EX-99.1 2 b55198kaexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(logo)

         
IN BRIEF        
Net asset value per share
  US$ 25.53  
Market price
  US$ 27.50  
Premium/(discount)
    7.72 %
Fund size
  US$ 258.8m  

Source: State Street Corporation

                 
             
At April 30, 2005         US$ returns  
             
    China Fund NAV     MSCI Golden Dragon*  
    %     %  
One month
    -3.1       1.2  
Year to date
    5.4       -1.9  
One year
    12.5       14.9  
Three years %pa
    22.0       8.4  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. NAV-NAV performance.
*Source for index data: MSCI.



MANAGER’S COMMENTARY


April was a cruel month with all Chinese markets except Hong Kong finishing down. China’s economy continues to grow strongly (first quarter GDP showed a rise of 9.5%) and official inflation figures are moderate (March CPI was up by 2.7%). But 2004 results from Chinese manufacturing companies revealed the persistent pressure on margins caused by raw material inflation. Poor results from companies further up the chain, such as cement and steel companies, showed the effects of overcapacity combined with continued bottlenecks in commodities yet further upstream (coal, iron ore). There is little immediate sign of this pressure easing; the oil price remains high and electricity tariffs will increase in May. Investors wait to see the effect upon the property market of recent government cooling measures. Another reason for standing on the sidelines is that there are several potential big Chinese IPOs coming up by the end of May/June (Shenhua Coal, state-owned banks). These will be difficult to promote in the current bearish market.

One positive development was the visit to China of Lien Chan, the leader of Taiwan’s opposition party, the KMT. The first leader of the KMT to visit the mainland since Chang Kai-shek’s retreat to Taiwan in 1949, Lien was given the red-carpet treatment and extensive local media coverage. The leader of the First People’s Party, and one-time governor of Taiwan, Sung Chu-yu, arrives shortly for, we are promised, more detailed talks. The fund invests in EVA Airlines as a potential beneficiary of improving cross-strait ties.

INVESTMENT STRATEGY


The fund is 95.9% invested with holdings in 57 companies, of which 8.1% are unlisted. The relatively high cash level is in preparation for a large unlisted investment in the retail sector.

The fund had a good results season. Among the companies in the portfolio announcing excellent results were Anhui Expressway, BYD, Chaoda, CIMC, Xinao Gas and Natural Beauty. The poor figures from TCL were expected. It is being affected in the short-term by the Thomson merger, but underlying TV sales remain strong.

The fund made its first trial investments last month in the domestic A share market, which currently stands near a six-year low. We expect this market to react favourably to the government’s announcement of measures to address the overhang of ‘non-tradeable’ shares. Our first two investments in this RMB-denominated market are Shenergy (which owns oil, gas and pipeline assets, as well as operating large-scale power plants) and Shanghai Airlines (the best managed domestic airline and the single biggest beneficiary we can find of potential RMB revaluation).

We will take a cautious attitude to the new raft of IPOs. We avoided the state-owned conglomerate, Shanghai Electric, which traded down after its IPO. However, have subscribed to Techfaith, a fast-growing cell phone designer, whose progress we have charted for some time. It will list on Nasdaq.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY


The Chinese economy reported 9.5% GDP growth in the first quarter of 2005. Central Government administrative measures have started to reduce excess capital spending. Annual fixed asset investment growth fell from 40% to 22.8%.

During the last month the government has announced a number of policy reforms which will clarify the regulation of Chinese shareholders in overseas listed Chinese companies. These measures improve the position of private companies in China’s mixed economy and will improve the volume and quality of deal flow for the fund’s direct investment portfolio.

There are some signs that certain sectors of the Chinese economy remain overheated, for example, property. Once again this raises speculation about changes to the currency regime and we pay careful attention to these in considering new investments for the fund.

The recent political disputes between China and Japan are beginning to abate and these had very little effect on Japanese linked companies operating in China such as CDW Holding Limited.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management


 

FUND DETAILS


Market cap   US$277.3m
Shares outstanding   10,138,287
Exchange listed
Listing date
Investment adviser
Direct investment manager
  NYSE
July 10, 1992
Martin Currie Inc
Asian Direct Capital Management

Source: State Street Corporation.

