
6 Gulf Marine Services PLC
PEOPLE AND VALUES
continued
2-3°C by 2100: this scenario is envisaged
as the outcome of reactive action from
governments, with policies being introduced
on an ad-hoc basis, whilst only the most
committed businesses take serious action.
It is associated with the highest level of
transitional risks, due to the uncoordinated
approach, and some physical risks.
>3°C by 2100: this scenario will occur if
limited action is taken over the next few
decades. Although, this limits the transitional
risks, particularly in the short and medium
term, it has the highest degree of physical
risk, due to increased global temperature
rise. Under this scenario, climate tipping
points are projected to be breached, leading
to irreversible damage to our planet.
The Time Horizons
The impacts of climate change expand
beyond our traditional risk scope. Therefore,
to align with our net zero strategy, we have
decided to use the time horizons outlined in
table 1, to assess our climate-related risks
and opportunities. The long-term deadline
aligns with our net-zero target and those of
the UK and UAE governments.
Table 1: Time Horizons Used for
Climate Scenario Analysis
Short-term: Medium-term: Long-term:
2022-2025 2025-2035 2035-2050
The Results
Overall, the risk level is considered low for
GMS offices and vessels. As most of the
Group’s operations are already in extreme
climate conditions, the infrastructure that
we own and use has been built accordingly.
Our office buildings and vessels in the Gulf
region, are already exposed to temperatures
above 40°C for consecutive days. Therefore,
the region’s infrastructure design and our
working schedules, already consider these
extreme weather conditions.
Our risk management process, categorises
risks with an overall rating of red, amber
or green. This is based on a combination of
the inherent risk and the associated control
rating. Across all timelines and scenarios,
there are no red ratings assigned to
climate-related risks in table 2. Most risks
were determined to have a green rating.
The number of risks rated amber increases
over time. Table 2 highlights the scenario
and timeline, when an Amber rating is first
assigned. No physical risks were assigned
an amber risk rating.
Further details on all the risks assessed and
our mitigation actions are provided in our
2022 TCFD Report. We submitted our first
Carbon Disclosure Project (CDP) in 2022,
which provides information on our response
to climate change.
Transitional Risks
In the short term, GMS has identified three
key risks to the business: increasing UK
policy requirements, changing investor
sentiment, and wider stakeholder concern.
As a premium listed company on the London
Stock Exchange, we are subject to UK
reporting regulations, including anything related
to climate change and the environment. The
UK government has set a target of reaching
net zero by 2050 and is introducing
regulations to help it achieve this. Therefore,
we foresee increasing reporting obligations
in the short term under the <2°C and 2-3°C
scenarios. We have engaged an external
consultancy, to help us manage and monitor
this risk. We do not expect a substantial
increase in climate-related requirements
in the GCC in the short term, but we
continuously monitor legislative changes
to ensure compliance.
Climate change is of increasing interest to
investors and wider stakeholders, particularly
those outside the GCC region. This TCFD
summary and our 2022 TCFD Report, provide
the information these stakeholders require to
assess our response to the challenges and
opportunities associated with climate change.
Based on even the most ambitious energy
transition scenario, demand for oil and gas is
expected to continue to account for over half
of the energy mix by 2040 (Westwood Global
Energy Group report, issued in February
2022). Additionally, all but one of our clients
are based in the GCC region, which produces
a considerable amount of the world’s oil
production. Therefore, the board considers
the risk of investor and stakeholder sentiment
changing within this region as relatively low
(table 2) in the short term. However, we
recognise the likelihood of this risk will
increase in the medium to long-term, under
the <2°C and 2-3°C scenarios. We will
continue to monitor this risk and provide
relevant disclosures. For example, this
summary, our TCFD Report and CDP
disclosure, to inform our stakeholders, about
how we are responding to climate change.
A climate-related opportunity for GMS,
is the ability to use our existing vessels
to support the renewable sector. We are
pleased to announce that we have signed
a six-year contract for one of our vessels,
on a long-term renewables project,
commencing in 2023. This option provides
versatility to GMS’s strategy, as the Board
reviews the potential impacts of the transition
to a low-carbon global economy.
Physical Risks
All the physical risks considered have been
assigned a green rating, due to our existing
controls. Therefore, the impact is expected
to be low. Although physical impacts are
expected from climate change, our offices
and most vessels are in the Gulf region, which
is already adapted to an extreme climate with
high temperatures, low precipitation, and
high-water stress. Infrastructure and workers’
rights regulations have already been designed
to manage this.
The climate scenario analysis suggests
that more frequent sandstorms will occur,
due to increased temperatures and
decreased precipitation. Our vessels are
prepared for sandstorms. They are equipped
with specialised filtration devices that
reduce the risk of sediment damaging the
vessels’ engines.
Decreased precipitation will exacerbate
water stress in the region. Our vessels are
equipped with desalination equipment, to
mitigate water stress. Two vessels have
been fitted with two air-to-water machines,
which can produce water from the air.
In 2024 we intend to install these machines
in more vessels.
Climate-related Opportunities
Responding to climate change offers two
major opportunities to GMS. From an
operational perspective, improving our
efficiency reduces our operating costs,
improves our resilience to potential new laws
around energy use and carbon emissions
and demonstrates our commitment to being
a sustainable business. In terms of business
strategy, there is the opportunity to mobilise
our vessels in the renewables sector. We
already have a proven track record in this
area and are keen to maintain an ongoing
presence in Europe to enable us to continue
accepting offshore wind farm contracts.
Engaging with Our Clients
and Supply Chain
We need to engage with our clients and
supply chain in the future, to manage our
climate-related risks and reduce our carbon
emissions. For example, we will start
engaging with our suppliers on their carbon
footprint, initially asking whether they
already collect data on their Scope 1 and 2
emissions. This will feed into our Scope 3
emissions. In the medium term, we could
consider introducing additional social and
environmental screening criteria for our
suppliers and, subsequently, work with our
suppliers to reduce these emissions.
We must collaborate with our clients,
to reduce the emissions associated with
our vessels. For example, during 2022,
we conducted a trial on two vessels, to
determine the effectiveness of installing