ALLIANZ TECHNOLOGY TRUST PLC
services, consumer discretionary and
industrials sectors turned in a creditable
performance, defensive stocks in the
consumer staples, utilities and health
care sectors barely rose, while energy
stocks were held back by weakening oil
and gas prices. With economic growth
uncertain, investors retreated to those
companies with reliable earnings, even if
they had to pay a little more for them.
Stock market performance was still
highly dependent on interest rate
expectations. There were two notable
prompted by March’s banking crisis, but
this was swiftly resolved after regulatory
intervention; the second came in
October after higher oil prices prompted
that rates would need to stay higher
for longer.
This narrow market leadership widened
investors started to anticipate rate
cuts in the year ahead. November
broad-based rally. November was the
strongest month for markets in three
years and supportive statements from
the US Federal Reserve ensured the
rally continued to the end of the year.
Overall, the MSCI World Index recorded
its strongest year since 2019.
Key themes
Just as they did in 2022, 2023 was a year
when investors watched the US Federal
Reserve. Once again, the fortunes of
individual companies appeared to
matter less than the latest comments
from central banks as investors tried to
judge whether central banks would be
the economy.
Ultimately, however, markets are
now reassured that the US Federal
Reserve has managed to engineer a
‘soft landing’. The much-anticipated
US recession remains a possibility
in the year ahead, but most market
participants now believe it is likely to be
short-lived and shallow if it materialises
at all. Rates cuts could come as early
as March in the US and would be
welcomed by markets.
Geopolitics
The fragile geopolitical landscape
continued in 2023. The war in Ukraine
was ongoing, with little progress on
either side. World powers continued to
pick sides, which saw some redrawing
of trading relationships. Those countries
that could remain neutral, such as
Vietnam or parts of Latin America, saw
There was new fragility in the Middle
East after the unprecedented terrorist
attacks by Hamas on Israel on 7
October, and Israel’s subsequent military
response which has seen ongoing
There was some easing of US/
China relations, with Presidents Xi
and Biden meeting in November.
Nevertheless, a return to the unfettered
trading relationship of recent history
appeared improbable.
The launch of Chat GPT and its rapid
adoption showed the potential for
its risks. It holds the potential to drive
productivity gains for companies at a
time when productivity has stagnated
in many Western economies. In a report
in April, Goldman Sachs said generative
AI could raise global GDP by 7% -
equivalent to almost $7 trillion.
Forward-thinking corporations are
already looking at how AI could
improve their business and 2024 may
be when these plans start to come
to fruition. Companies are investing
Google and Amazon have done a
number of blockbuster deals with
AI start-ups in 2023. This accounted
for two-thirds of the US$27bn raised
according to data from private market
researchers PitchBook.
Performance
The Company’s net assets rose 46.4%
for the year to 31 December 2023. This
was marginally behind its benchmark,
the Dow Jones World Technology
Index (sterling adjusted, total return),
which rose 48.2%. The strength of
to beat. We continued to hold below
index weights in these stocks to avoid
concentration risk in the portfolio.
The broad-based rally at the end of
the year was more favourable for
the Company, with market attention
returning to some of our higher
growth, mid cap companies. This has
opportunities, where a focus on bottom-
up fundamentals and industry expertise
can provide an edge versus the market.
The third quarter earnings season had
momentum in a number of our holdings,
particularly those focused on cloud
computing. We took bolder positions in
these areas, which helped us participate
in the rally in full.
Weakness tended to come in
idiosyncratic areas, rather than from any
major themes. For example, Pay.com
was a notable detractor, hit by concerns
over the outlook for the jobs market
and some operational issues that saw it
miss on earnings. Okta was also weak,
impacted by execution challenges.
It was a mixed year for the
semiconductor sector. It was important
lagging’ semiconductor groups. While
Nvidia soared on the back of demand
for its AI-focused chips, it was a tougher
year for generic semiconductors and
those exposed to auto-related sectors.
The Company moved away from auto-
generic semiconductor groups such as
Texas Instruments. Nvidia was a major
holding from February onwards.
Geopolitical tensions continued to
support demand for cybersecurity
companies during the year, particularly
at the end of 2023 when software and
IT services outperformed other areas.
with more data requiring greater
protection. Cyber attacks continued with
a major Chinese espionage campaign
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