ASSET ALLOCATION


                 
  (graphic)    
Hong Kong
Taiwan
New York
’A’ share access product
Direct
Other assets & liabilities
    57.4
22.9
1.1
2.7
8.1
4.1
%
%
%
%
%
%

Source: State Street Corporation



SECTOR ALLOCATION


                 
    The China     MSCI Golden  
    Fund, Inc     Dragon  
 
       
Industrials
    20.4 %     12.9 %
Information technology
    16.6 %     21.2 %
Consumer discretionary
    15.4 %     7.1 %
Utilities
    9.5 %     7.7 %
Materials
    7.7 %     7.3 %
Consumer staples
    7.6 %     0.6 %
Telecommunications
    5.8 %     7.6 %
Financials
    4.8 %     29.9 %
Healthcare
    3.8 %     0.1 %
’A’ share access product
    2.7 %      
Energy
    1.6 %     5.6 %
Other assets & liabilities
    4.1 %      
 
               
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation. Source for index data: MSCI

PERFORMANCE   (US$ RETURNS)

                 
    NAV     Market price  
    %     %  
 
       
One month
    -3.1       -8.8  
Year to date
    5.4       -16.0  
3 years (annualized)
    22.0       30.1  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation



DIRECT INVESTMENTS (8.1%)


         
CDW Holding Ltd
Captive Finance
Global e Business
teco Optronics
  Information technology
Financials
Information technology
Information technology
  5.5% 1.2% 1.2% 0.2%

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (46.6%)


         
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
China International Marine
BYD
Weichai Power
Anhui Expressway
Synnex Technologies
Xinao Gas
Shenzhen Expressway
Taiwan Green Point
Comba Telecom Systems
Merry Electronics
Soloman Systech
TCL Multimedia
TPV Technology
China Netcom
  Consumer staples
Industrials
Industrials
Consumer discretionary
Utilities
Consumer discretionary
Utilities
Utilities
Information technology
Telecommunications
Consumer discretionary
Information technology
Consumer discretionary
Industrials
Telecommunications
  5.3% 3.7% 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 2.9% 2.7% 2.6% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 2.2%

Source: State Street Corporation

 

FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)   (US$ RETURNS)

                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
    %     %     %     %     % pa     % pa     % pa  
 
                                                       
The China Fund, Inc.
    -3.1       -1.4       5.4       12.5       22.0       19.3       8.3  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    1.2       1.4       -1.9       14.9       8.4       -2.5       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    -2.8       -1.3       -2.1       14.8       31.4       24.2       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.
Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2002 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE


(GRAPH vs MSCI)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Martin Currie Inc as of April 30, 2005.

THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT


(graph discount)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Martin Currie Inc as of April 30, 2005.

DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART


(graph History)

                                                                                                 
Total
    0.91       0.61       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78       3.57  
Income
    0.09       0.01       0.09       0.08       0.50       0.08       0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07       0.20  
Long term capital
    0.04       0.24       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67       3.27  
Short term capital
    0.79       0.36       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04       0.10  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation.


 

THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL   AT APRIL 30, 2005

                                         
Sector Company (BBG ticker)     Price     Holding     Value $     % of portfolio
Hong Kong
                                    57.4 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$3.1     34,089,900       13,667,011       5.3 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$22.1     3,225,000       9,164,341       3.5 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$27.0     2,536,000       8,784,374       3.4 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$4.8     13,938,000       8,583,008       3.3 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$4.5     13,976,000       8,113,333       3.1 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$2.9     21,494,000       7,858,867       3.1 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$3.4     16,118,000       6,978,832       2.7 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$2.6     20,698,000       6,771,211       2.6 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$1.6     32,318,000       6,716,721       2.6 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$4.9     9,968,000       6,234,196       2.4 %
China Netcom
  906 HK   HK$10.5     4,253,000       5,756,329       2.2 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$1.5     27,900,000       5,368,998       2.0 %
Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$1.7     24,800,000       5,281,504       2.0 %
Li Ning
  2331 HK   HK3.4     11,400,000       4,899,452       1.9 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$10.6     3,146,000       4,278,213       1.6 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.6     50,380,000       4,136,528       1.6 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$4.7     6,714,000       4,005,273       1.6 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.3     12,835,000       3,787,229       1.5 %
China Travel
  308 HK   HK$2.3     10,000,000       2,918,631       1.1 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.9     23,250,000       2,684,499       1.0 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$1.2     17,379,000       2,630,902       1.0 %
Guangshen Railway
  525 HK   HK$2.7     7,000,000       2,424,709       0.9 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$4.0     4,435,000       2,275,891       0.9 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.5     32,780,000       2,270,913       0.9 %
FU JI Food & Catering
  1175 HK   HK$5.9     2,844,000       2,134,437       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$1.0     15,254,000       2,015,667       0.8 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.2     7,000,000       1,953,238       0.8 %
Singamas Container
  716 HK   HK$7.2     2,000,000       1,847,397       0.7 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$0.9     13,196,000       1,455,923       0.6 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.2     37,500,000       1,135,379       0.5 %
Shanghai Ming Yuan
  233 HK   HK$0.6     12,840,000       1,054,248       0.4 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$0.7     10,303,000       938,469       0.4 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.1     18,386,000       408,067       0.2 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    22.9 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$49.2     5,165,604       8,135,330       3.2 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$108.5     2,155,749       7,487,156       2.9 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$70.8     3,012,016       6,826,208       2.6 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$51.4     2,778,413       4,571,397       1.8 %
EVA Airways
  2618 TT   NT$14.5     9,400,000       4,362,996       1.7 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$35.3     3,805,974       4,300,604       1.7 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$56.5     2,331,000       4,215,797       1.6 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$28.4     4,453,952       4,041,919       1.6 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$40.0     2,421,104       3,100,005       1.2 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$19.9     4,237,987       2,692,831       1.0 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$53.6     1,567,231       2,688,975       1.0 %
Waffer Technology
  6235 TT   NT$41.9     1,900,000       2,545,295       1.0 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$31.4     2,452,152       2,464,711       0.9 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$14.0     3,500,000       1,568,502       0.6 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT$28.1     222,000       199,686       0.1 %
 
