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year end and following share price weakness, we took a holding in Daikin, a leader in air conditioning
and heat pumps. Daikin’s products are likely to play an increasingly important role in cooling and
heating buildings due to the challenges posed by heatwaves, while also being capable of operating
without emitting carbon if a renewable electricity source is used.
Of the 5 holdings sold, Outsourcing was subject to a management buyout at an attractive price,
MS&AD Insurance shares performed very strongly following a management commitment to reduce
cross-holdings significantly, and Denso, Iida Group, and Itochu are all businesses where the forward
looking growth prospects seem increasingly difficult.
Given our focus on the prospects for individual businesses, it is unsurprising that we have built a
portfolio that is quite different to a Japanese market dominated by large, traditional, and highly cyclical
businesses. The major portfolio exposures remain internet and digitalisation, automation and robotics
with additional areas of focus in Asian consumer stocks and healthcare. We actively avoid areas where
we think long-term prospects are poor, which currently includes car manufacturers, steel companies,
and old-fashioned industrial conglomerates. We also continue to believe that having a founder in
charge of a business is effective in aligning the interests of management and shareholders. For your
Company, 32% of the portfolio has a founder-owner in charge, compared with 7% of the TOPIX as a
whole (source: MSCI).
Key internet and digitalisation stocks include Softbank, Rakuten, SBI, GMO Internet, Recruit and
CyberAgent. As well as its holding in ARM, which has a near-monopoly in mobile phone chip design,
SoftBank has broad exposure to leading early-stage AI and digitisation companies through its Vision
Funds. Rakuten and CyberAgent have both invested heavily in developing new businesses in recent
years and both are close to the point where those investments begin to make a positive contribution to
profits. SBI continues to gain market share within the financial industry in Japan, while GMO Internet
provides exposure to datacentres. Finally, Recruit is working on simplifying labour-intensive hiring
processes. Although it is not a new concept, the ability of internet-based businesses to offer a
compelling triad of cheaper, better, and quicker services continues to enable them to take market share
from more traditional operators.
Major automation and robotics positions include Fanuc, Kubota, Keyence and Misumi. Each of these
businesses allows their customers to improve efficiency, quality and consistency of their production
and we continue to believe developments in machine vision will expand the opportunities available in
this area.
Asian consumer stocks include those in skincare such as Shiseido, Pola Orbis and Kose, and those in
paint as already noted which are very durable and high returning businesses. Meanwhile in healthcare
we have exposure to several companies including Olympus, which makes endoscopes, and Sysmex,
which produces blood analysers as well as the recently bought Eisai.
Outlook
The obvious question on shareholders’ minds following a 5-year period with a disappointing relative
outcome will be whether they should remain confident in the prospects for their Company’s portfolio.
Nothing in life is guaranteed but we believe there are both philosophical and practical reasons for
optimism.
Philosophically we think that shareholders should draw comfort from the consistent approach being
applied, which has been successful for long periods in the past, the low turnover of the portfolio, which
means that future returns are dominated by business performance rather than trading activities, and the
lack of recent interest in what the Company is offering, which means that it is unlikely that we are at a
peak of optimism where everything is already in the price. Furthermore, Japan remains a useful
diversifier for a UK based investor that benefits from an established and stable political system, the
rule of law, and an increasing focus on shareholders.
Practically, it feels increasingly that the new normal post-Covid is similar to the old normal pre-Covid
– limited global economic expansion, controlled inflation, with opportunities and risks being presented
by technology changes. This makes growth a scarce and valuable feature of a business and presents
conditions that we believe are more favourable to our style than the recent rapid economic expansion