
16
Report of the Investment Manager
continued
Company Selection
Our team regularly engages with management teams and
analyses industry competitors to gain an insight into a company’s
business model and sustainable competitive advantages. Based
on this analysis, we seek to take advantage of these perceived
inefficiencies through our in-depth fundamental research, which
includes an integrated Environmental, Social and Governance
(ESG) assessment, and active engagement, to identify and unlock
mispriced growth opportunities for our shareholders.
The portfolio’s outperformance relative to the benchmark was
driven almost entirely by stock selection, with holdings in the
Financials, Industrials and Real Estate sectors contributing most
significantly to relativereturns.
Financials continue to represent the largest sector exposure
in the portfolio. This is not a top-down allocation but instead
reflects the compelling bottom-up stock picking opportunities
we continue to find in the space. Across Emerging Europe, we
hold a number of attractive investments in companies with
strong underlying growth potential operating in an environment
that is sheltered from intense competition. Similarly, we own
a number of banks in the Middle East that continue to see
attractive loan growth and in some cases benefit from various
government subsidies.
Eastern European financials were some of the portfolio’s best
performers. In Poland, insurance company PZU outperformed
following strong earnings underpinned by much-improved
insurance policy pricing dynamics A function of the substantial
real income growth over the last decade, Polish car owners
increasingly opt for higher margin Motor-Own-Damage
policies, which is increasing PZU’s written premium growth and
profitability. Greek bank NBG was another strong performer,
helped by an improving domestic macroeconomic backdrop,
the higher interest rate environment and healthy corporate
loan growth. Hungarian bank OTP also outperformed, helped
in part by the company’s successful expansion of its business
into a number of frontier markets, providing opportunities for
futuregrowth.
In contrast, holdings in Middle Eastern banks underperformed
over the year. Saudi Arabian bank SNB and Qatar-based QNB
were two of the weakest performers, partly reflecting the more
muted economic growth outlook across the region, and lower
average oil price. Shares in SNB also suffered weakness in
response to its investment in Credit Suisse, which was viewed
negatively by investors. Holdings in both SNB and QNB were
reduced over the year.
2-27 Strategic Report
28-67 Governance
68-84 Financial Statements
85-91 Other Information
Barings Emerging EMEA Opportunities PLC
Annual Report 2023
transform the African continent by enabling it to capitalise on
its rich renewable energy resources, notably its wealth of wind,
sunshine, and water.
Rise of the Middle Powers – Middle East
Whilst not a new concept, the idea of “middle powers” –
countries which whilst not great powers, are characterised as
having heft, in economic, geographic, or demographic terms –
is gaining prominence in an increasingly polarised world. Here,
two Middle Eastern powerhouses: Saudi Arabia, the world’s top
oil exporter, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the region’s
dominant trade hub, have seen their economies buoyed by rising
energy prices, and are determined to chart their own courses
in an era of shifting global dynamics as non-aligned middle
powers. Examples of this have included Saudi Arabia acting as
a mediator between Russia and Ukraine, while the UAE hosts
this year’s global climate summit, COP28. This shift on the
international stage has significance, with the Middle East able to
wield its influence as a strategic trading partner, due to its vast
global oil and gas reserves and position between Europe, Asia
and Africa.
Exemplifying this shift, until recently the BRICS nations (Brazil,
Russia, India, China and South Africa) had members from every
corner of the developing world except the Middle East. As of
August, however, this has changed, with the announcement
that from the start of 2024 admission will extend to a further six
countries, including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates.
This change highlights how these emerging economies are
seeking a bigger role by using the bloc as a countervailing force
to Western groupings, such as the G7.
Recent escalation between Israel and Hamas
Whilst occurring after the end of the Company’s financial year,
we are monitoring risks arising from the conflict between Israel
and Hamas. Although there has been no direct impact on the
investments within your portfolio, we have witnessed selling
pressure across markets globally and the EMEA region, as
sentiment has been damaged and geopolitical risk heightened.
While Israel is not a major oil producer, any prospect of
escalation will likely raise risk premia in markets, which has
the potential to keep the oil price elevated. This is especially
true if Iran becomes directly involved in the conflict. Whilst the
situation is unfolding, we have reduced exposure across some
positions in the Middle East.