EX-99 2 b76915a1exv99.htm JULY 2009 MONTHLY INSIGHT REPORT exv99
(MARTIN CURRIE LOGO)
THE CHINA FUND, INC. (CHN)
(SHANGHAI TEAM LOGO)
The Martin Currie
Shanghai team
IN BRIEF
         
Net asset value per share
  US$ 24.81  
Market price
  US$ 22.90  
Premium/(discount)
    (7.70 %)
Fund size
  US$ 565.3m  
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company
     
At 31 July 2009   US$ returns
                 
    China Fund NAV     MSCI Golden Dragon*  
    %     %  
One month
    9.4       11.9  
Year to date
    42.7       52.6  
One year
    (0.7 )     (2.9 )
Three years %pa
    20.4       10.9  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company. NAV performance.
 
*   Source for index data: MSCI.
MANAGER’S COMMENTARY
China’s markets bounded ahead in July, boosted by easy credit (M2 growth of 28.5% in June was the highest ever). Newsflow was generally positive (Chinese housing starts increased by 12% in June, the first positive number for 12 months), forcing the last bearish brokers to turn bulls. The ‘H’ share index was the most exciting, with an 18.5% rise led by the cyclicals (but if you want to own these companies, it’s best not to visit them). Towards the end of the month, there were signs that the government would rein in the tearaway loan growth that has boosted asset markets. Zhang Jianguo, president of China Construction Bank, in announcing that new lending by his bank would be down 70% in the second half, commented ‘We noticed that some loans didn’t go into the real economy’(!). But until there is evidence of the return of inflation (possibly by November) any meaningful tightening measures are unlikely; no water will be thrown on the flames, just less gasoline.
In such hot markets, the Fund managed to eke out a gain of just 9.4%. We have been too cautious, sticking with steady growth companies and failing to jump back into commodity and property stocks. However, it is difficult to change this stance now that these stocks are even more over-valued. Ugly results and a big increase in equity supply must surely increase headwinds. The tottering state of local government finances also looks set to become an issue. We continue to find value in small-caps and special situations, but overall, the Chinese markets, with the exception of Taiwan, now look richly valued given the many threats to a global economic recovery once the stimulus of government spending is removed.

 


 

INVESTMENT STRATEGY
The Fund is 94.3% invested with holdings in 61 companies. Of the portfolio, 16% is invested in unlisted companies.
During July we added to the Fund’s weighting in healthcare (now 14.6%) by buying China Pharmaceutical (a company much improved since its transfer from state ownership) and leading contract-research organization Wuxi Pharmatech. We also added to the Fund’s significant position in Far East Energy, which has started to produce coal-bed methane and appears to be an acquisition target.
At the end of July, the Fund’s weighting in Taiwan was 18.5%. Since the end of the month, we have been increasing this, through the purchase of financials Fubon Bank and KGI Securities, and convenience-store operator Familymart. We expect Taiwan to enjoy a liquidity boom as rapid progress in rapprochement across the straits is prompting Taiwanese expatriate capital to return to the island. This will shortly be followed by mainland Chinese capital in the form of bank acquisitions, commercial property investment, and then portfolio flows.
Overall, sales in July ran ahead of purchases in anticipation of a market correction. Stocks sold include Fu Ji Food, Anta Sports, Huiyuan Juice, Bawang and Huabao.
When markets race ahead, the Fund’s unlisted investment portfolio acts as a drag on short-term performance. However, the improvement in stockmarkets, and particularly the re-opening of the IPO window, is good news for this portfolio. The Fund’s largest holding, the rural electrical retailer Huiyin (Queenbury), appointed an underwriter in July and is now preparing for a Hong Kong listing in early 2010.
Chris Ruffle, Martin Currie Inc*
 
*  Martin Currie Ltd and Heartland Capital Management Ltd (HCML) have established MC China Ltd (MCCL), as a joint venture
   company, to provide investment management or investment advisory services to the range of China investment products
   managed by Martin Currie.
MCCL has appointed Martin Currie Investment Management Ltd (MCIM), or its affiliates, as investment manager of Martin Currie’s China investment products. HCML has seconded both Chris Ruffle and Shifeng Ke to MCIM, or its affiliates, on a full time basis with the same roles and responsibilities as if they were full time employees.

