EX-99.1 2 b55480cfexv99w1.htm INSIGHT NEWSLETTER exv99w1
 

(MONTHLY INSIGHT LOGO)

THE CHINA FUND, INC. (CHN)   (ASIAN DIRECT LOGO)

IN BRIEF

 
         
Net asset value per share
  US$ 25.16  
Market price
  US$ 29.30  
Premium/(discount)
    16.45 %
Fund size
  US$ 255.1 m

Source: State Street Corporation

     
At May 31, 2005
  US$ returns
                 
    China Fund NAV     MSCI Golden Dragon*  
 
    %       %  
One month
    -1.5       1.9  
Year to date
    3.8       -0.1  
One year
    8.1       16.3  
Three years %pa
    20.3       10.2  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. NAV-NAV performance.
 
*Source for index data: MSCI.

MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

 

It was a mob scene. Queues of well-heeled couples snaked back and forth around the offices of the Shanghai Property Deeds Exchange Centre. Property brokers subsisted from dawn to dusk on a diet of dry crackers and bottled water. This was the scene on the last day before a new 5% sales tax was to be imposed on properties held for less than two years and the transaction tax on ‘luxury property’ doubled to 3%. This move to cool speculation in high-end property-successful judging by the sudden fall in prices and transactions in Shanghai - was one of many new policy initiatives in a busy month for the authorities.

An attempt was made to tackle the overhang of non-tradeable shares. These accounted for 68% of shares listed on the domestic A share market, which recently collapsed to an eight-year low. The plan is for companies to compensate existing floating shareholders by giving them additional old shares. Shareholders in the first four companies to test the system will vote in June on whether to accept such compensation, which appears to be about three shares for each 10 held, with lock-up guarantees and sweetened, in some cases, by an additional cash payment. Were this system to be rolled out across the whole market it would effectively mean, for existing holders, that the market is at least 30% cheaper than it appears. We are looking to increase the fund’s exposure to this market.

The authorities announced an export tax levy on a large number of textile items, in an attempt to head off protectionist sentiment from trading partners towards the surge in Chinese textile exports (up by 19% year-on-year in the first quarter). This results from the abolition of quotas at the start of the year, which was itself the reward for Chinese concessions on joining the World Trade Organization. When the announcement failed to have the desired effect, the tax levy was abolished. With most of the bad news in the price, we are starting to look at depressed textile stocks again.

Masterly inaction was the response to frenzied speculation about Renminbi revaluation. Our opinion on this thorny issue, for what it’s worth, is that with the US dollar and US interest rates now rising, and local inflation low (CPI was only 1.8% in April), the government will not need to revalue the currency. In fact we predict that within three years, the same commentators will be talking about currency devaluation again ...

Manufacturers have generally suffered from a margin squeeze over the past couple of years as commodity prices have escalated. It was encouraging, therefore, to see a margin recovery in the first quarter at some food processors such as Want Want and Tingyi. Cereals were about the first commodity to start to fall last autumn. As this has now been followed, in order, by declines in cement, steel and non-ferrous material prices, it points to a more widespread margin recovery for competitive manufacturers in the second half.

In thin May markets, the Chinese indices took different directions. The Hang Seng ended the month flat, in contrast to the commodity-heavy H share index, which is now down by over 11% from its end February high. The A share index fell in a straight line and is now down by over 15% since mid March. The Taiwan index was, for once, an outperformer, clawing its way back to 6,000. But given the good news on cross-strait relations and another MSCI re-weighting, this was little to get excited about. In fact, when you realise that the TAIEX first reached the 6,000 level in 1988, one sympathises with the Ethiopean proverb: “What once seemed a she-lion now looks like a dog.”

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

 


 

INVESTMENT STRATEGY

 

The fund is now 96.9% invested with holdings in 57 stocks, of which 4 are unlisted.

We were active on the sell side in May. We took profits on Yanzhou Coal ahead of the June listing of Shenhua Coal, which is a larger company with superior prospects. We also took profits on the container maker Singamas, where the rapid fall in steel costs is causing customers to delay orders. As bad news continues to dribble out regarding its Alcatel and Thomson deals, we lost patience with TCL and cut this position. On the buy side, we added to positions in the out-of-favour UTStarcom and the newly listed cell phone designer Techfaith. New positions were established in Bio-Treat, which makes systems for the treatment of wastewater, a huge problem in China, and the depressed Shanghai Semiconductor, on signs of an upturn in the semiconductor cycle.

Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc

DIRECT INVESTMENT MANAGER’S COMMENTARY

 

In May CDW Holdings Ltd announced its first quarter 2005 results. It reported a 51.7% growth in turnover and 26.9% growth in net profits. These were attributed to the strong demand for its LCD back-light units, mainly for gamebox products, and the robust demand for the company’s metal and plastic frames, used in notebook PCs and other IT equipment. Other companies held in the direct investment portfolio have performed satisfactorily.

KOH Kuek Chiang, Asian Direct Capital Management

 


 

FUND DETAILS

 
         
Market cap
  US $295.4m
Shares outstanding
      10,138,287
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Investment adviser
  Martin Currie Inc
Direct investment manager
  Asian Direct Capital Management

Source: State Street Corporation.

ASSET ALLOCATION

 

(ASSET ALLOCATION CHART)

Source: State Street Corporation

SECTOR ALLOCATION

 
                 
    The China     MSCI Golden  
    Fund, Inc     Dragon  
Industrials
    21.1 %     12.6 %
Information technology
    16.4 %     22.9 %
Consumer discretionary
    14.8 %     7.2 %
Utilities
    10.3 %     6.5 %
Consumer staples
    7.9 %     0.6 %
Telecommunications
    7.5 %     8.0 %
Materials
    7.3 %     6.4 %
Financials
    4.6 %     30.1 %
Healthcare
    3.8 %     0.1 %
‘A’ share access product
    2.6 %      
Energy
    0.6 %     5.6 %
Other assets & liabilities
    3.1 %      
 
               
Total
    100.0 %     100.0 %

Source: State Street Corporation. Source for index data: MSCI

     
PERFORMANCE
  (US$ RETURNS)
 
                 
    NAV     Market price  
    %     %  
One month
    -1.5       6.6  
Year to date
    3.8       -10.5  
3 years (annualized)
    20.3       32.5  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation

DIRECT INVESTMENTS (6.9%)

 
             
CDW Holdings Ltd
  Information technology     4.3 %
Captive Finance
  Financials     1.2 %
Global e Business
  Information technology     1.2 %
teco Optronics
  Information technology     0.2 %

15 LARGEST LISTED INVESTMENTS (46.9%)

 
             
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     5.4 %
Anhui Expressway
  Utilities     3.7 %
Xinao Gas
  Utilities     3.6 %
Taiwan Green Point
  Information technology     3.2 %
China International Marine
  Industrials     3.2 %
Weichai Power
  Consumer discretionary     3.2 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  Utilities     3.0 %
Synnex Technologies
  Consumer discretionary     3.1 %
Solomon Systech
  Information technology     3.0 %
BYD
  Industrials     2.9 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  Telecommunications     2.9 %
Merry Electronics
  Consumer discretionary     2.8 %
TPV Technology
  Industrials     2.5 %
China Netcom
  Telecommunications     2.3 %
TCL Multimedia
  Consumer discretionary     2.1 %

Source: State Street Corporation

     
FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)
  (US$ RETURNS)
 
                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
    %     %     %     %     % pa     % pa     % pa  
The China Fund, Inc.
    -1.5       -6.4       3.8       8.1       20.3       19.5       8.1  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    1.9       -1.9       -0.1       16.3       10.2       -0.8       n/a  
Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise
    -1.2       -10.6       -3.2       7.0       29.3       22.1       n/a  

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation. Launch date July 10, 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.

Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2005 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng Chinese Enterprise.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE

 

(LINE GRAPH)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of May 31, 2005.

THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT

 

(LINE GRAPH)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: Martin Currie Inc as of May 31, 2005.

DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART

 

(BAR CHART)

Past performance is not a guide to future returns.

Source: State Street Corporation.

 


 

