  


Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. *Source for index data: MSCI.

MANAGER’S COMMENTARY


March was ugly. Chinese inflation bounced back and, with a background of rising US interest rates and a rallying US dollar, worries about Chinese rates returned. Rising oil prices added to the gloom. Despite doing our best to position for this, we still lost money.

The increase in Chinese mortgage rates was modest (5.31% to 5.51% at the lowest rate). Meanwhile, the expansion in minimum deposit from 20% to 30% is merely a “suggestion”, which can be decided on by local bank associations. At the same time, the Central Bank muddied the message by actually cutting the interest rate paid on excess reserves. In his briefing after the meeting of the National People’s Congress, Premier Wen said: “The Chinese economy is like [a boat] sailing upstream — either it keeps forging ahead or it falls behind”. This translates from premier speak as “We have absolutely no desire to see this economy slow down.” So our expectation is that by the summer the Chinese economy will be seen to be continuing to grow at a pace which stands out ever more starkly with slowing growth elsewhere. Interest and funds may then flow back to China. Until that time we will continue to adopt a relatively defensive approach.

The National People’s Congress underlined the importance which the current leadership attach to agriculture, a sector which your fund has been targeting for some time. It also showed the leadership’s apparent lack of interest in the local stockmarket, which crashed to a six-year low after there were no announcements regarding a solution to the overhang of state shares. The anti-secession law garnered much press comment, although it contained little that was new. In Taiwan the rally against the law passed off peacefully and indeed there is now a high-level KMT delegation shaking hands in Beijing. As Charlie Chaplin once sagely commented: “Nothing is permanent in this wicked world — not even our troubles.”

INVESTMENT STRATEGY


The fund is 96.5% invested with 58 holdings, of which 3 are unlisted companies.

At the corporate level, recent result announcements have generally met or exceeded expectations. Of course they revealed windfall profits for commodity makers, and a margin squeeze for manufacturers. However, many of the latter still managed to grow profits through dint of high top-line growth. The trend to greater transparency and higher cash dividend payments was notable in Taiwan, where more stringent accounting standards are being applied to the valuation of assets. We estimate the dividend yield on the listed growth-oriented portfolio to have climbed to 2.8%, while the weighted price-to-earnings ratio is just 13.6 times.

During the month, to make way for a large new direct investment (see below), we sold more stocks in the listed portfolio than we bought. Stocks sold included China Metal, Singamas, Sino Golf and Softworld. We bought two depressed technology stocks, the telecom equipment maker UTStarcom, which we expect to benefit from the award to 3G licences and better than forecast PHS capital spending, and the magnesium casings maker Waffer.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY


     CDW Holding Limited (“CDW”) has made its first post-listing result announcement. Sales and net profit in 2004 were US$98.5 million and US$15.2 million respectively, both up by more than 85% year-on-year. CDW continues to expand its production capacity to cope with increasing demand. Other direct investments are generally performing in line with expectation.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

FUND DETAILS


     
Market cap
  US$339.7m
Shares outstanding
  10,138,287
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management
 
   
Source: State Street Corporation.
   

SECTOR ALLOCATION


                 
    The China     MSCI Golden  
    Fund, Inc     Dragon  
Industrials
    22.3 %     12.7 %
Information technology
    16.8 %     21.2 %
Consumer discretionary
    15.5 %     7.1 %
Utilities
    8.8 %     7.6 %
Materials
    7.8 %     7.7 %
Consumer staples
    7.7 %     0.6 %
Telecommunications
    6.4 %     7.5 %
Financials
    4.9 %     29.8 %
Healthcare
    4.7 %     0.1 %
Energy
    1.6 %     5.7 %
Other assets & liabilities
    3.5 %      
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation. Source for index data: MSCI

ASSET ALLOCATION


(ASSET ALLOCATION LOGO)

Source: State Street Corporation.

  

PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)

                 
    NAV%     Market price%  
One month
    -2.0       -9.5  
Year to date
    8.7       -7.8  
3 years (annualized)
    24.7       36.5  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation

DIRECT INVESTMENTS (8.2%)


         
CDW Holding Ltd
  Information technology   5.7%
Captive Finance
  Financials   1.2%
Global e Business
  Information technology   1.1%
teco Optronics
  Information technology   0.2%

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (46.2%)


         
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples   5.1%
China International Marine
  Industrials   3.6%
BYD
  Industrials   3.5%
Weichai Power
  Consumer discretionary   3.2%
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology   3.2%
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications   3.1%
TCL International
  Consumer discretionary   3.0%
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities   3.0%
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities   3.0%
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary   3.0%
Xinao Gas
  Utilities   2.8%
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary   2.8%
Soloman Systech
  Information technology   2.4%
TPV Technology
  Industrials   2.3%
China Netcom
  Telecommunications   2.2%

Source: State Street Corporation

  

FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)   (US$ RETURNS)

                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
    %     %     %     %     % pa     % pa     % pa  
 
                                                       
The China Fund, Inc.
    -2.0       8.7       8.7       4.9       24.7       16.6       8.6  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    -4.8       -3.0       -3.0       5.2       8.8       -4.7       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    -7.0       0.7       0.7       0.2       33.1       25.9       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized. Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE


(BAR CHART)


Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of March 31, 2005.

THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT


(LINE GRAPH)


Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of March 31, 2005.

DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART


(BAR CHART)

                                                                                                 
Total
    0.91       0.61       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78       3.57  
Income
    0.09       0.01       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07       0.20  
Long term capital
    0.04       0.24       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67       3.27  
Short term capital
    0.79       0.36       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04       0.10  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation.