 


 

31 JULY 2009
FUND DETAILS
         
Market cap
  US$ 521.7m
Shares outstanding
    22,781,762
Exchange listed
  NYSE
Listing date
  July 10, 1992
Listed and direct investment manager
  Martin Currie Inc
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company.
SECTOR ALLOCATION
                 
    The China     MSCI Golden  
    Fund, Inc     Dragon  
Consumer discretionary
    20.9 %     4.7 %
Consumer staples
    17.0 %     2.1 %
Healthcare
    14.6 %      
Financials
    13.6 %     37.3 %
Industrials
    10.6 %     8.1 %
Information technology
    7.1 %     19.8 %
Energy
    5.0 %     8.8 %
Materials
    2.8 %     6.2 %
Utilities
    1.5 %     4.0 %
Telecommunications
    1.2 %     9.0 %
Other assets & liabilities
    5.7 %      
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company. Source for index data: MSCI
ASSET ALLOCATION
(PIE CHART)
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company
PERFORMANCE (US$ RETURNS)
                 
    NAV     Market price  
    %     %  
One month
    9.4       9.2  
Year to date
    42.7       38.5  
Three years % pa
    20.4       17.6  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Three year returns are annualized.
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company
15 LARGEST HOLDINGS (44.3%)
             
Queenbury Investment (Huiyan)
  Consumer discretionary     7.2 %
CITIC Securities
  Financials     4.6 %
Ugent Holdings
  Industrials     4.0 %
Wumart Stores
  Consumer staples     3.8 %
Shandong Weigao Group
  Healthcare     3.6 %
Far Eastern Department Stores
  Consumer discretionary     3.3 %
China Medical System
  Healthcare     2.5 %
Ports Design
  Consumer discretionary     2.1 %
Ruentex Development
  Financials     2.0 %
Shenzhen Agricultural Products
  Consumer staples     2.0 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  Healthcare     1.9 %
China Fishery Group
  Consumer staples     1.9 %
Fushan International Energy
  Energy     1.9 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  Consumer staples     1.8 %
Wuliangye Yibin
  Consumer staples     1.7 %
DIRECT INVESTMENTS (16.0%)
             
Queenbury Investment (Huiyan)
  Consumer discretionary     7.2 %
Ugent Holdings
  Industrials     4.0 %
Qingdao Bright Moon
  Industrials     1.5 %
HAND Enterprise Solutions
  Information technology     1.5 %
Highlight Tech
  Industrials     1.2 %
China Silicon (Series A Preferred)
  Information technology     0.6 %
China Silicon (Common Stock)
  Information technology      
China Silicon (Warrants)
  Information technology      
TECO Optronics
  Information technology      
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company.
     
FUND PERFORMANCE (BASED ON NET ASSET VALUE)   (US$ RETURNS)
                                                         
    One     Three     Calendar     One     Three     Five     Since  
    month     months     year to date     year     years     years     launch  
    %     %     %     %     % pa     % pa     % pa  
The China Fund, Inc.
    9.4       29.3       42.7       (0.7 )     20.4       21.1       11.3  
MSCI Golden Dragon
    11.9       29.7       52.6       (2.9 )     10.9       14.5       10.1  
Hang Seng China Enterprise
    10.6       33.5       53.6       (2.4 )     21.2       23.0       22.9  
Shanghai Stock Exchange 180
    17.6       42.8       105.4       32.2       48.6       31.7       n/a  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company. Launch date 10 July 1992. Three year, five year and since launch returns are all annualized.
Source for index data: MSCI for the MSCI Golden Dragon and Copyright 2009 Bloomberg LP for the Hang Seng China Enterprise and the Shanghai Stock Exchange 180. For a full description of each index please see the index descriptions section.

