
This creates opportunities to buy shares that
become undervalued, and to reduce or sell
those that move up to fair value or above. The
fundamental attractions of businesses and the
external themes also change from time to time,
which can prompt further activity.
This year we have responded to market
volatility by making several changes to the
portfolio. We have added 12 new companies
and sold 6 completely, taking the total number
of holdings at year end to 53. The increase in
the number of stocks reflects the broad range
of attractive investment opportunities we were
able to identify. We would normally expect to
hold between 40-60 stocks, but for several years
we have been in the lower half of that range.
New investments in the early months of the year
were broadly spread between companies in
both economically resilient or defensive sectors
and more economically sensitive or cyclical
sectors. However, as the year progressed,
economic concerns caused many cyclical
shares to underperform, and many of our
later purchases were in those areas. Whilst the
economic outlook has become much more
challenging than before the conflict in Ukraine,
our assessment was that the difficult short-term
outlook was more than discounted in many
cyclical shares, which were offering excellent
long-term value. Also, there were reasons in the
second half of the year to think the stock market
might be reaching “peak fear” as future interest
rate expectations peaked.
In the interim report, we explained the new
purchases of companies we would normally
expect to be quite resilient or defensive;
Unilever, National Express and Haleon. The
latter spun out of pharmaceutical company
GSK, but we added significantly to the position.
We also explained the investments in five
economically cyclical stocks; Atalaya Mining,
BMW, CRH, OSB (OneSavingsBank) and CLS.
There were four complete sales in the first half;
Relx, TotalEnergies, Antofagasta and ITV.
There were four new investments in the
second half of the year. Grafton Group is a
multi-national building materials business
which owns the leading Irish DIY and builder’s
merchants businesses as well as the Selco
builders merchants in the UK. The company
has a good record of margin expansion and
capital allocation. It had a large proportion
of its market value in net cash (excluding
operating leases) which provided not only
financial security, but also the potential to take
advantage of acquisition opportunities in the
future. The share price had almost halved over
the previous year, which gave us the chance to
buy a high quality company at a very attractive
level, with an above average dividend yield.
We bought a new position in NatWest, one of
the UK’s leading banking groups. The banking
industry has been transformed since the global
financial crisis, with tighter regulation and
much stronger capital requirements reducing
the risk profile. NatWest has also considerably
restructured its own operations and the
business is now performing well and making
an attractive return on capital. The shares were
very modestly priced, paying a high dividend
yield. With a more favourable tailwind from
higher interest rates, we decided to increase
exposure to the banking industry.
In the retail sector we made a new investment
in Pets At Home. As described in our separate
case study, the company is best known for its UK
market leading chain of pet and pet-product
stores, but much of the value in the company
comes from its vet services business, Vets4Pets.
We also added Admiral, which is the market
leader in car insurance in the UK, and benefits
from a cost advantage over much of the
industry. This cost base has allowed Admiral
to make superior returns over the cycle, and to
gain market share. The whole industry has been
hit in the last year by significant inflationary cost
increases, which have impacted profitability.
However, this has also led to quite sharp
price rises for policies, which should benefit
future profits. Admiral shares fell sharply in
2022, providing an opportunity to invest at an
unusually attractive price for a company of this
quality.
As well as introducing new holdings, we added
to a number of existing positions where we saw
good value opportunities. These tended to be in
the more cyclical parts of the market, although
the largest investment was into the distribution
business DCC. Other notable additions were
the natural resources companies Rio Tinto and
Energean, the financial services companies
St James’s Place, Landsec and IG Group and
consumer exposed companies Next and
Redrow.
There were two complete sales in the second
half. Homeserve, was the subject of a takeover
bid as referenced above, and we were able to
sell at a full valuation. We also sold the small
position in M&G which had originally come from
its demerger out of Prudential. This was a low
conviction holding and we used the proceeds
to help fund other purchases. We also reduced
several positions. They were mostly defensive
businesses, which had generally performed
27
Investment
Manager’s
Review