 


 

THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT MARCH 31, 2005

                                         
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)     Price     Holding     Value $     % of portfolio  
Hong Kong
                                    58.8 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$3.1     34,089,900       13,549,853       5.1 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$23.0      3,225,000       9,469,180       3.5 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$26.6      2,536,000       8,649,242       3.2 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$4.0     16,118,000       8,318,101       3.1 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$2.0     32,318,000       8,121,714       3.0 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$4.5     13,938,000       7,952,572       3.0 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$2.9     21,494,000       7,923,230       3.0 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$4.2     13,976,000       7,526,262       2.8 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$2.5     20,698,000       6,501,920       2.4 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$4.8     9,968,000       6,166,696       2.3 %
China Netcom
  906 HK   HK$11.0      4,253,000       5,971,132       2.2 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$1.6     27,900,000       5,795,173       2.2 %
Li Ning
  2331 HK     HK3.7     11,400,000       5,371,670       2.0 %
Zijin Mining
  2899 HK     HK$3.2     12,400,000       5,047,921       1.9 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$10.6     3,146,000       4,275,744       1.6 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$4.9     6,714,000       4,239,696       1.6 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.7     50,380,000       4,198,737       1.6 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.3     12,835,000       3,702,760       1.4 %
China Travel
  308 HK   HK$2.4     10,000,000       3,077,219       1.1 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$1.2     17,379,000       2,673,950       1.0 %
Weiqiao Textile
  2698 HK   HK$11.1     1,854,500       2,651,239       1.0 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.9     23,250,000       2,623,329       1.0 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$4.2     4,435,000       2,388,306       1.0 %
FU JI Food & Catering
  1175 HK   HK$6.3     2,844,000       2,315,530       0.9 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.5     32,780,000       2,269,603       0.8 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.5     7,000,000       2,198,929       0.8 %
Hengan International
  1044 HK   HK$4.6     3,600,000       2,134,821       0.8 %
Guangshen Railway
  525 HK   HK$2.9     5,614,000       2,051,466       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$1.0     15,254,000       2,014,504       0.7 %
Singamas Container
  716 HK   HK$6.8     2,000,000       1,743,758       0.7 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$0.9     13,196,000       1,598,900       0.6 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$1.2     10,303,000       1,572,019       0.6 %
Shanghai Ming Yuan
  233 HK   HK$0.7     13,640,000       1,259,198       0.5 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.2     37,500,000       1,105,876       0.4 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.2     18,386,000       407,831       0.2 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    24.7 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$126.0     2,155,749       8,621,354       3.2 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$48.2     5,165,604       7,902,689       2.9 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$77.2     3,012,016       7,380,424       2.8 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$38.0     3,805,974       4,584,419       1.7 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$59.8     2,331,000       4,424,357       1.7 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$50.0     2,778,413       4,409,340       1.6 %
EVA Airways
  2618 TT   NT$14.8     9,400,000       4,400,749       1.6 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$29.89     4,453,952       4,219,846       1.6 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$45.5     2,421,104       3,496,484       1.3 %
ET Internet Technology
  2614 TT   NT$14.5     7,136,000       3,284,200       1.2 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$20.6     4,237,987       2,770,981       1.1 %
Waffer Technology
  6235 TT   NT$45.0     1,900,000       2,710,754       1.0 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$52.6     1,567,231       2,616,528       1.0 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$33.0     2,452,152       2,568,432       1.0 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$15.4     3,500,000       1,710,785       0.7 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT$31.4     843,714       840,876       0.3 %
 
                                       
B shares
                                    3.6 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$23.3     3,222,695       9,644,222       3.6 %
 
                                       
New York
                                    1.2 %
UTStarcom
      UTSIE   US$11.0       260,000       2,847,000       1.1 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$6.2       69,987       432,520       0.1 %
 
                                       
Direct
                                    8.2 %
Crystal Display Worldwide
                    60,000,000       15,127,196       5.7 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.2 %
Global e Business
                    40,000       3,034,321       1.1 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       597,305       0.2 %
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                                    3.5 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE


The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS


The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closed-ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements may cause the value of investments and income from them to fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your investments. There can be no assurance that you will receive comparable performance returns, or that investments will reflect the performance of the stock examples, contained in this presenter. Movements in foreign exchange rates may have a separate effect, unfavourable as well as favourable, on the gain or loss otherwise experienced on an investment.

Investment in the securities of smaller and unquoted companies can involve greater risk than is customarily associated with investment in larger, more established, companies. In particular, smaller companies often have limited product lines, markets or financial resources and their management may be dependent on a smaller number of key individuals. In addition, the market for stock in smaller companies is often less liquid than that for stock in larger companies, bringing with it potential difficulties in acquiring, valuing and disposing of such stock. Proper information for determining their value, or the risks to which they are exposed, may not be available.

Investments within emerging markets can be of higher risk. Many emerging markets, and the companies quoted on their stock exchanges, are exposed to the risks of political, social and religious instability, expropriation of assets or nationalisation, rapid rates of inflation, high interest rates, currency depreciation and fluctuations and changes in taxation which may affect the Fund’s income and the value of its investments.

The marketability of quoted shares may be limited due to foreign investment restrictions, wide dealing spreads, exchange controls, foreign ownership restrictions, the restricted opening of stock exchanges and a narrow range of investors. Trading volume may be lower than on more developed stockmarkets, and equities are less liquid. Volatility of prices can also be greater than in more developed stockmarkets. The infrastructure for clearing, settlement and registration on the primary and secondary markets may be underdeveloped. Under certain circumstances, there may be delays in settling transactions in some of the markets.

The companies quoted on Greater Chinese stock exchanges are exposed to the risks of political, social and religious instability, expropriation of assets or nationalisation, rapid rates of inflation, high interest rates, currency depreciation and fluctuations and changes in taxation, which may affect income and the value of investments.