 


 

PERFORMANCE IN PERSPECTIVE
(LINE GRAPH)
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Martin Currie Inc as at 31 July 2009.
THE CHINA FUND INC. PREMIUM/DISCOUNT
(LINE GRAPH)
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: Martin Currie Inc as at 31 July 2009.
10 YEAR DIVIDEND HISTORY CHART
(BAR GRAPH)
                                                                                 
Total
    0.11       0.00       0.13       0.21       1.78       3.58       2.51       4.01       12.12       5.82  
Income
    0.11       0.00       0.13       0.06       0.07       0.20       0.22       0.30       0.28       0.48  
Long-term capital
    0.00       0.00       0.00       0.00       0.67       3.27       2.29       2.73       9.00       5.34  
Short-term capital
    0.00       0.00       0.00       0.15       1.04       0.11       0.00       0.98       2.84       0.00  
Past performance is not a guide to future returns.
Source: State Street Bank and Trust Company.

 


 

31 JULY 2009
                                         
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)     Price     Holding     Value US$     % of portfolio  
Hong Kong
                                    18.0 %
Ports Design
  589 HK   HK$ 20.0       4,549,500       11,728,753       2.1 %
China Shineway Pharmaceutical
  2877 HK   HK$ 7.6       11,184,000       10,895,240       1.9 %
Fushan International Energy
  639 HK   HK$ 5.1       16,044,000       10,578,552       1.9 %
Chaoda Modern Agriculture
  682 HK   HK$ 5.2       14,885,357       10,160,326       1.8 %
Xinao Gas
  2688 HK   HK$ 12.8       5,084,000       8,436,051       1.5 %
Natural Beauty Bio-Technology
  157 HK   HK$ 1.3       48,680,000       8,291,196       1.5 %
Intime Department Store Group
  1833 HK   HK$ 4.8       12,568,629       7,703,254       1.4 %
Shangri-La Asia
  0069 HK   HK$ 12.4       4,755,555       7,547,429       1.3 %
Golden Meditech
  8180 HK   HK$ 1.5       35,040,000       6,600,999       1.2 %
Sina Corp
  SINA US   US$ 33.2       162,700       5,398,386       0.9 %
FU JI Food & Catering Services
  1175 HK   HK$ 7.6       5,462,000       5,356,215       0.9 %
TPV Technology
  903 HK   HK$ 4.2       8,854,000       4,821,084       0.8 %
China Rare Earth
  769 HK   HK$ 1.6       11,070,000       2,199,688       0.4 %
Yorkey Optical International
  2788 HK   HK$ 1.9       8,598,926       2,108,096       0.4 %
 
                                       
Singapore
                                    4.7 %
China Fishery Group
  CFG SP   SG$ 1.2       13,255,000       10,774,551       1.9 %
Hsu Fu Chi International
  HFCI SP   SG$ 1.4       9,484,000       9,422,392       1.7 %
CDW
  CDW SP   SG$ 0.1       59,708,000       2,488,957       0.4 %
Financial One Corp
  FIN SP   SG$ 0.3       12,030,000       2,465,592       0.4 %
China Milk Products Group
  CMILK SP   SG$ 0.5       4,923,000       1,744,350       0.3 %
 
                                       
Hong Kong ‘H’ shares
                                    11.1 %
Wumart Stores
  995 HK   HK$ 11.3       14,888,000       21,630,544       3.8 %
Shandong Weigao Group
  8199 HK   HK$ 20.3       7,808,000       20,451,659       3.6 %
China Pharmaceutical Group
  1093 HK   HK$ 4.4       12,918,000       7,350,664       1.3 %
Zijin Mining
  2899 HK   HK$ 7.2       7,214,000       6,757,802       1.2 %
ZTE Corp
  763 HK   HK$ 33.8       1,461,926       6,404,096       1.2 %
 