     
THE PORTFOLIO — IN FULL
  AT MAY 31, 2005
 
                                         
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)     Price     Holding     Value $     % of portfolio  
Hong Kong
                                    57.1 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$3.2     34,089,900       13,913,529       5.4 %
Anhui Expressway
  995 HK   HK$5.3     13,938,000       9,406,490       3.7 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$5.2     13,976,000       9,072,816       3.6 %
Weichai Power
  2338 HK   HK$24.7     2,536,000       8,068,941       3.2 %
Shenzhen Expressway
  548 HK   HK$2.8     21,494,000       7,805,551       3.0 %
Solomon Systech
  2878 HK   HK$2.9     20,698,000       7,649,518       3.0 %
BYD
  1211 HK   HK$18.0     3,225,000       7,441,527       2.9 %
Comba Telecom Systems
  2342 HK   HK$3.6     16,118,000       7,407,217       2.9 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$5.0     9,968,000       6,406,870       2.5 %
China Netcom
  906 HK   HK$10.6     4,253,000       5,767,873       2.3 %
TCL International
  1070 HK   HK$1.4     29,970,000       5,393,648       2.1 %
Li Ning
  2331 HK   HK$3.6     11,400,000       5,312,277       2.1 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$1.5     27,900,000       5,308,035       2.1 %
Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$1.6     24,800,000       5,068,934       2.0 %
China Fire Safety
  8201 HK   HK$0.7     50,380,000       4,403,874       1.7 %
Sinotrans
  598 HK   HK$2.3     12,835,000       3,753,575       1.5 %
Fountain Set
  420 HK   HK$4.2     6,714,000       3,646,498       1.4 %
Semiconductor Manufacturing
  981 HK   HK$1.5     17,604,000       3,417,088       1.3 %
China Travel
  308 HK   HK$2.2     10,000,000       2,795,935       1.1 %
Ocean Grand Chemicals
  2882 HK   HK$1.2     17,379,000       2,658,518       1.1 %
Asia Aluminium
  930 HK   HK$0.9     23,250,000       2,570,332       1.0 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$0.6     32,780,000       2,401,882       0.9 %
FU JI Food & Catering
  1175 HK   HK$6.4     2,844,000       2,339,793       0.9 %
Guangshen Railway
  525 HK   HK$2.6     7,000,000       2,339,587       0.9 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$3.7     4,435,000       2,066,662       0.8 %
Beiren Printing Machinery
  187 HK   HK$2.2     7,000,000       1,957,155       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$1.0     15,254,000       1,921,665       0.8 %
Yanzhou Coal Mining
  1171 HK   HK$6.2     1,887,600       1,516,554       0.6 %
Asia Zirconium
  395 HK   HK$0.8     13,196,000       1,374,027       0.5 %
Nanjing Dahe Outdoor Media
  8243 HK   HK$0.2     37,500,000       1,123,195       0.5 %
Sino Golf
  361 HK   HK$0.8     10,303,000       1,046,306       0.4 %
Arcontech
  8097 HK   HK$0.1     18,386,000       236,350       0.1 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    23.8 %
Taiwan Green Point
  3007 TT   NT$118.5     2,155,749       8,192,952       3.2 %
Synnex Technologies
  2347 TT   NT$46.9     5,165,604       7,769,943       3.1 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$74.3     3,012,016       7,177,447       2.8 %
Tripod Technology
  3044 TT   NT$55.3     2,778,413       4,927,718       1.9 %
EVA Airways
  2618 TT   NT$15.6     9,400,000       4,703,015       1.8 %
Cathay Financial
  2882 TT   NT$60.0     2,331,000       4,485,568       1.7 %
Fubon Financial
  2881 TT   NT$29.8     4,453,952       4,256,824       1.7 %
Cheng Shin Rubber
  2105 TT   NT$34.8     3,805,974       4,247,848       1.7 %
Wintek
  2384 TT   NT$42.3     2,421,104       3,280,681       1.3 %
Data Systems Consulting
  2447 TT   NT$22.4     4,237,987       3,044,609       1.2 %
Taiwan FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$53.0     1,567,231       2,663,991       1.0 %
Chicony Electronics
  2385 TT   NT$31.3     2,452,152       2,461,589       1.0 %
Waffer Technology
  6235 TT   NT$38.0     1,900,000       2,315,587       0.9 %
Yieh United Steel
  9957 TT   NT$11.7     3,500,000       1,313,342       0.5 %
 
                                       
Singapore
                                    0.9 %
Bio-Treat Technology
  BIOT SP   SG$0.6     6,389,000       2,323,203       0.9 %
 
                                       
B Shares
                                    3.2 %
China International Marine
  200039 CH   HK$9.8     6,445,390       8,128,044       3.2 %
 
                                       
New York
                                    2.4 %
China Techfaith Wireless
  CNFT US     US$17.4     197,700       3,439,980       1.4 %
UTStarcom
  UTSIE   US$7.4     322,000       2,369,920       0.9 %
Chindex International
  CHDX US   US$5.0     69,987       347,135       0.1 %
 
                                       
‘A’ share access product
                                    2.6 %
Shenergy Access Product
          US$0.8     4,500,000       3,424,500       1.4 %
Shanghai Airlines Access Product
          US$0.5     7,350,000       3,160,500       1.2 %
 
                                       
Direct
                                    6.9 %
CDW Holdings Ltd
                    60,000,000       10,841,147       4.3 %
Captive Finance
                    2,000,000       3,045,000       1.2 %
Global e Business
                    40,000       3,042,162       1.2 %
teco Optronics
                    1,861,710       603,550       0.2 %
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                                    3.1 %

 


 

OBJECTIVE

 

The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation through investment in companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.

