Impax Environmental Markets plc | Annual Report and Accounts 2021 | 7
Fotis Chatzimichalakis
On balance, and despite some disappointments,
COP26 provided renewed confidence in how to get
national economies on the track to net zero. The
various coalitions will enable progress to be made in
key areas of the real economy, and in tackling some of
the most important drivers of climate change. They will
create numerous opportunities for IEM, in clean power
generation, energy efficiency and food and agriculture.
Inevitably, the growing impacts of climate change will
require investment in adaptation, which will benefit a
number of IEM portfolio companies.
The decarbonisation of heating
One of the larger barriers to a net-zero global economy
is the use of fossil fuels in heating; in Europe, for
example, buildings account for 40% of final energy
consumption and 36% of greenhouse gas emissions,
with heating accounting for 70% of the building stock’s
energy needs. Tightening energy efficiency standards
for buildings have driven growth in insulation, LED
lighting, and more efficient HVAC (heating, ventilation
and air conditioning) systems, but some 85% of heating
and cooling is still reliant on fossil fuels.
This is set to change. In its EU Energy System Integration
Strategy, the European Commission said it expects
40% of residential heating to be electrified by 2030.
EU governments are putting in place timelines to phase
out fossil fuel boilers and policy support for alternative
technologies such as heat pumps. Current penetration
rates of around 5% are expected to reach 20% by 2030,
driving annual growth rates of 15-20%. NIBE (Buildings
Energy Efficiency, Sweden), held by IEM for 15 years, is
a leader in heat pump markets and is well positioned to
capitalise on this growth.
Simultaneously, rising temperatures globally will drive
a growing need for cooling. High efficiency HVAC
systems, such as those supplied by Lennox (Buildings
Energy Efficiency, US) will continue to see above-market
growth, driven by regulation and pure economics.
Increased use of software and technology is creating
“smart buildings” with active shading, motion-activated
heating and cooling, etc. Finally, an increased focus on
wellbeing and awareness of the benefits of fresh air are
expected to drive increased uptake in heat recovery
ventilation systems. We continue to look for incremental
exposure to these growth opportunities.
Supply chains and inflation
Last year was characterised by extreme disruption to
global supply chains and related inflationary pressure,
and we expect this disruption to persist in 2022,
with mostly negative impacts on portfolio company
performance. These disruptions and inflation were
caused by a combination of the unexpectedly rapid
economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and
periodic lockdowns, particularly in Asia, exacerbated
by a pandemic-related shift in demand from services to
physical goods.
The resulting increase in costs of raw materials,
shipping and labour posed significant challenges for
smaller industrial companies. They tend to have lower
purchasing power than their larger competitors, and
those with in-house manufacturing tended to suffer
more than those which outsourced manufacturing to
bigger suppliers.
As an example, Vestas (Wind Power Generation
Equipment, Denmark) issued two profit warnings
in 2021, blaming, among other things, increased
commodity and freight prices, and congestion outside
harbours. Clean energy companies such as Vestas
often face deadlines by which projects must be under
construction or operational, meaning they have little
option but to absorb higher costs.
Similarly, Itron (Power Network Efficiency, United States)
reported that its results were negatively impacted
by component constraints, which affected its ability
to meet customer demand and its cost structure,
according to its CEO. He forecast that component
supply would likely remain problematic into 2022.
We share that assessment. We favour companies with
defensible market positions and, overall, we are pleased
with most portfolio companies’ ability to pass increases
in input prices on to their customers. However, while
we expect supply chain issues and inflation to abate in
2022, they will exert a drag on company performance.
Healthcare’s nascent sustainability transition
There is increasing consensus among scientists that
climate change is already impacting human health
negatively (respiratory and cardiovascular diseases have
been linked to worsening air quality) and altering the
geographical prevalence of certain infectious diseases.
While healthcare companies offer products and services
that help address these challenges, they are also part
of the problem. The healthcare sector has the largest
carbon footprint of any service sector and is responsible
for 4-5% of global emissions, more than aviation and
shipping combined. Interestingly, awareness of this
issue has been low within the clinical community and
it was not until the adoption of the Paris Agreement in
2015 that healthcare companies have started to tighten
processes to assess and manage their carbon emissions.
Beyond carbon emissions, the environmental footprint
of healthcare extends to water use, and ground
and water pollution. According to the World Health
Organization, the most widely used raw material in
pharmaceutical manufacturing is water, highlighting
the importance of appropriate water management
measures aimed both at minimising water consumption
and managing wastewater. The occurrence of
pharmaceuticals in the environment is of growing
concern worldwide, as they have been detected in water
and soil systems posing risks to humans and wildlife that
range from the spreading of antimicrobial resistance,
to interference with reproduction and increased cancer
incidence in humans.
Approximately 4% of the IEM portfolio is invested
in companies that provide solutions to mitigate and
manage the environmental footprint of healthcare.
For example, Repligen (Water Treatment Equipment,
US) makes bioprocessing equipment used in the
manufacturing of biologic drugs and vaccines, resulting
in lower energy use, water consumption and chemical
waste. Eurofins (Logistics, Food Safety & Packaging,
France) is a life sciences company providing laboratory
testing services to analyse and monitor water, soil and
air quality.