                                       
Taiwan
                                    18.5 %
Far Eastern Department Stores
  2903 TT   NT$ 33.1       18,511,584       18,676,342       3.3 %
Ruentex Development
  9945 TT   NT$ 29.9       12,694,000       11,549,497       2.0 %
Uni-President Enterprises
  1216 TT   NT$ 34.1       8,728,581       9,059,016       1.6 %
China Metal Products
  1532 TT   NT$ 32.3       9,019,881       8,866,470       1.6 %
WPG Holdings
  3702 TT   NT$ 40.3       6,320,000       7,763,228       1.4 %
Lien Hwa Industrial
  1229 TT   NT$ 15.9       15,919,692       7,715,286       1.3 %
Yuanta Financial
  2885 TT   NT$ 23.6       10,520,593       7,567,849       1.3 %
FamilyMart
  5903 TT   NT$ 56.2       4,260,652       7,298,483       1.3 %
Taiwan Secom
  9917 TT   NT$ 49.5       4,738,000       7,148,592       1.3 %
HTC Corp
  2498 TT   NT$ 447.5       438,000       5,974,305       1.1 %
Synnex Technology
  2347 TT   NT$ 63.7       2,553,855       4,958,564       0.9 %
KGI Securities
  6008 TT   NT$ 16.3       8,800,000       4,372,105       0.8 %
Merry Electronics
  2439 TT   NT$ 33.0       3,584,340       3,605,317       0.6 %
 
                                       
United Kingdom
                                    2.5 %
China Medical System Holdings
  CMSH LN   £ 2.3       3,623,188       13,926,256       2.5 %
 
                                       
United States
                                    5.1 %
WuXi PharmaTech Cayman
  WX US   US$ 10.7       836,890       8,954,723       1.6 %
Mindray Medical International
  MR US   US$ 29.7       191,700       5,697,324       1.0 %
Far East Energy
  FEEC US   US$ 0.4       14,565,477       5,534,881       1.0 %
New Oriental Education
  EDU US   US$ 73.5       73,400       5,394,900       1.0 %
The9
  CMED US   US$ 8.7       358,900       3,133,197       0.5 %
 
                                       
Equity linked securities (‘A’ shares)
                                    18.4 %
CITIC Securities
          US$ 5.6       4,720,200       26,274,384       4.6 %
Shenzhen Agricultural
          US$ 1.7       6,800,000       11,376,298       2.0 %
Wuliangye Yibin
          US$ 3.4       2,857,007       9,836,675       1.7 %
China Yangtze Power
          US$ 2.3       4,169,077       9,604,845       1.7 %
Zhejiang Guyuelongshan
          US$ 1.2       6,124,000       7,394,944       1.3 %
Suning Appliance
          US$ 2.3       2,874,013       6,506,765       1.2 %
Shanghai Yuyuan Tourist Board
          US$ 2.7       238,502,000       6,325,517       1.1 %
Daqin Railway
          US$ 1.7       3,807,000       6,285,471       1.1 %
China Minsheng Banking
          US$ 1.3       4,758,300       6,059,224       1.1 %
Ping An Insurance
          HK$ 68.8       614,500       5,435,281       1.0 %
Shanghai International Airport
          US$ 2.5       1,816,700       4,627,135       0.8 %
Dalian Zhangzidao Fishery
          US$ 3.8       1,100,565       4,210,762       0.8 %

 


 

                                         
Sector   Company (BBG ticker)     Price     Holding     Value US$     % of portfolio  
Direct
                                    16.0 %
Queenbury Investment (Huiyan)
          US$ 90345.0       450       40,655,250       7.2 %
Ugent Holdings
          HK$ 100.0       177,000,000       22,838,415       4.0 %
Qingdao Bright Moon
          US$ 0.3       31,827,172       8,275,065       1.5 %
HAND Enterprise Solutions
          US$ 16.4       500,000       8,200,000       1.5 %
Highlight Tech
          US$ 2.1       3,366,893       6,902,130       1.2 %
China Silicon (Series A Preferred)
          US$ 133.0       27,418       3,646,594       0.6 %
China Silicon (Common Stock)
                  347,904              
China Silicon (Warrants)
                  685,450              
teco Optronics
                  1,861,710              
 