The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective June 30, 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, “China companies” are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organised outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; and (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.

The fundamental policy, which applies to not less than 65% of the Fund’s assets as set out in the Fund’s prospectus dated July 10, 1992, remains in place. The fundamental policy is the same as the operating policy set out above, except that China only includes the People’s Republic of China.

CONTACTS

 

The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
225 Franklin Street
Boston, MA 02110
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

Important information: This newsletter is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser. MC Inc is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.

China Fund Inc (the fund) is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940. It meets the criteria of a closedended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the listed equity portfolio of the fund. Asian Direct Capital Management is the direct investment manager to the fund.

Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.

This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.

The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.

It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.

Past performance is not a guide to future returns. Markets and currency movements may cause the value of investments and income from them to fall as well as rise and you may get back less than you invested when you decide to sell your investments. There can be no assurance that you will receive comparable performance returns, or that investments will reflect the performance of the stock examples, contained in this presenter. Movements in foreign exchange rates may have a separate effect, unfavorable as well as favorable, on the gain or loss otherwise experienced on an investment.

It should be noted that investment in the fund carries a higher degree of risks when investing in China and should be regarded as long term. Funds which invest in one country carry a higher degree of risk than those with portfolios diversified across a number of markets.

Investing in the fund involves certain considerations in addition to the risks normally associated with making investments in securities. The value of the shares issued by the fund, and the income from them, may go down as well as up and there can be no assurance that upon sale, or otherwise, investors will receive back the amount originally invested. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future returns. Accordingly, the fund is only suitable for investment by investors who are able and willing to withstand the total loss of their investment. In particular, prospective investors should consider the following risks:

à   The companies quoted on Greater Chinese stock exchanges are exposed to the risks of political, social and religious instability, expropriation of assets or nationalization, rapid rates of inflation, high interest rates, currency depreciation and fluctuations and changes in taxation, which may affect income and the value of investments.

à   At present, the securities market and the regulatory framework for the securities industry in China is at an early stage of development. The CSRC is responsible for supervising the national securities markets and producing relevant regulations. The Investment Regulations, under which the fund invests in the People’s Republic of China (‘PRC’) and which regulate repatriation and currency conversion, are new. The Investment Regulations give CSRC and SAFE wide discretions and there is no precedent or certainty as to how these discretions might be exercised, either now or in the future. The fund may, from time to time, obtain access to the securities markets in China via Access Products. Such products carry additional risk and may be less liquid than the underlying securities which they represent.

à   During the past 15 years, the PRC government has been reforming the economic and political systems of the PRC, and these reforms are expected to continue, as evidenced by the recently announced changes. The fund’s operations and financial results could be adversely affected by adjustments in the PRC’s state plans, political, economic and social conditions, changes in the policies of the PRC government such as changes in laws and regulations (or the interpretation thereof), measures which may be introduced to control inflation, changes in the rate or method of taxation, imposition of additional restrictions on currency conversion and the imposition of additional import restrictions.

à   PRC’s disclosure and regulatory standards are in many respects less stringent than standards in certain OECD countries, and there may be less publicly available or less reliable information about PRC companies than is regularly published by or about companies from OECD countries.
 
    The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange have lower trading volumes than most OECD exchanges and the market capitalisations of listed companies are small compared to those on more developed exchanges in developed markets. The listed equity securities of many companies in the PRC are accordingly materially less liquid, subject to greater dealing spreads and experience materially greater volatility than those of OECD countries. These factors could negatively affect the fund’s NAV.

à   The fund invests primarily in securities denominated in other currencies but its NAV will be quoted in US Dollars. Accordingly, a change in the value of such securities against US Dollars will result in a corresponding change in the US Dollar NAV.

à   The marketability of quoted shares may be limited due to foreign investment restrictions, wide dealing spreads, exchange controls, foreign ownership restrictions, the restricted opening of stock exchanges and a narrow range of investors. Trading volume may be lower than on more developed stockmarkets, and equities are less liquid. Volatility of prices can also be greater than in more developed stockmarkets. The infrastructure for clearing, settlement and registration on the primary and secondary markets may be underdeveloped. Under certain circumstances, there may be delays in settling transactions in some of the markets.