58 HICL Annual Report 2025
Viability Statement
The AIC Code of Corporate Governance (the “AIC Code”) requires
the Directors to make a statement regarding the Company’s viability
in the Annual Report, explaining how they have assessed the
Company’s prospects, the period of time for which they have made
the assessment and why they consider that period to be appropriate.
The Directors have determined that the five-year period to March
2030 remains an appropriate period over which to assess the
Company’s viability due to the following reasons:
– The period aligns with the Company’s business planning
processes, including how the Directors assess the Company at
their annual strategy board meeting;
– It is the period over which the internal stress testing is performed; and
– Although the long-term and / or contractual nature of our
investments means that the Directors have a higher level of
confidence over the endurance and longevity of the Company,
it is challenging to assess and determine the regulatory, tax and
political environment outside the five-year period with any certainty.
Assessment of HICL’s Prospects
a. Business planning process
The Directors’ primary assessment of the Company’s prospects is
achieved through the annual strategic and business planning exercise.
The Directors review a five-year budget and business plan, which
is prepared by the Investment Manager and includes cash flow
projections to aid strategic planning and provide support for the dividend
approval process. The projections consider cash balances, investment
commitments, key covenants and limits, dividend cover, investment policy
compliance and other key financial indicators over that five-year period.
These projections are based on the Investment Manager’s expectations
of future asset performance, income and costs and are consistent with
the methodology applied to provide the valuation of investments.
b. Portfolio diversification
HICL’s portfolio consists of 111 companies whose underlying assets
are predominantly fully constructed and operating. PPPs make up 57%
of the portfolio at 31 March 2025, and all of HICL’s investments are in
jurisdictions with established and proven legal systems. The Company,
via the investments indirectly held by the Corporate Subsidiary IILP,
benefits from predictable long-term, contracted and inflation-linked cash
flows together with a set of risks that can be identified and assessed
(see Risk and Risk Management on page 49). The projects are each
financed on a non-recourse basis to the Company and forecasting is
supported by detailed financial models. The Directors believe that the
non-recourse financing and diversification within the investment portfolio
(the top 10 make up 51% of the portfolio) helps to withstand and mitigate
the risks it is most likely to meet. Finally, the Company and its Corporate
Subsidiaries have a low level of operating expenses relative to forecast
receipts from its portfolio investments, with its largest single cost being the
management fee, charged to IILP.
c. Approach to debt and gearing
The Company funds its investments using equity and via IILP, a long
term £150m private placement loan, which is due for repayment in
two tranches in 2033 and 2035. The gearing of the Company and its
Corporate Subsidiaries is well within its Board-approved investment
parameters in the five-year period. In addition, the Company can
withstand a material increase in interest costs due to the purchase
of a £200m cap, held by IILP, which protects the Company if SONIA
rates exceed 6.5%. The cap runs until June 2026.
The Company, via IILP, also has access to RCF of £400m, which is £16m
drawn (made up of £10m of cash drawn and £6m LC utilisation) at year
end. Likewise the Company, via IILP, also has access to its Letter of
Credit facility which is £77.5m drawn at year end.
d. Capital allocation process
Consistent with others in the alternative assets investment company
sector, the Company has suffered from an uncertain macroeconomic
backdrop and its shares have traded at a discount to NAV for all of
the year. Against this backdrop, the Company has demonstrated its
disciplined approach to capital allocation by continuing its strategic
asset disposal programme. This programme generated proceeds
from previously announced asset sales of £244m and allowed the full
repayment of the drawings on the RCF at the beginning of the year.
Should capital markets remain closed for an extended period, the
Company, via IILP, has access to an RCF, of which £384m remains
undrawn at 31 March 2025.
Assessment of Viability
In making this statement, the Directors have considered the resilience
of the Company and its Corporate Subsidiaries, considering both
its current position and its principal risks, in severe but plausible
downside scenarios, and the effectiveness of any mitigating actions.
Consideration has been given to the current increased market
volatility, political environment and heightened geopolitical risk.
The Investment Manager has prepared sensitivity analysis including
various stress scenarios which have been considered previously by
the Risk Committee. These include:
– Increasing tax rate assumptions by 5% for all assets;
– Increasing lifecycle costs by 33%;
– Inflation is 2% lower in every period than the base case assumptions;
– Assuming an increase in projects not distributing of 20% of the
portfolio (note this represents projects entering distribution lock-up
for a period of 24 months after which they are released);
– A 15% reduction in distribution from the Company’s operational
assets highlighting hypothetical operational challenges;
– Required injection of £50.0 million in an asset bailout combined
with an average forecast RCF cost of at least 200 basis points
above base case; and
– Combined scenario assuming:
– Funding a hypothetical £50m equity injection to continue
operating one or multiple assets and increased interest rates;
– 15% reduction in distributions from operational assets;
– Increase in lifecycle costs of 33%; and
– 50% reduction in final distributions from assets whose
concessions end within the viability period.
Individually, due to the diversified nature of the Company’s portfolio,
these scenarios pose a minimal threat to the Company’s solvency.
A severe scenario was also prepared to assess the loss in revenue
necessary to cause insolvency. Even under this scenario the analysis
demonstrated that the Company should remain viable over the five-
year assessment period.
Viability Statement
The Directors have a reasonable expectation that the Company will
be able to continue in operation and meet its liabilities as they fall due
over the five-year period to March 2030, on the assumption that there
is sufficient liquidity in the debt market to allow the Company, via its
Corporate Subsidiaries, to refinance or repay obligations becoming due
under its Revolving Credit Facility and Letter of Credit Facility, and that
its investments are not materially affected by retrospective changes to
government policy, laws or regulations.
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