                                       
B shares
                                    3.7 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$11.6     6,445,390       9,567,101       3.7 %
 
                                       
New York
                                    1.1 %
UTStarcom
  UTSIE   US$ 9.5       260,000       2,472,600       0.9 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$ 5.9       69,987       414,323       0.2 %
 
                                       
`A’ Share access product
                                    2.7 %
Shanghai Airlines Access Product
          US$ 0.5       7,350,000       3,322,200       1.3 %
Shenery Access Product
          US$ 0.8       4,500,000       3,699,000       1.4 %
 
                                       
Direct
                                    8.1 %
CDW Holding Ltd
                    60,000,000       14,259,061       5.5 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.2 %
Global e Business
                    40,000       3,036,073       1.2 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       602,391       0.2 %
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                                    4.1 %


 

OBJECTIVE


The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS


The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closedended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements may cause the value of investments and income from them to fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your investments. There can be no assurance that you will receive comparable performance returns, or that investments will reflect the performance of the stock examples, contained in this presenter. Movements in foreign exchange rates may have a separate effect, unfavorable as well as favorable, on the gain or loss otherwise experienced on an investment.

It should be noted that investment in the fund carries a higher degree of risks when investing in China and should be regarded as long term. Funds which invest in one country carry a higher degree of risk than those with portfolios diversified across a number of markets.

Investing in the fund involves certain considerations in addition to the risks normally associated with making investments in securities. The value of the shares issued by the fund, and the income from them, may go down as well as up and there can be no assurance that upon sale, or otherwise, investors will receive back the amount originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future returns. Accordingly, the fund is only suitable for investment by investors who are able and willing to withstand the total loss of their investment. In particular, prospective investors should consider the following risks:

     
®
  The companies quoted on Greater Chinese stock exchanges are exposed to the risks of political, social and religious instability, expropriation of assets or nationalization, rapid rates of inflation, high interest rates, currency depreciation and fluctuations and changes in taxation, which may affect income and the value of investments.
 
   
®
  At present, the securities market and the regulatory framework for the securities industry in China is at an early stage of development. The CSRC is responsible for supervising the national securities markets and producing relevant regulations. The Investment Regulations, under which the fund invests in the People’s Republic of China (‘PRC’) and which regulate repatriation and currency conversion, are new. The Investment Regulations give CSRC and SAFE wide discretions and there is no precedent or certainty as to how these discretions might be exercised, either now or in the future. The fund may, from time to time, obtain access to the securities markets in China via Access Products. Such products carry additional risk and may be less liquid than the underlying securities which they represent.
 
   
®
  During the past 15 years, the PRC government has been reforming the economic and political systems of the PRC, and these reforms are expected to continue, as evidenced by the recently announced changes. The fund’s operations and financial results could be adversely affected by adjustments in the PRC’s state plans, political, economic and social conditions, changes in the policies of the PRC government such as changes in laws and regulations (or the interpretation thereof), measures which may be introduced to control inflation, changes in the rate or method of taxation, imposition of additional restrictions on currency conversion and the imposition of additional import restrictions.
 
   
®
  PRC’s disclosure and regulatory standards are in many respects less stringent than standards in certain OECD countries, and there may be less publicly available or less reliable information about PRC companies than is regularly published by or about companies from OECD countries.
 
   
  The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange have lower trading volumes than most OECD exchanges and the market capitalisations of listed companies are small compared to those on more developed exchanges in developed markets. The listed equity securities of many companies in the PRC are accordingly materially less liquid, subject to greater dealing spreads and experience materially greater volatility than those of OECD countries. These factors could negatively affect the fund’s NAV.
 
   
®
  The fund invests primarily in securities denominated in other currencies but its NAV will be quoted in US Dollars. Accordingly, a change in the value of such securities against US Dollars will result in a corresponding change in the US Dollar NAV.
 
   
®
  The marketability of quoted shares may be limited due to foreign investment restrictions, wide dealing spreads, exchange controls, foreign ownership restrictions, the restricted opening of stock exchanges and a narrow range of investors. Trading volume may be lower than on more developed stockmarkets, and equities are less liquid. Volatility of prices can also be greater than in more developed stockmarkets. The infrastructure for clearing, settlement and registration on the primary and secondary markets may be underdeveloped. Under certain circumstances, there may be delays in settling transactions in some of the markets.