                                       
Other assets & liabilities
                            32,333,846       5.7 %
INDEX DESCRIPTIONS
MSCI Golden Dragon Index
The MSCI Golden Dragon is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance in the China region. As of May 2005 the MSCI Golden Dragon Index consisted of the following country indices: China, Hong Kong and Taiwan.
Hang Seng China Enterprise Index
The Hang Seng China Enterprise Index is a capitalization-weighted index comprised of state-owned Chinese companies (H-shares) listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and included in Hans Seng Mainland China index.
Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 Index
The Shanghai Stock Exchange 180 ‘A’ Share Index is a capitalization-weighted index. The index tracks the daily price performance of the 180 most representative ‘A’ share stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
OBJECTIVE
The investment objective of the Fund is to achieve long term capital appreciation. The Fund seeks to achieve its objective through investment in the equity securities of companies and other entities with significant assets, investments, production activities, trading or other business interests in China or which derive a significant part of their revenue from China.
The Board of Directors of the Fund has adopted an operating policy of the Fund, effective 30 June 2001, that the Fund will invest at least 80% of its assets in China companies. For this purpose, ‘China companies’ are (i) companies for which the principal securities trading market is in China; (ii) companies for which the principal securities trading market is outside of China or in companies organized outside of China, that in both cases derive at least 50% of their revenues from goods or services sold or produced, or have a least 50% of their assets in China; or (iii) companies organized in China. Under the policy, China will mean the People’s Republic of China, including Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Fund will provide its stockholders with at least 60 days’ prior notice of any change to the policy described above.
The Fund is subject to the Investment Company Act of 1940 which limits the means in which it can access the ‘A’ share market. The Fund will continue to seek the most efficient way in which to increase its ‘A’ share exposure ensuring ongoing compliance with its legal and regulatory obligations.
CONTACTS
The China Fund, Inc.
c/o State Street Bank and Trust Company
2 Avenue de Lafayette
PO Box 5049
Boston, MA 02206-5049
Tel: (1) 888 CHN-CALL (246 2255)
www.chinafundinc.com

 


 

Important information: This document is issued and approved by Martin Currie Inc (MC Inc), as investment adviser of The China Fund Inc (the Fund). MC Inc is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) and incorporated under limited liability in New York, USA. Registered in Scotland (No BR2575), registered address Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh, EH1 2ES. Information herein is believed to be reliable but has not been verified by MC Inc. MC Inc makes no representation or warranty and does not accept any responsibility in relation to such information or for opinion or conclusion which the reader may draw from the newsletter.
Martin Currie Ltd and Heartland Capital Management Ltd (HCML) have established MC China Ltd (MCCL), as a joint venture company, to provide investment management or investment advisory services to our China product. MCCL has appointed Martin Currie Investment Management Ltd (MCIM), or its affiliates, as investment manager of our China funds. HMCL has seconded both Chris Ruffle and Shifeng Ke to MCIM or its affiliates on a full time basis with the same roles and responsibilities as if they were full time employees.
The Fund is classified as a ‘non-diversified’ investment company under the US Investment Company Act of 1940 as amended. It meets the criteria of a closed ended US mutual fund and its shares are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. MC Inc has been appointed investment adviser to the Fund.
Investors are advised that they will not generally benefit from the rules and regulations of the United Kingdom Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 and the FSA for the protection of investors, nor benefit from the United Kingdom Financial Services Compensation Scheme, nor have access to the Financial Services Ombudsman in the event of a dispute. Investors will also have no rights of cancellation under the FSA’s Conduct of Business Sourcebook of the United Kingdom.
This newsletter does not constitute an offer of shares. MC Inc, its ultimate and intermediate holding companies, subsidiaries, affiliates, clients, directors or staff may, at any time, have a position in the market referred to herein, and may buy or sell securities, currencies, or any other financial instruments in such markets. The information or opinion expressed in this newsletter should not be construed to be a recommendation to buy or sell the securities, commodities, currencies or financial instruments referred to herein.
The information provided in this report should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. There is no assurance that any securities discussed herein will remain in an account’s portfolio at the time you receive this report or that securities sold have not been repurchased.
It should not be assumed that any of the securities transactions or holdings discussed here were or will prove to be profitable, or that the investment recommendations or decisions we make in the future will be profitable or will equal the investment performance of the securities discussed herein.
Investing in the Fund involves certain considerations in addition to the risks normally associated with making investments in securities. The value of the shares issued by the Fund, and the income from them, may go down as well as up and there can be no assurance that upon sale, or otherwise, investors will receive back the amount originally invested. There can be no assurance that you will receive comparable performance returns, or that investments will reflect the performance of the stock examples contained in this document. Movements in foreign exchange rates may have a separate effect, unfavorable as well as favorable, on the gain or loss otherwise experienced on an investment. Past performance is not a guide to future returns. Accordingly, the Fund is only suitable for investment by investors who are able and willing to withstand the total loss of their investment. In particular, prospective investors should consider the following risks:
è   The companies quoted on Greater Chinese stock exchanges are exposed to the risks of political, social and religious instability, expropriation of assets or nationalisation, rapid rates of inflation, high interest rates, currency depreciation and fluctuations and changes in taxation, which may affect income and the value of investments.
 
