Annual Report and Accou
nts 202
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them challenging to back test and
benchmark;
the significant uncertainty as to
how the climate will evolve ove
r
time, how and when
g
overnme
nts,
regulators, businesses, investors
and customers respond and how
those responses impact the
economy, asset valuations, land
systems, energy systems,
technology, policy and wider
society;
the assumptions will be
continually evolving with more
data/information which may
affect the baselines for
comparability across reporting
periods and impact internal and
external verification processes;
and
the pace of the development of
the methodologies across
different sectors may be different
and therefore it may be
challenging to report on the
whole balance sheet with regard
to emissions.
Accordingly, these risks and
uncertainties coupled with signific
antly
longer timeframes make the ou
tputs of
climate-related risk modelling, including
emissions reductions targets an
d
pathways, inherently more unc
ertain
than outputs modelled for traditional
financial planning cycles based on
historical financial information.
Capabilities within NWM Group to
appropriately assess, model and mana
ge
climate-related risks and the su
itability of
the assumptions required to model and
manage climate-related risks
appropriately are developing. Even when
those capabilities are develope
d, the high
level of uncertainty regarding any
assumptions modelled, the highly
subjective nature of risk measurement
and mitigation techniques, incorrect or
inadequate assumptions and judgments
and data quality gaps and limitations
may lead to inadequate risk
management information and
frameworks, or ineffective business
adaptation or mitigation strategies
, which
may have a material adverse impact on
NWM Group’s regulatory compliance,
reputation, business, results of operations
and outlook.
A failure to adapt NWM Group’s
business strategy, governance,
procedures, systems and controls to
manage emerging sustainability-
related risks and opportunities may
have a material adverse effect o
n
NWM Group, its reputation, business,
results of operations and out
look.
Investors, customers, international
organisations, regulators and other
stakeholders are increasingly focusing on
identification, measurement,
management and mitigation of
‘sustainability-related’ risks and
opportunities such as environme
ntal (
including biodiversity and loss of natu
ral
capital); social (including diversity and
inclusion, the living wage, fair taxation
and value chains); and governance
(including board diversity, ethics,
executive compensation and
management structure) related risks and
opportunities and on long term
sustainable value creation.
Financial institutions, including NWM
Group, are directly and indirectly
exposed to multiple types of
environmental and biodiversity-related
risk through their activities, including risk
of default by clients. Additionally, there is
a growing need to move from safeguards
and interventions that focus on reducing
negative impacts on environment and
biodiversity towards those that focus
on
increasing positive impact on
environment and biodiversity and nature-
based solutions. In 2021, NatWe
st Group
(including NWM Group) accordingly
classified ‘Biodiversity and Nature Loss’
as an emerging risk for NatWest G
roup
(including NWM Group) within its Risk
Management Framework. This is an
evolving and complex area which
requires collaborative approaches with
partners, stakeholders and peers to help
measure and mitigate negative i
mpacts
of financing activities on the
environment, biodiversity and n
ature as
well as supporting the growing
sector of
nature-based solutions, habitat
restoration and biodiversity markets.
NatWest Group, including NWM Group, is
in the early stages of developing its
approach and NatWest Group, including
NWM Group, recognises the need for
more progress.
There is also increased investor,
regulatory and customer scruti
ny
regarding how businesses addre
ss social
issues, including tackling inequality,
working conditions, workplace health,
safety and wellbeing, diversity and
inclusion, data protection and
management, workforce management,
human rights and supply chain
management which may impact NWM
Group’s employees, customers, and their
business activities or the communities in
which they operate. There is also
growing attention on the need for a 'just
transition' and “energy justice” – in
recognition that the transition to a net
zero economy should not
disproportionally affect the most
disadvantaged members of socie
ty.
The
increased focus on these issues
may
create reputational and other risks
for
financial institutions, including NWM
Group. In addition to climate-related
risks, sustainability-related risks (i) may
also adversely affect economic
activity,
asset pricing and valuations of issu
ers’
securities and, in turn, the wider financial
system; (ii) may impact economic
activities directly (for example through
lower corporate profitability or the
devaluation of assets) or indire
ctly (for
example through macro-financial
changes); (iii) may also affect the viabili
ty
or resilience of business models over the
medium to longer term, particu
larly those
business models most vulnerable to
sustainability-related risks; (iv) c
an
trigger further losses stemming directly
or indirectly from legal claims (liability
risks) and reputational damage as a
result of the public, customers,
counterparties and/or investors
associating the NWM Group or
its
customers with adverse sustainability-
related issues; and (v) intersect with and
further complexity and challenge to
achieving our purpose-led strategy
including climate ambitions, targets and
commitments. Together with climate-
related risks, these risks may combine to
generate even greater adverse e
ffects on
our business.
Furthermore, sustainability-related risks
may be drivers of several different risk
categories simultaneously and may
exacerbate the risks described he
rein,
including credit risk, operationa
l risk
(business continuity), market risk (both
traded and non-traded), liquidit
y and
funding risk (for example, net cash
outflows or depletion of liquidity
buffers).
Accordingly, any failure or delay
by
NWM Group to successfully adapt its
business strategy and to establish and
maintain effective governance,
procedures, systems and controls in
response to these issues, and to manage
these emerging sustainability-r
elated
risks and opportunities may have a
material adverse impact NWM Group’s
reputation, liquidity position, business
,
results of operations, outlook and the
value of NWM Group’s securities.
Any reduction in the ESG ratings of
NatWest Group (including NWM Gr
oup)
or NWM Group could have a negat
ive
impact on NatWest Group’s (including
NWM Group) or NWM Group’s
reputation and on investors’ risk
appetite and customers’ willingness to
deal with NatWest Group (incl
uding
NWM Group) or NWM Group.
ESG ratings from agencies and data
providers which rate how NatWest Group
(including NWM Group) or NWM Group
manage environmental, social and
governance risks are increasingly
influencing investment decisions
or being
used as a basis to label financial
products and services as green or
sustainable.
ESG ratings are (i) unsolicited; (ii) subjec
t
to the assessment and interpretation by