è   At present, the securities market and the regulatory framework for the securities industry in China is at an early stage of development. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is responsible for supervising the national securities markets and producing relevant regulations. The Investment Regulations, under which the Fund invests in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) and which regulate repatriation and currency conversion, are new. The Investment Regulations give CSRC and State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) wide discretions and there is no precedent or certainty as to how these discretions might be exercised, either now or in the future. The Fund may, from time to time, obtain access to the securities markets in China via Access Products. Such products carry additional risk and may be less liquid than the underlying securities which they represent.
 
è   During the past 15 years, the PRC government has been reforming the economic and political systems of the PRC, and these reforms are expected to continue, as evidenced by the recently announced changes. The Fund’s operations and financial results could be adversely affected by adjustments in the PRC’s state plans, political, economic and social conditions, changes in the policies of the PRC government such as changes in laws and regulations (or the interpretation thereof), measures which may be introduced to control inflation, changes in the rate or method of taxation, imposition of additional restrictions on currency conversion and the imposition of additional import restrictions.
 
è   PRC’s disclosure and regulatory standards are in many respects less stringent than standards in certain Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries, and there may be less publicly available or less reliable information about PRC companies than is regularly published by or about companies from OECD countries.
 
è   The Shanghai Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange have lower trading volumes than most OECD exchanges and the market capitalisations of listed companies are small compared to those on more developed exchanges in developed markets. The listed equity securities of many companies in the PRC are accordingly materially less liquid, subject to greater dealing spreads and experience materially greater volatility than those of OECD countries. These factors could negatively affect the Fund’s NAV.
 
è   The Fund invests primarily in securities denominated in other currencies but its NAV will be quoted in US dollars. Accordingly, a change in the value of such securities against US dollars will result in a corresponding change in the US dollar NAV.
 
è   The marketability of quoted shares may be limited due to foreign investment restrictions, wide dealing spreads, exchange controls, foreign ownership restrictions, the restricted opening of stock exchanges and a narrow range of investors. Trading volume may be lower than on more developed stockmarkets, and equities are less liquid. Volatility of prices can also be greater than in more developed stockmarkets. The infrastructure for clearing, settlement and registration on the primary and secondary markets may be underdeveloped. Under certain circumstances, there may be delays in settling transactions in some of the markets.
Martin Currie Inc, registered in Scotland (no BR2575)
Registered office: Saltire Court, 20 Castle Terrace, Edinburgh EH11 2ES Tel: 44 (0) 131 229 5252 Fax: 44 (0) 131 228 5959 www.martincurrie.com/china

North American office: 1350 Avenue of the Americas, Suite 3010, New York, NY 10019, USA Tel: (1) 212 258 1900 Fax: (1) 212 258 1919
Authorised and registered by the Financial Services Authority and incorporated with limited liability in New York, USA.

Please note: calls to the above numbers may be recorded.